System Optimization Model Research Articles

Integration of disamenity costs and equality considerations regarding onshore wind power expansion and distribution into energy system optimization models

BackgroundSocial acceptance of energy infrastructure projects affects public support for the energy transition and is essential for the transition’s sustainability and success. Despite extensive research focusing on the social acceptance of renewable energy, and on the acceptance of onshore wind power in particular, energy system models have largely prioritized techno-economic aspects. This focus has created a gap between model results and decision-makers’ needs. In this study, we offer recommendations for integrating disamenity costs and equality considerations—two critical social aspects related to onshore wind power—into energy system optimization. To achieve this, we use a spatially distributed model from a climate-neutral Germany and explore various implementations and trade-offs of these two social aspects.ResultsWe identified effective linear formulations for both disamenity costs and equality considerations as model extensions, notably outperforming quadratic alternatives, which exhibit longer solution times (+ 50–115%). Our findings reveal that the endogenous consideration of disamenity costs in the optimization approach can significantly reduce the human population’s exposure to wind turbines, decreasing the average disamenity per turbine by 53%. Drawing on notions of welfare economics, we employ two different approaches for integrating equality into the optimization process, permitting the modulation of the degree of equality within spatial distributions in energy system models. The trade-offs of the two social aspects compared to the cost-optimal reference are moderate, resulting in a 2–3% increase in system costs.ConclusionsDisamenity costs emerge as a predominant factor in the distribution of onshore wind power in energy system optimization models. However, existing plans for onshore wind power distribution in Germany underscore equality as the driving factor. The inclusion of social aspects in energy system models facilitates the identification of socially superior wind turbine locations. Neglecting disamenity costs and equality considerations leads to an overestimation of the practical solution space for decision-makers and, consequently, the resulting energy system designs.

Intelligent Optimization and Impact Analysis of Energy Efficiency and Carbon Reduction in the High-Temperature Sintered Ore Production Process

The coordinated optimization of energy conservation, efficiency improvement, and pollution reduction in the sintering production process is vital for the efficient and sustainable development of the sintering department. However, previous studies have shown shortcomings in the multi-objective collaborative optimization of sintering systems and the quantification of pollutant impacts. To address these, this paper proposes a multi-objective optimization method integrated with the NSGA-III algorithm and establishes an integrated system optimization model for sintered ore production and high-temperature waste heat recovery. The results demonstrate significant improvements: energy utilization efficiency increased by 0.67%, energy consumption decreased by 17.3 MJ/t, production costs were reduced by 11.45 CNY/t, and the emissions of CO2, SO2, and NOx were reduced by 0.464 kg/t, 0.034 kg/t, and 0.008 kg/t, respectively. Additionally, the study identified optimal configuration parameters and analyzed the quantitative impact of several key factors on multiple indicators. The results also show that reducing the water content of the mixture, decreasing the middling coal content in the fuel, and increasing the thickness of the material layer are effective strategies to reduce energy consumption and pollutant emissions in the sintering process. Overall, implementing these optimizations can bring significant economic and environmental benefits to the steel industry.

Implications of accelerated and delayed climate action for Ireland’s energy transition under carbon budgets

Limiting global warming requires the effective implementation of energy mitigation measures by individual countries. However, the consequences of the timing of these efforts on the technical feasibility of adhering to cumulative carbon budgets—which determines future global warming—are underexplored. Moreover, existing national studies on carbon budgets either overlook integrated sectoral interactions, path dependencies, or comprehensive demand-side strategies. To address this, we analyse Ireland’s mitigation pathways under equal per-capita carbon budgets using an energy systems optimisation model. Our findings reveal that delayed mitigation brings forward the need for a net-zero target by five years, risks carbon lock-in and stranded assets, increase reliance on carbon dioxide removal technologies and leads to higher long-term mitigation costs. To keep the Paris Agreement targets, countries must set and meet accelerated mid-term mitigation goals and address energy demand.

