Southwesterly Flow Research Articles

Potential Underestimation of Future Mei-Yu Rainfall with Coarse-Resolution Climate Models

The amount of rainfall during June and July along the mei-yu front contributes about 45% to the total summer precipitation over the Yangtze River valley. How it will change under global warming is of great concern to the people of China because of its particular socioeconomic importance, but climate model projections from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) show large uncertainties. This paper examines model resolution sensitivity and reports large differences in projected future summer rainfall along the mei-yu front between a low-resolution (Gaussian N96 grid, ~1.5° latitude–longitude) and a high-resolution (N216, ~0.7°) version of the Hadley Centre’s latest climate model, the HadGEM3 Global Coupled Configuration 2.0 (HadGEM3-GC2). The high-resolution model projects large increases of summer rainfall under two representative concentration pathway scenarios (RCP8.5 and RCP4.5) whereas the low-resolution model shows a decrease. A larger increase of projected mei-yu rainfall in higher-resolution models is also observed across the CMIP5 ensemble. These differences can be explained in terms of enhanced moist static energy advection and moisture convergence by stationary eddies in the high-resolution model. A large-scale manifestation of the anomalous stationary eddies is the contrasting response to the same warming scenario by the western North Pacific subtropical high, which is almost unchanged in N216 but retreats evidently eastward in N96, reducing the southwesterly flow and consequently moisture supply to the mei-yu front. Further increases in model resolution to resolve parameterized processes and detailed orographic features will hopefully reduce the spread in future climate projections.

Differences between decadal decreases of boreal summer rainfall in southeastern and southwestern China in the early 2000s

On decadal time scale, the boreal summer (June–August) rainfall over southern China significantly decreased during the epoch 2003–2012 compared to that in the preceding epoch 1993–2002. This study investigates different processes involved in the decadal decreases in summer rainfall over southeastern China (SEC) and southwestern China (SWC) since the early 2000s. Possible mechanisms for these changes are also explored. Results show that the daily total amount of rainfall in light, moderate and heavy (light and moderate) grades during 2003–2012 is significantly lower than that in the preceding period 1993–2002 by 14.4% (8.2%) over SEC (SWC) region. The epochal rainfall change caused by changes in the light, moderate and heavy (light and moderate) grades accounts for 90% (86%) of total summer rainfall difference between the epoch 1993–2002 and 2003–2012 over SEC (SWC). Based on regression and composite analyses, it is found that the reasons for decadal changes in summer rainfall in the early 2000s are different for the two regions. The rainfall decrease over SEC is attribute to reduced moisture transport by the southwesterly flow from the South China Sea, which is caused by the northward-shift of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) in association with the sea surface temperature (SST) cooling over the western North Pacific (WNP) to the east of Japan. The rainfall decrease over SWC can be explained by reduced moisture transported by the southwesterly/westerly from the Bay of Bengal, which induced by the weakened South Asian monsoon since the early 2000s that is plausibly related to SST warming over the northern Indian Ocean (NIO). Furthermore, the anomalous anticyclonic circulations connected to the NIO warming and WNP cooling make a southwest-northeast-oriented high pressure band. WPSH shifts northward, extending from east of Japan to the Bay of Bengal. SEC and SWC are located along the southern flank of the “dumbbell-shaped” subtropical high band, where the northeasterly prevails. As a result, moisture transports from the South China Sea and the Bay of Bengal to SEC and SWC both decrease on the decadal time scale since 2003. Although different physical-dynamical processes are involved in rainfall changes over the two different regions, the summer rainfall decreases on the decadal time scale are closely related to the shifts in SSTA pattern and background atmospheric circulation on global-scale that occurred in the early 2000s.

