Survival Estimates Research Articles

HPB O06 - A computer tomography-based radiomics signature predicts overall survival following curative resection of colorectal liver metastasis: A multicentre, retrospective study

Abstract Background Colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) has a heterogeneous outcome and improved prognostic biomarkers are needed to aid patient-tailored management. Here, we assess the value of Computer Tomography (CT)-guided radiomics in the prognostication of post-resection CRLM using data from two large tertiary referral centres in the UK. Method Patient data was extracted from prospectively maintained databases of patients undergoing CRLM resection at two centres. CRLM and regions of interest from background normal liver were segmented. Radiomics features were extracted from portal venous phase CT images using open-source software. Feature selection techniques were applied. Machine learning models incorporating radiomic or clinical features, and their combination, were developed and assessed for mortality prediction at fixed time points. Cox proportional hazard regression was utilised for risk score generation to classify patients as high or low-risk for overall survival estimation. The models were evaluated on unseen testing data. Results Radiomics features (269) were generated from 959 metastases in 399 patients across the two sites. Models with combined clinical and radiomic features performed similarly to those with radiomic features alone, and often outperformed models with clinical features alone demonstrating good discrimination and risk prediction at 2 and 3 years. The computed radiomic scores allowed us to generate Kaplan–Meier curves which showed CRLM patients in the high-risk group had a lower overall survival vs the low-risk group(p<0.05). This risk-score independently predicted mortality in our multivariate Cox proportional-hazards model. Conclusion We demonstrate a robust combination of CT-based radiomics features can predict CRLM outcomes across two different hospital sites. Our radiomic risk-scores predicts overall survival and can prognosticate patients into high and low risk groups. These findings support the prognostic utility of CT-based radiomics in patients undergoing resection of CRLM and provide rationale for further investigation in a prospective, multi-centre setting.

NIMG-10. THE ROLE OF FIBROBLAST ACTIVATION PROTEIN IN GLIOBLASTOMA AND GLIOSARCOMA – A COMPARISON OF TISSUE, 68GA-FAPI-46 POSITRON EMISSION TOMOGRAPHY AND SURVIVAL DATA

Abstract BACKGROUND Despite their unique histological features,gliosarcomas belong to the group of glioblastomas and are treated according to the same standards. Fibroblast-activation-protein(FAP) is a component of a tumor-specific subpopulation of fibroblasts that play a critical role in tumor growth and invasion.However,the prognostic impact of FAP in glioblastoma and gliosarcoma is unclear. METHODS In a retrospective analysis,patients diagnosed with glioblastoma without sarcomatous differentiation and gliosarcoma were enrolled.Histological examination was performed using immunohistochemical FAP-staining and quantitative analysis with a standardized FAP-score.In a subset of patients,FAPI46-PET has been performed.The SUV-values are planned to be correlated with FAP-expression in the tumor tissue.Data obtained from immunohistochemical analysis and SUV-values are planned to be brought into perspective with clinically relevant prognostic factors,including survival estimates. RESULTS We enrolled 61 patients,including 13 diagnosed with gliosarcoma.Our analysis revealed that gliosarcomas exhibit significantly higher FAP-expression (median FAP-score: 3) compared to glioblastomas without sarcomatous differentiation (median FAP-score: 0.5, p<0.0001),where FAP was predominantly observed in the perivascular space.In gliosarcomas,FAP was also expressed by neoplastic cells.Moreover,a significant relationship was established between the immunohistochemical FAP-scores and the SUVmean and SUVpeak values on PET,suggesting that the PET tracer uptake accurately reflects the tumor’s FAP-expression.However,the differential expression of FAP suggests its potential as both a diagnostic marker and a therapeutic target.This hypothesis is further supported by the application of 68Ga-FAPI-46-PET in a 66-year-old female patient with recurrent gliosarcoma,alongside immunohistochemical analysis of tumor tissue.Both methods identified elevated FAP-expression and uptake,underscoring the feasibility of FAP as a target for nuclear medicine therapies in brain tumors. CONCLUSIONS Our study establishes a significant correlation between SUVmean/SUVpeak in 68Ga-FAPI-46 PET scans and FAP-expression in glioblastoma.Gliosarcomas express significantly more FAP than other glioblastomas. These insights suggest FAP’s potential as a theranostic target.We plan to investigate the effectiveness of FAP-specific tracers in treating recurrent gliosarcoma,aiming to open new therapeutic avenues.

