Summer Normalized Difference Vegetation Index Research Articles

A regressive analysis of the main environmental risk factors of human echinococcosis in 370 counties in China.

Echinococcosis is a natural focal, highly prevalent disease in China. Factors influencing the spread of echinococcosis are not only related to personal exposure but also closely related to the environment itself. The purpose of this study was to explore the influence of environmental factors on the prevalence of human echinococcosis and to provide a reference for prevention and control of echinococcosis in the future. Data were collected from 370 endemic counties in China in 2018. By downloading Modis, DEM and other remote-sensing images in 2018. Data on environmental factors, i.e., elevation, land surface temperature (LST) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were collected. Rank correlation analysis was conducted between each environmental factor and the prevalence of echinococcosis at the county level. Negative binomial regression was used to analyze the impact of environmental factors on the prevalence of human echinococcosis at the county level. According to rank correlation analysis, the prevalence of human echinococcosis in each county was positively correlated with elevation, negatively correlated with LST, and negatively correlated with NDVI in May, June and July. Negative binomial regression showed that the prevalence of human echinococcosis was negatively correlated with annual LST and summer NDVI, and positively correlated with average elevation and dog infection rate. The prevalence of human cystic echinococcosis was inversely correlated with the annual average LST, and positively correlated with both the average elevation and the prevalence rate of domestic animals. The prevalence of human alveolar echinococcosis was positively correlated with both NDVI in autumn and average elevation, and negatively correlated with NDVI in winter. The prevalence of echinococcosis in the population is affected by environmental factors. Environmental risk assessment and prediction can be conducted in order to rationally allocate health resources and improve both prevention and control efficiency of echinococcosis.

Association of ambient ozone exposure and greenness exposure with hemorrhagic stroke mortality at different times: A cohort study in Shandong Province, China

Evidence on the association between long-term ozone exposure and greenness exposure and hemorrhagic stroke (HS) is limited, with mixed results. One potential source of this inconsistency is the difference in exposure time metrics. This study aimed to investigate the association between long-term exposure to ambient ozone, greenness, and mortality from HS using exposure metrics at different times. We also examined whether greenness exposure modified the relationship between ozone exposure and mortality due to HS. The study population consisted of 45771 participants aged ≥40 y residing in 20 counties in Shandong Province who were followed up from 2013 to 2019. Ozone exposure metrics (annual mean and warm season) and the normalized difference a measure of greenness exposure, were calculated. The relationship between environmental exposures (ozone and greenness exposures) and mortality from HS was assessed using time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models, and the modification of greenness exposure was examined using stratified analysis with interaction terms. The person-years at the end of follow-up were 90,663. With full adjustments, the risk of death from hemorrhagic stroke increased by 5% per interquartile range increase in warm season ozone [hazard ratio =1.05; 95 % confidence interval: 1.01–1.08]. No clear association was observed between annual ozone and mortality HS. Both the annual and summer NDVI were found to reduce the risk of HS mortality. The relationships were influenced by age, sex, and residence (urban or rural). Furthermore, greenness exposure was shown to have a modifying effect on the relationship between ozone exposure and the occurrence of HS mortality (P for interaction = 0.001). Long-term exposure to warm season O3 was positively associated with HS mortality, while greenness exposure was inversely associated with HS mortality. Greenness exposure may mitigate the negative effects of warm season ozone exposure on HS mortality.

