Synoptic Waves Research Articles

Boreal Winter Extratropical Weather Regime Changes During 1979–2019 and Their Weather Impacts and Possible Linkages to Sea‐Ice in the Nordic Seas

AbstractPrevious studies have suggested possible connections between the decreasing Arctic sea‐ice and long‐duration (>5 days, LD) cold weather events in Eurasia and North America. Here we document the occurrences of weather regimes in winter by their durations, based on the empirical orthogonal function analyses of the daily geopotential height fields at 500 hPa (z500) for the months of November–March 1979–2019. Significant changes in the occurrence frequency and persistence of Ural ridge (UR) and weak stratospheric polar vortex (PV) were found between winters following high and low autumn sea‐ice covers (SIC) in the Barents and Kara seas. It is shown that a strengthening of the UR is accompanied with a weakening of the PV, and a weak PV favors Greenland ridge (GR). Cold spells in East Asia persist for 5 more days after an LDUR. Cold spells from Canada to the U.S. occur 2–5 days after an LD Ural trough (UT) and are associated with a z500 anomaly dipole centered over Alaska (+) and Hudson Bay (−). Cold spells in the eastern U.S. occur 1–4 days after an LDGR due to circulations resembling the Pacific‐North America pattern. Increased occurrences of UR in winter are associated with a decreased eastward propagation of synoptic waves from the North Atlantic to Japan and the North Pacific.

Aquaplanet simulations with winter and summer hemispheres: model setup and circulation response to warming

Abstract. To support further understanding of circulation changes in a warming climate, an idealised aquaplanet model setup containing summer and winter hemispheres is presented, and the results of circulation changes under warming are discussed. First, a setup is introduced that enables aquaplanet simulations with a warmer and a colder hemisphere, including realistic-looking summer and winter jet streams, storm tracks, and precipitation patterns that are fairly similar to observations, as well as a more intense and equatorward storm track in the winter compared to the summer hemisphere. The sea surface temperature (SST) distribution used here is inspired by the June–July–August zonal mean SST found in reanalysis data and is flexible to allow control of the occurrence of a single or double intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). The setup is then used to investigate circulation changes under uniform warming, as motivated by recent research. For example, the stronger poleward shift of the storm tracks during summer compared to winter is reproduced. Furthermore, the jet waviness decreases under warming when compared on isentropes with maximum wind speed or isentropes at similar heights in pressure space. Jet stream waviness increases under warming when compared at similar-valued isentropes but primarily because the corresponding isentrope is closer to the surface in the warmer climate and waviness climatologically increases downwards in the atmosphere. A detailed analysis of the changes in wave amplitude for different wavenumbers confirms that the amplitude of large waves increases with warming, while that of short waves decreases with warming. The reduction in wave amplitude of short synoptic waves is found to dominate in the jet core region, where jet waviness also decreases and is more pronounced on the equatorward side of the jet. Long waves increase in amplitude on the poleward side of the jet and at upper stratospheric levels, which is consistent with increased jet waviness at these levels. The projected increased amplitude of planetary waves and the reduced amplitude of synoptic waves are thus clear in our aquaplanet simulations and do not require zonal asymmetries or regional warming patterns. During so-called high-amplitude wave events, there is no evidence for a preferential phase of Rossby waves of wavenumbers 5 or 7, indicating the crucial role of stationary waves forced by orography or land–sea contrast in establishing previously reported preferential phases. We confirm that feature-based block detection requires significant tuning to the warmer climate to avoid the occurrence of spurious trends. After adjustment for changes in tropopause height, the block detection used here shows no trend in the summer hemisphere and an increase in blocking in the colder hemisphere. We also confirm previous findings that the number of surface cyclones tends to decrease globally under warming and that the cyclone lifetimes become shorter, except for very long-lived cyclones.