A two-stage bi-level electricity-carbon coordinated optimization model for China's coal-fired power system considering variable renewable energy bidding

With China's grid-connected large-scale variable renewable energy, coal-fired power system is progressively changing from being the main supplier of electric energy to providing flexibility services. The coal-fired power system must increase operating efficiency during this transition process by considering the technical characteristics of various coal-fired power units. Additionally, the trading strategies of coal-fired power units in the electricity-carbon market are impacted differently depending on the extent of VRE penetration. This paper innovatively considers these two factors and proposes a two-stage bi-level clearing model in electricity-carbon joint market to coordinate the synergistic development of variable renewable energy and coal-fired power. The upper level of the model aims to maximize the total profits of the coal-fired power system and variable renewable energy units, while the lower level of the model minimizes the total purchasing costs. Coal-fired power units and variable renewable energy units compete to sell electric energy, with the latter buying peaking regulation from the former. The research results indicate that the proposed model can significantly reduce 66.79 % carbon emissions, increase 33.96 % non-fossil variable renewable energy integration and optimize the generation structure of coal-fired power system.

Optimization model for mass casualty management system using qos-aware routing protocol and casualty triage prediction

Abstract Purpose Unexpected events, whether man-made or natural, cause significant distress and disorder. The number and magnitude of disasters and catastrophes have been rising globally in recent decades, according to historical data. Continued real-time monitoring of mass casualty along with the arrangement of needed medical resources to handle the mass casualty is required to reduce the mortality and morbidity rates. Methods Electronic tag-based casualty monitoring and machine learning-based Decision Support Systems are emerging as a more effective and proactive solution that provides continuous remote monitoring of patients. A novel framework based on Body-to-Body Network, Prediction model, and Genetic Algorithm-based medical resource optimization is proposed for the continuous monitoring of the mass casualty and medical resource allocation at the incident. The aim of this work is to give priority to the handling of critical casualties. Firstly, a Quality of Service and load-sensitive routing protocol for transmitting mass casualties' physiological parameters across a wireless network is proposed, with the critical casualty being emphasized. Secondly, the clinical seriousness degree of the mass casualty is predicted using Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network. Finally, an optimization model using a Genetic algorithm and queuing theory is proposed to find the required optimal number of medical resources to handle critical and non-critical casualties separately. Also, the proposed optimization model considers the predicted clinical level transition rates of the mass casualty. Results The performance and accuracy of the proposed framework are evaluated using the MIMIC-II dataset. The outcome demonstrates that the framework emphasizes critical casualty management. Furthermore, the framework allocates an adequate number of servers by incorporating the proposed routing protocol in comparison to the AODV protocol. Conclusion The inclusion of a prediction model in the framework aids in allocating an adequate number of servers by considering the predicted clinical deteriorating transition rates of casualties at a mass casualty incident. In terms of the estimated length of the casualty at the incident, the results suggest that incorporating a medical resource optimization model outperforms the non-optimal option.

Assessing the water metabolism of coastal urban areas based on the water mass balance framework across time periods: A case study of Cape Town, South Africa

The status of water resources in many coastal cities has become increasingly fragile. In a changing climate, the amount and intensity of rainfall have continued to decline, causing some coastal regions to experience severe drought and deteriorated water supply situation. This article presents a comprehensive study of the urban water metabolism of Cape Town, South Africa. A water mass balance framework was utilized to examine the city's water system across four distinct periods. In addition, the water-energy nexus before and after the drought crisis was evaluated. The key findings include a large amount of surface runoff in the Cape Town area that was not utilized before the drought crisis, resulting in a natural loss potential of water supply that is 2.54 times greater than water used for supply systems. During the drought, per capita water consumption dropped by a substantial 25%; at the same time, the total rate of water loss experienced a substantial decrease of approximately 21%. Since the pandemic, Cape Town's water resources policy has shifted to diversifying water sources, and the use of wastewater and natural water losses will be optimized by more than 32% in 2040 to achieve a water-sensitive city. Future research should explore the temporal and spatial dynamics of urban water flows, the impact of socioeconomic factors, and the integration of water system optimization models for enhanced urban water management.

