System GMM Research Articles

Determinants of Banks Profitability: Evidence from Nigeria Banking Industry

The study, investigated determinants of banks profitability in Nigeria. Other studies in this area concentrated on other profitability notions, this study incorporated Economic Value Added (EVA). Due to the presence of endogeneity problems inherent in most panel data sets of this nature we employed a two-step system GMM estimator to produce a robust estimation and account for the endogeneity problem in the data. The study revealed that bank size has a positive and significant impact on all measures of bank profitability with the exception of Net Interest Margin (NIM). This result remained consistent after macroeconomic factors were introduced in the model. The outcome also indicated that capital adequacy significantly explains bank profitability in Nigeria, with a sign change in the case of Economic Value Added (EVA) only. It was also evident that financial structure (FS) has a positive and significant impact on Return on Assets (ROA), NIM, and EVA but no evidence of significant relationship was found with ROE. The result indicated that liquidity risk (LR) has a negative and significant impact on ROA and EVA but failed to provide a significant impact on ROE and NIM. The result of the macroeconomic factors included in the model indicated that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has a positive and significant impact on NIM and EVA while no significant relationship was found when related to ROA and ROE. Inflation as a macroeconomic variable showed a significant relationship with ROA and ROE with no evidence of significant relationship with NIM and EVA. It was concluded that the impact of firm specific factors and macroeconomic variables on the profitability of the Nigerian banking sector differ according to the profitability measure employed.

Business groups and firm-specific characteristics: influences on entrepreneurial orientation

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of business group (BG) affiliation on affiliated firms' entrepreneurial orientation (EO). The authors further investigate the possible contingent factors affecting this relationship – the age of BGs and the affiliated firm’s external linkages (ratio of external to in-house interlocks) on the relationship in an emerging market context.Design/methodology/approachThe study employs a dynamic panel data framework using the system-generalized method of moments (Sys-GMM) on a sample of 670 NSE-listed Indian firms during the 2006–2019 period. EO is measured through content analysis of the letters to shareholders (LTS) issued by the companies between the period 2006 and 2019.FindingsBG affiliates have more EO than standalone firms, as affiliates can access group-wide resources and capabilities apart from firm-specific resources. Affiliates of older BG have less EO since they are more entrenched in the institutional settings of their BG. Affiliates with more external linkages of board members will have a higher level of EO, as such linkages would subside inertial tendencies by exposing them to novel sets of information, resources and strategic practices. Further, the negative effect of BG age on EO is countered by external linkages. Overall, the study shows that the effect of group affiliation is not uniform and is contingent on the factors we have theorized and tested.Originality/valueThe paper proposes the resource-based view and the institutional void theory as likely candidates for explaining the contribution of BGs towards the EO of its affiliates, especially in the context of emerging markets. The contingent role of BG age highlighted in the paper forewarns managers about the importance of establishing internal mechanisms to preserve the EO in affiliates. Our findings about the positive role played by external linkages of the board members provide one such mechanism that can be leveraged to enhance affiliated firm’s EO.

What environmental and social factors are most relevant to the efficiency and performance of companies? The case of a small bank-oriented country

PurposeThis work aims to analyze the factors that influence the performance and efficiency of Portuguese companies, namely the influence of social and environmental features.Design/methodology/approachTo achieve our aim, we have used the Portuguese benchmark index, the Portuguese stock index – PSI, during the period from 2016 to 2020. To test the hypothesis panel data methodology was used, specifically, the GMM system originally proposed by Arellano and Bond (1991) and the Value-Based DEA developed by Gouveia et al. (2008).FindingsThe results of the GMM model show that social performance has a negative relationship with the company’s performance, from the perspective of different stakeholders, reinforcing that the cost-benefit trade-off of social spending is not yet understood as advantageous for the company’s performance. On the other hand, environmental performance, for external stakeholders, positively influences the company’s performance, perhaps due to pressure from society and the tradition of disclosing environmental matters. The value-based DEA results reinforce that from the perspective of the external stakeholder, non-efficient companies must increase their environmental performance to become efficient, highlighting the role of environmental performance in explaining efficiency. It is unanimous that social performance is still not seen as a lever of efficiency.Originality/valueThis is the first work to use a hybrid methodology to understand the performance determinants of a small banking-oriented country, emphasizing environmental and social aspects.

