Trade Liberalization Research Articles

In Pursuit of Sustainable Development: Safeguarding the Right to Regulate

In a world where the balance between economic globalization and national sovereignty is constantly evolving, the right to regulate becomes a crucial aspect of ensuring sustainable and inclusive development. This article explores the complex dynamics of protecting this essential right within the framework of international trade and investment agreements. Drawing upon a comprehensive analysis of legal frameworks, case studies, and scholarly discourse, it sheds light on the challenges and opportunities associated with preserving the right to regulate. By examining the intricate interplay between trade liberalization and regulatory autonomy, it provides a nuanced understanding of how nations can effectively navigate the complex terrain of global governance while safeguarding their ability to enact and enforce domestic regulations. Furthermore, the article explores the implications of regulatory measures on environmental protection and sustainable development, investigating potential conflicts between international trade obligations and the sovereign right of nations to regulate in the best interest of their citizens. Through a multidisciplinary approach, encompassing legal analysis, policy evaluation, and socioeconomic considerations, it aims to contribute to the ongoing discourse on striking a delicate balance between economic integration and the preservation of national regulatory autonomy, ultimately providing policymakers, scholars, and stakeholders with valuable insights and recommendations to navigate the complex landscape of international trade and investment agreements.

Inefficient labor market sorting

A growing empirical literature attributes much of the productivity advantages of large, “superstar” firms to their adoption of best practice management techniques that allow them to better identify and use talented workers. The reasons for the incomplete adoption of these “structured management practices” (SMPs) and their welfare implications are not well understood. This paper provides a positive and normative analysis of these issues in a theoretical framework in which SMPs induce sorting of talent across firms. Incomplete adoption arises because SMPs are costly and worker talent is in limited supply. In equilibrium there is excessive adoption of SMPs and too much sorting of talented workers into large firms. In this second-best environment, policy changes that favor large firms, such as trade liberalization, have the potential to lower welfare.

The price of capital goods, investment and labour: Micro‐evidence from a trade liberalization

AbstractIn this paper, we show that a reduction in capital goods prices induced by trade policies can stimulate both investment and labour. We exploit a quasi‐natural experiment in the form of a trade reform in Colombia to study how firms with differential exposure to reductions in capital goods tariffs react in terms of their investment and labour decision. Firms that see a larger decline in the input tariff for capital goods increase investment and labour for production, as well as their labour share. Reductions in input tariffs are passed through to input prices for all goods. However, only lower prices for capital, not for other goods, translate into more investment and employment of production workers.

Quantifying the impact of trade liberalization on Lao imports (evidence from product-level data)

In pursuing economic development after market-oriented reforms, Lao PDR has actively liberalized imports through engagement in regional and multilateral trade agreements. However, a substantial research gap exists in assessing the impact of this liberalization, especially in terms of ex-post empirical studies, which are essential for nuanced policy evaluation. This study aims to thoroughly quantify the impact of tariff liberalization on Lao imports, specifically examining how the elimination of tariffs under regional trade and multilateral trade schemes affects Lao imports. In this study, a balanced gravity panel dataset at a product level from 2013 to 2022 was constructed using data from the Lao Official Import Management Database for a standard gravity model analysis. Results of this analysis reveal that tariff liberalization has significantly boosted Lao imports with an elasticity of -0.327. Counterfactual analysis strengthens this finding, indicating an approximate 6.7% increase in the average value of imports from 2018 to 2022.

Long-term effect of trade liberalization on human capital: evidence from Chinese students

ABSTRACT This study examines the long-term effects of trade liberalization on human capital accumulation for students, specifically through schooling decisions. To establish this linkage, I leverage the significant reduction in trade tariffs following China’s WTO accession in 2001 as an identification strategy and construct the shift-share instrument variable for each Chinese prefecture’s exposure to trade shock. Utilizing cognitive test scores from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) dataset for cohorts aged between 13 to 20 at the time of trade liberalization, I find that the trade shock leads to a decline in cognitive test scores approximately 15 years later. Furthermore, combining CFPS data with the China Population Census, I demonstrate that export expansion has resulted in a reduction in university enrollment and less education years among youth.

