Surgical Scoring System Research Articles

Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress Score Does Not Predict Immediate Outcome After Pancreatic Surgery

The Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress score was designed to predict postoperative morbidity and mortality in general surgery. Our study aims to evaluate its use and accuracy in estimating postoperative outcome after elective pancreatic surgery. Between 2002 and 2007, approximately 304 patients requiring pancreatic resection at our institution were recorded prospectively and evaluated retrospectively. The patients' preoperative risk score, surgical stress score (SSS), and comprehensive risk score (CRS) were calculated and compared with the severity of postoperative morbidity, where mortality was regarded as the most severe postoperative complication. Observed and predicted mortality rates were 2.9% and 2.0%, respectively. Mean CRS was higher in patients who died than in patients that survived, but this difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.20). Preoperative risk score, SSS, and CRS did not differ between patients with and without complications (preoperative risk score: P = 0.32; SSS: P = 0.22; CRS: P = 0.13). Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress particularly underpredicted morbidity in patients with a CRS between 0.0 and less than 0.5. The Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress scoring system is an ineffective predictor of complications after pancreatic resection. Further refinements to the score calculation are warranted to provide accurate prediction of immediate surgical outcome after pancreatic surgery.

Expansion of the Surgical Apgar Score across All Surgical Subspecialties as a Means to Predict Postoperative Mortality

A surgical scoring system, akin to the obstetrician's Apgar score, has been developed to assess postoperative risk. To date, evaluation of this scoring system has been limited to general and vascular services. The authors attempt to externally validate and expand the Surgical Apgar Score across a wide breadth of surgical subspecialties. Intraoperative data for 123,864 procedures including all surgical subspecialties were collected and associated with Surgical Apgar Scores (created by the summation of point values associated with the lowest mean arterial pressure, lowest heart rate, and estimated blood loss). Patients' death records were matched to the corresponding score, and logistic regression models were created in which mortality within 7, 30, and 90 days was regressed on the Apgar score. Lower Surgical Apgar Scores were associated with an increased risk of death. The magnitude of this association varied by subspecialty. Some subspecialties exhibited higher odds ratios, suggesting that the score is not as useful for them. For most of the subspecialties the association between the Apgar score and mortality decreased as the time since surgery increased, suggesting that predictive ability ceases to be helpful over time. After adjusting for the patient's American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, Apgar scores remained associated with death among most of the subspecialties. A previously published methodology for calculating risk among general and vascular surgical patients can be applied across many surgical services to provide an objective means of predicting and communicating patient outcomes in surgery as well as planning potential interventions.

Physiologic Component of the Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress Scoring System as a Predictor of Immediate Outcome After Elective Open Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair

Previous studies have shown a good predictive power of the risk scoring method, Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress, in predicting mortality after open elective aortic aneurysm repair. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the physiologic component of this method to assess mortality risk in a different geographic population from previously published reports. Operative, morbidity and mortality data were collected retrospectively from charts of patients submitted to elective open repair of an abdominal aortic aneurysm over an 8-year period. There were 214 patients, the median age was 70 (range: 48-91) years; 179 (83.6%) patients were men. The Preoperative Physiologic Risk Score (PRS), Surgical Stress Score, and Comprehensive Risk Score (CRS) values were categorized and compared with morbidity and mortality rates. There were 27 deaths (12.6%), and 81 (37.9%) patients experienced a postoperative complication that required medical intervention. There was a significant statistical difference for the values of PRS and CRS for patients who survived (0.53/0.63, respectively) and for those who died (0.88/1.02, respectively), p < 0.0001 for both values. There is a strong correlation between PRS and CRS values and development of complications (p < 0.0001). Surgical Stress Score did not correlate as strongly to development of complications (p = 0.0028). For PRS, the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve was 0.844 (95% confidence interval: 0.747-0.941) for mortality and 0.725 (95% confidence interval: 0.650-0.799) for morbidity. For CRS, the area under the curve was 0.812 (95% confidence interval: 0.734-0.891) for mortality and 0.719 (95% confidence interval: 0.645-0.792) for morbidity. There was also a significant positive correlation between length of hospital stay and PRS and CRS scores (p < 0.0001). In this study, it was found that renal impairment has a significant positive correlation with mortality (p = 0.0008), with an odds ratio of 4.3. In a multivariate regression analysis, renal impairment failed to increase the accuracy of the model when associated with the other parameters considered in PRS. This study corroborates with the previous findings that the Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress model seems to be a promising method of predicting death and postoperative complications in patients undergoing open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

