Trends In Births Research Articles

Capacity Planning (Capital, Staff and Costs) of Inpatient Maternity Services: Pitfalls for the Unwary

This study investigates the process of planning for future inpatient resources (beds, staff and costs) for maternity (pregnancy and childbirth) services. The process of planning is approached from a patient-centered philosophy; hence, how do we discharge a suitably rested healthy mother who is fully capable of caring for the newborn baby back into the community? This demonstrates some of the difficulties in predicting future births and investigates trends in the average length of stay. While it is relatively easy to document longer-term (past) trends in births and the conditions relating to pregnancy and birth, it is exceedingly difficult to predict the future nature of such trends. The issue of optimum average bed occupancy is addressed via the Erlang B equation which links number of beds, average bed occupancy and turn-away. Turn-away is the proportion of times that there is not an immediately available bed for the next arriving inpatient. Data for maternity units show extreme and unexplained variation in turn-away. Economy of scale implied by queuing theory (and the implied role of population density) explains why many well intended community-based schemes fail to gain traction. The paper also addresses some of the erroneous ideas around the dogma that reducing length of stay ‘saves’ money. Maternity departments are encouraged to understand how their costs are calculated to avoid the trap where it is suggested by others that in reducing the length of stay, they will reduce costs and increase ‘efficiency’. Indeed, up to 60% of calculated maternity ‘costs’ are apportioned from (shared) hospital overheads from supporting departments such as finance, personnel, buildings and grounds, IT, information, etc., along with depreciation charges on the hospital-wide buildings and equipment. These costs, known as ‘the fixed costs dilemma’, are totally beyond the control of the maternity department and will vary by hospital depending on how these costs are apportioned to the maternity unit. Premature discharge, one of the unfortunate outcomes of turn-away, is demonstrated to shift maternity costs into the pediatric and neonatal departments as ‘boomerang babies’, and then require the cost of avoidable inpatient care. Examples are given from the English NHS of how misdirected government policy can create unforeseen problems.

A cohort study of the occurrence of post-term births and its association with perinatal mortality in a rural area in Bangladesh.

We aimed to evaluate the trend of post-term births over time and their association with perinatal mortality based on prospective pregnancy cohorts in a rural area in Bangladesh. This cohort study included 72 373 singleton births with gestational ages ≥28 weeks recorded by a health and demographic surveillance system from 1990 to 2019 in Matlab, Bangladesh. We expressed the gestational age as X (weeks) + Y (days)/7 weeks, where X indicated complete weeks, and Y presented the number of completed days out of seven days or a week. Using Poisson regression with robust variances, we estimated the population-based proportion of post-term births and assessed the association between gestational age categories and perinatal mortality. We presented results by adjusted relative risk (aRR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Post-term births declined from 5.8% in 1990 to 2.8% in 2019. Perinatal mortality declined from 58 to 27 per 1000 births from 1990 to 2019. Compared to full-term births (39 + 0/7 to 40 + 6/7 weeks), the aRRs of perinatal mortality were 1.39 for late-term (41 + 0/7 to 41 + 6/7 weeks) and 1.93 for post-term (≥42 + 0/7 weeks) births. The population-attributable fraction of perinatal mortality was 15% for births at ≥41 + 0/7 weeks out of the total perinatal deaths occurring at ≥39 gestation weeks. In this rural setting in Bangladesh, we observed a decline in post-term birth proportions from 1990 to 2019. We found increased perinatal mortality when pregnancy continued beyond 40 + 6/7 weeks of gestation. This implies that planning the management of pregnant women approaching the post-term period may be needed to further improve perinatal health outcomes.

Is a rising cesarean delivery rate explained by late birth trend? A decomposition analysis of health insurance claims data (2013-2022) from South Korea.

