Traditional Statistical Models Research Articles

Forecasting Wind–Photovoltaic Energy Production and Income with Traditional and ML Techniques

Hybrid production plants harness diverse climatic sources for electricity generation, playing a crucial role in the transition to renewable energies. This study aims to forecast the profitability of a combined wind–photovoltaic energy system. Here, we develop a model that integrates predicted spot prices and electricity output forecasts, incorporating relevant climatic variables to enhance accuracy. The jointly modeled climatic variables and the spot price constitute one of the innovative aspects of this work. Regarding practical application, we considered a hypothetical wind–photovoltaic plant located in Italy and used the relevant climate series to determine the quantity of energy produced. We forecast the quantity of energy as well as income through machine learning techniques and more traditional statistical and econometric models. We evaluate the results by splitting the dataset into estimation windows and test windows, and using a backtesting technique. In particular, we found evidence that ML regression techniques outperform results obtained with traditional econometric models. Regarding the models used to achieve this goal, the objective is not to propose original models but to verify the effectiveness of the most recent machine learning models for this important application, and to compare them with more classic linear regression techniques.

Grey Relation System Applications in Multi-Attribute Decision-Making and Forecasting in Financial Management

Objective: The objective of the paper is to verify the Grey relation analysis methods and compare them with known models in financial management. The first part is devoted to MADM (multi-attribute decision methods) and the second one to grey forecasting methods. Method: Localization GRA and globalization GRA multi-criteria models are described and compared with the TOPSIS method. The forecasting GRA(1,1) model based on cumulative data is described, derived and compared with the linear growth model. The models are verified on the data set. Results and Discussion: The globalisation model based on a pair-wise comparison of alternatives is different, and the ranking of alternatives is fully different in comparison with the TOPSIS model. It was found that the localisation GRA model and TOPSIS, both constructed on similarity measures, present similar and comparable results. So, the grey relation approach considers the uncertainty of input data. The forecasting model GRA(1,1) is computed and compared with the growth model. Results show that the growth model is the trendy model, and the non-trendy series is overestimated or underestimated, so the GRA model looks more robust. Research Implications: The problem of imprecise data is investigated. And it is a realistic condition for practical decision-making. The problem of lack of data is often a phenomenon in decision-making. Traditional statistical methods cannot be applied. Therefore, grey relation methodology is one approach to overcoming the problem of imprecise data and lack of data. Uncertainty and lack of data problems are topics important for research and the managerial community. Originality/Value: Sometimes, in financial decision-making, high-quality data or long-term time series is not at our disposal, and on the other hand, decisions have to be made. This problem is often neglected and solved by not-relevant traditional statistical models. Therefore, methods that allow the solving of such problems are useful. It was shown that a grey relation methodology for multicriteria financial performance evaluation and forecasting shows more robust and stable results and could be more relevant for imprecise data or short time series data in financial decision-making problems.

Intricate Supply Chain Demand Forecasting Based on Graph Convolution Network

Globalization has contributed to the increasing complexity of supply chain structures. In this regard, precise demand forecasting for the intricate supply chain holds paramount importance in effective supply chain management. Traditional statistical models and deep learning methods often face challenges in efficiently discerning correlations within a myriad of interconnected demands. To tackle this issue, this paper proposes an intricate supply chain demand forecasting method based on graph convolution networks adept at handling non-Euclidean data. First, the companies within the supply chain are treated as nodes in the graph structure, and the relationships between them are treated as edges, with demand data serving as the features of these edges. Then, a graph convolutional network is constructed to aggregate node and edge information. Through a multi-layer network, the relationships among nodes, edges, and historical demand are established to facilitate the prediction of supply chain demands. In this process, the graph convolutional network incorporates supply chain connectivity information into demand time series analysis. This integration of surface-level topological features and deeper latent correlation attributes across the supply chain’s nodes refines the demand forecasting precision across the entire supply chain. The validation experiment in this paper is grounded in sales data of a singular product from multiple sales nodes of an electronics company. The results demonstrate that the proposed method surpasses four other traditional demand forecasting algorithms significantly in terms of accuracy, providing substantial evidence for the superior performance of graph networks in the analysis of intricate supply chain relationships.

