Tidal Salt Marshes Research Articles

A NEW FRAMEWORK FOR ACCURACY ASSESSMENT OF LIDAR-DERIVED DIGITAL ELEVATION MODELS

Abstract. Existing approaches to accuracy assessment of LiDAR-derived DEM are typically based on statistical methodology and focus on vertical accuracy. This paper presents a new framework which calls for assessment of not only a DEM’s vertical accuracy, but also its ability to preserve a point’s elevation rank in the bare earth topographic surface. New methods to assess each aspect are presented. For DEM’s vertical accuracy, approximation theory from numerical analysis is used to quantify the total error at each DEM point as well as its three error components – sensor error, ground error, and interpolation error. For DEM’s elevation order which is critical to model terrain structure, the concept of isomorphism in set theory is drawn as the mathematical rationale and Kendall’s rank correlation efficient is used to quantify the accuracy. The new framework is illustrated using a DEM derived from LiDAR for sea-level rise vulnerability assessment of a tidal salt marsh. Compared to conventional methods based on statistics, the new framework and methods produce detailed mapping of error distribution thus enable the identification of the main sources of error and where improvement is needed most. Results call for re-evaluation of the current practice of assessing filtering accuracy in LiDAR data processing and further research on relative elevation and isomorphism.

Temporal and spatial patterns of airborne pollen dispersal in six salt marsh halophytes

Pollination is a key process in the life cycle of most plant species, but very little is known about airborne pollen dispersal in salt marsh anemophilous halophytes. We analyzed the temporal and spatial dynamics of airborne pollen dispersal, using portable volumetric pollen traps, for six anemophilous Chenopodiaceae halophytic species in tidal salt marshes. In addition, we studied the effects of air temperature and wind speed on airborne pollen dispersal. Our study shows high levels of temporal and spatial constraint on airborne pollen dispersal. We recorded the lowest airborne pollen concentrations at air temperatures lower than 22 °C and wind speeds higher than 6 m s−1. These environmental conditions set up a narrow temporal pollination window during morning hours. We also recorded severe spatial limitation for pollen dispersal in three of the six halophytes studied, which presented airborne pollen concentrations that were 9 to 53 times smaller only 5 m away from source populations than within those populations. These results show that even related species colonizing the same ecosystem may show contrasted airborne pollen spatial dispersal dynamics that depend on several environmental factors. This should be taken into account for estimates of vegetation composition based on pollen production in aerobiological and paleopalinological studies. The restricted airborne pollen dispersal recorded would promote geitonogamy and limit interpopulation genetic exchange to the dispersal of their hydrochorous fruits.

Relationships between ecosystem properties and sea-level rise vulnerability of tidal wetlands of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic.

Tidal wetlands in the Mid-Atlantic, USA, are experiencing high rates of relative sea level rise, and it is unclear whether they will be resilient in the face of future flooding increases. In a previous study, we found 80% of our study areas in tidal freshwater and salt marshes in the Delaware Estuary and Barnegat Bay had elevation change rates lower than the 19-year increase in mean sea level. Here, we examine relationships between marsh elevation dynamics and abiotic and biotic parameters in order to assess their utility as indicators of vulnerability to relative sea level rise. We further apply a range of marsh vulnerability indicators including elevation change rates to evaluate their ability to corroborate marsh habitat change over the last 30years. Of the field measurements, soil bulk density and belowground plant biomass were among the strongest predictors of elevation change and accretion dynamics across all marsh types and settings. Both tidal freshwater and salt marshes tended to have higher rates of elevation increase and surface accretion in areas where soil bulk density and live belowground biomass were higher. Nine of the ten marshes experienced a net loss of area from the 1970s to 2015 ranging from 0.05 to 14%. Although tidal freshwater marshes were low in elevation and experienced variable elevation change rates, marsh area loss was low. Conversely, salt marshes closest to the coast and perched high in the tidal frame with a higher degree of human modification tended to experience the greatest marsh loss, which incorporated anthropogenic impacts and edge erosion. Thus, our regional assessment points to the need for a comprehensive understanding of factors that influence marsh resilience including human modifications and geomorphic settings.