On the Geomorphic, Meteorological, and Hydroclimatic Drivers of the Unusual 2018 Early Summer Salt Dust Storms in Central Asia

AbstractA series of synoptically forced dust events, including an extreme salt storm from the Aralkum desert, stuck large parts of Central Asia during early summer 2018, causing flight cancellation, widespread haze, and salt deposition on croplands. This manuscript explores the geomorphic, meteorological, and hydroclimatic drivers of the unusual dust activity based on the three prerequisite factors of dust outbreak: sediment supply, sediment availability, and dust‐uplifting winds. Dry lake beds and lower river floodplains are identified as the source area of frequent dust episodes likely due to the abundant supply of fine‐grain sediments. Whereas, minimal dust activity was detected at the region's major sandy deserts. The salt dust storms were triggered by cold intrusion and strong postfrontal winds at the southeast flank of a rapidly developing anticyclone over western Russia which was enhanced by the Scandinavian blocking upstream. The 2018 early summer dust events in Central Asia were identified as part of spatially compounding weather hazards linked to a slow‐moving synoptic wave pattern across the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes. Finally, the aeolian sediment availability at the dust source areas was enhanced by below‐average soil moisture and vegetation during summer 2018 linked to reduced precipitation in the preceding winter. The 2017/18 winter precipitation deficit was driven by a double‐dip, Central Pacific La Niña episode associated with large‐scale precipitation‐suppressing subsidence and enhanced moisture flux divergence over Central Asia.

Effects of Wave-Mean Flow Interaction on the Multi-Time-Scale Variability of the AO Indices: A Case Study of Winters 2007/08 and 2009/10

Wave-mean flow interaction is usually regarded as accounting for the origin of the Arctic Oscillation/Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode (AO/NAM). It is inferred that the combination of the local wave-mean flow interactions at the AO/NAM’s three regional centers of action on three important time scales contributes to the main behavior of the AO/NAM index. To discuss the variations of the AO/NAM indices on the three prominent time scales, we take the 2007/08 and 2009/10 winters as two comparative examples to analyze the local wave-mean flow interactions at the AO/NAM’s three centers. The following three facets are identified: (1) Synoptic-scale wave breakings in the North Atlantic can explain the variances of the AO/NAM index on a time scale of 10–20 days. In the 2007/08 winter, there were both cyclonic and anticyclonic synoptic wave breakings, while in the 2009/10 winter, cyclonic synoptic wave breaking was dominant, and the flow characteristics were strikingly similar to the blocking. (2) In the 2007/08 and 2009/10 winters, the signals of the AO/NAM indices on the time scale of 30–60 days are mainly from the interactions between the upward propagating quasi-stationary waves and the polar vortex in the stratosphere. (3) This work also demonstrates that the AO/NAM is linked to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by the Pacific–North American pattern (PNA) on the winter mean time scale. In the 2007/08 (2009/10) winter, La Niña (El Niño) forced the Pacific jet to shift poleward (equatorward), in favor of weakening (enhancing) the polar waveguide; thus, the polar vortex became stronger (weaker), corresponding to the positive (negative) winter mean AO/NAM index.

Stationary Waves Weaken and Delay the Near-Surface Response to Stratospheric Ozone Depletion

Abstract An intermediate-complexity moist general circulation model is used to investigate the factors controlling the magnitude of the surface impact from Southern Hemisphere springtime ozone depletion. In contrast to previous idealized studies, a model with full radiation is used; furthermore, the model can be run with a varied representation of the surface, from a zonally uniform aquaplanet to a configuration with realistic stationary waves. The model captures the observed summertime positive Southern Annular Mode response to stratospheric ozone depletion. While synoptic waves dominate the long-term poleward jet shift, the initial response includes changes in planetary waves that simultaneously moderate the polar cap cooling (i.e., a negative feedback) and also constitute nearly one-half of the initial momentum flux response that shifts the jet poleward. The net effect is that stationary waves weaken the circulation response to ozone depletion in both the stratosphere and troposphere and also delay the response until summer rather than spring when ozone depletion peaks. It is also found that Antarctic surface cooling in response to ozone depletion helps to strengthen the poleward shift; however, shortwave surface effects of ozone are not critical. These surface temperature and stationary wave feedbacks are strong enough to overwhelm the previously recognized jet latitude/persistence feedback, potentially explaining why some recent comprehensive models do not exhibit a clear relationship between jet latitude/persistence and the magnitude of the response to ozone. The jet response is shown to be linear with respect to the magnitude of the imposed stratospheric perturbation, demonstrating the usefulness of interannual variability in ozone depletion for subseasonal forecasting.