To analyze the factors influencing the increase in the cesarean delivery (CD) rate in South Korea and test the hypothesis on advanced maternal age driving the trend. The present study is a population-based retrospective observational study utilizing administrative data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service. We analyzed a total 3 416 517 births from 2013 to 2022 covered by the national health insurance. The CD rate and contribution of demographic variables to changes in CD rates were calculated using Das Gupta's decomposition method. The CD rate increased from 37.8% in 2013 to 61.6% in 2022. The decomposition analysis revealed that changes in maternal age structure contributed only 8.7% to the increase in the CD rate. When parity was added to maternal age, the explained proportion increased to 17.8%. When other factors were added to the model, such as multiple births, residential area, and income level, it did not contribute significantly to the increase in the CD rates, accounting for 19.0%, 18.6%, and 18.0%, respectively. According to our analysis, less than one-fifth of the increase in CD rate was explained by the change in maternal age. The rising CD rate in Korea should not be considered an unavoidable consequence of demographic change. Much more diverse factors, including increased risk of medical lawsuits, changes in childbirth culture, and other health system determinants, may be driving the trend.

Trends in Short Interpregnancy Interval Births in the United States, 2016-2022.

To measure contemporary trends in the prevalence of short interpregnancy interval (IPI) births in the United States. We conducted a repeated cross-sectional analysis using 2016-2022 natality data from the National Vital Statistics System. We included all singleton live births to individuals with at least one prior live birth. We examined trends over time in short IPIs less than 18 months, as well as for specific durations within this time frame (less than 6 months, 6-11 months, and 12-17 months), using linear probability models that estimated changes in the prevalence of each IPI duration over time. We then estimated the prevalence of each short IPI duration by maternal race and ethnicity, socioeconomic characteristics (age, education, insurance payer at delivery), and geography (U.S. census region, state of residence). The study sample included 14,770,411 singleton live births to individuals with at least one prior live birth in 2016-2022. Roughly a third (29.8%) of births had an overall IPI of less than 18 months (5.0% less than 6 months, 11.0% 6-11 months, and 13.8% 12-17 months). For IPIs less than 6 months, a slight statistical decline in prevalence was identified over the study period in unadjusted and adjusted models (adjusted annual percentage point change -0.02, 95% CI, -0.03 to -0.02). Slight statistical increases in the prevalence of IPIs of 6-11 and 12-17 months were identified in unadjusted models but were no longer significant and reversed direction in adjusted models, respectively. Long-standing inequities in the distribution of the shortest IPIs (less than 6 months) were stable compared with prior work across the indicators examined in this study. Overall, it appears the prevalence of short IPIs has remained stable between 2016 and 2022.

Trends in Twin Births and Survival in Rural Spain: Evidence from 18th to 20th Century.

This study examines the changes over time of the twinning rate and infant and child mortality across 17 rural villages in the province of Zaragoza (Spain) over a span of 200 years. The aim is to understand how the twinning rate evolved in conjunction with the processes of economic and social modernization, as well as the demographic transition. During the period analyzed, the twinning rate increased by 10%, rising from 1.26 per 1000 births in the second half of the 18th century to 1.38 per 1000 births in the first half of the 20th century. This rate varied due to hereditary issues, biological factors such as the mother's age and parity, and socioeconomic features like family occupation and the mother's education level. In terms of child mortality, twins historically faced a significantly higher mortality rate. However, they benefited greatly from the mortality transition, at least in absolute numbers. While nearly 60% of twins did not survive beyond 5 years of age in earlier periods, the mortality rate for twins decreased to 40% by the first half of the 20th century. The excess mortality was particularly severe for girls, driven by a widespread preference for sons, which led to higher mortality rates for girls in the first 5 years of life, especially in the earliest months. These findings help us understand the improvements in uterine and childhood survival rates for contemporary twins, which can be attributed to the socioeconomic and medical advancements of the 20th century.

젠더불평등과 저출산정책의 정책굴절 - 정부의 ‘저출생 추세 반전을 위한 대책’에 대한 비판적 분석

젠더불평등과 저출산정책의 정책굴절 - 정부의 ‘저출생 추세 반전을 위한 대책’에 대한 비판적 분석

Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes and Chronic Hypertension in the Era of Prevention: A Contemporary, Retrospective Cohort Study Using Data from the National Inpatient Sample Database.

