Survival Curve Analysis Research Articles

Outcomes of Bypass Surgery in Adult Moyamoya Disease by Onset Type

Moyamoya disease (MMD) is a rare chronic cerebrovascular disease, and the outcomes of bypass management in adult patients remain controversial. To categorize adult MMD based on asymptomatic, ischemic, and hemorrhagic onset and compare the outcomes (death, hemorrhagic stroke [HS], and ischemic stroke [IS]) of bypass surgery (direct or indirect) with those of conservative management. This retrospective, nationwide, population-based longitudinal cohort study used Korean National Health Insurance Research data to identify adults (aged ≥15 years) with MMD who were diagnosed between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2020, and followed up until December 31, 2021 (median follow-up, 5.74 [IQR, 2.95-9.42] years). A total of 19 700 participants (3194 with hemorrhagic, 517 with ischemic, and 15 989 with asymptomatic MMD) were included. Data were analyzed from January 2 to April 1, 2023. Bypass surgery and conservative management. Death constituted the primary outcome; secondary outcomes consisted of HS or IS. Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were applied. The propensity score-matching and stratified analyses were performed to control covariate effects. A total of 19 700 patients (mean [SD] age, 45.43 [14.98] years; 12 766 [64.8%] female) were included. Compared with conservative management, bypass was associated with a reduced risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 0.50 [95% CI, 0.41-0.61]; P < .001) and HS (AHR, 0.36 [0.30-0.40]; P < .001) in hemorrhagic MMD; reduced risk of IS (AHR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.37-0.81]; P = .002) in ischemic MMD; and reduced risk of death (AHR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.66-0.84]; P < .001) in asymptomatic MMD. However, bypass was associated with an increased risk of HS (AHR, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.56-2.00]; P < .001) in asymptomatic MMD. Both direct and indirect bypass demonstrated similar effects in hemorrhagic and asymptomatic MMD, except only direct bypass was associated with a reduced risk of IS (AHR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.33- 0.83]; P = .01) in ischemic MMD. After stratification, bypass was associated with a reduced risk of death in patients younger than 55 years with ischemic (AHR, 0.34 [95% CI, 0.13- 0.88]; P = .03) and asymptomatic (AHR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.60-0.79]; P < .001) MMD, but an increased risk of HS in patients 55 years or older with ischemic MMD (AHR, 2.13 [95% CI, 1.1-4.16]; P = .03). The findings of this cohort study of bypass outcomes for patients with MMD emphasize the importance of tailoring management strategies in adult patients based on onset types.

Prognostic Impact of Body Mass Index in Atrial Fibrillation.

Background/Objectives: Contradictory results have been reported regarding the influence of obesity on the prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF). The present study aimed to explore the potential association of body mass index (BMI) with the clinical outcomes of hospitalized patients with AF. Methods: In this retrospective, post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF randomized trial, 1113 AF patients were included and stratified as the following: underweight (BMI < 18 kg/m2), normal weight (BMI 18-24.9 kg/m2), overweight (BMI 25-29.9 kg/m2), and obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality; the secondary composite outcome was any hospitalization related to AF, heart failure (HF), or stroke. Cox regression analysis, survival analysis, and spline curve models were utilized. Results: Of the patients (median age: 76 years (IQR: 13), male: 54.6%), the majority were overweight (41.4%), followed by obese (33%), normal weight (24%), and underweight (1.6%). During a median 31-month follow-up, 436 (39.2%) patients died and 657 (59%) were hospitalized due to AF, HF, or stroke. Underweight, overweight, and obesity groups were significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (p-values 0.02, 0.001, and <0.001, respectively), while overweight and obesity were significantly associated with the composite endpoint (p-values 0.01, <0.001, respectively) compared to normal weight. The spline curve analyses yielded that BMIs > 26.3 and > 25 were incrementally associated with all-cause mortality and the composite endpoint, respectively. A J-shaped relationship between BMI and AF prognosis was deduced. Conclusions: In conclusion, in recently hospitalized AF patients, BMI values outside the normal range were independently associated with poorer prognosis; therefore, it is essential that AF patients maintain a normal weight.

Relapse and Survival in Bladder Cancer Patients Undergoing microRNA-129 and microRNA-145 Assays.

The lack of indicators to measure tumor's invasive biological behavior is an important issue. The aim of this study was to examine the effect of miRNAs 129 and 145 on tumor progression as well as patient survival. Seventy five breast cancer (BC) patients and 75 controls were included in this research. Two miRNA expressions were estimated using real-time PCR. Biomarkers for BC detection was tested using ROC curves and AUC. miR-129 and miR-145 expressions were significant. miR-129 and miR-145 classifiers (AUC = 0.943 and 0.748, respectively) help diagnose BC. Unlike miR-145, miR-129 did not affect the Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis for progression-free survival at the end of the trial. The development of transitional cell carcinoma disease was found to have a strong correlation with miR-145 in both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Additionally, infiltrating + invasive urothelial carcinoma was also found to be correlated with miR-145. Conversely, elevated miR-129 expression in BC patients did not lead to an increase in cancer-specific recurrence or mortality, as observed in both univariate and multivariate Cox regression studies. The miRNA signature can help detect survival-associated miRNAs and develop BC miRNA therapeutics.

