Spread Of African Swine Fever Research Articles

An integrated fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making model for determining the interdependencies among the african swine fever spread factors

African swine fever (ASF) is a disease outbreak that has substantially impacted agriculture, public health, and food security. This study tackles the lack of knowledge regarding the interactions between multiple factors causing the spread of ASF. We also present a potential for cross-fertilization between applying soft computing to nonmeasurable factors of different natures through investigating the relationships and significance of ASF spread factors in the Philippine setting using Multi-criteria Decision Making (MCDM) methodologies and fuzzy logic. We develop a list of ASF spread factors through a literature review. Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)-VIseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) is used for the dimensionality reduction of factors. These elements are then classified as either net causes or net effects using the Fuzzy Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL), which also shows their interdependencies. The results show how socioeconomic characteristics, particularly those connected to biosecurity lapses, significantly influence other parameters through a causal graph. This knowledge can be used to develop effective ASF preventive and management methods as it provides a systematic and unbiased decision-making framework for policymakers, breeders, and manufacturers.

African Swine Fever Diagnosis in Africa: Challenges and Opportunities.

The global spread of African swine fever (ASF) in recent decades has led to the need for technological advances in sampling and diagnostic techniques. The impetus for these has been the need to enable sampling by lay persons and to obtain at least a preliminary diagnosis in the field for early control measures to be put in place before final laboratory confirmation. In rural Africa, rapid diagnosis is hampered by challenges that include lack of infrastructure as well as human and financial resources. Lack of animal health personnel, access to affordable means to transport field samples to a laboratory, and lack of laboratories with the capacity to make the diagnosis result in severe under-reporting of ASF, especially in endemic areas. This review summarizes the challenges identified in gap analyses relevant to low- and middle-income countries, with a focus on Africa, and explore the opportunities provided by recent research to improve field diagnosis and quality of diagnostic samples used. Sampling techniques include invasive sampling techniques requiring trained personnel and non-invasive sampling requiring minimal training, sampling of decomposed carcass material, and preservation of samples in situations where cold chain maintenance cannot be guaranteed. Availability and efficacy of point-of-care (POC) tests for ASF has improved considerably in recent years and their application, as well as advantages and limitations, are discussed. The adequacy of existing laboratory diagnostic capacity is evaluated and opportunities for networking amongst reference and other laboratories offering diagnostic services are discussed. Maintaining laboratory diagnostic efficiency in the absence of samples during periods of quiescence is another issue that requires attention, and the role of improved laboratory networking is emphasized. Early diagnosis of ASF is key to managing the disease spread. Therefore, the establishment of the Africa Chapter of the Global African Swine Fever Research Alliance (GARA) increases opportunities for collaboration and networking among the veterinary diagnostic laboratories in the region.

Risk factors for African swine fever spread in wild boar in the Russian Federation

The analysis and assessment of risk factors associated with the occurrence, spread and persistence of African swine fever (ASF) virus in wild boar population are an important tool in determining the strategic measures aimed at eradicating epizootics and mitigating their consequences. A thorough examination of foreign and domestic literature revealed that wild boar population management factors, socio-economic and environmental ones, that mainly account for the density and number of animals were the most significant and associated with the risk of ASF outbreak occurrence in wild animals. In order to identify risk factors for the spread of the disease in wild boar in the Russian Federation Subjects, a regression model was built to examine the relationship between the annual number of ASF outbreaks in wild boar at the municipal raion level, wild boar population density and some other factors for the period between 2007 and 2022. Based on the Subject-level regression modelling results, a positive association between the intensity of the disease outbreaks and wild boar population density was identified in 42.5% of the model regions of the Russian Federation. Other significant factors were the length of roads, the presence of forest cover and outbreaks in domestic pigs. However, on the whole, for all the infected Subjects, the regression model demonstrated the failure of the wild boar population density factor to explain the observed ASF outbreak distribution, and this may be indicative of the existence of other epizootic drivers of the disease spread in the wild. One of such mechanisms may be the persistence of infectious potential in the external environment and in the formed stationary local foci of African swine fever, despite the anti-epizootic measures taken, including the measures aimed at regulating the number of susceptible population – depopulation.

