Thermodynamic Structure Research Articles

Numerical Investigation of Partially Premixed Flames Under Transcritical Conditions

Understanding the characteristics of partially premixed flames (PPFs) under transcritical conditions is of critical importance for the development of fuel-rich staged rocket engines. While substantial progress has been achieved for transcritical non-premixed flames (NPFs), comparatively little effort has been made to investigate transcritical PPFs. To this end, a series of transcritical counterflow gaseous hydrogen/liquid oxygen (GH2/LOX) PPFs is simulated to investigate the thermodynamic structure of PPF and to examine the effects of molecular diffusion modeling, strain rate, and the equivalence ratio at the fuel-rich side on PPFs in physical space and mixture fraction space, as well as reduced temperature/reduced pressure space. The comparisons between the NPF and PPF demonstrate that the PPF exhibits a bimodal structure in physical space: a premixed reaction zone at the fuel inlet side and a non-premixed reaction zone at the oxidizer side. In mixture fraction space, the C-shaped structure of PPF is observed owing to the differential diffusion of species. It is found that the choice of molecular diffusion model has a significant impact on PPF structure. The presence of a loop at subcritical pressures in a reduced temperature/reduced pressure space is caused by the differential diffusion of species and the formation of [Formula: see text] in the non-premixed reaction zone. Furthermore, the results indicate that the premixed reaction zones in the PPFs are very sensitive to the change in strain rate and/or equivalence ratio of the premixed mixture at the fuel inlet side. For a given equivalence ratio, increasing strain rate can suppress the differential diffusion effect and the C-shaped structure, while it has a negligible impact on the non-premixed reaction and hence on loop formation.

Dynamics of the Barrier Layer Dipole in the Equatorial Indian Ocean

AbstractThe barrier layer (BL) significantly impacts the upper ocean circulation and thermodynamic structure by inhibiting the heat and momentum exchange between the mixed layer (ML) and the subsurface layer. There exist sea surface temperature and salinity dipole modes in the tropical Indian Ocean, however, a BL dipole mode has not yet been identified. Using the latest observations and ocean reanalysis, here we show a robust BL dipole mode in the central and eastern equatorial Indian Ocean, which is highly correlated with the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events. Composite analysis shows that the BL thickness anomalies peak in autumn and are much larger during positive IOD events than during negative IOD events. We show that a positive BL dipole phase is characterized by positive BL thickness anomalies in the central equatorial Indian Ocean and negative BL thickness anomalies in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean, and vice versa for a negative BL dipole phase. During positive IOD events, negative surface salinity anomalies slightly affect the ML depth along the equatorial Indian Ocean. Positive subsurface temperature anomalies deepen the isothermal layer (IL) in the central equatorial Indian Ocean and strong negative subsurface temperature anomalies significantly lift the IL in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean, controlling the BL thickness anomalies and forming a positive BL dipole pattern. This operates in an opposite direction during negative IOD events. Our study shows a close relationship between the BL dipole and the IOD and has far‐reaching implications for better understanding and predicting the IOD events.

An overview of the vertical structure of the atmospheric boundary layer in the central Arctic during MOSAiC

Abstract. Observations collected during the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) provide an annual cycle of the vertical thermodynamic and kinematic structure of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) in the central Arctic. A self-organizing map (SOM) analysis conducted using radiosonde observations shows a range in the Arctic ABL vertical structure from very shallow and stable, with a strong surface-based virtual potential temperature (θv) inversion, to deep and near neutral, capped by a weak elevated θv inversion. The patterns identified by the SOM allowed for the derivation of criteria to categorize stability within and just above the ABL, which revealed that the Arctic ABL during MOSAiC was stable and near neutral with similar frequencies, and there was always a θv inversion within the lowest 1 km, which usually had strong to moderate stability. In conjunction with observations from additional measurement platforms, including a 10 m meteorological tower, ceilometer, and microwave radiometer, the radiosonde observations and SOM analysis provide insight into the relationships between atmospheric vertical structure and stability, as well as a variety of atmospheric thermodynamic and kinematic features. A low-level jet was observed in 76 % of the radiosondes, with stronger winds and low-level jet (LLJ) core located more closely to the ABL corresponding with weaker stability. Wind shear within the ABL was found to decrease, and friction velocity was found to increase, with decreasing ABL stability. Clouds were observed within the 30 min preceding the radiosonde launch 64 % of the time. These were typically low clouds, corresponding to weaker stability, where high clouds or no clouds largely coincided with a stable ABL.

