Functional Trajectories Research Articles

Source apportionment of atmospheric ammonia in suburban Beijing revealed through 15N-stable isotopes

Addressing the urgent issue of atmospheric ammonia (NH3) emissions is crucial in combating poor air quality in megacities. Previous research has highlighted the significant contribution of nonagricultural sources, particularly fossil fuel emissions, to urban NH3 levels. However, there is limited assessment of NH3 dynamics in suburban areas. This study focuses on four suburban sites in Beijing, covering a 16 to 22-month observation period, to investigate spatial and temporal patterns of NH3 concentrations. The δ15N-stable isotope method is employed to identify NH3 sources and their contributions. Our results demonstrate that agricultural sources (53 %) dominate atmospheric NH3 emissions in suburban areas of Beijing, surpassing nonagricultural sources, and primarily emanate from local sources. Notably, fertilizer application (37 ± 11 %) and livestock breeding (32 ± 6 %) emerge as the primary contributors in summer and spring, respectively, leading to significantly elevated NH3 concentrations during these seasons. Even in autumn and winter, both agricultural (49 %) and nonagricultural (51 %) sources contribute almost equally to NH3 emissions. This study emphasizes the need for coordinated efforts to control atmospheric NH3 pollution in Beijing City, with particular attention to addressing both vehicular and agricultural emissions.

Female baboon adrenal zona fasciculata and zona reticularis regulatory and functional proteins decrease across the life course.

Debate exists on life-course adrenocortical zonal function trajectories. Rapid, phasic blood steroid concentration changes, such as circadian rhythms and acute stress responses, complicate quantification. To avoid pitfalls and account for life-stage changes in adrenocortical activity indices, we quantified zonae fasciculata (ZF) and reticularis (ZR) across the life-course, by immunohistochemistry of key regulatory and functional proteins. In 28 female baboon adrenals (7.5-22.1years), we quantified 12 key proteins involved in cell metabolism, division, proliferation, steroidogenesis (including steroid acute regulatory protein, StAR), oxidative stress, and glucocorticoid and mitochondrial function. Life-course abundance of ten ZF proteins decreased with age. Cell cycle inhibitor and oxidative stress markers increased. Seven of the 12 proteins changed in the same direction for ZR and ZF. Importantly, ZF StAR decreased, while ZR StAR was unchanged. Findings indicate ZF function decreased, and less markedly ZR function, with age. Causes and aging consequences of these changes remain to be determined.

Social participation and functional disability trajectories in the last three years of life: The Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study

BackgroundFunctional disability has various patterns from onset until death. Although social participation is a known protective factor against functional disability among older individuals, it is unclear whether social participation is associated with the trajectory patterns of functional disability prior to death. This study assessed the association between social participation, specifically in horizontal and vertical groups, and the trajectories of functional disability prior to death. MethodsWe used survey data from the 2010 Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study for functionally independent older adults combined with public long-term care insurance system data from 2010 to 2016 (n = 4,502). The outcome variables included five previously identified trajectory patterns using group-based trajectory modeling. As the explanatory variable, we used three definitions of social participation: any group, horizontal group (e.g., sports, hobbies), or vertical group (e.g., political, religious), at least once a month. We used a multinomial logistic regression analysis to calculate odds ratios with 95 % confidence intervals for the identified trajectory patterns. ResultsParticipation in any groups was significantly less likely to belong to “Accelerated disability” (OR=0.74 [95 % CIs 0.60–0.92]), “Persistently mild disability” (0.68 [0.55–0.84]), and “Persistently severe disability” (0.67 [0.50–0.83]) compared to “Minimum disability.” Although participation in horizontal groups was similarly associated with trajectories regardless of gender, vertical groups was not associated with trajectories among males. ConclusionsSocial participation among older adults may be associated with an extended period of living without disabilities before death. This association may differ by gender and social participation group and requires further research.