Understanding the summertime diurnal cycle of precipitation over sub-Saharan West Africa: regions with daytime rainfall peaks in the absence of significant topographic features

Convection-permitting regional model output is analyzed to better understand the diurnal cycle of rainfall during the height of the West African summer monsoon. This investigation focuses on two regions, the western Bodele of Chad and eastern Burkina Faso, that have a propensity for daytime rainfall, but why this occurs does not conform to our conventional understanding of being directly associated with the presence of significant topographic feature(s). The August diurnal cycle of rainfall for the Bodele is characterized by an afternoon peak, with mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) originating within 500 km accounting for 80% of the afternoon precipitation. These MCSs are associated with a deepening of the monsoon trough over the western Sahara related to northern storm track African easterly wave (AEW) disturbance activity, combined with anomalous ridging over eastern Chad associated with cold pool outflow from convection that originates over the Marra Mountains the previous afternoon. These circulation features enhance the moist low-level southwesterly flow and increase instability over the Bodele. Over Burkina Faso rainfall has a primary afternoon peak, and a secondary morning peak. MCSs account for 95% of the total rainfall. Morning rainfall is primarily due to MCSs forming over the Damergou Gap of Niger, while the afternoon rainfall is associated with MCSs that originate over the Damergou Gap as well as locally. While both types of MCSs are associated with an approaching southern storm track AEW disturbance, it is differences in northern storm track activity that helps explain why some MCSs originate over the Damergou Gap.

Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Track to the Vertical Structure of a Nearby Monsoon Gyre

Abstract The impact of different vertical structures of a nearby monsoon gyre (MG) on a tropical cyclone (TC) track is investigated using idealized numerical simulations. In the experiment with a relatively deeper MG, the TC experiences a sharp northward turn at a critical point when its zonal westward-moving speed slows down to zero. At the same time, the total vorticity tendency for the TC wavenumber-1 component nearly vanishes as the vorticity advection by the MG cancels the vorticity advection by the TC. At this point, the TC motion is dominated by the beta effect, as in a no-mean-flow environment, and takes a sharp northward turn. In contrast, the TC does not exhibit a sharp northward turn with a shallower MG nearby. In the case with a deeper MG, a greater relative vorticity gradient of the MG promotes a quicker attraction between the TC and MG through the vorticity segregation process. In addition, a larger outer size of the TC also favors a faster westward propagation from its initial position, thus having more potential to collocate with the MG. Once the coalescence is in place, the Rossby wave energy dispersion associated with the TC and MG together is enhanced and rapidly strengthens the southwesterly flow on the eastern flank of both systems. The steering flow from both the beta gyre and the Rossby wave dispersion leads the TC to take a sharp northward track when the total vorticity tendency is at its minimum. This study indicates the importance of good representations of the TC structure and its nearby environmental flows in order to accurately predict TC motions.

Wind Resource Assessment in the Southern Plains of the US: Characterizing Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation with Cluster Analysis

A new approach for wind resource assessment in the Southern Plains of the US is proposed here. This new approach establishes the baseline frequency of occurrence of large-scale atmospheric circulations (weather regimes) by cluster analysis, using 38-yr NCEP-NCAR reanalysis daily data from 1979–2016. These baseline frequency values can help quantify the departure of wind resource from the long-term mean for a given month. In specific, two scenarios featuring favorable and unfavorable wind energy productions in the Callahan Divide Energy Center of Texas, US, are evaluated by the new approach of wind resource assessment in details. For the favorable scenario, it is found that the jet stream is configured to enhance the southwesterly flow over the Southern Plains, with a frequency of occurrence being nearly three times of the baseline frequency, whereas for the unfavorable scenario, the jet stream is found to suppress the low-level jet over the Southern Plains, with a frequency of occurrence being more than twice the baseline frequency. Hence, the new approach is proven to provide an objective and more efficient way in conducting wind resource assessment.