Evaluation of Orthotrichum lyellii moss as a biomonitor of diesel exhaust

Exhaust from diesel combustion engines is an important contributor to urban air pollution and poses significant risk to human health. Diesel exhaust contains a chemical class known as nitrated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (nitro-PAHs) and is enriched in 1-nitropyrene (1-NP), which has the potential to serve as a marker of diesel exhaust. The isomeric nitro-PAHs 2-nitropyrene (2-NP) and 2-nitrofluoranthene (2-NFL) are secondary pollutants arising from photochemical oxidation of pyrene and fluoranthene, respectively. Like other important air toxics, there is not extensive monitoring of nitro-PAHs, leading to gaps in knowledge about relative exposures and urban hotspots. Epiphytic moss absorbs water, nutrients, and pollutants from the atmosphere and may hold potential as an effective biomonitor for nitro-PAHs. In this study we investigate the suitability of Orthotrichum lyellii as a biomonitor of diesel exhaust by analyzing samples of the moss for 1-NP, 2-NP, and 2-NFL in the Seattle, WA metropolitan area. Samples were collected from rural parks, urban parks, residential, and commercial/industrial areas (N = 22 locations) and exhibited increasing concentrations across these land types. Sampling and laboratory method performance varied by nitro-PAH, but was generally good. We observed moderate to moderately strong correlation between 1-NP and select geographic variables, including summer normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) within 250 m (r = −0.88, R2 = 0.77), percent impervious surface within 50 m (r = 0.83, R2 = 0.70), percent high development land use within 500 m (r = 0.77, R2 = 0.60), and distance to nearest secondary and connecting road (r = −0.75, R2 = 0.56). The relationships between 2-NP and 2-NFL and the geographic variables were generally weaker. Our results suggest O. lyellii is a promising biomonitor of diesel exhaust, specifically for 1-NP. To our knowledge this pilot study is the first to evaluate using moss concentrations of nitro-PAHs as biomonitors of diesel exhaust.

Environmental change induced by water engineering development dominates the global watershed sustainable development issues

Introduction: Global watershed sustainable development has experienced world-wide threats from continuing anthropogenic stressors, and the need to deepen and broaden research encompassing the intersection in global environmental change as well as environmentally oriented watershed sustainable development (EOWSD) has been noticed. However, there is not yet a widely recognized cognition on the applicability and scope of various EOWSD issues, and the zoning of global EOWSD issues is remains uncertain despite it is crucial for achieving global watershed sustainable development.Methods: This research was conducted to both clarify the zoning and evolution of various EOWSD issues around the world, and differentiate the relative impacts on EOWSD of climate change and human activities. The global EOWSD issues were summarized from 62 watersheds around the world as 6 categories associated with different aspects of global watershed sustainability. And the partition method, in which the spatial and temporal variations of global summer Normalized Difference Vegetation Index in summer were examined and the quantitative climate classification were conducted, indicates a clear and definite relationship between the zoning of EOWSD issues and 8 natural geographical zones. Meanwhile, we selected 34 watersheds either or both are the 100 most populous river basins and the 100 largest (by area) river basins in the world from the 62 watersheds to assess relative effects of human impact on watershed sustainability.Results: Results from the numerical analyses of baseline water stress (BWS) values, which was used to provide a robust measure of human impact and evaluate the impact and relative importance of human-induced changes on watershed sustainability, indicate that the human activities do not affect the zoning of EOWSD issues at global scale while the environmental change induced by water engineering development should be certain to affect that on the long-term.Discussion: Our findings present a new perspective to illustrate the relationship among global EOWSD, environmental change and human impacts, and will also provide a scientific basis on setting future emphasizes of global watershed sustainable development and furthering the related disciplines.

Regime shift of the interannual linkage between NDVI in the Arctic vegetation biome and Arctic sea ice concentration

Vegetation in the Arctic ecosystem is of particular interest due to its role in global carbon budgets and its feedbacks to the climate system. The variability of summer Arctic Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) show a sudden change in 2010/2011. To explore the possible reasons, climatic variables in the ERA5 dataset are used in this research for statistical analyses, and numerical experiments based on ECHAM5 are performed to verify the results of statistical analyses. It is found that the relationship between Arctic NDVI and sea ice concentration (SIC) in north of the Barents Sea in March was not significant before 2009 (1982–2009, P1), but become stronger and statistically significant after 2010 (2010–2021, P2). The reason and the underlying mechanisms are then investigated as follows. The summer temperature, moisture condition, and atmospheric circulation corresponding to summer NDVI in P1 and P2 are different. These summer climatic anomalies associated with decreased SIC in north of the Barents Sea in March are similar to those associated with summer NDVI in P2, which are more favorable for higher summer NDVI in P2, whereas they differ substantially in P1. In P2, the net energy flux at the surface in spring exhibits more significant anomalies, indicating stronger sea-ice-atmosphere interactions in P2. Therefore, in P2, the significant anomalous Rossby wave in spring can propagates eastwards from the Barents Sea and interacts with the atmospheric circulation in the NDVI region. In spring, the precipitation, snowmelt, and soil moisture anomalies associated with decreased SIC in March can persist to summer, which can affect summer NDVI through soil moisture–evaporation–temperature positive feedback. However, in P1, the weaker sea-ice-atmosphere interaction associated with insignificant circulation and soil moisture anomalies in spring, which resulting in insignificant climatic anomalies for NDVI in summer. Numerical experiments using the ECHAM5 verify the proposed physical mechanisms.

