Subtropical Zone Research Articles

DISPERAL OF THE LILIACEAE REPRESENTATIVES IN RELATION TO THE STRUCTURE OF THEIR REPRODUCTIVE ORGANS

The Liliaceae family is a terminal one in the order Liliales sensu APG IV (2016) and consists of 15 genera with more than 700 species. The family’s geographical range covers most of the Northern hemisphere and extends through several natural zones, from forest tundra (Gagea species) to tropical forests (Tricyrtis imeldae Guthnick), within three continents, i. e. Eurasia, North America and Africa. Most Liliaceous genera occur both in Eurasia and North America. Representatives of Liliaceae develop coenocarpous fleshly indehiscent berries or dry dehiscent capsules. In most cases, multi-seeded berries themselves are a diaspore, whereas in the case of capsules, the seeds are normally a diaspora. The capsules play a vital role in seed dispersal. Structural adaptations of fruits allowed representatives of Liliaceae to spread into the territories that make up the modern range of the family.The aim of the study is to determine the principal patterns of fruit development for the representatives of Liliaceae with different types of dissemination. The study is based on the investigation of morphological and anatomical structure of fruits which is related to geography, ecology and biology of the Liliaceae taxa dissemination.The study has revealed that the wind is the most typical and widespread agent of dissemination for the investigated representatives of Liliaceae. The specialized capsules responsible for anemochory, i.e. auto-anemochory and anemochionochory (mainly in representatives of the ground cover of deciduous forests in temperate and subtropical climatic zones of the Holarctic Kingdom), are characteristic of representatives of the Lilioideae subfamily. Unlike the capsules supporting the anemochory, which actively participate in dissemination, the primary function of capsules of baromyrmecochorous representatives of Liliaceae is seed production rather than their dispersal, which is reflected in the anatomical structure of the capsules, with numerous intercellular spaces in the pericarp and almost complete lack of its lignification. The endozoochory of fleshly berries of Liliaceae is effective for dispersal by long-distance transport, primarily by birds. Supposedly, the ornitochory prevents dispersal among a large number of ecosystems, which is echoed in the ranges of Clintonia, Prosartes and Streptopus genera, representatives of the ground cover of coniferous and broadleaf forests of the Holarctic Kingdom.

Temporal trends in respiratory pathogens following the COVID-19 pandemic and climate variables: A unicentric retrospective evaluation of 24 pathogens in a temperate subtropical region.

Temperature and humidity are studied in the context of seasonal infections in temperate and tropical zones, but the relationship between viral trends and climate variables in temperate subtropical zones remains underexplored. Our retrospective study analyzes respiratory pathogen incidence and its correlation with climate data in a subtropical zone. Retrospective observational study at Moinhos de Vento Hospital, South Brazil, aiming to assess seasonal trends in respiratory pathogens, correlating them with climate data. The study included patients of all ages from various healthcare settings, with data collected between April 2022 and July 2023. Biological samples were analyzed for 24 pathogens using polymerase chain reaction and hybridization techniques; demographic variables were also collected. The data was analyzed descriptively and graphically. Spearman tests and Poisson regression were used as correlation tests. Tests were clustered according to all pathogens, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), influenza viruses, rhinovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Between April 2022 and July 2023, 3329 tests showed a 71.6% positivity rate. Rhinovirus and RSV predominated, exhibiting seasonal patterns. Temperature was inversely correlated with the viruses, notably rhinovirus, but SARS-CoV-2 was positively correlated. Air humidity was positively correlated with all pathogens, RSV, rhinovirus, and atmospheric pressure with all pathogens and rhinovirus. Our results showed statistically significant correlations, with modest effect sizes. Our study did not evaluate causation effects. Despite the correlation between climate and respiratory pathogens, our work suggests additional factors influencing transmission dynamics. Our findings underscore the complex interplay between climate and respiratory infections in subtropical climates.

