Thermal Transmittance Research Articles

Validation of 3D thermal simulations of the Double C Block, a novel composite masonry unit, using in-situ U-value measurements

Energy efficient building envelopes, particularly innovative prefabricated building components, can significantly contribute to lower the building industry energy-related emissions. In this research the composite masonry unit Double C Block (DCB) is quantitatively tested by means of three-dimensional thermal simulation validated by in-situ U-value measurements carried out in both summer and winter conditions.The simulations were enhanced by the experimental measurement of the dry thermo-physical material properties (specific heat capacity, thermal conductivity, and density) in laboratory conditions for both concrete and polyurethane. The samples were extracted from real-scale DCB prototypes. Furthermore, site-specific boundary conditions of Malta — representative a case study of a Mediterranean climate − were utilised in the simulations. Both laboratory and in-situ assessments of thermal transmittance, or U-value, had their uncertainty specified as part of the calculations.The validation exercise was performed by means of hourly recorded surface temperature and the selected indices were the root mean square error and mean absolute error. Results showed that these indices were within the recommended accuracy thresholds during both winter and summer assessments. For the hourly-based heat flux measurements, the mean bias error and coefficient of variation of the root mean square error were found lower than values reported in literature, thus supporting the robustness of the overall simulation outputs. Hence the 3D CVM simulation was experimentally validated by in-situ assessments.The convergence value of the experimental U-value provided respectively 1.51 ± 0.20 W/m2K (winter) and 1.44 ± 0.19 W/m2K (summer). Then, the validated 3D CVM model was adapted to calculate the theoretical U-value of DCB, using monthly values of recorded surface temperatures obtained by the test cells (in both seasons). The predicted thermal transmittance was of 1.47 W/m2K, in both conditions, and this almost matches the above-mentioned experimental assessments and thresholds established in previous works.

Thermal Transmittance Limits Dataset for New and Existing Buildings Across EU Regulations

Building energy regulations are essential for reducing energy consumption in the European Union (EU) and achieving climate neutrality goals. This data article supplements the “Overview of EU Building Envelope Energy Requirement for Climate Neutrality” by presenting a detailed dataset on building regulations across all 27 EU member states, with a focus on building envelope efficiency. The data include thermal transmittance limits for windows, walls, floors, and roofs, offering insights into regulatory differences and potential opportunities for harmonization. Information was sourced from the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) database, national reports, and scientific literature to ensure comprehensive coverage. Key aspects of each country’s regulations are summarized in tables, covering both new constructions and renovations. The inclusion of Köppen–Geiger climate classifications allows for climate-specific analyses, providing valuable context for researchers, policymakers, and construction professionals. This dataset enables comparative studies, helping to identify best practices and inform policy interventions aimed at enhancing energy efficiency across Europe. It also supports the development of tailored strategies to improve building performance in different environmental conditions, ultimately contributing to the EU’s energy and climate targets.

Application of a decision tree approach to predict energy consumption in lightweight buildings under subtropical climate

PurposeLightweight building systems have emerged as alternatives to reduce the high environmental impact of conventional masonry. However, in subtropical climates, the low thermal inertia of lightweight envelopes negatively affects energy performance. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the thermophysical parameters that influence heating and cooling energy consumption in lightweight residential buildings under subtropical climates and develop a model to predict these parameters using statistical and machine learning tools.Design/methodology/approachA database was created with computer simulation data on the energy performance of 2048 building conditions generated by factorial combination of 10 parameters. Sensitivity analysis was performed to identify which parameters contribute most to energy performance indicators. Subsequently, decision trees were created using a classification and regression tree (CART) algorithm to visualize parameters and improve energy performance indicators, particularly cooling energy consumption.FindingsLow thermal transmittance and ground contact are interesting strategies for low thermal capacity buildings. Furthermore, the findings showed that relying only on the most influential properties does not ensure good energy performance; rather, it is the adequate combination of envelope properties that leads to good energy efficiency. The tree developed by CART can be used as a guide to assist designers and researchers in the initial selection of building envelopes, demonstrating the impact of each choice on electrical energy consumption for indoor climate control.Originality/valueBy adopting a global approach to assess the thermal performance of lightweight buildings, this study makes a significant contribution to synthesizing the results of a complex and time-consuming methodology into a guide for optimizing envelope design decisions and directing efforts and resources toward efficient strategies.