NIMG-16. ASSESSMENT OF RESPONSE TO LOMUSTINE-TEMOZOLOMIDE CHEMOTHERAPY IN ADDITION TO RADIOTHERAPY IN PATIENTS WITH NEWLY DIAGNOSED GLIOBLASTOMA USING FET PET

Abstract BACKGROUND We examined the value of O-(2-[18F]fluoroethyl)-L-tyrosine (FET) PET for early response assessment in patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma and methylated O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase promoter treated with lomustine-temozolomide chemotherapy in addition to radiotherapy. METHODS Thirty-one patients (29-74 years) were treated according to the CeTeG/NOA-09 phase-3 trial. FET PET and anatomical MRI were performed at baseline and follow-up after the third cycle. We obtained mean and maximum tumor-to-brain ratios (TBR) and metabolic tumor volumes (MTV). Thresholds derived from FET PET were defined using receiver operating characteristic analyses to predict progression-free survival (PFS) of ≥12 months. The predictive value of FET PET parameters was subsequently evaluated using univariate and multivariate survival estimates. MRI response assessment was based on the RANO 1.0 criteria. FET PET data were also used to estimate response according to the PET RANO 1.0 criteria. RESULTS Patients received a median number of 6 cycles of lomustine-temozolomide chemotherapy (3-6 cycles). After treatment initiation, the median follow-up was 17.2 months (7.2-59.4 months). As of April 2024, we confirmed tumor progression according to the RANO 1.0 criteria in 24 patients (77%). After three cycles of lomustine-temozolomide chemotherapy, a reduced mean TBR value by ≥10% predicted a significantly longer PFS (31.0 vs. 10.4 months; P=0.039). In contrast, changes in maximum TBR values, MTV, the RANO 1.0 criteria, and the PET RANO 1.0 criteria were not predictive for response (P>0.05). Multivariate survival analysis revealed that changes in mean TBR values predicted a significantly prolonged PFS independent of age, the extent of resection, and the Karnofsky Performance Status (P=0.036; HR, 3.892; 95% CI, 1.242-17.230). CONCLUSION Our results suggest that FET PET is clinically valuable for identifying responders to lomustine-temozolomide chemotherapy in addition to radiotherapy early after treatment initiation. The evaluation of FET PET’s value in predicting a significantly longer overall survival is ongoing.

NIMG-42. ANALYSIS OF TUMOR RELAPSE PROBABILITY AND OVERALL SURVIVAL PREDICTION FOLLOWING TEMOZOLOMIDE CHEMORADIATION USING FET PET INCLUDING RADIOMICS IN PATIENTS WITH GLIOBLASTOMA

Abstract BACKGROUND Early after surgery and completion of first-line concomitant chemoradiation with temozolomide, the evaluation of tumor relapse probability and overall survival prediction is of considerable interest for the management of patients with glioblastoma METHODS Sixty-three newly diagnosed patients with glioblastoma (age range, 19-82) who received static and dynamic PET imaging using the radiolabeled amino acid O-(2-[18F]fluoroethyl)-L-tyrosine (FET) after surgery or biopsy and completion of concomitant chemoradiation with temozolomide were evaluated. Static FET PET parameters such as maximum and mean tumor-to-brain ratios (TBRmax, TBRmean) and metabolic tumor volumes (MTV), and the dynamic FET PET parameter time-to-peak (TTP) were obtained. Additionally, FET PET radiomics features (n=1,303) were extracted for each patient and a test-retest analysis was performed to identify robust features prior to feature selection. The prognostic value of FET PET parameters and radiomics features was evaluated using receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) analyses with regard to a significantly prolonged progression-free and overall survival (PFS, OS). Subsequently, univariate and multivariate survival estimates were performed to assess the prognostic value of these parameters to predict a significantly longer PFS and OS RESULTS ROC analyses revealed that the parameter TBRmax was a powerful parameter to predict both a significantly longer PFS (20.3 vs. 8.9 months; P=0.002; threshold, 2.75) and OS (34.9 vs. 18.7 months; P=0.005; threshold, 2.75). MTV had a similar prognostic value for both PFS (16.7 vs. 7.2 months; P=0.002; threshold, 34.0 mL) and OS (30.6 vs. 14.8 months; P=0.002; threshold, 32.6 mL). After feature selection, 3 of 15 selected radiomics features predicted a significantly longer PFS and OS in univariate analyses. TBRmax, MTV, and one of 15 radiomics features remained significant in multivariate survival analysis (all P≤0.03) CONCLUSION Our results suggest that FET PET and radiomics parameters were highly prognostic in this group of patients at an early stage of first-line therapy.