WDR4 as a potential indicator of clinical prognosis and immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma.

e16275 Background: Immunotherapy has garnered increasing attention in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment. However, there remains a pressing need for effective immunological predictive biomarkers. In our previous study, utilizing data extracted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, we identified a positive correlation between WDR4 expression levels in hepatocellular carcinoma and various clinical parameters, encompassing Stage, T-stage, pathological grade, AFP level, and vascular invasion. Additionally, higher WDR4 expression was linked to poorer prognosis. Leveraging The TIMER and GEPIA databases, we further elucidated a significant association between WDR4 expression levels and the extent of immune cell infiltration, particularly macrophages, B lymphocytes, and myeloid suppressor cells, in hepatocellular carcinoma. These findings propose the potential utility of WDR4 as a biomarker for immune infiltration in hepatocellular carcinoma. As noted in the trial NCT03867084, which hypothesized that adjuvant pembrolizumab might surpass placebo efficacy, there still exists a gap in identifying the specific population benefiting from adjuvant immunotherapy. Methods: Clinical and pathological data from patients who underwent single-agent immunotherapy for HCC were additionally collected from Hunan Provincial People's Hospital between January 1, 2019, and January 31, 2024. These patients participated in the clinical trial (NCT03867084) with informed consent. The relationship between WDR4 expression levels, clinical pathological data, and patient prognosis was assessed using the Kruskal-Wallis test and Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis. Results: WDR4 displayed significant upregulation in HCC tissues compared to para-carcinoma tissues (P &lt; 0.001) and exhibited robust diagnostic potential. WDR4 expression showed significant associations with various immune cells, including macrophages (r = 0.278, P &lt; 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that patients with high WDR4 expression had shorter postoperative progression-free survival in the context of immunotherapy. Data from 37 patients who underwent postoperative single-agent immunotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (NCT03867084) revealed a significant correlation between WDR4 expression levels and Disease-Free Survival (DFS), with notable statistical significance (Log-rank P &lt; 0.001). Conclusions: WDR4 demonstrates elevated expression levels within HCC tissues and is associated with immune infiltration, establishing it as a prognostic biomarker in HCC. Furthermore, the positive correlation observed between WDR4 and CD68 as well as PD-L1 underscores its potential as a guiding factor in immunotherapeutic approaches for HCC.

Prediction of cognitive decline in Parkinson's disease based on MRI radiomics and clinical features: A multicenter study.

To develop and validate a multimodal combinatorial model based on whole-brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomic features for predicting cognitive decline in patients with Parkinson's disease (PD). This study included a total of 222 PD patients with normal baseline cognition, of whom 68 had cognitive impairment during a 4-year follow-up period. All patients underwent MRI scans, and radiomic features were extracted from the whole-brain MRI images of the training set, and dimensionality reduction was performed to construct a radiomics model. Subsequently, Screening predictive factors for cognitive decline from clinical features and then combining those with a radiomics model to construct a multimodal combinatorial model for predicting cognitive decline in PD patients. Evaluate the performance of the comprehensive model using the receiver-operating characteristic curve, confusion matrix, F1 score, and survival curve. In addition, the quantitative characteristics of diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) from corpus callosum were selected from 52 PD patients to further validate the clinical efficacy of the model. The multimodal combinatorial model has good classification performance, with areas under the curve of 0.842, 0.829, and 0.860 in the training, test, and validation sets, respectively. Significant differences were observed in the number of cognitive decline PD patients and corpus callosum-related DTI parameters between the low-risk and high-risk groups distinguished by the model (p < 0.05). The survival curve analysis showed a statistically significant difference in the progression time of mild cognitive impairment between the low-risk and the high-risk groups. The building of a multimodal combinatorial model based on radiomic features from MRI can predict cognitive decline in PD patients, thus providing adaptive strategies for clinical practice.

Should patients with exceptional longevity be treated for osteoporosis after a hip fracture?