Spatial Analysis of Middle-Mile Transport for Advanced Air Mobility: A Case Study of Rural North Dakota

Integrating advanced air mobility (AAM) into the logistics of high-value electronic commodities can enhance efficiency and promote sustainability. The objective of this study is to optimize the logistics network for high-value electronics by integrating AAM solutions, specifically using heavy-lift cargo drones for middle-mile transport and using the mostly rural and small urban U.S. state of North Dakota as a case study. The analysis utilized geographic information system (GIS) and spatial optimization models to strategically assign underutilized airports as multimodal freight hubs to facilitate the shift from long-haul trucks to middle-mile air transport. Key findings demonstrate that electronics, because of their high value-to-weight ratio, are ideally suited for air transport. Comparative analysis shows that transport by drones can reduce the average cost per ton by up to 60% compared to traditional trucking. Optimization results indicate that a small number of strategically placed logistical hubs can reduce average travel distances by more than 13% for last-mile deliveries. Cost analyses demonstrate the viability of drones for middle-mile transport, especially on lower-volume rural routes, highlighting their efficiency and flexibility. The study emphasizes the importance of utilizing existing infrastructure to optimize the logistics network. By replacing truck traffic with drones, AAM can mitigate road congestion, reduce emissions, and extend infrastructure lifespan. These insights have critical implications for supply chain managers, shippers, urban planners, and policymakers, providing a decision support system and a roadmap for integrating AAM into logistics strategies.

Energy system models should consider evolving charging profiles

Abstract Globally, sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are surpassing records every year, and their growing charging needs will ultimately reshape power infrastructure planning practices. While studies have analyzed the impact of light-duty BEVs on the electricity sector, they have overlooked the prospective evolution in charging profiles. We developed a framework for analyzing passenger vehicle electrification futures accounting for the evolution in charging infrastructure, BEVs technical features, and socio-demographics. We soft-link a BEV charging profiles generator with an energy system optimization model to analyze a light-duty vehicle (LDV) electrification scenario in the U.S. from 2020-2050. Compared to static charging profiles, common in prior work, evolving profiles lead to substantial differences in projected power plant installed capacity (up to ~300 GW more solar PV) and activity (up to ~460 TWh more solar PV generation). Hence, future studies should consider not only different charging profiles (e.g., day, night, uncontrolled) but also how these evolve over time.

A Bi-Level Peak Regulation Optimization Model for Power Systems Considering Ramping Capability and Demand Response

In the context of constructing new power systems, the intermittency and volatility of high-penetration renewable generation pose new challenges to the stability and secure operation of power systems. Enhancing the ramping capability of power systems has become a crucial measure for addressing these challenges. Therefore, this paper proposes a bi-level peak regulation optimization model for power systems considering ramping capability and demand response, aiming to mitigate the challenges that the uncertainty and volatility of renewable energy generation impose on power system operations. Firstly, the upper-level model focuses on minimizing the ramping demand caused by the uncertainty, taking into account concerned constraints such as the constraint of price-guided demand response, the constraint of satisfaction with electricity usage patterns, and the constraint of cost satisfaction. By solving the upper-level model, the ramping demand of the power system can be reduced. Secondly, the lower-level model aims to minimize the overall cost of the power system, considering constraints such as power balance constraints, power flow constraints, ramping capability constraints of thermal power units, stepwise ramp rate calculation constraints, and constraints of carbon capture units. Based on the ramping demand obtained by solving the upper-level model, the outputs of the generation units are optimized to reduce operation cost of power systems. Finally, the proposed peak regulation optimization model is verified through simulation based on the IEEE 39-bus system. The results indicate that the proposed model, which incorporates ramping capability and demand response, effectively reduces the comprehensive operational cost of the power system.

