Swill Feeding Research Articles

African Swine Fever Disease Risk Assessment Using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis: An Input for GIS-Based Risk Mapping

African Swine Fever (ASF) has severely impacted the Philippines' pig industry, caused socioeconomic losses, and affected income, supply, demand, and prices. There needs to be more understanding regarding the risk factors associated with ASF introduction into pig farms and the level of risk each farm faces. Accordingly, using a quantitative research method, this study used the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to categorize ASF risk factors into biosecurity and spatial risk factors. Twenty-five (25) respondents were selected using a purposive participatory approach to rank the importance level of each risk factor as per the two risk factor categories. The AHP analysis revealed that the highest-risk biosecurity factors are the "absence of protocols for changing clothes, separate entry and exit, disinfection of objects, restriction on food introduction, and external individuals accessing the farms." In the spatial risk factor ranking, the analysis showed that the “distance to pig farms utilizing swill feeding" was the highest risk factor, indicating its significant contribution to the overall risk of farms. A farm risk assessment was also performed based on the AHP results and the level of compliance of each farm on the different risk factors. The study was conducted on selected pig farms in the municipality of Echague by evaluating their compliance with the identified risk factors and determining the level of risk they posed. The risk assessment results for African swine fever on farms reveal a concerning scenario. With 70% of farms assessed as "high risk" in terms of biosecurity and 74% classified as "medium risk" in spatial vulnerability, the overall assessment indicates that 84% of farms are at a moderate risk level. This suggests a widespread need for improved biosecurity practices and disease monitoring to prevent the introduction and spread of African swine fever. The 16% of farms deemed "high risk" pose a significant threat, requiring immediate action to prevent disease outbreaks. These findings emphasize the importance of implementing stringent biosecurity measures, enhancing surveillance efforts, and raising awareness to safeguard the pig industry from the devastating impacts of the ASF disease, like the rising cost of meat and pork-based commodities. Furthermore, these show the importance of considering the biosecurity and spatial risk factors for a more comprehensive risk assessment. The AHP ranking and risk assessment process is crucial in developing a GIS-based risk mapping and surveillance system. This offers government authorities a valuable decision-making tool to proactively prevent the introduction of African swine fever (ASF) and mitigate the necessity for widespread culling of pigs. By implementing targeted interventions informed by the study results, the government can work towards safeguarding the pig industry.

Identifikasi Gejala Dan Faktor Risiko Kejadian Penyakit Mirip African Swine Fever Di Kota Kupang

Pigs as livestock are playing role as providers and contributors of animal protein sources other than poultry and cattle. African swine fever (ASF) is a double-stranded DNA virus, in the family Asfarviridae and genus Asfivirus. ASF is an infectious disease in pigs with a mortality rate of 100%. The purpose of this study was to identify symptoms and risk factors that were similar to African swine fever (ASF) in Kupang City and to examine the dominant clinical symptoms of African swine fever (ASF)-like disease in Kupang City. Data were obtained from filling out questionnaires by 250 respondents as pig farmers. Primary data were processed and analyzed using SPSS and then presented in the form of graphs and tables. The results showed that ASF-like disease had general and specific clinical symptoms. However, the incidence of abortion in pregnant sows is rarely found, this is based on the number of farmers whose sows experienced abortions as much as 41.6%. Risk factors that can cause ASF-like diseases in Kupang City, namely the lack of public knowledge about livestock systems and management, poor application of biosecurity, feeding contaminated with ASF virus (swill feeding), frequent cross-breeding of livestock. In addition, there also risk factors for ASF-like diseases originating from human activities (anthropogenic) such as visiting.

