Socio-economic Model Research Articles

Relationship between the Human Development Index and public social spending: European experience for Ukraine

This study focuses on the relationship between the Human Development Index (HDI) and public social expenditures, analyzing socio-economic models using the examples of selected European countries and Ukraine. The study used the values of the HDI, GDP, and indicators of public expenditures for social purposes, namely, healthcare, education, leisure, culture and religion, and social protection for the period from 2010 to 2021. The analysis targeted 13 European countries using data sets from Eurostat, the Office for National Statistics of the United Kingdom, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, and the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. The input time series were checked for lagged values using the STATISTICA software.Empirical evidence suggests a relationship between HDI and public social spending. An increase in the share of public social expenditures in GDP leads to an increase in HDI and vice versa. European countries with a social-democratic model of development have the highest level of centralization of public expenditure in GDP (34.72%) and the highest HDI (0.930), while countries belonging to the Southern European model have the lowest share of socially oriented public expenditure (30.41%) and the lowest HDI (0.873). In addition, there is a time lag between the investment of public funds in healthcare, education, leisure, culture and religion, and social protection and their impact on HDI changes. Thus, ensuring a high level of HDI is achieved, among other things, through state financial support for the relevant components of the social sphere and social protection. AcknowledgmentThe study is funded by the EU NextGenerationEU through the Recovery and Resilience Plan for Slovakia under project No. 09I03-03-V01-00130.

Probabilistic crop type mapping for ex-ante modelling and spatial disaggregation

Agricultural land use and management fundamentally impacts the condition of natural resources like waterbodies, soils, and biodiversity. Modelling the anthropogenic effects on those resources over time requires detailed knowledge of the temporal and spatial distribution of crops. However, currently available crop type maps for Europe either lack the required spatial resolution or the temporal and spatial coverage. We develop and apply a probabilistic, spatially explicit crop type mapping approach that is suitable for ex-post and ex-ante modelling. The approach allows to quantify epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty related to estimated crop shares by providing an ensemble of maps. We implement the method for the EU-28 for the years 2010 – 2020, distinguishing between 28 different crop types at 1 km resolution. Based on a model of the data generating process that conceptually links field-, grid cell- and region-level crop acreages, our approach considers soil, climate, and topography information, as well as administrative data. The validation with ground-truthing data for France indicates that the generated crop type maps are plausible. The provided uncertainty intervals capture differences in uncertainty across space and time and correctly identify grid cells and crops where estimations are less precise. The generated maps constitute a unique data product of high practical value, e.g., for agri-environmental modelling applications. We see additional potential in using the approach to disaggregate the regional or national predictions of socio-economic ex-ante prediction models.

Transdisciplinary Research Supports the Sustainability of Barrier Island Systems Threatened by Climate Change

AbstractThe management of developed barrier islands is often piece‐meal and reactionary despite the complex, dynamic nature of these systems, and sustainable practices will become increasingly difficult due to heightened pressures of climate change. Adaptation actions, including nature‐based solutions, need to be thoroughly evaluated prior to implementation to understand system‐wide impacts and avoid maladaptation. Anarde et al. (2024a), (https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ef003672), Anarde et al. (2024b), (https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ef004200) is the latest important contribution in a growing body of transdisciplinary research that more robustly evaluates the complex physical process‐and‐response relationship of barrier systems via sophisticated numerical modeling approaches that also interface with socioeconomic models to inform coastal management actions in response to mitigating coastal risk. This new research indicates the importance of coordinated system‐scale barrier island management, as strategies to reduce coastal hazard risk in one location will directly affect adjacent communities. Further, this work demonstrates that reducing barrier management interventions may actually promote barrier recovery and sustainability in the face of sea level rise. In addition, recent advances in the analysis and application of remotely sensed data from satellites and oblique aerial photography provide scientists an unprecedented opportunity to track coastal evolution over a wide range of spatial and temporal scales at minimal cost. As sea level rise and changing storm patterns challenge the sustainable management of barrier island systems, integrating these advanced, transdisciplinary tools will enable scientists and coastal practitioners to more thoroughly evaluate coastal adaptation options, efficiently invest limited resources to mitigate coastal hazard risk for communities, support healthy ecosystems, and reduce system‐wide impacts.