Empowering sustainable hotels: a guest-centric optimization for vehicle-to-building integration

In light of global warming, hotels account for one of the highest energy demands within the building sector, offering great decarbonization potential. As electrification increases, so does the demand for electric vehicles (EVs) charging stations at hotels and the proportion of Vehicle-to-Building-capable EVs. Therefore, the study explores the potential of guest-centric energy management. To accomplish this, we develop an optimization model for an energy management system that focuses on either cost-efficiency or carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2)-efficiency, grounded in a real-world case study. Through scenario analyses considering seasons as well as different guest mobility behaviors, this study discusses the expenses associated with CO2 savings using digital solutions. It emphasizes the currently perceived conflict between cost reduction and decarbonization goals to achieve a sustainable design of information systems. Thereby, this study highlights the critical importance of individual mobility behavior in enabling sustainable energy management for hotels.

Modeling energy storage in long-term capacity expansion energy planning: an analysis of the Italian system

This paper presents a framework to represent short-term operational phenomena associated with renewables capacity factors and final service demand distributions in a capacity-expansion and integrated energy system optimization model. The aim is to study the potential role of energy storage technologies coupled with renewable energy sources aiding the decarbonization of the overall energy system. The proposed methodology is implemented in an energy system optimization model named Tools for Energy Model Optimization and Analysis (TEMOA) and then tested in a case study focused on the Italian energy system. We examine a collection of scenarios that includes reference time scale scenarios, time scale sensitivity scenarios, and technology alternative scenarios. This paper's findings indicate that energy storage is crucial for fully decarbonizing the Italian power sector by 2050 in the absence of a low-carbon baseload. Additionally, it suggests that approximately 10 % of Italy's electricity generation in 2050 should be routed through short-term energy storage devices.

Diverse decarbonization pathways under near cost-optimal futures

Energy system optimization models offer insights into energy and emissions futures through least-cost optimization. However, real-world energy systems often deviate from deterministic scenarios, necessitating rigorous uncertainty exploration in macro-energy system modeling. This study uses modeling techniques to generate diverse near cost-optimal net-zero CO2 pathways for the United States’ energy system. Our findings reveal consistent trends across these pathways, including rapid expansion of solar and wind power generation, substantial petroleum use reductions, near elimination of coal combustion, and increased end-use electrification. We also observe varying deployment levels for natural gas, hydrogen, direct air capture of CO2, and synthetic fuels. Notably, carbon-captured coal and synthetic fuels exhibit high adoption rates but only in select decarbonization pathways. By analyzing technology adoption correlations, we uncover interconnected technologies. These results demonstrate that diverse pathways for decarbonization exist at comparable system-level costs and provide insights into technology portfolios that enable near cost-optimal net-zero CO2 futures.

Designing sustainable healthy diets: Analysis of two modelling approaches

There is an urgent need for a transition to healthy diets that can be produced in a sustainable food system. Different modelling approaches are used to understand what constitutes such sustainable healthy diets. Diet optimization and environmental food system optimization are modelling approaches that are developed from different angles, i.e. either starting from dietary changes or from food system changes. The aim of this study was to investigate the consequences of using a diet optimization model or an environmental food system optimization model on the healthiness, the environmental impact, the cultural acceptability, and the composition of modelled diets. To illustrate these consequences we used CiFoS (Circular Food System) and SHARP (Sustainable, Healthy, Affordable, Reliable, and Preferable diets) as case models. CiFoS is a biophysical environmental food system optimization model that allows to redesign the food system to produce a (healthy) diet for the current or future population within planetary boundaries. SHARP is a diet optimization model that is based on benchmarking and aims to calculate healthier and more sustainable diets that are acceptable for consumers. We found that both optimization approaches have unique applications in time scale (long vs short term solutions), geographic scale (national vs continental scale) and an individual versus a population approach. However, due to different approaches in calculating environmental impacts, accounting for co-products and biophysical boundaries in the food system, translating commodities into realistic diets, and considering cultural acceptability, modelled diets from these two approaches are not comparable. These findings show that, when used in the right context, both models provide unique insights in how sustainable healthy diets may be achieved, but also stress the need to understand the methodology behind models. This paper is an important step in strengthening the integration of different disciplines to make well informed decisions for healthy diets within planetary boundaries.

