Abstract Inferring spatial curvature of the Universe with high-fidelity is a longstanding interest in cosmology. However, the strong degeneracy between dark energy equation-of-state parameter w and curvature density parameter ΩK has always been a hurdle for precision measurements of curvature from late-universe probes. With the imminent commissioning of Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), we demonstrate for the first time, using simulations of stage-IV surveys, the crucial role of time-delay distances from strong gravitational lenses in breaking this degeneracy. Our findings suggest that in non-flat owCDM model, while strong lensing data alone only yield a ΩK constraint at $\sim \mathcal {O}(10^{-1})$ level, the integration with SNe Ia and BAO data breaks the w-ΩK degeneracy and refines the ΩK constraint to $\sim \mathcal {O}(10^{-2})$. This surpasses the constraints typically derived from SNe Ia Hubble diagrams and BAO data and is comparable to the constraints obtained from Planck Primary CMB data. Additionally, we present a non-parametric approach using Gaussian Process to avoid parameter-dependency of the expansion history H(z) and achieve similar $\mathcal {O}(10^{-2})$ level constraint on ΩK. This study demonstrates the significant potential of strong gravitational lenses and Stage-IV surveys like LSST to achieve high-fidelity, independent constraints on ΩK, contributing to our understanding of the Universe’s geometry and the dynamics of dark energy.
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