Global decline in microbial-derived carbon stocks with climate warming and its future projections

Abstract Soil organic carbon (SOC) represents the largest terrestrial pool of organic carbon and is indispensable for mitigating climate change and sustaining soil fertility. As a major component of stable SOC, microbial-derived carbon (MDC) accounts for approximately half of the total SOC and has repercussions on climate feedback. However, our understanding of the spatial and temporal dynamics of MDC stocks is limited, hindering assessments of the long-term impacts of global warming on persistent SOC sequestration in the soil‒atmosphere C cycle. Here, we compiled an extensive global dataset and employed ensemble machine learning techniques to forecast the spatial-temporal dynamics of MDC stocks across 93.4% of the total global land area from 1981 to 2018. Our findings revealed that for every 1°C increase in temperature, there was a global decrease of 6.7 Pg in the soil MDC stock within the predictable areas, equivalent to 1.4% of the total MDC stock or 0.9% of the atmospheric C pool. The tropical regions experienced the most substantial declines in MDC stocks. We further projected future MDC stocks for the next century based on shared socioeconomic pathways, showing a global decline in MDC stocks with a potential 6–37 Pg reduction by 2100 depending on future pathways. We recommend integrating the response of MDC stocks to warming into socioeconomic models to enhance confidence in selecting sustainable pathways.

Main Directions of Modern Transformation and Modernization of Russian Society, Ways to Overcome the Systemic Crisis in the Context of Technological Revolution: Alternative Strategic Development Models

At the present stage of Russia’s development in the prevailing historical conditions, a period of deep conceptual transformations has begun, measures are being taken to free it from its continued dependence on crisis global processes, from the globalism policy of developed imperialist countries. Today, after three periods of permanent systemic crisis, through which Russia went from the early 80s to the early 2000s, the country is emerging from this dependence, returning to its mental ideological and cultural foundations, to state-political, economic, scientific, technical and technological sovereignty, to the status of a world power, renewed civilization, towards the consolidation of society. This period is characterized as a period of transformation and new modernization of society. The article, based on new approaches and methods of a comprehensive historical, sociological and formational-civilizational analysis of the problems of society’s development, examines the issues of the new modernization of society that has begun, analyzes and evaluates the persistent manifestations of the systemic crisis, issues of implementing an innovative anti-crisis management strategy, strategic planning and strategic management. Possible forecasts and alternatives for social development are considered. These processes require a clear, meaningful choice and implementation of a long-term strategy for the dynamic, innovative development of knowledge-intensive sectors of the economy, labor productivity growth, production recovery based on new reindustrialization and the industrial revolution, the development and implementation of achievements of the fifth technological order, scientific, technical, technological, information revolution, the formation of new scientific, human resources, including in the areas of governance of society and the state, ensuring comprehensive security and sovereignty of society and the state, regulatory support for these processes. This implies the choice of a new socio-economic, formational and civilizational model for further progressive development, taking into account positive domestic and foreign experience, and the corresponding ideological basis for these transformations. All this is becoming an urgent issue for the entire spectrum of social and social sciences, for educational practices.

Derivation of Coastal Erosion Susceptibility and Socio-Economic Vulnerability Models for Sustainable Coastal Management in Senegal

Coastal erosion has posed significant challenges to sustainability and socio-economic stability along Senegal’s coastline, leading to substantial infrastructure losses. Using GIS multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), two sub-indices were derived for Senegal’s coastal departments: the physical susceptibility (PSI) and the social-economic vulnerability (SVI) to coastal erosion. The integrated coastal erosion vulnerability (ICER) model was derived by their aggregation. A total of 26 criteria were used, 18 for PSI and 8 for SVI. The criteria weighting coefficients of the sub-indices were determined using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Validation of the model accuracy was performed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves that were calculated based on a created coastal erosion cadaster and true positive (TP) sites and manually acquired true negative (TN) sites. The accuracy assessment confirmed the consistency of the physical susceptibility model (PSI) and proved that existing coastal erosion sites are within (5) very high susceptibility areas. Through the generated ICER, the coastal departments were divided into areas of (1) very low, (2) low, (3) medium, (4) high and (5) very high vulnerability to coastal erosion. Very high (5) and high (4) classes cover around 31% of the coastal departments, mostly encompassing a narrow coastal strip and low river valleys and mouths. The presented coastal susceptibility and vulnerability maps, with a spatial resolution of 30 m, identified problematic areas in Senegal’s coastal departments and can help decision-makers in the construction of effective coastal zone management and sustainable development.

