Cancer Standardized Mortality Research Articles

Cancer mortality study of employees at lead battery plants and lead smelters, 1947-1995.

This study has examined cancer mortality of a cohort of male U.S. workers exposed to lead. The cohort consisted of 4,518 workers at lead battery plants and 2,300 at lead smelters. Vital status was ascertained between 1947 and 1995. Site-specific cancer standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), based on the mortality rates of the U.S. male population and adjusted for age and calendar time, were calculated for the total cohort as well as subcohorts stratified by various exposure parameters. In addition, a nested case-control study of stomach cancer (30 cases and 120 age-matched controls) was also conducted. Mortality from all cancers was as expected (897 observed deaths, SMR = 103.8, 95% CI: 97.1-110.8). Mortality was significantly raised for stomach cancer (SMR = 147.4, 95% CI: 112. 5-189.8), lung cancer (SMR = 116.4, 95% CI: 103.9-129.9), and cancer of the thyroid and other endocrine glands (SMR = 308.0, 95% CI: 133. 0-606.8). There was a nonsignificant mortality deficit from kidney cancer (SMR = 63.6, 95% CI: 33.9-108.7). For bladder cancer, mortality was significantly lower than expected (SMR = 55.5, 95% CI: 31.7-90.1). Nonsignificant mortality deficits were also reported for cancer of the central nervous system (SMR = 74.8, 95% CI: 41.9-123. 4) and lymphatic and hematopoietic cancer (SMR = 92.2, 95% CI: 72. 4-115.7). Additional analyses by type of facility (lead battery plants vs. lead smelters), length of employment, latency, and period of hire were also performed. In the nested case-control study of stomach cancer, odds ratios were calculated for various exposure indices, and none was found to be elevated. Furthermore, no exposure-response relationship between lead exposure and stomach cancer was found in the nested case-control study. A significant mortality increase from stomach cancer was found. However, based on the analyses in the cohort study and the nested case-control study, the increase did not appear to be related to lead exposure. A small, but statistically significant mortality increase from lung cancer was also observed. The small increase, in the absence of an exposure-response relationship, could be the result of confounding due to smoking, and was not likely causally related to lead exposure. Although the significant increase in cancer of the thyroid and other endocrine glands appeared to be consistent with an occupational interpretation, the small number of deaths (8), the lack of information on potential confounding factors, and the lack of reporting of a similar increase in other studies underscore the need to view this finding with caution. No increased mortality was found for kidney cancer, bladder cancer, cancer of the central nervous system, or lymphatic and hematopoietic cancer.

Cancer and cardiac mortality among 15-year survivors of cancer diagnosed during childhood or adolescence.

To evaluate the impact of cardiac disease and second malignant neoplasms on late mortality rate and to identify risk factors for late mortality among 15-year survivors of cancer diagnosed during childhood or adolescence. Gender-specific all-cause and cause-specific (cardiac disease, cancer) standardized mortality ratios were calculated. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the relationship of several demographic and treatment variables to survival. Patients who survived for 15 years after diagnosis had excess subsequent all-cause, cancer (second malignant neoplasms only), and cardiac mortality rates. No decrease in the late mortality rate by treatment era (1960 to 1970, 1971 to 1984) was identified. Risk factors for males included disease recurrence during the first 15 years after diagnosis, treatment with doxorubicin, and the diagnosis of Hodgkin's disease. Those for females included treatment with radiation therapy, treatment with an alkylating agent, and disease recurrence during the first 15 years after diagnosis. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that only an initial duration of remission of less than 15 years (P <.01) and treatment with doxorubicin (P =.08) were significantly associated with shorter survival time for males. No variable was significantly associated with shorter survival time for females in Cox regression analysis. Fifteen-year survivors of childhood cancer have excess mortality. More effective treatments must be developed to reduce this excess risk. Fifteen-year relapse-free survivors did not have excess mortality. This group will require continued observation to determine whether excess mortality will become apparent as more events occur.