Seroprevalence of Viral Enzootic Diseases in Swine Backyard Farms in Serbia

Contrary to pig farming in developed Western countries, in a large part of the world, pigs are still traditionally kept in small backyard farms, usually for family needs. Their main characteristics are low biosecurity, swill feeding, natural breeding and uncontrolled trade. Given the high number of backyard farms in Serbia and the risk they are thought to pose to intensive pig farming, the main aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of major viral diseases of swine among traditionally kept pigs in small holdings with low biosecurity. For this investigation, 222 serum samples from 69 backyard holdings were randomly selected and tested for antibodies to Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome virus (PRRSV), Aujeszky’s disease virus (ADV), Porcine Parvovirus (PPV) and Swine influenza Virus (SIV) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The herd-level seroprevalence of PRRS, Aujeszky’s disease and PPV was 2.9%, 27.5% and 37.7%, respectively. Swine influenza seroconversion was not confirmed in any of the tested holdings. Despite widely distributed PPV and AD in backyard farms in Serbia, almost 50% of them are still negative for all the tested diseases. The backyard farms must be monitored, and owners must be educated as their role in eradication programs and obtaining country-free status may be crucial.

Pig Farm Management and Its Contribution to The African Swine Fever Incidences in Kupang, Indonesia

This study evaluated the husbandry and management practices adopted by the pig farmers and the potential of African Swine Fever (ASF) in Kupang, East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. Husbandry and management practices evaluated include educational background, main occupation, livestock pens, animal feed and drinking water systems, reproductive management, and pig body condition. Data were collected from 300 pig farmers using interviews and questionnaires. This study was conducted in the districts of Kupang Timor and Amabi Oefeto from June to October 2022. This study reported several factors that could potentially affect the ASF transmission. These practices can be improved to prevent the potential of ASF transmission. The educational background of pig farmers, primary occupation, caging management, swill feeding, and reproductive management may have potentially contributed to the ASF transmission in Kupang during the outbreak period.

Quantitative risk assessment of African swine fever introduction into Spain by legal import of swine products

African swine fever (ASF) is currently threatening the global swine industry. Its unstoppable global spread poses a serious risk to Spain, one of the world's leading producers. Over the past years, there has been an increased global burden of ASF not only in swine but also swine products. Unfortunately, many pigs are not diagnosed before slaughter and their products are used for human consumption. These ASF-contaminated products are only a source for new ASF outbreaks when they are consumed by domestic pigs or wild boar, which may happen either by swill feeding or landfill access. This study presents a quantitative stochastic risk assessment model for the introduction of ASF into Spain via the legal import of swine products, specifically pork and pork products. Entry assessment, exposure assessment, consequence assessment and risk estimation were carried out. The results suggest an annual probability of ASF introduction into Spain of 1.74 × 10−4, the highest risk being represented by Hungary, Portugal, and Poland. Monthly risk distribution is homogeneously distributed throughout the year. Illegal trade and pork product movement for own consumption (e.g., air and ship passenger luggage) have not been taken into account due to the lack of available, accredited data sources. This limitation may have influenced the model's outcomes and, the risk of introduction might be higher than that estimated. Nevertheless, the results presented herein would contribute to allocating resources to areas at higher risk, improving prevention and control strategies and, ultimately, would help reduce the risk of ASF introduction into Spain.

Risk of African swine fever incursion into the Netherlands by wild boar carcasses and meat carried by Dutch hunters from hunting trips abroad

After the first introduction of African swine fever (ASF) in the European Union in 2014, the ASF virus (ASFV) has steadily spread in the European Union. The virus has occasionally been transmitted over unexpectedly large distances that are believed to be related to human-mediated spread. Hunting tourism has been mentioned as a potential contributor to these long-distance jumps, although evidence is lacking. In this study, the possible role of hunters carrying ASFV-contaminated wild boar products (WBP) from hunting trips in affected countries was evaluated. A quantitative risk model was developed to estimate the expected annual number of ASF exposures of wild boar and domestic pigs in the Netherlands via this introduction route. Main input data into the model were the ASF prevalence in hunted wild boar, the number and destination of hunting trips of Dutch hunters, and the probabilities that hunters take WBP home and dispose leftovers such that wild boar or domestic pigs have access. The model indicated that the total expected annual number of exposures (wild boar and domestic pigs together) in the Netherlands is 0.048 (95% uncertainty interval 7.5 × 10−3 – 0.15). Model results were most sensitive to uncertainty on leftovers fed to domestic pigs (swill feeding), which is an illegal practice. Uncertainties on the ASF prevalence of hunted wild boar and the probabilities that hunters take WBP home also impacted model results. Default model results were based on the 2019 situation. Alternative scenarios were run with the model to account for the change of ASF status of Belgium (recovery of ASF-free status) and Germany (ASF-infected) in 2020. Results indicated that especially the presence of ASF in Germany increased the incursion risk. However, this increase might be counteracted by a change in travel behavior of hunters.