There are no studies focusing on treatment for osteoporosis in patients with exceptional longevity after suffering a hip fracture. To assess the advisability of initiating treatment for osteoporosis after a hip fracture according to the incidence of new fragility fractures after discharge, risk factors for mortality and long-term survival. Retrospective review. A tertiary university hospital serving a population of ~425000 inhabitants in Barcelona. All patients >95years old admitted with a fragility hip fracture between December 2009 and September 2015 who survived admission were analysed until the present time. Pre-fracture ambulation ability and new fragility fractures after discharge were recorded. Risk factors for 1-year and all post-discharge mortality were calculated with multivariate Cox regression. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analyses were performed. One hundred and seventy-five patients were included. Median survival time was 1.32years [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.065-1.834], with a maximum of 9.2years. Male sex [hazard ratio (HR) 2.488, 95% CI 1.420-4.358] and worse previous ability to ambulate (HR 2.291, 95% CI 1.417-3.703) were predictors of mortality. After discharge and up to death or the present time, 10 (5.7%) patients had a new fragility fracture, half of them during the first 6months. Few new fragility fractures occurred after discharge and half of these took place in the first 6months. The decision to start treatment of osteoporosis should be individualised, bearing in mind that women and patients with better previous ambulation ability will have a better chance of survival.

Comparison of rituximab efficacy in treatment-naive and refractory inflammatory myopathies: experiences from a tertiary care centre.

To find out if Rituximab (RTX) is effective in "treatment naive" idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM), and whether there could be differential treatment responses between the "treatment naive" and treatment "refractory" IIM. Data obtained from a prospectively maintained database comprising patients with IIM treated with rituximab. Patient details were obtained at baseline, 3-months, 6-months intervals, and subsequent follow up visits. Treatment response was categorised as improved, worsening, or stable based on manual muscle testing (MMT8) scores, patient global and physician global improvement (PtGA and PGA) for skin and joint symptoms improvement and spirometry at 6 months. The time to clinical improvement and remission were noted and survival analysis curves were constructed. 60 patients with IIM (including 18 with anti-SRP myopathy) were included, out of which 33 who received RTX were treatment naïve. The remaining 27 were started on rituximab for refractory myopathy. Mean age was 39 years (SD12.58) in "treatment-naive" group and 43 years (SD 12.12) in "refractory" group. At 6 months of follow up, 48/55 (87%) patients showed response, 31/31 (100%) in "treatment-naive" and 17/24 (70%) in "refractory" cases, p 0.006*. In refractory group, 7 (29%) had stable disease. The mean changes in MMT8 were significantly more in the "treatment-naive" treatment group (13.41(SD 7.31) compared with "refractory" IIM 8.33 (SD 7.92) (p= 0.017*). Majority of patients were able to reduce dose below 5 mg/day before 6 months. No major adverse events were reported over the median follow-up of 24 (IQR 36) months. Rituximab is effective and safe across the spectrum of IIM. Early use in disease is associated with better outcomes.

#211 Low albumin levels are associated with intrarenal complement C4d deposits in critically ill patients with ANCA-associated renal vasculitides

Abstract Background and Aims Despite serum albumin levels being predictive for clinical outcome in ANCA-associated renal vasculitis, implications providing a direct link between low serum albumin levels and intrarenal lesions remain elusive. Therefore, we here aimed to systematically assess the clinical relevance of low albumin levels and scrutinize clinicopathological correlations to expand our current knowledge. Method We here retrospectively enrolled biopsy-proven cases of ANCA-associated renal vasculitis between 2015 till 2020 in a single-center observational study. Survival-curve analyses on long-term renal survival and short-term clinical recovery were performed. Correlative analyses between serum albumin levels, laboratory parameters, proteinuria levels, and histopathological lesions including tubulointerstitial immune cell infiltrates, lesions analogous to the Banff score and intrarenal complement deposition of C3c and C4d were performed. Results We here show that hypoalbuminemia below the median of 2.4 g/dL impairs long-term renal survival especially in MPO-positive ANCA-associated renal vasculitis (p = 0.006, HR: 5.0, 95% CI: 1.2-21.5), while short-term clinical recovery particularly in critically ill patients is negatively affected by low serum albumin levels (p = 0.0082, HR: 3.6, 95% CI: 1.1-11.7). Low albumin levels are associated with the urinary marker of tubular damage in the total cohort (β = −0.5, p = 0.01), PR3-ANCA (β = −0.5, p = 0.04) and MPO-ANCA (p = 0.002, β = −0.8), but not in critically ill patients (β = −0.5, p = 0.07) implying hypoalbuminemia to occur by extrarenal causation in the state of critical illness. We identified plasmacytic infiltrates to correlate with low albumin levels in the total cohort (β = −0.6, p = 0.004) and in the subgroup of critically ill patients (β = −0.7, p = 0.005). Banff-scored interstitial inflammation (i) was further observed to inversely correlate with albumin levels (β = −0.7, p = 0.02). Intrarenal C4d deposition showed a significant correlation with low serum albumin levels in the glomerular tuft (β = −0.4, p = 0.04) and in interstitial arteries (β = −0.7, p = 0.01). Conclusion In conclusion, long-term renal outcome is significantly affected by low serum albumin levels especially in the setting of MPO-ANCA seropositivity. By contrast, short-term recovery was predicted by low albumin levels in critically ill patients with ANCA-associated renal vasculitis. We here provide evidence that low levels of serum albumin might directly affect tubulointerstitial inflammation as reflected by plasmacytic immune-cell infiltration, and intrarenal C4d complement deposition in ANCA-associated renal vasculitis.

