Surface Temperature Gradient Research Articles

Intensified gradient La Niña and extra-tropical thermal patterns drive the 2022 East and South Asian “Seesaw” extremes

In July and August 2022, a notable “seesaw” extreme pattern emerged, characterized by the “Yangtze River Valley (YRV) drought” juxtaposed with the “Indus Basin (IB) flood”, leading to enormous economic and human losses. We observed that the “seesaw” extreme pattern concurs with the second-strongest sea surface temperature (SST) gradient between the equatorial central and western Pacific caused by the triple-dip La Niña and western Pacific warming. The convergent statistical and numerical evidence suggested that the enhanced SST gradients tend to amplify the western Pacific convection and the descending Rossby responses to the La Niña cooling, promoting the “seesaw” extreme pattern through the westward expansion of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). Further investigation demonstrated that the magnitude of the YRV surface temperature and IB rainfall exhibited a reversed change from July to August. The persistent cooling of the southern Indian Ocean induced by the triple-dip La Niña increases the cross-equatorial moisture transport, which played a significant role in the record-breaking IB rainfall during July. By contrast, the historic YRV surface temperature occurred in August with a decrease in IB rainfall. The Barents-Kara Sea warming extended the downstream impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation via local air-sea interaction that enhanced the WPSH and the YRV extreme surface temperature by emanating an equatorward teleconnection wave train. The overlay of the tropical thermal conditions and extra-tropical forcings largely aggravated the severity of the “YRV drought and IB flood”.

Understanding the Inter-Model Spread of PDO’s Impact on Tropical Cyclone Frequency over the Western North Pacific in CMIP6 Models

This work investigates the inter-model diversity of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation’s (PDO) impact on tropical cyclone frequency (TCF) over the Western North Pacific (WNP) from the historical simulation of twenty-two Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models. The impact of the PDO is expressed as the TCF difference between the positive and negative PDO phases. The comparison between the models with high PDO skill and low PDO skill shows that the PDO-related sea surface temperature (SST) gradient between the western and central tropical Pacific plays an important role in changing the large-scale atmospheric dynamic fields for TC genesis and, thus, the TCF over the WNP. This SST gradient also significantly contributes to the inter-model spread of PDO’s impact on TCF across the 22 CMIP6 models. We, therefore, stress that the PDO-related eastward SST gradient between the western and central tropical Pacific triggers the lower troposphere westerly and eastward extending of the monsoon trough over the WNP. The moistening of the atmosphere and enhancing ascending motion in the mid-troposphere promote convection, leading to the easterly wind anomaly over the upper troposphere, which reduces the vertical wind shear. Those favorable dynamic conditions consistently promote the TC formation over the southeastern part of the Western North Pacific. Our results highlight that PDO could impact the WNP TCF through its associated tropical SST gradient.

Bayesian multi-proxy reconstruction of early Eocene latitudinal temperature gradients

Abstract. Accurately reconstructing large-scale palaeoclimatic patterns from sparse local records is critical for understanding the evolution of Earth's climate. Particular challenges arise from the patchiness, uneven spatial distribution, and disparate nature of palaeoclimatic proxy records. Geochemical data typically provide temperature estimates via transfer functions derived from experiments. Similarly, transfer functions based on the climatic requirements of modern taxa exist for some fossil groups, such as pollen assemblages. In contrast, most ecological and lithological data (e.g. coral reefs and evaporites) only convey information on broad climatic requirements. Historically, most large-scale proxy-based reconstructions have used either geochemical or ecological data, but few studies have combined multiple proxy types into a single quantitative reconstruction. Large spatial gaps in existing proxy records have often been bridged by simple averaging, without taking into account the spatial distribution of samples, leading to biased temperature reconstructions. Here, we present a Bayesian hierarchical model to integrate ecological data with established geochemical proxies into a unified quantitative framework, bridging gaps in the latitudinal coverage of proxy data. We apply this approach to the early Eocene climatic optimum (EECO), the interval with the warmest sustained temperatures of the Cenozoic. Assuming the conservation of thermal tolerances of modern coral reefs and mangrove taxa, we establish broad sea surface temperature ranges for EECO coral reef and mangrove sites. We integrate these temperature estimates with the EECO geochemical shallow marine proxy record to model the latitudinal sea surface temperature gradient and global average temperatures of the EECO. Our results confirm the presence of a flattened latitudinal temperature gradient and unusually high polar temperatures during the EECO, which is supported by high-latitude ecological data. We show that integrating multiple types of proxy data, and adequate prior information, has the potential to enhance quantitative palaeoclimatic reconstructions, improving temperature estimates from datasets with limited spatial sampling.

