Summer Water Deficit Research Articles

Investigating the Role of Viruses in the Rapid Decline of Young Apple Trees in High-Density Orchards in New York

A sudden, unexplained decline and collapse of young apple trees on dwarfing and semi-dwarfing rootstocks has been reported across North America over the past decade. Although viruses have been detected in declining trees, no information is available on their potential causal role in the decline phenomenon. To this end, virus-inoculated apple trees were established in a high-density experimental orchard and monitored over five years. Tree decline was observed in year 4 (2022), resulting in 17% mortality, with declining trees exhibiting marked vascular tissue necrosis. However, none of the eight viruses and one viroid detected in the experimental orchard was significantly more prevalent in declining trees. Extreme temperature fluctuations in January 2022, followed by a severe water deficit in summer 2022, were recorded at the experimental orchard. Similar but distinct observations were made in a nearby commercial orchard with foliar nutrient imbalances documented in trees exhibiting symptoms of rapid decline. Together, our findings suggest that viruses are not primarily responsible for the rapid decline phenomenon and highlight the need for future work to investigate the roles of tree physiology and water stress in tree decline, as well as the potential efficacy of horticultural mitigation practices.

Delineating the predominant impact of rising temperature on the enhancement of severity in compound drought-hot events in China: An empirical Copula and path analysis-based approach

Study regionChina Study focusCompound drought-hot events (CDH) inflict serious socio-economic damages on our society and the natural environment. Given the inverse relationship between average summer temperature and precipitation, this investigation introduces an innovative empirical copula-based compound drought-hot index (CDHI). This index is crafted from the joint distribution of the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and standardized temperature index (STI). While previous research has documented a rising trend in these complex events on both regional and global stages, scrutiny into their escalating severity remains limited. To highlight the critical role of climbing temperatures in the increasing severity of CDH events within China, our research utilizes the CDHI in tandem with a path analysis to precisely assess severity shifts in CDH occurrences during the warm season from 1901 to 2022. New hydrological insights for the regionThis study used an empirical copula-based CDH index and implemented the path analysis to quantify the response of severity changes of compound drought-hot events to shifts of summer mean temperature and water deficit from the historical perspective. Our findings reveal a marked escalation in CDH severity across much of China. Path analysis divulges that the influence of rising summer temperatures on CDH severity has seen a significant uptick in the last 60 years (1962–2022), displaying a more considerable contribution rate than the earlier 60-year span (1901–1961). This points to the changing impact of temperature on CDH events over recent decades. During the initial interval (1901–1961), we saw a 0.7% and 1.7% per-decade increase in areas affected by severe and moderate CDH events, respectively. Contrastingly, the subsequent period (1962–2022) experienced a more significant rise, with the area affected by severe and moderate events expanding over twice as much. Totally speaking, this exploration enhances our comprehension of the intensification in CDH event severity and the role of climatic drivers. These insights can contribute to improved risk assessments and the development of tailored adaptation and mitigation strategies in the face of ongoing climate change.

Tall fescue tiller survival over summer in a subtropical environment: The role of the size and depth of root systems

AbstractPasture persistence is a key determinant of the economic and environmental performance of pastoral animal production systems. Large and deep root systems that help resist summer water stress have been proposed as a relevant trait for vegetative persistence of perennial temperate forage species growing in subtropical climates or under future climatically challenging scenarios. In a previous study [Jauregui et al., 2017. Persistence of tall fescue in a subtropical environment: Tiller survival over summer in response to flowering control and nitrogen supply. Grass and Forage Science 72, 454–466] we have shown that nitrogen fertilization and grazing management aimed at ‘control flowering’ increased the survival of tall fescue tillers during harsh summers in Uruguay (lat. 32°S). Here we assessed: (i) to what extent tiller survival is mediated by root system size in spring and (ii) what consequences tiller survival entails for root mass, depth and morphology the following autumn. In two field experiments, significant increases in tiller survival in response to nitrogen fertilization and grazing management (+60% and +80% in 2011/12 and 2012/13, respectively) were not related to concomitant effects on the size or depth of the root system in spring (p > .10). Even when six‐fold within‐treatment variation in root mass was observed, within‐treatment variation in summer tiller survival was little affected (<15%, p = .08). In turn, differences in tiller survival over summer affected little root system characteristics the following autumn. Therefore, we found scant support for the hypothesis that large and deep root systems contribute to survival of tall fescue tillers in this subtropical humid climate. Except for soils with less than 30 mm of plant available water holding capacity, summer water deficits did not induce severe tiller mortality in tall fescue in this climate.