Participatory assessment of management and biosecurity practices of smallholder pig farms in North East India.

The present study was aimed at describing the pig production system, farm management, pig movement, and existing biosecurity level of smallholders' pig production system in North East India. A cross-sectional survey of 1,000 pig producers in four districts (two urban and two rural) in core pig-producing regions of India, where ASF occurrence had been reported, was conducted. The mean pig population was significantly (p < 0.05) higher in urban districts. In urban districts, most of the pig houses were isolated but located on the roadside, while in rural districts, commune pig houses along the roadside were more common. The majority of the respondent purchased (91%) or sold (60%) the pigs during the past 12 months. Swill feeding was common in the entire study area. The majority of the respondent (80%) in rural districts were unaware of ASF. Significant pig trade of live pigs and pork products was observed in the urban district. In the case of on-farm biosecurity measures, only 6.9% of respondents had fencing for the pig farm, 99.3% did not have provision for a footbath, and only 17.2% of the respondents restricted visitors' access to the pig farm. The study revealed that the pig production system is dominated by smallholding units with a frequent introduction or exit of pigs along with poor on-farm biosecurity measures. With the current level of farm management and biosecurity practices, smallholder pig farmers are at an increased risk of ASF and other contagious diseases.

The Role of Wildlife and Pests in the Transmission of Pathogenic Agents to Domestic Pigs: A Systematic Review.

Wild animals and pests are important reservoirs and vectors of pathogenic agents that can affect domestic pigs. Rapid globalization, anthropogenic factors, and increasing trends toward outdoor pig production facilitate the contact between domestic pigs and wildlife. However, knowledge on the transmission pathways between domestic pigs and the aforementioned target groups is limited. The present systematic review aims to collect and analyze information on the roles of different wild animal species and pests in the spread of pathogens to domesticated pigs. Overall, 1250 peer-reviewed manuscripts published in English between 2010 and 2022 were screened through the PRISMA framework using PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases. A total of 84 studies reporting possible transmission routes of different pathogenic agents were included. A majority of the studies (80%) focused on the role of wild boars in the transmission of pathogenic agents to pig farms. Studies involving the role of rodents (7%), and deer (6%) were the next most frequent, whereas the role of insects (5%), wild carnivores (5%), wild birds (4%), cats (2%), and badgers (1%) were less available. Only 3.5% of studies presented evidence-based transmission routes from wildlife to domestic pigs. Approximately 65.5% of the included studies described possible risks/risk factors for pathogens' transmission based on quantitative data, whereas 31% of the articles only presented a hypothesis or qualitative analysis of possible transmission routes or risk factors and/or contact rates. Risk factors identified include outdoor farms or extensive systems and farms with a low level of biosecurity as well as wildlife behavior; environmental conditions; human activities and movements; fomites, feed (swill feeding), water, carcasses, and bedding materials. We recommend the strengthening of farm biosecurity frameworks with special attention to wildlife-associated parameters, especially in extensive rearing systems and high-risk zones as it was repeatedly found to be an important measure to prevent pathogen transmission to domestic pigs. In addition, there is a need to focus on effective risk-based wildlife surveillance mechanisms and to raise awareness among farmers about existing wildlife-associated risk factors for disease transmission.

Risk Factor Impact on African Swine Fever Transmission in Different Extensive Pig Production Settings in Serbia.