Simulation of Diurnal Evolution of Evaporation Zone during Soil Drying after Rainfall

To better understand processes involved in the evaporative drying of the soil, simulations on the dynamics of the evaporation zone, condensation zone, and dry surface layer (DSL) were conducted during a 10-day drying event under diurnal atmospheric conditions. Simulated water contents and soil temperatures matched well with the measured data in the lysimeter. Surface evaporation predominantly occurred during the early period each day, while subsurface evaporation dominated during the remaining part of the day. The evaporation zone presented a distinctly diurnal pattern, moving toward the deeper soil layer during the daytime and back toward the soil surface during the nighttime. The DSL and condensation zone, located immediately above and below the evaporation zone, respectively, also presented diurnal patterns following those of the evaporation zone. As soil drying progressed, both the position of the evaporation zone within the profile and the DSL width exhibited an overall increasing trend, reaching about 4.9 mm by the end of the study period. The occurrence of condensation zones was limited to the daytime when there was a downward surface temperature gradient present. Diurnal patterns observed in both evaporation zones and DSL could potentially be determined by quantifying changes in the near-surface profile’s soil water content, relative humidity, pressure head, and vapor density.

Wearable microfluidic sweat collection platform with a calorimetric flow rate sensor for realtime and long-term sweat rate measurements

This work presents the design and fabrication of a wearable microfluidic patch-based system for sweat collection with a calorimetric flow rate sensor based on heat convection for measuring sweat rate (SR). The effects were predicted using a 3D multi-physics simulator and were verified on a fabricated patch made of polyimide layers. The sensor can detect surface temperature gradients of 302–312 K caused by fluid flowing thru the microfluidic channels at a rate of 0.5–23 µg s−1 that fall within the physiological range of SR. Meanwhile, the relation between flow rate and temperature gradient is highly linear (Pearson r2 = 0.999) and repeatable. This work also demonstrates a low-cost method for patterning microfluidic channels on flexible substrates which can be used for mass production of wearable patches.

Dynamical Importance of the Trade Wind Inversion in Suppressing the Southeast Pacific ITCZ

AbstractSea surface temperature (SST) gradients are a primary driver of low‐level wind convergence in the east Pacific Inter‐Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) through their hydrostatic relationship to the surface pressure gradient force (PGF). However, the surface PGF may not always align with SST gradients due to variations in boundary layer temperature gradients with height, that is, the boundary layer contribution to the surface PGF. In this study, we investigate the observed northern hemisphere position of the east Pacific ITCZ using a slab boundary layer model (SBLM) driven by different approximations of the boundary layer virtual temperature field. SBLM simulations using the entire boundary layer virtual temperature profile produce a realistic northern hemisphere ITCZ. However, SST‐only simulations produce excessive equatorial divergence and southern hemisphere convergence, resulting in a latitudinally confined double ITCZ‐like structure. Observed virtual temperature gradients highlight the importance of northward temperature gradients strengthening with height from the equator to 15°S below the trade wind inversion (TWI). Our interpretation is that the equatorial cold tongue induces relatively weak high surface pressure and double ITCZ‐like convergence because the resulting layer of cold air is shallow. Concurrently, relatively strong high surface pressure spreads out in the southern hemisphere due to interactions between stratocumulus clouds and the ocean surface. Together, the equatorial cold tongue and the TWI/stratocumulus clouds enable a more northern hemisphere dominant ITCZ. Thus, we provide evidence of a dynamical link between the equatorial cold tongue, low clouds, and double ITCZs, which continue to be problematic in Earth system models.