Application of Computational Intelligence to Determine the Effect of Different Shear Bar Positions on Chopping Length and Specific Cutting Energy Consumption in the Chopping of Silage Sorghum

ABSTRACTFlail forage harvesting machines are disadvantageous compared to other silage machines because of the uneven length of the chop obtained, the low distribution of the appropriate chopping length in the entire chopped material, and the high energy consumption. This issue is tackled by employing artificial neural networks (ANN), which serve as versatile mathematical instruments capable of capturing data. In this article, six different knife peripheral speeds (KPS) and three different shear bar (SB) positions were tested to determine the combination of KPS and SB positions that increased the proportion of suitable chopping length (CL) for silage and decreased the specific cutting energy consumption (SCEC) among all chopped material. The results have shown that, depending on the increase in KPS, the average CL varied between 165.28, 127.30, 100.24, 83.55, 77.06, and 65.09 mm. Depending on no shear bar (), shear bar positioned parallel to the feed unit (), and shear bar positioned at an angle of 45° to the feed unit () the average CL was determined as 114.73, 99.65, and 94.88 mm, respectively. Depending on the increase in KPS, the SCEC values vary between 0.97, 1.49, 1.89, 2.20, 3.05, and 4.12 kWh t−1. Depending on , , and the SCEC values were determined as 1.64, 3.05, and 2.17 kWh t−1, respectively. The effects of KPS and SB positions on CL and SCEC were statistically very significant (p < 0.001). An ANN model with a 3‐(5‐5)‐1 architecture, utilizing a backpropagation learning algorithm, was developed to forecast SCEC. This model outperformed traditional statistical models and was constructed using data on KPS, SB, and CL. The ANN model exhibited the highest efficiency, outperforming the polynomial models. In this particular ANN model, key metrics such as coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean error (ε) (0.9970%, 0.0159%, and 3.86% respectively) are significantly positive. This research convincingly demonstrated the efficacy of ANN in accurately predicting SCEC, leveraging data on KPS, SB, and average CL.

Integrated Systematic Framework for Forecasting China’s Consumer Confidence: A Machine Learning Approach

This study aims to introduce a novel approach for predicting China’s consumer confidence index (CCI), a key economic indicator that reflects consumers’ confidence in current and future economic conditions. While traditional statistical models and economic indicators are the primary tools for forecasting CCI, their reliance on linear assumptions limits their ability to capture the complex, dynamic relationships inherent in economic systems. In response, this study proposes a two-step method that integrates social network analysis (SNA) and machine learning (ML) to enhance prediction accuracy by accounting for the nonlinear interactions and systemic interdependencies that drive consumer confidence. The use of SNA enables the identification of critical variables and their interconnected roles in shaping consumer sentiment, while ML models, specifically the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), leverage these relationships to provide more precise predictions. Utilizing monthly data from 1999 to 2023, the combined SNA and GBDT approach significantly improves the accuracy of CCI forecasts, particularly during periods of high volatility. The results of this study hold substantial value for policymakers, market analysts, and economists, as they offer a systems-oriented framework for economic forecasting. By demonstrating the effectiveness of combining SNA with ML technologies, this research not only advances the methodological toolkit for economic forecasting, but also provides a new lens through which the complex, adaptive nature of economic systems can be better understood and managed. This integrated approach paves the way for future developments in forecasting models that more accurately reflect the evolving dynamics of consumer confidence in a rapidly changing economic environment.

Predicting long-term mortality of patients with postoperative acute kidney injury following noncardiac general anesthesia surgery using machine learning.

