Soil-plant transfer models are needed to predict levels of mercury (Hg) in vegetables when evaluating food chain risks of Hg contamination in agricultural soils. A total of 21 soils covering a wide range of soil properties were spiked with HgCl2 to investigate the transfer characteristics of Hg from soil to carrot in a greenhouse experiment. The major controlling factors and prediction models were identified and developed using path analysis and stepwise multiple linear regression analysis. Carrot Hg concentration was positively correlated with soil total Hg concentration (R 2 = 0.54, P < 0.001), and the log-transformation greatly improved the correlation (R 2 = 0.76, P < 0.001). Acidic soil exhibited the highest bioconcentration factor (BCF) (ratio of Hg concentration in carrot to that in soil), while calcareous soil showed the lowest BCF among the 21 soil types. The significant direct effects of soil total Hg (Hgsoil), pH, and free Al oxide (AlOX) on the carrot Hg concentration (Hgcarrot) as revealed by path analysis were consistent with the result from stepwise multiple linear regression that yielded a three-term regression model: log [Hgcarrot] = 0.52log [Hgsoil] − 0.06pH − 0.64log [AlOX] − 1.05 (R 2 = 0.81, P < 0.001). Soil Hg concentration, pH, and AlOX content were the three most important variables associated with carrot Hg concentration. The extended Freundlich-type function could well describe Hg transfer from soil to carrot.
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