Patterns and Drivers of Change in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index in Nunavik (Québec, Canada) over the Period 1984–2020

Altered temperature and precipitation regimes associated with climate change generally result in improved conditions for plant growth. For Arctic and sub-Arctic ecosystems, this new climatic context promotes an increase in primary productivity, a phenomenon often referred to as “greening”. Although this phenomenon has been widely documented at the circumpolar scale, little information is available at the scale of plant communities, the basic unit of the Arctic and sub-Arctic landscape mosaic. The objectives of this study were (1) to quantify the variation of NDVI within the different plant communities of Nunavik (Québec, QC, Canada) in order to identify which ones contributed the most to the greening and (2) to identify the climatic and biophysical drivers of the greening. To do so, we used Landsat imagery to produce a time series of summer NDVI for the period 1984 to 2020. A fine-resolution map of Northern Québec vegetation was then overlaid on the time series of NDVI imagery and on maps of surficial deposits, topography, and gridded climate data to obtain information at the plant community level. We found that greening was more important in shrub-dominated communities, particularly near the tree line. Summer temperature, fall and winter precipitation, and surficial deposits were identified as drivers of greening. Through utilizing detailed vegetation maps to accurately quantify changes in Nunavik’s plant communities, this study provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the region’s ecosystem under rapid climate change.

Tundra Browning in the Indigirka Lowlands (North‐Eastern Siberia) Explained by Drought, Floods and Small‐Scale Vegetation Shifts

AbstractContrary to the general “greening of the Arctic”, the Siberian Indigirka Lowlands show strong “browning” (a decrease in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index or “NDVI”) in various recent satellite records. Since greening and browning are generally indicative of increases and losses in photosynthetically active biomass, this browning trend may have implications for the carbon balance and vegetation of this Arctic tundra region. To explore potential mechanisms responsible for this trend break from general Arctic greening, we studied timeseries of Landsat summer maximum NDVI, weather data, and high‐resolution maps of vegetation compositional change, topography, geomorphology and hydrology. We find that a significant proportion of browning (lower summer NDVI) is explained by moisture dynamics, with high snow depths and resulting floods as well as summer drought coinciding with low NDVI. Relations between seasonal weather variables and NDVI are spatially heterogeneous, with floodplains, drained thaw lake basins and Yedoma ridges showing different patterns of association with weather variables. Low summer NDVI after high snowfall was particularly evident in floodplains, likely explained by early summer floods. Local small‐scale vegetation changes explained only small amounts of variance in browning rates in Landsat NDVI. Local expansion of Sphagnum vegetation in particular may have contributed to recent browning of our study site, but higher resolution NDVI timeseries are necessary to accurately constrain the role of small‐scale vegetation shifts. Overall, associations identified in this study suggest that future increases in Arctic precipitation variability and extremes may limit tundra greening, but to different extents even across comparatively small topographical contrasts.

Seasonal Spatiotemporal Changes in the NDVI and Its Driving Forces in Wuliangsu Lake Basin, Northern China from 1990 to 2020