Predictive value of three surgical scoring systems for estimation of life expectancy in patients with extradural spinal metastasis

To evaluate the predictive values of Tokuhashi score, revised Tokuhashi score and Tomita score systems for life expectancy and treatment options in patients with spinal metastasis. From February 1996 to January 2009, spinal operations in 104 cases with spinal metastasis were performed in our hospital. There were 65 males and 39 females, with an average of 53.4 years (median 52.5 years). To calculate AUC (area under the curve) values of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves of three scores, and to analyze the accuracy of prediction of life expectancy. To compare the actual survival time with the expected survival time of the three scores by Kaplan-Meier method. Spearman correlation analysis was performed between the survival time and three scoring systems. All cases were followed-up with an average duration of 10.9 months, and 77 patients died. AUC analysis of ROC curves showed that the difference of the accuracy of the three scores was not significant. AUC in all groups of Tokuhashi Score was low, with a poor diagnostic accuracy. In the "died within 3 months" and "died within 6 months" groups of revised Tokuhashi score, the accuracy was low, while high in the other two groups. The AUC values of Tomita score in "died within 6 months" and "died within 24 months" were high, with a great diagnostic accuracy while the other two groups were low with a low diagnostic accuracy. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the actual survival time in all three scores was not entirely consistent with the expected survival time. Tokuhashi score and revised score were positively correlated with the survival time while that of Tomita score was negative. All the three prognosis scores in patients with spinal metastasis were closely related with survival time. The combination of Tokuhashi score and Tomita score may be applied to better predict postoperative survival prognosis and guide the surgical options for patients with spinal metastasis.

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation for severe aortic stenosis—a new paradigm for multidisciplinary intervention: A prospective cohort study

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is an alternative treatment option for patients with aortic stenosis deemed high risk or unsuitable for aortic valve replacement. The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of TAVI in elderly patients, the delivery of this technology with a multidisciplinary approach, and the use of traditional surgical scoring systems. One hundred fifty-one consecutive patients (mean age 82.6 +/- 7.3 years) with severe aortic stenosis underwent TAVI with the Edwards Lifesciences (Irvine, CA) Sapien bioprosthesis using the transapical (n = 84; 56%) or transfemoral (n = 67; 44%) approach from August 2007 to September 2009 at King's Health Partners, London, United Kingdom. We analyzed procedural outcome, complications, functional status, and midterm outcome of patients. The multidisciplinary team comprised interventional cardiologists, cardiothoracic surgeons, imaging specialists, cardiac anesthetists, and specialist nurses. Seventy percent of patients were in New York Heart Association class III/IV, and logistic EuroSCORE was 21.6 +/- 11.9. Procedural success was achieved in 98%. Postoperative complications included stroke (6%), complete atrioventricular block (5.3%), renal failure requiring hemofiltration (9.3%), and vascular injury (8.6%). Overall 30-day mortality was 9.9% (n = 15). The logistic EuroSCORE was a predictor of short-term mortality (logistic regression model, P < .05). Thirty-day mortality post-TAVI for patients with logistic EuroSCORE <20, 20 to 40, and >40 was 5.4%, 13.2%, and 22.2%, respectively. Transcatheter aortic valve implantation is a feasible treatment option in this patient group with promising short/medium-term results. Renal failure is the commonest short-term complication, and the incidence of vascular complications remains high. Risk prediction/case selection remains challenging, and a multidisciplinary team approach appears to be helpful in appropriate patient selection.

Utility of a generic risk prediction score in predicting outcomes after orofacial surgery for cancer

Understanding how variations in individual patients and perioperative events alter risk is fundamental to a useful audit of outcome. Many surgical scoring systems have been developed to allow for case-mix adjustment when reporting outcome data. To our knowledge this is the first report of the use of the physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (POSSUM and P-POSSUM) by a maxillofacial unit. We audited 360 operations in 245 patients between 2005 and 2008. The POSSUM morbidity equation showed reasonable discrimination (C Statistic 0.74), as did the P-POSSUM mortality equation (C Statistic 0.75), but neither showed a significant degree of goodness-of-fit (morbidity p = 0.0001; mortality p = 0.019). Analysis of subgroups of all elective and major operations showed no improvement in the accuracy of scores used to identify risk of complications. The need for a standard of care index for the audit of mortality and morbidity in major head and neck surgery has not yet been met.