Diurnal to Decadal Variability in Land Surface and Air Temperature Gradient from 2002 to 2022 over the Contiguous United States

Abstract The surface and air temperature gradient (TS00 − Tair) drives the development of the convective boundary layer and the occurrence of clouds and precipitation. However, its variability is still poorly understood due to the lack of high-quality observations. This study fills in this gap by investigating the diurnal to decadal variability in TS00 − Tair from 2002 to 2022 based on hourly observations collected at over 100 stations of the U.S. Climate Reference Network. It is found that TS00 − Tair reaches its maximum at noon with an average of 6.85°C over the contiguous United States, which decreases to 4.28°C when the soil moisture exceeds 30%. The daily minimum of TS00 − Tair has an average of −2.08°C, which generally occurs in the early evening but is postponed as the cloud fraction decreases. Moreover, while existing studies have used the near-surface soil temperature, such as the 5-cm soil temperature (TS05), to calculate TS05 − Tair, we find that TS00 − Tair and TS05 − Tair have opposite diurnal cycles, and their amplitudes differed drastically. The daily minimum of TS00 − Tair has a significant decreasing trend (−0.50° ± 0.007°C decade−1) from 2002 to 2022 due to Tair increasing at a higher rate than TS00 during the nighttime. The occurrence frequency of near-surface stable conditions (TS00 − Tair < 0) increases significantly, and the frequency of unstable conditions (TS00 − Tair > 0) decreases notably throughout the year except for winter. When it is stable, the magnitude of TS00 − Tair tends to decrease while the TS00 − Tair tends to increase when it is unstable, which is consistent with the drying condition caused by the precipitation deficit. This study provides the first observational evidence on how TS00 − Tair responds to warming. Significance Statement The impact of global warming on surface-air temperature gradients is a crucial scientific issue that needs to be addressed. These gradients determine changes in cloud and precipitation, affecting water resources. However, traditional surface temperature measurements from weather stations are of high uncertainty due to direct exposure to the insolation. Satellite retrieval of surface temperature is limited by the availability of clear sky conditions, with low accuracy for temperature gradient calculations. Despite their importance, high-accuracy data of land surface temperature are still lacking. To address this issue, the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) uses infrared radiometers to continuously monitor surface temperature with high accuracy and sampling frequency. This study reports on surface-air temperature gradients at more than 100 U.S. stations, providing insight into diurnal to decadal variability over the contiguous United States. The study also highlights the significant difference between the land surface temperature–air temperature gradient and soil temperature–air temperature gradient.

Uncertainty in the Past and Future Changes of Tropical Pacific SST Zonal Gradient: Internal Variability versus Model Spread

Abstract The zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient across the tropical Pacific is a pacemaker of the variable rates of global warming. In both historical simulations and future projections, the current state-of-the-art climate models show evident spread in the changes of zonal SST gradient, but the reasons remain unknown. Here, we quantify the contributions of internal variability and model spread to the uncertainty of zonal SST gradient changes by analyzing 342 realizations from CMIP5 and CMIP6 models and several sets of large-ensemble simulations. We found that the internal variability dominates the total uncertainty at multidecadal time scales (∼31-yr trends). Although the ratio of internal uncertainty to the total uncertainty declines along with higher emission of greenhouse gases under global warming, it is still over 80% at the multidecadal time scales in the future. The Pacific decadal oscillation is identified as the key internal mode responsible for the multidecadal uncertainty. For the future projections at centurial time scales, the uncertainty of zonal SST gradient changes is mainly from the intermodel spread in response to external forcing, accounting for about 70% of the uncertainty based on the difference between 2070–99 and 1970–99. The model spread in the cloud–shortwave radiation–SST feedback over the tropical Pacific is important in the uncertainty of zonal SST gradient changes. In particular, the intensity of negative convective cloud feedback in the western Pacific dominates the spread in CMIP5 models, while the intensity of stratocumulus cloud feedback over the southeastern Pacific is the primary process influencing the uncertainty in CMIP6 models.

