I nfluenza-vires infections remain among the most frequent causes of medically attended respiratory disease, primarily beause these diverse, rapidly mutating (figure), and unpredictable viruses produce multiple illnesses throughout the lifetime of an individual. In 1971, Alexander Langmuir wrote, Since 1957, influenza epidemics have continued to be a major, senous,~ and intractable health problem, as frustrating to an action and control orientated epidemiologist as poliomyelitis has been gratifying. This quotation is more poignant today, for we have made little progress in the prevention and control of influenza, despite significant progress in understanding the structure, replication, immunology, and epidemiology of influenza, and the availability of effective inactivated influenza vaccines and antiviral drags. Each of the three pandemics this century (1918, 1957, 1968) was associated with high rates of morbidity, social disruption, and high economic costs. The 1918 pandemic claimed more than 20 million victims worldwide in less than 1 year, more than deaths from war or famine in an equivalent period. Even though a partial genetic sequence has been rescued recently from preserved tissue, we still do not understand why the 1918 pandemic was associated with an unusually high case-fatality rate in young healthy adults. However, with the expected future publication of the entire gene sequence of the Spanish influenza virus of 1918, this deadly organism could be reconstructed with modem techniques of nucleic-acid synthesis and gene rescue. Furthermore, technical advances in molecular genetics now make it possible to engineer influenza viruses with made-to-order genomes, and may transform influenza viruses into a potential bioterrorism threat. Another natural pandemic of influenza is likely to strike, although we cannot predict when it will happen or how serious it will be. This concern is based on observations from past centuries, and on current knowledge about the avian and swine reservoirs for influenza viruses and the mechanisms for emergence of novel pandemic strains. This lesson has been driven home by recent human infections with avian influenza viruses in Hong Kong. Increases in global travel and world population during the past century will probably contribute to more rapid spread of pandemic influenza during the next millennium than in the past. Inactivated vaccines now available were first developed over 50 years ago, and are now generally recommended for people at increased risk of complications. The adamantanes (amantadine, rimantadine) have been approved for prevention and treatment of influenza A infections in some countries for decades, but have not had widespread use, primarily because of concerns about side-effects and Influenza A(H3N2) Haemagglutinin
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