BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is an age-related disorder closely linked to autonomic nervous system dysfunction. Neurofilament light chain (NFL) protein is a biomarker for neurodegenerative diseases. ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of NFL in forecasting AF recurrence after ablation. MethodsPatients newly diagnosed with AF who underwent catheter ablation were included. Serum NFL levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The primary outcome was AF recurrence during follow-up. ResultsA total of 215 consecutive patients were enrolled, with average follow-up period of 10.69 months. During this period, 29 patients experienced AF recurrence. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that high NFL levels (≥300 pg/mL) were an independent predictor of recurrence risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.756; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.392–10.136). The associations between NFL levels and AF recurrence were consistent across subgroups defined by age (>65 years), gender, hypertension, and paroxysmal AF. Restricted cubic spline analysis showed a consistent linear relationship across the entire range of NFL levels. Furthermore, incorporating NFL into the CHA2DS2-VASc score model significantly improved the prediction of recurrent AF risk, as demonstrated by time-dependent area under the curve and decision curve analysis. Notable enhancements were also observed in terms of net reclassification improvement (HR 0.464; 95% CI 0.226–0.675; P <.05) and integrated discrimination improvement (HR 0.087; 95% CI 0.017–0.183; P = .08). ConclusionNFL may serve as an effective biomarker for risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making in patients with new-onset AF who have undergone catheter ablation.