Social Stability Risk Research Articles

Mapping Risk Strategy of Social Stability Risk Considering Causal Relationships for Energy Infrastructure Projects

Social stability risk posed by energy infrastructure projects can seriously affect urban sustainable development. There is thus a need to better understand how risk strategies are designed. However, there is few considerations on risk strategy design by breaking causal relationships. This research innovatively explores social stability risk variables by content mining, develops causal relationships of the social stability risk variables via Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) method, explores core risk variables and critical causal relationships by social network analysis (SNA) method, designs and validates risk strategies. The findings show that: 1) From the overall risk network perspective, the risk network contain 8 core risk variables. 2) From individual risk network perspective, there are 75 critical causal relationships. The top 3 critical causal relationships contain: projects that destroy the cultural landscape would be regarded as threating national security, which often inspires demonstrations among the local people and the line betweenness is the largest (35.589). Traffic congestion by the project is the main reason to cause local small-scale public petition, and the line betweenness is 35.075. Projects that threaten the ecological environment often bring psychological rejection of the project by the local public, and the line betweenness is 30.837. 3) Two scenarios are evaluated in terms of basic scenario and the experiment group scenario. Compared with the basic scenario, risk strategies considering causal relationships have significant effectiveness. The overall risk network density has reduced by 35.22%. The clustering coefficients has decreased by 16.20%. Intermediate central potential has reduced by 9.49%. This study offers a good reference for project managers to complete the sustainable risk control.

Study on the Evolutionary Mechanism of Social Stability Risk of Major Public Health Emergencies

The outbreak of major public health emergencies and the spread of epidemics often seriously threaten people's lives, hinder normal economic development, and even endanger social order and lead to social instability, therefore, it is important to study the evolution mechanism of social stability risk of major public health emergencies. Based on the definition of social stability risk of public health emergencies and identification of major risk categories based on existing research results, the evolution mechanism of social stability risk of public health emergencies is analyzed using social combustion theory, and relevant suggestions are made from the perspective of the three elements of social combustion in order to provide reference for risk management.

A stakeholder perspective on social stability risk of public–private partnerships project for water environmental governance in China: A social network analysis

The pluralism of stakeholders in PPP project for water environmental governance and the complex interrelationship among stakeholders are the important factors affecting social stability risk. Previous studies have mainly focused on risk identification and assessment. We aim to investigate the key social risks of PPP project for water environmental governance, to understand which social risks stakeholders are concerned about, and what interactions they follow. First, relevant risks and their interrelationships were investigated through a literature review and interviews. Second, the key social stability risks were identified based on social network analysis. Third, strategies were proposed to mitigate the social stability risks. The results show that government corruption, government intervention risk, approved risk, poor contract design risk price change and policy and regulation risk are the key risks with the highest in/out-degree, centrality and ego network size. Four core stakeholder groups (i.e., government, contractors, project companies, and the public and the media) and four core challenges (i.e., difficulties in financing, lack of mass incidents prevention mechanism, incomplete project schedule control system and improper handling of benefit compensation issues) have intensive relationships. We concluded that controlling the complicated relationships among four core stakeholder groups can reduce the social stability risks. The social network analysis framework combining stakeholder management and risk management provides a reference for the management of PPP projects for water environmental governance.

Evaluation of Social Stability Risk of Adjusting Goods Vehicle Calculation Method Based on Optimal Combination Weighting—Cloud Model

In order to solve the social stability risk problem of the adjusting goods vehicle calculation method (AGVCM) in the cancellation of toll stations at expressway provincial boundaries, a social stability risk evaluation model was proposed. Firstly, based on the possible time stages of the AGVCM, we built the social stability risk evaluation index system of the AGVCM including 4 levels, 3 grades, and 60 indicators. Secondly, we used the semantic information of cloud model to transform qualitative description and quantitative evaluation, calculated the risk level for social stability risk evaluation of AGVCM according to an integrated cloud algorithm, and proposed an optimal combination weighting—cloud model for the social stability risk evaluation of AGVCM. Finally, the feasibility of the evaluation model is verified by a case study in Yunnan province in China. The results showed that the cloud model’s numerical characteristic of social stability risk evaluation of AGVCM in Yunnan based on the optimal combination weighting—cloud model is (0.28, 0.073, 0.0008), implying the risk level is “small” and the conclusion is basically consistent with current standards. The model contains rich process information, which is helpful to better effectively eliminate the subjectivity and arbitrariness in the evaluation process of identifying the key factors affecting the project risk level.