Joint 1DVar retrievals of tropospheric temperature and water vapor from Global Navigation Satellite System radio occultation (GNSS-RO) and microwave radiometer observations

Abstract. Global Navigation Satellite System radio occultation (GNSS-RO) and microwave radiometry (MWR) are two of the most impactful spaceborne remote sensing techniques for numerical weather prediction (NWP). These two techniques provide complementary information about atmospheric temperature and water vapor structure. GNSS-RO provides high vertical resolution measurements with cloud penetration capability, but the temperature and moisture are coupled in the GNSS-RO retrieval process and their separation requires the use of a priori information or auxiliary observations. On the other hand, the MWR measures brightness temperature (Tb) in numerous frequency bands related to the temperature and water vapor structure but is limited by poor vertical resolution (> 2 km) and precipitation. In this study, we combine these two technologies in an optimal estimation approach, 1D variation method (1DVar), to improve the characterization of the complex thermodynamic structures in the lower troposphere. This study employs both simulated and operational observations. GNSS-RO bending angle and MWR Tb observations are used as inputs to the joint retrieval, where bending can be modeled by an Abel integral and Tb can be modeled by a radiative transfer model (RTM) that takes into account atmospheric absorption, as well as surface reflection and emission. By incorporating the forward operators into the 1DVar method, the strength of both techniques can be combined to bridge individual weaknesses. Applying 1DVar to the data simulated from large eddy simulation (LES) is shown to reduce GNSS-RO temperature and water vapor retrieval biases at the lower troposphere while simultaneously capturing the fine-scale variability that MWR cannot resolve. A sensitivity analysis is also conducted to quantify the impact of the a priori information and error covariance used in different retrieval scenarios. The applicability of 1DVar joint retrieval to the actual GNSS-RO and MWR observations is also demonstrated through combining collocated COSMIC-2 and Suomi-NPP (National Polar-orbiting Partnership) measurements.

Australian Summer Monsoon Bursts: A Moist Static Energy Budget Perspective

AbstractThe Australian monsoon's wet season is associated with sequences of wet and dry conditions known as bursts and breaks, which usually have timescales of a week or two. There are several hypotheses for the physical processes involved in monsoon bursts, ranging from the effects of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation to extratropical influences. We analyze rainfall bursts in Northern Australia using a moist static energy (MSE) budget framework. We separate the bursts into three types and further separate them into pre‐monsoon, active monsoon, and post‐monsoon. We then apply ERA5 data to calculate the MSE budget for each burst and construct composite bursts for each of the three types. We find that the horizontal advection of MSE over the tropical northern Australian convergence zone is the most critical term in the budget for the day‐to‐day precipitation variation. MSE‐related gross moist stability analysis reveals that each type has distinct characteristics. The burst type associated with active monsoon bursts displays convective growth and decay patterns both before and after the precipitation peak, which is typical of oceanic convection. A low‐rainfall burst type, which is often seen before monsoon onset, is linked to coastal convection and has minimal rainfall decay after the burst. Finally, a sustained high‐rainfall burst type, mostly observed at the end or after the monsoon retreat, has growth characteristics similar to the typical monsoon burst but does not decay, maintaining very high rainfall for at least a week due to a rearrangement of the circulation and local thermodynamic structure of the atmosphere.

