Daily Snow Research Articles

SnowClim v1.0: high-resolution snow model and data for the western United States

Abstract. Seasonal snowpack dynamics shape the biophysical and societal characteristics of many global regions. However, snowpack accumulation and duration have generally declined in recent decades, largely due to anthropogenic climate change. Mechanistic understanding of snowpack spatiotemporal heterogeneity and climate change impacts will benefit from snow data products that are based on physical principles, simulated at high spatial resolution, and cover large geographic domains. Most existing datasets do not meet these requirements, hindering our ability to understand both contemporary and changing snow regimes and to develop adaptation strategies in regions where snowpack patterns and processes are important components of Earth systems. We developed a computationally efficient process-based snow model, SnowClim, that can be run in the cloud. The model was evaluated and calibrated at Snowpack Telemetry (SNOTEL) sites across the western United States (US), achieving a site-median root-mean-squared error for daily snow water equivalent (SWE) of 64 mm, bias in peak SWE of −2.6 mm, and bias in snow duration of −4.5 d when run hourly. Positive biases were found at sites with mean winter temperature above freezing where the estimation of precipitation phase is prone to errors. The model was applied to the western US (a domain covering 3.1 million square kilometers) using newly developed forcing data created by statistically downscaling pre-industrial, historical, and pseudo-global warming climate data from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The resulting product is the SnowClim dataset, a suite of summary climate and snow metrics, including monthly SWE and snow depth, as well as annual maximum SWE and snow cover duration, for the western US at 210 m spatial resolution (Lute et al., 2021). The physical basis, large extent, and high spatial resolution of this dataset enable novel analyses of changing hydroclimate and its implications for natural and human systems.

Leveraging Machine Learning and Geo-Tagged Citizen Science Data to Disentangle the Factors of Avian Mortality Events at the Species Level

Abrupt environmental changes can affect the population structures of living species and cause habitat loss and fragmentations in the ecosystem. During August–October 2020, remarkably high mortality events of avian species were reported across the western and central United States, likely resulting from winter storms and wildfires. However, the differences of mortality events among various species responding to the abrupt environmental changes remain poorly understood. In this study, we focused on three species, Wilson’s Warbler, Barn Owl, and Common Murre, with the highest mortality events that had been recorded by citizen scientists. We leveraged the citizen science data and multiple remotely sensed earth observations and employed the ensemble random forest models to disentangle the species responses to winter storm and wildfire. We found that the mortality events of Wilson’s Warbler were primarily impacted by early winter storms, with more deaths identified in areas with a higher average daily snow cover. The Barn Owl’s mortalities were more identified in places with severe wildfire-induced air pollution. Both winter storms and wildfire had relatively mild effects on the mortality of Common Murre, which might be more related to anomalously warm water. Our findings highlight the species-specific responses to environmental changes, which can provide significant insights into the resilience of ecosystems to environmental change and avian conservations. Additionally, the study emphasized the efficiency and effectiveness of monitoring large-scale abrupt environmental changes and conservation using remotely sensed and citizen science data.

Synoptic control over winter snowfall variability observed in a remote site of Apennine Mountains (Italy), 1884–2015