The Prognostic Value of the 31-Gene Expression Profile Test in Cutaneous Melanoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Cutaneous melanoma is an increasingly common and potentially lethal form of skin cancer. Current staging systems based on clinical and pathological features have limitations in accurately predicting outcomes, particularly for early-stage disease. The 31-gene expression profile (31-GEP) test has emerged as a promising tool for improving risk stratification in melanoma patients. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies evaluating the prognostic performance of the 31-GEP test in cutaneous melanoma. A comprehensive literature search was performed in multiple databases. Studies reporting survival outcomes stratified by 31-GEP class were included. Random-effects models were used to determine survival estimates across studies. Results: Thirteen studies comprising 14,760 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The 31-GEP test consistently stratified patients into risk groups with significantly different outcomes. The 5-year melanoma-specific survival rates were 99.8% (95% CI: 98–100%) for Class 1A, 97.6% (95% CI: 92.4–99.3%) for Class 1B/2A, and 83.4% (95% CI: 66.5–92.7%) for Class 2B. Similar trends were observed for recurrence-free and distant metastasis-free survival. Conclusions: This meta-analysis supports the prognostic utility of the 31-GEP test in cutaneous melanoma prognostication. The test consistently stratified patients into clinically meaningful risk groups across multiple survival metrics. These findings support the potential clinical utility of the 31-GEP test in enhancing current staging systems and informing personalized management strategies for melanoma patients.

Combination of grade and spread through air spaces (STAS) predicts recurrence in early stage lung adenocarcinoma: a retrospective cohort study.

Adenocarcinomas, a common subtype of lung cancer, exhibit diverse histological patterns. In 2020, The International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) introduced a grading system emphasizing high-grade components, which has shown prognostic value. Spread through air spaces (STAS) is recognized as a prognostic feature increasing the risk of recurrence in lung cancer. This study evaluates the combination of STAS status and the IASLC-grading system in surgically resected Stage I lung adenocarcinomas. This study is a retrospective analysis of 123 patients with Stage I lung adenocarcinoma who underwent lobectomy between 2011 and 2019. Histological patterns were assessed according to the IASLC criteria, and STAS status was documented. Patients were categorized based on their IASLC Grade and STAS status. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, Cox proportional hazards models, and comparisons using Chi-square and t-tests. The cohort comprised 43 females and 80 males with a mean age of 61.8 ± 7.6years. STAS positivity was noted in 52.8% of patients. STAS positivity correlated significantly with Grade 3 tumors (p < 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival was significantly lower in STAS-positive patients (70.7% vs. 88.7%, p = 0.026). Patients with Grade 3 and STAS positivity had significantly lower recurrence-free survival compared to other groups (p = 0.002). Grade 3 and STAS positivity were independent predictors of poor recurrence-free survival in multivariate analysis. IASLC Grade 3 tumors and STAS positivity are independent prognostic factors for poor recurrence-free survival in Stage I lung adenocarcinomas. Adjuvant treatment strategies should be considered for patients with these characteristics to improve outcomes.

Ten-Year Outcome After Supracricoid Partial Laryngectomy in cT3M0 Laryngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma-A STROBE Analysis.

The aim of this study was to document 10-year outcomes after supracricoid partial laryngectomy (SCPL) in selected cT3M0 laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) patients. This real-life retrospective observational study analyzed an inception cohort of 168 patients with isolated, untreated, selected cT3M0 laryngeal SCC, that were consecutively managed by SCPL during the period 1973-2013, and followed up until death or for a minimum of 10 years in 92% of cases at a single French academic and tertiary referral care center. Prior induction chemotherapy, arytenoid cartilage removal, level II-IV neck dissection, and postoperative radiation therapy were performed on 148, 77, 136, and 27 patients, respectively. The main objective was to determine 10-year actuarial local control and laryngeal preservation estimates. Secondary objectives included 10-year actuarial survival and cause-of-death analysis, and assessment of correlations between endpoints and clinical variables. The significance threshold was set at p < 0.005. Ten-year actuarial local control, laryngeal preservation, and survival estimates were 90%, 85%, and 52%, respectively. Salvage treatment resulted in an overall 99% local control rate. Metachronous second primary cancer, intercurrent disease without evidence of SCC, SCPL-related death, and uncontrolled local recurrence accounted for 31%, 26%, 7%, and 2% of causes of death. On univariate analysis, overall local recurrence and laryngeal preservation rates varied significantly, from 5% to 54% and 90% to 46% when resection margins were R0 and R1, respectively. The present study highlighted successful 10-year outcomes after SCPL, providing further evidence in favor of its integration into the conservative armamentarium for endolaryngeal cT3 SCC. 4 Laryngoscope, 134:4557-4563, 2024.