Estimating Postoperative Mortality and Morbidity Risk of Radical Cystectomy With Continent Diversion Using Predictor Equations

The POSSUM (Physiological and Operative Severity Score for Enumeration of Mortality and Morbidity) and Portsmouth POSSUM predictor equations are scoring systems validated in the general surgery literature that estimate postoperative morbidity and mortality risk. We tested the validity of POSSUM and Portsmouth POSSUM in patients undergoing radical cystectomy with continent diversion. We retrospectively reviewed physiological parameters, operative parameters, and 30-day morbidity and mortality in 102 patients who underwent radical cystectomy with continent orthotopic diversion, as done by a single surgeon. Predicted morbidity and mortality were calculated using the POSSUM and Portsmouth POSSUM equations. Patients were stratified into risk groups, and observed and predicted outcomes were compared. The accuracy of predictions was assessed using binomial and chi-square analysis. Observed mortality and morbidity rates were 2.9% and 34.3%, respectively. Predicted morbidity using POSSUM analysis was 46 compared to the 35 observed in our series (p = 0.01). Compared to 3 observed deaths predicted mortality using POSSUM and Portsmouth POSSUM analysis was 13 and 5 (p = 0.002 and 0.30, respectively). There was a significant lack of fit for the POSSUM model to predict morbidity and mortality (p <0.05). However, the mortality risk estimated by Portsmouth POSSUM was not significantly different from the observed mortality rate in our cohort. In our series the POSSUM equation over predicted morbidity and mortality, and was unsuitable for a comparative audit of patients who underwent radical cystectomy with continent diversion. The Portsmouth POSSUM equation allowed satisfactory prediction of mortality in our cohort and should be evaluated further in larger series.

Risk scoring systems in colorectal surgery—future factors

Dear Editors: RE: Skala K, Gervaz P, Buchs N, Inan I, Secic M, Mugnier-Konrad B, Morel P. Risk factors for mortality– morbidity after emergency–urgent colorectal surgery. Int J Colorectal Dis 24:311–6, 2009. There are a number of scoring systems which exist, but they often have a large data burden or are hard to calculate, and the authors have tried to explore the risk factors in emergency–urgent colorectal (bowel resection) surgery. The authors are to be commended in their aspirations and in aiming to determine risk factors to be used in future surgical scoring systems. This prospective 5-year study promised much yet requires clarification from the authors. Could the authors elucidate why they chose patients undergoing resection of bowel rather than that outlined in the title (all emergent–urgent colorectal surgery)? Overall, Table 3 details six factors that were significant. The authors do not discuss age which may be a proxy for physiological reserve and a surrogate marker for undeclared comorbidity or the wide inter-observer variability of the ASA physical status score. In 1996, Hall and Hall found that if the ASA score was III or more and the age was over 60 years, this identified over 80% of the patients who died or had significant morbidity (prolonged stay in hospital, developed intraperitoneal sepsis or were admitted to the ICU). As the ASA is subjective, the importance of consultant anaesthetic assessment should be highlighted, and this was not mentioned in the study. Blood loss, particularly as reported by the operating surgeon, is potentially subjective; is this why the authors used 500 ml as a cutoff value? The data may have been more informative if categorised or subdivided more appropriately; blood loss and transfusion may have been more informative if subdivided, and should those who are overweight (body mass index, BMI=25–29) be considered in the same category as those who are obese (BMI>30)? Further, if those with an ASA of 4–5 (17% of patients) were excluded, how would this have affected the results? Rather than POSSUM which the authors cite, many authors use P-POSSUM which overcomes this criticism. The benefits of P-POSSUM include a lower baseline prediction of 0.2%, whilst linear individual mortality and also morbidity can be predicted. Neither of these scoring systems were designed to look at emergency–urgent surgery alone. Gawande et al. in 2008 reported an objective intraoperative surgical APGAR score derived from 303 patients and prospectively validated in 767 patients. Gawande found that intraoperative blood loss rather than perioperative blood loss was an important risk factor. Skala et al. are to be commended in realising the importance of blood loss independently. The surgical APGAR score also incorporates two other factors which were lowest mean arterial pressure and lowest heart rate (or arrhythmias) to develop a ten-point model, neither of which seems to be included in the data but could as easily have been measured. Overall, the authors have analysed a study with much data that strengthen that of Gawande et al.; however, one wonders what else might have been revealed.