Social stability risk assessment and economic competitiveness in China

Social stability risk assessment (SSRA) has become the mainstream policy instrument for assessing potential risks of large-scale development projects across all sectors in China. In this paper, fuzzy qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) is used to quantify the impact of SSRA policy on economic competitiveness across China’s 31 provinces using a SSRA policy dataset (2003–2020) and a provincial economic competitiveness dataset (2019–2020). QCA combines Boolean algebra and set theory to identify configurations of conditions that are necessary or sufficient for a given outcome. Rather than following the mainstream statistical method of developing a single causal model that best fits the data, QCA explores multiple concurrent causality. A typology of SSRA policies was developed to guide our analysis. The research concluded that to support high economic competitiveness within provinces, SSRA policies must be structured around solving social stability problems and addressing a specific industry issue (e.g., pollution) in a particular industry (e.g., resources). Policies that only include one of these factors or that focus on the performance of government officials were found to contribute to low economic competitiveness. Reorienting the focus of SSRA policies could support more rigorous risk assessments and enhance economic competitiveness, particularly in provinces that host large-scale development projects. These findings have implications for China’s policymakers given their dual objectives of driving economic reform while maintaining a harmonious society.

Risk Coupling Evaluation of Social Stability of Major Engineering Based on N-K Model

In view of the sociality, complexity, and uncertainty of major engineering projects, social stability poses many problems for social contradictions and conflicts in the whole life cycle of the project. This study aimed to investigate the approach of the coupling evaluation method to analyze the coupling influence of social stability risk factors of major projects. First, the potential risk factors of internal and external social stability risk of major projects were abstracted based on literature research and case analysis, and a bow-tie model and a coupling evaluation index system were constructed. Then, a N-K model of social stability risk coupling evaluation of major projects was constructed based on complex network, and the probability and risk value of the coupling of different risk factors were calculated. The studies showed that the coupling ways of social stability risk factors of major projects influence the social stability risk. Multi-factor risk coupling will increase the probability of social stability risk of major projects. The study of this paper provides a theoretical basis for the social stability risk management decision-making of major projects and promotes the sustainable development of major projects.

Social Stability Risk Assessment of Disaster-Preventive Migration in Ethnic Minority Areas of Southwest China.

Disaster-preventive migration (DPM) is an important method for disaster risk management, but migration itself entails a potential social stability risk. This study took County D in Yunnan Province, one of the counties most severely threatened by geological disasters in China, as an example to construct an indicator system of social stability risk factors for disaster-preventive migration based on a literature survey and in-depth interviews. The system consists of 5 first-level risk factors and 14 s-level risk factors. The social stability risk of DPM in County D was assessed using a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based on experts’ weights. The results showed that the overall social stability risk level of disaster-preventive migration in County D is ‘high’. In terms of importance, the five first-level risk factors were ranked as follows: public opinion risk > compensation risk > livelihood recovery risk > cultural risk > geological disaster risk. Among the risk factors, the level of public opinion risk and compensation risk appeared to be high, whereas that of livelihood recovery risk, cultural risk and geological disaster risk resulted to be medium. To our knowledge, this paper is the first research to evaluate the social stability risk of DPM; it not only enriches the theories of social stability risk assessment, but also has important guiding significance for people relocation and resettlement in Chinese ethnic minority areas.