Mean reef fish body size decreases towards warmer waters

AbstractAquatic ectotherms often attain smaller body sizes at higher temperatures. By analysing ~15,000 coastal‐reef fish surveys across a 15°C spatial sea surface temperature (SST) gradient, we found that the mean length of fish in communities decreased by ~5% for each 1°C temperature increase across space, or 50% decrease in mean length from 14 to 29°C mean annual SST. Community mean body size change was driven by differential temperature responses within trophic groups and temperature‐driven change in their relative abundance. Herbivores, invertivores and planktivores became smaller on average in warmer temperatures, but no trend was found in piscivores. Nearly 25% of the temperature‐related community mean size trend was attributable to trophic composition at the warmest sites, but at colder temperatures, this was <1% due to trophic groups being similarly sized. Our findings suggest that small changes in temperature are associated with large changes in fish community composition and body sizes, with important ecological implications.

Heterogeneous CNF/MoO3 nanofluidic membranes with tunable surface plasmon resonances for solar-osmotic energy conversion.

Two-dimensional (2D) nanofluidic membranes are competitive candidates for osmotic energy harvesting and have been greatly developed. However, the use of diverse inherent characteristics of 2D nanosheets, such as electronic or optoelectronic properties, to achieve intelligent ion transport, still lacks sufficient exploration. Here, a cellulose nanofiber/molybdenum oxide (CNF/MoO3) heterogeneous nanofluidic membrane with high performance solar-osmotic energy conversion is reported, and how surface plasmon resonances (SPR) regulate selective cation transport is revealed. The SPR of amorphous MoO3 endows the heterogeneous nanofluidic membranes with tunable surface charge and good photothermal conversion. Through DFT calculations and finite element modeling, the regulation of electronic and optoelectronic properties on the surface of materials by SPR and the influence of surface charge density and temperature gradient on ion transport in nanofluidic membranes are demonstrated. By mixing 0.01/0.5 M NaCl solutions using SPR and photothermal effects, the power density can achieve a remarkable value of ≈13.24 W m-2, outperforming state-of-the-art 2D-based nanofluidic membranes. This work first reveals the regulation and mechanism of SPR on ion transport in nanofluidic membranes and systematically studies photon-electron-ion interactions in nanofluidic membranes, which could also provide a new viewpoint for promoting osmotic energy conversion.

Comparative Analysis of the 2013 and 2022 Record-Breaking Heatwaves over the Yangtze River Basin

The Yangtze River Basin (YRB) experienced record-breaking heatwaves (HWs) during the summers of 2013 and 2022. A comparative analysis of their variations and physical causes was undertaken using ERA5 reanalysis data to determine the similarities and differences between their characteristics and mechanisms. The results show that the duration of the 2013 and 2022 HWs rank as the second and first longest, respectively, since the 1950s. Both HWs were associated with anomalous high pressure and descending motions over the middle and lower reaches of the YRB in conjunction with a westward shift of the Northwestern Pacific subtropical high in summer. These high-pressure anomalies over the YRB led to decreases in total precipitation, soil moisture, and cloud cover and increases in surface solar radiation and air temperature, favoring the 2 HWs. However, high-pressure anomalies associated with the 2013 HWs peaked in July, while those associated with the 2022 HWs peaked in August. The 2022 HWs were of longer duration and higher intensity than those in 2013, which was primarily due to the stronger anticyclonic circulation anomalies induced by more intense Rossby wave trains in the mid to high latitudes in 2022. Notably, the zonal sea surface temperature gradient in the tropical Pacific, which was larger in 2022 than in 2013, played a crucial role in triggering the high-pressure anomalies and extreme HWs over the YRB through forcing distinct patterns of northeastward propagating wave trains over East Asia in the 2 years.

Uncertainty on Atlantic Niño Variability Projections

AbstractSources of uncertainty (i.e., internal variability, model and scenario) in Atlantic Niño variability projections were quantified in 49 models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Phases 5 (CMIP5) and 6 (CMIP6). By the end of the twenty‐first century, the ensemble mean change in Atlantic Niño variability is −0.07 ± 0.10˚C, with 80% of CMIP models projecting a decrease, and representing a 16% reduction relative to the 1981–2005 ensemble mean. Models' projections depict a large spread, with variability changes ranging from 0.23˚C to −0.50˚C. Internal variability is the main source of uncertainty until 2045 but model uncertainty dominates thereafter, eventually explaining up to 80% of the total uncertainty. The scenario uncertainty remains low (<1%) throughout the twenty‐first century. The total uncertainty on Atlantic Niño variability projections is not improved when considering only CMIP models with a realistic zonal equatorial Atlantic sea surface temperature gradient.