Asymmetric Nash bargaining model for operation optimization of multi-integrated energy systems considering peer-to-peer energy trading

Energy interactions across integrated energy systems constitute crucial means to enhance energy efficiency and match supply and demand. However, the cooperative operation and benefit distribution among multiple integrated energy systems still need in-depth exploration. To fill this gap, this paper presents an asymmetric Nash bargaining optimization model for multiple integrated energy systems considering peer-to-peer trading. First, a scheduling model for multi-integrated energy systems is formulated considering carbon trading. Then, the model is incorporated into Nash bargaining framework and transformed into the alliance cost minimization subproblem and peer-to-peer trading payment bargaining subproblem. The bargaining power factor is introduced to measure the contribution of participants in energy sharing. The alternating direction multiplier method is utilized to handle the proposed model. Finally, a case study is carried out to validate the validity of the proposed strategy. The results show that compared with the independent operation mode, the performances of three integrated energy systems in collaborative operation mode are enhanced by 11.7 %, 9.0 %, and 4.8 % respectively. The distributed algorithm can reduce the computation time by 30 % and obtain highly efficient solutions while protecting private information of each participant. This research provides support and practical tools for conducting peer-to-peer transactions of multiple integrated energy systems.

Multi-objective coordinated optimization of low-carbon building energy systems based on high renewable energy penetration

In the context of China's targets to achieve a "carbon peak" by 2030 and "carbon neutrality" by 2060, the operation and maintenance of buildings with low-carbon and zero-energy consumption emerge as a critical technology for accomplishing the "dual carbon" goals in the building sector. As a novel energy supply system, low-carbon building energy systems can provide low-carbon, efficient, and economical energy supplies. Accordingly, this paper initially constructs a low-carbon building energy system based on a high penetration of renewable energy sources. Subsequently, considering the benefits of economic efficiency, carbon emissions, and renewable energy utilization, a multi-objective cooperative optimization model for low-carbon building energy systems with high renewable energy penetration is established. Finally, a multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm is applied to solve the model, and the system is studied and analyzed using a large domestic park as a case study. The results indicate that the low-carbon building energy system with high renewable energy integration, aiming for economic efficiency, carbon reduction, and increased renewable energy consumption, achieves supply energy costs of $ 19.2/m2 and carbon emissions of 49.1 kg/m2. These values represent reductions of $ 7.4/m2 and 60.9 kg/m2 compared to separate supply systems. Lastly, the study of the low-carbon building energy system provides theoretical references for renewable energy integration and energy transition in the building sector.

Decoupling framework for large-scale energy systems simultaneously addressing carbon emissions and energy flow relationships through sector units: A case study on uncertainty in China's carbon emission targets

The energy system requires meticulous planning to achieve low-carbon development goals cost-effectively. However, optimizing large-scale energy systems with high spatial-temporal resolution and a rich variety of technologies has always been a challenge due to limited computational resources. Therefore, this study proposes a soft-linkage framework to deconstruct large-scale energy system optimization models based on sectors while ensuring the total carbon emission limit and the electricity supply-demand balance. Using China's energy system as a case study, the impact of uncertainty on emission reduction targets is analyzed. A long-term emission target curve is only described by the total carbon budget and its temporal distribution. Results show that different carbon budget time series can lead to total transition cost variations of up to nearly 100 trillion yuan. Moreover, although a lower carbon budget would increase the total cumulative transition cost quadratically, excessively high carbon budgets raise national natural gas demand, threatening energy security.

