Solar Emission Research Articles

Machine Learning for Optimising Renewable Energy and Grid Efficiency

This research investigates the application of machine learning models to optimise renewable energy systems and contribute to achieving Net Zero emissions targets. The primary objective is to evaluate how machine learning can improve energy forecasting, grid management, and storage optimisation, thereby enhancing the reliability and efficiency of renewable energy sources. The methodology involved the application of various machine learning models, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVMs), and ARIMA, to predict energy generation and demand patterns. These models were evaluated using metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Key findings include a 15% improvement in grid efficiency after optimisation and a 10–20% increase in battery storage efficiency. Random Forest achieved the lowest MAE, reducing prediction error by approximately 8.5%. The study quantified CO2 emission reductions by energy source, with wind power accounting for a 15,000-ton annual reduction, followed by hydropower and solar reducing emissions by 10,000 and 7500 tons, respectively. The research concludes that machine learning can significantly enhance renewable energy system performance, with measurable reductions in errors and emissions. These improvements could help close the “ambition gap” by 20%, supporting global efforts to meet the 1.5 °C Paris Agreement targets.

Solar-Adaptive Cooling Blocks Composed of Recycled Fabric.

Radiative cooling technologies have had a significant impact on advancing carbon neutrality efforts by significantly improving the passive cooling efficiency. The tandem of conduction and radiation enables solar-adaptive radiative cooling through the insulating effect of materials along with solar absorption, which affects the thermal state of materials and enhances radiative thermal transfer from the surface under solar irradiation. This enhancement is achieved by utilizing the porous polymeric structure of materials, which facilitates improved conduction pathways along with solar reflectance, while maintaining the effective emission of thermal radiation. In this particular scenario, blocks, which were made of recycled fibers, offer a great opportunity as solar-adaptive cooling materials, enabling their easy deployment for cooling applications. Herein, we have fabricated a porous block using fiber wastes that combines strong solar reflectance (92%) at the 1 μm region and high thermal infrared emittance (∼75%) at the 10 μm region. The combination of effective solar reflection and thermal infrared emission allows the fiber block to achieve a high cooling performance of approximately 68 W/m2 under solar irradiation. In addition, the fiber block works effectively for insulation during the night, thereby enhancing its heat retention capabilities. The economic and environmental advantages of the fiber block make it a cost-competitive and sustainable choice for near-market cooling technologies. This design is anticipated to expand the practical application range of passive cooling.

Intensity of 27-day variations in solar emission and ionospheric electron content

The rotation of the Sun modulates solar emission with 27-day variations. Large-scale structures in the solar atmosphere, like sunspots and plages, rotate with the Sun and emit at extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and microwaves that produce the varying part of the emission. As EUV emission is the main driver of ionization in the Earth ionosphere, its variations are reflected in the electron content. In this paper, we analyze wide range of data from radio emission in 245-17000 MHz range and the entire EUV spectrum to total and global electron contents (TEC and GEC, respectively) in the ionosphere to find out where the 27-day variations are most prominent. We show that the relative contribution of 27-day variations to radio emission is maximal at 1000 MHz and decreases at 245 and 17000 MHz. The variations are pronounced throughout the EUV spectrum, their intensity vary at different spectral lines and, on average, is higher than in radio emission. The distribution of the variations in global ionospheric maps (GIM) shows an intensification of 27-day variations in TEC in the North America region, which can be related to the winter anomaly as it is also more significant in this region. Temporal variations of the 27-day component of emission are similar in shape for radio and EUV emission, as well as for GEC, and have a high correlation, up to 0.8. Cycle-averaged temporal variations imply that the 27-day component weakens significantly during solar minimum but can intensify during the remaining phases of the solar cycle. We also find that the flux at 1000 MHz, which originate from free-free emission in contrast to F10.7, can be used as a proxy index of solar activity because it has the highest intensity of 27-day variations and has been observed since 1956.

