Toxic elements, such as Cd and Pb are of primary concern for soil quality and food security owing to their high toxicity and potential for bioaccumulation. Knowledge of the spatial variability of Cd and Pb in soil–rice systems across the landscape and identification of their driving factors are prerequisites for developing appropriate management strategies to remediate or regulate these hazardous contaminants. Considering the role of rice (Oryza sativa) as a dietary staple in China, this study aimed to examine the distribution patterns and drivers of Cd and Pb in tropical soil–rice systems across Hainan Island. To achieve this goal, 229 pairs of representative paddy soil and rice samples combined with a set of environmental covariates at the island scale were systematically analyzed. Arithmetic mean values (AMs) of Cd and Pb in rice were 0.080 and 0.199 mg kg−1, and exceeded the standard limits by 27.1% and 22.7%, respectively. We found that the AMs of Cd and Pb concentrations in paddy soil were 0.294 and 43.0 mg kg−1. Additionally, Cd in 29.26% of soil samples and Pb in 11.35% of soil samples exceeded the risk screening value for toxic elements. The enrichment factor generally showed that soil Cd and Pb on Hainan Island were both moderately enriched. Results obtained from both Spearman's correlation and stepwise regression analyses suggest that the concentrations of soil Cd and Pb are significantly influenced by the soil Na and Fe concentrations. Specifically, an increment of 1 g kg−1 in soil Na caused a rise of soil Cd and Pb by 57.1 mg kg−1 and 34.4 mg kg−1, respectively, while an increase of 1 g kg−1 in soil Fe resulted in a rise by 25.0 mg kg−1 and 14.5 mg kg−1. Similarly for rice grains, an increment of 1 g kg−1 in soil Ca resulted in a rise of rice Pb by 30.8 mg kg−1, whereas an increase of 1 g kg−1 in soil Mg led to a decrease in rice Pb by 14.8 mg kg−1. However, no significant correlation between soil Se and rice Cd concentrations was found. Furthermore, the result of geographically weighted regression revealed that the impacts of soil Na, Ca, Fe, and Mg on rice Cd were more significant in the western region, whereas the effects of soil Na and Fe on rice Pb were stronger in the northeastern region. This study provides new insights for the identification of factors influencing the distribution and accumulation of Cd and Pb in tropical island agroecosystems.
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