Classifying rotor‐layer wind to reduce offshore available power uncertainty

AbstractRotor‐layer wind resource and turbine available power uncertainties prior to wind farm construction may contribute to significant increases in project risk and costs. Such uncertainties exist in part due to limited offshore wind measurements between 40 and 250 m and the lack of empirical methods to describe wind profiles that deviate from a priori, expected power law conditions. In this article, we introduce a novel wind profile classification algorithm that accounts for nonstandard, unexpected profiles that deviate from near power law conditions. Using this algorithm, offshore Doppler wind lidar measurements in the Mid‐Atlantic Bight are classified based on goodness‐of‐fit to several mathematical expressions and relative speed criteria. Results elucidate the limitations of using power law extrapolation methods to approximate average wind profile shape/shear conditions, as only approximately 18% of profiles fit well with this expression, while most consist of unexpected wind shear. Further, results demonstrate a relationship between classified profile variability and coastal meteorological features, including stability and offshore fetch. Power law profiles persist during unstable conditions and relatively weaker northeasterly flow from water (large fetch), whereas unexpected classified profiles are prevalent during stable conditions and stronger southwesterly flow from land (small fetch). Finally, the magnitude of the discrepancy between hub‐height wind speed and rotor equivalent wind speed available power estimates varies by classified wind‐profile type. During unexpected classified profiles, both a significant overprediction and underprediction of hub‐height wind available power is possible, illustrating the importance of accounting for site‐specific rotor‐layer wind shear when predicting available power.

The Occurrence and Properties of Long-Lived Liquid-Bearing Clouds over the Greenland Ice Sheet and Their Relationship to the North Atlantic Oscillation

AbstractStratiform liquid-bearing clouds (LBCs), defined herein as either pure liquid or mixed-phase clouds, have a large impact on the surface radiation budget across the Arctic. LBCs lasting at least 6 h are observed at Summit, Greenland, year-round with a maximum in occurrence during summer. Mean cloud-base height is below 1 km for 85% of LBC cases identified, 59% have mean liquid water path (LWP) values between 10 and 40 g m−2, and most produce sporadic light ice-phase precipitation. During their occurrence, the atmosphere above the ice sheet is anomalously warm and moist, with southerly winds observed over much of the ice sheet, including at Summit. LBCs that occur when the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is in the negative phase correspond to strong ridging centered over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS), allowing for southwesterly flow over the GIS toward Summit. During the positive phase of the NAO, the occurrence of LBCs corresponds to a cyclone located off the southeastern coast of the ice sheet, which leads to easterly-to-southeasterly flow toward Summit. Furthermore, air parcels at Summit frequently originate from below the elevation of Summit, indicating that orographic lift along the ice sheet is a factor in the occurrence of LBCs at Summit. LBCs are more frequently observed during the negative NAO, and both the LWP and precipitation rate are larger in LBCs occurring during this phase. Mean LWP in LBCs occurring during the negative NAO is 15 g m−2 larger than in LBCs occurring during the positive phase.

Tropical Indian Ocean warming contributions to China winter climate trends since 1960

This study investigates observed and modeled contributions of global sea surface temperature (SST) to China winter climate trends in 1960–2014, including increased precipitation, warming through about 1997, and cooling since then. Observations and Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) simulations with prescribed historical SST and sea ice show that tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) warming and increasing rainfall causes diabatic heating that generates a tropospheric wave train with anticyclonic 500-hPa height anomaly centers in the TIO or equatorial western Pacific (TIWP) and northeastern Eurasia (EA) and a cyclonic anomaly over China, referred to as the TIWP-EA wave train. The cyclonic anomaly causes Indochina moisture convergence and southwesterly moist flow that enhances South China precipitation, while the northern anticyclone enhances cold surges, sometimes causing severe ice storms. AMIP simulations show a 1960–1997 China cooling trend by simulating increasing instead of decreasing Arctic 500-hPa heights that move the northern anticyclone into Siberia, but enlarge the cyclonic anomaly so it still simulates realistic China precipitation trend patterns. A separate idealized TIO SST warming simulation simulates the TIWP-EA feature more realistically with correct precipitation patterns and supports the TIWP-EA teleconnection as the primary mechanism for long-term increasing precipitation in South China since 1960. Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) experiments simulate a reduced TIO SST warming trend and weak precipitation trends, so the TIWP-EA feature is absent and strong drying is simulated in South China for 1960–1997. These simulations highlight the need for accurately modeled SST to correctly attribute regional climate trends.