The SRG/eROSITA diffuse soft X-ray background

Context. The SRG/eROSITA All-Sky Surveys (eRASSs) combine the advantages of complete sky coverage and the energy resolution provided by the charge couple device and offer the most holistic and detailed view of the diffuse soft X-ray background (SXRB) to date. The first eRASS (eRASSl) was completed at solar minimum, when solar wind charge exchange emission was minimal, providing the clearest view of the SXRB. Aims. We aim to extract spatial and spectral information from each constituent of the SXRB in the western Galactic hemisphere, focusing on the local hot bubble (LHB). Methods. We extracted and analysed eRASSl spectra from almost all directions in the western Galactic hemisphere by dividing the sky into equal signal-to-noise bins. We fitted all bins with fixed spectral templates of known background constituents. Results. We find the temperature of the LHB exhibits a north-south dichotomy at high latitudes (|b| > 30°), with the south being hotter, with a mean temperature at kT = 121.8 ± 0.6 eV and the north at kT = 100.8 ± 0.5 eV. At low latitudes, the LHB temperature increases towards the Galactic plane, especially towards the inner Galaxy. The LHB emission measure (EMLHB) enhances approximately towards the Galactic poles. The EMLHB map shows clear anti-correlation with the local dust column density. In particular, we found tunnels of dust cavities filled with hot plasma, potentially forming a wider network of hot interstellar medium. We also constructed a three-dimensional LHB model from EMLHB, assuming constant density. The average thermal pressure of the LHB is Pthermal/k = 10100−1500+1200 cm−3 K, a lower value than typical supernova remnants and wind-blown bubbles. This could be an indication of the LHB being open towards high Galactic latitudes.

High-quality VO2 thin films sputter-deposited on borosilicate glass substrates for modulating solar transmission and thermal emission

M1-phase VO2 exhibits a reversible phase transition between the insulating and metallic states at T = ∼341 K, and VO2-based smart windows have been extensively studied. The smart window application requires the growth of high-quality VO2 films with a large resistivity change and small hysteresis width (ΔT) on glass substrates using a scalable deposition method such as sputtering. However, the polymorphic nature of VO2 makes it challenging to obtain high-quality VO2 films on ordinary window glasses (borosilicate and soda-lime glasses). Thus far, VO2 films sputtered on glass substrates have exhibited resistivity changes of 1.5–2 orders of magnitude and ΔT = 3–19 °C. In this study, we show that high-quality VO2 films with a resistivity change of 2.5−3.0 orders of magnitude and ΔT = 2 °C can be grown on borosilicate glass substrates via radio-frequency sputtering followed by thermal annealing. The simultaneous achievement of such a large resistivity change and small hysteresis width is highly encouraging not only for smart windows but also for other applications. With respect to the modulation of solar transmission and thermal emission with temperature, the performance levels of the produced VO2 films were 70−75 % of those expected from pure M1-phase VO2 films.

Passive solar evaporation and emissions reduction of process-affected and produced water using buoyant photothermal beads

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The exosphere of Mars can be tracked by a high-spectral resolution telescope, such as the Line Emission Mapper

Abstract Mars provides our local analogue for unmagnetized terrestrial planets and is thus key to understanding the habitability of exoplanets. The lack of a global magnetic field means that the atmosphere interacts directly with the solar wind, causing significant loss of the atmosphere. While in situ measurements provide a wealth of detailed local information, they are limited in deriving the global picture. In contrast, remote X-ray observations can provide important global instantaneous coverage over multiple seasons and sampling different solar wind. Previous XMM-Newton observations have detected significant flux via the solar wind charge exchange emission (SWCX) mechanism from an extended planetary halo, and from atmospheric fluorescence. In contrast, Chandra observations only detected a low-luminosity disk and a faint halo. It is postulated that these observational differences are due to transient solar wind with increased heavy ion fractions. Here, we present simulated spectra for the proposed NASA mission Line Emission Mapper, of both halo and disk regions, under quiet and transient solar wind. We show that even under moderate solar wind conditions, both SWCX and fluorescence emission lines are readily detected above the background, providing new insights into the loss of planetary atmospheres and the molecular composition of less well-characterised atmospheric abundances.