Gender Differences in the Incidence of Nephropathy and Changes in Renal Function in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

This research aims to examine and scrutinize gender variations in the incidence of diabetic nephropathy (DN) and the trajectory of renal function in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. We conducted a retrospective cohort study that enrolled 1549 patients diagnosed with T2DM from May 2015 to July 2023. We separately compared the clinical characteristics of male and female participants with and without DN. We utilized the Kaplan-Meier method to examine the cumulative incidence of DN among T2DM patients of varying genders. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to evaluate the correlation between various factors and the risk of DN incidence. Multiple linear regression was utilized to investigate the relationship between ΔeGFR% and each factor. Logistic regression with cubic spline function and smooth curve fitting was employed to analyze the nonlinear link between ΔeGFR% and the risk of DN among participants of different genders. The prevalence of DN was higher in female participants (17.31%) than in male participants (12.62%), with a significant cumulative risk ratio (1.33 [1.02-1.73], P = 0.034). Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that creatinine, female gender, blood urea nitrogen, alkaline phosphatase, and total cholesterol had a significant impact on ΔeGFR% in T2DM patients, with standardized β coefficients of -0.325, -0.219, -0.164, -0.084, and 0.071, respectively. The restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrated a strong negative association between ΔeGFR% and the risk of developing DN (P < 0.001). Both male and female patients with T2DM had a higher prevalence of DN over the 5-year follow-up period. However, women had a greater risk of developing DN and a faster decline in renal function compared to men.

Physical health and function trajectories in adults with cancer: psychosocial predictors of class membership.

To prospectively examine different trajectories of recovery, across different aspects of physical health and function and to examine trajectory class membership. This prospective study enrolled 569 recently diagnosed adult cancer patients (Mage = 58.7) between 2019 and 2022 identified through the Rapid Case Ascertainment resource of The Yale Cancer Center. Patients were diagnosed with breast (63.8%), prostate (25.3%), or colorectal cancer (10.9%) within six-months of baseline assessment. Participants completed comprehensive psychosocial and health survey measures (SF-12) through REDCap at five time points. Growth mixture modeling examined unconditional distinct trajectories for four aspects of physical health and function. We fit logistic regression and multinomial logistic regression models to estimate associations between psychosocial predictors of trajectory class membership for each of the four aspects. We identified distinct trajectories of physical health and function. Over one-third (38.4%) of the sample experienced low and declining scores in their ability to accomplish work/regular daily activities due to physical health. Over half (54.9%) demonstrate moderately stable general health with no improvement over time. A small but significant subset of the sample (3%, 5.7%, 5%) was in the moderate and declining groups with sharp decline in physical function, bodily pain, and general health, after treatment. Different predictors of trajectory class membership were also found. Our results showed heterogeneity in physical health and function trajectories and different patterns of predictors for each aspect of physical health and function. Findings have the potential to inform screening and intervention efforts to help those who may need additional support.

Lung Function Trajectories in Mild COVID-19 With 2-year Follow-up.

The long-term pulmonary sequelae of mild coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains unknown. In this study, we aimed to characterize lung function trajectories in individuals with mild COVID-19 from preinfection to 2 years postinfection. We reinvited participants 2 years after infection from our matched cohort study of the Copenhagen General Population who had initially been examined 5.4 months after infection. We repeated lung tests and questionnaires. Linear mixed models were used to estimate dynamics in lung volumes in individuals with COVID-19 patients versus uninfected controls over two intervals: from pre-infection to 6 months postinfection and 6 months postinfection to 2 years postinfection. 52 individuals (48.6%) attended the 2-year examination at median 1.9 years (interquartile range, 1.8-2.4) after COVID-19, all with mild infection. Individuals with COVID-19 had an adjusted excess decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) of 13.0 mL per year (95% confidence interval [CI], -23.5 to -2.5; P = .02) from before infection to 6 months after infection compared to uninfected controls. From 6 to 24 months after infection, they had an excess decline of 7.5 mL per year (95% CI, -25.6-9.6; P = .40). A similar pattern was observed for forced vital capacity (FVC). Participants had a mean increase in diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLco) of 3.33 (SD 7.97) between the 6- and 24-month examination. Our results indicate that mild COVID-19 infection affects lung function at the time of infection with limited recovery 2 years after infection.