Ownership, freedom, belonging and God: Kibbutzim’s strategies to extend their “sharing” model

Purpose This study proposes a mix of historical, organizational and generational life cycles as explanatory variables for the “sharing style” of intentional communities such as kibbutzim in Israel. It evaluates the effectiveness of four strategies, namely, economic ownership, ultimate personal freedom, sense of belonging and religious belief employed by kibbutzim to sustain their lifestyles as sharing communities.Design/methodology/approach The study’s data collection methods include a mix of literature review and content analysis of interviews and observations conducted by the study’s researchers over a period of twenty years.Findings Environmental uncertainty, which served as one of the main motivators for the establishment of kibbutzim, has been diminished over their life cycle, forcing them to change their socioeconomic model of sharing. Most kibbutzim elected to employ the household’s economic private ownership strategy to move from the “maturity” to the “renewal” lifecycle stage, thereby avoiding “decline.” Three representative kibbutzim chose to deploy ultimate personal freedom, enhanced sense of belonging and shared religious practice strategies to reach the renewal stage.Practical implications Current crises, such as weather disasters, pandemics and wars, have demonstrated the justification for the existence of shared leadership communities. This study considers the advantages and pitfalls of economic and psychological conditions necessary for sustaining such communities over the period of their life cycles. We propose that out of the four strategies analyzed, only the strategy of economic private ownership can be sustained under conditions of global, national and commune’s increasing levels of individualism.Originality/value This study introduces historical, organizational and generational elements into the commonly described construct of organizational and product life cycles. It describes four variations of the communal sharing socioeconomic model that have been adopted to combat the degradation of the communes into the decline stage and evaluate their viability. The study therefore generalizes life cycle theory to non-for-profit organizations, making life cycle theory more specific.

The process of neolithization and consequent changes in the region of Istanbul

During the last few decades, our knowledge of processes leading to the establishment of food-producing communities in regions peripheral or exterior to that of the core areas of primary neolithization has increased considerably, making it possible to better understand the interaction of migrant farmers with local indigenous communities and how they adapted to environmental conditions that were much different from the places they came from. The paper will limit its focus to discussing the process of neolithization in the region around Istanbul, where the emigrant farmers merged with the Mesolithic community of the Ağaçlɩ culture and developed a new socio-economic model forming the Fikirtepe culture.

Institutional peculiarities of the functioning of the economy of Ukraine in the conditions of martial law

The paper shows that the peculiarities of the state of war force the state to reorient its resources and attention to solving critical tasks related to ensuring national security and overcoming the consequences of war. As a result, the priorities of formation, redistribution and use of resources change, which affects the socio-economic model of the state. However, the limiting conditions for adjusting the model of the national economy in the conditions of war are: preserving its economic potential and maintaining viability, which will ensure the future development of the country and its post-war recovery. It is shown that since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine, the share of the military-industrial complex and related industries in the overall structure of the economy has increased. These changes caused significant difficulties for the economy of Ukraine, but also opened up new opportunities for adaptation and development in crisis conditions. Increasing investment in the military industry, developing new logistics routes and diversifying the economy can become part of the country's recovery and development strategies after the war. It has been proven that positive changes in regulatory and legal support, aimed at facilitating business conditions, are necessary, but not sufficient. In order to solve the fundamental problems of the loss of sales markets and opportunities for continued economic activity, strategic measures are needed, including the restoration of infrastructure, support for exporters, stimulation of business relocation and support of labor resources. It is substantiated that the institutional features of the functioning of the economy of Ukraine under martial law are related to the formation of a hybrid model, which is a synthesis of two models, namely: the model of the military economy, designed to meet military needs and vital goods and services, as well as the model of the civilian economy, designed to meet the needs of the population. A comprehensive solution to the outlined problems requires coordination of the efforts of the government, business and international partners to ensure the stability and development of Ukraine's economy in the conditions of the war and after its end, as well as to ensure its sustainable development in the future.

A method to describe attenuation of river contamination under peak flows: Can the public water supply from Paraopeba River finally return after the Brumadinho dam disaster?