Evapotranspiration and Yield Impact Tools for More Water-Use Efficient Alfalfa Production in Desert Environments

Drought and climate change have decreased water availability for agriculture, especially in the desert of southwestern USA. Efficiency enhancements in irrigation management aimed at conserving water are key to adjust to limits in water supply, improve profitability and sustainability of alfalfa production in arid and semiarid areas. This study intended to conduct a field-scale analysis to develop yield and ET estimation tools for the effective use of irrigation water in a desert alfalfa production system. Extensive data collection and trials were carried out over three years in nine fully irrigated commercial alfalfa fields in the low deserts of California. The seasonal crop water consumption measured using the residual of energy balance method varied from 1381 mm to 1596 mm across the experimental sites and crop seasons. Variable seasonal dry mater (DM) yields ranged from 23.01 Mg ha−1 to 29.90 Mg ha−1. The results indicated that the first five cuttings each year were the most productive cuttings with a mean DM value ranged between 3.29 (cut 1) and 4.21 (cut 4) Mg ha−1 but declined in later cuttings. An average annual water productivity (WP) value of 17.0 kg ha−1 mm−1 was determined across the sites varying from 15.5 to 18.9 kg ha−1 mm−1. The findings suggested that one may lose up to 1.44 Mg ha−1 alfalfa yields with moderate summer deficit irrigation strategies, using 40% less water applied than full irrigation practices over the summer period of July–September. A more severe summer water deficit, with no irrigation event over the summer period of July–September may result in a potential water savings of 0.234–0.246 (ha·m) ha−1 and 19–21% seasonal yield losses in the desert environment. This study describes the seasonal yield pattern, the crop water use-production function, and the crop coefficient values for various harvest cycles over the crop season. These tools may assist farmers to quantify water savings and estimate yield losses for more accurate and effective irrigation management strategies to meet water conservation objectives and for the resiliency of alfalfa production in the desert region.

Sensitivity of Eurasian Rear-Edge Birch Populations to Regional Climate and Local Hydrological Conditions

South rear-edge populations of widely distributed temperate and boreal tree species such as birches (Betula pubescens and Betula pendula) are considered particularly vulnerable to climate warming, and at the same time, they constitute genetic reservoirs of drought-adapted ecotypes. Here, we compared radial growth patterns and responses to climate, river, or reservoir flows and a drought index of rear-edge (southernmost) populations (Toledo Mountains, central-southern Spain) with populations located in northern Spain of B. pubescens and B. pendula. Then, we performed a comparative analysis across Europe of B. pendula populations. The main climatic constraint of birch growth was a high summer water deficit, although the effect of local hydrological conditions was particularly important in rear-edge populations. We found declining growth trends in rear-edge stands dating from the early 21st century, related to decreasing water availability and increasing aridity. Our results also suggested distinct growth patterns and climate-growth associations of B. pendula across Europe that show how populations further south and in warmer locations were more sensitive to drought stress. Drought-induced growth decline can be exacerbated by local human land uses, leading to reduced river inflow, thus endangering birch populations at their southern distribution limit. Protection of threatened rear-edge birch populations requires adequate management of local water resources.