Loss of Airway Phylogenetic Diversity Is Associated with Clinical and Pathobiological Markers of Disease Development in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Rationale: The airway microbiome has the potential to shape chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) pathogenesis, but its relationship to outcomes in milder disease is unestablished. Objectives: To identify sputum microbiome characteristics associated with markers of COPD in participants of the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures of COPD Study (SPIROMICS). Methods: Sputum DNA from 877 participants was analyzed using 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing. Relationships between baseline airway microbiota composition and clinical, radiographic, and mucoinflammatory markers, including longitudinal lung function trajectory, were examined. Measurements and Main Results: Participant data represented predominantly milder disease (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stage 0-2 obstruction in 732 of 877 participants). Phylogenetic diversity (i.e., range of different species within a sample) correlated positively with baseline lung function, decreased with higher Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stage, and correlated negatively with symptom burden, radiographic markers of airway disease, and total mucin concentrations (P < 0.001). In covariate-adjusted regression models, organisms robustly associated with better lung function included Alloprevotella, Oribacterium, and Veillonella species. Conversely, lower lung function, greater symptoms, and radiographic measures of small airway disease were associated with enrichment in members of Streptococcus, Actinobacillus, Actinomyces, and other genera. Baseline sputum microbiota features were also associated with lung function trajectory during SPIROMICS follow-up (stable/improved, decline, or rapid decline groups). The stable/improved group (slope of FEV1 regression ⩾66th percentile) had greater bacterial diversity at baseline associated with enrichment in Prevotella, Leptotrichia, and Neisseria species. In contrast, the rapid decline group (FEV1 slope ⩽33rd percentile) had significantly lower baseline diversity associated with enrichment in Streptococcus species. Conclusions: In SPIROMICS, baseline airway microbiota features demonstrate divergent associations with better or worse COPD-related outcomes.

First-line therapies in a Latino-rich cohort of US patients (pts) with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and Child Pugh B (CPB) cirrhosis.

453 Background: There are limited prospective clinical trials in patients with both HCC and CPB cirrhosis. As the prevalence of HCC and cirrhosis has been rising among Latinos in South Texas, it is crucial to examine the liver dysfunction within this demographic to understand the contributing factors to treatment patterns. Therefore, we conducted a retrospective analysis of 36 patients with both HCC and Child Pugh B (CPB) cirrhosis. Methods: A dataset of 65 patients with HCC and cirrhosis from 2009 – 2019 was used to identify 36 patients with CPB treated at a Latino-Rich NCI-designated Cancer Center. We further segmented patients of Child Pugh Class B by ALBI grades (1-3) to explore variations in demographics, liver dysfunction, and first-line therapies. Results: Median age overall of the cohort is 59 (50-71). Ethnicity: Latino White (83%), Non-Latino White (14%), Black (3%). Etiology: HCV (78 %) EtOH (50%), NASH (19%), and HBV (3%). ALBI Grade: I (6%), II (50%), III (44%). First line treatment in CPB: Sorafenib (86%), Nivolumab (8%), Lenvatinib (6%). Sorafenib was used across all ALBI grades, while Lenvatinib and Nivolumab were given only in ALBI II (Table). Conclusions: Sorafenib was more often given to patients with CPB cirrhosis, in the first line setting; however, more patients were treated with nivolumab or lenvatinib with ALBI II. Further investigation of survival based on ALBI levels and the trajectory of liver function over time in response to different treatment approaches is underway in a larger cohort who has received newer immunotherapy-based regimens. With more agents approved for HCC, prospective clinical trials are needed in CPB and HCC. [Table: see text]

Predicting CKD progression using time-series clustering and light gradient boosting machines