Chronic hypertension is a known risk factor for the development of preeclampsia and obstetrical morbidity. However, recent risk estimates, particularly in the era of use of low-dose acetylsalicylic acid for preeclampsia prevention, are lacking. This study aimed to estimate the association between chronic hypertension and preeclampsia and other adverse pregnancy outcomes in a contemporary cohort of births spanning the period, since the introduction of a low-dose acetylsalicylic acid protocol. The secondary outcome was to estimate trends in preeclampsia and preterm birth among patients with chronic hypertension during the study period. A retrospective, population-based cohort study was conducted using the National Inpatient Sample Database to identify individuals discharged from hospitals in the United States following obstetrical delivery from 2014 to 2019. Pregnancies complicated by chronic hypertension were identified using ICD 9/10 (International Classification of Diseases 9th and 10th editions) codes. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to estimate the adjusted odds ratios for the association between chronic hypertension and adverse pregnancy outcomes compared with pregnancies not complicated by chronic hypertension. Temporal trends in preeclampsia and preterm birth among patients with chronic hypertension were estimated over the study period. Among 4,451,667 obstetrical delivery-related admissions, 139,556 (3.1%) included pregnancies complicated by chronic hypertension. Of these, 27,146 (19.4%) admissions included pregnancies with superimposed preeclampsia, compared with 222,351 (5.2%) of admissions that included pregnancies with preeclampsia without prior diagnosis of chronic hypertension. Pregnancies complicated by chronic hypertension were associated with 3.29 times the odds of preeclampsia compared with pregnancies without chronic hypertension (95% confidence interval: 3.22-3.36), but the odds of preeclampsia (p-value for linear trend <0.0001) and preterm birth (p-value for linear trend = 0.0001) in this subgroup decreased over the study period. While the odds of preeclampsia are increased among pregnancies complicated by chronic hypertension, the odds of preeclampsia in this population have decreased over time. · Pregnancies complicated by chronic hypertension are at significantly higher odds of preeclampsia.. · Recent guidelines have recommended low-dose acetylsalicylic acid for preeclampsia prevention in these pregnancies.. · In a nationwide cohort, the odds of preeclampsia among these pregnancies are decreasing over time..

Secular variation and risk factors of preterm birth in Hainan, the Free Trade Port in China from 2010 to 2021

ObjectivesPreterm delivery rates have increased obviously worldwide over the past decade, yet reliable epidemiological studies on the incidence of preterm birth and temporal trends are not available in Hainan, The Free Trade Port in China. We aimed to describe the rate of preterm birth and trends between 2010 and 2021 and to primarily explore risk factors associated with preterm birth in Hainan, China.MethodsThis was an observational study was based on data from the Hainan Provincial Birth Certificate System (HPBCS) for live births between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2021. We included pregnancies resulting in at least one live birth, with newborns born at a gestational age of 28 weeks or greater, or with a birth weight of 1000 g or more. The outcome were preterm birth rates and their trends over time. Potential risk factors were collected, including infant gender, maternal age, paternal age, maternal ethnicity, paternal ethnicity, home address, and single or multiple pregnancies. The logistic regression model was used to assess the relationship between preterm birth and potential risk factors.ResultsA total of 1,537,239 live births and 86,328 preterm births were investigated, giving a total preterm birth rate of 5.62%. The overall preterm birth rate increased from 4.47% in 2010 to 7.12% in 2021 (compound annual growth rate [CAGR] 4.32). The CAGR of late preterm birth is consistent with the overall preterm birth rate (4.32%). The fastest growth is observed in the rate of very preterm births (5.53%), while the rate of moderate preterm births exhibits the slowest growth (3.87%). Infant gender, multiple pregnancy, home address, parental age, and ethnicity had significant effects on preterm birth.ConclusionThe preterm birth rate was increasing year by year from 2010 to 2021 in Hainan, The Free Trade Port in China. Incidence of preterm births in Hainan Province in relation to multiple pregnancies, infant sex, parental age, parental race and residential address.

Trends in gestational age at live birth in Scotland from 2005 to 2019: a population-based study.