Stand biomass of Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica plantations benefits from high density monocultures in the boreal zone

Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica (P. sylvestris) plantations are extensively established in the boreal zone. Increasing stand biomass of these plantations can effectively enhance carbon stock, which is crucial for mitigating climate change. However, the current understanding of optimizing plantation strategies to maximize stand biomass is primarily derived from experiments in tropical and subtropical zones, which is difficult to extend to the boreal due to substantial climatic differences. Based on a comprehensive dataset from 1,076 sample plots of P. sylvestris plantations in the boreal zone of China, we evaluated the effects of tree species richness and stand density on tree height, diameter at breast height (DBH), and stand biomass to investigate the optimal plantation strategy. Furthermore, we examined how these effects changed with stand age and investigated their relative importance. We found that monocultures at a high stand density of 2,000–2,500 ​ha−1 were the optimal plantation strategy to maximize stand biomass (107.5 ​Mg·ha−1), and this held true at almost all stand ages. Unfortunately, this strategy resulted in low species richness and small individual trees (10.6 ​m height and 9.8 ​cm DBH), thus presenting a trade-off. In addition, as stand age increased, the effect of tree species richness on stand biomass shifted from positive to negative, but the effect of stand density was always positive. Overall, stand age had the greatest effect on stand biomass, followed by stand density and then tree species richness. Our findings reveal a distinct plantation strategy for optimizing stand biomass of P. sylvestris plantations in the boreal zone. More importantly, this study highlights that (1) maximizing stand biomass in the boreal zone may compromise tree species richness; (2) net effects of tree species richness on stand biomass are not always positive, as negative selection effects offset positive complementary effects.

Association between heat and upper urinary tract stones morbidity and medical costs: A study in the subtropical humid climate zone

Urolithiasis is a heat-specific disease. Exploring heat-related urolithiasis susceptibility subtypes, economic burden, and modifying factors could assist governments in targeting interventions to reduce the heat-related health risks of urolithiasis morbidity. We collected data on 23,492 patients with upper urinary tract stones (main subtypes of urolithiasis) from 2013 to 2017 in Nanjing, China. We adopted generalized additive quasi-Poisson models to examine the associations between daily mean temperatures and morbidity of upper urinary tract stones, while generalized additive Gaussian models were used to explore the relationships between temperatures and log-transformed medical costs. We examined the modification effects of disease subtypes (kidney and ureteral calculus), sex, and age through stratified analyses and the modification effects of other meteorological factors by introducing interaction terms in the models. We found that short-term summer heat exposure has a statistically significant effect on ureteral calculus morbidity but not on kidney calculus morbidity. For ureter calculus, a 1 °C temperature increase was associated with a 4.36% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.94%, 6.83%) increase in daily hospitalization and a 5.44% (95% CI: 2.71%, 8.25%) increase in daily medical costs. The attributable fraction associated with heat (greater than the median value of daily mean temperature, 26.8 °C) was 7.85% (95% empirical confidence interval [eCI]: 3.64%, 11.44%) for hospitalization and 9.36% (95% eCI: 4.91%, 13.14%) for medical costs. The effects of heat on ureter calculus morbidity were significantly higher among the males and those with high sunshine duration than females and those with low sunshine duration. Short-term summer heat exposure was associated with increased morbidity and medical costs of ureteral calculus. Relevant government organizations should take effective intervention measures, including community health education, to reduce the health hazards and economic losses caused by heat.

Soil biological fertility evolution in a chronosequence under long‐term rice cultivation after land reclamation in China