Thermal emitter performance of ultra-broadband solar metamaterial absorber based on metal-insulator-metal device structure

In this paper, we have designed a solar absorber with ultra-broadband absorption. The structure has seven layers with a metal-dielectric periodic film stack and a metallic copper substefficiency. The metal-dielectric periodic membrane stack and the dielectric are continuous to form a metal/dielectric composite microstructure. It has a very high absorption efficiency at 280 nm–2893 nm. The absorption efficiency in this wavelength range is 96.26% and absorption efficiency at AM 1.5 is up to 95.66% by finite difference time domain method (FDTD) simulation. The thermal radiation absorption efficiency of the structure is 93.69% at 1000K and 94.5% at 1200 K, which can also be used in the manufacture of the heat sink due to its high thermal radiation absorption efficiency. Our proposed solar absorber has good incidence angle insensitivity (0°–60°) and good polarization independence (0°–90°). These advantages enable our absorbers to be widely used for solar absorption and emission and offer a variety of design options for ideal absorbers.

The Influence of Different Phases of a Solar Flare on Changes in the Total Electron Content in the Earth’s Ionosphere

Abstract Variations in X-ray and extreme ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance during solar flares lead to a noticeable increase in the electron concentration in the illuminated part of the Earth’s ionosphere. Due to the large amount of experimental data accumulated by global navigation satellite systems, the total electron content (TEC) response to the impulsive phase of a solar flare has been studied quite well. However, recent studies have shown that a large fraction of X-class flares have a second strong peak of warm coronal emission (which is called “EUV late phase”), whose influence on the ionization of ionospheric layers is not yet clear. A combined analysis of successive solar emissions and the caused TEC changes made it possible to numerically estimate the ionospheric response to the impulsive, gradual, and late phases of the X2.9 solar flare that occurred on 2011 November 3 and demonstrate the high geoeffectiveness of the rather weak Fe xv 28.4 nm solar emission during the EUV late phase. It was found that the ionospheric response to the relatively weak emissions of the EUV late phase of the X2.9 solar flare amounted to almost a third of the TEC increase during the impulsive phase.

Understanding the variability of ground-level ozone and fine particulate matter over the Tibetan plateau with data-driven approach

The Tibetan Plateau, known as the “Third Pole”, is susceptible to ground-level ozone (O3) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution due to its unique high-altitude environment. This study constructed random forest regression models using multi-source data from ground measurements and meteorological satellites to predict variations in ground-level O3 and PM2.5 concentrations and their influencing factors across seven major cities in the Tibetan Plateau over two-year periods. The models successfully reproduced O3 and PM2.5 levels with satisfactory R-squared values of 0.71 and 0.73, respectively. Results reveal combustion-related carbon monoxide (CO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) as the most substantial influences on O3 and PM2.5 concentrations. Solar radiation, geographical factors, and meteorological variables also played crucial roles in driving pollutant variations. Conversely, transport-related and human activity factors exhibited relatively lower significance. High O3 and PM2.5 pollution occurred during pre-monsoon and post-monsoon/winter seasons, driven by solar radiation and emissions, respectively. While CO consistently contributed across cities and seasons, key influencing factors varied locally. This study unveils the key driving forces governing air pollutant variations across the Tibetan Plateau, shedding light on complex atmospheric processes in this unique high-altitude region.