A Design Method for the Roadside Clear Zone Based on Accident Simulation Analysis

In order to improve the safety design of roadside areas and reduce the loss of roadside accidents, this paper uses PC-Crash software to perform an accident simulation analysis. By recording the track of the vehicle after entering the roadside, the recommended widths of the roadside clear zone for different operating speeds and horizontal curve radii in straight and curved sections are given. According to our previous research data, the conditions for setting the roadside clear zone are proposed. Finally, based on a cost-benefit ratio analysis, a comprehensive risk index method is adopted to evaluate the social stability risk of the project and conduct research on the design method of the roadside clear zone. The results show that the width of the roadside clear zone has an exponential relation with the departure speed and a power relation with the horizontal curve radius. The research results realize the accurate calculation of the roadside clear zone width and fill in the gaps of the relevant specifications and guidelines in the setting conditions of the roadside clear zone.

Research on the Risk of Social Stability of Enterprise Credit Supervision Mechanism Based on Big Data

The study aims to establish a platform-based enterprise credit supervision mechanism, and combined with big data, accurately evaluate the credit assets of enterprises under the influence of social stability risk, and improve the ability of enterprises to deal with risks. Using descriptive statistical methods, the study shows that most local enterprises exist in the form of micro loans, which promotes the development of local economy to a certain extent, but it is a vicious cycle of economic development; The overall prediction accuracy of the single enterprise risk assessment model under the influence of social stability risk is 65%. Compared with the single algorithm, the prediction accuracy of the integrated algorithm model is significantly improved, and the prediction accuracy can reach 83.5%, the standard deviation of data prediction is small, and the stability of the model is high.

Establishment of social stability risks evaluation model based on GAHP and IVHFSs

The construction of hydraulic projects inevitably involves land requisition and resettlement, with considerable impact on the society, the environment, and the economy of the project site, and leading to social stability risk events. Therefore, it is necessary to systematically assess social stability risk to put forward corresponding countermeasures. By applying WSR theory (Wuli-Shili-Renli Theory) to the investigation of the case-study of the Jiangxiang Reservoir Project, this paper constructs an evaluation index system for the risk to social stability from land requisition and resettlement, from the three dimensions of “physics”, “matter”, and “human principle”. The GAHP (Group-decision Analytic Hierarchy Process) method is used to determine the index weights, while the index values of each risk factor are determined by using the interval valued hesitant fuzzy sets (IVHFSs) method. A comprehensive assessment of risks to social stability from land requisition and resettlement in the Jiangxiang Reservoir Project is performed, and coping strategies for major social stability risk factors are proposed. This paper effectively supports the development of assessments of risks to social stability from land requisition and resettlement in other hydraulic projects.

Preliminary Study on Social Stability Risk Assessment of Land Integrated Renovation Project: A Case Study of Shichuan River Project in Fuping

Many uncertain factors in the construction of major projects may lead to social stability risk events. Taking the land integrated renovation project of Shichuan River (Urban Section) in Fuping as an example, this paper discusses the connotation of social stability risk in the land renovation project, and claims that during the construction and management of the land integrated renovation project of the Shichuan River (Urban Section) the risk of land acquisition and demolition and the risk of environmental damage are the more important risk factors in the identification of social stability risk.

Social Stability Risk Diffusion of Large Complex Engineering Projects Based on an Improved SIR Model: A Simulation Research on Complex Networks

The development of China’s new urbanization has driven the rapid increase in large complex engineering projects, which have the characteristics of large‐scale investment, long‐term construction, and wide social influence, easily causing benefit conflicts among relevant stakeholders, and breaking out social stability risks. In the previous research, the risks of large complex engineering projects mainly concentrated on the assessment of economic risk, schedule risk, etc. However, there were few studies on social risks, and they did not consider how the risks spread on the complex networks based on the social connections such as interpersonal relationship. From the subject of social stability risk diffusion of large complex engineering projects, this paper constructs a related risk diffusion model based on the SIR model to analyze risk diffusion mechanism. Through NetLogo simulation platform, the model is placed under a small‐world network environment that is closest to the topology structure of real social interpersonal relationship network for simulation research, aiming to find out key factors of social stability risk intervention for large complex engineering projects, which greatly contributes to the social stability risk management of large complex engineering projects.