AbstractLand use significantly affects soil biological fertility through impacts on carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycling. The present study investigated the effects of long‐term rice cultivation after tidal flat reclamation on soil C and N metabolism, microbial biomass and biological fertility. Eighteen composite topsoil (0–20 cm) samples were identified in a chronosequence of coastal reclamation areas (0–700 years old) in subtropical monsoon climate zone, namely tidal flat (T0), salt marsh soil (S10) and paddy soil (P50, P100, P300 and P700). Using ANOVA analysis, mono‐exponential regression model, and multiple linear regressions, soil organic matter (SOM), total nitrogen (TN), cumulative C mineralization content (Ct) and N mineralization content (Nt), basal soil respiration (BSR) and microbial biomass C and N (MBC and MBN) in the P50‐P700 samples were significantly higher than those in the T0 and S10 samples, whereas C metabolic quotients (qCO2) in the P50‐P700 were significantly lower than those in the T0 and S10 samples. The time to steady state for SOM and TN are 357 years and 80 years, respectively; 133 and 221 years for Ct and Nt, respectively; and 318 and 183 years for MBC and MBN, respectively. Also, a soil biological fertility index (SBFI) was calculated on the basis of SOM, BSR, Ct, MBC, qCO2 and qCM. P100‐P300 samples had the highest SBFI score (28.7) and ranked in the class V (very high) of biological fertility, achieving steady‐state conditions after 146 years. SBFI was significantly positively correlated with SOM, TN, MBC, MBN, BSR, Ct and Nt, whereas it was significantly negatively correlated with pH, qCO2 and C mineralization quotient (qCM). MBC and qCM were two independent variables with considerable positive effects on SBFI. Long‐term rice cultivation could facilitate C and N accumulation and enhance biological fertility in soils via microbial activity, especially within 300 years. Our findings demonstrate that rice cultivation has the potential to enhance soil C and N accumulation. Carbon‐related SBFI is suitable for assessing soils under long‐term rice cultivation, mainly because the rice paddy field is an intensive and conservative system.

Association between heatwaves and risk and economic burden of injury related hospitalizations in China

BackgroundPublic health is greatly affected by heatwaves, especially as a result of climate change. It is unclear whether heatwaves affect injury hospitalization, especially as developing countries facing the impact of climate change. ObjectivesTo assess the impact of heatwaves on injury-related hospitalization and the economic burden. MethodsThe daily hospitalizations and meteorological data from 2014 to 2019 were collected from 23 study sites in 11 meteorological geographic zones in China. We conducted a two-stage time series analysis based on a time-stratified case-crossover design, combined with DLNM to assess the association between heatwaves and daily injury hospitalization, and to further assess the regional and national economic losses resulting from hospitalization by calculating excess hospitalization costs (direct economic losses) and labor losses (indirect economic losses). To determine the vulnerable groups and areas, we also carried out stratified analyses by age, sex, and region. ResultsWe found that 6.542% (95%CI: 3.939%, 9.008 %) of injury hospitalization were attributable to heatwaves during warm season (May to September) from 2014 to 2019. Approximately 361,447 injury hospitalizations were attributed to heatwaves each year in China, leading to an excess economic loss of 5.173 (95%CI: 3.104, 7.196) billion CNY, of which 3.114 (95%CI: 1.454, 4.720) billion CNY for males and 4.785 (95%CI: 3.203, 6.321) billion CNY for people aged 15–64 years. The attributable fraction (AF) of injury hospitalizations due to heatwaves was the highest in the plateau mountain climate zone, followed by the subtropical monsoon climate zone and the temperate monsoon climate zone. ConclusionsHeatwaves significantly increase the disease and economic burden of injury hospitalizations, and vary across populations and regions. Our findings implicate the necessity for targeted measures, including raising public awareness, improving healthcare infrastructure, and developing climate resilience policies, to reduce the threat of heatwaves to vulnerable populations and the associated disease and economic burden.

Foliar Application of Chitosan (CTS), γ-Aminobutyric Acid (GABA), or Sodium Chloride (NaCl) Mitigates Summer Bentgrass Decline in the Subtropical Zone.