A Comprehensive Review of Thermal Transmittance Assessments of Building Envelopes

Improving the energy efficiency of buildings is an important element of the effort to address global warming. The thermal performance of building envelopes is the most important thermal and physical property affecting energy performance. Therefore, identifying the thermal performance of a building envelope is essential to applying effective energy-saving measures. The U-value is a quantitative indicator of the thermal performance of the building envelope quantitatively. Methods for determining the U-value are largely classified into passive methods, which use building information without measurement campaigns, and active methods, which conduct in situ measurements. This paper reviews and evaluates the most commonly used methods and experimental results of previous studies to determine the actual U-value of a building envelope. Accordingly, this paper focuses solely on field measurement studies, excluding laboratory measurements. Comparing the existing methods used to determine the U-value can help researchers choose appropriate field measurement methods and future research directions.

Evaluation of aerial thermography for measuring the thermal transmittance (U-value) of a building façade

In efforts to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in the construction sector, policies promoting energy efficiency improvements in existing buildings are being implemented. Accurately assessing the impact of energy retrofit strategies requires precise determination of thermal envelope performance through energy audits. Aerial thermography, employing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) equipped with infrared thermal cameras (IRT), is an underused method overcoming limitations in energy audits of large buildings or complexes. This approach offers an elevated perspective, providing an overview of the building’s thermal patterns, aiding in the identification of thermal envelope defects. By measuring temperature distribution, even in inaccessible envelope areas, the severity of identified defects can be estimated. Beyond detecting thermal bridges, air leaks, and moisture, aerial thermography is valid for estimating thermal transmittance (U-value) of enclosures. The aim of this research is to evaluate this method to calculate the U-value of the façade of an university building located in a Subtropical Mediterranean climate, during a typical full day in different seasons of the year. Concurrently with aerial thermography, the thermometric method (THM) was applied to compare results and refine the operational conditions during U-value measurement using different statistical indices and uncertainty analysis. The results demonstrated the validation of airborne thermography as a method for U-value calculation under specific meteorological and operational conditions, overcoming the common physical limitations of traditional building audit methods.

In-situ U-value measurements of typical building envelopes in a severe cold region of China: U-value variations and energy Implications

Building energy consumption in the severe cold regions of China is an important consideration in building energy conservation because of the high amount of energy consumed by heating. As an important thermal parameter, the thermal transmittance (U-value) of building envelopes can directly affect the operational energy consumption of buildings. Understanding the U-values of buildings in severe cold regions is important to predict building energy accurately. However, the U-values of envelopes fluctuate constantly due to environmental impacts. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the influence of dynamic U-values on building energy efficiency. To achieve this, this study focused on the in-situ measurement of the U-values of two typical building envelopes in Harbin from winter to summer in 2023 to determine the average and dynamic U-values of the tested envelope, comprising a brick envelope and reinforced concrete (RC) envelope. The building energy simulation results based on theoretical U-values were compared with the measured average and dynamic U-values of the tested envelopes. The findings revealed that the fluctuations in the U-values were significant. In the dynamic U-values of tested brick and RC envelopes, the U-values in winter were 159.8% and 30.8% higher than those in summer, respectively. Furthermore, the dynamic U-values significantly influenced heating energy consumption, with an increase of up to 15.9%.

In-situ measurement of thermal transmittance of building walls: Evaluation of stored heat flux in heavy-weight walls during the cooling season

The conventional heat flow meter (HFM) method is used to measure the thermal performance of building walls. Typically, this method is applicable for measurements on lightweight walls and when the difference between the indoor and outdoor temperatures exceeds 10 °C. However, modern buildings are constructed using highly insulated high-performance heavy-weight walls. Therefore, an in-situ measurement method is required to overcome the limited measurement environment of the conventional HFM method. In this study, a novel stored heat flux (SHF) method is proposed to overcome the limitations of the existing HFM method. This method estimates the stored heat flux in the wall using the thermal energy-conservation equation of the enclosed system and uses a decrement factor and time lag to calculate the thermal transmittance (U-value). The proposed method can be applied to heavy-weight walls in the cooling season when the difference between the indoor and outdoor temperatures is less than 10 °C. Furthermore, the design U-value can be estimated with higher accuracy than that observed in the conventional HFM method. The results of the relative error analysis for the U-values show that the conventional HFM method was approximately 68 % of the design U-value, while the proposed SHF method was approximately 15 %.