The first case of ASF in a domestic pig population in Serbia was confirmed in 2019 in a backyard population. Today, outbreaks in wild boar and, more importantly, in domestic pigs are still occurring, although the government measures for ASF prevention are in place. The aim of this study was to determine critical risk factors and identify the possible reasons for ASF introduction into different extensive pig farms. The study was conducted on 26 extensive pig farms with confirmed ASF outbreaks, with data collected from beginning of 2020 to the end of 2022. Collected epidemiological data were divided into 21 main categories. After identifying specific values of variables as critical for ASF transmission, we identified nine important ASF transmission indicators as those variables for which at least 2/3 of the observed farms reported values critical for ASF transmission. Among them were type of holding, distance to hunting ground, farm/yard fencing, and home slaughtering; however, the hunting activity of pig holders, swill feeding, and feeding with mowed green mass were not included. We represented the data in the form of contingency tables to study associations between pairs of variables using Fisher's exact test. All pairs of variables in the group including type of holding, farm/yard fencing, domestic pig-wild boar contact, and hunting activity were significantly related; hunting activity of pig holders, holding pigs in backyards, unfenced yards, and domestic pig-wild boar contact were observed on the same farms. Free-range pig farming led to observed domestic pig-wild boar contact on all farms. The identified critical risk factors need to be strictly addressed to prevent the further spread of ASF to extensive farms and backyards in Serbia and elsewhere.

Seroprevalence Rate and Factors Causing African swine fever Outbreak in Kupang City and Regency of East Nusa Tenggara Province, Indonesia

African Swine Faver (ASF) disease was reported in Indonesia in 2019. ASF outbreaks occurred in East Nusa Tenggara Province in 2020 and 2021, with hundreds of thousands of pig deaths. An effective vaccine to prevent the transmission of ASF is currently undiscovered. The diagnosis of ASF is based on the observation of clinical symptoms, observation of the epidemiology of the disease, and laboratory examinations of both serological, virological, and post- mortem tests. Rapid and accurate serology tests are indispensable to prevent the transmission of ASF infection. A risk- based approach to infectious sources needs to be taken to prevent the emergence of ASF outbreaks. This study aims to determine ASF seroprevalence and identify factors that play a role in the transmission of the ASF virus. The results of the study obtained a seroprevalence rate of 52.9%. Risk factors that act as a source of ASF transmission are the origin of pig livestock from the animal market (6.7%), feed from swill feeding (61.7%), non-routine health checks carried out (90%), pig carcasses thrown into landfills (20%), manure waste left alone (33.3%) and sick pigs immediately sold (60%).

Risk Factors and Spatiotemporal Analysis of Classical Swine Fever in Ecuador.

Classical swine fever (CSF) is one of the most important re-emergent swine diseases worldwide. Despite concerted control efforts in the Andean countries, the disease remains endemic in several areas, limiting production and trade opportunities. In this study, we aimed to determine the risk factors and spatiotemporal implications associated with CSF in Ecuador. We analysed passive surveillance and vaccination campaign datasets from 2014 to 2020; Then, we structured a herd-level case-control study using a logistic and spatiotemporal Bayesian model. The results showed that the risk factors that increased the odds of CSF occurrence were the following: swill feeding (OR 8.53), time until notification (OR 2.44), introduction of new pigs during last month (OR 2.01) and lack of vaccination against CSF (OR 1.82). The spatiotemporal model showed that vaccination reduces the risk by 33%. According to the priority index, the intervention should focus on Morona Santiago and Los Rios provinces. In conclusion, the results highlight the complexity of the CSF control programs, the importance to improve the overall surveillance system and the need to inform decision-makers and stakeholders.

Estimating the transmission parameters of foot-and-mouth disease in Vietnam: A spatial-dynamic kernel-based model with outbreak and host data

Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) affects cloven-hoofed livestock and causes devastating damages to the world’s economies. Being endemic in developing countries, FMD has imposed a significant threat to the FMD-freedom status in developed countries. The globally-concerted effort to eradicate FMD at its source has faced a substantial challenge of having little knowledge about how FMD spreads in developing countries. So far, FMD virus transmission parameters have been estimated based on only a dozen actual outbreak data, mostly in Europe. Meanwhile, the fundamental north-south differences in livestock production, trading, and quarantine systems have questioned the applicability of these estimates to developing countries. In this light, we aim to narrow the knowledge gap by estimating the FMD virus transmission parameters in an endemic country, Vietnam, the world’s fifth- largest pork producer. We use the spatial-dynamic kernel-based approach combined with daily FMD incursion data and FMD-host census data. The estimation also considers livestock composition and livestock quantity by species, which can influence FMD transmission. In line with existing literature, we find that cattle and buffaloes have a larger influence on disease spread than pigs, and FMD transmission depends on the herd size and the distance between susceptible and infected premises. However, our findings show FMD virus can spread over a much more ample space in our case compared with those in existing literature (25 km and 50 km versus 10 km), and the kernels have much fatter tails. This difference is likely due to the weakness in biosecurity systems, poor implementation of surveillance and quarantine measures, and bad husbandry practices such as swill feeding, which are prevalent in developing countries. Thus, our estimated kernels will be helpful for Vietnam in developing suitable biosecurity measures to contain and eradicate the FMD virus. They are also highly relevant for other countries with livestock farming practices and climate conditions similar to those in Vietnam.

Disease surveillance in England and Wales, June 2022.

Disease surveillance in England and Wales, June 2022.

Thermal Inactivation of African Swine Fever Virus in Swill.

The indirect transmission of the African swine fever virus (ASFV) is through contaminated fomite, feed ingredients, pork- and pig-derived products, including swill, as ASFV is highly stable within suitable organic material. Some previous studies have indicated that ASFV outbreaks were associated with swill feeding, particularly in smallholder pig farms. These outbreaks emphasize the significance of the appropriate heat treatment of swill to eliminate ASFV residual titer. The World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) recommended the heat treatment of swill at a temperature of at least 90°C for at least 60 min, with continuous stirring, while the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) recommended heat treatment at 70°C for 30 min. The lack of scientific evidence regarding ASFV inactivation by heat treatment of swill leads to such inconsistent recommendations. Therefore, the objectives of this study were to assess the thermal inactivation of ASFV in three swill formulae and to develop a DT model to predict DT at some other inactivation temperatures. The significant reduction of ASFV in swill occurred at temperatures as low as 60°C. DT or decimal reduction time (DRT) is defined as the time required to reduce the virus titer by 1 log, and this was also used as a comparative index of heat resistance. The mean D60, D70, D75, and D80 of ASFV in three swill formulae were in the ranges 23.21–33.47, 5.83–10.91, 2.15–2.22, and 1.36–1.47 min, respectively. These DT could be widely used for any nutritive composition of swill other than the three swill formulae in this study since there was no statistical difference of all DT of ASFV across three swill formulae. Based on D70 and the predicted D90 from the DT model in this study, including the highest ASFV titer in pork products, the calculated inactivation times at 70 and 90°C were 119 and 4 min, respectively.

Application of Spatial Risk Assessment Integrated With a Mobile App in Fighting Against the Introduction of African Swine Fever in Pig Farms in Thailand: Development Study.