Tailings dams' disasters begin a stage of river water contamination with no endpoint at first sight. But when the river was formerly used for public water supply and the use was suspended as consequence of a dam break, a time window for safe suspension lift must be anticipated to help water managers. The purpose of this study was to seek for that moment in the case of Brumadinho dam disaster which occurred in 2019 and injected millions of cubic meters of iron- and manganese-rich tailings into the Paraopeba River, leading to the suspension of public water supply to Belo Horizonte metropolitan region with this resource, until now. To accomplish the proposed goal, an assemblage of artificial intelligence and socio-economic development models were used to anticipate precipitation, river discharge and metal concentrations (iron, manganese) until 2033. Then, the ratios of metal concentrations between impacted and non-impacted sites were determined and values representing extreme events of river discharge were selected for further assessment. A ratio ≈1 generally indicates a similarity between impacted and non-impacted areas or, put another way, a return of impacted areas to a pre-rupture condition. Moreover, when the ratio is estimated under the influence of peak flows, then a value of ≈1 indicates a return to pre-rupture conditions under the most unfavorable hydrologic regimes, thus a safe return. So, the extreme ratios were plotted against time and fitted to a straight line with intercept-x representing the requested safe time. The results pointed to 6.57 years after the accident, while using iron as contaminant indicator, or 8.71 years when manganese was considered. Despite of being a relatively low-risk timeframe, the suspension lift should be implemented in phases and monitored for precaution of potential sporadic contamination events, while dredging of the tailings from impacted areas should continue and be accelerated.

Specific Effect of Innovation Factors on Socioeconomic Development of Countries in View of the Global Crisis

Although the coronavirus pandemic has now faded into the background, the global crisis caused by COVID-19 has had the most devastating impacts worldwide. Given the potential relapse of such unexpected and uncertain events, it is vital to specify the patterns thereof and develop proactive measures for the countries to acquire an advanced readiness to deal with the related incidents. The most infected countries faced an increase in business bankruptcies, unemployment and inflation rates, low production volumes, and a decline in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). To withstand such socioeconomic consequences, the countries had to employ a number of measures, with innovation development acceleration being one. This paper aims to assess the dependency of an increase in GDP and a decrease in inflation and unemployment rates on the country-level growth of innovation development according to such Global Innovation Index (GII) pillars as institutions, human capital and research, infrastructure, market sophistication, business sophistication, knowledge and technology outputs, and creative outputs. The conducted research analysis covered the period from 2019 to 2022 based on the data for the GII pillar development level and economic performance indicators for 20 countries from five socioeconomic models. Descriptive and comparative statistics as well as correlation and regression analysis were used to prove the innovation development to be a key driver in increasing GDP and reducing inflation. To increase the GDP value, special attention should be paid to such GII pillars as institutions and human capital and research, while infrastructure and human capital and research are the pillars to reduce the inflation rates.

Agent-Based Modeling for Household Decision-Making in Adoption of Private Flood Mitigation Measures: The Upper Kan Catchment Case Study

Residential areas in developing arid and semi-arid countries are highly vulnerable to flooding, and water shortages have forced their inhabitants to live close to rivers. While climate change is expected to cause more extreme weather conditions in the future, adopting private loss-reduction measures can diminish flood risk. Although the number of flood models has grown significantly for developing arid and semi-arid lands, these models suffer from being incapable of performing micro-scale flood risk analysis and including household behaviors. This research work presents a novel socio-economic simulation model in the framework of flood risk management (FRM) to couple household adaptive responses with flood risk analysis. Agent-based modeling (ABM) embeds human behaviors in a flood-simulating environment. The focus of this research is the upper Kan catchment in Iran with a long history of severe flash flooding. Our results show the ability of the developed framework to address household participation in FRM activities through private precautionary measures. Moreover, the results indicate the importance of presenting such micro-level behaviors in flood modeling for a more realistic flood risk assessment. It is also demonstrated that household adaptation in a continuous way can lead to less flood risks in the region, even under climate change and the future economy. Finally, the results reveal that the remaining and diminished regional flood risks are influenced by the behavioral framework through which the individuals make decisions in adopting flood-loss-reduction measures. A similar pattern is, however, observed in household contributions over time among the discussed behavioral approaches.

Fluvial flood inundation and socio-economic impact model based on open data

Abstract. Fluvial floods are destructive hazards that affect millions of people worldwide each year. Forecasting flood events and their potential impacts therefore is crucial for disaster preparation and mitigation. Modeling flood inundation based on extreme value analysis of river discharges is an alternative to physical models of flood dynamics, which are computationally expensive. We present the implementation of a globally applicable, open-source fluvial flood model within a state-of-the-art risk modeling framework. It uses openly available data to rapidly compute flood inundation footprints of historic and forecasted events for the estimation of associated impacts. For the example of Pakistan, we use this flood model to compute flood depths and extents and employ it to estimate population displacement due to floods. Comparing flood extents to satellite data reveals that incorporating estimated flood protection standards does not necessarily improve the flood footprint computed by the model. We further show that, after calibrating the vulnerability of the impact model to a single event, the estimated displacement caused by past floods is in good agreement with disaster reports. Finally, we demonstrate that this calibrated model is suited for probabilistic impact-based forecasting.