In the context of global climate change, many studies have focused on the interannual vegetation variation trends and their response to precipitation and temperature, but ignored the effects of seasonal variability. This study explored the relationship between normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and seasonal climate elements in the Wuliangsu Lake Basin area from 1990 to 2020, and quantified the impacts of human activities on vegetation dynamics. We used Landsat series data to analyze the spatial and temporal variation of the NDVI using the trend analysis method, the Theil–Sen median, the Mann–Kendall test, and the Hurst index. Then, we used meteorological data and land use data to quantify the effects of human activities using residual analysis, and correlation methods to determine the driving forces of NDVI variations. The results showed that the NDVI changes presented obvious regional characteristics, with a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest in Wuliangsu Lake Basin. Due to global warming, the start of the growing season (SOS) is 4.3 days (2001 to 2010) and 6.8 days (2011 to 2020) earlier compared with 1990 to 2000. The end of the season (EOS) is advanced by 3.6 days (2001 to 2010), and delayed by 8.9 days (2011 to 2020). Seasonal (spring, summer, autumn, and winter) NDVIs with precipitation and temperature show spatial heterogeneity. Further, changes in grasslands and woodlands were vulnerable to climate change and human activities. Since the beginning of the 21st century, human activity was the driving force for vegetation improvement in the Dengkou, west-central, north and southwest regions, where ecological instability is weak. This finding can provide a theoretical basis for the implementation of the same type of ecological restoration projects and the construction of ecological civilization, and contribute to the regional green and sustainable development.

The Impact of Environmental and Host Factors on Human Cystic Echinococcosis: A County-Level Modeling Study in Western China.

Human cystic echinococcosis (CE) is a parasitic disease caused by tapeworms from the Echinococcus granulosus genus, potentially affected by the environment and host animals. West China is one of the most endemic areas of human CE nation and worldwide. The current study identifies the crucial environmental and host factors of human CE prevalence in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and non-Qinghai-Tibet Plateau regions. An optimal county-level model was used to analyze the association between key factors and human CE prevalence within the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Geodetector analysis and multicollinearity tests identify key factors, and an optimal model is developed through generalized additive models. In the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, four key factors were identified from the 88 variables, such as maximum annual precipitation (Pre), maximum summer normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), Tibetan population rate (TibetanR), and positive rates of Echinococcus coproantigen in dogs (DogR). Based on the optimal model, a significant positive linear relationship was observed between maximum annual Pre and human CE prevalence. A probable U-shaped curve depicts the non-linear relationship between maximum summer NDVI and the human CE prevalence. Human CE prevalence possesses significant positive non-linear relationships with TibetanR and DogR. Human CE transmission is integrally affected by environmental and host factors. This explains the mechanism of human CE transmission based on the pathogen, host, and transmission framework. Therefore, the current study provides references and innovative ideas for preventing and controlling human CE in western China.

Permafrost degradation services for Arctic greening

As an important component of the climate system, permafrost responds significantly to climate change, and its impact on the ecosystem cannot be ignored. In this study, we analyzed the temporal and spatial variation trends of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in Arctic permafrost regions and revealed the correlation between the active-layer thickness (ALT), soil temperature, and NDVI change. Using the partial correlation method, we assessed the ecological regulation service of permafrost to the ecosystem. The results showed that both the average annual maximum and summer NDVI values in the Arctic region followed a significant increasing trend from 1982 to 2015. The average correlation coefficient (ACC) between Arctic NDVI and ALT was 0.35, followed by the ACC (0.33) between NDVI and soil temperature at 7–28 cm depth, and had a lower ACC (0.31) at 0–7 cm ALT. When the precipitation and snow water equivalent (SWE) remained unchanged, the partial correlation between NDVI and ALT was 0.711, which was a significant positive correlation. It also showed that permafrost degradation was the dominant factor controlling Arctic NDVI increase, whereas precipitation and SWE had little effect. The study revealed the impact of permafrost on NDVI change, deepened our understanding of the importance of permafrost degradation for ecosystem services, and effectively filled the gap that tundra ecosystem services value has been ignored in the global ecological service value assessment.