Multicomponent thermodynamics with instabilities and diffuse interfaces fluids

<p>We investigated the mathematical structure of Gibbsian multicomponent thermodynamics with instabilities. We analyzed the construction of such thermodynamics from a pressure law using ideal gases as the low density limit. The fluid mixtures were allowed to have mechanically and chemically unstable states that were excluded in previous work on supercritical fluids, and the Soave-Redlich-Kwong cubic equation of state was specifically considered. We also investigated the mathematical structure of extended thermodynamics in the presence of cohesive forces—capillary effects—for a simplified diffuse interface fluid model. The thermodynamic formalism was validated by comparison with experimental data for mixtures of ethane and nitrogen. Very good agreement with experimental data was obtained for specific heats, multiphase equilibrium, and critical points, and we also analyzed the structure of strained jets of ethane.</p>

Efficient Prediction Model of mRNA End-to-End Distance and Conformation: Three-Dimensional RNA Illustration Program (TRIP).

The secondary and tertiary structures of RNA play a vital role in the regulation of biological reactions. These structures have been experimentally studied through in vivo and in vitro analyses, and in silico models have become increasingly accurate in predicting them. Recent technologies have diversified RNA structure predictions, from the earliest thermodynamic and molecular dynamic-based RNA structure predictions to deep learning-based conformation predictions in the past decade. While most research on RNA structure prediction has focused on short non-coding RNAs, there has been limited research on predicting the conformation of longer mRNAs. Our study introduces a computer simulation model called the Three-dimensional RNA Illustration Program (TRIP). TRIP is based on single-chain models and angle restriction of each bead component from previously reported single-molecule fluorescence in situ hybridization (smFISH) experiments. TRIP is a fast and efficient application that only requires up to three inputs to acquire outputs. It can also provide a rough visualization of the 3D conformation of RNA, making it a valuable tool for predicting RNA end-to-end distance.

Tropospheric Gravity Waves Increase the Likelihood of Double Tropopauses

AbstractThe tropopause region is crucial for the stratosphere‐troposphere exchange (STE) and acts as an indicator of climate change. Double tropopauses (DTs) act to increase the STE process but their driving mechanisms remain an open question. The present assessment offers for the first time the linkage between tropospheric gravity waves (GWs) and DT events by exploring a global data set of multi‐year radiosonde measurements. In the extratropics, the occurrence frequency of DT events keeps a remarkably consistent spatial‐temporal structure with GW total energy. Under the DT scenario, GW total energy has increased by 37.67% compared to single tropopause events. Based on a statistical assessment, the upward propagating GWs throughout the second tropopause region can probably raise Kelvin‐Helmholtz instability or turbulence, leading permanent irregularities in thermodynamic structure, and consequently, increasing the likelihood of DT.

The inner life of the Atlantic Intertropical Convergence Zone

AbstractThe Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is a central component of the atmospheric general circulation, but remarkably little is known about the dynamical and thermodynamical structure of the convergence zone itself. This is true even for the structure of the low‐level convergence that gives the ITCZ its name. Following on from the major international field campaigns in the 1960s and 1970s, we performed extensive atmospheric profiling of the Atlantic ITCZ during a ship‐based measurement campaign aboard the research vessel SONNE in summer 2021. Combining data collected during our north–south crossing of the ITCZ with reanalysis data shows the ITCZ to be a meridionally extended region of intense precipitation, with enhanced surface convergence at its edges rather than in the center. Based on the location of these edges, we construct a composite view of the structure of the Atlantic ITCZ. The ITCZ, far from being simply a region of enhanced deep convection, has a rich inner life, that is, a rich dynamical and thermodynamic structure that changes throughout the course of the year, and has a northern edge that differs systematically from the southern edge.