Southward Shift and Intensification of the Intertropical Convergence Zone in the North Pacific Across the Mid‐Pleistocene Transition

AbstractThe Hadley Circulation and associated westerlies strengthened and moved equatorward across the mid‐Pleistocene transition (MPT). However, the evolution of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is still elusive due to the scarcity of long‐term hydrological records from regions sensitive to the ITCZ change. Here, high‐resolution sea surface salinity estimates derived from surface‐dwelling planktic foraminiferal δ18O and Mg/Ca in Ocean Drilling Program Site 871 reveal a long‐term freshening trend in the central equatorial Pacific across the MPT. We attribute this secular reorganization of the precipitation‐evaporation balance to the gradual southward migration and intensification of ITCZ in the North Pacific. It is inferred that the long‐term evolution of the ITCZ was modulated by the increased meridional sea surface temperature gradients and the enhancements of trade winds across the MPT.

Wettening of the Southern Hemisphere Land Monsoon during 1901–2014

Abstract The causes of historical changes in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) monsoon are less understood than the Northern Hemisphere (NH) counterpart. Unlike the decline in the NH monsoon during 1901–2014, we found that the SH land monsoon precipitation significantly increased during 1901–2014 in observation, reanalysis, and most historical simulations from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). The observed increase in SH land monsoon precipitation is dominated by the Australian and South American monsoons. Moisture budget analysis suggests that half of the wettening is attributable to the strengthening of monsoon circulation, and only one-fifth is caused by atmospheric moistening. The SH monsoon circulation change is mainly affected by the sea surface temperature (SST) gradient between the Indo-Pacific and the eastern Pacific. It enhances the tropical zonal circulation that redistributes the moisture from tropical oceans to land monsoon regions by strengthening the lower-tropospheric convergence and convection. The CMIP6 models, which successfully reproduced the SST contrast between the Indo-Pacific and eastern Pacific, simulate the wettening of the SH monsoon during the historical period; otherwise, the SH monsoon is weakened. In a meridional sense, reanalysis and CMIP6 simulations both demonstrated that the strengthening of SH monsoon convection plays a vital role in the long-term change of zonal mean Hadley circulation, albeit the monsoon band only accounts for 1/3 of the global longitudinal area. Results from this study are useful for constraining the future projection of SH monsoon and understanding the long-term change of Hadley circulation.

The dynamics of Rn-222 cyclic flow within the shallow geological subsurface media as a daily temporal variated source for exhalation into the air

Extensive research on the dynamics of radon gas (Rn-222) originating from the radioactive decay of radium (Ra-226) in geological subsurface media, sheds light on its periodic release into the atmosphere. Radon is a product of the uranium-238 decay chain found within rock and soil grains. While only a fraction of the generated radon escapes (emanates) into porous spaces due to nuclear recoil, it serves as the source for subsurface gas flows and for cyclic exhalation into the soil-atmosphere interface.Ongoing study of radon movement in shallow and deep subsoil, and its emergence at the surface, reveals complete semi-diurnal, diurnal, and seasonal gas flow cycles in the subsoil. Complementary emissions occur nocturnally as radon is released into the atmosphere. Moreover, two natural driving forces govern complex semi-diurnal and diurnal flows below and above the surface. Subsurface gas movement in porous media exhibits nonlinear behavior influenced by surface temperature gradients, resulting in downward flow to depths of up to 100 m. This flow exhibits daily periodicity with depth-dependent time delays, correlating with the diurnal surface temperature cycle. Additionally, pore gas transport into and out of open boreholes responds linearly to semi-diurnal barometric pressure changes, known as barometric pumping.Beyond subsurface phenomena, Europe and Australia increasingly employ nocturnal radon measurements to study atmospheric stability and air quality, assuming that variations in local stationary near-surface radon concentrations reflect atmospheric mixing processes. Recognizing mechanisms governing radon's temporal changes within geological subsurface media highlights the need for continuous underground radon monitoring to validate variations in daily radon exhalation to the surface.On the other hand, monitoring radon at considerable depths minimizes climatic contributions and enhances the ability to discern non-periodic pre-seismic radon signals, independent of atmospheric compulsion. This research offers potential insights into seismic precursors and the complex interplay between subsurface geodynamics and atmospheric conditions.