Impact of future climate scenarios on thermal performance and resilience of building façades: Canadian climate case study

Buildings in urban areas are responsible for a significant share of GHG emissions that directly contribute to climate change. Nevertheless, the built environment is vulnerable to the changing climate. Particularly, the unpredictable weather threatens the performance of building components, durability of building materials, and indoor environmental comfort. In this study, the impact of future climate on thermal performance of building façades in the Canadian climate is investigated using simulation analysis. To account for different climate conditions, three future weather scenarios pertaining to global temperature rise of 0.5°C, 1.5°C, and 2.5°C were compared with historical weather data. Both hourly and Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) weather data were studied. The results, including thermal transmittance, heat flux, moisture content, and façade temperature were compared. This comparison could show the applicability of using averaged TMY data compared to the large hourly dataset. The results show a pattern of change in the façade's thermal and hygrothermal performance as temperature, relative humidity and solar radiation norms change in both seasons. The comparison between the TMY and the Yearly data showed an underestimation of heat transfer within the façade when the TMY data is used. The historical TMY data results showed the inadequacy of this weather file for climate impact assessments of facades in both summer and winter. The approach used in this study can be repeated for different climate conditions, acting as a tool to design façades and predict their performance in face of a changing climate.

Numerical assessment of thermal bridging effects in 3D-printed foam concrete walls

Abstract Integrating smart technology and advanced materials in the construction industry has revolutionized traditional building practices, enhancing efficiency, sustainability, and overall performance. Researchers and professionals in the construction sector have shown significant interest in three-dimensional concrete printing (3DCP) for automating structural engineering tasks. Despite its potential as a sustainable solution to modern construction issues, there is a lack of research on the thermal insulation performance of three-dimensional printed concrete (3DPC) building envelopes, and the potential for integrating foam concrete (FC) to enhance energy efficiency has not yet been studied. This paper presents a numerical analysis examining how different infill geometries affect the thermal performance of 3D-printed foam concrete (3DPFC) lattice envelopes. Six lattice structures were designed with identical thickness, height, length, and comparable insulation areas. The effects of the contact (intersection) area of webs with the interior face shell, webs, and infill rows on the thermal performance of granularly insulated envelopes were studied. The effectiveness of insulation was also established. The findings indicate that the thermal transmittance of 3DPC envelopes correlates directly with the contact area of the webs and the interior surface, with U-values ranging from 0.151 W m2·K to 0.652 W/m2·K. Notably, the absence of direct connections between exterior and interior surfaces enhances insulation efficiency, with double-row structures achieving up to 94% insulation efficiency. However, when there is a direct connection between the two surfaces, the thermal performance of these envelopes is mainly affected by the contact (intersection) area of the webs with the interior face rather than the number of webs. By integrating foam concrete and double-row walls, this study demonstrates an innovative approach to reducing thermal bridging and improving energy performance in 3D-printed construction. The results offer novel insight into optimizing the thermal behavior of 3DPC systems for sustainable building practices.

Performance Evaluation of Low Thermal Bridging Drywall System with Separating Clips for C-Studs

Drywall systems comprising gypsum boards and steel C-studs are widely used due to their lightweight structure, rapid construction, and ease of installation. These systems must meet the required thermal insulation performance for their specific applications. However, metal C-studs penetrate the insulation layer at intervals, leading to additional heat loss, reduced thermal insulation performance, and lower indoor surface temperatures, which can result in condensation and mold growth. To address these issues, this study proposes a drywall system with low thermal bridging studs made up of two small-sized studs and four or five separating clips made of reinforced plastic. These clips separate the studs to minimize heat transfer through metal elements, maintain structural stability despite the spacing between them, and facilitate easy assembly. The results from mock-up tests showed that the proposed system’s thermal transmittance was 0.370 W/m2K, which is 28.8% lower than the 0.52 W/m2K observed with conventional C-studs. The proposed drywall system also met Korean regulations for acoustic insulation level 3 and the 2 h fire resistance criteria, similar to existing drywall systems with conventional C-studs. Moreover, the maximum and residual displacements were within an acceptable range for a horizontal load of 3000 N applied vertically to the non-load-bearing wall. Building energy analysis indicated that using the proposed drywall adjacent to unconditioned spaces could reduce the annual heating and cooling load by 2.5–3.0%, despite a 1.5–1.9% increase in the annual cooling load. The annual heating load decreased by 4.8–5.9% under infiltration rates of 0.5 to 1.5 air changes per hour for adjacent unconditioned spaces, making this drywall system’s improved insulation quality crucial for achieving heating-dominant zero-energy buildings.

Effects of Moisture Content on the Radiative Properties and Energy-Saving Performance of Silica Aerogel Windows.

