314 Background: As surgery for esophageal carcinoma in the elderly people has been increasing, sarcopenia is a severe problem not only in complications, but also in long-term prognosis. However, the relationship between perioperative skeletal muscle loss especially in the early postoperative period and long-term prognosis has not been clarified. Methods: This study retrospectively analyzed 152 patients with thoracic esophageal carcinoma who had underwent radical esophagectomy in our institution from April 2008 to March 2015 (Patients with postoperative hospital stay longer than 6 weeks were excluded). As an index of perioperative sarcopenia, total psoas muscle area (TPA) was measured before surgery (as baseline), at postoperative day (POD) 7 and postoperative month (POM) 6 from CT images. We investigated the correlation between the change of TPA and the postoperative survival. Results: Of 152 patients, 52 (34.2%) showed a TPA decrease from baseline to POD 7, and 98 (64.5%) showed a TPA decrease from baseline to POM 6. At the time of POD 7, overall survival (OS) decreased significantly in a TPA decrease group (P = 0.008, 5-year survival rate: non-decrease group 82.3% / decrease group 56.8%). Recurrence free survival (RFS) was also significantly decreased in a TPA decrease group (P < 0.001, 5-year recurrence free survival rate: non-decrease group 73.7% / decrease group 44.9%). On the other hand, at the time of POM 6, OS and also RFS had no significant difference between decrease and non-decrease groups. In univariate analysis for OS, pStage ≥3 and TPA decrease at POD 7 had poor prognosis. In multivariate analysis for OS, pStage ≥3 (HR:5.516, P < 0.001, 95%CI:2.634-11.551) and TPA decrease at POD 7 (HR:2.036, P = 0.047, 95%CI:1.010-4.103) were also independent poor prognostic factors. In the univariate analysis for RFS, pStage ≥3, TPA decrease at POD 7 and age ≥60 years had poor prognosis. In multivariate analysis, pStaeg ≥3 (HR:3.831, P < 0.001, 95%CI:2.182-6.728) and TPA decrease at POD 7 (HR:1.942, P = 0.021, 95%CI:1.104-3.416) were independent poor prognostic factors. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that the TPA decrease early in a postoperative period has poor prognosis on OS and also RFS.
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