The global atmospheric energy transport analysed by a wavelength-based scale separation

Abstract. The atmosphere transports energy polewards by circulation cells and eddies. To the present day, there has been a knowledge gap regarding the preferred spatial scales and physical mechanisms of eddy energy transport. To fill the gap, we separate the meridional atmospheric energy transport in the ERA5 reanalysis by spatial scales and into quasi-stationary and transient flow patterns and latent and dry components. Baroclinic instability is the major instability mechanism in the transient synoptic scales and is responsible for forming cyclones, anticyclones, and small-scale Rossby waves. At the planetary scales, circulation patterns are often induced by other mechanisms such as flow interaction with orography and land–sea heating contrasts. However, a separation between circulation patterns at the synoptic and planetary scales has yet to be established. We find that both baroclinically induced and transient energy transport is predominantly associated with eddies at wavelengths between 2000 and 8000 km. The maxima in both types of transport occur at wavelengths around 5000 km, in good agreement with linear baroclinic theory. Since these results are independent of latitude, we adapt the scale separation of the energy transport to be based on the wavelength instead of the previously used wavenumber. We define the synoptic transport by the wavelength band between 2000 and 8000 km. We analyse the annual and seasonal mean in the energy transport components and their inter-annual variability. The scale-separated transport components are fairly similar in both hemispheres. Transport by synoptic waves is the largest contributor to extra-tropical energy and moisture transport, mainly of a transient character, and is influenced little by seasonality. In contrast, transport by planetary waves depends highly on the season and has two distinct characteristics. (1) In the extra-tropical winter, planetary waves are important due to a large transport of dry energy. This planetary transport features the largest inter-annual variability of all components and is mainly quasi-stationary in the Northern Hemisphere but transient in its southern counterpart. (2) In the sub-tropical summer, quasi-stationary planetary waves are the most important transport component, mainly due to moisture transport, presumably associated with monsoons. In contrast to transport by planetary and synoptic waves, only a negligible amount of energy is transported by mesoscale eddies (< 2000 km).

Signatures of Eurasian heat waves in global Rossby wave spectra

Abstract. This paper investigates systematic changes in the global atmospheric circulation statistics during Eurasian heat waves (HWs). The investigation of Rossby wave energy anomalies during HWs is based on the time series of Hough expansion coefficients representing Rossby waves with the troposphere–barotropic structures through the extended boreal summer in the European ERA5, ERA-Interim, Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55) and Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA). The climatological Rossby wave energy distribution is shown to follow a χ2 distribution with skewness dependent on the zonal scale. The applied multivariate decomposition reveals signatures of the Eurasian HWs in the probability density functions (PDFs) of the Rossby wave energy across scales. Changes in the PDFs are consistent with changes in the intramonthly variance during HWs. For the zonal-mean state (the zonal wavenumber k=0), a decrease in skewness is found, although it is not statistically significant. A reduction in skewness hints to an increase in the number of active degrees of freedom, indicating more independent modes involved in the circulation. A shift in the spectral distribution of the k=0 intramonthly variance is shown to describe a weakening of the mean westerlies near their core at 45∘ N and their strengthening at high latitudes. At planetary scales (k= 1–3), the skewness in the troposphere–barotropic Rossby wave energy significantly increases during HWs. This coincides with a reduction of intramonthly variance, in particular at k=3, and persistent large-scale circulation anomalies. Based on the χ2 skewness, we estimate a reduction of the active degrees of freedom for the planetary-scale Rossby waves of about 25 % compared to climatology. At synoptic scales (k= 4–10), no change in skewness is detected for the Eurasian HWs. However, synoptic waves k= 7–8 are characterised by a statistically significant increase in intramonthly variance of about 5 % with respect to the climatology. In addition, a shift of the entire Rossby wave energy distribution at synoptic scales, along with amplification, is observed during HWs.