The thermal insulation performance of windows is crucial for energy-efficient buildings. Windows are typically the weakest part of the building envelope, regarding thermal insulation. Due to its excellent thermal insulation and high transparency, silica aerogel shows great promise as a window material. However, moisture can impact the effectiveness of the aerogel, leading to poor visibility and reduced thermal insulation. This study simulated a silica aerogel with varying moisture levels using the combination of diffusion-limited cluster aggregation, discrete dipole approximation, and Monte Carlo methods. The effects of the moisture content, thickness, porosity, and particle size on thermal conductivity, solar transmittance, and haze were analyzed. Visual properties of the aerogels were also considered. The energy consumption of a 30 m2 room under different climates was simulated using TRNSYS to assess the energy-saving potential of silica aerogel glass. The findings indicate that a higher moisture content leads to decreased solar transmittance and increased thermal conductivity of aerogels. Silica aerogel glass is more energy efficient than single-layer float glass, with the dry aerogel performing better in cold climates but worse in hot climates. This study provides insights for designing aerogel glass that optimizes solar transmittance and thermal insulation to enhance building comfort and energy efficiency.

Thermal management optimization of natural convection in a triangular chamber: Role of heating positions and ternary hybrid nanofluid

In this paper, we used the multi-relaxation time lattice Boltzmann method to investigate natural convection in a triangular-shaped cavity filled with a tri-hybrid nanofluid. The cavity is partially heated by a chip of fixed size (l=L/2), the position of which varies on the left and bottom walls in order to find the optimal positions. The inclined side is maintained at a cool temperature, while the other parts are adiabatic. A detailed analysis is carried out on the impact of four essential parameters on the optimization of heat transfer: the Rayleigh number, ranging between Ra = 103 and Ra = 106; the partial heating position, showing the cavity in six different configurations; the fluid type, including pure water, nanofluid, hybrid nanofluid, and tri-hybrid nanofluid; and finally, the volume concentration of the nanoparticles for three values, ϕ = 0%, 3%, and 6%. Results are presented in the form of isotherms, streamlines, temperature and velocity profiles, and the mean Nusselt number values. As the results show, the position of the partial heater plays a crucial role, influencing natural convection heat transfer significantly in certain positions at all values of the Rayleigh number. The type of fluid has a remarkable impact on the amplification of natural convection at large values of the Rayleigh number, where the buoyancy force becomes strong. Notably, the use of tri-hybrid nanofluid shows a clear improvement in natural convection heat transfer. Furthermore, a substantial increase in thermal transmittance is observed with an increasing nanoparticle volume fraction. The validation results agree well with both numerical results and experimental data published in the literature.

Thermal Behaviour of Hydrofugated Plaster Block Masonry with Variation of Coating Thickness

The objective of this research is to analyze the influence of ceramic coating, simulating the external side, and plaster with different thicknesses, simulating the internal side of a prototype of solid water-repellent gypsum block masonry, aiming to improve the thermal performance mainly in the settlement joints of the block. For this purpose, two specific test methods were used: thermal camera and infrared thermography. The temperature differences between the internal and external faces were analyzed by means of thermocouples connected in the middle of the prototype and the mapping of the temperature profile on the surface of the cladding. It was found that the addition of gypsum sheathing plus ceramic improves the thermal performance of the masonry system, observing that the variation of the thickness of the gypsum mortar provides a gain in thermal resistance, a reduction in thermal transmittance and an increase in thermal capacity.

U-Values for Building Envelopes of Different Materials: A Review

In recent decades, the issue of building energy usage has become increasingly significant, and U-values for building envelopes have been key parameters in predicting building energy consumption. This study comprehensively reviews the U-values (thermal transmittances) of building envelopes made from conventional and bio-based materials. First, it introduces existing studies related to the theoretical and measured U-values for four types of building envelopes: concrete, brick, timber, and straw bale envelopes. Compared with concrete and brick envelopes, timber and straw bale envelopes have lower U-values. The differences between the measured and theoretical U-values of timber and straw bale envelopes are minor. The theoretical U-values of concrete and brick envelopes ranged from 0.12 to 2.09 W/m2K, and the measured U-values of concrete and brick envelopes ranged from 0.14 to 5.45 W/m2K. The theoretical U-values of timber and straw bale envelopes ranged from 0.092 to 1.10 W/m2K, and the measured U-values of timber and straw bale envelopes ranged from 0.04 to 1.30 W/m2K. Second, this paper analyses the environmental factors influencing U-values, including temperature, relative humidity, and solar radiation. Third, the relationship between U-values and building energy consumption is also analysed. Finally, the theoretical and measured U-values of different envelopes are compared. Three research findings in U-values for building envelopes are summarised: (1) the relationship between environmental factors and U-values needs to be studied in detail; (2) the gaps between theoretical and measured U-values are significant, especially for concrete and brick envelopes; (3) the accuracy of both theoretical and the measured U-values needs to be verified.