Amino acid nitrogen trends in paddy soils under long-term rice cultivation in southeast coast of China

In China, tidal flats in some coastal areas have been converted into paddy fields. Such reclamation and prolonged rice cultivation activities could influence soil amino acid nitrogen (N) (AAN) contents and N cycling. However, the effects of long-term rice cultivation on the contents and proportions of AAN in paddy soils remain poorly understood. Paddy soil samples were collected in a chronosequence cultivated for 50 (P50), 100 (P100), 300 (P300), and 700 (P700) years to elucidate the responses of AAN to long-term rice cultivation. Soils from a neighboring tidal flat (T0) and salt marsh (10 years after diking, S10) used as controls. AAN, total amino acid (AA), and free amino acid (FAA) contents and proportions, as well as N-related enzyme activity and soil properties were analyzed. AAN content significantly (p < 0.05) increased from 0.12 g kg−1 in T0 to 0.54 g kg−1 in P300, then slightly decreased to 0.47 g kg−1 in P700. The enantiomer L type-AA and L type-FAA contents were higher than D type-AA and D type-FAA contents in all soils. Urease and protease activities increased sharply within 100 years and then gradually declined, while urease activity remained steady over time. Regression analysis revealed linear relationships between AAN and pH, soil organic carbon, total N, microbial biomass carbon, microbial biomass N, and urease and protease activities. Overall, AAN was accumulated under long-term rice cultivation, and was closely linked to the soil properties. However, AAN accumulation was limited to 300 years, highlighting the potential effects of long-term rice cultivation on the stability of soil N cycling and sustainable N-use.

Decline of Eastern Black Rails (Laterallus jamaicensis jamaicensis) within the Chesapeake Bay Region, USA

Eastern Black Rails (Laterallus jamaicensis jamaicensis) were surveyed during 1990, 2007, 2014 within the Chesapeake Bay region in Maryland and Virginia, USA. A network of point count locations (n = 182) was established and surveyed within tidal salt marshes. Occupancy declined during the study period from 0.84 ± 0.13 (ψ ± SE) in 1990 to 0.06 ± 0.02 in 2014. The annualized rate of decline was estimated to be 6.5%. Extinction and colonization rates between 1990 and 2014 were 0.81 ± 0.09 and 0.04 ± 0.02 respectively. Abundance declined from 1.98±0.05 Black Rails/point in 1990 to 0.26 ± 0.02 in 2014 with a 3.2% annualized rate of decline. Recruitment was 1.32 ± 1.35 between 1990 and 2007 and 0.003 ± 0.05 between 2007 and 2014. Species detection was negatively influenced by advancing season and waxing moon phase while individual detection was most strongly influenced by survey year and advancing season. Anecdotal observations of range-wide strongholds within the Chesapeake Bay suggest that sites have experienced significant declines with birds being extirpated by 2016. Declines throughout the core breeding area and within individual strongholds in the Chesapeake Bay are consistent with Black Rail declines in tidal habitats throughout the broader Northeast region.

Intertwined Eco‐Morphodynamic Evolution of Salt Marshes and Emerging Tidal Channel Networks

AbstractThe formation and development of tidal channels and salt marshes are controlled by complex interactions between hydrodynamics, sediment transport, and vegetation dynamics. Tidal channels affect and, at the same time, are affected by the growth of salt marshes fringing them. The coupled evolution of these morphological units, mediated by vegetation growth, is thus a key ingredient for simulating the behavior of tidal environments. Considering these two factors, we developed a mathematical model to investigate the eco‐morphodynamic evolution of intertidal areas fringing a main channel and of the tidal creeks cutting through them. Model results indicate that vegetation promotes the development of channel networks, leading to more complex channel structures and higher drainage efficiency. Vegetation encroachment influences sediment deposition patterns by trapping sediment in the seaward and middle intertidal areas, while reducing the amount of sediment delivered to landward areas. In the presence of sea level rise, this deficit of sediment enhances the landward‐decreasing trend of the intertidal platform and leads to more isolated vegetation patches. Overall, sea level rise restricts the extension of salt marshes and consequently reduces the effect of vegetation on channel network form and function.