Analysis of the Environment that Supports Easterly Waves over the Eastern Pacific and the Intra-Americas Sea in the Boreal Summer—A Potential Vorticity Perspective

Abstract A review of the mean state over the tropical eastern Pacific (EPAC) and the Intra-Americas Sea (IAS) region is provided to assess the characteristics that impact the development and genesis of easterly waves (EWs). The EPAC–IAS region is characterized by complex topography, the Western Hemisphere warm pool, the ITCZ at 10°N, and predominant deep convection over the Panama Bight around 9°N, 78°W. A prominent easterly jet at 600 hPa of about 5.5 m s−1, is oriented approximately parallel to the Mexican coast. The jet is characterized by a strip of high potential vorticity (PV) on the cyclonic shear side and low PV on the anticyclonic side. This distribution of PV satisfies the necessary conditions for barotropic instability: the Charney–Stern condition, as well as the Fjørtoft condition. Together these conditions suggest the potential for barotropic growth of EWs over the EPAC region. The mean high PV region over the EPAC is created in association with two different populations of cloud/convection systems: stratiform and shallow, with the former being key for the creation of positive PV anomalies at midlevels. Evidence is also provided that suggests that the low PV region arises in association with sources of negative PV anomalies over the Sierra Madre region likely resulting from frequent dry convection. This is a key and novel result that is basic for the setting up of a negative meridional PV gradient and fundamental for the Charney–Stern condition associated with barotropic instability and growth of EWs. Significance Statement The tropical eastern Pacific is influenced by synoptic easterly waves that impact daily weather in the region and can trigger tropical cyclones. This research explores the nature of a midlevel jet that supports the development of easterly waves in this basin. The jet is established in association with moist convection over the ocean that leads to a midlevel potential vorticity maximum equatorward of the jet and, frequent dry convection over the Mexican Sierra Madre region that leads to a low-level potential vorticity minimum poleward of the jet. This finding highlights the need to better understand, and ultimately predict, these potential vorticity sources in order to better understand and predict the nature of the easterly wave developments in this region.

Circumglobal Rossby wave patterns during boreal winter highlighted by space–time spectral analysis

Abstract. The classic partitioning between slow-moving, low-wavenumber planetary waves and fast-moving, high-wavenumber synoptic waves is systematically extended by means of a space–time spectral decomposition to characterize the day-to-day evolution of Rossby wave activity in the upper troposphere. This technique is employed to study the origin and the propagation of circumglobal Rossby wave patterns (CRWPs), amplified Rossby waves stretching across the Northern Hemisphere in the zonal direction and projecting primarily over few, dominant wavenumber–phase-speed harmonics. Principal component analysis of daily anomalies in spectral power allows for two CRWPs to emerge as leading variability modes in the spectral domain during boreal winter. These modes correspond to the baroclinic propagation of Rossby wave packets (RWPs) from the Pacific to the Atlantic storm track in a hemispheric flow configuration displaying enhanced meridional gradients of geopotential height over midlatitudes. The first CRWP is forced by tropical convection anomalies over the Indian Ocean and features the propagation of amplified RWPs over northern midlatitudes, while the second one propagates rapidly over latitudes between 35 and 55∘ N and appears to have extratropical origin. An anomalous equatorward propagation of Rossby waves from the Atlantic eddy-driven jet to the North African subtropical jet is observed for both CRWPs. The obtained results highlight the substantial contribution of propagating RWPs to CRWPs, hinting that the two features might have the same nature.

Interdecadal changes in synoptic transient eddy activity over the Northeast Pacific and their role in tropospheric Arctic amplification

Arctic amplification refers to the greater surface warming of the Arctic than of other regions during recent decades. A similar phenomenon occurs in the troposphere and is termed “tropospheric Arctic amplification” (TAA). The poleward eddy heat flux and eddy moisture flux are critical to Arctic warming. In this study, we investigate the synoptic transient eddy activity over the North Pacific associated with TAA and its relationship with the subtropical jet stream, and propose the following mechanism. A poleward shift of the subtropical jet axis results in anomalies of the meridional gradient of zonal wind over the North Pacific, which drive a meridional dipole pattern of synoptic transient wave intensity over the North Pacific, referred to as the North Pacific Synoptic Transient wave intensity Dipole (NPSTD). The NPSTD index underwent an interdecadal shift in the late 1990s accompanying that of the subtropical jet stream. During the positive phase of the NPSTD index, synoptic eddy heat flux transports more heat to the Arctic Circle, and the eddy heat flux diverges, increasing Arctic temperature. This mechanism highlights the need to consider synoptic transient eddy activity over the North Pacific as the link between the mean state of the North Pacific subtropical upper jet and TAA.