Predicting the transition of kidney function in chronic kidney disease is difficult as specific symptoms are lacking and often overlooked, and progress occurs due to complicating factors. In this study, we applied time-series cluster analysis and a light gradient boosting machine to predict the trajectories of kidney function in non-dialysis dependent chronic kidney disease patients with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) ≥ 45 mL/min/1.73 m2. Based on 5-year changes in estimated GFR, participants were stratified into groups with similar trajectories by cluster analysis. Next, we applied the light gradient boosting machine algorithm and Shapley addictive explanation to develop a prediction model for clusters and identify important parameters for prediction. Data from 780 participants were available for analysis. Participants were classified into five classes (Class 1: n = 78, mean [± standard deviation] estimated GFR 100 ± 19.3 mL/min/1.73 m2; Class 2: n = 176, 76.0 ± 9.3 mL/min/1.73 m2; Class 3: n = 191, 59.8 ± 5.9 mL/min/1.73 m2; Class 4: n = 261, 52.7 ± 4.6 mL/min/1.73 m2; and Class 5: n = 74, 53.5 ± 12.0 mL/min/1.73 m2). Declines in estimated GFR were 8.9% in Class 1, 12.2% in Class 2, 4.9% in Class 3, 12.0% in Class 4, and 45.1% in Class 5 during the 5-year period. The accuracy of prediction was 0.675, and the top three most important Shapley addictive explanation values were 1.61 for baseline estimated GFR, 0.12 for hemoglobin, and 0.11 for body mass index. The estimated GFR transition of patients with preserved chronic kidney disease mostly depended on baseline estimated GFR, and the borderline for estimated GFR trajectory was nearly 50 mL/min/1.73 m2.

One-Year Disability Trajectories and Long-Term Cardiovascular Events, Recurrent Stroke, and Mortality After Ischemic Stroke.

Patients with stroke are often affected by varying degrees of functional disability and have different evolution patterns in functional disability. However, little is known about the predictive usefulness of disability changes after stroke. We aimed to describe 1-year disability trajectories and to assess the associations of longitudinal disability trajectories with 24-month clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke. A total of 3533 patients with ischemic stroke from CATIS (China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke) were studied. Distinct trajectories of disability were identified by the group-based trajectory model, as measured by modified Rankin Scale score within 12 months. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the associations of disability trajectories with 24-month cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. We identified 4 distinct disability trajectories: no significant disability (562 participants [15.9%]), slight disability to recovery (1575 participants [44.6%]), severe to moderate disability (1087 participants [30.8%]), and persistent severe disability (309 participants [8.7%]). Compared with no significant disability trajectory, the multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) of patients within the persistent heavy-severe trajectory were 2.63 (1.20-5.76) for cardiovascular events, 2.55 (1.12-5.79) for recurrent stroke, and 6.10 (2.22-16.72) for all-cause mortality; notably, the hazard ratios (95% CIs) for patients within the severe to moderate disability trajectory were 1.99 (1.01-3.94) for cardiovascular events and 1.85 (1.03-3.33) for the composite outcome of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. Functional disability trajectories within 12 months after stroke onset were associated with the risk of 24-month adverse outcomes. Patients with persistent severe disability or severe to moderate disability had higher risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01840072.

The Impact of Coronary Slow Flow Phenomenon on Diastolic Function Trajectory in Patients with Non-ST Segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome

The Impact of Coronary Slow Flow Phenomenon on Diastolic Function Trajectory in Patients with Non-ST Segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome

Convergent photophysiology and prokaryotic assemblage structure in epilithic cyanobacterial tufts and algal turf communities.