Diatom (Bacillariophyceae) assemblages in tidal environments of Vancouver Island, British Columbia, Canada

SUMMARYTo understand distributions of coastal diatoms along Vancouver Island, British Columbia, Canada, this paper describes diatom assemblages observed in 47 surface sediment samples from intertidal environments. One hundred and eighty‐four diatom taxa were identified from five transects crossing tidal flats, salt marshes, and freshwater forests in Tofino, Ucluelet, and Port Alberni. Distributions of the diatom assemblages were consistent with those reported elsewhere in the Pacific Northwest, but a few diatom taxa show different trends in their distributions. For example, one benthic speciesDenticula subtilisshows widespread distributions along the transect in Tofino. An ordination shown by Detrended Correspondence Analysis (DCA) using a combined dataset indicated overlapped scatter plots of diatom assemblages, suggesting that assemblages with similar species compositions are observed in more than one location. Hierarchical and k‐means clustering analyses using Euclidean distance recognized unique small groups along each transect. Rank abundance curves show different trends for richness and evenness of diatom assemblages among the five transects.

Salt Marsh and Tidal Flat Area Distributions Along Three Estuaries

Estuarine landscapes form through interactions between fluvio-coastal processes and ecological processes within the boundaries imposed by hard substrate layers and man-made dikes and dams. As estuaries are ecologically valuable areas, monitoring and quantification of trends in habitats is needed for objective comparison and management. However, datasets of tidal flat and saltmarsh habitats along entire estuaries are scarce. The objective was to compare trends of biogeomorphological areas and habitat transitions along three estuaries in the Netherlands and assess whether these are generally comparable or mainly determined by system-specific histories. We present data for these estuaries obtained by automated classification of false-color aerial imagery. The automated method allows objective mapping of entire estuaries at unprecedented resolution. The estuaries are dominated by subtidal areas and tidal flats. The tidal flats have similar area along the estuaries while saltmarsh area decreases. Collective lengths of ecologically important transitions between saltmarsh, low-energy tidal flats and water differ more between the estuaries. These variations are due to presence of mid-channel bars and shore-connected embayments. Saltmarsh area is mainly determined by the different formation and embankment histories of the estuaries, embayments and side-branches. Much of the past saltmarsh flanking the estuaries was lost due to past land reclamation. In one system, ecologically important low-energy tidal flats are reduced by a sudden decrease of tidal amplitude, causing increase of subtidal area at the cost of intertidal area. Large areas of high-energy tidal flats in one estuary remain unexplained. The automated method can be applied in other estuaries, provided that high-quality areal imagery is available. Extensions of the data to other estuaries would allow for system-scale trend comparison between estuaries of ecologically relevant biogeomorphological characteristics.

A Spatial Integrated SLR Adaptive Management Plan Framework (SISAMP) toward Sustainable Coasts

Sea-level rise (SLR) is known as a central part of the Earth’s response to human-induced global warming and is projected to continue to rise over the twenty-first century and beyond. The importance of coastal areas for both human and natural systems has led researchers to conduct extensive studies on coastal vulnerability to SLR impacts and develop adaptation options to cope with rising sea level. Investigations to date have focused mostly on developed and highly populated coasts, as well as diverse ecosystems including tidal salt marshes and mangroves. As a result, there is less information on vulnerability and adaptation of less-developed and developing coasts to sea-level rise and its associated impacts. Hence, this research aimed at outlining an appropriate coastal management framework to adapt to SLR on the coasts that are in the early stage of development. A coastal area with a low level of development, located in southern Iran along the Gulf of Oman, was selected as a case study. The types of lands exposed to the high-end estimates of SLR by 2100 were identified and used as the primary criteria in determining the practical adaptation approaches for developing coasts. The result of coastal exposure assessment showed that, of five exposed land cover types, bare land, which is potentially considered for development, has the highest percentage of exposure to future sea-level rise. In order to protect the exposed coastal lands from future development and increase adaptive capacity of coastal systems, we developed a Spatial Integrated SLR Adaptive Management Plan Framework (SISAMP) based on an exposure reduction approach. Spatial land management tools and coastal exposure assessment models along with three other key components were integrated into the proposed conceptual framework to reduce coastal vulnerability through minimizing exposure of coastal communities to SLR-induced impacts. This adaptation plan provides a comprehensive approach for sustainable coastal management in a changing climate, particularly on developing coasts.