How Financial Development Is Driving the Growth and Environmental Dimensions of Sustainable Development in Africa: Heterogeneous Analyses

Globally, we face a policy dilemma between desiring more economic growth and safeguarding the deteriorating ecosystem, which have an apparent trade-off. Consequently, financing growth often comes with strong concerns for the ecological implications, which is yet to be empirically resolved. Hence, the current study examined the growth and environmental effects of financial development from three angles, each with a robust indicator, comprising financial development index, financial institution index, and financial market index. The scope of this study was financial development in 30 selected African countries from 1996 to 2021. This study extends the frontier of knowledge by estimating the moderating roles of regulatory quality and digitalization coupled with other control variables: renewable and nonrenewable energy, government expenditure, trade openness, and foreign direct investment. The empirical evidence relies on estimators such as common correlated effects (mean group), the system-generalized method of moment, and method of moment quantile regression. The findings from this study reveal that financial development propels economic growth but to the detriment of the ecosystem. However, when the interactive effects of regulatory quality and digitalization are considered, the negative externalities of growth-induced financial development are reduced. Furthermore, control variables such as renewable energy and foreign direct investment promote growth without escalating ecological damage. This is in contrast to nonrenewable energy, government expenditure, and trade openness, which propel economic growth at the expense of the ecological system. Policy recommendations that balance the trade-off between the two measures are put forward based on the research outcomes.

Income inequality thresholds that should be avoided for governance to promote economic growth with evidence from Africa

AbstractThis paper examines the role of inequality on the link between governance and economic growth in 44 African countries with data running from 2008 to 2018. Using a system GMM and the generalized least square (GLS) estimators, we establish that the effects of governance on growth are rightly conditioned by inequality. The GMM and GLS estimates portray positive effects of inequality on growth, but only the GMM estimates are significant. For both estimators, the effect of institutions on economic growth is positive and significant. However, inequality retards growth when embedded in selected institutions, which implies a substitution relationship between institutions and inequality on growth. The turning point beyond which inequality begins to contribute negatively to economic growth ranges between 34% and 49% based on the GMM estimates or 40.15% and 44.5% for the GLS analysis depending on the institutional indicator used. Therefore, institutions can only be effective in economic development if income inequality levels of not less than 0.34 and not more than 0.49 are maintained to ensure that inequality does not negate growth. Policy makers of African countries should ensure better income distribution alongside good institutions to achieve sustainable economic growth in the region.

Mechanism analysis of the impact of regional digital transformation on the employment quality in the perspective of labor force structure

Regional digital transformation has revitalized economic development and revolutionized the employment landscape of the labor force. The study employs a dynamic panel system GMM model to investigate the direct and indirect effects of regional digital transformation on the employment quality of China’s labor force using panel data from 31 mainland provinces. The findings suggest that regional digital transformation initially has a negative impact on employment quality, but that it continues to improve continuously as it progresses, showing a “U-shaped” trend. A nonlinear mediation analysis across industry, sector, and skill levels of the labor force structure uncovers a complex, bridging effect on employment quality. This study provides valuable insights for improving employment policies and promoting full employment, highlighting the dynamic interplay between regional digitization and the labor market.

Effect of Industrialization on Taxes from Income, Profit and Capital Gains Among Sub-Sahara African Countries

Tax revenue is a crucial financial resource for governments worldwide. Developed nations often secure ample tax revenue through robust industrial performance. In contrast, developing economies struggle with various challenges that hinder tax revenue from sources such as income, profit, and capital gains, largely due to high unemployment and inadequate industrialization. This study employed an ex-post facto research design and analyzed panel data from 38 countries over 21 years (2001–2021), sourced from the World Bank Group Database. The System Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM) analysis revealed that industrial performance significantly impacts tax revenue from income, profit, and capital gains in sub-Saharan African countries. The study concluded that advancing industrialization in sub-Saharan Africa is essential for maximizing tax revenue from these sources. It is recommended that governments in the region focus on accelerating industrial growth as a strategy to achieve sustainable tax revenue generation.

Influence of spin-off decision on financing risk: Empirical insight from Indonesian Islamic banks