Radiographic asbestosis is not a prerequisite for asbestos-associated lung cancer in Ontario asbestos-cement workers.

In recent years, controversy has developed about whether pre-existing asbestosis is a prerequisite for the diagnosis of asbestos-related lung cancer. This paper presents the results of a prospective study, in a cohort of Ontario asbestos-cement workers, of lung cancer in relation to radiographs obtained 20 and 25 years from first exposure to asbestos. Radiographs were interpreted by a single NIOSH-certified "B" reader, and asbestosis was defined to mean an ILO code of 1/0 or greater. There were 143 subjects (123 without asbestosis, 20 with asbestosis), with a radiograph available for interpretation at 20 years from first exposure or later. The lung cancer standardized mortality ratio (SMR) among men without asbestosis at 20 years latency was 5.53 (95% CI: 2.9-9.7). There were 128 subjects (114 without asbestosis, 14 with asbestosis) with a radiograph available for interpretation at 25 years from first exposure or later. The lung cancer SMR among men without asbestosis at 25 years latency was 5.81 (95% CI 2.7-11). The results of this study are consistent with those of epidemiologic studies of asbestos-exposed populations in a variety of exposure situations. These studies have demonstrated that lung cancer risk is elevated in the presence of radiographic asbestosis, but they have also shown that lung cancer risk may be elevated in the absence of radiographic asbestosis.

Historical Cohort Mortality Study of a Continuous Filament Fiberglass Manufacturing Plant

An historical cohort mortality study of a continuous filament fiberglass manufacturing plant was undertaken to determine whether an elevated lung cancer risk would be observed on a cohort basis. A nested case-control study of white male lung cancer deaths was incorporated into the study design. An interview survey to obtain information on sociodemographic factors, including smoking, and an historical environmental reconstruction to identify elements in the plant environment to which workers might be exposed were included in the study design. Respirable glass (Beta) fibers were produced only from 1963 to 1968. The lung cancer odds ratio (OR) among those workers exposed to respirable glass fibers is below unity, as are ORs for exposure to asbestos, refractory ceramic fibers, respirable silica (except for the lowest exposure level), total chrome and arsenic. There is a suggestion of an increase with exposure among smokers only for exposure to formaldehyde, although the OR for the highest level is based on only one case and is not likely to be meaningful. None of these plant exposures suggests an increase in lung cancer risk for this population. Although the lung cancer standardized mortality ratios are slightly elevated, results of the case-control investigation confirm that neither respirable glass fibers nor any of the substances investigated as part of the plant environment are associated with an increase in lung cancer risk for this population.

An updated mortality follow‐up study of Florida phosphate industry workers

We have added 14 years of mortality follow-up to a previously studied cohort of 18,446 white and 4,546 nonwhite male workers in the Florida phosphate industry. Follow-up was performed for the years 1949–1992. Based on comparisons with national rates, lung cancer standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were slightly elevated among white (SMR = 1.19; 354 observed) and nonwhite males (SMR = 1.13; 105 observed). However, no lung cancer excesses were found relative to local county rates (SMR = 0.98 for whites, SMR = 0.94 for nonwhites). Based on internal analyses of lung cancer mortality, using Poisson regression modeling, there were no associations of lung cancer with cumulative exposures to total dust, silica, or acid mists. There were weak trends or lung cancer risk with alpha and gamma radiation among white males, but no associations with radiation in nonwhites. No relation was found between acid mist exposures and laryngeal cancer. We conclude that there have not been large excesses of lung cancer or other diseases related to workplace exposures in this cohort. © 1996 Wiley-Liss, Inc.

Bladder cancer mortality associated with arsenic in drinking water in Argentina.