This study addresses the gap in knowledge regarding the long-term mortality implications of postoperative acute kidney injury (PO-AKI) utilizing advanced machine learning techniques to predict outcomes more accurately than traditional statistical models. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from seven institutions between March 2009 and December 2019. Machine learning models were developed to predict all-cause mortality of PO-AKI patients using 23 preoperative variables and one postoperative variable. Model performance was compared to a traditional statistical approach with Cox regression analysis. The concordance index was used as a predictive performance metric to compare prediction capabilities among different models. Among 199,403 patients, 2,105 developed PO-AKI. During a median follow-up of 144 months (interquartile range, 99.61-170.71 months), 472 in-hospital deaths occurred. Subjects with PO-AKI had a significantly lower survival rate than those without PO-AKI (p < 0.001). For predicting mortality, the XGBoost with an accelerated failure time model had the highest concordance index (0.7521), followed by random survival forest (0.7371), multivariable Cox regression model (0.7318), survival support vector machine (0.7304), and gradient boosting (0.7277). XGBoost with an accelerated failure time model was developed in this study to predict long-term mortality associated with PO-AKI. Its performance was superior to conventional models. The application of machine learning techniques may offer a promising approach to predict mortality following PO-AKI more accurately, providing a basis for developing targeted interventions and clinical guidelines to improve patient outcomes.

A Deep Learning Automatic Speech Recognition Model for Shona Language

This study presented the development of a deep learning-based Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) system for Shona, a low-resource language characterized by unique tonal and grammatical complexities. The research aimed to address the challenges posed by limited training data, a lack of labelled data, and the intricate tonal nuances present in Shona speech, with the objective of achieving significant improvements in recognition accuracy compared to traditional statistical models. Motivated by the limitations of existing approaches, the research addressed three key questions. Firstly, it explored the feasibility of using deep learning to develop an accurate ASR system for Shona. Secondly, it investigated the specific challenges involved in designing and implementing deep learning architectures for Shona speech recognition and proposed strategies to mitigate these challenges. Lastly, it compared the performance of the deep learning-based model with existing statistical models in terms of accuracy. The developed ASR system utilized a hybrid architecture consisting of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for acoustic modelling and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for language modelling. To overcome the scarcity of data, the research employed data augmentation techniques and transfer learning. Attention mechanisms were also incorporated to accommodate the tonal nature of Shona speech. The resulting ASR system achieved impressive results, with a Word Error Rate (WER) of 29%, Phoneme Error Rate (PER) of 12%, and an overall accuracy of 74%. These metrics indicated a significant improvement over existing statistical models, highlighting the potential of deep learning to enhance ASR accuracy for under-resourced languages like Shona. This research contributed to the advancement of ASR technology for under-resourced languages like Shona, ultimately fostering improved accessibility and communication for Shona speakers worldwide.

Efficient physics-informed transfer learning to quantify biochemical traits of winter wheat from UAV multispectral imagery

Accurate and efficient estimation of biochemical traits, including leaf index area (LAI), leaf chlorophyll content (LCC) and canopy chlorophyll content (CCC), is crucial for crop growth monitoring in agricultural management. Recent advancements in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) multispectral remote sensing have enabled fast and cost-effective measurements of these traits. However, traditional statistical regression models trained on specific datasets lack scalability and transferability across practical field conditions without retraining. This study proposed an efficient physics-informed transfer learning model (PITL) for winter wheat biochemical traits estimation from UAV multispectral data. The PITL integrates the strengths of physical radiative transfer simulations and deep neural network architectures through transfer learning to improve the estimation of biochemical traits from UAV multispectral data. The PITL was tested with convolutional neural network (CNN), deep neural network (DNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) architectures. Results indicated that PITLDNN had better accuracy than PITLCNN and PITLLSTM models in predicting LAI (R2=0.94, RMSE = 0.32 m2/m2), LCC (R2=0.81, RMSE = 5.20 μg/cm2) and CCC (R2=0.928, RMSE = 0.2 g/m2). Moreover, PITLDNN demonstrated higher capability in computational efficiency, making it suitable for processing large volumes of UAV multispectral data in crop growth monitoring applications. Furthermore, PITL's integration of radiative transfer knowledge with labeled field data yielded higher predictive accuracy compared to physically-based inversion model, pure data-driven deep neural network approaches, and hybrid models. This study highlighted the performance of PITLDNN in accurately and efficiently quantifing biochemical traits from UAV multispectral data, thereby providing timely and accurate information for guiding crop growth monitoring applications.

Enhancing Breast Cancer Risk Prediction with Machine Learning: Integrating BMI, Smoking Habits, Hormonal Dynamics, and BRCA Gene Mutations—A Game-Changer Compared to Traditional Statistical Models?