Seroprevalence of African swine fever in pigs for slaughter in Leyte, Philippines.

This study aims to determine the seroprevalence of African swine fever (ASF) in pigs for slaughter in Leyte, Philippines. It underpins the concept that recovered and infected pigs from ASF are likely sent for slaughter to avoid perceived economic losses. A cross-sectional study was conducted from March to June 2023 in eight abattoirs, each representing both a city and a municipality in Leyte province. A total of 218 blood samples from 78 farms were examined for ASF virus (ASFV) (VP72) antibodies using a blocking enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method. Descriptive and seroprevalence analyses were performed. ASF antibodies were detected in pigs for slaughter from abattoirs in Baybay and Ormoc cities, showing a seroprevalence of 3.57% (1/28 pigs) and 2.27% (1/44 pigs), respectively. An apparent absence of ASF antibodies was observed among pigs for slaughter in Isabel, Villaba, Abuyog, Kananga, Dulag, and Macarthur. The farm-level seroprevalence was 2.56% (95% CI: 0.71%-8.88%), while the pig-level seroprevalence was 0.91% (95% CI: 0.25%-3.27%). Detecting ASF antibodies among pigs for slaughter implies exposure to the virus from the farm of origin. This means that, on some farms, ASF remains unreported or undiagnosed. Active surveillance is needed for early case detection and rapid response to control the spread of ASF in the country.

Identification of High-Priority Wild Boar (Sus scrofa) Control Areas by Predicting Potential Habitat and Crop Damage

Background and objective: The wild boar (Sus scrofa) is a highly mobile, fertile, clever, stealthy, and adaptable animal. It is distributed around the world and inhabits a fairly wide range of habitats, which results in frequent friction and conflict with humans. Disturbances caused by wild boars, such as crop damage on agricultural land and the spread of African swine fever, has recently been increasing in Korea, making it necessary to confirm the habitat range of wild boars and to predict the possibility of future crop damage.Methods: The locations of Gapyeong-gun, Namyangju-si, Yangpyeong-gun, and Gwangju-si in Gyeonggi-do, where crop damage caused by wild boars is confirmed to be serious, were selected as the study area. Data from 2nd to 4th National Natural Environment Surveys (covering three periods of respectively 8, 8, and 5 years) were used to analyze the continuity of potential boar habitat, and data from point samples of crop damage were used to identify areas with a high probability of future crop damage. The MaxEnt model was used to analyze potential habitats and crop-damage areas based on 15 environmental variables selected through literature research.Results: The average area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of the resulting potential habitat models for the three survey periods was 0.644, and the AUC of the crop damage prediction model was relatively high at 0.850. The resulting key crop-damage priority management areas were Seorak-myeon, Gapyeong-gun; Sudong-myeon, Namyangju-si; Joan-myeon, Namyangju-si; Sang-myeon and Gapyeong-gun; Gapyeong-eup, Gapyeong-gun.Conclusion: This study illustrates changes in the spatial distribution of wild boars in Korea based on time-series survey records from 1997 to 2018. These findings are expected to be useful as reliable reference data for setting priorities when establishing future measures to prevent crop damage, such as managing the number of wild boars in Gyeonggi-do.

Generation of High-Quality African Swine Fever Virus Complete Genome from Field Samples by Next-Generation Sequencing.

African swine fever (ASF) is a lethal contagious viral disease of domestic pigs and wild boars caused by the African swine fever virus (ASFV). The pandemic spread of ASF has caused severe effects on the global pig industry. Whole-genome sequencing provides crucial information for virus strain characterization, epidemiology analysis and vaccine development. Here, we evaluated the performance of next-generation sequencing (NGS) in generating ASFV genome sequences from clinical samples. Thirty-four ASFV-positive field samples including spleen, lymph node, lung, liver and blood with a range of Ct values from 14.73 to 25.95 were sequenced. For different tissue samples collected from the same sick pigs, the proportion of ASFV reads obtained from the spleen samples was 3.69-9.86 times higher than other tissues. For the high-viral-load spleen samples (Ct < 20), a minimum of a 99.8% breadth of ≥10× coverage was revealed for all the samples. For the spleen samples with Ct ≥ 20, 6/12 samples had a minimum of a 99.8% breadth of ≥10× coverage. A high average depth of sequencing coverage was also achieved from the blood samples. According to our results, high-quality ASFV whole-genome sequences could be obtained from the spleen or blood samples with Ct < 20. The high-quality ASFV genome sequence generated in this study was further used for the high-resolution phylogenetic analysis of the ASFV genomes in the early stage of the ASF epidemic in China. Our study demonstrates that NGS may act as a useful tool for efficient ASFV genome characterization, providing valuable information for disease control.

