Owing to advancements in satellite remote sensing technology, the acquisition of global land surface parameters, notably, the leaf area index (LAI), has become increasingly accessible. The Sentinel-2 (S2) satellite plays an important role in the monitoring of ecological environments and resource management. The prevalent use of the 20 m spatial resolution band in S2-based inversion models imposes significant limitations on the applicability of S2 data in applications requiring finer spatial resolution. Furthermore, although a substantial body of research on LAI retrieval using S2 data concentrates on agricultural landscapes, studies dedicated to forest ecosystems, although increasing, remain relatively less prevalent. This study aims to establish a viable methodology for retrieving 10 m resolution LAI data in forested regions. The empirical model of the soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), the backpack neural network based on simulated annealing (SA-BP) algorithm, and the variational heteroscedastic Gaussian process regression (VHGPR) model are established in this experiment based on the LAI data measured and the corresponding 10 m spatial resolution S2 satellite surface reflectance data in the Saihanba Forestry Center (SFC). The LAI retrieval performance of the three models is then validated using field data, and the error sources of the best performing VHGPR models (R2 of 0.8696 and RMSE of 0.5078) are further analyzed. Moreover, the VHGPR model stands out for its capacity to quantify the uncertainty in LAI estimation, presenting a notable advantage in assessing the significance of input data, eliminating redundant bands, and being well suited for uncertainty estimation. This feature is particularly valuable in generating accurate LAI products, especially in regions characterized by diverse forest compositions.