As global change spurs shifts in benthic community composition on coral reefs globally, a better understanding of the defining taxonomic and functional features that differentiate proliferating benthic taxa is needed to predict functional trajectories of reef degradation better. This is especially critical for algal groups, which feature dramatically on changing reefs. Limited attention has been given to characterizing the features that differentiate tufting epilithic cyanobacterial communities from ubiquitous turf algal assemblages. Here, we integrated an insitu assessment of photosynthetic yield with metabarcoding and shotgun metagenomic sequencing to explore photophysiology and prokaryotic assemblage structure within epilithic tufting benthic cyanobacterial communities and epilithic algal turf communities. Significant differences were not detected in the average quantum yield. However, variability in yield was significantly higher in cyanobacterial tufts. Neither prokaryotic assemblage diversity nor structure significantly differed between these functional groups. The sampled cyanobacterial tufts, predominantly built by Okeania sp., were co-dominated by members of the Proteobacteria, Firmicutes, and Bacteroidota, as were turf algal communities. Few detected ASVs were significantly differentially abundant between functional groups and consisted exclusively of taxa belonging to the phyla Proteobacteria and Firmicutes. Assessment of the distribution of recovered cyanobacterial amplicons demonstrated that alongside sample-specific cyanobacterial diversification, the dominant cyanobacterial members were conserved across tufting cyanobacterial and turf algal communities. Overall, these data suggest a convergence in taxonomic identity and mean photosynthetic potential between tufting epilithic cyanobacterial communities and algal turf communities, with numerous implications for consumer-resource dynamics on future reefs and trajectories of reef functional ecology.

Physical Function Trajectories and Mortality in Older Adults With Multisensory Impairment

Single sensory impairment is associated with reduced functional resilience and increased mortality, though the effects of multiple sensory deficits are not known. To investigate longitudinal associations of the type, severity, and number of sensory impairments with physical function trajectories and mortality in older adults. This retrospective analysis of a longitudinal cohort study, the Health, Aging, and Body Composition (Health ABC) study, incorporated data from April 1997 to July 2013, featuring a 16-year follow-up with annual examinations and questionnaires. The cohort comprised 3075 men and women, aged 70 to 79 years at baseline, residing in Memphis, Tennessee, and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. All participants with complete sensory testing and covariate data at analytical baseline (year 5, 2002) were included. The data were analyzed September 1, 2022. Visual, olfactory, auditory, and touch sensory functions were assessed between 2000 and 2002. The main outcomes included physical functioning trajectories and mortality risk. Physical function was assessed longitudinally using the Health ABC physical performance battery (HABCPPB). A total of 1825 individuals (mean [SD] age, 77.4 [3.2] years; 957 [52%] female) were included in this study. Multivariable analysis of HABCPPB decline indicated that having 1 sensory impairment (β estimate, -0.01 [95% CI, -0.02 to -0.001]); 2 sensory impairments (β estimate, -0.01 [95% CI, -0.02 to -0.01]); 3 sensory impairments (β estimate, -0.03 [95% CI, -0.04 to -0.02]); or 4 sensory impairments (β estimate, -0.04 [95% CI, -0.05,-0.03]) was significantly associated with a steeper HABCPPB score decline in a dose-dependent manner. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models indicated that having 1 sensory impairment (hazard ratio [HR], 1.35 [95% CI, 1.01-1.81]), 2 sensory impairments (HR, 1.58 [95% CI, 1.19-2.11]), 3 sensory impairments (HR, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.33-2.42]), or 4 sensory impairments (HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.39-2.79]) was significantly associated with increased mortality risk in a similarly dose-dependent manner. In this retrospective cohort study, the degree and number of multiple sensory impairments were associated with worse physical functioning and increased mortality risk. These findings represent an opportunity for further investigation into the value of screening, prevention, and treatment of sensory impairments to reduce morbidity and mortality in older adults.

Poor mobility and lower limb weakness are associated with three distinct depressive symptom trajectories over 6 years in older people.