The impact of trade liberalization on firms’ product and labor market power

Abstract This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on firms’ product and labor market power. We estimate the prevalence and intensity of price-cost markups and either wage markups or wage markdowns, taking the dependence between these model-consistent measures of product and labor market power into account. Exploiting reductions in tariffs upon China’s World Trade Organization accession, we find that trade liberalization has not switched firms away from exercising product and labor market power. Reducing input tariffs has widened price-cost markups, narrowed wage markdowns, and widened wage markups at the firm level. We reveal heterogeneous trade liberalization effects on the intensity of firms’ product and labor market power.

Nigeria's Relations with the European Union: An Analysis of the Economic Partnership Agreement

The Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) between Nigeria and the European Union (EU) aims to enhance economic cooperation and trade liberalization. However, it has sparked significant debate due to its potential implications for Nigeria's economic development and sovereignty. This paper critically analyzes the EPA, focusing on the key issues, challenges, and implications for Nigeria. The core concern is whether the EPA's benefits, such as increased market access and development aid, outweigh the drawbacks, including potential revenue loss, unfair competition, and stringent EU standards that could disadvantage Nigerian industries. The analysis employs a qualitative approach, reviewing existing literature, policy documents, and expert opinions to assess the economic, social, and political impacts of the EPA on Nigeria. This includes a comparative analysis of similar agreements between the EU and other African countries to draw relevant parallels and insights. The findings reveal that while the EPA offers opportunities for market access and development aid, it also poses significant risks to Nigeria's economic stability and sovereignty. The paper concludes that Nigeria must carefully weigh these factors, considering its economic priorities and readiness to meet the agreement's requirements. Future relations between the EU and Nigeria will depend on managing these challenges and opportunities, ensuring the partnership promotes mutual growth without compromising Nigeria's autonomy.

Trade Liberalization, Employment and Income in India: A Cointegration Study

Trade Liberalization, Employment and Income in India: A Cointegration Study

GDP growth in Brazil after the liberalising reforms

ABSTRACT The Brazilian economy implemented the trade and financial liberalisation reforms in the first half of the 1990s as a new development strategy. Since then, Brazilian GDP has been unstable and much lower compared to the previous period. Despite this, there was a short period of relatively higher economic growth rate from 2004 to 2008, but the Brazilian economic growth decelerated after 2011; the country entered a recession between 2014 and 2016, and then in a stagnation period from 2017 onwards. The aim of this article is to analyse the Brazilian economic performance after the liberalising reforms and evaluate the reasons the Brazilian economy decelerated after 2010. To do so, we consider the importance of manufacturing production to a country’s economic performance and analyse this relationship for the specific case of Brazil, checking the contribution of the manufacturing production growth to the country’s GDP growth in circumstances of increases and decreases in GDP growth. To complement this analysis, we also evaluate the existence of increasing returns to scale. The results show that manufacturing production growth is still important for the Brazilian economic performance, especially to explain the moments when the country’s GDP decreases.

A sectoral analysis of a developing country's exports in the context of trade integration: Evidence from Colombia

The research delves into the effectiveness of Colombia's trade liberalisation process in boosting its exports at the industrial level. Based on an empirical workhorse approach to international trade, the gravity model, we evaluate the effect of trade openness on Colombian exports at the industrial level following the SITC4 categorisation. For this purpose, panel data on Colombian exports to all its trading partners between 2007 and 2020 were used. The results establish that Colombia's trade openness has boosted the exports of most of its industries, except for exports of the mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials group, which is a group of goods that represents the country's largest exports. Furthermore, the research also confirms the prominent impact of labour productivity in boosting Colombian exports of most product groups. Consequently, Colombian policymakers should support a re-composition of the Colombian export basket in order to take proper advantage of trade integration formulas, within a global energy transition framework.