Microphysics of Heavy Rain Associated With the Eyewall and Inner Rainbands of Typhoon Meranti (2016)

AbstractHeavy rain in a tropical cyclone (TC) tends to occur in its eyewall and inner spiral rainbands. The distinct dynamical and thermodynamical structures between TC eyewall and inner rainbands were argued to be responsible for different rain microphysics by previous studies. Thus, this study investigated the microphysical characteristics of heavy rain (≥10 mm hr−1) associated with the eyewall and inner rainbands of Typhoon Meranti (2016), based on the joint observations of two disdrometers and a dual‐polarization radar (DPR) as well as automatic weather stations in Fujian province of China. The surface disdrometer observation showed that the eyewall rain has a larger mean raindrop diameter and a smaller mean concentration than the inner‐rainband rain. In general agreement with the disdrometer observation, the DPR observation confirmed larger sizes of raindrops near the ground in the eyewall. However, the vertical profiles of polarimetric variables showed larger values almost throughout the atmosphere in the eyewall, namely that more efficient ice‐ and warm‐cloud processes are evident for the production of ice and rain particles. This result looks contradictory to the lower concentration of the eyewall rain than the inner‐rainband rain as measured by surface disdrometers. This is because stronger updrafts observed in the eyewall not only facilitate the production and growth of hydrometeors, but also prevent small raindrops from falling to the ground. Consequently, the surface rain in the eyewall has larger raindrop diameter and lower concentration than that in the inner rainbands, despite a larger number of ice and rain particles in the atmosphere.

Dropsonde observations during the Aerosol Cloud meTeorology Interactions oVer the western ATlantic Experiment

The Aerosol Cloud meTeorology Interactions oVer the western ATlantic Experiment (ACTIVATE) field campaign provides accurate data for aerosol characterization and trace gas profiles, and establishes knowledge of the relationships between aerosols and water. The dropsonde dataset provides an in situ characterization of the vertical thermodynamic structure of the atmosphere during 165 research flights by NASA Langley’s King Air research aircraft between February 2020 and June 2022 and four test flights between December 2019 and November 2021. The research flights covered the western North Atlantic region, off the coast of the Eastern United States and around Bermuda and covered all seasons. The dropsonde profiles provide observations of temperature, pressure, relative humidity, and horizontal and vertical winds between the surface and about 9 km. 801 dropsondes were released, of which 796 were processed and 788 provide complete profiles of all parameters between the flight level and the surface with normal parachute performance. Here, we describe the dataset, the processing of the measurements, general statistics, and applications of this rich dataset.

Remote Sensing of Planetary Boundary Layer Thermodynamic and Material Structures over a Large Steel Plant, China

Air pollutants emitted by industries can significantly affect local air quality and jeopardize human health, and the study of the boundary layer thermodynamic structure and diffusion capacity over industrial plants can be beneficial for the improvement of corporate air pollution control measures. The continuous high temporal and spatial resolution monitoring of the boundary layer structure (thermal, dynamic, and material) by advanced remote sensing instruments over a single strong industrial source (steel plant) in Shanxi Province, China, from May to June 2021 revealed the boundary layer characteristics under the influence of a single strong local anthropogenic influence. Strong nocturnal temperature inversions and grounded temperature inversions were prone to occur over industrial sources. The local wind field was characterized by significant daily variations, with the whole-layer airflow during the daytime dominated by southwesterly winds. At night, under the influence of radiation, topography, and surface, the airflow was dominated by easterly winds with low speeds (less than 2 m/s) in the low altitude range of 100 m, while the wind direction was still dominated by southwesterly winds with higher speeds in the altitude of 100 m. In addition, the average atmospheric diffusion capacity increased significantly with height in the 500 m altitude range, with an increase in rate of about 2~3 times/50 m, and continued to show a discontinuous increasing trend above 500 m. Combined with the wind direction and wind speed contours, it can be seen that the pollutants can be effectively dispersed at a height of 100 m. The thermal and turbulent boundary layer heights were highly consistent, and the material boundary layer height was significantly higher than the thermal and turbulent boundary layer heights during the daytime when convection was strong.

