Wellbore instability has become an increasing concern for horizontal and extended-reach wells, especially through shale cap rocks. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the factors that led to the wellbore being unstable in the Tanuma Formation, the Nasiriyah oilfield in southern Iraq. By constructing a mechanical earth model using open-hole wireline data from two drilled wells. Mohr-Coulomb, Mogi-Coulomb, and Modified Lade failure criteria are used to analyze the breakouts and determine the density of mud that is required for a safe wellbore wall. The results indicated that the Mogi-Coulomb criterion is more similar to the actual well failure than the other two criteria. The wellbore instability findings showed that the most stable wells are those that are vertical and have a low deviated angle (less than 10°), and it is advised that these wells be drilled with a mud weight of 11.3 to 14 ppg. The acceptable range for the weight of the mud for horizontal and greatly deviated wells is between 11.9 and 13.8 ppg. Consequently, the future wells development plan for the studied region is improved and leads to cost reductions.
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