Relations Between Durability of Spring Frosts and North Advection on Omega Blocking Over Iran

Blocking of atmospheric systems may lead to slowing down and even stopping the movement of western wind waves. This condition prolongs the warm days in catchment areas in front of the wave and induces continuation of cold and frost days in catchment areas behind the wave. The effect of cold and frost on the crops, especially in spring, is undeniable. Therefore, analyzing the blocking systems, named as omega, is important in Iran’s spring frost duration in southern middle latitudes. The daily minimum temperature data of 69 meteorological stations were collected from the Iranian Meteorological Organization from March 20, 1968, to June 21, 2014, in order to determine the effects of omega blocking systems on duration of the spring frost waves in Iran (equivalent to spring season in the Iranian calendar). By adjusting the tables of daily temperature distribution and plotting the frequency variation diagrams, 114 synoptic waves lasting 3–25 days were identified. Four durable waves (> 12 days) and ten low-durability waves (< 12 days) were identified by dividing the 114 waves into two groups (47 durable waves and 67 low-durability waves) and designing the atmospheric circulation pattern for the middle eastern region based on the air maps of 500 hPa. The results showed that blocking patterns usually occur in the areas of central Europe to the Black Sea basin and cause advective cold air from Scandinavian and central Russia basins to Iran, thereby resulting in durable frosts during spring.

Effects of perturbation type on tropical cyclone size over tropical North Western Pacific and Atlantic

In authors’ previous studies, the role of distinctive mean states in the western North Pacific (WNP) and North Atlantic (NA) in affecting tropical cyclone (TC) size was investigated. In this study, the effect of different synoptic scale perturbation types in the two basins on TC size is further investigated. Numerical model experiments with an initial synoptic wave train (SWT) and easterly wave (EW) environmental condition show that the former (latter) leads to the development of a larger (smaller) TC at an equilibrium state. The physical mechanism responsible for the difference is revealed. Compared with the EW, the surface wind speed of the SWT is larger. Therefore, the SWT generates more moisture in the outer region than EW through surface evaporation process. This favors the development of stronger convection in the outer region. The enhanced convection leads to greater diabatic heating, which lower the local sea level pressure (SLP), which changes surface radial pressure gradients in the inner-core and outer-core of the vortex. On the one hand, the falling of the SLP decreases the surface radial pressure gradient in the inner-core. As a result, the radial wind is weakened and then the radius of maximum wind (RMW) extends outwards after initial contraction. On the other hand, the lower SLP increases the radial pressure gradient in the outer region, strengthening the radial wind outside. The wind convergence favors stronger development of convection in the outer region. Through this positive feedback, inflow in the outer region is further strengthened. This accelerates local tangential wind and thus enlarges the TC size.

Changes in General Atmospheric Circulation in the Northern Hemisphere in 1998–2018

The analysis of systematic changes in the Northern Hemisphere 500 hPa geopotential height field is performed. The dataset of the 5-day mean values of 500 hPa geopotential height during 1998–2018 is used for this purpose and is represented by the coefficients of its expansions in spherical functions. It is found that the hemispheric mean value of 500 hPa geopotential height increased by 1.0–2.0 dam during the analyzed 20-year period depending on a season. The west-to-east propagation of air particles in the mid-latitudes systematically weakened in the cold season (January, October) but increased in the warm season (April, July). A small negative trend in the amplitudes of some ultralong waves is detected. This can facilitate a weakening of the planetary blocking of zonal circulation. Besides, a weak positive trend in the amplitudes of some synoptic waves is found, which can favor an increase in the cyclone activity.