Inorganic arsenic (In-As) is known to be a human carcinogen, causing lung cancer by inhalation and skin cancer by ingestion. Ecologic studies in Taiwan have found a dose-response relation between ingestion of In-As from drinking water and bladder cancer, but questions have been raised concerning the validity and generalizability of the findings. Several areas of Argentina have had high exposures to arsenic from naturally contaminated drinking water, particularly the eastern region of the province of Córdoba. In this study, we investigated bladder cancer mortality for the years 1986-1991 in Córdoba's 26 counties, using rates for all of Argentina as the standard for comparison. Bladder cancer standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were consistently higher in counties with documented arsenic exposure. We grouped counties into low-, medium-, and high-exposure categories; the corresponding SMRs [with 95% confidence intervals (CI)] were 0.80 (95% CI = 0.66-0.96), 1.42 (95% CI = 1.14-1.74), and 2.14 (95% CI = 1.78-2.53) for men, and 1.21 (95% CI = 0.85-1.64), 1.58 (95% CI = 1.01-2.35), and 1.82 (95% CI = 1.19-2.64) for women. The clear trends found in a population with different genetic composition and a high-protein diet support the findings in Taiwan.

Cancer mortality in Sweden from 1931 to 1992

Trends in age-standardized cancer mortality for Swedish men and women, between 1931 and 1992, were studied using official cause of death statistics. Overall, age-standardized cancer mortality increased by about 16 percent among men and decreased by about six percent among women during the period studied. Among both men and women older than 70 years, age-standardized cancer mortality increased. In all other age groups decreases occurred. During the period studied, a number of changes have occurred that affect cause of death registration, for example, changes in classification routines and improved diagnosis. The exact magnitude of these effects on the observed trends is difficult to estimate, but it seems clear that a bias towards increasing age-standardized cancer mortality has been introduced. Furthermore, this bias may be substantial, thus obscuring the real trends in age- standardized cancer mortality.

Trihalomethanes in drinking water and cancer: risk assessment and integrated evaluation of available data, in animals and humans

In our study, we attempted to jointly consider THM concentration data collected from drinking waters and carcinogenic risk assessment derived from mathematical models commonly used in this field (multi-stage models for laboratory animal experimentation data, and ‘unit risk’ derived from the relative risk in the case of epidemiological data). In order to estimate the risks related to joint exposure to different THMs, in this study the risk additivity hypothesis is taken into account. Based on animal data for the various tumors, carcinogenic risk estimates for different THM combinations vary from 2.7 × 10 −7 to 4.6 × 10 −6 per μg/l in relation to different carcinogenic substances published in the literature or specifically calculated in this study. The carcinogenic risk parameters derived from experimental studies and from epidemiological data were substantially consistent. Our study uses also as an example some data on concentration levels of THMs for drinking water supplies in Sardinia. The area mean THM concentration values for each supply varied, for ground waters, from 8.1 to 13.6 μg/l and, for surface waters, from 52.8 to 168 μg/l. For the 1976–1989 period, bladder cancer standardized mortality rates in the water distribution system areas where the THMs were measured indicate values similar, but generally lower, than the national ones, except in the province of Cagliari where the values were not significantly different. The risk estimates derived from animal studies are of the same order of magnitude as the epidemiological data in literature.

Adjustment for the confounding effect of cigarette smoking in an historical cohort mortality study of workers in a fiberglass manufacturing facility.

In 1986 a statistically significant lung cancer SMR based on U.S. white male national mortality rates was reported for male fibrous glass workers for follow-up through 1982 of a cohort of U.S. man-made mineral fiber workers. The Newark, Ohio, plant of Owens-Corning, which comprised 38% of the fibrous glass workers in that cohort, also exhibited a statistically significant lung cancer standardized mortality ratio based on U.S. white male mortality rates. A case-control study of the Newark workers demonstrated that a history of cigarette smoking and not exposure to respirable glass is the most important factor in lung cancer risk for workers at the Newark plant. We provide an estimate of the extent of confounding by cigarette smoking for the Newark plant nationally based lung cancer standardized mortality ratio with data not previously available and which suggests that adjusting for the confounding effect of cigarette smoking could reduce the lung cancer standardized mortality ratio to a non-statistically significant level.

