This paper presents a new mathematical model to predict the steady-state external filter cake thickness distribution and velocity profile along the wellbore during overbalanced drilling. Several models have been suggested for the prediction of external cake thickness using the force balance method. Yet, a comprehensive literature survey reveals that electrostatic forces and the permeate force correction factor have been neglected, while both can significantly change the conditions of particle detachment from the cake surface. Torque balance of hydrodynamic (lifting, tangential and permeate drag), gravity and electrostatic (DLVO) forces along with Darcy’s law and material balance is used to investigate the conditions of particle attachment/detachment on the cake surface. The results show strong effects of mud chemistry, particle size, cake permeability, tangential flow velocity, overbalance pressure, and Young’s modulus on the external filter cake thickness and velocity profile. The mathematical model can be applied as a predictive tool for the estimation of filter cake thickness. It allows for the calculation of external filter cake distribution using the physiochemical properties of mud and particles.