The Rate of Canopy Development Modulates the Link Between the Timing of Spring Leaf Emergence and Summer Moisture

AbstractShifts in phenological timing have important implications for ecosystem processes, with spring leaf emergence as a dominant control of carbon, water, and energy cycling. Phenological events are predominantly determined by weather and climate, therefore dynamic in time and sensitive to climate feedbacks. Improving our understanding of how ecosystems respond to changes in phenological timing will enhance our ability to assess summer soil water availability, since the timing of spring leaf emergence may lead to soil moisture deficits later in the growing season. We leveraged data from five AmeriFlux towers in central and eastern United States to investigate the extent spring leaf emergence (i.e., start of spring, SoS) influences rates at which forest canopies develop and how this impacts summer soil moisture (θJJA) variability. Our results indicate that ecosystem processes, specifically gross primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET), exhibit compensatory responses to varying leaf emergence; with delayed spring‐onset, the canopy developed more quickly, resulting in rapid GPP and ET increases, consistent across sites. Nonetheless, early SoS is a relatively good indicator for potential summer soil water deficits, particularly when it occurs together with meteorological conditions (i.e., lower‐than‐average precipitation, hot summer temperatures) that contribute to soil water deficits. When these meteorological conditions coincide with early SoS, θJJA deficits are exacerbated. To the extent that these extreme conditions occur more frequently under future climate scenarios, the dynamics of spring phenology and hydroclimate may play an increasingly important role in portending the likelihood of summer water deficits, which are projected to become more severe.

Fusing tree-ring and permanent sample plot data to model influences of climate and thinning on tree growth in larch plantations in northeast China

An improved understanding of the effects of thinning and climate on tree growth is essential to adopting adaptive forest management strategies under climate change. In this study, we developed a climate-sensitive individual-tree growth model for Changbai larch (Larix olgensis) in northeast China by fusing tree-ring and permanent sample plot data. We assessed the impacts of tree age, competition, site condition, thinning, and climate on radial growth using the mixed-effects modeling approach. Results showed that the radial growth rate of Changbai larch decreased with increasing cambial age and competition intensity. Radial growth was negatively associated with summer water deficit and positively associated with spring growing degree-days. Radial growth also responded positively to mean annual precipitation of the previous year. In addition, a significant positive effect of thinning on radial growth was observed. The magnitude of thinning effects was affected by thinning intensity and time elapsed since the thinning. Hierarchical partitioning analysis showed that cambial age was the most important factor affecting growth (relative contribution 35.96%), followed by competition (31.42%), climate (19.24%), thinning (8.40%), and site condition (4.98%). Compared to unthinned plots, moderate- and high-intensity thinning significantly enhanced the radial growth under unfavorable climates, indicating that thinning has great potential to mitigate the negative effects of future climate. Disentangling different sources of variations in ring width will help advance our understanding of the factors driving radial growth and reduce the uncertainty in forest management decisions.

The Effect of Drought on Vegetation Gross Primary Productivity under Different Vegetation Types across China from 2001 to 2020

Climate change has exacerbated the frequency and severity of droughts worldwide. Evaluating the response of gross primary productivity (GPP) to drought is thus beneficial to improving our understanding of the impact of drought on the carbon cycle balance. Although many studies have investigated the relationship between vegetation productivity and dry/wet conditions, the capability of different drought indices of assessing the influence of water deficit is not well understood. Moreover, few studies consider the effects of drought on vegetation with a focus on periods of drought. Here, we investigated the spatial-temporal patterns of GPP, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), and the vapor pressure deficit (VPD) in China from 2001 to 2020 and examined the relationship between GPP and water deficit/drought for different vegetation types. The results revealed that SPEI and GPP were positively correlated over approximately 70.7% of the total area, and VPD was negatively correlated with GPP over about 66.2% of the domain. Furthermore, vegetation productivity was more negatively affected by water deficit in summer and autumn. During periods of drought, the greatest negative impact was on deciduous forests and croplands, and woody savannas were the least impacted. This research provides a scientific reference for developing mitigation and adaptation measures to lessen the impact of drought disasters under a changing climate.

Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia

Climate change, through changes in temperature, precipitation, and frequency of extreme events, has influenced agricultural production and food security over the past several decades. In order to assess climate and weather-related risks to fruit and grape production in Serbia, changes in bioclimatic indices and frequency of the occurrence of unfavourable weather events are spatially analysed for the past two decades (1998–2017) and the standard climatological period 1961–1990. Between the two periods, the Winkler and Huglin indices changed into a warmer category in most of the viticultural regions of Serbia. The average change shift was about 200 m towards higher elevations. Regarding the frequency of spring frost, high summer temperatures and water deficit, the most vulnerable regions in terms of fruit and grape production are found alongside large rivers (Danube, Sava, Great and South Morava), as well as in the northern part of the country. Regions below 300 m are under increased risk of high summer temperatures, as the number and duration of occurrences increased significantly over the studied periods. The high-resolution spatial analysis presented here gives an assessment of the climate change influence on the fruit and grapes production. The presented approach may be used in regional impact assessments and national planning of adaptation measures, and it may help increase resilience of agricultural production to climate change.

Impact of Deficit Irrigation on Grapevine cv. 'Touriga Nacional' during Three Seasons in Douro Region: An Agronomical and Metabolomics Approach.

The introduction of irrigation in vineyards of the Mediterranean basin is a matter of debate, in particular in those of the Douro Demarcated Region (DDR), due to the limited number of available studies. Here, we aimed to perform a robust analysis in three consecutive vintages (2018, 2019, and 2020) on the impact of deficit irrigation on the yield, berry quality traits, and metabolome of cv. ‘Touriga Nacional’. Results showed that in the peaks of extreme drought, irrigation at 30% crop evapotranspiration (ETc) (R30) was able to prevent a decay of up to 0.4 MPa of leaf predawn water potential (ΨPd), but irrigation at 70% ETc (R70) did not translate into additional protection against drought stress. Following three seasons of irrigation, the yield was significantly improved in vines irrigated at R30, whereas irrigation at R70 positively affected the yield only in the 2020 season. Berry quality traits at harvest were not significantly changed by irrigation, except for Total Soluble Solids (TSS) in 2018. A UPLC–MS-based targeted metabolomic analysis identified eight classes of compounds, amino acids, phenolic acids, stilbenoid DP1, stilbenoid DP2, flavonols, flavan-3-ols, di-OH- and tri-OH anthocyanins, and showed that anthocyanins and phenolic acids did not change significantly with irrigation. The present study showed that deficit irrigation partially mitigated the severe summer water deficit conditions in the DDR but did not significantly change key metabolites.

Spatial and temporal variations of the responses of radial growth of Larix gmelinii to climate in the Daxing'anling Mountains of Northeast China

Following the distribution characteristics of Larix gmelinii in Daxing'anling Mountains, nine sampling sites along a latitude gradient were set up to analyze the spatial difference and temporal dynamic in the responses of radial growth of L. gmelinii to climate. Overall, the radial growth of L. gmelinii was positively correlated with the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) in summer (June to August), summer precipitation, February SPEI, and February preci-pitation, but was negatively correlated with the March temperature. Spatially, in the southern area of the region with higher annual average temperature, the radial growth of L. gmelinii had a significant positive correlation with February SPEI. In the northern area with lower annual average tempera-ture, the radial growth of L. gmelinii was negatively correlated with the temperature in March. Temporally, the growth-climate relationship for L. gmelinii was unstable. In the area with higher annual average temperature, the positive effects of SPEI and precipitation, as well as the negative effects of temperature in summer on growth significantly enhanced with climate warming. In the area with lower annual average temperature, the negative response of growth to March temperature enhanced more obviously. Such a result indicated that climate change would alter growth-climate relationship, with great spatial variations. Our results suggested that radial growth of L. gmelinii would be limited in the future climate of warm and dry in the Daxing'anling Mountains. The growth of L. gmelinii might obviously decline in south due to summer water deficit and winter drought, and might be inhibited in north because of warm and dry winter.

