Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Objective to predict pathological left ventricular (LV) remodeling using global parameters of strain and twisting. Methods the study included 114 people with primary ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI): 14 women and 100 males aged 32 to 67 years (52.3 ± 8.4). STEMI has been confirmed by ECG data, cardiospecific biomarkers (troponin T, CPK-MB) and coronary angiography - the presence of one infarct-related coronary artery in the absence of hemodynamically significant stenosis of other arteries. Echocardiography has been performed using a MyLab ultrasound scanner (Italy) on the 7th-9th day, 3rd, 6th and 12th months after the disease onset with the evaluation of standard parameters. On the 7th-9th days the parameters of global longitudinal (GLS,%), circumferential (GCS,%) strain, and LV twisting (Twist, °) have been analyzed using the X-Strain ™ software. The criterion for pathological LV remodeling has been considered to be an increase in EDVi ≥ 20% compared with the initial value. Prediction of pathological remodeling has been performed using ROC analysis by 3 criteria. To assess the quality of the model, the area under the curve (AUR –Area under ROC) has been determined with the calculation of 95% confidence intervals and the statistical significance of the point estimate of the area. Results Within 48 weeks pathological remodeling was developed in 45 (39.5%) patients. Three months after the index event, LV remodeling was detected in 24 (53.3%) patients of these 45; after 6 months - in another 15 (33.3%); after 12 months - in another 6 (13.4%). GLS - 11.7% with 96% sensitivity and 80% specificity, AUR 0.750 (95% CI 0.659 - 0.841), GCS - 12.4% with test sensitivity and specificity - 90% and 82%, respectively ((AUR 0.641 ( 95% CI 0.534 - 0.749)), Twist - 7.8 ° with a sensitivity of 93% and a specificity of 78%, AUR 0.657 (95% CI 0.558 - 0.757) predict the development of pathological postinfarction LV remodeling on the 7th-9th day. For all models the value of p ≤ 0.001. Conclusion Previously, LV remodeling has developed within 3 months after STEMI in 45 (39.5%) patients. The longitudinal strain, measured in the acute period of STEMI, has the greatest predictive ability in relation to the development of pathological postinfarction LV remodeling.
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