P150 Updated Overall Survival (OS) estimates leveraging long term extension data from TITAN study evaluating Apalutamide (APA) versus Placebo (PBO) in metastatic Hormone Sensitive Prostate Cancer (mHSPC) patients

P150 Updated Overall Survival (OS) estimates leveraging long term extension data from TITAN study evaluating Apalutamide (APA) versus Placebo (PBO) in metastatic Hormone Sensitive Prostate Cancer (mHSPC) patients

Peritoneal recurrence in gastric cancer after curative gastrectomy: risk factors and predictive score model

Peritoneal recurrence (PR) remains the most common pattern of relapse in gastric cancer (GC), even after curative resection. Given its dismal prognosis, the identification of risk factors for PR is essential for developing new treatment modalities and selecting a more appropriate subgroup of patients. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors and survival outcomes of patients with GC who had PR and to develop a risk score to predict PR. All patients with GC who underwent curative gastrectomy were included. For analysis, patients were divided into no recurrence (NR), recurrence in other sites (ROS), and PR. Risk factors for PR were analyzed to build a risk score. Among 622 patients with GC, 460 (74.0%) had NR, 98 (15.7%) had ROS, and 64 (10.3%) had PR. Female patients, linitis on computed tomography, depth of tumor invasion, and diffuse/mixed type were associated with PR. Patients with PR had worse overall survival than those with ROS (22.0 vs 29.8 months, respectively; P=.008). The median survival estimates after recurrence were 5.0 months in the PR group and 9.9 months in the ROS group (P<.001). The scoring system developed with 8 variables had an accuracy of 81% in predicting PR. Accordingly, 385 patients (61.9%) were classified as low risk, and 237 patients (38.1%) were classified as high risk. Among the 64 patients with PR, 53 (82.8%) were correctly classified as high risk (P<.001). Patients with PR had distinct clinicopathologic characteristics and extremely restricted survival compared with patients with recurrence in other sites. The risk-scoring model was able to identify patients at higher risk of PR.

Dynamic Anthropometrics in Pancreatic Cancer: Associations Between Body Composition Changes During Neoadjuvant Therapy and Survival Outcomes After Resection.

Assessment of individual tumor biology and response to systemic therapy in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains a clinical challenge. The significance of anthropometric (body composition) changes during chemotherapy as a surrogate for tumor biology in the setting of localized PDAC is unknown. A retrospective, single-institution analysis of patients with PDAC who received neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) and pancreatectomy from 2017 to 2021 was performed. Radiologic anthropometric analysis used artificial intelligence-driven software to segment and compute total and sub-compartment muscle area, adipose tissue area, and attenuation values at the level of the L3 vertebra. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, log-rank tests, and multivariable Cox regression models were used in survival analyses. The inclusion criteria were met by 138 patients. Although decreases in muscle and adipose tissue areas during NAT were predominant, a subset of patients experienced an increase in these compartments. Increases in muscle greater than 5% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.352; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.135-0.918; p=0.033) and increases in adipose tissue greater than 15% (HR, 0.375; 95% CI 0.144-0.978; p=0.045), were significantly associated with improved survival, whereas loss of visceral fat greater than 15% was detrimental (HR 1.853; CI 1.099-3.124; p=0.021). No significant associations with single time-point anthropometrics were observed. Gains in total muscle and adipose mass were associated with improved pathologic response to systemic therapy and less advanced pathologic tumor stage. Dynamic anthropometric analysis during NAT for PDAC is a stronger prognostic indicator than measurements taken at a single point in time. Repeated anthropometric analysis during preoperative chemotherapy may serve as a biomarker for individual tumor biology and response to therapy.

Intraoperative neurophysiologic monitoring during cardiac surgery: an observational cohort study

ObjectiveTo evaluate the impact of intraoperative neuromonitoring (IONM) on stroke and operative mortality after coronary and/or valvular operations.MethodsThis was an observational study of coronary and/or valvular heart operations from 2010...

High Stress Hyperglycemia Ratio Versus Absolute Hyperglycemia as a Predictor of Poor Outcome Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Moderate to Critical Covid-19 Infection Admitted at a Tertiary Hospital from 2020-21: A Retrospective Study