Decadal Variability in Spring Sea Ice Concentration Linked to Summer Temperature and NDVI on the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta

Abstract Rapidly warming temperatures in the Arctic are driving increasing tundra vegetation productivity, evidenced in both the satellite derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) imagery and field studies. These trends, however, are not uniformly positive across the circumpolar Arctic. One notable region of negative linear NDVI trends that have persisted over the last 15 years is southwest Alaska’s Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta (YKD). Negative NDVI trends in the YKD region appear inconsistent with our understanding since tundra vegetation is temperature-limited and air temperatures have increased on the YKD. Analysis over a 40-yr record from 1982 to 2021 reveals distinct decadal variability in the NDVI time series, which continues to produce negative linear trends. Similar decadal variability is also evident in summer warmth and 100-km coastal zone spring sea ice concentrations. This suggests that decadal climate variations can dominate the trends of NDVI through their influence on the drivers of tundra vegetation, namely, coastal sea ice concentrations and summer warmth. The relationships among sea ice, summer warmth, and NDVI have changed over the 40-yr record. Seasonality analysis since 1982 shows declining sea ice concentration in spring is followed by trends of increasing temperatures, but weakly declining NDVI during the growing season. An additional key finding is that since early 2010s, the relationships between sea ice concentration and summer warmth, and sea ice concentration and NDVI have strengthened, while the relationship between NDVI and summer warmth has weakened, indicating that temperature may no longer be the primary limiting factor for Arctic tundra vegetation on the YKD. Significance Statement This paper addresses a curiosity of regional Arctic climate change, which is that despite increasing temperatures, spatially and temporally declining trends of vegetation productivity on the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta appear in satellite data. This study bridges our understanding of Arctic climate relationships at varying scales and informs questions about how these relationships may change in the future.

Stand characteristics modulate secondary growth responses to drought and gross primary production in Pinus halepensis afforestation

Impacts of climate warming on forests vigour are forecasted to increase in magnitude. Yet it remains unclear how stand characteristics and competition modulate the relationship between tree growth and gross primary production with drought. Here, we studied how the spatial variation in stand density, basal area and height modulates tree growth (Basal Area Increment, BAI and stand growth), summer NDVI, as well as their responses to drought (Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index, SPEI) in 56 Aleppo pine (Pinus halepensis Mill.) planted forests located in Northeast Spain. Long-term BAI responses to SPEI were strongly determined by stand density, suggesting that competition modulates Aleppo pine growth responses to drought. Along this, summer NDVI also displayed strong associations with SPEI. NDVI was mostly related with stand growth, suggesting canopy densification drives NDVI pattern and trends. Short-term BAI and NDVI responses to severe droughts were mainly independent of stand characteristics. In the studied region, drought is a universal factor limiting Aleppo pine secondary growth and canopy greening. However, the results suggest that stand density modulates Aleppo pine growth responses to drought on the long-term, reducing the growth in densest stands. Denser stands with larger trees are the ones that present higher NDVI values, suggesting that canopy activity depends more on stand canopy coverage than on secondary growth rate and its response to drought. In these Mediterranean pines, canopy activity and secondary growth are temporally coupled but spatially decoupled.

Widespread drought‐induced leaf shedding and legacy effects on productivity in European deciduous forests

AbstractHeatwaves and droughts are becoming more common and severe in Europe, causing changes in tree phenology, disrupting the sequestration of carbon and causing tree mortality on a continental scale. The responses of leaf shedding to heatwaves and droughts remain uncertain, although temperate deciduous forests may shed their leaves if exposed to extreme heat and water stress. Little information, however, is available about the extent and recurrence of early leaf shedding induced by drought, likely because it occurs in small forest patches and can be discriminated only during a few weeks. We used highly spatiotemporal Sentinel‐2 data as evidence of widespread drought‐induced early leaf shedding in Europe during 2017–2021. We estimated the timing of leaf shedding from NDVI time series and a threshold‐based method that extracts the end of the growing season. Then, we evaluated the heatwave and drought impacts at the end of season by analysing the z‐score of Landsat‐7 and ‐8 land surface temperature and the ERA5‐Land air temperature and aridity index. The 10‐m resolution Sentinel‐2 data identified early leaf shedding not detected by the low‐resolution (250 m) MODIS sensor. Early leaf shedding was observed across Europe during the entire study period and its occurrence was linked to preceding anomalously high temperatures and arid conditions. Our results also indicated that mean summer NDVI decreased significantly in the years following early leaf shedding, suggesting a legacy decline in vegetation productivity. Our study demonstrates that decametric satellite data can be used to monitor the responses of forests to extreme climate events at the canopy level and indicates that early leaf shedding associated with heatwaves and droughts is more widespread and frequent across the continent than previously thought.