Mortality study of gold miners exposed to silica and nonasbestiform amphibole minerals: An update with 14 more years of follow‐up

We have updated a study of 3,328 gold miners who worked underground for at least 1 year between 1940-1965 in South Dakota, extending the follow-up from 1977 to 1990. The exposures of concern were silica and nonasbestiform amphibole minerals. The lung cancer standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was 1.13 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.94-1.36, 115 observed) when the U.S. population was used as the referent group, increasing to 1.25 (95% CI 1.03-1.51) when the county was used as the referent, and to 1.27 (1.02-1.55) for person-time with more than 30 years potential latency. However, lung cancer mortality did not show a positive exposure-response trend with estimated cumulative dust exposure. Data on smoking habits suggested that the miners smoked slightly more than the U.S. population in a 1960 cross-sectional survey. In contrast to lung cancer, other diseases known to be associated with silica exposure (tuberculosis and silicosis) were significantly increased (SMR = 3.44 and 2.61) and exhibited clear exposure-response trends. Nonmalignant renal disease, also associated with silica exposure, was elevated for those hired in early years and showed a significant positive exposure-response trend. Multiple-cause analysis revealed significant excesses of arthritis, musculoskeletal diseases (including systemic lupus and sclerosis), and skin conditions (including scleroderma and lupus), diseases of autoimmune origin which have been associated with silica exposure in other studies. Multiple cause analysis also showed a significant excess of diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs.

Health effects of gasoline exposure. II. Mortality patterns of distribution workers in the United States.

In this study, the cohort consisted of 18,135 distribution employees with potential exposure to gasoline for at least one year at land-based terminals (n = 9,026) or on marine vessels (n = 9,109) between 1946 and 1985. The primary objective of the study was to determine the relationship, if any, between exposure to gasoline and mortality from kidney cancer or leukemia. In addition, other causes of death of secondary interest included multiple myeloma and heart diseases. The mortality of the cohort was observed through June 30, 1989. The results of this study indicated that there was no increased mortality from either kidney cancer or leukemia among marketing and marine distribution employees who were exposed to gasoline in the petroleum industry when compared to the general population. Among the land-based terminal employees, the kidney cancer standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was 65.4 (12 deaths) and leukemia SMR was 89.1 (27 deaths). For the marine cohort, the SMRs were 83.7 for kidney cancer (12 deaths) and 70.0 for leukemia (16 deaths), respectively. More importantly, based on internal comparisons, there was no association between mortality from kidney cancer or leukemia and various indices of gasoline exposure. In particular, neither duration of employment, duration of exposure, age at first exposure, year of first of exposure, job category, cumulative exposure, frequency of peak exposures, nor average intensity of exposure had any effect on kidney cancer or leukemia mortality. For acute myeloid leukemia, a nonsignificant mortality increase was found in land-based terminal employees (SMR = 150.5, 13 deaths), but no trend was detected when the data were analyzed by various gasoline exposure indices. This nonsignificant excess was limited to land-based terminal employees hired before 1948. On the other hand, a deficit of mortality from acute myeloid leukemia was observed among marine employees (SMR = 74.2, 5 deaths). For the two cohorts combined, SMR for acute myeloid leukemia was 117.1 based on 18 deaths. We did not find any relationship in our study between gasoline exposure and mortality from multiple myeloma or heart diseases. In general, we did not find any significantly increased mortality, either overall or from specific causes, associated with gasoline exposure in this study of marketing and marine distribution employees.

Cancer mortality and residence near electricity transmission equipment: a retrospective cohort study.

Several studies in recent years have raised the possibility that exposure to extreme low frequency (ELF) electromagnetic fields may be hazardous to human health, in particular by the promotion or initiation of leukaemia and other cancers. To determine if this exposure creates a long-term hazard to the public, the mortality of a group of people identified as having lived in an urban quarter of Maastricht in which two 150 kiloVolt (kV) powerlines and one transformer substation are located was investigated. Using the Dutch population registry it was possible to identify retrospectively 3549 inhabitants of the quarter who lived there for at least 5 years between 1956 and 1981. Of these 1552 study subjects lived within 100 m of the electricity transmission equipment and were exposed to magnetic field intensity of 1.0-11.0 milliGauss. The overall standardized mortality ratio and cancer mortality ratios were either not or only slightly elevated. The study does not support previously reported associations of exposure to ELF electromagnetic fields with leukaemia, brain cancer and breast cancer.