The use and abuse of survival analysis and Kaplan-Meier curves in surgical trials

BackgroundSurvival analysis based on Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curves, initially devised for oncology trials, have frequently been used in other contexts where fundamental statistical assumptions (such as a constant hazard ratio) are not satisfied. This is almost always the case in trials that compare surgery with medical management. MethodsWe review a trial that compared extracranial-intracranial bypass surgery (EC-IC bypass) with medical management (MM) of patients with symptomatic occlusion of the carotid or middle cerebral artery, where it was claimed that surgery was of no benefit. We discuss a hypothetical study and review other neurovascular trials which have also used survival analysis to compare results. ResultsThe trial comparing EC-IC bypass and MM did not satisfy the fundamental proportional hazard assumption necessary for valid analyses. This was also the case for two prior EC-IC bypass trials, as well as for other landmark neurovascular studies, such as the trials comparing endarterectomy with MM for carotid stenoses, or for the trial that compared intervention and MM for unruptured brain arteriovenous malformations. While minor deviations may have little effect on large trials, it may be impossible to show the benefits of surgery when trial size is small and deviations large. ConclusionSurvival analyses are inappropriate in RCTs comparing surgery with conservative management, unless survival is calculated after the postoperative period. Alternative ways to compare final clinical outcomes, using for example a fixed follow-up period, should be planned for preventive surgical trials that compare intervention with conservative management.

The predictive value of free thyroxine combined with tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis for poor prognosis in patients with IgA nephropathy.

IgA nephropathy (IgAN), the most common type of glomerulonephritis, has great individual differences in prognosis. Many studies showed the relationship between thyroid hormones and chronic kidney disease. However, the relationship between free thyroxine (FT4), as a thyroid hormone, and IgAN is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of FT4 on IgAN prognosis. This retrospective study involved 223 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN. The renal composite outcomes were defined as: (1) ESRD, defined as eGFR < 15 ml/(min·1.73 m2) or initiation of renal replacement therapy (hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, renal transplantation); (2) serum creatinine doubled from baseline; (3) eGFR decreased by more than 50% from baseline. The predictive value was determined by the area under the curve (AUC). Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses assessed renal progression and prognosis. After 38 (26-54) months of follow-up, 23 patients (10.3%) experienced renal composite outcomes. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the renal survival rate of the IgAN patients with FT4<15.18pmol/L was lower than that with FT4≥15.18pmol/L (P < 0. 001). Multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed that FT4 was a protective factor for poor prognosis of IgAN patients, whether as a continuous variable or a categorical variable (HR 0.68, 95%CI 0.51-0.90, P =0.007; HR 0.04, 95%CI 0.01-0.20, P <0.001). ROC curve analysis showed that FT4 combined with t score had a high predictive value for poor prognosis of IgAN patients (AUC=0.881, P<0.001). FT4 was a protective factor for IgAN. In addition, FT4 combined with tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis had a high predictive value for poor prognosis of IgAN.

Gender differences in cardiogenic shock: characteristics and prognosis

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Hospital Clinico San Carlos. Background Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a life-threatening condition caused by severe heart dysfunction. While significant advances have been made in the management and treatment of cardiogenic shock, there is growing recognition of the importance of considering gender-specific differences in the presentation and outcomes of this condition. Recent research highlights gender-related variations in how the condition is presented, managed, and its outcomes. Understanding these differences is crucial for tailored and effective treatment. Our goal is to identify potential gender differences in terms of the characteristics and prognosis of CS. Methods From 2013 to 2023, 142 consecutive patients diagnosed with CS in and admitted to an Acute Cardiac Care Unit in a tertiary care hospital were recruited. Demographic, clinical, and analytical variables were retrospectively collected. Patient were followed-up to November-2023 and clinical events were also recorded. For purposes of analysis, patients were classified in woman (N=95) and men (N=47). Success, in terms of IABP use, was defined as patient’s survival to the index event. Failure of IABP was defined as in-hospital death. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify potential predictors of success. A descriptive analysis of clinical, analytical, and demographic parameters was performed in both groups, followed by a survival curve analysis to assess differences in prognosis between both sexes. Results Mean age was 67.3±12.2 years and 67.0% were females. There were no significant differences in cardiovascular risk factor and comorbidities between groups: hypertension (61.2% vs 38.8%, p 0.077), diabetes (65.9% vs 34.1%, p 0.866), chronic kidney disease (75% vs 25%, p 0.465), previous stroke (61.5% vs 38.5%, p 0.666) in woman vs men group respectively. STEMI was the most frequent cause of CS requiring an IABP in men (33.7%) but NSTEMI was in women (67.7%). Regarding the CS classification, both groups had a similar distribution of the severity and complexity of the shock (Figure 1). There were also no differences in hemodynamic parameters, analytical results, complete revascularization, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) between men and women (Figure 1). There were also no differences in hemodynamic parameters, analytical results, complete revascularization, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) between men and women (Figure 1). The complications, mortality (Figure 2), and long-term mortality were also similar in both groups. Conclusions In our observational study, there were no differences between genders in terms of characteristics, shock complexity, and prognosis.