Gestation at birth is associated with short and long-term outcomes. This study used high quality, national, administrative data to examine trends in gestation at birth in Scotland. This observational study used maternity hospital discharge records for 2005 to 2019 to determine trends in the percentage of live births that were preterm (<37 weeks gestation), term (37-41 weeks), and post-term (≥42 weeks), overall and by maternal age and deprivation category. Preterm births were further examined by category of preterm birth (moderate to late [32-36 weeks]; very [28-31 weeks]; extremely [<28 weeks] preterm), and onset of labour (spontaneous; provider-initiated). Singleton and multiple births were examined separately. Aggregate logistic regression was used to estimate the annual change in the odds of a birth being in a specified gestational category. The percentage of singleton births in Scotland that were preterm decreased from 2005 (6.5%, 3,361/51,665) to 2010 (5.8%, 3268/56344), then increased to 2019 (7.2%, 3,408/47,507). The percentage of singleton births that were spontaneous moderate to late, very, and extremely preterm all increased between 2010 and 2019. The percentage of singleton births that were provider-initiated moderate to late preterm also increased between 2010 and 2019, however provider-initiated very or extremely preterm birth decreased. The percentage of singleton births that were preterm increased over time across all maternal age and deprivation categories, with increases greatest in groups at highest baseline risk. The percentage of singleton births that were post-term increased from 2005 to 2009, then decreased to 2019. There has been an increase in spontaneous preterm birth from 2010 to 2019, which is not fully explained by changes in maternal age or deprivation. Further research to examine the contribution of other, preventable, risk factors is warranted. Trends in provider-initiated preterm birth, and post-term birth, are likely to reflect changing clinical practice.

Alignment, Anticipation, Adaptation, or Lagging Behind? Age-Based Regulations in Assisted Reproduction and Late Fertility.

This paper focuses on age restrictions on access to infertility treatments and eligibility for their public reimbursement, exploring their relevancy in contexts of rising late birth rates (40+). I explore how age-based reimbursement policies for in vitro fertilization treatments have responded to these fertility trends in 27 high-income countries and in which regulatory frameworks for medically assisted reproduction (MAR) very late births (45+) have particularly increased. First, I show that while age limits for treatment reimbursement are well aligned with the prevalence of late fertility in some national contexts, in most countries, strict age restrictions are lagging behind the rise in late births. In others, pronatalist policies have prompted permissive age criteria or law revisions, anticipating or adapting to rising trends in late births. Second, the rise in very late births has been limited in some contexts with strict age-based rules. However, the analysis suggests that the impact of MAR on very late births may also be influenced by contextual factors other than regulations.

Birth rate decline in the later phase of the COVID-19 pandemic: the role of policy interventions, vaccination programmes and economic uncertainty

Abstract STUDY QUESTION What are the factors influencing the decline in the birth rates observed in higher-income countries in the later phase of the COVID-19 pandemic? SUMMARY ANSWER Our results suggest that economic uncertainty, non-pharmaceutical policy interventions, and the first wave of the population-wide vaccination campaign were associated with the decline in birth rates during 2022. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY During the COVID-19 pandemic, birth rates in most higher-income countries first briefly declined and then shortly recovered, showing no common trends afterwards until early 2022, when they unexpectedly dropped. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION This study uses population-wide data on monthly total fertility rates adjusted for seasonality and calendar effects provided in the Human Fertility Database (HFD). Births taking place between November 2020 and October 2022 correspond to conceptions occurring between February 2020 and January 2022, ie, after the onset of the pandemic but prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The data cover 26 countries, including 21 countries in Europe, the United States, Canada, Israel, Japan and the Republic of Korea. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS First, we provided a descriptive analysis of the monthly changes in the total fertility rate (TFR). Second, we employed linear fixed effects regression models to estimate the association of explanatory factors with the observed seasonally adjusted total fertility rates. Our analysis considered three broader sets of explanatory factors: economic uncertainty, policy interventions restricting mobility and social activities outside the home, and the progression of vaccination programmes. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE We found that birth trends during the COVID-19 pandemic were associated with economic uncertainty, as measured by increased inflation (p &amp;lt; 0.001), whereas unemployment did not show any link to births during the pandemic (p = 0.677). The stringency of pandemic policy interventions was linked to a postponement of births, but only in countries with lower institutional trust and only in the early phase of the pandemic (p = 0.003). In countries with higher trust, stricter containment measures were positively associated with birth rates, both for conceptions in the first year of the pandemic (p = 0.019) and, albeit only weakly significant, for conceptions later in the pandemic (p = 0.057). Furthermore, we found a negative association between the share of the population having received the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccination and total fertility rates (p &amp;lt; 0.001), whereas the share of the population having completed the primary vaccination course (usually consisting of two doses) was linked to a recovery of birth rates (p &amp;lt; 0.001). LARGE SCALE DATA N/A LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION Our research is restricted to higher-income countries with relatively strong social support policies provided by the government as well as wide access to modern contraception. Our data did not allow analyses of birth trends by key characteristics, such as age, birth order and social status. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS This is the first multi-country study of the drivers of birth trends in the later phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the past, periods following epidemics and health crises were typically associated with a recovery in births. In contrast, our results show that the gradual phasing out of pandemic containment measures, allowing increased mobility and a return to more normal work and social life, contributed to declining birth rates in some countries. In addition, our analysis indicates that some women avoided pregnancy until completion of the primary vaccination protocol. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S) This study did not use any external funding. The authors acknowledge funding from their home institution, the Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, and from the Open-Access Fund of the Austrian Academy of Sciences. For the purpose of open access, the authors have applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript versions arising from this submission. All authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