Physical decline can be associated with the onset of depressive symptoms in later life. This study aimed to identify physical and lifestyle risk factors for depressive symptom trajectories in community-dwelling older adults. Participants were 553 people aged 70-90 years who underwent baseline physical, psychological and lifestyle assessments. Group-based trajectory analysis was used to identify patterns of depressive symptom development over 6 years of follow-up. Strengths of associations between baseline functional test performances and depressive symptom trajectories were evaluated with univariable ordinal models. Subsequently, the adjusted cumulative odds ratio for the association between identified risk factors, demographic factors and baseline anti-depressant use were measured using multivariable ordinal logistic regression. Three distinct depressive symptom trajectories were identified: a low-and-stable course (10% of participants), a low-and-increasing course (81%) and a moderate-and-increasing course (9%). Timed Up and Go test time was the strongest risk factor of depressive symptom trajectory, followed by Five Times Sit-to-Stand test performance, planned physical activity levels, and knee extension strength (adjusted standardised ORs 1.65, 95% CI 1.34-2.04; 1.44, 95% CI 1.16-1.77; 1.44, 95% CI 1.17-1.76 and 1.41, 95% CI 1.15-1.73 respectively). After adjusting for age, sex, body mass index and baseline anti-depressant use, Timed Up and Go test performance and knee extension strength were independently and significantly associated with depressive trajectories. Timed Up and Go test times, Five Times Sit-to-Stand test performance, planned physical activity levels and knee extension strength are associated with three discrete depressive symptom trajectories. These clinical tests may help identify older adults aged 70-90 years at risk of developing depressive symptoms and help guide subsequent strength and mobility interventions.

Association of social integration with cognitive function trajectories among Chinese older adults: evidence from the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS).

The prevalence of cognitive impairment among older adults remains high. It has been proven that social integration is related to cognitive function. However, limited research has examined the association of social integration and its different dimensions with cognitive function trajectories of older adults. The data were from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) spanning 2013 (T1) to 2018 (T3). A total of 3,977 older adults were included in the final analysis. Cognitive function was measured with items from an adapted Chinese version of the Mini-Mini-Mental Mental State Examination (MMSE), while the measurement of social integration included three dimensions: economic integration, relational integration and community integration. A group-based trajectory model (GBTM) was used to identify cognitive trajectory groups among participants and an unordered multinomial logistic regression was employed to explore the association of baseline social integration and its three dimensions with cognitive function trajectories. Three cognitive function trajectory groups were identified: low-decline group (24.1%), medium-decline group (44.2%) and high-stable group (31.7%). Comparing to the medium-decline trajectory group, older adults with higher social integration scores were more likely to be in the high-stable trajectory group (OR = 1.087, 95%CI: 1.007 ~ 1.174), while less likely to be in the low-decline group (OR = 0.806, 95%CI: 0.736 ~ 0.882). Among the different dimensions of social integration, older adults with higher community integration scores were more likely to be in the high-stable trajectory group (OR = 1.222, 95%CI: 1.026 ~ 1.456); Older adults with higher relational integration scores were less likely to be in the low-decline trajectory group (OR = 0.816, 95%CI: 0.734 ~ 0.906). The economic integration was not found to correlate with the cognitive function trajectories. Stratified analyses revealed that the association between community integration and cognitive trajectories was only significant among older adults aged 60 to 69, and the association between relational integration and cognitive trajectories was only significant among older adults who was agricultural household registration. The developmental trajectories of cognitive function among Chinese older adults are heterogeneous. Social integration is significantly related to the trajectories of cognitive function in Chinese older adults. Measures should be taken to promote social integration of Chinese older adults to reduce the decline of cognitive function.

Identifying and predicting physical limitation and cognitive decline trajectory group of older adults in China: A data-driven machine learning analysis

ObjectiveThis study aimed to utilize data-driven machine learning methods to identify and predict potential physical and cognitive function trajectory groups of older adults and determine their crucial factors for promoting active ageing in China. MethodsLongitudinal data on 3026 older adults from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity and Happy Family Survey was used to identify potential physical and cognitive function trajectory groups using a group-based multi-trajectory model (GBMTM). Predictors were selected from sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and physical and mental conditions. The trajectory groups were predicted using data-driven machine learning models and dynamic nomogram. Model performance was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC), area under the precision-recall curve (PRAUC), and confusion matrix. ResultsTwo physical and cognitive function trajectory groups were determined, including a trajectory group with physical limitation and cognitive decline (14.18 %) and a normal trajectory group (85.82 %). Logistic regression performed well in predicting trajectory groups (AUROC = 0.881, PRAUC = 0.649). Older adults with lower baseline score of activities of daily living, older age, less frequent housework, and fewer actual teeth were more likely to experience physical limitation and cognitive decline trajectory group. LimitationThis study didn't carry out external validation. ConclusionsThis study shows that GBMTM and machine learning models effectively identify and predict physical limitation and cognitive decline trajectory group. The identified predictors might be essential for developing targeted interventions to promote healthy ageing.