African Swine Fever and Its Control Measures in Wild Boar: A "De Iure Condito" Analysis in the European Union.

Recently, the African swine fever (ASF) epizootic has been reported in domestic pigs and wild boars in several European Union Member States (EU MS) and epidemiological evidence has accumulated which indicates that wild boar play a key role in maintaining and spreading the disease. Thanks to the experience gained when managing ASF outbreaks in Sardinia (Italy) and Eastern Europe, Directive 2002/60 CE was issued. This directive represented an important step forward in controlling the disease, particularly the risk of spreading the virus to wild animals. Since 2021, according to Regulation (EU) 2016/429, which is also called "Animal Health Law-AHL", when the MS competent authority suspects or confirms ASF (a cat. A listed disease) in wild animals, it is mandatory to conduct surveillance in the wild boar population and implement the necessary control measures. Within AHL, Regulations (EU) 2020/687 and 2023/594 established special ASF control measures in kept and wild porcine animals, and their products and by-products, focusing on and underlying old and new responsibilities that vets (both public and private ones) have to accomplish under the new regulations. The new change in the legal framework deals with specific measures to be applied in the wild and represents a great challenge for MS veterinary services. Some of these measures have been well established in the last two decades, particularly those related to application in the farming system, while other measures are still new to veterinary health management and require a holistic approach in terms of intensity, considering all geographical, ecological, productive, cultural and social features of the involved EU MS. In this contribution, the authors intend to focus on specific measures which have been issued in order to limit or stop the spread of ASF in a wild, "boundless" ecosystem. These measures expand the field of competence of the official veterinary service to wild areas in addition to farm activity.

Epidemiological Assessment of African Swine Fever Spread in the Dominican Republic.

Since African Swine Fever (ASF) was detected in the Dominican Republic in July 2021, it has negatively impacted the country's swine industry. Assessing the epidemiological situation is crucial to helping local authorities and industry stakeholders control the disease. Here, data on 155 reported outbreaks in the Dominican Republic from November 2022 to June 2023 were evaluated. Descriptive spatiotemporal analysis was performed to characterize disease distribution and spread, and between-herd R0 was calculated for the study period. The Knox test and a space-time permutation model were used to evaluate clustering. Data on clinical presentation, biosecurity measures, and suspected reasons for introduction were categorized and summarized. The majority (78%) of outbreaks occurred on backyard farms which generally had low biosecurity. Across farm types, the majority of pigs were still alive at the time of depopulation. Spatiotemporal findings and R0 estimates suggest an endemic pattern of disease geographically located centrally within the country. Clustering was detected even at small temporal and spatial distances due to outbreaks amongst neighboring backyard farms. These results provide critical information on the current state of the ASF epidemic in the Dominican Republic and will aid government officials and swine industry leaders in developing effective ASF control strategies.

Nine Years of African Swine Fever in Poland.

(1) Background: African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious and fatal haemorrhagic disease in domestic pigs and wild boars, causing significant economic loss to the swine industry in the European Union. The genotype II of African swine fever has spread in many European countries since the virus was detected in 2007 in Georgia. In Poland, the genotype II of the ASF virus was confirmed on 17 February 2014 in the eastern part of the country and appeared to have been transmitted to Poland from Belarus. Poland has been particularly affected by ASF epidemics in the last decade, resulting in a significant decline in the Polish pig population. Wild boars are the main reservoir of the African swine fever virus (ASFV), but human activities such as transportation and illegal animal trade are the primary reasons for the long-distance transmission of the disease. (2) Conclusions: During the nine years of ASF in Poland, multiple measures have been taken to prevent the spread of the virus among the wild boar population via the passive and active surveillance of these animals. With regard to pig farms, the only effective measure for preventing the spread of ASF is the efficient enforcement by state authorities of the biosecurity standards and the farmers' compliance with them.