Variability of non-breaking surface-wave induced mixing and its effects on ocean thermodynamical structure in the northwest Pacific during Typhoon Lekima (2019)

The surface waves, which contain most of the mechanical energy in the upper ocean, greatly contribute to the vertical mixing processes. Two of the non-breaking wave-induced physical processes, including wave-generated turbulence and residue of wave transport flux, are introduced as two mixing schemes, and incorporated into the ocean circulation model to study the effects on the upper ocean during the Typhoon Lekima (2019). The new vertical diffusion terms, corresponding to the wave-induced mixing processes, can be calculated directly based on the simulated surface wave parameters from wave spectrum model. Four numerical experiments are designed for analysis and comparison of the temperature and current in the upper ocean. The results show definite improvement in the sea surface temperature cooling, the upper-ocean thermal structure and mixed layer depths when the two schemes are adopted, because the upper-ocean vertical mixing processes are enhanced. The surface waves can especially strengthen the contribution of the vertical diffusion terms to the temperature cooling during the typhoon period.

Analysis of localized features during wet and dry rainfall episodes over southern tip of India

AbstractThe large spatial and temporal variability of wet and dry spells of the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) poses the great challenge in understanding and predicting monsoonal rainfall. This challenge is further exacerbated over smaller regions, such as the southern tip of India, which receives the first spell of ISM rainfall. In this study, the characteristic features and possible precursors for wet and dry spells of rainfall over the southern tip of India are investigated. We also explore the variability in monsoon low‐level jet (LLJ) in relation to wet and dry spells over a coastal station Thiruvananthapuram (8.48°N, 76.95°E) in southwest India using in situ observations and other ancillary datasets. The results show that a wet spell spanning 3–4 days contributes about 30% of seasonal rainfall. Wet spells are characterized by westerly wind anomaly in the southern tip of India and easterly wind anomaly in northern India, leading to anomalous cyclonic vorticity over the Indian subcontinent. The opposite happens during dry spells. These characteristics are prominent from 2 days prior to the initiation of the spells, suggesting they may be used as precursors for forecasting wet and dry spells over Thiruvananthapuram. Analysis of low‐ to mid‐tropospheric (2 and 4 km) humidity reveals significant moistening (drying) during wet (dry) spells. Yet, both wet and dry spells experience humid (>80%) boundary layer. The differences in mid‐level humidity and thermodynamical structures between wet and dry spells seem to contribute to distinct rainfall characteristics over the southern tip of India. These results indicate that the use of in situ observations along with large‐scale reanalysis datasets may provide valuable information on the precursors for wet and dry spells over the southern tip of India, which can help both in regional‐ and city‐level planning and management of water resources.

Impact of fuel properties on the transition of liquid-gas interface dynamics under supercritical pressure

Fuel injection dynamics transition from two-phase theory to single-phase dense fluid dynamics are a crucial phenomenon that markedly affects the mixing process and subsequent combustion under diesel engine-relevant conditions. As the significant effect of fuel properties on the timescale and mechanism of this transition remains elusive yet, this work focuses on the impact of fuel properties on the transition to single-phase dense fluid at supercritical pressure. The detailed thermodynamic structure of non-continuum gas-liquid interfaces at supercritical pressures was constructed through gradient theory, and its evolution was analyzed. The driving mechanism of transition from spray to single-phase dense fluid was discussed. The influences of fuel properties on the timescale and mechanism of breakdown of the two-phase theory were investigated through the comparison of three different alkanes. Theoretical analysis suggests that the transition from spray to single-phase dense fluid is jointly promoted by the thickening interface, the diminished surface tension, and the shorter molecular mean free path. The gas-liquid interface of lighter-alkane/nitrogen binary systems is more inclined to evolve into the continuum length-scale regime. The cause is a combination of two aspects: (1) smaller thermodynamic potential energy density difference ω¯(ϱM)−ω¯s and smaller interfacial tangential pressure across lighter alkanes/nitrogen interfaces lead to broader interfaces and smaller surface tension, (2) the more volatile nature of lighter alkanes results in shorter molecular mean free path. The minimum reduced pressure required for gas-liquid interfaces to reach critical mixing states is lower for lighter and more volatile alkanes at the same reduced temperature. From a time-scale perspective, the non-continuum gas-liquid interfaces evolve into the continuum length scale regime later for heavier alkanes. This suggests that the transition to the diffusive mixing mechanism occurs further downstream for heavier alkane sprays. A conceptual diagram was presented to illustrate the effect of fuel properties on the transition.