Assessment of Alaska Rain-on-Snow Events Using Dynamical Downscaling

AbstractThe ice formed by cold-season rainfall or rain on snow (ROS) has striking impacts on the economy and ecology of Alaska. An understanding of the atmospheric drivers of ROS events is required to better predict them and plan for environmental change. The spatially/temporally sparse network of stations in Alaska makes studying such events challenging, and gridded reanalysis or remote sensing products are necessary to fill the gaps. Recently developed dynamically downscaled climate data provide a new suite of high-resolution variables for investigating historical and projected ROS events across all of Alaska from 1979 to 2100. The dynamically downscaled reanalysis data of ERA-Interim replicated the seasonal patterns of ROS events but tended to produce more rain events than in station observations. However, dynamical downscaling reduced the bias toward more rain events in the coarse reanalysis. ROS occurred most frequently over southwestern and southern coastal regions. Extreme events with the heaviest rainfall generally coincided with anomalous high pressure centered to the south/southeast of the locations receiving the event and warm-air advection from the resulting southwesterly wind flow. ROS events were projected to increase in frequency overall and for extremes across most of the region but were expected to decline over southwestern/southern Alaska. Increases in frequency were projected as a result of more frequent winter rainfall, but the number of ROS events may ultimately decline in some areas as a result of temperatures rising above the freezing threshold. These projected changes in ROS can significantly affect wildlife, vegetation, and human activities across the Alaska landscape.

Influence of the North Atlantic Subtropical High on wet and dry sea-breeze events in North Carolina, United States

The sea-breeze (SB) is an important source of summertime precipitation in North Carolina (NC, southeast United States). However, not all SB events produce precipitation. A climatology of wet and dry SB events in NC is used to investigate the conditions that are conducive to precipitation associated with the sea breeze. Radar imagery was used to detect 88 SB events that occurred along the NC coast between May-September of 2009-2012. The majority (85%) of SB events occurred during offshore flow (53%) or during flow that was parallel to the coast (22%). SB events were separated into dry (53%) and wet (47%) events and differences in the dynamic and thermodynamic parameters of the environment in which they formed were analyzed. Significant differences in dynamic and thermodynamic conditions were found. SB dry events occurred under stronger winds (6.00 ± 2.36 ms-1) than SB wet events (4.02 ± 2.16 ms-1). Moreover, during SB wet events larger values of convective available potential energy and lower values of convective inhibition were present, conditions that favor precipitation. Overall, the SB wet events accounted for 20-30% of the May-September precipitation along the NC coastal region. The position of the North Atlantic Subtropical High (NASH) controls both moisture availability and winds along the NC coast, thus providing a synoptic-scale control mechanism for SB precipitation. In particular, it was shown that when the NASH western ridge is located along the southeast coast of the United States, it causes a moist southwesterly flow along the NC coast that may favor the occurrence of SB wet events.

Using NWP to assess the influence of the Arctic atmosphere on midlatitude weather and climate

The influence of the Arctic atmosphere on Northern Hemisphere midlatitude tropospheric weather and climate is explored by comparing the skill of two sets of 14-day weather forecast experiments using the ECMWF model with and without relaxation of the Arctic atmosphere towards ERA-Interim reanalysis data during the integration. Two pathways are identified along which the Arctic influences midlatitude weather: a pronounced one over Asia and Eastern Europe, and a secondary one over North America. In general, linkages are found to be strongest (weakest) during boreal winter (summer) when the amplitude of stationary planetary waves over the Northern Hemisphere is strongest (weakest). No discernible Arctic impact is found over the North Atlantic and North Pacific region, which is consistent with predominantly southwesterly flow. An analysis of the flow-dependence of the linkages shows that anomalous northerly flow conditions increase the Arctic influence on midlatitude weather over the continents. Specifically, an anomalous northerly flow from the Kara Sea towards West Asia leads to cold surface temperature anomalies not only over West Asia but also over Eastern and Central Europe. Finally, the results of this study are discussed in the light of potential midlatitude benefits of improved Arctic prediction capabilities.