How structural racism, neighborhood deprivation, and maternal characteristics contribute to inequities in birth outcomes.

Decades of disparities in health between infants born to Black and White mothers have persisted in recent years, despite policy initiatives to improve maternal and reproductive health for Black mothers. Although scholars have increasingly recognized the critical role that structural racism plays in driving health outcomes for Black people, measurement of this relationship remains challenging. This study examines trends in preterm birth and low birth weight between 2007 and 2018 separately for births to Black and White mothers. Using a multivariate regression model, we evaluated potential factors, including an index of racialized disadvantage as well as community- and individual-level factors that serve as proxy measures for structural racism, that may contribute to White-Black differences in infant health. Finally, we assessed whether unequal effects of these factors may explain differences in birth outcomes. We found that differences in the effects of these factors appear to explain about half of the underlying disparity in infant health.

First-line infertility treatment in normal or subnormal sperm: Interest of a simplified pre-IMSI test.

In the field of male infertility, when sperm is normal/subnormal, a few "add-on" routine tests can complete the basic semen examination. The aim of this study was to develop and evaluate a faster, simplified motile sperm organelle morphology examination (MSOME) technique for selected infertile patients with apparently normal/subnormal sperm and, in their background: failure of two or three intrauterine insemination (IUI) cycles, repeatedly fragmented embryos, embryonic development to blastocyst-stage failures, repeated miscarriages, a long period of infertility or 2 or more IVF attempts without pregnancy. Our test results were correlated with IUI, conventional in vitro fertilization (IVF), intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) and intracytoplasmic morphologically selected sperm injection (IMSI) outcomes. We validated an adapted version of the MSOME analysis called the pre-IMSI test (PIT), based on vacuole evaluation alone. 248 infertile patients from our assisted reproductive technology (ART) Center were retrospectively selected and split into three PIT score subgroups (patients with ≤8% (score I), 9 to 15% (score II) and ≥16% normal spermatozoa (score III)) based on the correlation between PIT results and each ART technique outcome. The choice of one or another of these ART techniques had been made according to the usual clinico-biological criteria. Clinical outcomes for each of the three PIT subgroups were compared individually for the different ART techniques. For ICSI, the effect of the PIT score subgroup was significant for clinical pregnancies (p = 0.0054) and presented a trend for live births (p = 0.0614). Miscarriage rates of IVF attempts were statistically different depending on the PIT score (p = 0.0348). Furthermore, the odds ratios of clinical pregnancy rates were significantly different according to PIT score subgroup when comparing ICSI vs. IMSI or IVF vs. ICSI attempts. IMSI appears to be recommended when sperm belongs to PIT score I, ICSI when it belongs to PIT score II and IVF or IUI when sperm is of PIT score III quality in selected infertile couples. The lack of statistical power in these PIT subgroups means that we must remain cautious in interpreting results. Our results support the interest of this simplified test for certain couples with normal/subnormal sperm to help choose the most efficient ART technique, even as first-line treatment.

How have changes in accessibility and public funding influenced contraceptive use among Norwegian adolescents? A cohort study.