Spring deferment and N-P fertilization in natural grasslands vulnerable to summer water deficit

In Campos grasslands, the production of forage and its variability are driven by the amount of rainfall. In this context, stockpiling forage from spring to summer is a useful tool to maintain the feed supply for livestock, but so far it has not been developed due to the lack of information for farmers decision-making. In this paper we evaluated the response of pasture production to spring grazing deferment in a shallow basaltic grassland in 12 combinations of lime (0 and 1500 kg ha-1 of CaMg(CO3)2), phosphorus (0 and 90 kg ha-1 of P2O5) and nitrogen (0, 75, 150, and 300 kg ha-1 of N, except in the upper two N levels that were evaluated only with lime) addition. Forage accumulation, sward height and nitrogen nutrition index (NNI) were evaluated every 15 days during 75 days. Both sward height and available forage mass increased linearly with the deferment time. The lime application did not affect the forage accumulation rate, while the single nitrogen and phosphorus addition only showed a slight positive effect, however the combined addition of N-P fertilization tripled the forage production. Nitrogen fertilization improved the NNI and was further enhanced by the combined application of N and P. Our results suggest that the capacity of shallow basaltic grasslands to accumulate deferred forage is co-limited by N and P availability.

Low-temperature acclimation and legacy effects of summer water deficits in olive freezing resistance.

Low temperatures and drought are the main environmental factors affecting plant growth and productivity across most of the terrestrial biomes. The objective of this study was to analyze the effects of water deficits before the onset of low temperatures in winter to enhance freezing resistance in olive trees. The study was carried out near the coast of Chubut, Argentina. Plants of five olive cultivars were grown outdoor in pots and exposed to different water deficit treatments. We assessed leaf water relations, ice nucleation temperature (INT), cell damage (LT50), plant growth and leaf nitrogen content during summer and winter in all cultivars and across water deficit treatments. Leaf INT and LT50 decreased significantly from summer to winter within each cultivar and between treatments. We observed a trade-off between resources allocation to freezing resistance and vegetative growth, such that an improvement in resistance to sub-zero temperatures was associated with lower growth in tree height. Water deficit applied during summer increased the amount of osmotically active solutes and decreased the leaf water potentials. This type of legacy effect persists during the winter after the water deficit even when treatment was removed by natural rainfalls.

Non-linear regional weather-growth relationships indicate limited adaptability of the eastern Baltic Scots pine

Under changing climate, temporal and spatial stability (stationarity) of growth responses of trees to weather and climate, which has often been presumed without explicit testing, is crucial for prediction of productivity and sustainability of forests. However, considering evolutionary adaptation of tree populations to wide spatiotemporal ecological gradients, extrapolation of linear responses, which could be observed in limited parts of the gradients (certain locality), can result in biased results. Accordingly, the plasticity of responses of tree-ring width of the eastern Baltic populations of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) to meteorological conditions across the regional climatic gradient was assessed using a mixed generalized additive model. The linear responses were assessed using a bootstrapped correlation analysis for comparison. The radial growth responses of the eastern Baltic population of Scots pine showed explicit regional gradients according to the local climates, indicating gradual shifts in the effects of winter temperature and summer moisture regime. Accordingly, temperature in late-winter and summer, as well as summer water deficit were identified as the main regional drivers of tree-ring width. Their effects were generally non-linear, indicating explicit spatiotemporal gradients in growth responses in the mid-part of species distribution. This also implied limited efficiency of simple linear models for the assessment of radial growth under moderate conditions. The responses to summer temperature indicated local optima, while the responses to drought index showed threshold values. The responses to winter temperature indicated positive effect of warming on growth. In some stands, specific non-stationary responses though were evident, suggesting that trees have adapted (specialized) to certain local climatic conditions, which are changing and thus explaining temporal shifts in growth responses. Nevertheless, the estimated responses suggested phenotypical adaptability limits of the eastern Baltic populations of Scots pine in a longer term, supporting the necessity of climate-smart management for sustainability of forest in the region in the future.

Different Summer and Autumn Water Deficit Affect the Floral Differentiation and Flower Bud Growth in Apricot (Prunus armeniaca L.)