Increasing Trend of Summertime Synoptic Wave Train Activity over the Western North Pacific since 1950

The change of summertime synoptic-scale wave train (SWT) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) since 1950 was investigated based on the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis data. It is found that the intensity of SWT has a rising trend, while its structure and phase propagation characteristics remain unchanged. Environmental factors responsible for the rising trend are investigated. By separating the whole period into three warming phases (P1: 1950–1958, P2: 1978–1986, and P3: 2006–2014), we found that even though the vertical velocity shows a rising trend, the background low-level vorticity over the monsoon trough region increases from P1 to P2 but decreases from P2 to P3, and so is the low-level barotropic energy conversion (CK). Thus, just the environmental dynamic factor could not explain the continuous rising SWT trend. On the other hand, thermodynamic factor, such as the sea surface temperature (SST), moisture, and atmospheric instability, shows a clear step-by-step increasing trend. A non-dimensional synoptic activity index (SAI) that combines the dynamic and thermodynamic factors is then proposed. This index well captures the observed long-term trend of the SWT intensity.

The Generic Nature of the Tropospheric Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

AbstractThe tropospheric response to midwinter sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) is examined using an idealized model. SSW events are triggered by imposing high-latitude stratospheric heating perturbations of varying magnitude for only a few days, spun off from a free-running control integration (CTRL). The evolution of the thermally triggered SSWs is then compared with naturally occurring SSWs identified in CTRL. By applying a heating perturbation, with no modification to the momentum budget, it is possible to isolate the tropospheric response directly attributable to a change in the stratospheric polar vortex, independent of any planetary wave momentum torques involved in the initiation of an SSW. Zonal-wind anomalies associated with the thermally triggered SSWs first propagate downward to the high-latitude troposphere after ~2 weeks, before migrating equatorward and stalling at midlatitudes, where they straddle the near-surface jet. After ~3 weeks, the circulation and eddy fluxes associated with thermally triggered SSWs evolve very similarly to SSWs in CTRL, despite the lack of initial planetary wave driving. This suggests that at longer lags, the tropospheric response to SSWs is generic and it is found to be linearly governed by the strength of the lower-stratospheric warming, whereas at shorter lags, the initial formation of the SSW potentially plays a large role in the downward coupling. In agreement with previous studies, synoptic waves are found to play a key role in the persistent tropospheric jet shift at long lags. Synoptic waves appear to respond to the enhanced midlatitude baroclinicity associated with the tropospheric jet shift, and preferentially propagate poleward in an apparent positive feedback with changes in the high-latitude refractive index.

Comparing wavelet and Fourier perspectives on the decomposition of meridional energy transport into synoptic and planetary components

AbstractThe Arctic region shows some of the world's most significant signs of climate change; for instance, a negative trend in summer sea‐ice cover of around 15% per decade and Arctic amplified surface‐air warming that is three times the global average. The atmospheric energy transport plays an important role in the Arctic climate. Recently a Fourier‐based method for studying the atmospheric energy transport contribution by planetary‐ and synoptic‐scale waves has been proposed. Recent studies based on this method show that planetary waves contribute more than synoptic waves to the atmospheric energy transport into the Arctic. However, this Fourier method suffers from being incapable of resolving spatially localized systems such as cyclones. Here an attempt to evaluate this problem is presented by applying the method on synthetic and reanalysis data. In addition, an alternative method based on a wavelet decomposition is proposed and compared with the Fourier‐based method. The wavelet method is based on localized basis functions which should be capable of resolving these localized systems. The wavelet method shows an impact of synoptic‐scale transport on Arctic temperatures which is not captured by the Fourier method, whilst the planetary‐scale effect of both methods appears similar.