Disturbance of sedimentary processes in tidal salt marshes invaded by exotic vegetation

In situ moorings were conducted at salt marsh and bare flat to reveal the environmental disturbance of sedimentary processes in the intertidal flat. Spartina alterniflora (Spartina), an invasive species, grew up to 156 cm in the Ganghwa tidal flat from June to November 2019. This rapid growth has resulted in the dense salt marsh, which complicated hydrodynamics and associated sediment processes. Stems and leaves could effectively trap fine-grained sediments (17.24–20.42 μm) at the bed, increasing the differences in bed elevation between the two sites to up to 5.11 cm. The cohesive sediments accumulated in Spartina communities were resuspended differently by stem-scale turbulence generated from the disturbance of stems and leaves, depending on wind forcing and vegetation conditions. The vegetated sediments, under low wind speeds (<4 m s−1), were hardly resuspended in the water column, compared to those in the bare flat, resulting in sedimentation. Under high wind speeds (>6 m s−1), stem-scale turbulence was sufficiently strengthened to surpass the sedimentation of suspended sediments; thus, it resuspended additional bed sediments without a loss of the trapped sediment, unlike in the bare flat. The flocculation of suspended sediments in Spartina communities was mainly controlled by stem-scale turbulence. The flocs were confined to a size of 40 μm (settling velocity: 0.17 mm s−1) and developed an approaching spherical shape. After the cut-off of Spartina, a favorable condition for the flocs to grow by 57 μm (settling velocity: 0.23 mm s−1) was established with decrease in stem-scale turbulence. These larger flocs were able to develop into a ramified spherical structure. Despite diminishment of stem-scale turbulence, the disturbed sediments were outflowed, resulting in an abrupt decrease in bed elevation (0.12 cm day−1). The results suggest that the sediment accumulated in Spartina communities remained erodible due to frequent disturbances without sufficient consolidation.

Genomic data reveal the biogeographical and demographic history of Ammospiza sparrows in northeast tidal marshes

AbstractAimShaped by climate change and sea‐level rise, tidal salt marshes represent ephemeral systems that are home to only a few species. The dynamic ecological histories of these habitats, however, render it challenging to reconstruct the complete biogeographical histories of their endemic taxa. To better understand the evolutionary history of tidal marsh endemic sparrows, we employ genomic data to evaluate the timing and direction of tidal marsh colonization events and leverage these data to test a series of models describing the biogeographical history of our study taxa.LocationNorth America.TaxonAmmospiza Sparrows.MethodsWe sampled 54 individuals from the Ammospiza clade from freshwater and saltwater habitats. We sequenced whole genomes and generated a dataset containing 21 million SNPs. Detailed phylogenomic analyses were conducted to identify relationships between tidal marsh and freshwater species. These phylogenies were then used to date divergence times and reconstruct the biogeographical history of the clade as well as identify historic signals of introgression.ResultsPhylogenies based on several million SNPs supported well‐resolved clades that correspond to all previous species designations. Demographic modelling within A. nelsoni provided further resolution into the subspecies topology. Phylogenetic and biogeographical reconstructions support a series of saltwater to freshwater colonization events, with some endemic taxa exhibiting associations with tidal marsh habitat over longer evolutionary time‐scales and some habitat transitions occurring as recently as 5,000 years ago.Main ConclusionsBiogeographical and phylogenomic reconstructions support an original freshwater origin of the Ammospiza sparrows currently inhabiting tidal marshes in North America. We also found strong evidence for a saltwater to freshwater transition in A. n. subvirgatus as opposed to the long hypothesized freshwater origin of this group. We conclude that the increased resolution from genomic data paired with an integrative framework of phylogenomic, demographic and biogeographical reconstructions is important for resolving evolutionary histories in complex and ephemeral environments.

Evaluating Short-Term Tidal Flat Evolution Through UAV Surveys: A Case Study in the Po Delta (Italy)