Exploring genes within the glutathione peroxidase family as potential predictors of prognosis in papillary renal cell carcinoma

Abstract Objectives This research aims to explore the relationship between glutathione peroxidase (GPX) expression variations in papillary renal cell carcinoma (pRCC) and patient survival, while also developing and evaluating a customized survival prediction model based on GPX. Methods The transcriptomic dataset, including clinical parameters and GPX expression levels, is sourced from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, comprising 290 individuals diagnosed with pRCC. We utilized a univariate Cox regression model to select differentially expressed genes. Subsequently, we calculated risk scores through the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Based on the median risk score, patients were categorized into high and low-risk groups, establishing a prognostic risk model. Following this, the relationship between the risk model and the survival of pRCC patients was revealed through Kaplan–Meier survival curve analysis. The sensitivity and specificity of the predictive model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Furthermore, chemotherapy drug sensitivity analysis was conducted on patients in the high and low-risk groups. Results A risk-scoring model was built by selecting GPX7 and GPX8. Compared to the low-risk group, individuals in the high-risk category showed significantly reduced overall survival rates (p=0.018). Additionally, validation results demonstrated the model’s good predictive accuracy. Conclusions The risk-scoring model constructed based on GPX family genes provides an innovative biomarker for forecasting the prognosis of pRCC and serves as a reference for individualized therapy in pRCC.

Abstract PO5-24-10: Clinical significance and immune landscape analyses of the immune related genes based prognostic signature for HER2 positive breast cancer

Abstract Objective: To date, significant breakthrough has yet to be achieved in immunotherapy for HER2-positive breast cancer (HPBC). In this study, we aimed to construct a risk model for predicting prognosis and therapy response and evaluating the tumor immune landscape in HPBC patients. Methods: Differentially expressed immune-related genes (IRGs) were used as input to weighted correlation network analysis (WGCNA) to identify modules of highly correlated gene. An optimal prognostic TPBC-IRGs signature were constructed by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) cox regression. Survival analysis and ROC curves were analyzed to identify the predictive value in a training cohort and external validation cohorts. With three GEO datasets and samples from our center, the anti-HER2 therapeutic efficacy in HPBC patients was predicted through this prognostic model. Additionally, the immunotherapy outcome was forecasted using IMvigor210 dataset. We also investigated the connection between high and low-risk populations and immune checkpoints and analyzed immune infiltration levels of these populations with several algorithms. Ultimately, we develop a combined model and nomogram by integrating the risk score with clinical factors. Results: 11 key genes associated with overall survival (OS) in the blue module were selected for further analysis. A 3-gene signature (CX3CL1, RARB, TANK) based prognostic risk model was developed. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve revealed that patients with high-risk score had shorter OS compared with the low-risk group. The AUC of the training cohort at 1-, 3- and 5-year were 0.718, 0.784 and 0.767. The performance of the risk model was validated with GSE25066 and GSE55348. It’s showed that the risk scores of HPBC who were resistant to trastuzumab were significantly higher than those of patients who were sensitive to trastuzumab. The results indicated that the levels of immune checkpoints expression (such as PD-1, CTLA4 and TIGIT) and immune infiltration were higher in low-risk group than in high-risk group. The combined model showed better prognostic prediction accuracy compared to the clinical model or gene signature alone (1-year AUC=0.910;3-year AUC=0.832;5-year AUC=0.882). Conclusion: The immune gene-based risk profile and combined prognostic model in this study may hold promise for clinical use in predicting the prognosis and treatment efficacy of HPBC patients. figure3. Construction of HPBC-IRGs signature based prognostic model. Citation Format: Xiaofen Li, Wenfen Fu, Yushuai Yu, Jie Zhang, Chuangui Song. Clinical significance and immune landscape analyses of the immune related genes based prognostic signature for HER2 positive breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO5-24-10.

