Modified furosemide responsiveness index (mFRI) is a novel biomarker for assessing diuretic response and AKI progression in patients with early AKI. However, the comparative predictive performance of mFRI and novel renal biomarkers for adverse renal outcomes remains unclear. In a single-center prospective study, we aimed to evaluate the discriminatory abilities of mFRI and other novel renal biomarkers in predicting AKI progression and prognosis in patients with initial mild and moderate AKI (KDIGO stage 1 to 2). Patients with initial mild and moderate AKI within 48h following cardiac surgery were included in this study. The mFRI, renal biomarkers (including serum or urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin [sNGAL or uNGAL], serum cystatin C, urinary N-acetyl-beta-D-glycosaminidase [uNAG], urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio) and cytokines (TNF, IL-1β, IL-2R, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-10) were measured at AKI diagnosis. The mFRI was calculated for each patient, which was defined as 2-hour urine output divided by furosemide dose and body weight. Of 1013 included patients, 154 (15.2%) experienced AKI progression, with 59 (5.8%) progressing to stage 3 and 33 (3.3%) meeting the composite outcome of hospital mortality or receipt of renal replacement therapy (RRT). The mFRI showed non-inferiority or potential superiority to renal biomarkers and cytokines in predicting AKI progression (area under the curve [AUC] 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.82), progression to stage 3 (AUC 0.87, 95% CI 0.85-0.89), and composite outcome of death and receipt of RRT (AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.82-0.87). Furthermore, the combination of a functional biomarker (mFRI) and a urinary injury biomarker (uNAG or uNGAL) resulted in a significant improvement in the prediction of adverse renal outcomes than either individual biomarker (all P < 0.05). Moreover, incorporating these panels into clinical model significantly enhanced its predictive capacity for adverse renal outcomes, as demonstrated by the C index, integrated discrimination improvement, and net reclassification improvement (all P < 0.05). As a rapid, cost-effective and easily accessible biomarker, mFRI, exhibited superior or comparable predictive capabilities for AKI progression and prognosis compared to renal biomarkers in cardiac surgical patients with mild to moderate AKI. Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04962412. Registered July 15, 2021, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04962412?cond=NCT04962412&draw=2&rank=1 .