SOCIOECONOMIC MODEL OF SHELLFISH RESOURCES IN SEMBILANG NATIONAL PARK BANYUASIN REGENCY SOUTH SUMATRA

The Sembilang National Park area has blood cockle (Anadara granosa) resources. Catching blood cockles is done traditionally, namely using hands at low tide. To maintain shellfish resources, it is necessary to analyze the factors that influence socioeconomic catches. The aim of this research is to calculate and analyze the factors that influence and determine the best socio-economic model for shellfish resources in Sembilang National Park. This research was carried out in February 2022 in the waters of Sembilang National Park. Determining the number of respondents and collecting data in this study used the incidental sampling method and data collection was carried out by interviews using questionnaires. Model assumption testing includes normality test, linearity test, multicollinearity test, heteroscedasticity test and autocorrelation test. Best fit model uses a multiple linear regression equation approach with the backward analysis regression method, namely Y = -1456.315 + 0.116X1 + 1.514 X2 + 2.547 X3 - 12.558 X 7 + ε. Factors that influence the number of catches of shellfish resources in Sembilang National Park, Banyuasin Regency are the selling price of shellfish, operating costs, income and number of dependents. Keywords: Shellfish resources, best fit model, Sembilang National Park, Socioeconomics.

Transitioning complex socioeconomic modeling to informed and visualized decision-making: A tightly coupled planning support system

The integration of urban models into decision-making remains challenging, primarily attributed to the complex nature of urban mechanisms. This study develops a PSS with sufficient methodological complexity to examine socioeconomic dynamics while simultaneously delivering modeling results in a manner that is understandable to non-expert stakeholders for informed decision-making. This paper tests, applies and implements the system in a real-life case at a fine scale collaborating with Sangamon County Regional Planning Commissions. It explores regional socioeconomic mechanisms across economic sectors addressing multicollinearity, projects potential consequences of an investment plan, and develops a web-based PSS tool for their informed decision-making. Our results identify how each economic sector behaves differently concerning location choices for future developments impacted by the investment, necessitating the use of differentiated planning approaches tailored to each sector. Findings underscore the value of assessing the heterogeneity of dynamic land development with spatial explicitness for informed decisions. We advocate for the delivery of this modeling via an interactive PSS platform, fostering responsive and collaborative dialogues. This paper contributes not only to the development of an integrated modeling framework but also to the planning literature, bridging the gap between complexity and accessibility in decision-making.

Amílcar Cabral, Colonial Soil and the Politics of Insubmission

This article discusses the concept of ‘insubmission’. This concept is the cornerstone of Amílcar Cabral’s critical theory. Introduced in his early agronomic writings, it refers to the human species’ refusal to submit to the nature of which we are always a part. The context is the anticolonial critique of traditional European humanism. Insubmission is Cabral’s response to the dehumanizing effects of colonialism and the environmental impact of anthropocentric extractivism that accompanies it. As a linchpin in Cabral’s theoretical framework, insubmission serves to structure and impart meaning to other concepts. Notably, it provides fresh insights into the multifaceted concept of ‘resistance’. Cabral underscores the imperative of combating dehumanization through physical fortitude (physical and armed resistance), intellectual resilience (cultural resistance), and institutional strength (political resistance). Additionally, it emphasizes the necessity of averting environmental catastrophes through a socio-economic development model (economic resistance) underpinned by a resolute ethical commitment to responsible soil conservation practices.

Degrowth pedagogies: a manifesto for Earth-centred theatre training

I am proposing a manifesto for degrowth pedagogies. Designed for Higher Education institutions and theatre pedagogues, I argue the need to develop a system of theatre training based on degrowth theory. Developed from French intellectual thought in the early 1970s, degrowth diagnoses the climate, ecological, socio-political and spiritual crises, as symptoms of capitalism’s growth imperative, with its impulse for ever-increasing productivity in spite of the direct and ever-increasing detriment to people and planet. The theatre sector exists in a position of subservience to this growth-centric, socio-economic model – under pressure to adopt growthist practices in theatrical production, such as high-carbon international touring; ideological conformism to attract ‘greenwashing’ corporate funding; among other phenomena. Yet, to avoid contributing to climate, ecological and societal breakdown, the theatre sector will need to understand and adopt degrowth practices. Theatre pedagogy is an ideal site to affect change. Theatre training institutions must undergo a transition towards new ways of serving their students, as well as local and global communities, while inviting new generations of theatre-makers to create differently; to consider how the aesthetics, forms and material realities of their practice can embody ‘slow’ and degrowth theatre.