Background: Patients with diabetes are vulnerable and highly susceptible to contracting COVID-19. Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) may provide prognostic information in hospitalized patients. It is debatable whether stress hyperglycemia directly leads to poor outcomes, or is simply a marker of increased stress and inflammation. Objective: This study investigates whether high SHR is associated with poor clinical outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and moderate to critical COVID-19 infection. Moreover, this study aims to compare high SHR versus absolute hyperglycemia as a predictor of poor outcomes. Methodology: A chart review was conducted on 146 COVID-19 patients with T2DM from March 2020 to December 2021. The area under the receiver operating curve was conducted to categorize SHR into low and high levels. The association of high SHR levels and absolute hyperglycemia with outcomes was analyzed using the regression analysis. Survival analysis was also utilized to allow differences in the time when in-hospital mortality occurred. Result: Patients with high SHR had a significantly higher proportion of mortality and invasive ventilation compared to those with low SHR. High SHR significantly increased the likelihood of invasive ventilation by 16.49 times and mortality hazards by 5.70 times compared to low SHR. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that those with high SHR had significantly lower survival rates than those with low SHR. In contrast, the survival estimates between those with and without absolute hyperglycemia were not statistically significant. Conclusion: High SHR (&gt;1.082) was associated with poorer outcomes, increased invasive mechanical ventilatory support and increased mortality. Keywords: Stress Hyperglycemia Ratio, Absolute Hyperglycemia, Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus, COVID-19, Poor outcome

Cox Regression Model with Time-varying Coefficients Applied to Survival Estimation of Heart Failure

This study focuses on survival analysis of heart failure patients. All the patients, who are over 40 years old, have NYHA classes III or IV stages of heart failure. Cox regression model with time-varying coefficients is applied to deal with these data, which is updated in 2015. Kaplan Meier curves are plotted to screen out categorical variables that violates PH assumptions. As for continuous variables violating PH assumption, Schoenfeld residual plot is drawn to realize time stratification. Therefore, for each time period, cox proportional hazard model can be fit to estimate mortality and find out the key factors promoting or inhibiting death event of heart failure. As a result, age, blood pressure, serum creatinine, and ejection fraction are the significant features of hazard of death led by heart failure, which is validated by Wald test, Likelihood ratio test, and Log-rank test. Discrimination ability is also characterized by ROC curves and AUC finally.

Pituitary neuroendocrine tumors treated with stereotactic radiosurgery.

Pituitary neuroendocrine tumors (pitNETs) are benign tumors that may recur after surgical resection or persist following medical management. The objective of this study was to evaluate outcomes and toxicities of patients with pitNETs treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) at a single institution. We completed a retrospective, single-institution study of patients with pitNETs treated with frame-based, single-fraction, cobalt-60 SRS between September 2005 and June 2023. The primary endpoint was local tumor control. Secondary endpoints included endocrine control (for functional tumors), overall survival, and toxicities. A total of 88 lesions in 83 patients were treated with SRS. Most lesions (70%) were non-functional tumors. Of the 26 functioning tumors, 6 patients achieved endocrine remission with SRS alone (23%), and the remainder achieved remission with combined medical management. With a median patient follow-up of 4.7 years, no local tumor recurrences were observed with an estimated local control probability of 100%. Two- and five-year overall survival estimates were 97% (95% confidence interval [CI] 89-99) and 95% (95% CI 84-98), respectively. Causes of death were unrelated to PitNET or SRS. Twelve patients (14%) developed hypopituitarism after SRS. Despite the 34 lesions that were ≤ 3mm from optic structures, no patients developed any optic neuropathy or visual decline post SRS. SRS is a highly effective modality for recurrent or residual pitNETs. This study observed a local control of 100% with no cases of optic toxicities after a median follow-up of 4.7 years. These observed findings suggest that dose de-escalation may be possible for future treatment of pitNETs.

Measures of left atrial structure and function predict cardiovascular death in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Abstract Background The role of the left atrium (LA) is increasingly recognized as a predictor of cardiovascular health outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of LA strain in relation to cardiovascular (CV) death in patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Methods In this retrospective cohort analysis, patients diagnosed with stable HFrEF and free from atrial fibrillation at baseline were included. All patients had a Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (LVEF) of 45% or below at the time of referral. Baseline clinical and echocardiographic parameters were collected from the database of the HF outpatient clinic, and data on CV death was gathered through the Danish National Patient Registry. LA function was assessed by means of LA emptying fraction (LAEF), peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS), peak atrial contraction strain (PACS), and LA conduit strain (LACS). Uni- and multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for clinical and echocardiographic baseline characteristics were used to determine the association between LA parameters and CV death. Cubic splines were used to identify cutoff values for LA parameters corresponding to a HR of 1. Results The study population consisted of 495 patients (mean age 66 ±11.5 years, 71% males). During a follow-up of 10.9 years [IQR: 6.2; 13.4], 134 (27%) patients reached the outcome of CV death. At baseline, patients who died of CV death were generally older (70.7±9.7 years vs. 64.2±11.7, p&amp;lt;0.001), had a higher prevalence of diabetes (25.4% vs. 13.9%, p=0.004), and a higher prevalence of moderate or severe valve disease (11.2% vs. 3.9%, p=0.004), as well as a lower LVEF (25.1%±8.5 vs. 29.4±8.9, p&amp;lt;0.001). Among LA parameters, the patients who met the outcome had a significantly lower LAEF (30.5% [IQR: 18.0; 42.0] vs. 38.9% [IQR: 29.0; 49.3], p&amp;lt;0.001), PALS (18.2% [IQR: 12.7; 24.4] vs. 23.0% [IQR: 18.3; 29.9], p&amp;lt;0.001), PACS (7.7% [IQR: 2.9; 13.6] vs. 11.7% [IQR: 7.9; 16.4], p&amp;lt;0.001), and LACS (9.4% [IQR: 7.2 ; 12.4] vs. 11.9% [IQR: 8.8; 15.0], p&amp;lt;0.001). Lower levels of all LA parameters were associated with an increased risk of CV death in univariable analysis (p&amp;lt;0.0001 for all parameters). However, in multivariable analysis, only LAEF (HR 0.99 per 1% increase, 95% CI 0.973-0.999, p=0.039), PALS (HR 0.96 per 1% increase, 95% CI 0.931–0.991, p=0.011), and PACS (HR 0.94 per 1% increase, 95% CI 0.90–0.98, p=0.002) remained significant. Splines for LAEF, PALS, and PACS were constructed with identified cutoff points for higher CV death risk (Figure 1), which were utilized to generate Kaplan-Meier curves (Figure 2). Conclusion Lower LA parameters, including LAEF, PALS, and PACS, are associated with increased risk of CV death in patients with HFrEF.Spline curves for LAEF, PALS, and PACS.Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for CVD