Water-efficient evaporative cooling by sunlight-reflective radiative-cooling nanofibers

Evaporative cooling, which has the highest potential for energy transfer, is not sustainable without sufficient water. Here we present the membrane that can be used to protect the moisture from unnecessary evaporation. The membrane is composed of nanofiber non-woven fabric that is breathable and has high solar reflectance and high infrared emissivity for water-efficient evaporative cooling applications. The membrane prevents moisture from evaporating unnecessarily by blocking solar absorption and efficient thermal emission. Specifically, the membrane is composed of ∼400 nm diameter polyurethane fiber, which has a high MIE scattering effect on solar radiation (∼2500 nm wavelength), resulting in over 95% solar reflectance as well as over 95% of total infrared (IR) emissivity and IR transmittance at 50 g/m2 of membrane. In addition, it has sufficient breathability of over 16 mg•cm2•hr that the maximum evaporative cooling is about 100 W/m2. Twice the cooling time and 3 °C cooler surface by tandem of radiative cooling were confirmed in outdoor test of wet fabric covered with nanofiber membrane compared to wet fabric without membrane. This scalable and flexible membrane is applicable where the thermal cooling without energy consumption is required for net-zero energy consumption.

An impulsive geomagnetic effect from an early-impulsive flare

ABSTRACT The geomagnetic ‘solar flare effect’ (SFE) results from excess ionization in the Earth’s ionosphere, famously first detected at the time of the Carrington flare in 1859. This indirect detection of a flare constituted one of the first cases of ‘multimessenger astronomy’, whereby solar ionizing radiation stimulates ionospheric currents. Well-observed SFEs have few-minute time-scales and perturbations of >10 nT, with the greatest events reaching above 100 nT. In previously reported cases, the SFE time profiles tend to resemble those of solar soft X-ray emission, which ionizes the D-region; there is also a less-well-studied contribution from Lyman α. We report here a specific case, from flare SOL2024-03-10 (M7.4), in which an impulsive SFE deviated from this pattern. This flare contained an ‘early impulsive’ component of exceptionally hard radiation, extending up to γ-ray energies above 1 MeV, distinctly before the bulk of the flare soft X-ray emission. We can characterize the spectral distribution of this early-impulsive component in detail, thanks to the modern extensive wavelength coverage. A more typical gradual SFE occurred during the flare’s main phase. We suggest that events of this type warrant exploration of the solar physics in the ‘impulse response’ limit of very short time-scales.

A System Dynamics Model for Rooftop Solar PV System Development in Indonesia

Despite of Indonesia’s vast solar energy potential according to the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, Indonesia’s total installed capacity of rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) is very far from Indonesia’s target of 3.6 GW in 2025. Indonesia once applied net metering scheme for rooftop solar PV policy and was expected to be able to boost rooftop solar PV growth. A system dynamics approach is used in the research to develop an assessment model to evaluate the policies’ impact on residential rooftop solar PV system growth. A Causal Loop Diagram was established then transformed into Stock and Flow Diagram (SFD) using software Vensim PLE 10.1.3, which was used to simulate several policies’ scenarios related to residential rooftop solar PV adoption and CO2 emissions reduction. Ten scenarios were simulated in this study involving three groups of intervention: initial net metering tariff, reduction on initial solar PV cost, upper limit of ROI, and combination of initial net metering tariff and initial solar PV cost reduction. The simulations revealed that combination of increasing net metering tariff to 80% & initial cost reduction 30% has the highest potential solar PV installations, the highest CO2 emissions reduction, and the lowest accumulation cost of net metering in 2030. This study can be used as reference by the policy makers in Indonesia to formulate the optimum policy to boost rooftop solar PV growth as the simulations shows that residential rooftop solar PV with the right intervention can meet the government’s target of rooftop solar PV in 2030.