Recovery Trajectories in Children Requiring 3 or More Days of Invasive Ventilation.

To characterize health-related quality of life (HRQL) and functional recovery trajectories and risk factors for prolonged impairments among critically ill children receiving greater than or equal to 3 days of invasive ventilation. Prospective cohort study. Quaternary children's hospital PICU. Children without a preexisting tracheostomy who received greater than or equal to 3 days of invasive ventilation, survived hospitalization, and completed greater than or equal to 1 postdischarge data collection. None. We evaluated 144 children measuring HRQL using proxy-report Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory and functional status using the Functional Status Scale (FSS) reflecting preillness baseline, PICU and hospital discharge, and 1, 3, 6, and 12 months after hospital discharge. They had a median age of 5.3 years (interquartile range, 1.1-13.0 yr), 58 (40%) were female, 45 (31%) had a complex chronic condition, and 110 (76%) had normal preillness FSS scores. Respiratory failure etiologies included lung disease ( n = 49; 34%), neurologic failure ( n = 23; 16%), and septic shock ( n = 22; 15%). At 1-month postdischarge, 68 of 122 (56%) reported worsened HRQL and 35 (29%) had a new functional impairment compared with preillness baseline. This improved at 3 months to 54 (46%) and 24 (20%), respectively, and remained stable through the remaining 9 months of follow-up. We used interaction forests to evaluate relative variable importance including pairwise interactions and found that therapy consultation within 3 days of intubation was associated with better HRQL recovery in older patients and those with better preillness physical HRQL. During the postdischarge year, 76 patients (53%) had an emergency department visit or hospitalization, and 62 (43%) newly received physical, occupational, or speech therapy. Impairments in HRQL and functional status as well as health resource use were common among children with acute respiratory failure. Early therapy consultation was a modifiable characteristic associated with shorter duration of worsened HRQL in older patients.

Trajectory of lung function in diabetic adults: A 16-year follow-up study of community-based prospective cohorts.

To investigate the difference in lung function according to diabetes status in a community-based prospective study. Individuals aged 40-69 years from two community-based cohorts were followed prospectively for 16 years. A spirometer was used to evaluate lung function at baseline, and lung function tests were carried out biennially thereafter. Multivariable linear regression analysis was performed for the cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses based on diabetes status. Among the 6483 subjects, 2114 (32.6%) had prediabetes and 671 (10.4%) had diabetes. The prediabetes and diabetes groups had lower baseline % predicted values of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) (mean, -1.853; 95% confidence interval [CI] -2.715 to -0.990 for prediabetes and mean, -4.088; 95% CI -5.424 to -2.752 for diabetes) and forced vital capacity (FVC) (mean, -2.087; 95% CI -2.837 to -1.337 for prediabetes and mean, -4.622; 95% CI -5.784 to -3.460 for diabetes) compared to the normoglycemia group after adjusting for relevant covariates. The rate of decline in FEV1% predicted (mean, -0.227; 95% CI -0.366 to -0.089) and FVC % predicted (mean, -0.232; 95% CI -0.347 to -0.117) during follow-up were faster in the diabetes group than in the normoglycemia group. The diabetes group had a lower proportion of normal ventilation (ptrend = 0.048) and higher proportions of restrictive (ptrend = 0.001) and mixed (ptrend = 0.035) ventilatory disorders at the last follow-up. Diabetes is associated with a lower baseline lung function and a faster rate of deterioration.