Construction of oxidative phosphorylation-related prognostic risk score model in uveal melanoma

BackgroundUveal melanoma (UVM) is a malignant intraocular tumor in adults. Targeting genes related to oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) may play a role in anti-tumor therapy. However, the clinical significance of oxidative phosphorylation in UVM is unclear.MethodThe 134 OXPHOS-related genes were obtained from the KEGG pathway, the TCGA UVM dataset contained 80 samples, served as the training set, while GSE22138 and GSE39717 was used as the validation set. LASSO regression was carried out to identify OXPHOS-related prognostic genes. The coefficients obtained from Cox multivariate regression analysis were used to calculate a risk score, which facilitated the construction of a prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, logrank test and ROC curve using the time “timeROC” package were conducted. The immune cell frequency in low- and high-risk group was analyzed through Cibersort tool. The specific genomic alterations were analyzed by “maftools” R package. The differential expressed genes between low- or high-risk group were analyzed and performed Gene Ontology (GO) and GSEA. Finally, we verified the function of CYC1 in UVM by gene silencing in vitro.ResultsA total of 9 OXPHOS-related prognostic genes were identified, including NDUFB1, NDUFB8, ATP12A, NDUFA3, CYC1, COX6B1, ATP6V1G2, ATP4B and NDUFB4. The UVM prognostic risk model was constructed based on the 9 OXPHOS-related prognostic genes. The prognosis of patients in the high-risk group was poorer than low-risk group. Besides, the ROC curve demonstrated that the area under the curve of the model for predicting the 1 to 5-year survival rate of UVM patients were all more than 0.88. External validation in GSE22138 and GSE39717 dataset revealed that these 9 genes could also be utilized to evaluate and predict the overall survival of patients with UVM. The risk score levels related to immune cell frequency and specific genomic alterations. The DEGs between the low- and high- risk group were enriched in tumor OXPHOS and immune related pathway. In vitro experiments, CYC1 silencing significantly inhibited UVM cell proliferation and invasion, induced cell apoptosis.ConclusionIn sum, a prognostic risk score model based on oxidative phosphorylation-related genes in UVM was developed to enhance understanding of the disease. This prognostic risk score model may help to find potential therapeutic targets for UVM patients. CYC1 acts as an oncogene role in UVM.

Abstract PO1-22-09: Current margin assessment practice for breast-conserving surgery in China: a single institution audit

Abstract Background The appropriate negative margin width following breast-conserving surgery (BCS) for both ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) and invasive carcinoma (IC) has witnessed a shift towards de-escalation in international guidelines. However, there are limited nationwide data regarding margin assessment practice for BCS in China. This study aims to clarify the current real-world status of margin assessment from a single institution audit and secondarily to update the evidence on the association between margin width and local recurrence. Methods Eligible cases were derived from an extensive series of consecutive unselected patients with early invasive breast cancer who were treated with BCS at the Department of Breast Surgery in Shanghai Cancer Center Fudan University (FUSCC) between January 2015 and December 2017. Patient demographic and clinicopathological information as well as follow-up data were extracted from the hospital's electronic medical records. Pathological evaluation of negative margins was defined as no ink on tumor for IC in accordance with the SSO/ASTRO consensus guidelines released in 2014. Where applicable, margins were categorized as tumor on ink (involved), close margins (no tumor on ink but ≤1 mm), clear margins (1-2 mm), wide margins (2-5 mm), and wider margins (&amp;gt;5 mm). The positive margin rate (PMR), reoperation rate, and ipsilateral breast recurrence (IBR) rate were calculated according to different margin widths. Multivariable analyses of factors associated with re-excision were performed using binary logistic regression. Kaplan‒Meier survival curve analysis was performed for local recurrence-free survival (LRFS). Results A total of 2707 patients were enrolled in the current study, with a total PMR of 2.7%. The distribution of margin width revealed that wider margins (&amp;gt;5 mm) were optimized by most surgical oncologists (2092/2707, 77.3%) for BCS in our center. Additionally, the reoperation rates were 1.9% in the whole population, accounting for 48.3%, 7.5%, 4.2%, 0.8%, and 0.4% in each margin group. Specifically, among 247 patients with margins ≤2 mm, 41 (16.6%) received reoperation either by margin re-excision or mastectomy. Multivariable analyses identified that lobular histology, no selective additional resection and in situ pathology of involved/close margins are independent factors of re-excision recommendation. With a median follow-up of 54.3 months, the incidence of IBR was 1.7% in the whole cohort, representing for 5.2%, 4.2%, 2.8%, 1.9%, and 1.3% in each margin group, respectively. Kaplan‒Meier survival curve analysis showed a marginally significant difference in 5-year LRFS between groups with margins &amp;gt;2 mm and margins ≤2 mm (95.9% vs 97.8%, Table 1). Conclusions A wider margin width was preferably adopted in the routine practice of BCS. Our audit was aligned with previous evidence that a minimum clear margin of 2 mm is associated with a lower reoperation rate but favorable local control. Patients with margins no more than 2 mm were more likely to have re-excision in cases of lobular histology, no selective additional resection, and in situ pathology of involved/close margins. Ipsilateral breast recurrence models by margin status Citation Format: Feilin Qu, Cheng-Jia Shen, Wen-Tao Yang, Jun-Jie Li, Guangyu Liu, Zhi-Ming Shao. Current margin assessment practice for breast-conserving surgery in China: a single institution audit [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO1-22-09.

The expression characteristic and prognostic role of Siglec-15 in lung adenocarcinoma.