Creeping bentgrass (Agrostis stolonifera) is an excellent cool-season turfgrass that is widely used in urban gardening, landscaping, and golf turf. Triennial field experiments from 2017 to 2019 were conducted to investigate effects of the foliar application of chitosan (CTS), γ-aminobutyric acid (GABA), or sodium chloride (NaCl) on mitigating summer bentgrass decline (SBD) and exploring the CTS, GABA, or NaCl regulatory mechanism of tolerance to summer heat stress associated with changes in chlorophyll (Chl) loss and photosynthetic capacity, osmotic adjustment (OA), oxidative damage, and cell membrane stability. The findings demonstrated that persistent ambient high temperatures above 30 °C during the summer months of 2017, 2018, and 2019 significantly reduced the turf quality (TQ), Chl content, photochemical efficiency of PSII (Fv/Fm and PIABS), leaf relative water content, and osmotic potential (OP) but significantly increased electrolyte leakage (EL) and the accumulations of free proline, water-soluble carbohydrate (WSC), hydrogen peroxide (H2O2), and malondialdehyde (MDA). The foliar application of CTS, GABA, or NaCl could significantly alleviate SBD, as reflected by improved TQ and delayed Chl loss during hot summer months. Heat-induced declines in Fv/Fm, PIABS, the net photosynthetic rate (Pn), the transpiration rate (Tr), and water use efficiency (WUE) could be significantly mitigated by the exogenous application of CTS, GABA, or NaCl. In addition, the foliar application of CTS, GABA, or NaCl also significantly improved the accumulations of free proline and WSC but reduced the EL, OP, and H2O2 content and the MDA content in leaves of creeping bentgrass in favor of water and redox homeostasis in summer. Based on the comprehensive evaluation of the subordinate function value analysis (SFVA), the CTS had the best effect on the mitigation of SBD, followed by GABA and NaCl in 2017, 2018, and 2019. The current study indicates that the foliar application of an appropriate dose of GABA, CTS, or NaCl provides a cost-effective strategy for mitigating SBD.

Exploring the influence of local urban heat features on park cooling effects: Insights from Chinese cities

Urban parks are vital for mitigating urban heat, yet debate persists on whether local urban heat features hinder or enhance park cooling effects. Therefore. We employed Google Earth Engine and Landsat 8 OLI to map the average summer daytime land surface temperature (LST) across China during 2017–2019. This allowed us to evaluate park cooling effects and calculate local urban heat island intensities (LUHI) around each park. Findings revealed that: (1) urban parks had an average cooling intensity (PCI) of 1.38 °C, with Blue and Green Parks demonstrating superior cooling effects, particularly in arid regions. (2) Parks in hotter urban areas exhibited enhanced cooling effects, with notable PCI differences of over 0.4 °C among different LUHI regions, especially for Blue and Green Parks. However, this effect was not observed in the central subtropical (CST) and central temperate (CT) zones. (3) Hotter urban areas had larger Threshold Value of Efficiency (TVoE), particularly for Blue and Green Parks (0.11–0.46 ha), with CT zone parks displaying the largest TVoE among climate zones. (4) The variations in park cooling effects attributed to LUHI primarily stem from differences in land cover composition and their thermal properties. More importantly, our study underscores the greater influence of local urban heat features over urban heat characteristics on park cooling effects. Therefore, local urban heat features surrounding urban parks must be taken into account when planning urban green spaces, what's more, a larger park was more efficient in hotter urban areas.

Application of different organic amendments influences the different forms of sulphur in the soil of pea – onion – cauliflower cropping system

A study was conducted in sandy clay loam soils in a subtropical zone of Bihar to evaluate the effect of frequent application of organic amendments on sulphur fractions. Different organic amendments, including farmyard manure (FYM), vermicompost, azotobacter, phosphate solubilizing bacteria (PSB), panchagawya, and neem cake, were applied through nine treatments that resulted in a significant increase of water-soluble S, available S, heat-soluble S, adsorbed S, and organic S in organic treatment compared to the recommended dose of fertilizer (RDF) and control treatment. The maximum increment was observed in the treatment where the recommended dose of nitrogen was replaced by 75% recommended dose of nitrogen substituted farmyard manure + 25% recommended dose of nitrogen (vermicompost) along with azotobacter + PSB + one foliar spray of panchagawya. The total S content varied widely from 382 to 736 mg kg-1. Increment in all the forms of sulphur is observed as a result of the application of different organic nutrient sources. All the forms of sulphur share a mutual positive and significant correlation with each other. Regression analysis suggested that the availability of sulphur was dominated by organic sulphur, which alone can explain 97.8% of the variation in availability of available sulphur in soil.