The use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) on wetlands is becoming a common survey technique that is extremely useful for understanding tidal flats and salt marshes. However, its implementation is not straightforward because of the complexity of the environment and fieldwork conditions. This paper presents the morphological evolution of the Po della Pila tidal flat in the municipality of Porto Tolle (Italy) and discusses the reliability of UAV-derived Digital Surface Models (DSMs) for such environments. Four UAV surveys were performed between October 2018 and February 2020 on an 8 ha young tidal flat that was generated, amongst others, as a consequence of the massive sediment injection into the Po Delta system due to the floods of the 1950s and 1960s. The DSM accuracy was tested by processing (i.e., photogrammetry) diverse sets of pictures taken at different altitudes during the same survey day. The DSMs and the orthophotos show that the tidal flat is characterised by several crevasse splays and that the sediment provision depends strictly on the river. During the study period, the sediment budget was positive (gaining 800 m3/year and an average rate of vertical changes of 1.3 cm/year). Comparisons of DSMs demonstrated that neither lower flight altitudes (i.e., 20–100 m) nor the combination of more photos from different flights during the same surveys necessarily reduce the error in such environments. However, centimetric errors (i.e., RMSEs) are achievable flying at 80–100 m, as the increase of GCP (Ground Control Point) density is the most effective solution for enhancing the resolution. Guidelines are suggested for implementing high-quality UAV surveys in wetlands.

Changes in Archaeal Community and Activity by the Invasion of Spartina anglica Along Soil Depth Profiles of a Coastal Wetland.

Invasion of Spartina spp. in tidal salt marshes may affect the function and characteristics of the ecosystem. Previous studies reported that the invasion alters biogeochemical and microbial processes in marsh ecosystems, yet our knowledge of changing archaeal community due to the invasion is still limited, whereas archaeal communities play a pivotal role in biogeochemical cycles within highly reduced marsh soils. In this study, we aimed to illustrate the influences of the Spartina anglica invasion on soil archaeal community and the depth profile of the influences. The relative abundance of archaeal phyla demonstrated that the invasion substantially shifted the characteristics of tidal salt marsh from marine to terrestrial soil only in surface layer, while the influences indirectly propagated to the deeper soil layer. In particular, two archaeal phyla, Asgardaeota and Diapherotrites, were strongly influenced by the invasion, indicating a shift from marine to terrestrial archaeal communities. The shifts in soil characteristics spread to the deeper soil layer that results in indirect propagation of the influences of the invasion down to the deeper soil, which was underestimated in previous studies. The changes in the concentration of dissolved organic carbon and salinity were the substantial regulating factors for that. Therefore, changes in biogeochemical and microbial characteristics in the deep soil layer, which is below the root zone of the invasive plant, should be accounted for a more accurate illustration of the consequences of the invasion.

Local geomorphological gradients affect sedimentary organic carbon storage: A Blue Carbon case study from sub-tropical Australia

Coastal blue carbon systems (mangrove forests, seagrass meadows and tidal saltmarshes) are renowned for their efficacy at sequestering large amounts of carbon (C) in sedimentary sinks and effective management action to preserve these C stocks requires an understanding of spatial variability within an estuary. This study analysed 33 coastal blue carbon sediment cores across three subtropical estuaries of Eastern Australia. We measured depth, C content and dry bulk density down the soil profile. Mean C stocks for mangroves, seagrass and saltmarsh, up to a 3 metre depth, were estimated to be 738 ±119,439± 72, and 823 ± 138 Mg C ha −1, respectively. Linear regression models showed the relationship between distance from ocean and C stocks was significant in mangroves and saltmarsh (p≤ 0.001 and p < 0.01, respectively), with the exception of mangroves in an urbanised estuary which displayed the inverse. The differences we observed in C stocks in mangroves and saltmarsh, not seagrass, in relation to location within the estuary may have important implications for management actions and ecological processes.

Atmospheric Ammonia Measurements Over a Coastal Salt Marsh Ecosystem Along the Mid‐Atlantic U.S.

AbstractMeasurements of atmospheric ammonia (NH3) concentrations and fluxes are limited in coastal regions in the eastern U.S. In this study, continuous and high temporal resolution measurements (5s) of atmospheric NH3 concentrations were recorded using a cavity ring‐down spectrometer in a temperate tidal salt marsh at the St Jones Reserve (Dover, DE). Micrometeorological variables were measured using an eddy covariance system which is part of the AmeriFlux network (US‐StJ). Soil, plant, and water chemistry were also analyzed to characterize the sources and sinks of atmospheric NH3. A new analytical methodology was used to estimate the average ecosystem‐scale diurnal cycle of NH3 fluxes by replicating the characteristics of a chamber experiment. This virtual chamber approach estimates positive surface fluxes in continuing strongly stable conditions when mixing with the air above is minimal. Our findings show that tidal water level may have a significant impact on NH3 emissions from the marsh. The largest fluxes were observed at low tide when more soil was exposed. While it is expected that NH3 fluxes will peak when the air temperature maximizes, high tide occurred concurrently with midday peaks in solar irradiance led to a decrease in NH3 fluxes. Furthermore, soil, plant, and water chemistry measurements underpinning the NH3 concentrations and fluxes lead us to conclude that this coastal wetland ecosystem can act as either a sink or a source of NH3. Such measurements provide novel data on which we can base reliable parameterizations to simulate NH3 emissions from coastal salt marsh ecosystems using surface‐atmosphere transfer models.