Моделирование влияния вариаций солнечной активности на глобальную атмосферную циркуляцию

In this study, we continue a series of works devoted to modeling and studying the sensitivity of global atmospheric dynamic processes to variations in solar emissions during the 11-year solar activity (SA) cycle. We focus on studying the response of meridional atmospheric circulation in the middle atmosphere to changes in thermosphere characteristics with changes in SA. For this purpose, numerical simulations of the general atmospheric circulation were carried out using the nonlinear numerical circulation model of the middle and upper atmosphere MUAM. The main mechanism of the influence of thermospheric disturbances on the underlying layers is assumed to be a change in the conditions of propagation and reflection of planetary waves (PWs) due to changes in SA. Changes in temperature, zonal and meridional wind are shown to localize along waveguides, demonstrating the significant role of PWs in transmitting thermospheric disturbances, caused by changes in SA, to the middle atmosphere. The magnitude of changes in meridional circulation can reach 10 % in the northern stratosphere between SA maxima and minima.

Modeling the impact of solar activity variations on global atmospheric circulation

In this study, we continue a series of works devoted to modeling and studying the sensitivity of global atmospheric dynamic processes to variations in solar emissions during the 11-year solar activity (SA) cycle. We focus on studying the response of meridional atmospheric circulation in the middle atmosphere to changes in thermosphere characteristics with changes in SA. For this purpose, numerical simulations of the general atmospheric circulation were carried out using the nonlinear numerical circulation model of the middle and upper atmosphere MUAM. The main mechanism of the influence of thermospheric disturbances on the underlying layers is assumed to be a change in the conditions of propagation and reflection of planetary waves (PWs) due to changes in SA. Changes in temperature, zonal and meridional wind are shown to localize along waveguides, demonstrating the significant role of PWs in transmitting thermospheric disturbances, caused by changes in SA, to the middle atmosphere. The magnitude of changes in meridional circulation can reach 10 % in the northern stratosphere between SA maxima and minima.

Elucidating different roles of solvent additives in organic photovoltaics under solar and indoor light emission environments

Incorporation of solvent additive in bulk heterojunction layer has been effective method for the optimization of film morphology and crystallinity, enabling high efficiency organic solar cells under standard 1 SUN illumination. However, the effects of the additives in low-intensity indoor light environment have not been investigated much so far. In this study, a new donor polymer (PBz-ET) having an efficient spectral matching with LED was synthesized and employed. Moreover, we elucidate the different roles of additives for organic solar cell operations depending on 1 SUN and low-intensity LED illuminations. Through systemic characterizations on morphology, crystallinity, and electrical properties, we found that the additive boosting nanoscale phase separation is compatible for the organic solar cells working in 1 SUN illumination while the additive being capable of increasing crystallinity is more adaptable to those used for indoor light environment. The results in this study suggest a rational selection rule of additives for designing organic solar cells in different light environments.

Structural and opto-electronic engineering with ZnS ETL via PVD technique for efficient and durable heterojunction perovskite solar cells

This study presents a comprehensive investigation into fabrication and characterization of HJPSC leveraging chalcogenide Zinc Sulphide (ZnS) thin films as ETL and Selenium (Se) as a protective capping layer through PVD technique. ZnS thin films annealed at 200 °C, 300 °C and 400 °C were systematically analyzed for their structural and opto-electronic properties. Among them, ZnS-1, annealed at 200 °C, demonstrated superior performance with high transmittance, optimal crystallite size, wide bandgap, lowest photoluminescence intensity, high conductivity and low resistivity. Consequently, ZnS-1 was selected as the ETL for HJPSC fabrication. The HJPSC device was fabricated with ZnS/MAPbI3--Se/Ag as device structure with Se as capping layer. SEM images confirmed the smooth and continuous nature of the ZnS-1 film, while X-Ray diffraction analysis validated the purity and crystallinity of MAPbI3 perovskite layer. The successful alignment of the perovskite absorption band with the solar cell emission spectrum obtained by UV–Vis spectra highlighted the potential for efficient solar energy conversion. J-V characteristics of the HJPSC device exhibited a high short-circuit current (Jsc) of 20.18 mA/cm2, an open-circuit voltage (Voc) of 0.99 V, a power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 9.1 % and fill factor (FF) of 45.7 % was accredited to improved electron conductance and of ZnS-1 as an ETL.