Enhancing Breast Cancer Risk Prediction with Machine Learning: Integrating BMI, Smoking Habits, Hormonal Dynamics, and BRCA Gene Mutations—A Game-Changer Compared to Traditional Statistical Models?

A mini-review for identifying future directions in modelling heating values for sustainable waste management.

Global estimations suggest energy content within municipal solid waste (MSW) is underutilized, compromising efforts to reduce fossil CO2 emissions and missing the opportunities for pursuing circular economy in energy consumption. The energy content of the MSW, represented by heating values (HVs), is a major determinant for the suitability of incinerating the waste for energy and managing waste flows. Literature reveals limitations in traditional statistical HV modelling approaches, which assume a linear and additive relationship between physiochemical properties of MSW samples and their HVs, as well as overlook the impact of non-combustible substances in MSW mixtures on energy harvest. Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models show promise but pose challenges in interpretation based on established combustion theories. From the variable selection perspectives, using MSW physical composition categories as explanatory variables neglects intra-category variations in energy contents while applying environmental or socio-economic factors emerges to address waste composition changes as society develops. The article contributes by showing to professionals and modellers that leveraging AI technology and incorporating societal and environmental factors are meaningful directions for advancing HV prediction in waste management. These approaches promise more precise evaluations of incinerating waste for energy and enhancing sustainable waste management practices.

Enhanced stock market forecasting using dandelion optimization-driven 3D-CNN-GRU classification

The global interest in market prediction has driven the adoption of advanced technologies beyond traditional statistical models. This paper explores the use of machine learning and deep learning techniques for stock market forecasting. We propose a comprehensive approach that includes efficient feature selection, data preprocessing, and classification methodologies. The wavelet transform method is employed for data cleaning and noise reduction. Feature selection is optimized using the Dandelion Optimization Algorithm (DOA), identifying the most relevant input features. A novel hybrid model, 3D-CNN-GRU, integrating a 3D convolutional neural network with a gated recurrent unit, is developed for stock market data analysis. Hyperparameter tuning is facilitated by the Blood Coagulation Algorithm (BCA), enhancing model performance. Our methodology achieves a remarkable prediction accuracy of 99.14%, demonstrating robustness and efficacy in stock market forecasting applications. While our model shows significant promise, it is limited by the scope of the dataset, which includes only the Nifty 50 index. Broader implications of this work suggest that incorporating additional datasets and exploring different market scenarios could further validate and enhance the model's applicability. Future research could focus on implementing this approach in varied financial contexts to ensure robustness and generalizability.

Revolutionize cold chain: an AI/ML driven approach to overcome capacity shortages

This research investigates how Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) forecasting methodologies can be leveraged for cold chain capacity planning, specifically utilising Prophet and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average parametrised through grid search. In collaboration with Americold, the world's second-largest refrigerated logistic service provider, the study explores the challenges and opportunities in applying AI/ML techniques to complex operations covering 385 customers and a capacity of 73,296 pallet positions. We train and test several AI/ML and traditional statistical models using extensive data for every customer over 3.5 years. Based on the results, MAPE of 5.28% was achieved on the whole site level, and SARIMA outperformed ML models in most cases. Next, we show that developing and applying a Customer Segmentation Matrix has enabled more accurate forecasting and planning across various customer segments, addressing the issue of forecasting inaccuracies. This approach effectively improves forecasting inaccuracies, underscoring the significance of tailoring AI/ML models for demand forecasting within the cold-chain industry. Ultimately, this research presents an AI-driven approach that transcends mere forecasting, offering a practical pathway to manage capacity in light of the constraints.

The Use of AI in Predicting Patient Outcomes

Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a revolutionary tool in healthcare, significantly improving the ability to predict patient outcomes. From chronic disease management to personalized treatments, AI can analyze vast datasets and provide timely, accurate predictions that guide clinical decision-making. Traditional statistical models have been useful but often limited in handling complex data relationships. AI, through machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL), transcends these limitations, offering improved predictions across diseases like cancer, tuberculosis, and HIV/AIDS. This paper investigates current AI methods, advantages, challenges, and ethical considerations associated with its use in healthcare, highlighting the transformative potential of AI in outcome prediction while addressing concerns around data privacy, regulatory constraints, and model transparency. Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Patient Outcomes, Clinical Decision Support Systems, Predictive Analytics.