ANALYSIS OF UKRAINE’S COMPETITIVENESS: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS OF EUROPEAN INTEGRATION

The article analyzes the competitiveness of Ukraine, identifies problems and outlines the prospects and consequences of the country’s European integration aspirations. A retrospective review of the development of the country’s economic model was conducted in order to evaluate the effectiveness of the implementation of reforms and identify errors that affected the place and role of the domestic economy in the world markets of goods and capital. This made it possible to single out certain comparative characteristics with the main theories of international trade and international investment. It was noted that unsuccessful attempts to quickly transform from a command-administrative economy to a mixed market system led to a loss of industrial potential and, accordingly, negatively affected the structure of foreign trade relations and the investment climate, which in turn led to a drop in the level of competitiveness of Ukraine. Along with this, the analysis of the key indicators of socio-economic development indicates certain positive changes in the period 2002-2012, which was reflected in the dynamics of GDP growth, an increase in incoming investment flows, stabilization of inflation at the targeted level and overall improved welfare of society. However, the uncertainty and constant change of the vector of economic integration together with the change of power led to the deterioration of the state’s economic condition and made sustainable economic growth impossible. The period of revival of business and investment activity in the post-Covid 2021 year was replaced by a deep crisis with the beginning of the war. At the same time, the aspiration of our state to join the European community nevertheless gave a powerful impetus to the implementation and implementation of innovative reforms, which made it possible to achieve certain success in the direction of digitalization, infrastructure development, and further implementation of educational, medical, and social reforms even during the conduct of military operations. Currently, on the way to European integration, Ukraine is overcoming the difficult path of transforming its economic system to the requirements and values of the EU. Our country, together with the European Union, needs to solve the issues of labor migration and refugees, the introduction of a duty-free regime for domestic goods, the creation of a safe investment climate, etc. And there is not always unity in the choice of tools for solving these issues in the EU countries. Ukraine needs to use its advantages in logistics, geographical location, labor and natural resources, develop an industrial direction, introduce modern technologies, improve its energy independence and take an active part in integration processes. Finding compromises and political will allow Ukraine to successfully reform the socio-economic model and become a full member of the EU.

New Developmentalism Under Neoliberalism: The Case of Brazil

This study provides a comprehensive analysis of Brazil's socioeconomic policies and growth models under the Brazilian Workers Party from 2003 to 2016. It examines two key growth models implemented in this process: namely, primary-export led and domestic consumption-oriented growth models. By utilizing official statistics and secondary sources, it shows that primary exports were the driving force behind economic growth in Brazil until 2006. It also indicates that after 2006, despite not being the main facilitator of economic growth, the exporting sectors continued to support the current account balance in Brazil, thanks to increasing global demand and prices for Brazilian primary commodities. Nevertheless, the post-2006 period in Brazil witnessed an increasing weight of domestic consumption in growth dynamics. This mainly results from expanding social transfers and income distribution programs, growing employment, and increasing minimum wages. The study demonstrates that Brazil's inclusive growth model was not sustainable due to the strong dependence of domestic accumulation on foreign capital inflows and external demand.

ASSESSMENT OF THE APPROACH TO MEASURING MINERAL RESOURCES IN THE CONTEXT OF THE TRANSITION TO A SOCIO-ECONOMIC MODEL OF BUSINESS REPORTING: THE CASE OF THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA

The article studies and evaluates the trend of measurement of mineral resources adopted in the Republic of Moldova for its compliance with the imperative of transition to the socio-economic model of reporting. The trend analysis has shown that in the national economy there is a tendency of dominance of the contribution of processing enterprises of non-metallic raw materials and construction industry in the formation of macroeconomic indicators, which contradicts the essence of the activity of these enterprises - their secondary character in relation to the enterprises of extractive industry. The paper utilizes quantitative and qualitative analysis using the contribution coefficient and the coefficient of contribution of one notional percent of the identified economic activity to the selected macroeconomic indicators. The aggregate data on indicators of the identified enterprises of the real sector of the economy used in the calculations were obtained from the official database of the National Bureau of Statistics. The obtained results allowed to reveal an asymmetric approach in structuring the contribution to macroeconomic indicators of the identified branches of the real sector of the economy of the Republic of Moldova. The reason for this phenomenon is the adopted model of valuation based on the cost of mineral resources, which ignores their value under constrained conditions.