Outcomes of intra-aortic balloon pump in patients with advanced heart failure and cardiogenic shock undergoing heart transplantation

Abstract Background Intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) is generally used as a short-term device to maintain adequate organ perfusion in patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). However, whether IABP improves clinical outcomes as a bridge therapy for heart transplant (HTx) remains controversial. Purpose Evaluate the survival rate 30 days after heart transplant (HTx) in patients with advanced heart failure (HF) and CS using IABP pre transplant compared to non-IABP group. Methods We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients with advanced HF and CS, admitted in the cardiac intensive care unit (ICU) of a tertiary university center, between 2009 and 2020, who underwent HTx. Study group included patients submitted to IABP implantation before HTx, and a non-IABP group submitted to HTx without left ventricular mechanical support. Propensity Score Matching was used to pair the groups according to relevant clinical covariates. The primary outcome of survival rate 30 days after HTx was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Results 326 were enrolled, 199 in IABP group and 127 in non-IABP group. For non-IABP and IABP group, respectively, the most frequent etiology was Chagas disease (29,9% and 47,2%, p=0,006) followed by idiopathic cardiomyopathy and ischemic cardiomyopathy, the majority of patients were male (63% and 61,3%, p=0,760), the mean age was 46,9 ± 14,4 and 46,5 ± 12 years (p=0,791) and mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 25,9 ± 9,5% and 23,5 ± 5,9% (p=0,010). The Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 (SAPS 3) at ICU admission was compared in both groups, which was 36,8% ± 17,8% in non-IABP group and 32,6% ± 18,6% in IABP group (p=0,042). At 30 days after HTx, there was no statistical difference in overall survival (p=0,459) between the groups (IABP: 18,1% mortality; non-IABP: 14,2% mortality). Survival rate after HTx was also similar in patients with Chagas disease compared to the other etiologies in both study groups (IABP group: p=0,221; non-IABP group: p=0,421). Conclusion In patients with advanced HF and CS submitted to HTx, the survival rate 30 days after HTx was equivalent in the IABP and non-IABP groups. In patients with Chagas disease the survival was also similar compared to other etiologies in both groups.Characteristics according to groupsKaplan-Meier survival estimates