The emergence and spread of African Swine Fever in Western Europe

African swine fever (ASF) is the most dangerous viral disease of domestic pigs and wild boars, causing huge economic damage. It is characterized by acute, subacute, chronic course with high (up to 100%) mortality. The causative agent of ASF has been isolated into a separate family Asfarviridae, the genus Asfivirus. The disease is widespread in Africa, Europe, Asia. The purpose of the review article is to analyze the literature data on the occurrence and spread of epizootic foci of African swine fever in Western Europe. The materials of the article are based on the results of numerous epizootological and diagnostic studies by scientists from Spain, Portugal, Belgium, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Malta, Germany, Sweden.Due to the complex seroimmune structure of the pathogen and the impossibility of forming viral neutralizing antibodies, there are difficulties in creating effective vaccines against ASF. The main tools for preventing the spread of the disease are due to the use of strict quarantine measures. Early diagnosis is an important component of ASF control and eradication.Preventive and liquidation measures for ASF in Western European countries are considered. The recommendations of the OIE/WOAH-OIE on the diagnosis of ASF using a combination of tests are given: determination of the viral genome by PCR in national reference laboratories; detection of viral antigens and antibodies by ELISA or fluorescent test; detection of the pathogen by virus isolation. The explanation of the observed interspecific interaction during the watering of wild boars and free-range domestic pigs is given, which explains the endemicity of ASF on the island of Sardinia in Italy for more than forty years.Given the virulence of the ASF virus and the many ways of transmission throughout Europe, diagnostic and epizootological monitoring of this disease should be a priority in the fight against ASF.

Spatiotemporal Patterns of African Swine Fever in Wild Boar in the Russian Federation (2007-2022): Using Clustering Tools for Revealing High-Risk Areas.

African swine fever (ASF) is an infectious disease that affects both domestic pigs (DPs) and wild boar (WB). The WB population plays an important role in the spread of ASF as the WB acts as a natural reservoir of the virus and transmits it to other susceptible wild and domestic pigs. Our study was aimed at revealing the areas with a high concentration of the WB population, and their potential relationships with the grouping of ASF cases in WB during the course of the ASF spread in the Russian Federation (2007-2022). We collected the annual data on WB numbers by municipalities within the regions of the most intensive ASF spread. We then conducted spatiotemporal analysis to identify clustering areas of ASF cases and compare them with the territories with a high density of WB population. We found that some of the territories with elevated ASF incidence in WB demonstrated spatial and temporal coincidence with the areas with a high WB population density. We also visualized the zones ("emerging hot spots") with a statistically significant rise in the WB population density in recent years, which may be treated as areas of paramount importance for the application of surveillance measures and WB population control.

Understanding the interface between European wild boar (Sus scrofa) and domestic pigs (Sus scrofa domesticus) in Sweden through a questionnaire study

BackgroundIn recent years, the wildlife/livestock interface has attracted increased attention due to disease transmission between wild and domestic animal populations. The ongoing spread of African swine fever (ASF) in European wild boar (Sus scrofa) emphasize the need for further understanding of the wildlife/livestock interface to prevent disease spill-over between the wild and domestic populations. Although wild boar may also act as a potential source for other infectious disease agents, ASF is currently the most severe threat from wild boar to domestic pigs. To gather information on the wild boar situation at commercial pig producing farms in Sweden, a digital questionnaire survey was distributed through the animal health services.ResultsMost pigs produced for commercial purposes in Sweden are raised without outdoor access. Of the 211 responding pig producers, 80% saw wild boar or signs of wild boar activity in the vicinity of their farm at least once during the year. Observations were significantly correlated with geographical region, but there was no correlation between farm characteristics (farm size, main type of production, outdoor access) and observed wild boar presence or proximity. However, a reported higher frequency of wild boar observations was positively correlated with the observations being made in closer proximity to the farm.Hunting and strategic baiting were the most common mitigation strategies used to keep wild boar at bay. Of the 14 farms raising pigs with outdoor access, 12 responded that these pigs could be raised solely indoors if needed.Pigs with outdoor access are required to be fenced in, but double fencing in these outdoor pig enclosures was not practiced by all. A perimeter fence surrounding any type of pig farm was very rare. More than half of the producers that grew crops with intended use for pigs reported crop damage by wild boar.ConclusionThis study shows that although pigs raised for commercial purposes in Sweden are, to a large extent, kept indoors the potential for indirect contact with wild boar exists and must be considered. Variable local situations regarding wild boar abundance may require an adaptive approach regarding biosecurity efforts.