Abstract. This work presents a new, very long snowfall time series collected in a remote site of Italian Apennine mountains (Montevergine Observatory, 1280 m above sea level). After a careful check, based on quality control tests and homogenization procedures, the available data (i.e. daily height of new snow) have been aggregated over winter season (December–February) to study the long-term variability for the period 1884–2020. The main evidence emerging from this analysis lies in (i) the strong interannual variability of winter snowfall amounts, (ii) the absence of a relevant trend from the late 19th century to the mid-1970s, (iii) the strong reduction in the snowfall amount and frequency of occurrence from the mid-1970s to the end of the 1990s and (iv) the increase in average snowfall amount and frequency of occurrence in the past 20 years. Moreover, this study shed light on the relationship between the snowfall variability observed in Montevergine and the large-scale atmospheric circulation. Six different synoptic types, describing the meteorological scenarios triggering the snow events in the study area, have been identified by means of a cluster analysis, using two essential atmospheric variables, the 500 hPa geopotential height and the sea level pressure (both retrieved from the third version of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis dataset, which is available for the 1884–2015 period). Such patterns trace out scenarios characterized by the presence of a blocking high-pressure anomaly over Scandinavia or the North Atlantic and by a cold air outbreak involving both maritime and continental cold air masses. A further analysis demonstrates that the identified synoptic types are strongly related with different teleconnection patterns, i.e. the Arctic Oscillation (AO), the Eastern Atlantic Western Russia (EAWR), the Eastern Mediterranean Pattern (EMP), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Scandinavian pattern (SCAND), that govern the European winter atmospheric variability. The relevant decline in snowfall frequency and amounts between the 1970s and 1990s can be mainly ascribed to the strong positive trend of AO and NAO indices, which determined, in turn, a decrease in the incidence of patterns associated with the advection, in central Mediterranean area, of moist and cold arctic maritime air masses. The recent increase in average snowfall amounts can be explained by the reverse trend of the AO index and by the prevalence of a neutral or negative EAWR pattern.

Employing Family Caregivers: An Innovative Health Care Model.

Employing Family Caregivers: An Innovative Health Care Model.

How do snow cover fraction change and respond to climate in Altai Mountains of China?

AbstractInvestigating the spatial and temporal changes in snow cover over mountain areas is significant for understanding the impact of regional climate variability. In this study, using cloud‐removed snow cover data, which are generated based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) daily snow cover products, the spatiotemporal changes of snow cover fraction (SCF) and its relationship with temperature and precipitation changes from 2002 to 2020 were examined over Altai Mountains, China. The results demonstrate that the distribution and changes of SCF are highly spatiotemporally heterogeneous. Within a year, the maximum SCF occurs in January at 98.6%, and the minimum appears in July at 8.7%. The annual‐mean SCF shows an increasing trend at 0.09%·annum−1, owing to the significantly increasing SCF in the snow accumulation period at 0.5%·annum−1 and the decreasing SCF in the snow melting period at −0.2%·annum−1. The SCF distribution, as well as its interannual change, is greatly influenced by elevation. During the snow cover period, a positive linear correlation between SCF and elevation is found at 0.02%·m−1 (p < .01). The annual‐mean SCF decreases in the area below 1,200 m, whereas it increases in the area above 1,200 m. Accordingly, the elevation‐dependent SCF results in various SCF distributions on different slopes and watersheds. The SCF shows an apparent pattern in different aspects, with similar SCFs between the north and east aspects and between the west and south aspects but a difference between the northeast aspects and the westsouth aspects. The SCF is negatively correlated with air temperature (r = −0.74, p < 0.01) and positively correlated with precipitation (r = 0.74, p < 0.01). In addition, temperature shows a significant and larger correlation with SCF in both the snow accumulation and melting periods, indicating the major factor of temperature for the changes in SCF.

Climatic conditions and prevalence of melanistic snakes-contrasting effects of warm springs and mild winters.

Climate change is one of the greatest challenges that wildlife is facing. Rapid shifts in climatic conditions may accelerate evolutionary changes in populations as a result of strong selective pressure. Most studies focus on the impact of climatic conditions on phenologies and annual cycles, whereas there are fewer reports of empirical support for climate-driven changes in the phenotypic variability of free-living populations. We investigated whether climatic variables explain the prevalence of colour polymorphism in a population of the grass snake (Natrix natrix) with two morphotypes, the melanistic and non-melanistic ones, in the period 1981-2013. We found that the prevalence of the black phenotype was negatively related to spring temperature and winter harshness, expressed as the number of snow days. According to the thermal melanism hypothesis, a high predation rate during warmer springs may override relaxed thermal benefits and vice versa, i.e. black individuals may perform better than typical ones when thermal conditions in spring are unfavourable. In turn, because they are smaller, melanistic individuals may be exposed to a higher risk of winter mortality, particularly during longer winters. We highlight the need for more studies on the effects of climatic conditions on temporal variation in melanism prevalence in other populations and species as well as in various geographic regions.