Intense precipitation events in the Central Range of the Iberian Peninsula

Abstract. Intense orographic precipitation associated with the Central Range was analysed using data of maximum accumulated precipitation in 24 h, occurring between 1958 and 2010. The 18 selected episodes were associated with a southwesterly tropospheric flow, a low-level jet, and high moisture flux at low levels. The observed moisture flux was higher than 100 (m g(s kg)−1) and the dry and wet Froude numbers were greater than 1. The selected area to study this synoptic situation was Gredos, broad and high range, which is located in the eastern part of the Central Range and generates a leeward orographic shadow. The effect of the Central Range on the spatial distribution of precipitation on the Iberian Peninsula plateau results in a sharp increase in precipitation in the south of the Central Range, followed by a decrease to the north of this range.

Synoptic characteristics, atmospheric controls, and long-term changes of heat waves over the Indochina Peninsula

The characteristics of heat wave (HW) events over the Indochina Peninsula are studied using the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis data for 1979–2010. HWs in the dry and wet seasons of Indochina are considered separately, and their typical synoptic behavior is examined in detail. Our results show that HWs in both seasons are accompanied by suppressed precipitation, and the region lies under an anomalously dry, hot, and subsiding atmospheric column. Further diagnoses reveal that HWs in the dry and wet seasons are linked to the weakening of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) circulations, respectively. On the one hand, HWs in the dry season are coincident with high-temperature anomalies over East Asia and accompanied by an anomalous cyclone over eastern China. The anomalous southwesterly flow over East Asia indicates a weakening of the climatological northeasterly circulation associated with the EAWM. On the other hand, HWs in the wet season are coincident with hot and dry anomalies in South Asia (i.e., Indian subcontinent). The anomalous easterly flow in that region opposes the climatological westerly regime of the SASM. Moreover, we found that the statistics for the frequency, duration, and amplitude of HWs for both seasons exhibit prominent intensifying trends, and the intensifying trends in the wet season are mostly about two to three times stronger than the dry season. These intensifying HWs activities are likely attributable to the weakening trend of monsoon circulations in recent decades.

An evaluation of the WRF Mei‐yu rainfall forecasts in Taiwan, 2008–2010: differences in elevation and sub‐regions

ABSTRACTThis study explores differences in the performance of the Mei‐yu quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) in Taiwan by use of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in continuation of an earlier study, with particular detailed focus on those among three elevation ranges and four sub‐regions at different stages of the season and within the diurnal cycle. Against data from about 400 rain gauges, both subjective and objective verifications are performed to complement each other. The Mei‐yu QPF's skill is shown to vary with evaluation periods (every half‐month) within the season, with elevation (categorized as plain (0–250 m), slope (0.25–1 km) and mountain (>1 km) areas), and also with sub‐region (northern, central, southern and eastern Taiwan). The diurnal cycle of rainfall produced by the model is strong over the mountains, but too weak over the plains. Overall, the model exhibits the highest skill in southern and central Taiwan, where more rain occurs due to forced uplift of the prevailing southwesterly flow over the windward slopes (mainly during the first half of June). In general, the more rainfall there is, the better the model performs (with higher skill) during the Mei‐yu season.