A Hybrid Monitoring-modelling Analysis on the Storm Induced Sediment Dynamics of a Structure-controlled Beach

Oliveira J.N.C.; Oliveira; F.S.B.F.; Freire, P., and Trigo-Teixeira, A.A., 2020. A hybrid monitoring-modelling analysis on the storm induced sediment dynamics of a structure-controlled beach. In: Malvarez, G. and Navas, F. (eds.), Global Coastal Issues of 2020. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 95, pp. 605–609. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.The main objective of this study is to investigate the effect of sediment flushing on the morphology of artificially embayed beaches using field data and numerical modelling. The sandy stretch of Cova-Gala in the West Coast of Portugal, characterized by a high-energy wave climate, is critical regarding erosion-flooding risks. The site was monitored from August 2018 to February 2019, including the wave climate, the sea level and the beach topo-bathymetric elevation via sonar-single beam, GNSS-RTK and drone surveys. During this period several erosive events caused the retreat and lowering of the upper beach profile. The XBeach model was applied to simulate the morphological evolution during the monitored period using synoptic wave and sea level data as the hydrodynamic forcing. The results of the data-model analysis reveal that i) the alongshore extension of the sedimentological cells and the cross-shore structures length have a relevant influence on the lee-side erosion patterns, which affect the overall surrounding morphology, ii) the model overestimates the scouring of the seawall toe, particularly with the 1D mode; and iii) the beach backshore typology, dune and seawall, has a great influence on beach dynamic processes.

The Effect of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on the North Atlantic Oscillation Using Idealized Numerical Experiments

AbstractThe aim of the paper is to investigate the influence of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) using a quasigeostrophic model on the sphere. A simplified forcing based on potential vorticity anomalies in the tropics is used to mimic the MJO. The idealized nature of our setup allows us to determine the distinct roles played by stationary and synoptic waves. This is done by means of several series of almost 10 000 short runs of 30 days. Ensemble averages and a streamfunction budget analysis are used to study the modifications of the flow induced by the MJO. We find that a stationary Rossby wave is excited in the tropics during MJO phase 3. The western part of the Pacific jet is displaced poleward, which modifies the transient eddy activity in that basin. These changes create a ridge south of Alaska, which favors equatorward propagation of synoptic waves and larger poleward eddy momentum fluxes from the eastern Pacific toward the Atlantic, increasing the frequency of occurrence of the positive NAO events. The situation is essentially reversed following phase 6 of the MJO and conducive to the negative phase of the NAO. For a realistic MJO forcing amplitude, we find increases in both NAO phases to be around 30%, in reasonable agreement with the observations given the model simplicity. Finally, we present a series of experiments to assess the relative importance of linear versus nonlinear effects.

Pacific Modulation of the North Atlantic Storm Track Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events

AbstractSudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events have been suggested to be followed by a surface impact, though this response varies between events. Using reanalysis data, we identify two types of tropospheric responses to SSWs: Two thirds of the SSW events are dominated by a zonally symmetric tropospheric response with an equatorward shift of the jet in the Atlantic, consistent with the canonical SSW response in the form of a negative signature of the North Atlantic Oscillation. For the remaining third of SSW events, a zonally asymmetric response is found, associated with a poleward shift of the jet in the Atlantic. The Pacific is found to contribute to the sign of the North Atlantic response, as synoptic wave propagation from the Eastern Pacific links the Pacific and Atlantic storm tracks for both equatorward and poleward jet responses.

A balanced state consistent with planetary-scale motion for quasi-geostrophic dynamics

The role of planetary-scale zonally-asymmetric thermal forcing on large-scale atmospheric dynamics is crucial for understanding low-frequency phenomena in the atmosphere. Despite its paramount importance, good theoretical foundation for the understanding is still lacking. Here, we address this issue by providing a general framework for including planetary-scale thermal forcing in large-scale atmospheric dynamics studies. This is accomplished by identifying two distinct geostrophic motions of horizontal length scale L in terms of the external Rossby deformation length scale LD : i) and ii) where ϵ is the Rossby number. In addition, via multi-scale analysis, we show that the large-scale atmospheric dynamics can be described by mutual interaction between the two scales. The analysis results in planetary geostrophic equations with large-scale thermal forcing that provide the basic balanced states for processes such as the growth of synoptic waves. In the long-time limit, the continuous growth and decay of synoptic waves provide the convergence of horizontal heat and vorticity fluxes, which contributes to the energy flux balance in the planetary geostrophic scale with planetary-scale advection and thermal forcing.