Genetic data disagree with described subspecies ranges for Seaside Sparrows on the Atlantic coast

AbstractSeaside Sparrows (Ammospiza maritima) are tidal salt marsh endemic passerines found along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts of North America. Currently, there are 7 described subspecies, and “MacGillivray’s” Seaside Sparrow (A. m. macgillivraii) is the name given to the Atlantic coast subspecies breeding from North Carolina to northern Florida. In 2019 the US Fish and Wildlife Service received a petition to list this subspecies under the Endangered Species Act due to shrinking populations and loss of marsh habitat, which necessitated a Species Status Assessment. As part of the Species Status Assessment, we analyzed genetic (microsatellite and mitochondria) data from 464 Seaside Sparrows from Connecticut to Florida, USA, to infer population connectivity (gene flow) among Atlantic coast populations, and to assess the concordance of population genetic data with the putative ranges of the subspecies. Bayesian cluster analysis (program Structure) indicates three genetically distinct population segments: (1) Florida + Georgia, (2) Charleston, South Carolina, and (3) North Carolina to Connecticut. The population in Charleston, South Carolina was the most strongly differentiated based on microsatellite data, and harbored a unique mitochondrial haplotype not shared by other sampling locations, possibly reflecting long-standing isolation. Our results indicate population genetic discordance with currently described ranges of the subspecies of Seaside Sparrow and provide grounds for the consideration of separate management plans for the three populations.

High-Resolution Monitoring of Tidal Systems Using UAV: A Case Study on Poplar Island, MD (USA)

Tidal processes regulating sediment accretion rates and vegetated platform erosion in tidal systems strongly affect salt marsh evolution. A balance between erosion and deposition in a restored salt marsh is crucial for analyzing restoration strategies to be adopted within a natural context. Marsh morphology is also coupled with tidal mudflats and channel networks and this makes micro-tidal systems crucial for a detailed assessment of restoration interventions. Here, we present a methodological approach for monitoring channel morphodynamics and vegetation variations over a time frame of six years in a low tidal energy salt marsh of the Paul S. Sarbanes Ecosystem Restoration Project at Poplar Island (Maryland, USA). The project is a restoration site where sediment dredged from the shipping channels in the upper Chesapeake Bay is used to restore a tidal marsh habitat in mid-Chesapeake Bay. Aerial surveys with an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) have been performed for the high-resolution mapping of a small tidal system. Flight missions were planned to obtain a Ground Sample Distance (GSD) of 2 cm. Structure-from-Motion (SfM) and Multi-View-Stereo (MVS) algorithms have been used to reconstruct the 3D geometry of the site. The mapping of channel morphology and an elevation assessment on the mudflat were performed using orthomosaics, Digital Terrain Models (DTMs) and GNSS survey. The results highlight that the workflow adopted in this pilot work is suitable to assess the geomorphological evolution over time in a micro-tidal system. However, issues were encountered for salt marsh due to the presence of dense vegetation. The UAV-based photogrammetry approach with GNSS RTK ground surveys can hence be replicated in similar sites all over the world to evaluate restoration interventions and to develop new strategies for a better management of existing shorelines.

Onset of runaway fragmentation of salt marshes

Summary Salt marshes are valuable but vulnerable coastal ecosystems that adapt to relative sea level rise (RSLR) by accumulating organic matter and inorganic sediment. The natural limit of these processes defines a threshold rate of RSLR beyond which marshes drown, resulting in ponding and conversion to open waters. We develop a simplified formulation for sediment transport across marshes to show that pond formation leads to runaway marsh fragmentation, a process characterized by a self-similar hierarchy of pond sizes with power-law distributions. We find the threshold for marsh fragmentation scales primarily with tidal range and that sediment supply is only relevant where tides are sufficient to transport sediment to the marsh interior. Thus the RSLR threshold is controlled by organic accretion in microtidal marshes regardless of the suspended sediment concentration at the marsh edge. This explains the observed fragmentation of microtidal marshes and suggests a tipping point for widespread marsh loss.