The Norwegian Government introduced in 2002 a reimbursement scheme for hormonal contraceptives to adolescents at the same time as public health nurses and midwives received authorization to prescribe hormonal contraceptives. This study examines the impact of increased accessibility and public funding on hormonal contraceptive use among adolescents. The Norwegian Prescription Database, Statistics Norway, and Norwegian Institute of Public Health served as data sources for this cohort study. The study population comprised 174 653 Norwegian women born 1989-1990, 1994-1995, and 1999-2000. We examined use of hormonal contraceptives through dispensed prescriptions from age 12 through age 19 with duration of first continuous use as primary outcome. The statistical analyses were done in SPSS using chi-squared test, survival analysis, and Joinpoint regression analysis with p-values < 0.05. By age 19, ~75% of the cohorts had used at least one hormonal method. The main providers of the first prescription were general practitioners and public health nurses. Starters of progestogen-only pills (POPs) have increased across the cohorts, while starters of combined oral contraceptives (COCs) have decreased. The use of long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs) has increased since its inclusion in the reimbursement scheme (2015). Most switchers shifted from COCs or POPs as a start method to implants after LARCs became part of the reimbursement scheme. There has been a significant increase across the cohorts in the number of women who continuously used hormonal contraceptives from start to the end of the calendar year they became 19 years with the same method and after switching methods. We could not correlate changes in decreasing trends for teenage births or induced abortions (Joinpoint analysis) to time for implementation or changes in the reimbursement of hormonal contraceptives from 2002. Primarily public health nurses and to a lesser extent midwives became soon after they received authorization to prescribe COCs important providers. The expansion of the reimbursement scheme to cover POPs, patches, vaginal ring, and depot medroxyprogesterone acetate in 2006 had minor impact on increasing the proportion of long-term first-time users. However, the inclusion of LARCs in 2015 significantly increased the proportion of long-term first-time hormonal contraceptive users.

Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Risk Factors for All and Severity-Specific Preterm Births in Southern China, 2014-2021: Large Population-Based Study.

The worldwide incidence of preterm births is increasing, and the risks of adverse outcomes for preterm infants significantly increase with shorter gestation, resulting in a substantial socioeconomic burden. Limited epidemiological studies have been conducted in China regarding the incidence and spatiotemporal trends of preterm births. Seasonal variations in risk indicate the presence of possible modifiable factors. Gender influences the risk of preterm birth. This study aims to assess the incidence rates of preterm birth, very preterm birth, and extremely preterm birth; elucidate their spatiotemporal distribution; and investigate the risk factors associated with preterm birth. We obtained data from the Guangdong Provincial Maternal and Child Health Information System, spanning from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2021, pertaining to neonates with gestational ages ranging from 24 weeks to 42 weeks. The primary outcome measures assessed variations in the rates of different preterm birth subtypes over the course of the study, such as by year, region, and season. Furthermore, we examined the relationship between preterm birth incidence and per capita gross domestic product (GDP), simultaneously analyzing the contributing risk factors. The analysis incorporated data from 13,256,743 live births. We identified 754,268 preterm infants and 12,502,475 full-term infants. The incidences of preterm birth, very preterm birth, and extremely preterm birth were 5.69 per 100 births, 4.46 per 1000 births, and 4.83 per 10,000 births, respectively. The overall incidence of preterm birth increased from 5.12% in 2014 to 6.38% in 2021. The incidence of extremely preterm birth increased from 4.10 per 10,000 births in 2014 to 8.09 per 10,000 births in 2021. There was a positive correlation between the incidence of preterm infants and GDP per capita. In more developed economic regions, the incidence of preterm births was higher. Furthermore, adjusted odds ratios revealed that advanced maternal age, multiple pregnancies, and male infants were associated with an increased risk of preterm birth, whereas childbirth in the autumn season was associated with a protective effect against preterm birth. The incidence of preterm birth in southern China exhibited an upward trend, closely linked to enhancements in the care capabilities for high-risk pregnant women and critically ill newborns. With the recent relaxation of China's 3-child policy, coupled with a temporary surge in advanced maternal age and multiple pregnancies, the risk of preterm birth has risen. Consequently, there is a pressing need to augment public health investments aimed at mitigating the risk factors associated with preterm birth, thereby alleviating the socioeconomic burden it imposes.