Archaeal communities in natural and artificially restored mangrove sediments in Tieshan Bay, China

Mangrove forests are crucial wetland ecosystems located in tropical and subtropical intertidal zones, but they have become extensively degraded. As a viable ecological restoration strategy, the cultivation of native mangrove vegetation in these degraded areas has gained considerable attention. Mangroves’ unique environmental conditions make them suitable habitats for diverse microbial communities, including Archaea - one of the main microbial communities in mangrove sediments - which plays a pivotal role in biogeochemical cycles. However, little is known about the dynamics of archaeal communities during mangrove restoration through phytoremediation. In this study, we investigated the physicochemical properties of sediment profiles from natural and artificially restored mangrove ecosystems in Tieshan Bay. We utilized quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) and 16S rRNA gene sequencing techniques to explore differences in abundance, community structure, and composition of archaeal communities between sediment profiles in natural and artificially restored mangrove ecosystems. We also examined correlations between archaeal communities and environmental factors. Our results revealed that Crenarchaeota, Thermoplasmatota, Asgardarchaeota, Nanoarchaeota, and Euryarchaeota were the predominant archaeal phyla, with significant variation in sediment composition observed for Crenarchaeota and Thermoplasmatota in different depths. We also found significant differences in archaeal abundance and community composition between natural and restored mangrove sediments. Furthermore, C/N ratio and pH emerged as primary drivers of archaeal communities in wet and dry season sediments, respectively. Additionally, the study revealed seasonal disparities in seasonal differences in the relative abundance of certain archaeal groups (such as Asgardarchaeota, Nanoarchaeota). Network analysis demonstrated stronger interconnections among archaeal communities in sediments from natural mangroves than from artificially restored ones. These findings enhance our knowledge of archaeal community succession patterns in mangrove restoration, as well as provide fresh perspectives for the sustainable management of mangrove ecosystems.

Damage and Entomophagy in Natural Infestations of Spodoptera frugiperda (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) in Maize Landraces in Oaxaca, Mexico1

Abstract The fall armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (J.E. Smith) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae), seriously damages maize (Zea mays L.) crops in tropical, subtropical, and temperate zones of Mexico and around the world. This study was conducted to evaluate the damage caused by S. frugiperda to six native maize populations and the natural parasites of S. frugiperda in three localities from Oaxaca, Mexico. Two native maize populations each of the Zapalote Chico, Bolita, and Conico-Chalqueño races were used. Plantings were done at Coatecas Altas, Santa Lucia Miahuatlan, and Villa de Zaachila under a randomized complete block design with four replications. The agroecological conditions of cultivation influenced the damage caused by S. frugiperda and influenced its natural parasitism. The ordered weighted mean damage in the localities was Villa de Zaachila (1.40–4.92) > Coatecas Altas (1.33–4.06) > Santa Lucia Miahuatlan (0.53–1.00). The order of parasitism rates in the localities was Villa de Zaachila (56.16%) ≈ Santa Lucia Miahuatlan (37.59%) > Coatecas Altas (14.27%). Zapalote Chico populations were less damaged by S. frugiperda larvae and flowered earlier than did the Conico-Chalqueño and Bolita populations. Thirteen parasitoid species and nematodes were recorded attacking S. frugiperda. Chelonus insularis Cresson was the most abundant parasitoid species across the locations. Members of 17 families of predators and 12 families of parasitoids also were identified as potential natural enemies of S. frugiperda. The population dynamics of this armyworm were determined by the environmental conditions of the location, maize population, transition from the vegetative to the reproductive stage, and presence of natural enemies, whereas natural parasitism was influenced only by location.