Sialic acid-binding immunoglobulin-like lectin-15 (Siglec-15) has been identified as an immune suppressor and a promising candidate for immunotherapy of cancer management. However, the association between Siglec-15 expression and clinicopathological features of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), especially the prognostic role, is not fully elucidated. In this present study, a serial of bioinformatics analyses in both tissue and cell levels were conducted to provide an overview of Siglec-15 expression. Real-time quantitative PCR (qPCR) test, western blotting assay, and immunohistochemistry (IHC) analyses were conducted to evaluate the expression of Siglec-15 in LUAD. Survival analysis and Kaplan-Meier curve were employed to describe the prognostic parameters of LUAD. The results of bioinformatics analyses demonstrated the up-regulation of Siglec-15 expression in LUAD. The data of qPCR, western blotting, and IHC analyses further proved that the expression of Siglec-15 in LUAD tissues was significantly increased than that in noncancerous tissues. Moreover, the expression level of Siglec-15 protein in LUAD was substantially associated with TNM stage. LUAD cases with up-regulated Siglec-15 expression, positive N status, and advance TNM stage suffered a critical unfavorable prognosis. In conclusion, Siglec-15 could be identified as a novel prognostic biomarker in LUAD and targeting Siglec-15 may provide a promising strategy for LUAD immunotherapy.

Ischemic insular damage and stress ulcer in patients of acute ischemic stroke.

Stress ulcer (SU) is a common complication in patients with acute ischemic stroke. The relationship of infarction location and the incidence of SU was unclear. Herein, we aim to investigate the association between ischemic insular damage and the development of SU. Data were retrieved from the SPARK study (Effect of Cardiac Function on Short-Term Functional Prognosis in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke). We included the patients who had experienced an ischemic stroke within 7 days. The diagnosis of SU was based on clinical manifestations, including hematemesis, bloody nasogastric tube aspirate, or hematochezia. Evaluation of ischemic insular damage was conducted through magnetic resonance imaging. Cyclo-oxygenase regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to assess the relationship between ischemic insular damage and the occurrence of SU. Among the 1357 patients analyzed, 110 (8.1%) developed SUs during hospitalization, with 69 (6.7%) experiencing infarctions in the anterior circulation. After adjusting for potential confounders, patients with ischemic insular damage exhibited a 2.16-fold higher risk of developing SUs compared to those without insular damage (p=.0206). Notably, among patients with infarctions in the anterior circulation, those with insular damage had a 2.21-fold increased risk of SUs (p=.0387). Moreover, right insular damage was associated with a higher risk of SUs compared to left insular damage or no insular damage (p for trend=.0117). Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated early separation among groups, persisting throughout the follow-up period (all p<.0001). This study identified a significant independent correlation between ischemic insular damage, particularly on the right side, and the development of SU during hospitalization, indicating the need to consider prophylactic acid-suppressive treatment for patients with ischemic insular damage.

NIGHTTIME ARTERIAL PRESSURE PHENOTYPES AND THEIR PROGNOSTIC VALUE IN PREGNANT WOMEN AS PREDICTORS FOR FUTURE MATERNAL AND NEONATAL EVENTS

Objective: We have previously demonstrated that some ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) values can predict maternofoetal evens in hypertensive pregnant women. The analysis of the different nighttime blood pressure (BP) phenotypes in pregnant women is still an unknown topic. Design and method: A retrospective cohort study which followed a sequential number of 274 hypertensive pregnant patients (mean age of 32 years) from 2007 to 2022, who underwent ABPM made with a Spacelabs 90207. Data was collected and analysed in SPSS Statistics through different parametric tests. Nocturnal BP phenotypes were defined for both systolic and diastolic values as: reverse dipper (RD); non-dipper (ND); dipper (DP); and extreme dipper (ED). An event was defined as the composite endpoint of multiple adverse events: preeclampsia or eclampsia, foetal or neonatal death, prematurity, low weight at birth, gestational diabetes, and maternal death. Results: A Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis was performed between systolic DP and ND groups, with ND showing a worse survival with a long rank of 11.331 (p&lt;0.001); and for diastolic DP and ND groups, again with ND showing a worse survival with a long rank of 15.335 (p&lt;0.001). In a further systolic nocturnal phenotypes Kaplan-Meier analysis, RS (n=6) showed the worse survival, followed by ND (n=87), while DP (n=162) and ED (n=19) showed better survival, with a log rank of 8.4 (p=0.038). For the diastolic nocturnal phenotypes Kaplan-Meier analysis, ND (n=33) showed the worse survival, followed by DP (157), while ED (81) showed better survival, with a log rank of 21.3 (p&lt;0.001). Diastolic RD showed no events, likely due to the small sample size (n=3). (Fig 1) Conclusions: This study further exemplifies the importance of ABPM in the evaluation of hypertensive pregnant women, both for its major role in diagnosis as well as prognostic value. Different nocturnal phenotypes show different survival rates, and patients without systolic or diastolic dipping seem to be at a major risk.