The Effect of Sea Level Rise on Dabbling Duck Energetic Carrying Capacity

ABSTRACTWaterfowl migrating and overwintering in the Atlantic Flyway depend on adequate availability of wetland plant communities to survive winter and fuel reproduction in the subsequent breeding season. Energetics models are the primary tool employed by conservation planners to estimate energetic carrying capacity based on energy supply and demand in different wetlands to assist with effective habitat conservation. Coastal impoundments have been used to provide a consistent, annual source of energy for migrating and wintering waterfowl. But few studies have attempted to comprehensively assess the relative value of managed coastal impoundments compared with unmanaged tidal salt marshes to wintering waterfowl in the Mid‐Atlantic region with further consideration to the effect of sea level rise changing availability. We estimated biomass and energy of preferred foods for 5 dabbling duck species in 7 impoundments and 3 tidal salt marshes over winter by collecting soil core (n = 1,364), nekton (n = 426), and salt marsh snail (Melampus spp.; n = 87) samples in October, January, and April 2011–2013. Food‐energy density was greater in freshwater impoundments for nearly all dabbling ducks (range = 183,344–562,089 kcal/ha), and typically greater in brackish impoundments (range = 169,665–357,160 kcal/ha) than most tidal salt marsh communities (range = 55,693–361,429 kcal/ha), whereas mudflat (range = 96,223–137,473 kcal/ha) and subtidal (range = 55,693–136,326 kcal/ha) communities typically contained the least energy. Extrapolating to the state level, we estimated 7.60 × 109–1.14 × 1010 kcal available within a 16‐km buffer from the Delaware Bayshore, depending on species. Combining estimates for daily energy expenditure and food energy, we estimated 2.86 × 107–7.06 × 107 duck energy days currently available to dabbling ducks over winter. We estimated that in the next century, dabbling duck carrying capacities are likely to decrease under all but the most conservative sea level rise scenarios because of the gradual replacement of land‐cover types that provide high energy density (i.e., low marsh, high marsh communities) with those that provide low energy density (i.e., subtidal, mudflat communities). Coastal impoundments in Delaware, USA, will provide increasingly important habitat for wintering dabbling ducks in the coming decades provided they are properly maintained and retain their current energetic density because they will contain a growing proportion of the available duck energy days on the landscape. Our research will assist managers in meeting target population goals for dabbling ducks in Delaware and the Mid‐Atlantic region by highlighting key differences in the function and value of various wetlands. © 2021 The Wildlife Society.

Variation in synchrony of production among species, sites, and intertidal zones in coastal marshes.

Spatially synchronous population dynamics are important to ecosystem functioning and have several potential causes. By looking at synchrony in plant productivity over 18yr across two elevations in three types of coastal marsh habitat dominated by different clonal plant species in Georgia, USA, we were able to explore the importance of plant species and different habitat conditions to synchrony. Synchrony was highest when comparing within a plant species and within a marsh zone, and decreased across species, with increasing distance, and with increasing elevational differences. Abiotic conditions that were measured at individual sites (water column temperature and salinity) also showed high synchrony among sites, and in one case (salinity) decreased with increasing distance among sites. The Moran effect (synchronous abiotic conditions among sites) is the most plausible explanation for our findings. Decreased synchrony between creekbank and mid-marsh zones, and among habitat types (tidal fresh, brackish, and salt marsh) was likely due in part to different exposure to abiotic conditions and in part to variation in sensitivity of dominant plant species to these abiotic conditions. We found no evidence for asynchrony among species, sites or zones, indicating that one habitat type or zone will not compensate for poor production in another during years with low productivity; however, tidal fresh, brackish. and salt marsh sites were also not highly synchronous with each other, which will moderate productivity variation among years at the landscape level due to the portfolio effect. We identified the creekbank zone as more sensitive than the mid-marsh to abiotic variation and therefore as a priority for monitoring and management.