Lung Cancer Incidence Among Patients With Beryllium Disease: A Cohort Mortality Study

We have conducted a cohort mortality study on 689 patients with beryllium disease who were included in a case registry. An earlier mortality study on 421 of these patients was limited to males and resulted in a determination of a nonsignificant twofold lung cancer excess based on only seven lung cancer deaths. We have extended this earlier study by including females and by adding 13 years of follow-up. Comparison of the 689 beryllium disease patients with the U.S. population resulted in a lung cancer standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 2.00 (95% confidence interval = 1.33-2.89) based on 28 observed lung cancer deaths. Adjustment for smoking did not change these results. All causes of mortality were also significantly elevated (SMR = 2.19), largely because of the very high rate of deaths due to pneumoconioses (primarily beryllium disease) (SMR = 34.23; 158 deaths). No other causes of death were significantly elevated. The excess of lung cancer was consistent for both sexes and did not appear to increase with duration of exposure to beryllium or with time elapsed since first exposure to this element. The case registry included those with acute beryllium disease, which resembles a chemical pneumonitis, and those with chronic beryllium disease, which resembles other pneumoconioses. The lung cancer excess was more pronounced among those with acute disease (SMR = 2.32) than among those with chronic disease (SMR = 1.57).

Public Health Effects of Occupational and Environmental Radiation Exposure

To the Editor. —We have completed a detailed examination of the National Cancer Institute (NCI) cancer mortality data summarized by Jablon et al 1 for each of the 50 civilian power reactors before and after start-up as shown in the Table for the Millstone reactor site in New London, Conn. In two thirds of these reactor sites we found significant increases in the aggregated standardized cancer mortality ratios, as in the case of Millstone, and no significant change in the other sites. This is in direct conflict with their conclusion that if nuclear facilities posed a risk to neighboring populations, that risk was too small to be detected.... Most of the 50 civilian power reactors began operations in the 1970s and their pre-start-up periods should not include the 1950s. According to recent estimates of the Natural Resources Defense Council, fission products equivalent to 40 000 Hiroshima bombs were released into

Cancer mortality among danish molders

This study was set up to investigate potential chronic health effects associated with molding in the foundry industry. For this purpose, a cohort of 632 male molders was followed through 10 years with regard to cause-specific mortality. Comparisons were made with another cohort of skilled workers. The mortality from cancer was increased among the molders (standardized mortality ratio 152, 95% confidence interval 100-221), mainly because of an excess number of deaths from bladder cancer (standardized mortality ratio 896, 95% confidence interval 329-1,949). It is suggested that certain mold types may emit bladder carcinogens. In addition, phenols, cresols, and aldehydes in the foundry work atmosphere might act as tumor promoters.

Descriptive epidemiology of intestinal cancer in Italy.

Trends in the death rates from cancers of the intestine (including colon and rectum) in Italy from 1956 to 1981 were analyzed with a standard cross-sectional approach and a log-linear age/period/cohort model. In both sexes there were steady increases in mortality rates between the middle 1950s and the middle 1970s, chiefly explainable in terms of cohort effects. This was followed by a leveling off and stabilization, starting from the younger age groups and more evident in women. The analyses of the geographic distribution of intestinal cancer mortality in the 95 Italian provinces during 1975 to 1977 showed higher rates in the north of the country and in large urban concentrations, and a bimodal distribution of mortality rates, whose minimum corresponded to a distinct north/south separation. Trend surface models fitted to intestinal cancer standardized mortality ratios showed a high determination coefficient even for the simplest models. Residuals, corresponding to outliers, were scattered in a few northern and central areas. In addition, mortality rates for cancers of the intestine in middle age people were considered according to geographic area of birth and residence at death. In both sexes rates of migrant populations were influenced both by area of birth and residence, and, in particular, there was a wide-spread unfavorable effect of residence on migrants from the South to the North (the major migrant flux in Italy). The temporal and geographic variations in intestinal cancer rates observed in this study indicate that Italy may well be a particularly interesting situation for etiologic investigations of colorectal cancers.