BackgroundAfrican swine fever (ASF), a highly contagious disease affecting both domestic and wild pigs, has been having a serious impact on the swine industry worldwide. This important transboundary animal disease can be spread by animals and ticks via direct transmission and by contaminated feed and fomites via indirect transmission because of the high environmental resistance of the ASF virus. Thus, the prevention of the introduction of ASF to areas free of ASF is essential. After an outbreak was reported in China, intensive import policies and biosecurity measures were implemented to prevent the introduction of ASF to pig farms in Thailand.ObjectiveEnhancing prevention and control, this study aims to identify the potential areas for ASF introduction and transmission in Thailand, develop a tool for farm assessment of ASF risk introduction focusing on smallholders, and develop a spatial analysis tool that is easily used by local officers for disease prevention and control planning.MethodsWe applied a multi-criteria decision analysis approach with spatial and farm assessment and integrated the outputs with the necessary spatial layers to develop a spatial analysis on a web-based platform.ResultsThe map that referred to potential areas for ASF introduction and transmission was derived from 6 spatial risk factors; namely, the distance to the port, which had the highest relative importance, followed by the distance to the border, the number of pig farms using swill feeding, the density of small pig farms (<50 heads), the number of pigs moving in the area, and the distance to the slaughterhouse. The possible transmission areas were divided into 5 levels (very low, low, medium, high, and very high) at the subdistrict level, with 27 subdistricts in 10 provinces having very high suitability and 560 subdistricts in 34 provinces having high suitability. At the farm level, 17 biosecurity practices considered as useful and practical for smallholders were selected and developed on a mobile app platform. The outputs from the previous steps integrated with necessary geographic information system layers were added to a spatial analysis web-based platform.ConclusionsThe tools developed in this study have been complemented with other strategies to fight against the introduction of ASF to pig farms in the country. The areas showing high and very high risk for disease introduction and transmission were applied for spatial information planning, for example, intensive surveillance, strict animal movement, and public awareness. In addition, farms with low biosecurity were improved in these areas, and the risk assessment developed on a mobile app in this study helped enhance this matter. The spatial analysis on a web-based platform helped facilitate disease prevention planning for the authorities.

Risk factors for the spread of African Swine Fever in China: A systematic review of Chinese-language literature.

African Swine Fever Virus (ASFV) is a contagious pathogen that can cause severe acute haemorrhagic fever in pigs. The first occurrence of an ASF outbreak in Asia was reported in China in August 2018. The devastating impacts caused by ASF on the pig industry have strongly focused research on risk factors for the spread of ASFV. The purpose of this systematic review was to identify the potential knowledge gap in the English literature on risk factors for the spread of ASFV in outbreaks that occurred in China, 2018-2020. China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) was searched as the primary database. Sixty-four records were screened, and 31 (48%) records were included in data extraction. These records were also assessed for quality of evidence. Frequency tables for reported risks were created, considering quality of evidence. A narrative summary of mortality rate and case fatality rate reported in a small number of records was made. Mortality rate was reported in seven studies, ranging from 3.7% to 84.0% (median 11.9%). Case fatality rate was reported in six studies, ranging from 20.6% to 100% (median 63.3%). Based on 31 reviewed records, live pig transport, swill feeding and vehicles were the three most important risks for spread contributing to the ASF epidemic in China. Bites of infected Ornithodoros ticks was stated in 12 low level of evidence records but only 1 high level of evidence record as a risk factor for transmission. Direct contact with wild pigs was reported to be a risk factor in 8 records with low level of evidence, and 1 record from the high level of evidence group. However, limited evidence was provided to support the tick-domestic pig or wild pig-domestic pig transmission routes in China. Lack of resources to obtain veterinary assistance and to improve husbandry and biosecurity was mentioned four times in the 31 records, especially in remote rural areas. In conclusion, to effectively control the spread of ASF, it is very important to reduce mechanical dissemination of ASFV by vehicles and live pig transport involved in the production cycle and to ensure that transported pigs are always subject to inspection and quarantine. Additionally, despite strict implementation of prohibition on swill feeding often being impractical or nearly impossible, ensuring the safety of pig feed can greatly contribute to disease prevention. Improvement in biosecurity management, specifically environment disinfection, carcass disposal, and decontamination of vehicles and personnel will be most effective in reducing the risk of infection in small-scale pig farms.

Application of Interpretative Structural Modeling (ISM) to Determine Port Waste Management Strategies for African Swine Fever (ASF) Prevention at Tanjung Priok Port

African Swine Fever (ASF) is one of the infectious diseases affecting swine with high mortality rate. Disease transmission occurs direct and indirect. Indirect transmission through feed, virus contaminated object and swill feeding produced by ships. Ships berthing in the port of Tanjung Priok mostly comes or transits from a country which ASF exist. Among those ships, some discharge their garbage and take over into the final dumping site without any further treatment. There are many institution and a third parties involved in garbage management in the port of Tanjung Priok. This research aims is to identify an obstacle, actors and strategies in managing garbage from the ships to prevent ASF spread in the port of Tanjung Priok using Interpretative Structural Modelling (ISM). The results of this research shows the biggest obstacle in managing garbage from the ships, in order to prevent ASF spread in the port of Tanjung Priok is the absence of standard operating procedures (SOP), The most important actor is Indonesia Port Corporation II and the most important strategy is develop an integrated SOP for ship waste management. &#x0D; is to develop an integrated SOP for ship waste management. &#x0D;

Factors affecting enduring participation in a pig farming program in Southern Papua, Indonesia.