Thermodynamically consistent hydrodynamic phase-field computational modeling for fluid-structure interaction with moving contact lines

This paper proposes a novel computational modeling approach to investigate the fluid-structure interactions with moving contact lines. By embracing the generalized Onsager principle, a coupled hydrodynamics and phase field system is introduced that can describe the fluid-structure interactions with moving contact lines in a thermodynamically consistent manner. The resulting partial differential equation (PDE) model consists of the Navier-Stokes equation and a nonlinear Allen-Cahn type equation. Volume conservation is enforced through an additional penalty term. A fully-discrete structure-preserving numerical scheme is proposed by combining several techniques to solve this coupled PDE system effectively and accurately. For the temporal discretization, we utilize the supplementary variable method for preserving the thermodynamic structure and the projection approach for reducing the problem size. Then, we use the finite difference method on the staggered grid for spatial discretization. Furthermore, we have rigorously proved that the proposed numerical scheme based on the second-order backward difference formula respects the original energy stability, i.e., the scheme is energy stable. Additionally, with the aid of the supplementary variable method, the resultant scheme can be transformed into a constrained optimization problem, where the solutions of the supplementary variables are the arguments of the objective function that reaches the optimality. Then the augmented Lagrangian method is introduced in part to bring robustness and efficiency to solving such a constrained optimization problem. Finally, various numerical simulations verify the model's capability and demonstrate the scheme's effectiveness, accuracy, and stability.

Thermodynamics and phase transition structure of charged black holes in f(R) gravity background from Rényi statistics perception

In the current study, we investigate the Rényi statistics as an extension of the Boltzmann-Gibbs theory, in order to characterize the non-Boltzmannian phase structure of charged black holes in the f(R) gravity. Through this research, we discover that a Hawking-Page phase transition and a Van-der-Waals phase portrait, which are missing from the standard Boltzmann-Gibbs' description, emerge respectively within the grand canonical ensemble and canonical ensemble via the Rényi formalism.The thermodynamics associated with charged black holes without cosmological constant black holes using Rényi statistics processes the same properties as those of asymptotically AdS charged black holes via Gibbs-Boltzmann formalism, as further evidenced by such phase structures found here. This is another example of a potential and substantial relationship between the cosmological constant and the nonextensive Rényi parameter.

Vortex Structure of Head Bubble in Convective Cloud Starting Plume

Abstract A developing cumulus cloud (Cu) was modeled, and dynamic, thermodynamic, and microphysical properties of an ascending head bubble reproducing the upper part of a developing Cu were investigated. The data for analysis are taken from 10-m-resolution LES of trade wind Cu under BOMEX conditions. The detection of a rising bubble is carried out using wavelet filtering of the velocity fields and microphysical fields, while a low-frequency signal of the filtering is associated with the convective-scale structure of cloud. We substantiate and discuss the representation of the bubble as a vortex ring, and estimate the parameters of this vortex ring. The simplest Hill’s vortex was chosen as a model of a vortex ring inside cloud. Analytical approximations of the radial profiles of the vertical velocity and of conservative quantities (such as total water mixing ratio and liquid water potential temperature inside and outside the bubble) are obtained. The spatial structure of these quantities is investigated using analytical expressions. Analytical models for spatial distributions of liquid water content (LWC) and adiabatic fraction (AF) are also designed and analyzed. The results demonstrate the existence of a cloud core with high values of LWC and AF up to the height of 1800 m. The horizontally averaged value of the adiabatic fraction, calculated analytically using the Hill’s vortex concept, is evaluated as 0.39, which is the typical AF value in the upper parts of such Cu. The vertical profiles of different important quantities characterizing cloud structure are presented. The analysis performed in this study allows us to conclude that a rising vortex ring plays the dominating role in formation of the thermodynamic and microphysical structure of developing Cu. Significance Statement 1) Dynamic and thermodynamic fields of a developing cumulus cloud simulated by high-resolution LES with spectral bin microphysics are separated into convective and turbulent components by means of the wavelet technique. 2) The analysis of convective component of the cloud revealed the existence of a vortex ring at the developing stage of the cloud and evaluate its parameters. 3) The analysis performed in this study allows us to conclude that a rising vortex ring plays the important role in formation of the thermodynamic and microphysical structure of developing Cu. 4) The study provides a novel insight into the cloud–environment interaction. 5) The approximating equations describing the vortex ring can be usefully applied for developing new schemes of convective parameterization.