An Improved Type-1 Fuzzy Regression Function for COVID-19 Cases Prediction

The deficiency in data collection and reporting has led to the emergence of uncertainty in the data in the pandemic process. These matters cause that traditional statistical and mathematical models have been functionless and unreliable in this issue. In this respect, this study presents an ensemble prediction model with innovative and contemporary properties to model COVID-19 cases in the UK and USA inclusively throughout the whole pandemic process. The proposed ensemble prediction model is composed of an assembly of Type-1 fuzzy regression functions with elastic net regularization (E-T1FRF) and radial basis function neural networks (RBFNNs). Thus, the proposed ensemble model can successfully model the uncertainty in the data with the fuzzy modelling perspective of T1FRF and also thoroughly adapt to the patterns in the data thanks to the flexible modelling ability of RBFNN based on data. With the proposed ensemble prediction model, the cases in the entire pandemic process from the beginning of March 2020 to the end of June 2022 were modelled and predicted for 23 different periods in one-month prediction steps. The proposed model produced predictions with MAPE values below 3% in all but periods except for three periods. Also, the average MAPE values for all periods were obtained at around 2% for the UK and only 1.5% for the US. These results, at a reasonable level of error, demonstrated the practicality of the usage of the proposed community model for other countries and provided valuable information for future action.

Improved Winter Wheat Yield Estimation by Combining Remote Sensing Data, Machine Learning, and Phenological Metrics

Accurate yield prediction is essential for global food security and effective agricultural management. Traditional empirical statistical models and crop models face significant limitations, including high computational demands and dependency on high-resolution soil and daily weather data, that restrict their scalability across different temporal and spatial scales. Moreover, the lack of sufficient observational data further hinders the broad application of these methods. In this study, building on the SCYM method, we propose an integrated framework that combines crop models and machine learning techniques to optimize crop yield modeling methods and the selection of vegetation indices. We evaluated three commonly used vegetation indices and three widely applied ML techniques. Additionally, we assessed the impact of combining meteorological and phenological variables on yield estimation accuracy. The results indicated that the green chlorophyll vegetation index (GCVI) outperformed the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) in linear models, achieving an R2 of 0.31 and an RMSE of 396 kg/ha. Non-linear ML methods, particularly LightGBM, demonstrated superior performance, with an R2 of 0.42 and RMSE of 365 kg/ha for GCVI. The combination of GCVI with meteorological and phenological data provided the best results, with an R2 of 0.60 and an RMSE of 295 kg/ha. Our proposed framework significantly enhances the accuracy and efficiency of winter wheat yield estimation, supporting more effective agricultural management and policymaking.

Multivariate variable selection in N-of-1 observational studies via additive Bayesian networks.

An N-of-1 observational design characterizes associations among several variables over time in a single individual. Traditional statistical models recommended for experimental N-of-1 trials may not adequately model these observational relationships. We propose an additive Bayesian network using a generalized linear mixed-effects model for the local mean as a novel method for modeling each of these relationships in a data-driven manner. We validate our approach via simulation studies and apply it to a 12-month observational N-of-1 study exploring the impact of stress on daily exercise engagement. We demonstrate the improved performance of the additive Bayesian network to recover the underlying network structure. From the empirical study, we found statistically discernible associations between reports of stress and physical activity on a population level, but these associations may differ at an individual level.

