Conventional obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) diagnosis via polysomnography can be costly and inaccessible. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have enabled the use of craniofacial photographs to diagnose OSA. This meta-analysis aims to clarify the diagnostic accuracy of this innovative approach. Two blinded reviewers searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and IEEE Xplore databases, then selected and graded the risk of bias of observational studies of adults (≥ 18 years) comparing the diagnostic performance of AI algorithms using craniofacial photographs, versus conventional OSA diagnostic criteria (i.e. apnea-hypopnea index [AHI]). Studies were excluded if they detected apneic events without diagnosing OSA. AI models evaluated with a random split test set or k-fold cross-validation were included in a Bayesian bivariate meta-analysis. From 5,147 records, 6 studies were included, containing 10 AI models trained/tested on 1,417/983 participants. The risk of bias was low. AI trained on craniofacial photographs achieved a pooled 84.9% sensitivity (95% credible interval [95% CrI]: 77.1-90.7%) and 71.2% specificity (95% CrI: 60.7-81.4%). Bayesian meta-regression identified deep learning (convolutional neural networks) as the most accurate AI algorithm (91.1% sensitivity, 79.2% specificity) comparable to home sleep apnea tests. AHI cutoffs, OSA prevalence, feature engineering, input data, camera type and informativeness of Bayesian prior did not alter diagnostic accuracy. There was no substantial publication bias. AI trained on craniofacial photographs have high diagnostic accuracy and should be considered as a low-cost OSA screening tool. Future work focused on deep learning using smartphone images could improve the feasibility of this approach in primary care.
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