Development of a tracheostomy scoring system to guide airway management after major head and neck surgery

The use of elective tracheostomy in major head and neck surgery is well established, although practice varies between units. There is no published method that reliably predicts the need for tracheostomy. This paper describes the development of a surgical scoring system designed to achieve that aim. The system was devised using data obtained retrospectively from 148 consecutive major head and neck procedures. These procedures were grouped according to the airway management plan in place at the end of the procedure: elective extubation (group E, 52 procedures, 50 patients); elective overnight ventilation via an endotracheal tube (group ETT, 55 procedures, 52 patients); and elective overnight ventilation via a tracheostomy (group T, 41 procedures, 41 patients). 8 patients from group ETT required a late tracheostomy for either medical or surgical indications. Using statistical methods, a threshold score was defined above which the high risk of upper airway obstruction should prompt consideration of an elective tracheostomy.

Percutaneous treatment of intrabdominal abscess: urokinase versus saline serum in 100 cases using two surgical scoring systems in a randomized trial

The purpose of this study was to assess whether regular instillation of urokinase during abscess drainage leads to an improved outcome compared to saline irrigation alone. One hundred patients referred for image-guided abdominal abscess drainage were randomized between thrice daily urokinase instillation or saline irrigation alone. At the end of the study, patient medical records were reviewed to determine drainage, study group, Altona (PIA II) and Mannheim (MPI) scoring, duration of drainage, procedure-related complications, hospital stay duration, and clinical outcome. The technical success rate of the percutaneous abscess drainage was 100%. The success or failure of abscess remission did not differ significantly between groups (success rate of 91.5% in the urokinase group vs. 88.8% in the saline group; failure rate was of 8.5 vs. 21.2%, respectively); however, days of drainage, main hospital stay, and overall costs were significantly reduced in patients treated with urokinase compared to the control group (P < 0.05). No adverse effects from urokinase were observed. Surgical scores were a useful homogeneity factor, and MPI showed a good correlation with prognosis, while PIA results did not have a significant correlation. For drainage of complex abscesses (loculations, hemorrhage, viscous material), fibrinolytics safely accelerate drainage and recovery, reducing the length of the hospital stay and, therefore, the total cost.

Abstract No. 99: Percutaneous Treatment of Intrabdominal Abscess: Urokinase Versus Saline in 100 Cases Using Two Surgical Scoring Systems in a Randomized Trial

Abstract No. 99: Percutaneous Treatment of Intrabdominal Abscess: Urokinase Versus Saline in 100 Cases Using Two Surgical Scoring Systems in a Randomized Trial

Evaluation of POSSUM scoring system in the treatment of osteoporotic fracture of the hip in elder patients

To evaluate the applicability of the modified physiological and operative severity score for enumeration of mortality and morbidity (POSSUM) scoring system in predicting mortality in the patients undergoing hip joint arthroplasty. A total of 295 patients with hip fractures were analyzed using the modified POSSUM surgical scoring system. The mean ages of the patients were 66.59 years in the complicative group, 62.28 years in noncomplicative group, 77.89 years in the death group and 63.25 years in the living group, respectively. The comparisons between the observed and predicted morbidity, between the observed and predicted mortality were made within 30 days after operation. The average physiological scores and operative severity scores was 18.96+/-4.83 and 13.47+/-2.01 in complicative group, while 15.65+/-3.66 and 11.74+/-2.26 in noncomplicative group (P less than 0.05). The average physiological scores and operative severity scores was 25.56+/-3.78 and 14.22+/-0.67 in death group, while 16.46+/-4.09 and 12.25+/-2.33 in living group (P less than 0.05). Though POSSUM scoring system over-predicted the overall risk of death, its estimate was very close in the high risk groups (larger than 10% ). There was perfect consistence between the observed and the predicted morbidity as calculated by published predictor equation for morbidity, and consistence for mortality in the high risk band. Modified POSSUM scoring system may be used to predict the morbidity in patients with hip fracture. Furthermore, POSSUM scoring system overpredicts the overall risk of death, but its estimate is close to the actual data in the high risk band (larger than 10%).