Background Spin-offs play a significant role in organizational development strategies, particularly in Islamic banking, by fostering entrepreneurship, innovation, and Shariah-compliant management practices. Indonesia stands as a pioneer in implementing the dual banking system and has established a spin-off policy to foster the growth of Islamic banking. This study investigates whether the spin-off decision has a significant impact on financing risk in Indonesian Islamic banks. Methods Financing risk is measured by the non-performing financing ratio, while the spin-off decision is represented by a dummy variable equal to 1 for the post-spin-off period and 0 for the pre-spin-off period. This study utilizes data from semi-annual reports of 35 Indonesian Islamic banks and analyzes it using a dynamic panel model with the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). Results The findings reveal that spin-offs significantly reduce financing risk, thereby enhancing the financial resilience and boosting investor appeal. Notably, this implies that Islamic banks operating as Islamic windows exhibit a higher level of financing risk compared to fully-fledged Islamic banks. Furthermore, a noteworthy pattern emerges that spin-off Islamic banks with substantial assets demonstrate greater risk in comparison to their counterparts with more modest assets. System GMM also confirmed the result. Conclusions Islamic banks can significantly reduce their financing risks by establishing independent Islamic banks, or spin-offs. Unlike Islamic windows, which are typically integrated within conventional banks and face higher risk levels, standalone Islamic banks offer greater flexibility and control over their operations.

The impact of fintech on the efficiency of urban commercial banks in China-based on super slacks-based measures with undesirable output

This study endeavours to elucidate the influence of financial technology (fintech) on the operational efficiency of urban commercial banks in China. By scrutinizing the integration of Internet-based fintech solutions, it seeks to illuminate their potential for streamlining banking processes, elevating customer experiences and augmenting the precision of credit assessments and lending decisions through sophisticated data analytics and risk management tools. This research evaluates the efficiency of Chinese urban commercial banks employing the Super Slacks-Based Measure (Super-SBM) which incorporates undesirable output. Furthermore, it leverages the System Generalized Method of Moments (System GMM) to investigate fintech’s specific impact on urban commercial bank efficiency across various Chinese regions. The findings underscore fintech’s pivotal role in catalyzing digital transformation within banks, thereby bolstering operational efficiency and customer satisfaction. Moreover, this study highlights the critical importance of fintech in fortifying risk management capabilities within the banking sector. The insights gleaned from this research contribute to the banking industry’s sustainable growth and competitive resilience. Additionally, the findings furnish policymakers with empirical evidence to support the strategic integration of fintech and the optimization of banking service processes. Urban commercial banks can streamline operations, enhance customer experiences, refine credit assessments and ultimately attain higher efficiency and long-term sustainability levels in the rapidly evolving financial landscape by harnessing the transformative potential of fintech.

Corruption and emigration from the Western Balkans: evidence from a dynamic system GMM model (2012-2022)

According to neoclassical models, migration takes place when there is a strong probability that individuals will recoup their human capital investments. As a result, workers typically move from low-income to high-income areas and the larger the expected income gap between areas, the higher the number of migrants. In countries where corruption is endemic, jobs are often secured through political connections and bribes. This will lead to a higher unemployment level as well as to a lower return to human capital. Consequently, a significant proportion of the population considers emigration as the only path to succeed. The present study is focused on the impact of corruption on emigration from six Western Balkan countries. A System Generalized Method of Moments is estimated to analyze migrant stocks in 28 receiving countries during the period from 2012 to 2022. We suggest that corruption can directly influence migration stocks in receiving countries.

Impact of environmental, social, and governance performance on cash holdings in BRICS: Mediating role of cost of capital

AbstractAs businesses globally navigate the intricate landscape of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices, understanding their financial implications becomes paramount. The primary objective is to illuminate the impact of ESG performance on cash holdings (CHO) within the context of the BRICS nations. Additionally, the study aims to explore the mediating role of the cost of capital (COC) in shaping these relationships. The empirical analysis was conducted on comprehensive dataset over the period 2010–2022 of BRICS. We establish the regression analysis by utilizing a fixed effect and system GMM models. The empirical findings reveal a significant negative (−0.012 coefficient value) impact of ESG performance on CHO, indicating that a one‐unit increase in ESG can decrease the CHO by 1.2% and this effect is significant at 1%. This further highlights declining trend in cash reserves among companies embracing sustainability practices. Notably, the study documents the mediating role of the COC, showcasing its influence in reducing internal cash reserves in the presence of low external financing costs. The study highlights the financial benefits associated with robust ESG practices. Companies in the BRICS nations are encouraged to integrate sustainability considerations into their business strategies, recognizing the potential for reduced CHO and favorable COC outcomes. Beyond financial gains, the study underscores the societal and environmental contributions of ESG practices. This study contributes to the literature by uncovering the mediating role of the COC, providing a comprehensive understanding of how sustainability practices influence internal cash reserves in the context of diverse economic landscapes.