Prognostic role of ECG patterns in Anderson Fabry disease

Abstract Background Anderson Fabry disease (AFD) is an X-linked lysosomal storage disorder leading to a deficiency in α-galactosidase A and globotriasylceramide (Gb3) deposition in different organs. Cardiac involvement is extremely common. It has been shown that the ECG abnormalities are directly correlated with the progressive accumulation of glycosphingolipids in the myocardium and cardiac conduction system. However, it is still unclear whether the ECG alterations are correlated with clinical events. Purpose To evaluate the prognostic role of ECG patterns in an unselected population of patients with AFD. Methods We conducted a retrospective multicenter study enrolling 215 consecutive patients. Based on the baseline ECG the study population was divided into the following five groups: 1) normal ECG or minimal alterations; 2) left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) without signs of overload; 3) isolated negative T waves in the inferior and/or lateral leads; 4) LVH with signs of overload with or without incomplete right bundle branch block (RBBB); 5) complete RBBB. The primary endpoint was the composite of sudden cardiac death, resuscitated cardiac arrest, sustained ventricular tachycardia, and heart failure. Results Median age of study population was 45 years (32-57), and 86 patients (40%) were men. The rate of classic phenotype was 68%. Patients with ECG patterns 3 and 4 were older at baseline, more frequently affected by arterial hypertension, mostly male and showed greater left ventricular thickening, At a median follow up of 60 months (25-83) the overall Kaplan-Meier survival free from the primary endpoint was 57%: the Kaplan-Meier survival estimates of ECG groups were 66%, 75%, 68%, 27% e 52% respectively (log Rank 0.0026). On multivariable analysis patients belonging to either 3 or 4 group showed an increased risk of primary endpoint (HR= 2.45; 95% CI 1.04-5.78, p=0.040) compared to other groups. Conclusion ECG at baseline may be a useful tool to predict the risk of cardiovascular events in Anderson-Fabry Disease. Future studies should investigate if ECG may be useful also to evaluate the clinical response to specific therapy.

One-year outcomes of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy according to levels of inflammatory biomarkers

Abstract Background Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a vastly heterogeneous sarcomere disorder unified by maximal left ventricular (LV) thickness increases. The lifetime relative risk of morbidity in HCM is four-fold higher than in the general population, primarily driven by arrhythmias and heart failure (HF). Numerous prognostic features have been identified, but our ability to identify high-risk patients of progression remains rudimentary. Small retrospective studies have shown that systemic inflammation is associated with adverse outcomes in patients with HF; others, small and single-center, have also shown associations between adverse outcomes and inflammation in HCM. Purpose We aimed to determine whether elevated levels of inflammatory biomarkers are associated with an increased risk of acute heart failure (AHF) and mortality at 1 year in a large cohort of patients with HCM across multiple centers in the United States (US). Methods In this retrospective study, using the US cohort of 60 healthcare organizations in the TriNetX database, we included more than 85,000 adult patients with HCM (ICD-10-CM codes I42.1 and I42.2) between 2004 and 2024. Patients were divided according to predetermined cut-offs of different inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein [CRP], &amp;lt;2 mg/L vs. 2-100 mg/L; white blood cells [WBC], &amp;lt; vs. ≥ the median [8x10^3/µL]; neutrophils [Neu], &amp;lt; vs. ≥ the median [5x10^3/µL]). These cohorts were then 1:1 propensity score matched (PSM) for age, sex, and race. We used Kaplan-Meier survival curves to derive cumulative incidence curves (as 1 minus Kaplan-Meier survival estimates) for AHF (ICD-10-CM codes I50.21, I50.23, I50.31, I50.33, I50.41, I50.43) or death, and we compared them with the Log-rank (Mantel-Cox) test. We also derived Hazard Ratios (HR) with 95% Confidence Interval (CI) from Cox regression analysis to compare the outcomes within the groups at 1-year. Results After PSM, patients with HCM and CRP levels between 2-100 mg/L experienced higher rates of the composite outcome (19.6% vs. 12.2%, Log-rank p&amp;lt;0.001; HR 1.67, 95% CI [1.29-2.16]), as well as the separate outcomes of death (14.7% vs. 6.8%, Log-rank p&amp;lt;0.001; HR 2.23, 95% CI [1.68-2.98]) and AHF (10.9% vs. 7.5%, Log-rank p&amp;lt;0.001; HR 1.49, 95% CI [1.07-2.07]), compared to those with CRP &amp;lt;2 mg/L (Table 1)(Figure 1). Similarly, patients with Neu ≥5x10^3/µL reported higher incidences of the composite outcome (20.3% vs. 13.2%, Log-rank p&amp;lt;0.001; HR 1.62, 95% CI [1.55-1.68]) and the separates outcomes, compared to those with Neu &amp;lt;5x10^3/µL (Table 1) (Figure 1). Patients with WBC ≥8x10^3/µL also had increased rates of the composite outcome (19.4% vs. 14.1%, Log-rank p&amp;lt;0.001; HR 1.43, 95% CI [1.38-1.48]) and the separate outcomes, compared to those with WBC &amp;lt;8x10^3/µL (Table 1)(Figure 1). Conclusions In the first large 'real world' analysis of patients with HCM, elevated levels of inflammatory biomarkers were associated with worse outcomes of death and acute heart failure.

