The development process of a dipping gas reservoir with an aquifer considering stress sensitivity is complex. With gas development, formation pressure decreases, stress-sensitive effect decreases permeability and porosity, and formation water could flow into the development gas well and gather in the wellbore. The accumulation of water may lead to a lower gas rate. Simultaneously, the gravity action of fluid caused by formation dip angle affects gas well productivity. However, few studies have investigated a deliverability model for a water-producing gas well with a dipping gas reservoir considering stress sensitivity. For this reason, it is important to determine the relationships between gas well productivity and stress sensitivity, formation angle, and water production. In this research, a new mathematical model of deliverability was developed for a water-producing gas well with a dipping gas reservoir considering stress sensitivity. Additionally, a new equation was developed for gas well productivity. By analyzing a typical dipping gas reservoir with an aquifer, the level of influence on gas well productivity was determined for stress sensitivity, formation angle, and water–gas ratio (WGR). The work defined the relationships between gas well productivity and stress sensitivity, formation angle, and WGR. The results indicate that deliverability increases with an increase in formation angle, and growth rate hits its limit at an angle of 40 deg. Due to the influence of formation angle, fluid gravity leads to production pressure differences in gas wells. When bottom-hole flow pressure equaled formation pressure, gas well production was not 0 × 104 m3/d, the angle was large, and gas well production was greater. Deliverability and stress sensitivity hold a linear relationship: the stronger the stress sensitivity, the lower the deliverability of the gas well, with the stress sensitivity index from 0 to 0.06 MPa−1 and the deliverability decrease rate at 37.2%. Deliverability and WGR hold an exponential relationship: when WGR increased from 0.5 to 15.0 m3/104 m3, the deliverability decrease rate was 71.8%. The model and the equations can be used to predict gas deliverability in a dipping gas reservoir with an aquifer considering stress sensitivity. It can also be used to guide the development process for a dipping gas reservoir with an aquifer.
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