富平石川河综合整治项目社会稳定风险评估初探

富平石川河综合整治项目社会稳定风险评估初探

Qualitative Analysis method for Social Stability Risk of Environmental Engineering Projects

Lately, ecological building ventures because of social needs and expanded danger additionally will be standardized. In 2014, the Blue Book called attention to that lately, the quantity of get-togethers brought about by different social logical inconsistencies. Where the ecological mass episodes are different with 30% yearly development. In a wide range of ecological clashes, natural designing tasks clashes are rising. The scholarly network has step by step completed the development of significant ventures of social solidness hazard appraisal rules, assessment record framework and different endeavors to normalize the execution of the task research, and accomplished more productive examination results.

Research on the Prevention and Control of the Generation of Social Public Opinion Risk in Network Events

<p>The social public opinion risk of network events evolves with the development of public opinion, and it can be divided into trust risk, social stability risk, information security risk, and values risk. The main reasons for these risks are government and media work failures, and the masses have problems in emotional control, technology use, and values establishment. Based on the above reasons, some requirements for management of government and media can be put forward, and there are feasible suggestions in maintaining information security cutting off untrue statements and shaping values and self-confidence.</p>

Social stability risk assessment: status, trends and prospects —a case of land acquisition and resettlement in the hydropower sector

ABSTRACT Social Impact Assessment (SIA) is widely used in the field of international evaluation, but its application in China has been limited. Based on the dual requirements of developing the economy and maintaining stability, social stability risk assessment (SSRA) systems have come into being in China at a historic moment. Starting from the similarities and differences between SIA and SSRA, this paper reviews the influencing factors, sources, evaluation methods, existing problems and suggestions of SSRA in major decision-making, policy, reform and construction projects. On this basis, considering Wudongde hydropower station as an example, the social stability risk of land acquisition and resettlement (LAR) is assessed by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) methods. The research shows that relying solely on SIA or SSRA makes it difficult to meet the social risk management requirements of major matters. SIA should be identified as a necessary link, and SSRA content should be embedded in SIA to achieve effective integration of the two.

Social Stability Risk Analysis of Large-scale Engineering Construction Projects Based on SEM

Social Stability Risk Analysis of Large-scale Engineering Construction Projects Based on SEM

Social Stability Risk Assessment of Land Expropriation: Lessons from the Chinese Case.

Scholars have paid much attention to the problems existing in the land expropriation risk assessment system and the sound countermeasures from a qualitative perspective. Empirical research on land expropriation social stability risk assessment from the micro-level perspective is limited. This study analyzed the Chinese social stability risk assessment system of land expropriation though a case study of a land expropriation project in China. The current social stability risk assessment system of land expropriation, which includes the assessment purposes, principles, contents, methods, and results, was analyzed. We concluded with lessons and deficiencies from the current social stability risk assessment system. The research findings show that: (1) the current land expropriation risk assessment system mostly takes the land administration department as the main body of responsibility, identifies the risks by means of seminars, visits, letters, and visits, and takes the opinion of the masses or experts as the risk assessment result. (2) The current land expropriation risk assessment system should be standardized in terms of defining the risk assessment of land expropriation, improving the land expropriation risk assessment system and optimizing land expropriation assessment procedures. This paper provides a reference for the sustainable development of land use in rural and urban areas in China.

Social stability risk assessment of NIMBY major projects by OWA, matter-element, and cloud model

Social stability risk assessment of NIMBY major projects by OWA, matter-element, and cloud model

Single Factor Risk Analysis of Social Stability Risk in Engineering Project—Risk in Land and House Expropriation

As new industrialization and new urbanization accelerates, the land demand increases sharply with the increase of project construction. Around the city land and house Expropriation has become an important work of new urbanization and people's vital interests. However, the social conflicts caused by the land and house expropriation shows the tendency of increase year by year. Land and housing expropriation risk becomes one of the main factors that cause social instability, is the important social stability risk assessment evaluation content. Land and buildings on the social stability risk factors mainly reflected in the scope of housing land expropriation and requisition, housing land expropriation and requisition compensation funds, resettle households, expropriation compensation standards, expropriation procedures and plans, special land and buildings expropriation and requisition, the job and life of the masses, contribute to the other compensation.