Indian Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems Feed Up‐and‐Over Moisture Transport to the Southwestern Tibetan Plateau

AbstractAs an integral part of the South Asian summer monsoon system, monsoon low‐pressure systems (LPSs) bring large amounts of precipitation to agrarian north and central India during their passage across the subcontinent. In this study, we investigate the role of LPSs in supplying moisture from north and central India to the southwestern Tibetan Plateau (SWTP) and quantify the contribution of these systems to summer rainfall over the SWTP. The results show that more than 60% of total summer rainfall over the SWTP is related to LPS occurrence. LPSs are associated with a 15% rise in average daily rainfall and a 10% rise in rainy days over the SWTP. This relationship is maintained primarily through up‐and‐over transport, in which convectively lifted moisture over the Indian subcontinent is swept over the SWTP by southwesterly winds in the middle troposphere. LPSs play two roles in supplying up‐and‐over moisture transport. First, these systems elevate large amounts of water vapor and condensed water to the midtroposphere. Second, the circulations associated with LPSs interact with the background westerlies to induce southwesterly flow in the midtroposphere, transporting elevated moisture and condensate over the Himalayan Mountains. Our findings indicate that LPSs are influential in extending the northern boundary of the South Asian monsoon system across the Himalayas into the interior of the SWTP. The strength of this connection depends on both LPS characteristics and the configuration of the midtropospheric circulation, particularly the prevailing westerlies upstream of the SWTP.

Simulated sensitivity of tropical cyclone track to the moisture in an idealized monsoon gyre

In this study, the sensitivity of tropical cyclone (TC) track to the moisture condition in a nearby monsoon gyre (MG) is investigated. Numerical simulations reveal that TC track is highly sensitive to the spatial distribution of relative humidity (RH). In an experiment conducted with higher (lower) RH in the eastern (western) semicircle of an MG, the TC experiences a sharp northward turning. In contrast, when the RH pattern is reversed, the simulated TC does not show a sharp northward turning. The RH distribution modulates the intensity and structure of both the TC and MG, so that when the TC is initially embedded in a moister environment, convection is enhanced in the outer core, which favors an expansion of the outer core size. A TC with a larger outer size has greater beta-effect propagation, favoring a faster westward translational speed. Meanwhile, higher RH enhances the vorticity gradient within the MG and promotes a quicker attraction between the TC and MG centers through vorticity segregation process. These cumulative effects cause the TC to collocate with the MG center. Once the coalescence process takes place, the energy dispersion associated with the TC and MG is enhanced, which rapidly strengthens southwesterly flows on the eastern flanks. The resulting steering flow leads the TC to take a sharp northward track.

The East Asian Atmospheric Water Cycle and Monsoon Circulation in the Met Office Unified Model

AbstractIn this study the low‐level monsoon circulation and observed sources of moisture responsible for the maintenance and seasonal evolution of the East Asian monsoon are examined, studying the detailed water budget components. These observational estimates are contrasted with the Met Office Unified Model (MetUM) climate simulation performance in capturing the circulation and water cycle at a variety of model horizontal resolutions and in fully coupled ocean‐atmosphere simulations. We study the role of large‐scale circulation in determining the hydrological cycle by analyzing key systematic errors in the model simulations. MetUM climate simulations exhibit robust circulation errors, including a weakening of the summer west Pacific Subtropical High, which leads to an underestimation of the southwesterly monsoon flow over the region. Precipitation and implied diabatic heating biases in the South Asian monsoon and Maritime Continent region are shown, via nudging sensitivity experiments, to have an impact on the East Asian monsoon circulation. By inference, the improvement of these tropical biases with increased model horizontal resolution is hypothesized to be a factor in improvements seen over East Asia with increased resolution. Results from the annual cycle of the hydrological budget components in five domains show a good agreement between MetUM simulations and ERA‐Interim reanalysis in northern and Tibetan domains. In simulations, the contribution from moisture convergence is larger than in reanalysis, and they display less precipitation recycling over land. The errors are closely linked to monsoon circulation biases.

