Abstract The timing of copepodite recruitment and population development of copepods in spring and early summer (April–July) were compared between the North Water polynya and Barrow Strait, a non-polynya region in the Canadian Archipelago. In the North Water, young copepodites (CI–CIII) of calanoid herbivores were concentrated in the cold and chlorophyll-rich water at the base of the Arctic surface layer, while later stages (CIV–CV) invaded the warmer surface layer. The phytoplankton bloom and the recruitment of the first cohort of copepodites of Calanus hyperboreus , C. glacialis , and Pseudocalanus spp started in May–June, some 1.5–3 months earlier than in Barrow Strait. Consistent with a precocious summer recruitment, population stage structure of these species in early spring (April–May) was more advanced in the North Water than in Barrow Strait. The recruitment in June of CI of the omnivore Metridia longa was advanced by at least 5 weeks in the polynya relative to Barrow Strait. We found no evidence for an acceleration of the population development of the small Microcalanus pygmaeus , Oithona similis or Oncaea borealis in the polynya. Once the recruitment of young copepodites had started, recruitment success (i.e. % of young copepodites in the population) increased primarily with Chl a concentration for C. hyperboreus , with both sea-surface temperature and Chl a for C. glacialis , and with temperature only for Pseudocalanus spp. Hence, depending on the species, both greater food availability and higher temperature resulting from reduced ice cover contributed to improve reproductive success in herbivorous copepods in the North Water relative to Barrow Strait. A climate-induced reduction of ice cover duration is predicted to favour the population growth of the predominant large calanoid copepods and Pseudocalanus on Arctic shelves.