Investigation of Risk Factors Associated with the African Swine Fever Outbreaks in the Nizhny Novgorod Region of Russia, 2011–2022

African swine fever (ASF) is a transboundary viral disease that affects both domestic pigs and wild boar, causing enormous damage to the pig production. Numerous studies are devoted to elucidating the role of domestic and wild pigs in ASF outbreaks. The identification of the risk factors contributing to the spread of disease in previously unaffected regions is of special interest. We conducted a retrospective analysis of sporadic ASF outbreaks in the Nizhny Novgorod region of the Russian Federation from 2011 to 2022 among both domestic pig and wild boar populations. Methods of spatiotemporal cluster analysis, mathematical modeling with logistic and negative binomial regressions, as well as the cross-correlation analysis of time series, were used to identify the most significant factors associated with the ASF outbreaks’ presence and intensity. Regression analysis did not reveal a statistically significant correlation between ASF outbreaks in wild boar and their population density over the entire study period. However, the spatial and temporal coincidence between outbreaks and increased wild boar density was observed at the beginning of the ASF epidemic in the region. We identified the significant environmental and sociodemographic factors contributing to the spread of ASF in both domestic pig and wild boar populations. The number of small-scale farms (backyards) and summary road length were determined as the main factors contributing to the spread of ASF among domestic pigs in the Nizhny Novgorod region. The regression model for ASF outbreaks in the wild boar population revealed the presence of water bodies, number of hunting farms, and the occurrence of ASF outbreaks in the domestic pig population to be the main explanatory factors. A statistically significant coincidence was identified between the monthly volume of pork products imported to the region from the rest of Russia and the occurrence of ASF outbreaks in both domestic and wild populations. Thus, the identified spatiotemporal patterns may be useful to determine areas with an elevated risk of ASF outbreaks emergence for better resource management, disease control, and prevention. The importance of intensified monitoring and control measures in the pig products supply chain is strongly needed. The obtained models can be applied not only by the veterinary service of the Nizhny Novgorod region but to other regions with similar environmental and sociodemographic conditions.

The diffusion metrics of African swine fever in wild boar

To control African swine fever (ASF) efficiently, easily interpretable metrics of the outbreak dynamics are needed to plan and adapt the required measures. We found that the spread pattern of African Swine Fever cases in wild boar follows the mechanics of a diffusion process, at least in the early phase, for the cases that occurred in Germany. Following incursion into a previously unaffected area, infection disseminates locally within a naive and abundant wild boar population. Using real case data for Germany, we derive statistics about the time differences and distances between consecutive case reports. With the use of these statistics, we generate an ensemble of random walkers (continuous time random walks, CTRW) that resemble the properties of the observed outbreak pattern as one possible realization of all possible disease dissemination patterns. The trained random walker ensemble yields the diffusion constant, the affected area, and the outbreak velocity of early ASF spread in wild boar. These methods are easy to interpret, robust, and may be adapted for different regions. Therefore, diffusion metrics can be useful descriptors of early disease dynamics and help facilitate efficient control of African Swine Fever.