Dysanapsis is differentially related to lung function trajectories with distinct structural and functional patterns in COPD and variable risk for adverse outcomes

Abnormal lung function trajectories are associated with increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and premature mortality; several risk factors for following these trajectories have been identified. Airway under-sizing dysanapsis (small airway lumens relative to lung size), is associated with an increased risk for COPD. The relationship between dysanapsis and lung function trajectories at risk for adverse outcomes of COPD is largely unexplored. We test the hypothesis that dysanapsis differentially affects distinct lung function trajectories associated with adverse outcomes of COPD. To identify lung function trajectories, we applied Bayesian trajectory analysis to longitudinal FEV1 and FVC Z-scores in the COPDGene Study, an ongoing longitudinal study that collected baseline data from 2007 to 2012. To ensure clinical relevance, we selected trajectories based on risk stratification for all-cause mortality and prospective exacerbations of COPD (ECOPD). Dysanapsis was measured in baseline COPDGene CT scans as the airway lumen-to-lung volume (a/l) ratio. We compared a/l ratios between trajectories and evaluated their association with trajectory assignment, controlling for previously identified risk factors. We also assigned COPDGene participants for whom only baseline data is available to their most likely trajectory and repeated our analysis to further evaluate the relationship between trajectory assignment and a/l ratio measures. We identified seven trajectories: supranormal, reference, and five trajectories at increased risk for mortality and exacerbations. Three at-risk trajectories are characterized by varying degrees of concomitant FEV1 and FVC impairments and exhibit airway predominant COPD patterns as assessed by quantitative CT imaging. These trajectories have lower a/l ratio values and increased risk for mortality and ECOPD compared to the reference trajectory. Two at-risk trajectories are characterized by disparate levels of FEV1 and FVC impairment and exhibit mixed airway and emphysema COPD patterns on quantitative CT imaging. These trajectories have markedly lower a/l ratio values compared to both the reference trajectory and airway-predominant trajectories and are at greater risk for mortality and ECOPD compared to the airway-predominant trajectories. These findings were observed among the participants with baseline-only data as well. The degree of dysanapsis appears to portend patterns of progression leading to COPD. Assignment of individuals-including those without spirometric obstruction-to distinct trajectories is possible in a clinical setting and may influence management strategies. Strategies that combine CT-assessed dysanapsis together with spirometric measures of lung function and smoke exposure assessment are likely to further improve trajectory assignment accuracy, thereby improving early detection of those most at risk for adverse outcomes. United States National Institute of Health, COPD Foundation, and Brigham and Women's Hospital.

Associations between resting heart rate and cognitive decline in Chinese oldest old individuals: a longitudinal cohort study

BackgroundThe trajectories of cognitive function in the oldest old individuals is unclear, and the relationship between resting heart rate (RHR) and cognitive decline is controversial.Methods3300 participants who had cognitive function repeatedly measured 4 ~ 8 times were included, and latent class growth mixed models were used to identified the cognitive function trajectories. Cognitive decline was defined by the trajectory shapes, considering level and slope. After excluding individuals with sinus rhythm abnormal, 3109 subjects were remained and were divided into five groups by their RHR. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the relationship between RHR and cognitive decline.ResultsThree distinct cognitive function trajectory groups were identified: high-stable (n = 1226), medium-decreasing (n = 1526), and rapid-decreasing (n = 357). Individuals of medium/rapid-decreasing group were defined as cognitive decline. Adjusting for covariates, the odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of RHR sub-groups were 1.19 (0.69, 2.05), 1.27 (1.03, 1.56), 1.30 (1.01, 1.67) and 1.62 (1.07, 2.47) for those RHR < 60 bpm, 70 ~ 79 bpm, 80 ~ 89 bpm and > 90 bpm respectively, compared with those RHR 60 ~ 69 bpm. The interaction effect between RHR and physical activity (PA) on cognitive decline was found, and stratification analysis was presented that higher RHR would only show risk effects on cognitive decline in those with physical inactivity (P < 0.05 for all).ConclusionsOur study demonstrates RHR more than 70 bpm present significant risk effect on cognitive decline, and this relationship is modified by PA. Elder population with physical inactivity and higher RHR should be paid more attention to prevent cognitive decline.