In deciduous fruit species, floral bud initiation, differentiation and organogenesis take place during the summer–autumn season that precedes anthesis. Among factors able to modify the regularity of these processes, water availability represents a crucial aspect. This investigation aimed to assess the influence of different summer and autumn water deficit and re-watering treatments on floral morphogenesis, xylem vessel differentiation and quality of flower buds. Trials were carried out on two-year-old potted apricot trees (cv. ‘Portici’) which were submitted to different regimes: (i) fully irrigated plants; (ii) stressed plants in June (S1), July (S2) and October (S3) followed to re-watering. Midday stem water potential was used to determine water status, and leaf gas exchanges were measured during trials. Histological analyses on floral differentiation, xylem progression within flower buds and biological observations were carried out. Both summer water stress periods affected the floral differentiation leading to a temporary shutdown. The S1 trees were able to recover the development of meristematic apices while S2 had a strong delay. All drought treatments caused a slower xylem progression, variations in bud size, blooming entity and flower anomalies. Results particularly highlights the importance of water availability also in early autumn.

Limiting factors of aspen radial growth along a climatic and soil water budget gradient in south-western Siberia

Understanding how climate and soil hydrology control tree growth is critical to predict the response of Siberian ecosystems to climate change. The general aim of this study was to (i) characterize the soil water budget and identify the factors controlling aspen (Populus tremula L.) radial growth in south-western Siberia, and (ii) assess its potential response to future climate change. Along a gradient of climate and soil hydrological conditions, soil water budgets were reconstructed by modeling at four sites, and dendrochronological analyses were performed. Aspen growth potential was simulated in response to different climate change scenarios represented by shifts in soil water budgets. Simulated soil water budgets varied with climate variables, specifically increased temperature and drier summer combined with varying winter precipitation occurring as snowfall.We show that plant-available soil water and drainage gradually increased while stress decreased from the warmest and driest (south, forest-steppe zone) site to the coldest and wettest (north, southern taiga zone) site. Aspen radial growth was mainly limited by summer temperature in the north and by summer water deficit in the south. Surprisingly, we did not find clear evidence of snow level impact on radial growth, either positively in the south (water supply and protection against soil freezing) or negatively in the north (water-logging and drainage). In the context of climate change, water stress intensity could increase dramatically in the south inhibiting aspen growth; in those places summer soil water content depends on the refilling that occurs at snow-melt and increasing winter precipitation could alleviate stress levels. Conversely, in the north, aspen growth may mostly benefit from rising temperature.

Carbon Isotope Discrimination and Water-Use Efficiency in Crotalaria Cover Crops under Moderate Water Deficit

The legume species Crotalaria juncea and Crotalaria spectabilis, used as cover crops (CC) in tropical and temperate zones, are being evaluated in Uruguay where their productive potential may be limited by periods of summer water deficit. In this study, C. juncea and C. spectabilis were sown in pots with soil as a substrate. After substantial growth (20 days), two different treatments of water (80% or 50% of field capacity) were imposed on the plants during 30 days, and later water was restored during 40 days. Afterward, the dry matter produced and total evapotranspired water was determined in all plants. Also, water-use efficiency (WUE) was determined using a gravimetric technique and by carbon isotope analysis (Δ13C). Dry matter production of C. spectabilis was 1.7 times higher than that of C. juncea and both legumes species tolerated a moderate water deficit, which did not affect the redistribution of dry matter between the shoot and root. A negative linear relationship (r = 0.8; p < 0.0001) was found between the WUE and Δ13C in both species. In this study, the use of 13C to estimate WUE in Crotalaria spectabilis and Crotalaria juncea was validated for the first time. This strategy allowed us to recommend the use of Crotalaria spectabilis as a cover crop in conditions of moderate water deficit in a soil with a shallow A horizon.