Strengthening energy system resilience planning under uncertainty by minimizing regret

This study applies the concept of regret in decision-making under uncertainty to an energy system optimization model to identify optimal robust and stochastic solutions amongst several design options. The approach is demonstrated on the case study of Accra, Ghana, considering uncertainties pertinent to the city, particularly under climate change. The evaluated uncertainty scenarios consider volatile fossil fuel supply, reduced hydropower generation, rising demand due to climate change-driven rural-urban migration and global warming, unplanned power outages due to increasing natural disasters, and currency depreciation. The evaluated systems include Pareto-optimal system solutions typically under consideration by planners, which balance costs and CO2 emissions. The regret performance is evaluated for each system subject to each uncertainty scenario. A near-CO2-minimized system is the optimal robust and stochastic least-regret solution. Two factors drive this result: (1) a diverse technology set, which provides generation and cross-sectoral flexibility for adaptation under uncertainty, and (2) effectively balancing rising investment and operation costs with decreasing unmet demand costs. The demonstrated method provides energy planners and policymakers with a pragmatic, effective and fast approach, which offers new insights into long-term energy system planning to improve resilience under uncertainty, supporting the aims of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals 7 and 11.

TEMOA-europe: An open-source and open-data energy system optimization model for the analysis of the European energy mix

Energy system modeling tools allow to perform comprehensive analyses for the optimal integration of supply and demand technologies in different scenarios. Open tools, in particular, increase the reliability of such tools and their policy relevance. This work aims to present TEMOA-Europe, an open-data and open-software model instance for OECD Europe. Such model is developed on a time scale up to 2050 and calibrated against acknowledged energy statistics up to 2020. This work is the first to present a net-zero emissions by 2050 trajectory envisaging the absence of Russian energy imports starting from 2030. Despite the stringent constraints, TEMOA-Europe is able to provide results for a decarbonization scenario with growing end-use demands – among which some are reduced for the effect of the elasticity to gas price – considering a larger use of renewable source already starting from the near future and reduced energy intensity. Renewable energy represents more than 60 % of total energy supply by 2050 in the computed pathway. The results are also compared to the projections of the International Energy Agency for the Announced Pledges Scenario (since results for the Net-Zero Emissions Scenario are not publicly available), showing large agreement except for the outcomes concerning wind electricity generation.

Development of resource-constrained time-cost trade-off optimization model for ventilation system retrofitting using NSGA-III

Development of resource-constrained time-cost trade-off optimization model for ventilation system retrofitting using NSGA-III

Supply Chain System Optimization Model for Logistics Enterprises in the Internet of Things Era Based on Improved ECC Algorithm

In this article, a new method to optimize the supply chain system (SCS) of logistics companies in the era of Internet of Things (IoT) using an improved elliptic curve cryptography (ECC) algorithm was put forward.The focus of this research was to address the challenges faced by logistics organizations in adapting to the complexity of modern supply chains and meeting the growing demands of customers. The research aimed to improve the efficiency, security and reliability of supply chain management systems by utilizing advances in ECC algorithms.By conducting comprehensive performance tests of the proposed system, including interface testing, joggle testing, and system response time analysis, the study demonstrated the superiority of the system over traditional systems. The research findings indicated that the system based on the improved ECC algorithm outperformed traditional systems in terms of interface effectiveness, usability, and system response time. The improved ECC algorithm enhanced the security of the encryption process, making it more resistant to unauthorized access, and improved the system’s overall data processing load capacity. Additionally, the system demonstrated superior performance in managing logistics data and information, facilitating better decision-making and efficiency in logistics operations. Overall, this research contributes to the advancement of supply chain management in the IoT era by providing a practical and efficient solution for logistics enterprises to optimize their supply chain systems. The innovative application of the improved ECC algorithm offers a secure, reliable, and efficient approach to managing logistics operations, addressing the challenges posed by the complexities of modern supply chains.