Objective Structured Assessment of Cataract Surgical Skill

To evaluate the Objective Structured Assessment of Cataract Surgical Skill scoring system. An objective performance rating tool was devised. This instrument is comprised of standardized criteria with global rating and operation-specific components, each rated on a 5-point Likert scale. The total potential score was 100. Complete phacoemulsification cataract extraction operations were recorded through the operating microscope of surgeons with a range of experience (group A, <50 procedures; group B, 50-249 procedures; group C, 250-500 procedures, and group D, >500 procedures). These were then scored by independent expert reviewers masked to the grades of the surgeons. The U test was used to evaluate statistical significance. We evaluated 38 surgical videotapes of 38 surgeons (group A, 11 surgeons; group B, 10 surgeons; group C, 5 surgeons; and group D, 12 surgeons). Mean +/- SD overall scores were as follows: group A, 32.0 +/- 5.3; group B, 55.0 +/- 12.6; group C, 89.0 +/- 4.7; and group D, 90.0 +/- 11.1. Statistically significant differences were found between groups A and B (P = .002) and groups B and C (P = .003), but not between groups C and D (P>.99). The Objective Structured Assessment of Cataract Surgical Skill scoring system seems to have construct validity with cataract surgery and, thus, may be valuable for assessing the surgical skills of junior trainees.

EuroSCORE: a systematic review of international performance.

The validity of the cardiac surgical scoring system, EuroSCORE, has been assessed by several individual cardiac centres within and outside Europe. We chose to assess the overall international performance by systematic review of peer-reviewed literature. There were six studies meeting our criteria for assessment. Internationally, the evidence is highly suggestive that additive EuroSCORE performance generally over-estimates mortality at lower EuroSCOREs (EuroSCORE</=6) and under-estimates mortality at higher EuroSCOREs (EuroSCORE>13). The effect of this could have serious misrepresentations for surgeons and hospitals operating on differing case-mixes. We suggest that further studies need to be performed on the logistic EuroSCORE calculation to ascertain whether predictive ability is improved. Overall, however, EuroSCORE is the most rigorously evaluated scoring system in cardiac surgery.

Estimation of surgical costs using a prediction scoring system: estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress.

Our predictive scoring system, Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress, can estimate surgical costs. Multicenter cohort study for 1 year. Six national hospitals in Japan. A consecutive series of 929 patients who underwent elective gastrointestinal operations. The preoperative and the comprehensive risk scores of the Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress were determined preoperatively and immediately after the operation, respectively. Estimated costs were computed using the following equation: costs = US $10,160 + (US $13,470 x comprehensive risk score). Data on length of stay, costs for surgical admission, and severity of postoperative complications were collected at hospital discharge. The comprehensive risk score significantly correlated with the severity of the postoperative complications (Spearman rank correlation = 0.54, P<.001), the length of stay (Spearman rank correlation = 0.69, P<.001), and the costs (Spearman rank correlation = 0.72, P<.001). The ratio of real to estimated costs varied from 0.82 to 1.17 at the various ranges of the comprehensive risk score, resulting in 0.93 in the total 929 patients. This ratio varied from 0.71 to 1.12 among the hospitals, the smallest of which was attributed to the hospital that primarily used the clinical pathways. A significant increase in the costs was observed according to the preoperative risk score for open colectomy (P =.009) and distal gastrectomy (P =.002). When we simulated the hospital revenue where different payment rates were set according to the preoperative risk score, the revenue seemed to improve in the hospitals that treated more high-risk patients, compared with the fixed payment system. The Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress scoring system may be useful for estimating surgical costs, making a benchmark analysis, and determining the rate in a risk-based payment system.