ДИНАМИКА И ТЕНДЕНЦИИ ЗАБОЛЕВАЕМОСТИ БЕРЕМЕННЫХ, РОЖЕНИЦ И РОДИЛЬНИЦ В РЕСПУБЛИКЕ ДАГЕСТАН

Abstract. Introduction. In accordance with the concept of Russia’s demographic policy for the period until 2025, the priorities include reducing the level of reproductive losses, strengthening the reproductive health of the population, and finding reserves to increase birth rates. Aim of the study is to analyze the dynamics and trends in birth, and morbidity rates among pregnant women, women in labor, and postpartum, as well as maternal mortality in the Republic of Dagestan. Materials and Methods. Materials were taken from official statistical reports for the period 2013-2022. The above rates were compared for the Republic of Dagestan, the North Caucasus Federal District, and the Russian Federation as a whole. In analyzing time series, the main trends in rates changing were identified by modeling trends using the approximation method. Results and Discussion. In 2013-2022, the birth rates in the Republic of Dagestan were constantly higher than in the comparison territories. At the same time, among the constituent regions of the North Caucasian Federal District, the Republic of Dagestan ranked 3rd out of 7 in terms of birth rates in 2022. The structure of morbidity among pregnant women in the North Caucasian Federal District, the Russian Federation as a whole, and the Republic of Dagestan is very similar, and the most common are the threat of miscarriage and premature birth. The proportion of normal births in the Republic of Dagestan during the entire observation period was lower than in other territories, but unlike the latter, it had a statistically significant upward trend. At the same time, in the structure of morbidity among women in labor and postpartum, about a half was accounted for by pre-existing hypertension, approximately 1/3 was accounted for by moderate preeclampsia, and 1/10 was accounted for by severe preeclampsia. Maternal mortality in the Republic had significant year-over-year fluctuations and most often exceeded the relevant rates in the territories of comparison. Conclusions. Organizational and managerial decisions aimed at improving the medical and demographic situation in the Republic must be developed and implemented taking into account the current trends in the rates of birth and morbidity among pregnant women, women in labor and postpartum, as well as in the maternal mortality rates.

Trends in preterm birth in women living with HIV in Switzerland over the last three decades: A multicentric, prospective, cohort study.

HIV infection and its management during pregnancy to reduce perinatal transmission has been associated with preterm birth (PTB). This management has drastically changed. We aimed to evaluate changes in rates of PTB over 34 years in women living with HIV (WLWH) in Switzerland, and to identify factors and interventions associated with these changes. We analysed data from 1238 singleton pregnancies, prospectively collected by the Swiss Mother and Child HIV Cohort Study (MoCHiV) and the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) between 1986 and 2020. Rates of PTB in this cohort were compared with that of the general Swiss population for three time periods according to changing treatment strategies recommended at the time. We evaluated the association of PTB with sociodemographic, HIV infection and obstetric variables in uni- and multivariate logistic regression. Rate of PTB in WLWH was highest prior to 2010 (mean 20.4%), and progressively decreased since then (mean 11.3%), but always remained higher than in the general population (5%). Older maternal age, lower CD4 count and detectable viraemia at third trimester (T3), drug consumption and mode of delivery were all significantly associated with both PTB and period of study in univariate analysis. There was no association between PTB and type of antiretroviral regimen. No difference was found in the rate of spontaneous labor between PTB and term delivery groups. Only higher CD4 count at T3 and vaginal delivery were significantly associated with a decrease in PTB over time in multivariate analysis. Preterm birth in WLWH in Switzerland has drastically decreased over the last three decades, but remains twice the rate of that in the general population. Improved viral control and changes in mode of delivery (vaginal birth recommended if viral loads are low near birth) have led to this progress.

Trends in gestational age at live birth in Scotland from 2005 to 2019: a population-based study