Outcomes of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients with high body mass index undergoing extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support

To evaluate the extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) related outcomes during hospitalization during the intensive care unit (ICU) in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients with high body mass index (BMI, > 25 kg/m2) undergoing lung transplantation with ECMO support. A retrospective observational study was conducted. IPF patients who received ECMO during lung transplantation admitted to the Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from 2019 to 2020 were enrolled. Preoperative indicators including, demographics, comorbidities, arterial blood gas, and laboratory indicators; intraoperative indicators, such as lung lobe volume reduction, surgical type, surgical time, cold ischemia time, blood loss and transfusion volume; immediate indicators upon admission to the ICU, such as blood gas analysis and laboratory indicators; ECMO related outcomes, such as ECMO mode, ECMO support time, ECMO related complications (bleeding at the catheterization site, intraductal thrombosis, lower limb ischemia), and the length of ICU stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, and 30-day survival rate were collected. According to BMI, patients were divided into three groups: light weight group (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2), normal weight group (BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m2), and overweight group (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2). Mainly to compare the relevant outcomes of ECMO among patients during ICU. A total of 114 IPF patients who received ECMO support during lung transplantation were collected, including 23 cases in the light weight group, 63 cases in the normal weight group, and 28 cases in the overweight group. Compared with patients with underweight and normal weight, overweight patients were more likely to have hypertension (46.4% vs. 8.7%, 23.8%, P < 0.01) and coronary heart disease (32.1% vs. 4.3%, 20.6%, P < 0.05) before surgery, which was consistent with international guidelines for obesity. Other clinical data (preoperative, intraoperative, ICU characteristics) showed no statistically significant differences and were comparable. There was no statistically significant difference in terms of ECMO related outcomes, such as ECMO related complications [veno-venous (V-V) mode: 78.3%, 77.8%, 78.6%, veno-arterial (V-A) mode: 21.7%, 22.2%, 21.4%], ECMO support time (hours: 61.70±20.03, 44.57±5.76, 41.77±7.26), ECMO related complications (bleeding at the catheterization site: 4.3%, 7.9%, 14.3%; intraductal thrombosis: 8.7%, 12.7%, 17.9%; lower limb ischemia: 8.7%, 12.7%, 14.3%), and the length of ICU stay (days: 11±3, 7±1, 9±1), duration of mechanical ventilation [days: 2 (2, 11), 2 (2, 6), 3 (2, 8)] among the light weight group, normal weight group, and overweight group (all P > 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that there was no statistically significant difference in the 30-day cumulative survival rate among the three groups (Log-Rank test: χ 2 = 0.919, P = 0.632). High BMI does not worsen ECMO-related outcomes or adversely affect early prognosis in IPF patients undergoing lung transplantation. BMI as a single parameter should not be a contraindication for the use of ECMO in lung transplantation surgery for IPF patients.

Identification of MAD2L1 and BUB1B as Potential Biomarkers Associated with Progression and Prognosis of Ovarian Cancer.

Ovarian cancer develops insidiously and is frequently diagnosed at advanced stages. Screening for ovarian cancer is an effective strategy for reducing mortality. This study aimed to investigate the molecular mechanisms underlying the development of ovarian cancer and identify novel tumor biomarkers for the diagnosis and prognosis of ovarian cancer. Three databases containing gene expression profiles specific to serous ovarian cancer (GSE18520, GSE12470, and GSE26712) were acquired. Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes were analyzed for the differentially expressed gene (DEGs). The protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed using the STRING database. The pivotal genes in the PPI network were screened using the Cytoscape software. Survival curve analysis was performed using a Kaplan-Meier Plotter. The cancer genome atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus databases were used to find the relationship between Hub gene and serous ovarian cancer. PCR and immunohistochemistry were used to detect the expression of Hub gene in serous ovarian cancer tissues and cells. Downstream pathways of the candidate tumor marker genes were predicted using Gene Set Enrichment Analysis. In this study, 252 DEGs were screened for pathway enrichment. 20 Hub genes were identified. Survival analysis suggested that Aurka, Bub1b, Cenpf, Cks1b, Kif20a, Mad2l1, Racgap1, and Ube2c were associated with the survival of patients with serous ovarian cancer. MAD2L1 and BUB1B levels were significantly different in serous ovarian cancer at different stages. Finally, Mad2l1 was found to play a role in the cell cycle, oocyte meiosis, and ubiquitin-mediated proteolysis. Meanwhile, Bub1b may play a role in the cell cycle, ubiquitin-mediated proteolysis, and spliceosome processes. Mad2l1 and Bub1b could be used as markers to predict ovarian carcinogenesis and prognosis, providing candidate targets for the diagnosis and treatment of serous ovarian cancer.