Leveraging Hybrid Deep Learning Models for Enhanced Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Time series forecasting is crucial in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to weather prediction and supply chain management. Traditional statistical methods and machine learning models have been widely used for this task. However, they often face limitations in capturing complex temporal dependencies and handling multivariate time series data. In recent years, deep learning models have emerged as a promising solution for overcoming these limitations. This paper investigates how deep learning, specifically hybrid models, can enhance time series forecasting and address the shortcomings of traditional approaches. This dual capability handles intricate variable interdependencies and non-stationarities in multivariate forecasting. Our results show that the hybrid models achieved lower error rates and higher R2\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$R^2$$\\end{document} values, signifying their superior predictive performance and generalization capabilities. These architectures effectively extract spatial features and temporal dynamics in multivariate time series by combining convolutional and recurrent modules. This study evaluates deep learning models, specifically hybrid architectures, for multivariate time series forecasting. On two real-world datasets - Traffic Volume and Air Quality - the TCN-BiLSTM model achieved the best overall performance. For Traffic Volume, the TCN-BiLSTM model achieved an R2\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$R^2$$\\end{document} score of 0.976, and for Air Quality, it reached an R2\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$R^2$$\\end{document} score of 0.94. These results highlight the model’s effectiveness in leveraging the strengths of Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs) for capturing multi-scale temporal patterns and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTMs) for retaining contextual information, thereby enhancing the accuracy of time series forecasting.

Machine Learning versus Cox Models for Predicting Overall Survival in Patients with Osteosarcoma: A Retrospective Analysis of the EURAMOS-1 Clinical Trial Data.

Since the mid-1980s, there has been little progress in improving survival of patients diagnosed with osteosarcoma. Survival prediction models play a key role in clinical decision-making, guiding healthcare professionals in tailoring treatment strategies based on individual patient risks. The increasing interest of the medical community in using machine learning (ML) for predicting survival has sparked an ongoing debate on the value of ML techniques versus more traditional statistical modelling (SM) approaches. This study investigates the use of SM versus ML methods in predicting overall survival (OS) using osteosarcoma data from the EURAMOS-1 clinical trial (NCT00134030). The well-established Cox proportional hazard model is compared to the extended Cox model that includes time-varying effects, and to the ML methods random survival forests and survival neural networks. The impact of eight variables on OS predictions is explored. Results are compared on different model performance metrics, variable importance, and patient-specific predictions. The article provides comprehensive insights to aid healthcare researchers in evaluating diverse survival prediction models for low-dimensional clinical data.

Revolutionising waste management with the impact of Long Short-Term Memory networks on recycling rate predictions

This study explores the efficacy of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks in predicting recycling rates and enhancing resource allocation in waste management systems. It addresses the limitations of traditional statistical models and machine learning algorithms that struggle with sequential data and temporal dependencies. The methodology comprised collecting extensive datasets from public repositories, configuring the LSTM network architecture, training the model with historical data, and testing various activation functions and hyperparameters. The model’s performance was rigorously compared to traditional models and alternative machine learning algorithms using metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and R-squared (R2). The findings demonstrate that the LSTM model significantly outperformed traditional approaches, achieving an MAE of 3.5%, an RMSE of 2.8%, and an R2 of 0.92. These results underscore the superior capability of LSTM networks to capture complex temporal patterns in recycling data, offering substantial improvements in predictive accuracy and reliability. Consequently, the study highlights the potential of LSTM networks to revolutionize waste management strategies, contributing to more effective and sustainable practices.

Skew-Normal Inflated Models: Mathematical Characterization and Applications to Medical Data with Excess of Zeros and Ones

The modeling of data involving proportions, confined to a unit interval, is crucial in diverse research fields. Such data, expressing part-to-whole relationships, span from the proportion of individuals affected by diseases to the allocation of resources in economic sectors and the survival rates of species in ecology. However, modeling these data and interpreting information obtained from them present challenges, particularly when there is high zero–one inflation at the extremes of the unit interval, which indicates the complete absence or full occurrence of a characteristic or event. This inflation limits traditional statistical models, which often fail to capture the underlying distribution, leading to biased or imprecise statistical inferences. To address these challenges, we propose and derive the skew-normal zero–one inflated (SNZOI) models, a novel class of asymmetric regression models specifically designed to accommodate zero–one inflation presented in the data. By integrating a continuous-discrete mixture distribution with covariates in both continuous and discrete parts, SNZOI models exhibit superior capability compared to traditional models when describing these complex data structures. The applicability and effectiveness of the proposed models are demonstrated through case studies, including the analysis of medical data. Precise modeling of inflated proportion data unveils insights representing advancements in the statistical analysis of such studies. The present investigation highlights the limitations of existing models and shows the potential of SNZOI models to provide more accurate and precise inferences in the presence of zero–one inflation.