Multiparametric risk predictions for morbidity and mortality in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension: insights from a nation-wide registry

Abstract Background and aims In this retrospective analysis of a nation-wide registry on pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), group IV and V, we aimed to evaluate risk predictions for morbidity and mortality. Methods This study included 903 patients enrolled from 24 cardiology centers participating in the RegiStry on clInical outcoMe and sUrvival in pulmonaRy hypertension Groups (SIMURG II). ESC/ERS 2022 risk scoring, COMPERA 2.0 and REVEAL lite 2 models were used for baseline risk predictions, and COMPERA 2.0 model was used for risk evaluation at follow-up. Composite endpoint (CEP) definitions were adopted from the SERAPHIN and GRIPHON trials. Results Age (mean +SD) was 51.27 + 21.37 years, and 72 % of patients were female. Incident cases were noted in 65.9 % of overall study group. Idiopathic PAH (IPAH), PAH-associated with congenital heart diseases (CHD-PAH), PAH-associated with connective tissue diseases (CTD-PAH), porto-PAH, Group IV and V pulmonary hypertension (PH) were documented in 33 %, 33.5 %, 12 %, 1.6 %, 20 % and 1.7 % of overall patients, respectively. Background mono and dual targeted combinations, and sequential dual or triple combinations were noted in 17 %, 57 % and 26 % of patients, respectively. According to the ESC/ERS 2022 baseline risk scoring, low-, intermediate-, and high-risk were noted in 1.2 %, 14.1 %, and 84.7 %, respectively. Median follow-up time was 867 (412-1667) days. Overall rates of mortality and CEP were 26 % and 39%, respectively. Prevalent versus incident cases were associated signifinatly lower mortality and CEP ( p=0.028 and p=0.024, respectively). Mortality and CEP rates were 31 % and 44 % in IPAH, 20 % and 39 % in CHD-PAH, 31 % and 43 % in CTD-PAH, and 25 % and 30 % in group IV patients, respectively. Baseline high versus intermediate /low risk status were associated with a lower survival estimates for mortality and CEP in patients with PAH ( p=0.03 and p=0.003, respectively). Baseline COMPERA 2.0 risk status revealed significant differences in overall survival and CEP-free survival among risk groups ( p&amp;lt;0.0001 for both), but 1st year COMPERA 2.0 score did not (p=0.39 and p=0.06, respectively) . As compared to baseline, 1st year COMPERA 2.0 score decreased in 31 %, and remained unchanged in 34 % of patients. Baseline REVEAL lite 2.0 score was associated with mortality (hazard ratio (HR): 1.14;1.08-1.2, p&amp;lt;0.0001) and CEP (HR:1.17;1.1-1.25, p&amp;lt;0.0001) risks. Male sex (HR: 1.73; 1.2-2.51, p = 0.004), six-minute walk distance (p&amp;lt;0.001), functional class III/IV (HR: 2.52;1.47-4.32, p&amp;lt;0.001) and baseline low-risk status (HR:0.37;0.21-0.65, p&amp;lt;0.001) were independent predictors of mortality. Conclusions Our nation-wide data revealed current insights concerning the multiparametric risk predictions for morbidity and mortality in PAH.

Primary orbital and adnexal rhabdomyosarcoma: a study of 54 Asian Indian patients

ABSTRACT Purpose To describe the clinical presentation, management, and outcomes of orbital and adnexal rhabdomyosarcoma (RMS) in an Asian-Indian cohort and analyze the factors predictive of outcomes. Methods Retrospective interventional case series of 54 patients of histopathology-proven RMS Results The mean age of presentation with RMS was 10 years (median, 7 years; range, <1–54 years). The most common tumor location was the superonasal quadrant (n = 21, 39%). Extensions beyond the orbit into the sinuses, temporal fossa, and brain were seen in 15 (28%), 3 (6%), and 8 (15%), respectively. First-line treatment modalities included a combination of surgical debulking, chemotherapy, and external beam radiotherapy in 20 (37%) patients; chemotherapy and radiation in 20 (37%); complete surgical excision and chemotherapy in 3 (6%); orbital exenteration, chemotherapy, and external beam radiotherapy in 1 (2%); chemotherapy alone in 1 (2%) patient, and 9 (17%) patients were lost to follow up. By Intergroup Rhabdomyosarcoma Study Group (IRSG) grouping, tumors belonged to groups I (n = 2,4%), II (n = 13, 29%), and III (n = 30, 67%). Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for tumor recurrence, lymph node metastasis, systemic metastasis, and death (n = 45) were 84%, 82%, 95%, and 95% at 1 year, 69%, 76%, 81%, and 77% at 5 years, 69%, 76%, 81%, and 77% at 10 years, respectively. On multivariate regression, age >18 years was found to have a significantly increased risk of locoregional LN metastasis (p = 0.005). Conclusion Despite aggressive treatment modalities, the 5–year disease-specific survival rate was 77% in Asian-Indian cohort. Age > 18 years at presentation was associated with a poorer prognosis.