In mid-2016, the local government of Papua, Indonesia, launched a subsidised program to improve pig farming in the area, with 250 participants. This study aimed to investigate factors associated with enduring participation in pig farming among the program participants. Two years after the commencement of the program, one hundred of the 250 participants were recruited into the study and divided into two groups: participants who continued to engage in pig farming ("remain") and those who had quit pig farming ("quit"). Data were collected from interviews, including personal data and events on the farms between April 2017 and March 2018. Multiple correspondence analysis, followed by a two-step cluster analysis and multivariate regression, was used to explore factors associated with the durability of pig farmings. Results indicated that associated factors included feed and water security, the use of concrete material for the pig house floor, the avoidance of swill feeding, reduced pig mortality, and continued pig husbandry training. This study highlights that a good feeding regimen and effective control of pig diseases should be priority pig husbandry techniques to be extended through training and assistance to improve traditional pig farming in Papua.

PRAKTIK MANAJEMEN PAKAN DAN RISIKONYA TERHADAP PENYEBARAN AFRICAN SWINE FEVER DI KOTA KUPANG

In early 2020 a high mortality of pigs in Malacca Regency, East Nusa Tenggara Province was confirmed as an ASF infection which then spread to all of Timor Island, Flores Island, and Sumba Island. One of the risk factors for the spread of ASF is swill feeding. The purpose of this study was to study the feed management practices of pig farmers during the ASF outbreak and to measure the relationship between feed management practices and the ASF outbreak in Kupang City. The study used a case-control study approach to study feed management practices for pig farmers during the outbreak and their relationship to ASF. A total of 69 farmers who had experienced the incidence of dead and sick pigs were taken as case samples and 21 farmers were randomly selected from around the area as controls. The data in this study were analyzed by descriptive statistics and bivariate analysis was used to measure the relationship between feed management practices and the incidence of ASF. The results of the bivariate analysis showed that swill feeding practice had a significant correlation with the incidence of ASF (P 0.038&lt;0.05) with OR (2.94), while the factor of cooking or not cooking feed before being given to pigs was also significantly correlated with the incidence of ASF (P 0.003&lt;0.05) with OR (0.1). In conclusion, based on epidemiological analysis, the factor of swill feeding practice that is not cooked is highly correlated with the incidence of ASF in Kupang City.

Data-driven dynamical modelling of the transmission of African swine fever in a few places in China.

Since the outbreak of African swine fever (ASF) in Shengyang, it has continued spreading in China. In the early stage of the epidemic, multi-point and concentrated outbreaks were mainly in the swill feeding areas. In this paper, we developed compartmental models to investigate the transmission of ASF in several raising units including Guquan, Jinba and Liancheng. Using the data collected from these three infected premises, we calibrated the models to estimate that the average incubation period was between 8 and 11 days, the onset period was about 2-3 days and the basic reproductive number was about 4.83-11.90. We also estimated the infection on the day before culling to be 45.24% (Guquan), 89.20% (Jinba) and 16.35% (Liancheng), respectively. The infection rate of Guquan could reach about 74.8% if culling were postponed by 2days. We found that the infection was significantly higher than the morbidities (22.11% (Guquan), 49.35% (Jinba) and 12.94% (Liancheng)) calculated by actual statistical data. Besides, we simulated and compared the control effect of stopping transport, disinfecting, stopping swill and culling. Our findings suggest that any single measure was not enough to prevent the spread of ASF on a regional level but the combined measures is the key. Under the current situation, fully culling was recognized as most effective in controlling the epidemic, despite the culling of uninfected pigs.