414 Background: Overall survival after pancreatic cancer resection remains poor. A subgroup of patients die early (<6 months) and understanding factors associated with early mortality may help identify high-risk patients. The Khorana Score, including baseline hemoglobin, leukocyte and platelet counts, and body mass index [Khorana et al, Blood, 2008], has been shown to be associated with early mortality in solid tumors [Ay et al; Kuderer et al]. We evaluated the role of this score and other prognostic variables in predicting early mortality following resection. Methods: We conducted a cohort study of consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection for pancreatic cancer from January 2006 through June 2013 and were followed at the Cleveland Clinic. Baseline (diagnosis +/- 30 days) parameters were used to define patients as high-risk (Score >=3). Statistically significant univariable associations and a priori prognostic variables were tested in multivariable models; adjusted hazard ratios (HR) are presented. Results: The study population comprised 334 patients. Median age was 67 years; 50% were female; 86% were Caucasian. Pancreatic head was the primary site for 73%; 67% were T3 and 63% were N1 tumors. Median Khorana score was 2; 152 patients (47%) were high-risk. Adjunctive treatment included chemotherapy (70%) and radiation (40%). Post-operative (30-day) mortality was 0.9%. Six-month mortality for the entire cohort was 9.4%, with significantly higher rates for high-risk patients (13.4% vs. 5.6%, p=0.02). In univariable analyses, Khorana score, low hemoglobin, and elevated blood urea nitrogen (BUN) were associated with early mortality; T- and N-stage, as well as margin status (R0/R1), were not. In multivariable analyses (n=326), Khorana score (HR high-risk = 2.31, p=0.039) and elevated BUN (HR = 4.34, p<0.001) were associated with early mortality. Conclusions: Patients at high risk for early mortality after resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma can be identified using simple baseline patient-related clinical and laboratory parameters rather than tumor characteristics. Future studies could evaluate the benefit of pre-operative interventions targeting patients at high risk for early mortality.
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