Biological Production of Distinct Carbon Pools Drives Particle Export Efficiency in the Southern Ocean

AbstractWe use observations from the Southern Ocean (SO) biogeochemical profiling float array to quantify the meridional pattern of particle export efficiency (PEeff) during the austral productive season. Float estimates reveal a pronounced latitudinal gradient of PEeff, which is quantitatively supported by a compilation of existing ship‐based measurements. Relying on complementary float‐based estimates of distinct carbon pools produced through biological activity, we find that PEeff peaks near the region of maximum particulate inorganic carbon sinking flux in the polar antarctic zone, where net primary production (NPP) is the lowest. Regions characterized by intermediate NPP and low PEeff, primarily in the subtropical and seasonal ice zones, are generally associated with a higher fraction of dissolved organic carbon production. Our study reveals the critical role of distinct biogenic carbon pool production in driving the latitudinal pattern of PEeff in the SO.

Landscape and meteorological variables associated with Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquito infestation in two southeastern USA coastal cities.

Aedes transmitted arboviral human cases are increasing worldwide and spreading to new areas of the United States of America (USA). These diseases continue to re-emerge likely due to changes in vector ecology, urbanization, human migration, and larger range of climatic suitability. Recent shifts in landscape and weather variables are predicted to impact the habitat patterns of urban mosquitoes such as Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Miami (FL) is in the tropical zone and an established hotspot for arboviruses, while Charleston (SC) is in the humid subtropical zone and newly vulnerable. Although these coastal cities have distinct climates, both have hot summers. To understand mosquito infestation in both cities and potentiate our surveillance effort, we performed egg collections in the warmest season. We applied remote sensing with land-use cover and weather variation to identify mosquito infestation patterns. Our study found predominant occurrence of Ae. aegypti and, to a lesser extent, Ae. albopictus in both cities. We detected statistically significant positive and negative associations between entomological indicators and most weather variables in combined data from both cities. For all entomological indices, weekly wind speed and relative humidity were significantly positively associated, while precipitation and maximum temperature were significantly negatively associated. Aedes egg abundance was significantly positively associated with open land in Charleston but was negatively associated with vegetation cover in combined data. There is a clear need for further observational studies to determine the impact of climate change on Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus infestation in the Southeastern region of the USA.

Contrasting range changes and drivers of four forest foundation species under future climate change in China

Forest foundation species, vital for shaping community structure and dynamics through non-trophic level interactions, are key to forest succession and sustainability. Despite their ecological importance, the habitat ranges of these species in China and their responses to future climate change remain unclear. Our study employed the optimal MaxEnt model to assess the range shifts and their essential drivers of four typical forest foundation species from three climatic zones in China under climate scenarios, including Acer tegmentosum, Acer pseudo-sieboldianum (temperate zone), Quercus glandulifera (subtropical zone), and Ficus hispida (tropical zone). The optimal MaxEnt model exhibited high evaluation indices (AUC values > 0.90) for the four foundation species, indicating excellent predictive performance. Currently, we observed that A. tegmentosum and A. pseudo-sieboldianum are predominantly inhabited temperate forest areas in northeastern China, Q. glandulifera is primarily concentrated in subtropical forests in southeastern China, and F. hispida is mainly distributed across the tropical forests in southern China. Climate factors, particularly temperature, emerged as the primary environmental factors influencing the potential range of forest foundation species. Moreover, precipitation strongly influenced the potential range of A. tegmentosum and A. pseudo-sieboldianum, while elevation exhibited a greater impact on the range of Q. glandulifera and F. hispida. Under future climate scenarios, suitable areas for A. tegmentosum and A. pseudo-sieboldianum tend to expand southward, F. hispida tends to expand northward, while Q. glandulifera exhibited a tendency to contract towards the center. This study advances our understanding of the spatial and temporal dynamics of forest foundation species in China under climate change, providing critical insights for conservation efforts and sustainable forest management practices.

Epidemic Characteristics and Meteorological Risk Factors of Hemorrhagic Fever With Renal Syndrome in 151 Cities in China From 2015 to 2021: Retrospective Analysis.

Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) continues to pose a significant public health threat to the population in China. Previous epidemiological evidence indicates that HFRS is climate sensitive and influenced by meteorological factors. However, past studies either focused on too-narrow geographical regions or investigated time periods that were too early. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive analysis to interpret the epidemiological patterns of meteorological factors affecting the incidence of HFRS across diverse climate zones. In this study, we aimed to describe the overall epidemic characteristics of HFRS and explore the linkage between monthly HFRS cases and meteorological factors at different climate levels in China. The reported HFRS cases and meteorological data were collected from 151 cities in China during the period from 2015 to 2021. We conducted a 3-stage analysis, adopting a distributed lag nonlinear model and a generalized additive model to estimate the interactions and marginal effects of meteorological factors on HFRS. This study included a total of 63,180 cases of HFRS; the epidemic trends showed seasonal fluctuations, with patterns varying across different climate zones. Temperature had the greatest impact on the incidence of HFRS, with the maximum hysteresis effects being at 1 month (-19 ºC; relative risk [RR] 1.64, 95% CI 1.24-2.15) in the midtemperate zone, 0 months (28 ºC; RR 3.15, 95% CI 2.13-4.65) in the warm-temperate zone, and 0 months (4 ºC; RR 1.72, 95% CI 1.31-2.25) in the subtropical zone. Interactions were discovered between the average temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation in different temperature zones. Moreover, the influence of precipitation and relative humidity on the incidence of HFRS had different characteristics under different temperature layers. The hysteresis effect of meteorological factors did not end after an epidemic season, but gradually weakened in the following 1 or 2 seasons. Weather variability, especially low temperature, plays an important role in epidemics of HFRS in China. A long hysteresis effect indicates the necessity of continuous intervention following an HFRS epidemic. This finding can help public health departments guide the prevention and control of HFRS and develop strategies to cope with the impacts of climate change in specific regions.

Process‐Based Atmosphere‐Hydrology‐Malaria Modeling: Performance for Spatio‐Temporal Malaria Transmission Dynamics in Sub‐Saharan Africa

AbstractWith the goal of eradication by 2030, Malaria poses a significant health threat, profoundly influenced by meteorological and hydrological conditions. In support of malaria vector control efforts, we present a high‐resolution, coupled physically‐based modeling approach integrating WRF‐Hydro and VECTRI. This model approach accurately captures topographic details at the scale of larvae habitats in the Nouna Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems in Sub‐Saharan Africa. Our study demonstrates the proficiency of the high‐resolution hydrometeorological model, WRF‐Hydro, in replicating observed climate characteristics. Comparisons with in‐situ local weather data reveal root mean square errors between 0.6 and 0.87 mm/day for rainfall and correlations ranging from 0.79 to 0.87 for temperatures. Additionally, WRF‐Hydro's surface hydrology reproduces the seasonal and intraseasonal variability of the ponded water fraction with 96% accuracy, validated against Sentinel‐1 data at a 100‐m resolution. The VECTRI model demonstrates sensitivity to surface hydrology representation, particularly when comparing conceptual and detailed physical process models, for variables such as larvae density, mosquito abundance, and EIR. The model's ability to replicate the seasonality of malaria transmission aligns well with available cohort malaria data suggesting its potential for predicting the impacts of climate change on mosquito abundance and transmission intensity in endemic tropical and subtropical zones. This integrated approach opens avenues for enhanced understanding and proactive management of malaria.

Population tracing analysis and overwintering of Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel) in newly occurring areas in China

AbstractBactrocera dorsalis (Hendel), a very destructive insect pest of many fruits and vegetables, is widespread in the tropical and subtropical zones of Asia. However, the northward extension of B. dorsalis has been reported in China recently. It is crucial to determine the origin of new populations and to investigate the invasive potential of the species. Here, we investigated B. dorsalis in Nanyang, Henan Province and Heze, Shandong Province using a combined methodological approach. We first detected the hydrogen stable isotope ratios (δ2H) of B. dorsalis samples. The results showed that the δ2H values for B. dorsalis from Nanyang were consistent with those of the local rainwater. In contrast, the samples from Heze were inconsistent with those of the rainwater in Heze. We then sequenced the complete mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase I (mtDNA COI) from the same fruit fly samples for haplotype diversity and phylogenetic analyses. We found a close genetic relationship between the Heze population and Nanyang, Hefei, Sanya, Fuyang and Wuhan populations. Besides, we surveyed the fruit's origin in the wholesale market, and concluded that B. dorsalis trapped in Heze might have come from Hainan and Zhejiang in China. Finally, overwintering potential experiments showed that a small number of pupae could survive during the test periods in Nanyang, whereas no pupae could survive in Heze. Overall, this study reveals that the Nanyang population of B. dorsalis were resident, whereas the Heze population did not colonize and were repeated entries from other areas every spring.