Diet and cancer mortality in the counties of Sweden.

The association between standardized cancer mortality rate ratios from 1969-1978 and dietary practices was examined in an ecologic study of the 24 counties of Sweden by means of several independent data sources. The study supports the hypothesis that a high intake of cereal fiber protects against colorectal cancer (r = -0.75 for males and r = -0.67 for females). This study found no association between fat intake and colorectal cancer. However, a negative correlation between milk consumption and this type of cancer was found. A suggested hypothesis is that calcium protects against colorectal cancer, since milk is the major source for calcium intake in Sweden. This could indicate that, for societies with a high fat intake, preventive measures which increase the intake of fiber and milk or calcium might have a greater impact on mortality from cancer of the colon and rectum than would a moderate decrease in the intake of fat. There are no indications in this study that fat intake promotes breast cancer.

Asbestos exposure and gastrointestinal malignancy review and meta-analysis.

The epidemiologic literature linking asbestos exposure with gastrointestinal malignancy is reviewed. Problems in comparing studies are discussed, appropriate strategies for comparison are developed, and study results are pooled using a model which accounts for both intrastudy and interstudy variability. Stratification of cohorts by dose reveals that significant asbestos exposure, as indicated by a lung cancer standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of at least 200, is associated with an elevated gastrointestinal cancer of SMR for five of six points examined [corrected].

Mortality from lung cancer and respiratory disease among pottery workers exposed to silica and talc.

A cohort mortality study of white men employed for at least one year between 1939 and 1966 at three plants of a single United States company was conducted to evaluate the risk of lung cancer and nonmalignant respiratory disease among workers exposed to silica dust and nonfibrous (nonasbestiform) talc in the manufacture of ceramic plumbing fixtures. Follow-up of 2,055 men through January 1, 1981, indicated a substantial excess of nonmalignant respiratory disease among those with high levels of exposure to silica dust (standardized mortality ratio = 2.26). The risk of nonmalignant respiratory disease rose with the number of years exposed, was not further enhanced by talc exposure, and appeared to be appreciably lower among those exposed in more recent time periods. For lung cancer, men exposed to high levels of silica dust with no talc exposure had a nonsignificant standardized mortality ratio of 1.37. However, those exposed to nonfibrous talc in addition to high levels of silica had a significant 2.5-fold excess risk of lung cancer. Among this group, the lung cancer standardized mortality ratio rose with increasing years of talc exposure to 3.64 among those exposed for 15 or more years. Although the role of silica as a cofactor cannot be ruled out, these data suggest that nonfibrous talc exposure is associated with excess lung cancer risk.

Relationship of soybean paste soup intake to gastric cancer risk.

Daily intake of soybean paste soup was found to significantly reduce standardized mortality rates for gastric cancer in an ongoing large-scale prospective study of 122,261 males and 142,857 females aged 40 and above in 29 Japanese health center districts, 1966-1978. The gastric cancer standardized mortality rates were 171.9, 210.2, 240.0, and 255.9 per 100,000 males, and 77.8, 85.3, 97.5, and 113.6 per 100,000 females in daily, occasional, rare, and noningesters, respectively. These relationships remained significant when observed by age group, district, socioeconomic status, dietary pattern, and smoking habit. The risk-reducing effect has also been observed in case-control studies in the past, for both males and females and in urban and rural areas. This beneficial effect could arise from selected compounds such as protease inhibitors and/or other nutritious substances included in the soybean, but it is also possible that it merely reflects the effect of some frequent accompaniment to soybean paste soup, such as green-yellow vegetables.