RISK ADJUSTMENT FOR EVALUATING THE OUTCOME OF UROLOGICAL OPERATIVE PROCEDURES

Considerable public and media attention has been directed in recent years toward comparing performance at individual hospitals. So-called death league tables have been published in the media, ranking hospitals according to crude mortality rates. Crude rates of mortality and morbidity are clearly misleading. Therefore, scoring systems comparing treatment outcomes among physicians or hospitals on an objective basis are urgently required. During a 12-month period we prospectively evaluated 651 patients at 2 urological units using a simple and well validated surgical scoring system. Patients had been admitted to the units for routine urological operations. The scoring system consists of a simple preoperative physiological score, a postoperative severity score and defined types of complications. The morbidity and mortality rates for unit 1 were 7.4% and 1.3%, respectively. For unit 2 the morbidity and mortality rates were 14% and 8.8%, respectively. Despite the marked differences in these crude rates risk adjusted analysis revealed no significant difference (p <0.05). Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis likewise demonstrated no significant difference in mortality and morbidity for the 2 units. Raw rates of mortality and morbidity are often inappropriately used to compare the performance of various surgical procedures, especially vascular and cardiothoracic surgery. In Great Britain at some institutions urological units are ranked according to mortality and morbidity outcome. As a consequence, important variables, such as patient physiological state at surgery and the type of procedure, are not considered. Our study shows that the scoring system applied is suitable for urological audit and may be a valuable tool for comparing performance at various units.

Predicting the risk of death from heart failure after coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

Heart failure is the most common cause of death among coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) patients. In addition, most variation in observed mortality rates for CABG surgery is explained by fatal heart failure. The purpose of this study was to develop a clinical risk assessment tool so that clinicians can rapidly and easily assess the risk of fatal heart failure while caring for individual patients. Using prospective data for 8,641 CABG patients, we used logistic regression analysis to predict the risk of fatal heart failure. In multivariate analysis, female sex, prior CABG surgery, ejection fraction <40%, urgent or emergency surgery, advanced age (70-79 yr and >80 yr), peripheral vascular disease, diabetes, dialysis-dependent renal failure and three-vessel coronary disease were significant predictors of fatal postoperative heart failure. A clinical risk assessment tool was developed from this logistic regression model, which had good discriminating characteristics (receiver operating characteristic clinical source = 0.75, 95% confidence interval: 0.71, 0.78). In contrast to previous cardiac surgical scoring systems that predicted total mortality, we developed a clinical risk assessment tool that evaluates risk of fatal heart failure. This distinction is relevant for quality improvement initiatives, because most of the variation in CABG mortality rates is explained by postoperative heart failure.

Complexity- and risk-adjusted model for measuring surgical outcome.

Although currently available surgical scoring systems have good outcome predictive power, their use is often limited by complexity and their non-dynamic nature. The aim of this study was to develop and test a risk adjustment for general surgical audit which is both simple and dynamic, while preserving a high predictive power for surgical morbidity. Twelve easily measured, well defined prognostic variables for morbidity were identified from the Otago Surgical Audit data collection form and stratified into suitable categories. Logistic regression was used to adjust for confounding between factors, identifying risk factors with the strongest prognostic value for the outcome of severe and intermediate complications. The resulting model was tested by back-validation and validation. The derived risk adjustment included all 12 variables. Adjusted odds ratios for all variables were markedly lower than unadjusted values. After logistic regression, the strongest predictors of postoperative morbidity were duration of operation, operation category, inpatient status and organ system in which the procedure was carried out. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.86. A simple dynamic model for surgical morbidity has been developed which is comparable to previously published surgical scoring systems in terms of predictive power. This risk adjustment tool can be incorporated into the existing audit system, enabling comparison of surgical unit performance.

Evaluation of surgical treatment outcome in epilepsy.

Seven recent papers are reviewed for outcomes following epilepsy surgery. The criteria of outcome assessment are analyzed and compared. All studies agree in indicating that the combination of the classic evaluation of seizure frequency with that of quality of life is required for a comprehensive view of the surgical outcome. However, the assessment modalities and outcome scales proposed present relevant differences. The need for standardization is apparent. A surgical outcome scoring system using multiple measures is recommended. The outcome evaluation should be performed not sooner than 2 years after surgery. The most relevant of the many variables of the outcome should be selected in such a way as to permit assessment of the epileptological response to surgery as well as the changes in the quality of life.

Colorectal perforation with barium enema in the elderly: case analysis with the POSSUM scoring system.

Colorectal perforation is a serious complication of barium-enema examination, as the resultant contamination of the intraperitoneal or extraperitoneal space may result in a severe septic course. Between 1 October 1993 and 30 September 1996, four patients had colorectal injuries after barium-enema examinations at the Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan. Their mean age was 80 years and three of them died, despite the implementation of early and aggressive treatment. To examine the differences between this high crude mortality rate and reports of zero mortality, we retrospectively analyzed the data with the well established predictive surgical scoring system, the Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Morbidity and mortality (POSSUM), to estimate the potential risk of death in these four patients.