Recent northward shift of tropical cyclone economic risk in China

The impact of tropical cyclones (TCs) has intensified with continued global warming and socio-economic development. Quantifying the TC economic exposure is a core element of economic risk assessment for TCs. The centroid of annual economic exposure to TCs in China shifted northward at a rate of 19.71 km per year from 2006 to 2020, where changes in the TC tracks contributed a northward shift of 11.22 km per year and changes in GDP distribution contributed a northward shift of 7.75 km per year. The northward shift of TC economic exposure centroid is more than twice as sensitive to the shift of GDP distribution as to that of TC tracks. The phenomenon of the northward shift in TC economic exposure is particularly evident in the subtropical zone in China. Further northward shift of TC exposure could potentially cause higher socio-economic losses in places underprepared for TC hazards. Our result provides references for TC disaster mitigation and preparedness in China.

Carbon carrying capacity in primary forests shows potential for mitigation achieving the European Green Deal 2030 target

Carbon accounting in the land sector requires a reference level from which to calculate past losses of carbon and potential for gains using a stock-based target. Carbon carrying capacity represented by the carbon stock in primary forests is an ecologically-based reference level that allows estimation of the mitigation potential derived from protecting and restoring forests to increase their carbon stocks. Here we measured and collated tree inventory data at primary forest sites including from research studies, literature and forest inventories (7982 sites, 288,262 trees, 27 countries) across boreal, temperate, and subtropical Global Ecological Zones within Europe. We calculated total biomass carbon stock per hectare (above- and below-ground, dead biomass) and found it was 1.6 times larger on average than modelled global maps for primary forests and 2.3 times for all forests. Large trees (diameter greater than 60 cm) accounted for 50% of biomass and are important carbon reservoirs. Carbon stock foregone by harvesting of 12–52% demonstrated the mitigation potential. Estimated carbon gain by protecting, restoring and ongoing growth of existing forests equated to 309 megatons carbon dioxide equivalents per year, additional to, and higher than, the current forest sink, and comparable to the Green Deal 2030 target for carbon dioxide removals.

Blue carbon and the role of mangroves in carbon sequestration: Its mechanisms, estimation, human impacts and conservation strategies for economic incentives

Mangroves, tidal marshes, and seagrasses have been recognized as blue carbon coastal ecosystems as they accommodate large carbon stocks, enable long-term carbon storage, have the capacity to control greenhouse gas emissions and possess the potential to reduce the rise in atmospheric CO2 levels. In the tropical and subtropical intertidal zones, mangroves show significant productivity and rapid deposition rates. Mangroves play an important role in capturing, transforming, and storing CO2 in the atmosphere into coastal sediments for a long time, displacing organic carbon from the coastal zone to the offshores and the ocean. Mangroves also help in preventing storms, hurricanes, coastal erosion, and tidal waves. Recently, mangroves have been threatened by natural and anthropogenic activities such as urbanization, pollution, aquaculture and tourism. They are expected to hamper their essential services, such as coastal defense, breeding grounds for aquatic organisms' seafood supply, etc. Despite the importance of mangrove forests in carbon sequestration and the numerous goods and services they offer humans, wood and non-wood forest products, food, fisheries, medicines, eco-tourism, and recreation. These mangrove ecosystems are deteriorating at alarming rates, necessitating immediate intervention. Thus, the protection, restoration and conservation of this ecosystem are gaining considerable attention from researchers across the globe. This paper provides information on different mangrove adaptations, their mechanisms, roles in the ecosystem, carbon estimation, influencing factors, threats, and conservation strategies for carbon sequestration in this invaluable coastal habitat.