A footloose capital model of economic development

AbstractWe present a footloose capital model in a two‐country economy and the manufacturing and natural resource sectors with heterogeneous manufacturing firms to analyze the impacts of trade liberalization and technological progress on the net capital flows, net export, and social welfare. Our main analytical result is that a lagged country initially experiences capital outflow due to the high technological gap in the manufacturing sector with increasing returns to scale, then capital inflow due to the home market effect. This corresponds with the fact that China was a net importer of manufactured goods initially, and became a net exporter recently. These results are consistent with the data obtained after the reform and opening‐up policy in 1978.

Penerapan Prinsip (MFN) dalam Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership dan Dampaknya terhadap Kebijakan Perdagangan Indonesia

In the era of globalisation and trade liberalisation, countries around the world continue to develop forms of international trade cooperation, such as through the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement. RCEP involves 15 countries in Asia-Pacific, including 10 ASEAN members and their five major trading partners, with the aim of reducing tariffs and trade barriers and enhancing economic cooperation. The Most-Favoured Nation (MFN) principle in RCEP requires that any trade concession granted to one member country is also granted to all other members. The implementation of MFN can improve Indonesia's market access to RCEP member countries and boost economic growth through exports and foreign investment, although Indonesia must also manage competitive pressures from other member countries. To maximise the benefits of RCEP, Indonesia needs to formulate appropriate policies, including through the implementation of the Job Creation Law to increase domestic investment. This paper explores the application of MFN in RCEP, its implications for Indonesia, and the importance

Does better regulatory institutions always enhance the productivity effects of services trade liberalization？

The majority of previous studies have asserted that the high quality of local institutions can improve the productivity effects of trade policies; yet, only a few studies have acknowledged the heterogeneous impact of these institutions. Using data from Chinese manufacturing plants, we examine the moderating effects of regional-level regulations on the effectiveness of national services trade policy. The key findings are threefold: First, as the initial degree of service liberalization advances, the productivity effect of trade liberalization diminishes. Second, opening access to foreign enterprises can substitute for pro-competitive regulatory reform. Regardless of whether the regulatory institutions related to administrative processes, law enforcement, and commercial service have improved, services trade liberalization can have significant productivity effects. Third, in contrast, when regulations to protect for local incumbents impose prohibitive costs for new entrants, the impact of services trade liberalization is highly contingent on local regulatory improvement. The confirmation that trade liberalization can potentially serve as an alternative measure for local regulation reform in Chinese context distinguishes this study from others.

Does the Development of Financial Services Improve Export Diversification? The Case of the Cemac Zone

Aims: The main objective of this paper is to analyze the effect of financial services development on export diversification in the countries of the Economic Community of Central African States. Methodology: We applied the two stage least squares estimation method on a panel model to capture the effects of financial services on Theil's export concentration index. The sample comprises five countries observed over the period from 2007 to 2022. Results: The results show that, the development of financial services and the increase in intra-regional trade in this community promote export diversification. In addition, increased investment and access to electricity are key to export diversification in this region. Recommendation and conclusion: Hence the need for these countries to implement policies conducive to trade liberalization and investment promotion in the CEMAC zone. Economic liberalization and investment development are essential to export diversification.

Challenges in Achieving Consensus on Data Localization: Digital Inequality of Digital Service Trade

The disagreements on data localization policies significantly hamper the progression of digital service trade and free cross-border data flow. This study adopts the Theory of Comparative Advantage and the Heckscher-Ohlin Theory (H-O Theory) to construct an analytical model that investigates the inequality of digital service trade on the well-being of nations and the valuation of digital factors. Our findings suggest that digital service trade exacerbates the terms of trade for developing countries. In an environment of unrestricted data flow, developed countries capitalize on the data resources from developing nations, thereby augmenting their digital comparative advantages and factor endowments. The dynamics foster a state of digital inequality or digital poverty, where late-developing countries are disadvantaged in keeping pace with their developed counterparts. Notably, data localization, while seemingly a protective measure for developing countries, may not be the optimal strategy. It potentially undermines the overall well-being of all participants by diminishing network effects. The paper argues that the path towards the liberalization of digital trade and data flows will be a lengthy and complex one, demanding concerted international efforts to overcome entrenched trade barriers.