Identification of seropositive wild boars in Eurasia as a sign of possible formation of African swine fever-endemic areas (review)

   The continued spread of African swine fever (ASF) in Eurasia remains a global problem for the world pig industry. The disease is characterized by high mortality (up to 100 %) and acute course - domestic and wild animals die within the first two weeks after infection. However, active surveillance on ASF in Eastern Europe had been showing regular detection of seropositive susceptible animals, especially among wild boar populations which may indicate chronic, asymptomatic infection and even the survival of individual animals. At the same time, the persistence of the virus in the wild boar population creates constant risks of sporadic outbreaks of ASF in infected areas, and the infection can become endemic.   The aim of the study was a systematic review of the available data on seroprevalence among wild boars in relation to the possible establishment of ASF endemicity in Eurasia.   In these animals, there was a change in the dynamics of the disease, which is manifested by self-sustaining cycles of infection. Seropositive wild boars are being found in the Baltic countries, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Russia. Seroprevalence rates among wild boars hunted in ASF-infected areas of European countries range from 0.3 to 3.8 %. In the Baltic countries, the number of seropositive samples from wild boars exceeds the number of samples positive for ASF virus in polymer chain reaction (PCR). A similar trend persists in those regions where the ASF virus has been present for a long time (Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia), which may indicate the endemic nature of ASF. In the Russian Federation, ASF-endemic territories in the wild have not yet been registered, although isolated cases of seropositive wild boars have been detected in some regions since 2013. In the future, in order to understand the dynamics of the disease in the wild, it is necessary to conduct a comprehensive diagnosis of the ASF virus genome and antibodies in wild boar samples, which eventually will allow choosing the right strategy to combat ASF.

Factors Affecting the Spread, Diagnosis, and Control of African Swine Fever in the Philippines.

African Swine Fever (ASF) is a highly contagious disease that threatens the swine industry globally. Since its introduction into the Philippines in 2019, ASF has spread extensively in both commercial and backyard farms. Here, using a mix of qualitative and quantitative methods, including conjoint and SWOT analyses, world café discussions, and multivariable regression models, the most important factors that influence the spread, diagnosis, and control of ASF in the Philippines were identified. Research findings suggest that swill or contaminated feed, inadequate biosecurity protocols, and movement of personnel were the top risk factors favoring ASF spread among farms in general. For commercial farms, contaminated vehicles and personnel were also important, whereas for backyard farms, the introduction of new pigs, environmental contamination, and poor feeding quality were relevant risk factors. Notable clinical signs of ASF in pigs include reduced feed intake, huddled behavior, and reluctance to stand. This study highlights the need for timely reporting, trust-building initiatives, and enhanced biosecurity measures to effectively manage ASF outbreaks in the country. Results here contribute to the knowledge of factors affecting ASF spread in the Philippines and can help design prevention and control measures in ASF-infected countries while enhancing preparedness in countries free from the disease.

Functional characterization of African swine fever virus I329L gene by transcriptome analysis

African swine fever (ASF) is an acute, severe, and highly contagious disease caused by the African swine fever virus (ASFV), which infects domestic pigs and wild boars. The incidence and mortality rates of swine infected with virulent strains of ASFV can reach up to 100%. The large genome, its complex structure, multiple genotypes, and a lack of understanding regarding ASFV gene function are serious obstacles to the development of safe and effective vaccines. Here, ASFV I329L was identified as a relatively conserved gene that is expressed during the late stage of infection. A recombinant virus with I329L gene deletion (ASFV CN/GS/2018-ΔI329L) was produced by replacing I329L with an enhanced green fluorescent protein (EGFP) cassette. In order to explore the function of the ASFV I329L gene, transcriptome sequencing (RNA-seq) was performed on porcine alveolar macrophages (PAMs) infected with ASFV CN/GS/2018 and ASFV CN/GS/2018-ΔI329L. GO functional and KEGG pathway analyses were performed to analyze differentially expressed genes, and different alternative splicing (AS) events were also analyzed. We compared the sequencing data for each sample with the ASFV CN/GS/2018 reference sequence. Interestingly, we found 3 and 1 up-regulated genes and 12 and 19 down-regulated genes at 12 and 24 h post-infection, respectively. In addition, we verified the expression of 5 up-regulated and 5 down-regulated genes by RT-qPCR, and the results were consistent with those obtained based on RNA-seq. In summary, the results obtained in this study provide new insights for further elucidation of ASFV proteins and ASFV-host interactions. These findings will contribute to implementing a comprehensive strategy for controlling the spread of ASF.

Exploring pig farmers' decision-making concerning biosecurity measures against African Swine Fever.