Resilience in Cyclicality: Impact of Inventory Management Efficiency on Operational Profitability

ABSTRACTThe cyclical and non‐cyclical nature of the consumer goods industry presents unique dynamics that require discernment in analyzing working capital (WC). These firms often deal with considerable inventory levels that create costs and liquidity challenges, particularly during economic downturns. This paper investigates the impact of inventory days (InvD) on operating margin (OM) in both demand‐stable and demand‐sensitive businesses. The empirical analysis employs system GMM regression with a sample of publicly traded US consumer goods firms from 2010 to 2022. The findings reveal an inverted U‐shaped relationship between InvD and OM among cyclical companies, indicating that these firms require a comparatively lower optimal inventory level (108 days) to maximize profitability at 3%. The results highlight the importance of strategic inventory management (IM) under varying economic and demand conditions and balancing the risks of stock‐outs against the costs of overstocking to optimize profitability. This paper contributes to the literature on the impact of inventory dynamics on operating profit in stable and volatile markets. It estimates the optimal inventory level that enhances profitability and predicts the optimal inventory dynamics for maximum profit.

Rethinking diversification: Assessing the impact of energy concentration on climate change in rentier and non-rentier countries

Energy diversification, a critical strategy for environmental protection, has been surprisingly understudied in academic discourse. This paper seeks to address this gap by investigating the relationship between energy diversification and climate change in 76 countries from 1990 to 2020. We employ panel data techniques, and the system generalized method of moments (SYS-GMM) to analyze the impact of energy diversification, as measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, on CO2 emissions. Additionally, control variables such as economic growth, trade openness, foreign direct investment, information and technology adoption, natural resource rents, and urbanization are included in the model. The analysis is re-estimated for various country groupings based on income level and resource dependence (rentier vs. non-rentier). The findings reveal a significant positive association between energy concentration and CO2 emissions across all country groups, with the most pronounced impact is observed in middle-income, resource-rich economies (i.e., middle-income rentiers). The study also highlights differing effects of diversification on CO2 emissions between high-income and middle-income nations, which reflects the prevalence of non-rentier economies among high-income countries and rentier economies in middle-income countries. The causal relationship between CO2 emissions and energy diversification in different groups of countries is tested using the panel Granger causality test. The results reveal strong bidirectional causality between CO2 emissions and energy diversification in all country groups analyzed, except for middle-income rentier countries. By elucidating the multifaceted relationship between energy diversification and climate change, this study aims to provide valuable policy recommendations to advance sustainable development and environmental management.

The role of governance in the effect of the internet on financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa

ABSTRACT This paper analyses the role of governance quality in the relationship between the Internet and financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan African countries. The study uses data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) database for indicators of financial inclusion, World Development Indicators (WDI) for Internet users and World Governance Indicators (WGI) for governance indicators from 2004 to 2020. Analyzing the data using the System Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM), the results show that the Internet can be effectively complemented with the quality of governance to improve financial inclusion. Thresholds of governance that are needed for the Internet to promote financial inclusion are provided. Policies aimed at reinforcing the quality of governance in SSA countries could help consolidate Internet infrastructure to promote Internet usage and, in turn, improve financial inclusion. Other policy implications are discussed.

Energy Security and Women’s Empowerment: A Generalized Method of Moments Approach from a Global Perspective

The importance of energy security is emphasized in Goal 7 of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the 2030 Agenda to guarantee that everyone has affordable, dependable, and contemporary energy access. In addition to transforming human life, whole economies, and even the planet, sustainable energy offers a chance for a better future. The absence of energy security impacts serious health problems, education, and household difficulties. Research on energy security has emphasized various angles worldwide. However, investigations of the impact of energy security on women’s empowerment are still scant. This study thus investigates the relationship between energy security and women’s empowerment (WE) in 167 countries from 2002 to 2021, as well as the influence of urbanization development levels on this nexus. Moreover, this study explores the variation in women’s empowerment between geographical regions by referencing the MENA, OECD, and SAARC countries. A two-step system GMM was used to achieve the objectives of this research. The findings show first that renewable energy availability has a significant effect on WE worldwide. Secondly, in terms of energy security, the variables total availability of natural resource rents and renewable energy both have a positive impact on women’s empowerment in the MENA, while in the OECD and SAARC countries, they have an indirect link with WE. Third, the integrating effect of total natural resource rents with urbanization significantly affects WE in all five models. Fourth, we used access to electricity to represent resource affordability. Unexpectedly, the results show its negative and significant association with WE. Fifth, in terms of energy security, both energy availability and affordability favor WE in OECD countries. Finally, the coefficient of integration of access to electricity and urbanization shows a positive and significant association with WE in the OECD, MENA, and SAARC regions. However, it is noteworthy to mention that access to electricity alone does not influence WE worldwide. Additionally, a series of tests confirm the robustness of the results. This research provides insight into the development and implications of energy security-related women’s empowerment policies.