The effects of side-chain flexibility on the photosensitivity of polyimide alignment film

ABSTRACT To examine the impact of side-chain flexibility on the photosensitivity of polyimide liquid crystal (LC) alignment films, two polyimides (OD-HAB-CA and OD-HAB6-CA) were synthesised. OD-HAB6-CA contains flexible hexamethylene side chains. This study demonstrates that the OD-HAB-CA alignment film can induce LC molecular alignment after 80 min of non-polarised ultraviolet light (NPUVL) irradiation. In contrast, the OD-HAB6-CA alignment film can achieve the same result after only 35 min of irradiation. This suggests that the flexibility of the side-chain can significantly improve the photosensitivity of the alignment film and shorten the required irradiation time. In addition, OD-HAB-CA and OD-HAB6-CA exhibit good thermal stability and light transmittance properties. The resulting LC cell have pretilt angles of 0.2° and 0.5°, respectively, which are suitable for in-plane switching mode LCDs.

Thermal performance assessment of exterior building walls under intermittent air-conditioning operation in China's hot summer and cold winter zone

Optimizing the design and accurately assessing the performance of building envelopes are critical for substantially reducing energy use in the building sector. Existing studies on methods for evaluating the thermal performance of building envelopes have primarily focused on periodic unsteady conditions (often associated with continuous air-conditioning operation). This study aims to investigate the initial transient thermal performance of exterior building envelopes. Specifically, we examined varying insulation distributions considering the hot summer and cold winter zone of China as an example. To simulate real-world conditions, we developed a dynamic hot box facility that mimics both outdoor and indoor environments, enabling the measurement of key parameters of the dynamic thermal process of the wall. We evaluated the thermal response, energy performance, and heat storage metrics of the wall to understand the impact of the insulation distribution and air-conditioning operation modes on the thermal performance of opaque building walls. This assessment covered six intermittent operation stages—four construction structures and two types of building usage—for both summer and winter conditions. The proposed methodology provides a quantitative approach for assessing the dynamic thermal processes of the wall, with the results indicating that the heat transmission of walls during intermittent operation exhibited initial transient characteristics. As a result, thermal performance indices suitable for periodic unsteady conditions could not be directly applied to initial transient conditions. To address this issue, the metrics of daily mean dynamic thermal transmittance and daily mean dynamic thermal resistance were proposed and validated. These metrics accurately reflected the actual fluctuations in total transmission loads, thus providing an accurate rapid index-oriented method for assessing the energy-saving performance of walls. Overall, this study lays the groundwork for evaluating dynamic thermal behaviour of building envelopes.

Hybrid Nanofluid Flow over a Shrinking Darcy-Forchheimer Porous Medium with Shape Factor and Solar Radiation: A Stability Analysis

This research aimed to develop a numerical solution to analyze the effects of solar radiation and nanoparticle shape factors on the flow of a hybrid nanofluid past a shrinking Darcy-Forchheimer porous medium. The base fluid chosen for this study is water (H2O), and the hybrid nanofluid consists of nanoparticles of silver (Ag) and titanium dioxide (TiO2) in four different shapes: bricks, cylinders, platelets, and blades. To account for solar radiation, the energy model incorporated a radiative heat flux, while the momentum problem considers the influence of a magnetic field. The application of an appropriate similarity transformation method converts the partial differential equations (PDEs) model into a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The mathematical model is solved using the shooting technique method and the bvp4c solver. The obtained results, along with the effects of the nanoparticle shape factor, solar radiation parameter, shrinking parameter, Darcy-Forchheimer number, and nanofluid volume fraction, are visually presented through figures and tables. It is worth noting that, in our numerical results, we observed the presence of dual solutions when λ < 0. Our findings indicate that the thermal transmittance increases with an increase in the nanoparticle shape factor and solar radiative parameter. Additionally, we observed an escalation in the velocity distribution in relation to the shrinking parameter and nanofluid volume fraction. Before reaching the two solutions, a flow stability analysis revealed that the first branch appears to be the most stable. Overall, these findings provide valuable insights into the behaviour of hybrid nanofluid flow in the presence of solar radiation and porous media.