Background Gestation at birth is associated with short and long-term outcomes. This study used high quality, national, administrative data to examine trends in gestation at birth in Scotland. Methods This observational study used maternity hospital discharge records for 2005 to 2019 to determine trends in the percentage of live births that were preterm (&lt;37 weeks gestation), term (37–41 weeks), and post-term (≥42 weeks), overall and by maternal age and deprivation category. Preterm births were further examined by category of preterm birth (moderate to late [32–36 weeks]; very [28–31 weeks]; extremely [&lt;28 weeks] preterm), and onset of labour (spontaneous; provider-initiated). Singleton and multiple births were examined separately. Aggregate logistic regression was used to estimate the annual change in the odds of a birth being in a specified gestational category. Results The percentage of singleton births in Scotland that were preterm decreased from 2005 (6.5%, 3,361/51,665) to 2010 (5.8%, 3268/56344), then increased to 2019 (7.2%, 3,408/47,507). The percentage of singleton births that were spontaneous moderate to late, very, and extremely preterm all increased between 2010 and 2019. The percentage of singleton births that were provider-initiated moderate to late preterm also increased between 2010 and 2019, however provider-initiated very or extremely preterm birth decreased. The percentage of singleton births that were preterm increased over time across all maternal age and deprivation categories, with increases greatest in groups at highest baseline risk. The percentage of singleton births that were post-term increased from 2005 to 2009, then decreased to 2019. Conclusions There has been an increase in spontaneous preterm birth from 2010 to 2019, which is not fully explained by changes in maternal age or deprivation. Further research to examine the contribution of other, preventable, risk factors is warranted. Trends in provider-initiated preterm birth, and post-term birth, are likely to reflect changing clinical practice.

Effect of postpartum depression and role of infant feeding practices on relative weight of child at 1 and 3 years of age

BackgroundChildhood obesity has increased and is considered one of the most serious public health challenges of the 21st century globally, and may be exacerbated by postpartum depression (PPD). The purpose of this study was to examine the association between PPD at 1st and 6th month postpartum, infant feeding practices, and body mass index (BMI) z-score of the child at one and three years of age.MethodsThis study used data from an ongoing prospective maternal-child birth cohort performed at the National Center for Child Health and Development (NCCHD) in suburban Tokyo, Japan with the period of recruitment from May 13, 2010 to November 28, 2013. Out of 2,309 total number of mothers, 1,279 mother–child dyads were assessed in the study. We performed multivariable linear regression analysis to examine the association between PPD and child’s BMI z-score stratified by the child’s age at 1 year and 3 years of age.ResultsThe prevalence of PPD at 1 month postpartum (17%) was found to be higher than at 6 months (12%). In multivariable linear regression analysis we observed that children at 3 years who had mothers with PPD at 6 months had, on average, a BMI z-score 0.25 higher than children of mothers who did not have PPD at 6 months (ß coefficient 0.25, 95% CI [0.04 to 0.46], p value 0.02), holding all other covariates constant. Also, initiation of weaning food when child is at six months of age was associated with higher BMI z-score of the child at 3 years after adjusting for all covariates (ß coefficient = 0.18, 95% CI [0.03 to 0.34], p-value < 0.05).ConclusionThe significant association between PPD at 6 months and child’s BMI z-score at 3 years of age, in conjunction with birth trends and high prevalence of PPD, can add to the body of evidence that there is need for multiple assessment across the first postpartum year to rule out PPD as early screening and early interventions may benefit both maternal health and child development outcomes. These findings can indicate the need for establishing support systems for care-giving activities for mothers with PPD.

Identifies Current Trends in Vaginal Birth after Cesarean Section in IRAN: A Qualitative Study.

The growing prevalence of Cesarean Sections (CS), particularly repeated CS, is a major issue in contemporary midwifery. This study seeks to gain a comprehensive understanding of the experiences of pregnant women and specialists with vaginal delivery after CS, as well as the obstacles that may arise. From March 2020 to May 2021, 10 women, 12 midwives, and 8 obstetricians and obstetricians affiliated with Qom University of Medical Sciences were interviewed to investigate the experiences and challenges associated with Vaginal Birth After Cesarean section (VBAC). We used the content analysis method, and the sampling was purposive. Semi-structured interviews were conducted to collect data, which were then analyzed using qualitative content analysis based on conventional content analysis. The results show that subcategories "individual aspects of VBAC" and "family-social aspects of VBAC" formed "positive aspects of VBAC." Subcategories "self-efficacy" and "decision-making participation" formed the "empowerment for the woman." Subcategories "technical team challenges" and "woman's challenges" formed the main category of "upcoming challenges." Positive relationships, choice-making ability, and self-confidence impact a woman's decision to choose VBAC. Informing women of alternative delivery options after a CS and pursuing their dreams increases the likelihood of successful VBAC.