Harnessing Karachi’s Sun: A Sustainable Solar PV System for Pakistan’s Energy Future

The article offers a captivating insight based on the case of Pakistan’s solar photovoltaic (PV) systems, given the exhaustion of predictable energy sources and the escalating environmental concerns. The study presents a reasonable, environmentally acceptable, and effective photovoltaic system that is tailored to the exact geographic coordinates of the area, making use of Karachi's abundant solar potential. The recommended method delivers significant environmental advantages with an absolute temperature of 26.85°C as well as a daily solar emission of 5.184 kWh/m2. The article faithfully observes a variety of power losses with the PV-syst simulation, including soiling, module inefficiencies, inverter losses, and temperature-related declines. This yields an impressive yearly energy output of 1678 MWh and a recital ratio (PR) loss of only -0.41%. To assess the likelihood solar PV power project of 1 MW, the research delves deeper into the restraints of output ratios and different types of power loss. Over ten years, carbon dioxide emanations can be reduced by 5317.367 tonnes utilizing the PVSYST toolset to forecast the system's routine. This is equivalent to implanting up to 244,598.822 trees. The economic and commercial analysis, which estimates a maintenance cost of $2,500/ annum after taking consideration of inflation rate with 2% , highlights how cost-effective the system is. This study not only establishes a standard for upcoming solar projects, but it also shows that solar energy is feasible in Karachi. It encourages a purposeful transition to environmentally friendly growth and a sustainable future by emphasizing the vital role that performance scrutiny plays in the development and maintenance of renewable energy systems.

Lattice battery solar cells: Exceeding Shockley–Queisser limit

AbstractA revolutionary concept of lattice battery solar cell (LBSC) is proposed to leap the conversion efficiency by inherently eliminating two major energy losses of conventional solar cells, namely hot carriers and non‐absorption of the substantial near infrared (NIR) emission. In an LBSC, hot phonon emission will be saved into lattice energy reservoir (LER) through electron–lattice coupling; NIR solar emission is harvested by an NIR‐perovskite composition. The NIR‐generated carriers are upconverted to the conduction band of perovskites driven by LER. The theoretical efficiency of LBSCs is estimated to be over 70%, significantly exceeding the Shockley–Queisser limit. In addition, LBSCs have lower operational temperature, resulting in much improved stability due to the elimination of heating sources from hot carriers. Different from the existing multijunction solar cells, LBSCs will keep the single layer structure with low‐cost fabrication. Therefore, LBSCs could perfectly satisfy the golden triangle of solar cell performance, which prospects great competitive advantage for further commercialization.

Spectropolarimetric Radio Imaging of Faint Gyrosynchrotron Emission from a CME: A Possible Indication of the Insufficiency of Homogeneous Models

The geo-effectiveness of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is determined primarily by their magnetic fields. Modeling of gyrosynchrotron (GS) emission is a promising remote sensing technique to measure the CME magnetic field at coronal heights. However, faint GS emission from CME flux ropes is hard to detect in the presence of bright solar emission from the solar corona. With high dynamic-range spectropolarimetric meter wavelength solar images provided by the Murchison Widefield Array, we have detected faint GS emission from a CME out to ∼8.3 R ⊙, the largest heliocentric distance reported to date. High-fidelity polarimetric calibration also allowed us to robustly detect circularly polarized emission from GS emission. For the first time in the literature, Stokes V detection has jointly been used with Stokes I spectra to constrain GS models. One expects that the inclusion of polarimetric measurement will provide tighter constraints on the GS model parameters. Instead, we found that homogeneous GS models, which have been used in all prior works, are unable to model both the total intensity and circular polarized emission simultaneously. This strongly suggests the need for using inhomogeneous GS models to robustly estimate the CME magnetic field and plasma parameters.