Description of Martian Convective Vortices Observed by InSight and Implications for Vertical Vortex Structure and Subsurface Physical Properties

AbstractConvective vortices (whirlwinds) and dust devils (dust‐loaded vortices) are one of the most common phenomena on Mars. They reflect the local thermodynamical structure of the atmosphere and are the driving force of the dust cycle. Additionally, they cause an elastic ground deformation, which is useful for retrieving the subsurface rigidity. Therefore, investigating convective vortices with the right instrumentation can lead to a better understanding of the Martian atmospheric structures as well as the subsurface physical properties. In this study, we quantitatively characterized the convective vortices detected by NASA's InSight (∼13,000 events) using meteorological (e.g., pressure, wind speed, temperature) and seismic data. The evaluated parameters, such as the signal‐to‐noise ratio, event duration, asymmetricity of pressure drop profiles, and cross‐correlation between seismic and pressure signals, are compiled as a catalog. Using these parameters, we investigated (a) the vortex structure and (b) the subsurface physical properties. Regarding the first topic, we tried to illustrate the vertical vortex structure and its link to the shape of the pressure profiles by combining the asymmetrical features seen in the observed pressure drops and the terrestrial observations of dust devils. Our results indicate that most of the vortices move with the wall tilted in the advection direction. Concerning the second topic, selecting the highly correlated events between pressure perturbation and ground response, we estimated the subsurface rigidity at the InSight landing site down to 100 m depth. Our results indicate that the subsurface structure can be modeled with two layers having a transition at 5–15 m depth.

Role of the Thermodynamic Structure of the Inner Core in Predicting the Intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015)

AbstractWe use short‐range ensemble forecasts and ensemble clustering analysis to study the factors affecting the intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Convection‐permitting ensemble forecasts are classified into two groups: 10 spin‐down (SPD) members and 10 spin‐up (SPU) members with intensification rates of <0 and >0 m s−1 for the first 6 hr, respectively. Ensemble clustering analysis found that the wind–pressure relationship was incorrect in the SPD group, indicating that the SPD issue may be partly caused by an imbalance in the initial minimum sea‐level pressure (MSLP) and the maximum wind speed (MWS). The SPD issue appears to be related to three main points: (a) a weaker upper‐level warm core; (b) a drier inner core at low levels; and (c) a dry, cold air intrusion at mid‐levels. In contrast, the SPU group has a stronger upper‐level warm core and a relatively wet inner core at lower levels, as well as a relatively strong secondary circulation. These favorable initial conditions in the SPU group, combined with a greater updraft and stronger convection around the eyewall, result in more latent heating around or in the eyewall that favors the intensification of the tropical cyclone. Comparisons between the SPD and SPU groups suggest that the analyzed ensemble could not accurately capture the relationship between the initial MSLP and MWS, which, combined with the unfavorable thermodynamic conditions at the initial time, resulted in the incorrect evolution of the intensity. Therefore, improving the initial conditions appears to be an effective way to address the SPD issue.