High‐Latitude, Indian Ocean, and Orbital Influences on Eastern African Hydroclimate Across the Plio‐Pleistocene Boundary

AbstractTerrestrial‐marine dust fluxes, pedogenic carbonate δ13C values, and various paleovegetation proxies suggest that Africa experienced gradual cooling and drying across the Pliocene‐Pleistocene (Plio‐Pleistocene) boundary (2.58 million years ago [Ma]). However, the timing, magnitude, resolution, and relative influences of orbitally‐driven changes in high latitude glaciations and low latitude insolation differ by region and proxy. To disentangle these forcings and investigate equatorial eastern African climate across the Plio‐Pleistocene boundary, we generated a high‐resolution (∼3,000‐year) data set of compound‐specific n‐alkane leaf wax δ2H values—a robust proxy for atmospheric circulation and precipitation amount—from the HSPDP‐BTB13‐1A core, which spans a ∼3.3–2.6 Ma sequence in the Baringo‐Tugen Hills‐Barsemoi Basin of central Kenya. In combination with the physical sedimentology, our data indicate that precipitation varied strongly with orbital obliquity, not precession, during the late Pliocene, perhaps imparted by variations in the cross‐equatorial insolation gradient. We also observe a marked shift toward wetter conditions beginning ∼3 Ma that corresponds with global cooling, drying in western Australia, and a steepening of the west‐east zonal Indian Ocean (IO) sea surface temperature (SST) gradient. We propose that northward migration of the Subtropical Front reduced Agulhas current leakage, warming the western IO and causing changes in the IO zonal SST gradient at 3 Ma, a process that has been observed in the latest Pleistocene‐Holocene but not over longer timescales. Thus, the late Cenozoic moisture history of eastern Africa is driven by a complex mixture of low‐latitude insolation, the IO SST gradient, and teleconnections to distal high‐latitude cooling.

The Atmospheric and Oceanic Processes on Thermal Front Variability over the Java Sea

The Java Sea is influenced by various atmospheric and oceanographic factors such as monsoon winds and the inflow of water from adjacent seas, thus leading to the formation of thermal fronts. In this research, the atmospheric process over the thermal front was estimated by using sea surface temperature (SST) gradient and crosswind-SST gradient calculation based on the GLORYS12V1 monthly SST data from Copernicus Marine Service (CMEMS) and the ERA5 monthly surface wind data from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for 27 years (from 1993 to 2019). Moreover, the oceanic process was determined from the volume transports of three major channels surrounding the Java Sea, which are Karimata Strait, Sunda Strait, and the eastern boundary of the Java Sea. Based on the annual variance analysis, there are four main thermal front areas, such as Northern Java Coast (NJC), Eastern Sumatra Coast (ESC), Western Borneo Coast (WBC), and Eastern Borneo Coast (EBC). The annual variation of the thermal front over the ESC, WBC, and ESC has two peaks in March and October, while the NJC thermal front area has three peaks in March, July, and November. This study results that the thermal front activities over the NJC, WBC, and EBC are significantly correlated to the wind stress curl over those areas, with a coefficient correlation of about 0.62, -0.92, and -0.73, respectively. In addition, the increase in thermal front activity over the NJC area is controlled by negative wind stress curl with no lag time, while the WBC and EBC areas are controlled by positive wind stress curl with a lag time of 1 month (wind stress leads). On the other hand, the thermal front activity over the ESC area is closely related to southward volume transport from the Karimata Strait, with a correlation coefficient of -0.74 and a lag time of 2 months (volume transport leads).