A long‐lived supercell over mountainous terrain

The life cycle of a convective storm forming over highly complex topography on the northern side of the Alps is studied. Moist convection began ahead of a cold front in the late morning of 2 August 2007 in eastern Switzerland. It developed into a supercell storm that moved along the Alpine main crest for more than 8 h, passed over several 2000 m high ridges and ultimately dissipated over eastern Austria. This study analyzes the impact of topography on the pre‐storm environment and on the storm development using several simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model at a minimum horizontal grid spacing of 833 m. A hindcast simulation of the event features a convective system evolving in good agreement with observations. Variations in the simulated storm intensity appear to be related to the topography below the storm. Two idealized simulations help understand how the Alpine topography affected storm initiation and development. North of the Alps, relatively strong shear between southwesterly synoptic flow aloft and thermally induced plain‐to‐mountain flow near the ground created favourable conditions for supercell development. Small‐scale terrain features supported the upward transport of moisture via slope circulations, locally reducing CIN and increasing CAPE, and ultimately enhancing the storm longevity.

Atmospheric Conditions during the Deep Propagating Gravity Wave Experiment (DEEPWAVE)

This paper describes the results of a comprehensive analysis of the atmospheric conditions during the Deep Propagating Gravity Wave Experiment (DEEPWAVE) campaign in austral winter 2014. Different datasets and diagnostics are combined to characterize the background atmosphere from the troposphere to the upper mesosphere. How weather regimes and the atmospheric state compare to climatological conditions is reported upon and how they relate to the airborne and ground-based gravity wave observations is also explored. Key results of this study are the dominance of tropospheric blocking situations and low-level southwesterly flows over New Zealand during June–August 2014. A varying tropopause inversion layer was found to be connected to varying vertical energy fluxes and is, therefore, an important feature with respect to wave reflection. The subtropical jet was frequently diverted south from its climatological position at 30°S and was most often involved in strong forcing events of mountain waves at the Southern Alps. The polar front jet was typically responsible for moderate and weak tropospheric forcing of mountain waves. The stratospheric planetary wave activity amplified in July leading to a displacement of the Antarctic polar vortex. This reduced the stratospheric wind minimum by about 10 m s−1 above New Zealand making breaking of large-amplitude gravity waves more likely. Satellite observations in the upper stratosphere revealed that orographic gravity wave variances for 2014 were largest in May–July (i.e., the period of the DEEPWAVE field phase).

Statistical Characteristics of Convective Clouds over the Western Ghats Derived from Weather Radar Observations

AbstractX‐band radar observations at Mandhardev (18.04°N, 73.85°E) are used to investigate statistics of convective clouds over the Western Ghats during monsoon season (June–September 2014). Convective storms (cells) are identified using an objective‐tracking method to examine their spatiotemporal variability, thus quantifying the time‐continuous aspects of convective cloud population over the region for the first time. An increased frequency of storm location and initiation along the windward mountains compared to coastal and lee side highlights orographic response to southwesterly flow, with superimposed diurnal cycle. An eastward progression of convective activity from upstream the barrier through windward slopes of mountains over to the lee side is observed. Storm area, height, and duration follow lognormal distributions; wherein, small‐sized storms contribute more to total population and unimodal distribution of 35 dBZ top heights (peaking at 5.5 km) depicts the dominance of shallow convection. Storms exhibit a pronounced diurnal cycle with a peak in afternoon hours, while the convective area maximum is delayed by several hours to that of precipitation flux. Cell lifetime and propagation show that cells move with slow speeds and have mean duration of 46 min. They align east‐west nearly parallel to mountain ridges, and their direction of movement is steered mostly by large‐scale winds at lower levels. Based on top heights, convective cells are further classified into cumulus, congestus, and deep clouds. In general, congestus (deep) cells are most abundant in the windward (leeward) side. A lead‐lag relationship between congestus and deep cells indicates midtroposphere moistening by congestus cells prior to deep convection.