Thermal and manufacturing properties of hollow-core 3D-printed elements for lightweight facades

High-performance facades play an important role in achieving Net-Zero goals by 2050. As a facade manufacturing technology, 3D printing offers the opportunity to create site-specific and high-performance building envelopes. In this manuscript, the thermal performance of components fabricated with different Material Extrusion methods is studied experimentally, and the fabrication time is calculated, thereby examining both performance and fabrication viability. More specifically, this manuscript investigates the thermal performance of 3D-printed facades using Hollow-Core 3D printing (HC3DP) and explores the potential of this novel approach in creating thermally insulating, lightweight, and translucent building envelopes. The research compares the thermal resistance of HC3DP specimens to conventional material extrusion methods, such as desktop 3D printers, and granular-based, large-scale pellet extrusion. Different methods are used to determine the thermal resistance of specimens, including the dynamic thermal conductivity measurement for the desktop 3D-printed (3DP) specimens, and the steady-state hot box heat flux meter approach for HC3DP. The results demonstrate that HC3DP enables lower Thermal transmittance (U-value)s at lighter weight and faster printing speed, making it a promising avenue for further research. Additionally, the combination of HC3DP with aerogel is shown to create ultra-lightweight and thermally insulating 3D-printed facade elements. The potential of this new facade technology is also highlighted in comparison with established facade systems. All in all, the manuscript provides insights into the thermal performance of 3D-printed facades at different printing resolutions and emphasizes the importance of printing time and material consumption in determining the most promising 3D printing approach for lightweight and thermally insulating facades.

Application of the Heat Flow Meter Method and Extended Average Method to Improve the Accuracy of In Situ U-Value Estimations of Highly Insulated Building Walls

In the context of remodeling old buildings, enhancing insulation performance in the exterior skin necessitates an accurate assessment of a wall’s thermal performance. The conventional method for determining the thermal transmittance (U-value) of a wall is the heat flow meter (HFM) as outlined in the ISO 9869-1. However, this measurement is susceptible to errors influenced by indoor and outdoor environmental conditions and the wall’s material composition. This study evaluates the U-value of an internally insulated wall, specifically constructed for this purpose, utilizing both the average and dynamic methodologies of an HFM. Furthermore, it introduces a novel estimation method: the extended average method (EXAM). The effectiveness of this proposed method is ascertained by comparing the accuracy and convergence of the U-value estimations with those derived from existing methodologies. Additionally, the study explores the limitations of the HFM by analyzing the heat flow traversing the interior of a wall. The findings revealed that the EXAM method enhanced the precision of U-value estimation in all scenarios. Particularly, in walls with superior insulation, the HFM tended to underestimate the heat flow observed indoors, leading to negative errors. The EXAM method, incorporating considerations of both insulation and structural materials, offers an accurate in situ measurement of the U-value relative to the HFM.

Effects of joint tolerances on thermal bridging in precast concrete shear walls: Field tests and numerical simulations

Prefabricated buildings are gaining momentum due to their ecological benefits, speedy construction, and precision. However, unlike conventional cast-in-place structures, precast concrete shear walls are more susceptible to thermal and quality defects due to inherent tolerances. Four precast concrete shear wall connections prone to thermal bridges were identified through case studies of factories and real projects. Steady-state and dynamic modeling was conducted using determinant and stochastic matrices to assess the impact of joint tolerances on thermal distribution. The effects of joint tolerance magnitude and insulation material properties on linear thermal transmittance were investigated, complemented by a polynomial-based sensitivity analysis. A versatile prediction model was developed, integrating physical modeling and data-driven approaches to quickly quantify the thermal bridges of precast concrete shear wall connections. The results revealed a significant positive correlation between thermal bridges and joint tolerances, leading to extensive low-temperature regions within precast concrete shear walls. In dynamic modeling, joint tolerances contributed to additional heat dissipation, with a peak heat flux of 20.07 W/m. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated that joint tolerances greatly influence the correlation between linear thermal transmittance and insulation layer properties. Leveraging Categorical Boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting, the prediction of linear thermal transmittance for precast concrete shear wall connections exhibited exceptional accuracy while significantly reducing computational costs. This research aids designers and policymakers by providing rapid and precise linear thermal transmittance calculations, offering valuable guidance for manufacturing prefabricated components to ensure enhanced energy efficiency and sustainability.