CO2 fluxes under different oceanic and atmospheric conditions in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean

The Southwest Atlantic Ocean (SAO) is one of the largest global carbon sink areas. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to investigate turbulent CO2 flux behavior and quantify it in the presence of an intense horizontal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient in the SAO under different atmospheric conditions. In-situ, satellite, and reanalysis data were used from October 14 to 27, 2018 to achieve this objective. The study area was divided into four areas based on satellite observations of SST, salinity, and chlorophyll. The CO2 flux was calculated using the eddy covariance method. During the experiment the area absorbing the most CO2 was the Brazil Current (BC) owing to its proximity to the chlorophyll-rich and less saline waters of the La Plata River and the cold and less saline waters from the Malvinas Current (MC). Moreover, intense wind speeds increased the CO2 flux between the ocean and atmosphere. The Brazil Malvinas Confluence (BMC) also behaved as a CO2 sink, and the modulation of CO2 fluxes was due to the intense horizontal gradient of SST together with the moderate surface wind and turbulence. During the experiment, the MC sequestered less carbon than other regions because of the presence of high-pressure atmospheric systems near the region, resulting in high atmospheric stability, that inhibited mass exchange between the ocean and atmosphere. Vertical mixing mechanisms were identified at the BMC on the cold side, over MC waters. However, in the BC waters, the marine atmospheric boundary layer was modulated by the high-pressure atmospheric system, which suppressed the turbulent mixing. However, the intense mass exchange between the ocean and atmosphere was inhibited, and the area behaved as a mild CO2 sink because of the high-pressure system. This research contributes to a better understanding of the role of the SAO in the global carbon balance in a climate change scenario, and we showed that area can act as a CO2 sink or source, depending on the large-scale atmospheric conditions acting.

Radiative forcing from aerosol–cloud interactions enhanced by large-scale circulation adjustments

The impact of anthropogenic aerosols on clouds is a leading source of uncertainty in estimating the effect of human activity on the climate system. The challenge lies in the scale difference between clouds (~1–10 km) and general circulation and climate (>1,000 km). To address this, we use convection-permitting simulations conducted in a long and narrow domain, to resolve convection while also including a representation of large-scale processes. We examine a set of simulations that include a sea surface temperature gradient—which drives large-scale circulation—and compare these with simulations that include no gradient. We show that the effective radiative forcing due to aerosol–cloud interactions is strongly enhanced by adjustments of large-scale circulation to aerosol. We find that an increase in aerosol concentration suppresses precipitation in shallow-convective regions, which enhances water vapour transport to the portion of the domain dominated by deep convection. The subsequent increase in latent heat release in deep-convective regions strengthens the overturning circulation and surface evaporation. These changes can explain the increase in cloudiness under higher aerosol concentrations and, consequently, the large aerosol radiative effect. This work highlights the fundamental importance of large-scale circulation adjustments in understanding the effective radiative forcing from aerosol–cloud interactions.

Enhanced rainfall in North China in July 2021: Role of the North Pacific SST gradient

The rainfall over North China (NC) in July 2021 was the most since 1980, and coincided with a meridional gradient of sea surface temperature anomaly (MGSSTA) in the Pacific. The present study shows that the gradient between the positive sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) over the northwestern Pacific and the negative SSTA over the tropical central Pacific was the main reason for the enhanced rainfall in NC in July 2021 because of its influence on the anomalous northward movements of the western North Pacific anticyclone (WNPAC) and its southern cyclone. The associated easterly wind anomalies along the southern flank of the WNPAC converged with the anomalous easterly along the north flank of the anomalous cyclone, transporting more moisture from south to NC. Meanwhile, the MGSSTA likely induced an anomalous reversed Hadley circulation accompanied by distinct southerly wind anomalies in the low troposphere. These anomalies favored a strong monsoon circulation, which is often accompanied by a rain band in a more northern location.摘要2021年7月, 华北地区的降水量突破1980年以来的极值, 这与太平洋海温异常的经向梯度相吻合. 研究表明, 西北太平洋正海温异常与热带中太平洋负海温异常之间的梯度是2021年7月华北地区降水异常偏多的主要原因, 该梯度使得西北太平洋反气旋及其南部的气旋北移, 汇合的偏东风将大量水汽从海洋输送到华北地区, 使得华北地区降水偏多. 同时, 太平洋海温异常的经向梯度可能在对流层低层触发异常的反向哈德利环流, 伴随着南风异常, 使得季风环流增强, 雨带偏北.