The Relationship between Technological Innovation and Economic Growth in EU Countries: A System GMM Approach

Purpose: This study aims to investigate the effects of technological innovation and scientific research on economic growth in European Union (EU) countries. It emphasizes the importance of prioritizing these factors for sustainable development and global competitiveness. Methodology: The research, conducted using panel data analysis and the System GMM method, examines the relationship between R&D expenditures and per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Findings: Existing research indicates that innovation and research positively affect economic performance. Technological innovation supports economic expansion by enabling the creation of new products and improving production methods, while scientific research also makes a significant contribution to economic growth. The study confirms a positive relationship between R&D expenditures and GDP per capita, indicating economic growth. Originality: In contrast to existing literature, the results are analyzed comparatively on EU countries using methods such as Prais-Winsten and System GMM. Additionally, the discussion conducted on the group of EU member states addresses the concepts of sustainable development and global competitiveness.

Energy Transition to Green Energy Sources – Role of Socioeconomic Disparities and Administrative Policies

This study establishes the policy structure needed for achieving an energy transition in accordance with the goals of the COP26 Summit, taking into consideration disparities in socioeconomic status and the efficacy of regulations. We suggest a newly created energy transition index. It is a hypothesis-based output measure that employs the energy steps. By including (a) the shift to a green energy source and (b) the shift to more effective sources, the index makes it possible to understand the energy transition possibility in all countries. We examine the dynamic and absolute marginal consequences of energy transition factors on parameter estimations by applying the two-step System GMM method and data from 37 OECD countries between 2001 and 2022. The findings demonstrate that energy transition factors have less of an effect due to economic and social inequalities, but effective governance can increase those effects. Consistent with a scenario-based policy-development methodology, the results contribute significantly to the advancement of prospective policy discussions. Focusing on the completion of SDGs 7 and 13 they have significant real-world consequences for the creation of the SDG-oriented policy structure.

The influence of institutional void and socio-cultural factors on the internationalization of emerging multinationals

The process of firm internationalization involves critical decisions regarding location, entry mode, investment levels, and the management of foreign operations. This paper examines the effects of institutional voids and socio-cultural factors on the internationalization of Emerging Multinationals (EMNCs) from the BRICS and MENA regions. We draw on institutional and internationalization theories to explain how socio-cultural factors influence the internationalization of EMNCs. Using the two-step system GMM over a ten-year period (2012–2021), we find that institutional voids, religious diversity, power distance, and a firm’s ESG practices at home positively impact internationalization. These findings contribute to the literature by quantifying key variables related to internationalization, cultural diversity, institutional voids, power distance, and ESG engagement.

Foreign aid and inequality: Do conflicts matter?

Existing literature on the relationship between foreign aid and income inequality (inequality) is inconclusive and the role of conflict has been underexplored. Yet, the frequency and severity of conflicts in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have increased sharply in recent years. This study investigates the impact of foreign aid on inequality in SSA, focusing on the moderating role of conflicts. Using a sample of 41 SSA countries from 1989 to 2022, we employ fixed-effects and System GMM to explore the complex interplay between foreign aid, conflicts and inequality. The results suggest that foreign aid reduces inequality, but that its effectiveness is considerably reduced in conflict-ridden countries. The results confirm the harmful effect of conflict in the foreign aid-inequality nexus in SSA. Results are robust to many robustness checks, such as the alternative strategy, which combines alternative inequality and conflict measures. Our results suggest that promoting good governance by fighting corruption and preventing conflict can enable foreign aid to significantly reduce inequality in SSA.

The impact of smart city construction on achieving peak carbon neutrality: Evidence from 31 provinces in China

Amidst the intensification of global warming concerns, addressing climate change has become an urgent imperative, with carbon dioxide emissions standing as the primary driver of the greenhouse effect. This study delves into the relationship between smart city development and carbon emissions in China, leveraging panel data spanning 2012–2021 across 31 provincial units for empirical analysis. The study posits a negative correlation between smart city construction and carbon emissions. To comprehensively gauge the level of smart city development, a weighted evaluation index was constructed using the panel entropy weighting-topsis method. Employing fixed effects, random effects, high-dimensional fixed effects, and two-step system GMM models, the study aims to comprehensively assess the impact of smart city construction levels on carbon emissions. Results reveal that heightened smart city construction levels coincide with reduced carbon emissions, thus substantiating the research hypothesis.