African Swine Fever (ASF) is a growing threat to the German pig production sector. Rigorous biosecurity measures can prevent the introduction of ASF in domestic pig farms. Increased efforts have been made to inform pig farmers and other stakeholders in the industry regarding disease prevention measures for ASF. As part of quality management in animal disease prevention, we investigated the extent to which these efforts were successful and how knowledge transfer needs to be improved. Applying a qualitative study design with open, structured face-to-face interviews, this study aimed at assessing pig farmers' decision-making processes concerning the implementation of biosecurity measures against ASF and deducing the best-fitted pathways to improve the dissemination of information among pig farmers. We developed a modified theoretical model using the Health Belief Model, Protection Motivation Theory, and Theory of Planned Behaviour as the basis for our interview questionnaire and analysis. We showed that despite the steady spread of ASF into and within Germany, most pig farmers did not perceive an increased threat to their farms. However, many pig farmers communicated their uncertainty on how to correctly implement biosecurity measures according to the law. This study identified the importance of veterinary officials and farm veterinarians as referents on the topic of biosecurity and the need for clear standards concerning biosecurity regulations. Further, it suggests the need for closer cooperation between pig farmers and these referents, and a focus on joint decision-making, taking into account the individual circumstances of the farmers.

Epidemiological Characterization of African Swine Fever Dynamics in Ukraine, 2012-2023.

African swine fever (ASF) is a viral disease, endemic to Africa, that causes high mortality when introduced into domestic pig populations. Since the emergence of p72-genotype II African swine fever virus (ASFV) in Georgia in 2007, an ASF epidemic has been spreading across Europe and many countries in Asia. The epidemic first reached Ukraine in 2012. To better understand the dynamics of spread of ASF in Ukraine, we analyzed spatial and temporal outbreak data reported in Ukraine between 2012 and mid-2023. The highest numbers of outbreaks were reported in 2017 (N = 163) and 2018 (N = 145), with overall peak numbers of ASF outbreaks reported in August (domestic pigs) and January (wild boars). While cases were reported from most of Ukraine, we found a directional spread from the eastern and northern borders towards the western and southern regions of Ukraine. Many of the early outbreaks (before 2016) were adjacent to the border, which is again true for more recent outbreaks in wild boar, but not for recent outbreaks in domestic pigs. Outbreaks prior to 2016 also occurred predominantly in areas with a below average domestic pig density. This new analysis suggests that wild boars may have played an important role in the introduction and early spread of ASF in Ukraine. However, in later years, the dynamic suggests human activity as the predominant driver of spread and a separation of ASF epizootics between domestic pigs and in wild boars. The decline in outbreaks since 2019 suggests that the implemented mitigation strategies are effective, even though long-term control or eradication remain challenging and will require continued intensive surveillance of ASF outbreak patterns.

Limitations and opportunities of smallholders' practical knowledge when dealing with pig health issues in northern Uganda.

Pig production has a short history in Uganda. The majority of pigs are kept by smallholder farmers in rural areas where access to veterinary services is limited, and pig keeping has been suggested as a potential pathway out of poverty for smallholders. Previous research has identified the disease of African swine fever (ASF) as a major threat, causing high mortalities in pigs. With no available cure or vaccine, the only option is to implement biosecurity measures, i.e. strategies that prevent the spread of ASF. This paper draws on data from four months of ethnographic fieldwork in rural northern Uganda. Combining methods of participant observation, semi-structured interviews, focus group discussions and a survey, the aim was to improve understanding of smallholders' perceptions and responses to pig health issues such as ASF. Applying the concept of practical knowledge, this paper analyses the potential and limitations of smallholders' practice-based knowledge as a means of dealing with pig health issues. The results show that while pigs were appreciated locally for providing an income, many informants found it difficult to deal with pig diseases effectively. Consequently, informants commonly expressed a need for other kinds of knowledge in their pig production, indicating that veterinary advice can play an important role in reducing the negative impact of pig health issues. For animal health provision to have relevance in this context, however, veterinary practitioners must pay close attention to smallholders' priorities and ways of knowing in their livestock keeping. Results further show that pig health issues made some informants abandon pig production altogether. To enhance the potential of pig production as a poverty mitigation strategy in Uganda, research and policy need to focus on ways of bettering general conditions for smallholder pig keeping, including improving the quality of and access to veterinary services in rural areas.