Vegetation Browning Trends in Spring and Autumn over Xinjiang, China, during the Warming Hiatus

Satellite-derived vegetation records (GIMMS3g-NDVI) report that climate warming promotes vegetation greening trends; however, the climate impacts on vegetation growth during the global warming hiatus period (1998–2012) remain unclear. In this study, we focused on the vegetation change trend in Xinjiang in spring and autumn before and during the recent warming hiatus period, and their climate-driving mechanisms, which have not been examined in previous studies. Based on satellite records, our results indicated that the summer normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in Xinjiang experienced a greening trend, while a browning trend existed in spring and autumn during this period. The autumn NDVI browning trend in Xinjiang was larger than that in spring; however, the spring NDVI displayed a higher correlation with climatic factors than did the autumn NDVI. During the warming hiatus, spring climatic factors were the main controlling factors of spring NDVI, and spring vapor pressure deficit (VPD) had the highest positive correlation with spring NDVI, followed by spring temperature. The larger increase in air temperature in spring than in autumn resulted in increased VPD differences in spring and autumn. In autumn, summer climatic factors (e.g., VPD, WS, RH, and precipitation) were significantly correlated with the autumn NDVI during the warming hiatus. However, the autumn temperature was weakly correlated with the autumn NDVI. Our results have significant implications for understanding the response of vegetation growth to recent and future climatic conditions.

Reconstruction of summer NDVI over the past 339 years based on the tree-ring width of Picea schrenkiana in Bayinbuluke, Central Tianshan, China

The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is widely used in various fields of vegetation research. Due to the short observation time, however, it is difficult to meet the research needs at long time scale. Here, we established a tree-ring width chronology (STD) based on Picea schrenkiana in Bayinbuluke, and calculated the correlation coefficient of chronology and NDVI with meteorological data. The results showed that both tree-ring width index and NDVI were significantly correlated with meteorological data. Combined with the significant positive correlation between width chronology and NDVI in June-August (r=0.7, P<0.01, n=38), summer NDVI (from June to August) was reconstructed over the past 339 years using a regression model. During 1680-2018, the reconstruction series had four dense vegetation periods (1738-1765, 1786-1798, 1964-1973 and 2000-2018) and five sparse vegetation periods (1690-1714, 1825-1834, 1850-1880, 1895-1920 and 1945-1955). The reconstruction reflected the hydrological signals in the central Tianshan Mountains. The comparison with the surrounding reconstructions revealed that when the runoff of Kaidu River increased and the local environment was humid, the vegetation coverage was high; otherwise the vegetation coverage was low. The extreme value of the reconstruction series also captured a series of natural disasters recorded in historical documents. Results of HYSPLT (Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model) backward trajectory model and wind field analysis showed that NDVI anomalies were affected by the precipitation from Westerlies.

Redlines and Greenspace: The Relationship between Historical Redlining and 2010 Greenspace across the United States.

Introduction:Redlining, a racist mortgage appraisal practice of the 1930s, established and exacerbated racial residential segregation boundaries in the United States. Investment risk grades assigned ago through security maps from the Home Owners’ Loan Corporation (HOLC) are associated with current sociodemographics and adverse health outcomes. We assessed whether historical HOLC investment grades are associated with 2010 greenspace, a health-promoting neighborhood resource.Objectives:We compared 2010 normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) across previous HOLC neighborhood grades using propensity score restriction and matching.Methods:Security map shapefiles were downloaded from the Mapping Inequality Project. Neighborhood investment risk grades included A (best, green), B (blue), C (yellow), and D (hazardous, red, i.e., redlined). We used 2010 satellite imagery to calculate the average NDVI for each HOLC neighborhood. Our main outcomes were 2010 annual average NDVI and summer NDVI. We assigned areal-apportioned 1940 census measures to each HOLC neighborhood. We used propensity score restriction, matching, and targeted maximum likelihood estimation to limit model extrapolation, reduce confounding, and estimate the association between HOLC grade and NDVI for the following comparisons: Grades B vs. A, C vs. B, and D vs. C.Results:Across 102 urban areas (4,141 HOLC polygons), annual average 2010 NDVI was 0.47 (), 0.43 (), 0.39 (), and 0.36 () in Grades A–D, respectively. In analyses adjusted for current ecoregion and census region, 1940s census measures, and 1940s population density, annual average NDVI values in 2010 were estimated at (95% CI: , ), (95% CI: , ), and (95% CI: , ) for Grades B vs. A, C vs. B, and D vs. C, respectively, in the 1930s.Discussion:Estimates adjusted for historical characteristics indicate that neighborhoods assigned worse HOLC grades in the 1930s are associated with reduced present-day greenspace. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP7495