Impacts of Multiple Environmental Change Drivers on Growth of European Beech (Fagus sylvatica): Forest History Matters

Revealing the interactive effects of multiple environmental change drivers (water deficits, nitrogen (N) deposition, land-use change) is crucial for evaluating actual and possible future changes in forest ecosystem functioning. Here, we analyse whether and to what extent combined effects of spring and summer water deficits and variable amounts of N deposition affect radial growth of beech trees growing on forest sites with a different forest history. Dendrochronological data showed that trees growing on ancient forest sites (forest continuity > 200 years) exhibit a higher negative growth response under high N deposition and simultaneous spring water deficits than trees growing on recent (post-agricultural) forest sites. Based on additional analyses of the fine root system and masting behaviour, we propose two different mechanisms to explain differing influences of N deposition and water deficits on negative radial growth responses in recent and ancient forests: (1) for both forest history types, growth reductions during summer water deficits result from the antagonistic effects of elevated N deposition according to the ‘resource optimization hypothesis’. The tendency towards higher negative growth responses in recent forests seems to be caused by a higher fine root mortality and lower standing fine root biomass compared to ancient forests; (2) higher growth reductions in ancient forests during spring water deficits are likely the result of mass fructification, which is enhanced by N deposition. We conclude that nutrient cycling may differ between forests with contrasting forest history, which can modulate the growth trajectories of forests in response to multiple, co-occurring environmental changes.

Plasticity of response of tree-ring width of Scots pine provenances to weather extremes in Latvia

Climatic changes and weather extremes are causing shifts in distribution of tree species, affecting productivity of forests. With the northwards advance of deciduous species in Northern Europe, Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) is predicted to decrease survival and productivity. Nevertheless, Scots pine have adapted to diverse environments, hence selection among its populations could be applied to sustain productivity of stands under changing climate. In this study, sensitivity of tree-ring width of Eastern European provenances of Scots pine differing by field performance (Dippoldiswalde, Eibenstock, Rytel, Gustrow, and Kalsnava) to weather extremes in three trials in Latvia (hemiboreal zone) was assessed via pointer year and tolerance analyses. The studied provenances were sensitive to winter temperature regime; the effects of water deficit and vegetation period’s length were also observed, likely due to warming. The sensitivity of tree-ring width to weather extremes, which differed among the provenances indicating plasticity of growth, correlated with field performance. Although transferred north, the top-performing provenances (Gustrow and Rytel) were able to promptly recover after cold spells as well as dry summers and were able to benefit from warm winters and precipitation-rich summers. The bottom-performing provenances (Dippoldiswalde and Eibenstock) were sensitive to cold spells and summer water deficit, yet were unable to benefit from warm winters, nor moist summers. Considering sensitivity and resilience of growth, the studied top-performing provenances, particularly Rytel, showed commercial potential in the hemiboreal region under warming climate.

Historical and modern landscape forest structure in fir (Abies)-dominated mixed conifer forests in the northern Sierra Nevada, USA

BackgroundInformation about fire and historical forest structure and composition in fir-dominated mixed conifer forests is lacking, especially at the landscape scale. This study used historical timber survey data to characterize early forest conditions in a large fir-dominated northern Sierra Nevada landscape (area >10 000 ha). We used automated model selection to determine the suite of environmental variables that best predicted forest structure, and regression tree analysis to identify environmental settings associated with historical forest conditions and to provide a comparison to contemporary forest data.ResultsWhile changes at our study site were more subtle when compared to those in more xeric, pine-dominated mixed conifer areas in the central and southern Sierra Nevada, there were significant increases in small-tree density and a decrease in large-tree density in the current forest. The loss of large trees was most pronounced in environments with relatively low summer water deficit and shallow slopes, which is where the highest large-tree densities were observed historically. Within the historical forest, tree density and basal area were greater in areas with higher precipitation and actual evapotranspiration, along with lower snowpack.ConclusionsOur results indicated that restoration plans should differ depending on the type of mixed conifer forest encountered. Whereas low tree densities and basal areas produced open stand conditions in many pine-dominated regions of this forest type, areas that were dominated by fir species with longer growing seasons, high water availability, and low water demand were denser and likely provided important habit for late seral species such as the California spotted owl, Strix occidentalis occidentalis(Xántus de Vesey, 1860). Working to develop forest restoration and adaptation plans to account for these differences is an important strategy to restore resiliency and encourage adaption in fire-excluded mixed conifer forests.