Why does international vertical specialisation affect within‐firm skill premium in China? Investigation and interpretation

AbstractWith highly disaggregated data during 2000–2006 in China, we construct the firm‐level international vertical specialisation index and find that China's ascension to WTO decreased the index in manufacturing firms. We investigate its relationship with measured skill premium in manufacturing firms and find that a one percentage point decrease in international vertical specialisation could lead to as much as a two‐tenth percentage point deduction in the skill premium. The effect is more pronounced when the specialisation is with OECD developed economies, while it is reversed with non‐OECD economies. Furthermore, the relationship is only significant in ordinary firms though processing firms also experienced changes in international vertical specialisation during the same period. Our results are robust to various empirical alternatives. We then propose a model that features a two‐stage production in Melitz's (2003, Econometrica, 71, 1695) heterogeneous firm model. The model can explain the puzzle why China's trade volume surged after entering WTO, while the degree of international vertical specialisation decreased. Furthermore, it also explains why vertical specialisation might affect within‐firm skill premium under trade liberalisation.

Dynamic trade, education and intergenerational inequality

I present a dynamic trade model spanning many countries to explore the transitional paths of trade-induced inequality. By incorporating capital-skill complementarity, human capital accumulation, and capital accumulation, this paper examines the exact transitional path following a shift from autarky to trade. It reveals that trade increases the skill premium, skill share, and real wages for both skilled and unskilled workers in the majority of countries at the steady state. However, the short-term impact of trade on inequality is more pronounced. The exact transitional path indicates that the dynamic of trade-induced inequality is influenced by the flexibility in adjusting factor supplies during the transition at different stages, and education alleviates approximately 50% of trade-induced inequality in the long run. Furthermore, the analysis illuminates the observed patterns of skill premium in recent trade liberalization episodes in Mexico, China, and South Korea, and raises the possibility that globalization may intensify intergenerational inequality.

Quota removal, gender-specific export shock, and female labor force participation in China

There is a lack of consensus on how trade liberalization affects female labor force participation (FLFP), primarily due to challenges in identifying exports of female labor-intensive products. In this study, we construct a unique gender-specific export shock by examining the removal of the Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) trade quotas in 2005, which targeted the female labor-intensive textiles and clothing (T&C) industry. Using a difference-in-differences (DID) approach, we find that MFA quota removal significantly increases FLFP in China, which is attributed to the heightened demand for female labor in the T&C industry and related services. Increased demand not only boosts women incomes but also significantly reduces fertility rates. Furthermore, it disproportionately benefits four specific female groups: well-educated women, young women, unmarried women, and those without young children.

Demographic impacts of China’s trade liberalization: marriage, spousal quality, and fertility

Demographic impacts of China’s trade liberalization: marriage, spousal quality, and fertility

Empirical analysis of trade costs and their impact on carbon emissions in RCEP countries

Global economic integration and environmental issues have attracted widespread attention in recent years. As one of the world's most significant free trade agreements, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) significantly impacts trade and the environment. However, research on the relationship between trade costs and carbon emissions still needs to be completed. This study explores the relationship between trade costs and carbon emissions within the framework of the Trade Benefit Theory, which posits that trade liberalization and openness generate economic benefits through increased efficiency, technological advancement, and economic growth. This study analyzes panel data from 12 RCEP countries from 2001 to 2014, employing static and dynamic panel models to examine the relationship between trade costs and carbon emissions. The analysis utilizes mixed regression, fixed (random) effects models, and the systematic GMM method. The results indicate that decreases in trade costs are associated with reduced environmental pollution, aligning with the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, which posits an N-shaped relationship between trade costs and carbon emissions. Implementing RCEP facilitates a decrease in trade-related pollution, suggesting that reducing trade costs can help mitigate environmental pollution. Furthermore, the observed N-shaped EKC for trade costs and carbon emissions highlights the potential of RCEP to reduce the impact of trade-related pollution.