Characterizing the climatic niche of mast seeding in beech: Evidences of trade-offs between vegetation growth and seed production

Masting is a complex mechanism which is mainly driven by a combination of internal plant resources and climatic conditions. While the driving role of climate in masting is being intensively studied, the interplay among climate, seed production, vegetation growth and phenology still needs further investigation. The objectives of thisstudy were to identify the climatic determinants of different levels of seed production and of NDVI-based vegetation growth and phenology in European beech, and to evaluate if exists a trade-off between these two plant processes. To answer these questions, we used a 25-year-long dataset of beech seed production. We exploited the concept of ecological niche assuming that a mast year can be modeled like a species with variable preferences for different resources, which are the underlying annual climatic conditions; we performed an Ecological Niche Factor Analysis (ENFA), a presence-only modeling tool conventionally used in zoology and botany, and used seasonal (spring, summer, autumn) Standardized Precipitation-Evaporation Index (SPEI) observations, considering the current year (y−0), and up to one (y−1) and two (y−2) years before the masting event. For analyzing the role of vegetation growth and phenology, we used seasonal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) values and associated NDVI-based phenological metrics derived from Landsat imagery. Results indicated the driving role of climate for masting, especially in VHSP years. A moist summer and dry spring at y−2 and a dry summer at y−1 represented the main driving climatic conditions for masting; while a moist spring during the observation year represented the key condition for triggering higher intensities of seed production. Summer NDVI at y−0 and y−1 represented the variables discriminating best between masting and non-masting years and resulted as driven by opposite summer climatic conditions than seed production, thus indicating a trade-off between seed production and vegetation phenology. We concluded that reproduction and vegetation growth act as two different climate-dependent plant responses in beech, in a way that certain conditions through the years promote mast seeding and the opposite conditions favor vegetation growth. The understanding of climate-growth-masting relationships represents indispensable knowledge for providing a holistic view of masting mechanisms and developing adaptive forest management strategies in this species.

Higher susceptibility of beech to drought in comparison to oak

The expected increase in drought severity and frequency as a result of anthropogenic climate change leads to concerns about the ability of native tree species to cope with these changes. To determine the susceptibility of Fagus sylvatica (European beech) and Quercus robur (pedunculate oak) – the two dominant deciduous tree species in Central Europe – to drought, we quantified the climate sensitivity and drought-response of radial growth for both species using an array of dendroecological methods. Tree-ring data were collected from a site east of Coburg, Bavaria which had shown pronounced stress-symptoms (early leaf coloration) during the record drought of 2018. Climate-growth relationships were used to establish the sensitivity of radial growth to multiple climatic variables. The impact of specific drought events on tree growth was quantified using tolerance indices. In addition, we employed a Principal Component Gradient Analysis (PCGA) and remote sensing data (MODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)) to delineate the species specific drought responses. Using these methods we were able to show a clear difference in drought susceptibility between beech and oak. Beech displayed a higher sensitivity to temperature and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and showed lower resistance and resilience to drought events than oak. In particular, beech was unable to fully recover from the 2003 drought, after which it expressed a stark growth decline, i.e. drought legacies, which was not observed for oak. The PCGA revealed a clear differentiation in the grouping of drought responses between beech and oak, supporting the findings of the climate-growth analysis and the tolerance indices. Correlations of NDVI and ring-width indices (RWI) indicated that under normal climatic conditions NDVI variability is linked to the start of the growing season. This is in contrast to drought years, such as 2003, where summer NDVI mirrored the drought response of beech and oak. These results reveal beech to have both a higher sensitivity to summer temperature and SPEI and a higher susceptibility to drought events. Although, in the past high plasticity and adaptability to drought have been attributed to both beech and oak, our study assigns beech a higher risk than oak to suffer from anticipated increases in drought frequency and intensity as a consequence of climate change.

