Geological uncertainty is a crucial factor in the reliability design of geotechnical structures, necessitating advanced probabilistic approaches for robust subsurface stratification and uncertainty quantification. However, the spatial existence of geological formations at a specific location is indeed a nominal categorical variable. Unlike the spatial variability of soil properties that has been widely addressed using random field theory or geostatistics, quantifying the spatial correlations of formation existence poses unique challenges. In this study, a generic framework for geological uncertainty quantification is proposed. The spatial existence of each formation is modeled with individual latent random fields, such that the spatial correlation strength of formation existence can be defined in a consistent manner as that in geotechnical random fields. Moreover, an effective distance metric is introduced to accommodate spatial correlations within a distorted random field, allowing for the incorporation of stratigraphic dip naturally. The latent random fields are subsequently input into the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) to derive the probabilistic distribution of formation existence in the form of discrete random fields. The simulation framework is further formulated as a Bayesian inference problem to incorporate existing information from borehole records of a site. The proposed formulation offers great flexibility and versatility in simulating various complex stratigraphic configurations, which is demonstrated through a hypothetical case study with an inter-layer and a real case study in Perth, West Australia. This study advances rigorous quantification of stratification uncertainty, facilitating more reliable geotechnical design and risk assessment in complex geological environments.
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