Co-variability of the summer NDVIs on the eastern Tibetan Plateau and in the Lake Baikal region: Associated climate factors and atmospheric circulation.

The Tibetan Plateau and Siberia are both crucial regions in which the vegetation dynamics are sensitive to climate change. The variabilities in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) over the two regions have been explored previously, but there have been few studies on the relationship of the NDVI in the two regions. Using the GIMMS-NDVI, GHCN-CAMS and NCEP reanalysis datasets and statistical and physical diagnostic methods, we show that the summer (June, July and August) NDVI over the eastern Tibetan Plateau and Lake Baikal and its adjacent eastern region of Siberia have an in-phase co-variability, especially on an interannual timescale (with a correlation coefficient of 0.69 during the time period 1982-2014). Further analyses show that precipitation and the related cloud cover and solar radiation are responsible for the variability in the NDVI over the eastern Tibetan Plateau, whereas temperature has the more important role in modulating the variability in the NDVI over the Lake Baikal region. A dipole pattern prevails over the Tibetan Plateau-Lake Baikal region and reflects the anomalies in the intensity and location of the South Asian high and the northeast Asian blocking high. This dipole pattern simultaneously modulates precipitation over the eastern Tibetan Plateau and the temperature over the Lake Baikal region and leads to the co-variability of the NDVI between the two regions. A synergistic sea surface temperature index, which reflects sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, the northwest Pacific Ocean, the northern Indian Ocean and the subtropical north Atlantic Ocean, appears to adjust this Tibetan Plateau-Lake Baikal dipole pattern and is therefore closely related to the co-variability of the NDVI between the eastern Tibetan Plateau and the Lake Baikal region. Our results suggest that vegetation dynamics may not be only a local phenomenon in some areas, but are also likely to remotely link with variations in vegetation over other regions.

Redlines and greenspace: The relationship between historical redlining and 2010 greenspace across the United States

Introduction: Redlining, a racially discriminatory mortgage appraisal practice in the latter half of the 1930s, established and exacerbated racial segregation boundaries. Investment risk grades, including redlining, assigned &gt;80 years ago through Security Maps by the Home Owners’ Loan Corporation (HOLC) are associated with current socioeconomic factors, increased diesel exhaust production, hotter ambient temperatures, and adverse health outcomes. We sought to assess whether HOLC investment grades across the US are associated with recent measures of greenspace, a health-promoting neighborhood resource.Methods: We accessed Security Maps through the University of Richmond’s Mapping Inequality Project. Neighborhood investment grades included A (‘best’, green), B (blue), C (yellow), and D (‘hazardous’, red, i.e., redlined). We used 2010 satellite imagery to calculate the average normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) for each HOLC neighborhood in four seasons. Our main outcomes were 2010 annual average NDVI and summer NDVI. We also assigned 1940 census measures to each HOLC neighborhood boundary using areal apportionment. To limit model extrapolation and reduce confounding, we used propensity score restriction and matching and compared HOLC grades as follows: grade B vs. A, C vs. B, and D vs. C.Results: Across the 71 cities from 24 states included in analyses, HOLC neighborhood annual average NDVI was 0.47 (SD=0.09), 0.042 (SD=0.09), 0.38 (SD=0.09), and 0.36 (SD=0.10) in grades A-D, respectively. In analyses adjusted for ecoregion, census region, and 1940s Census measures of socioeconomic status, HOLC grades B, C, and D were associated with 9.4% (95%CI:-10.8%,-8.0%), 5.7% (95%CI:-7.1,-4.3%), and 5.1% (95%CI:-7.9%,-2.2%) decreases in annual average NDVI compared to grade A, B, and C, respectively. Similar decrements were observed in summer.Discussion: Though redlining is now illegal, the institutional and structural racism outlined on Security Maps appears to persist. We observed that worse HOLC grade assignments in the 1930s were associated with reduced present day greenspace.