School Snow Days, Absenteeism, and Student Achievement: A Comparative Study of Nova Scotia and Massachusetts

ABSTRACT Recent research on the effects of school cancellations because of snow or storms confirms what school authorities in Canada and the United States have understood for some time: missed school days have a detrimental effect upon student learning. Disrupted instructional time and student learning have been analyzed in Massachusetts and in policy studies conducted in the Canadian province of Nova Scotia. One 2012 study in Massachusetts showed a strong relationship between student absences and achievement, but little or no impact attributable to inclement-weather school closures. Yet on balance, most research studies link school-day cancellations with declining student test scores. This research note assesses the impact of storm closings in Nova Scotia between the school years 2008-2009 and 2017-2018. There, the number of snow days is normally double that of Massachusetts and reported rates of student absenteeism are higher. This study assesses the ‘accumulative effect’ of missing whole school days, planned and unplanned, on student mathematics scores and high-school completion, and it proposes a some policy responses. Some consideration is given also to the profound impact of COVID-19 school disruptions and remote learning experiments on the changing policy landscapes in both Nova Scotia and Massachusetts.

Adaptability of MODIS Daily Cloud-Free Snow Cover 500 m Dataset over China in Hutubi River Basin Based on Snowmelt Runoff Model

Global warming affects the hydrological characteristics of the cryosphere. In arid and semi-arid regions where precipitation is scarce, glaciers and snowmelt water assume important recharge sources for downstream rivers. Therefore, the simulation of snowmelt water runoff in mountainous areas is of great significance in hydrological research. In this paper, taking the Hutubi River Basin in the Tianshan Mountains as the study area, we used the “MODIS Daily Cloud-free Snow Cover 500 m Dataset over China” (MODIS_CGF_SCE) to carry out the Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) simulation and evaluated the simulation accuracy. The results showed that: (1) The SRM preferably simulated the characteristics of the average daily flow variation of the Hutubi River from May to October, from 2003–2009. The monthly total runoff was maximum in July and minimum in October. Extreme precipitation events influenced the formation of flood peaks, and the interannual variation trend of total runoff from May to October was increased. (2) The mean value of the volume difference (DV) during the model validation period was 8.85%, and the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.73. In general, the SRM underestimates the runoff of the Hutubi River, and the simulation accuracy is more accurate in the normal water period than in the high-water period. (3) By analyzing MODIS_CGF_SCE from 2003 to 2009, areas above 3200 m elevation in the Hutubi River Basin were classified as permanent snow areas, and areas below 3200 m were classified as seasonal snow areas. In October, the snow area in the Hutubi River Basin gradually increased, and the increase in snow cover in the permanent snow area was greater than that in the seasonal snow area. The snowmelt period was from March to May in the seasonal snow area and from May to early July in the permanent snow area, and the minimum snow cover was 0.7%.

Benchmarking algorithm changes to the Snow CCI+ snow water equivalent product

The European Space Agency (ESA) Snow Climate Change Initiative (CCI+) provides long-term, global time series of daily snow cover fraction and snow water equivalent (SWE). The Snow CCI+ SWE Version 1 (CCIv1) product is built on the GlobSnow algorithm, which combines passive microwave (PMW) data with in situ snow depth (SD) measurements to estimate SWE. While CCIv1 remains algorithmically similar to the most recent GlobSnow product (GlobSnow Version 3), Snow CCI+ SWE Version 2 (CCIv2) incorporates two notable differences. CCIv2 uses updated PMW data from the NASA MEaSUREs Calibrated Passive Microwave Daily EASE-Grid 2.0 Earth Science Data Record and is generated in EASE-Grid 2.0 with 12.5 km grid spacing. It also adjusts SWE retrievals in post-processing by incorporating spatially and temporally varying snow density information. Due to the phased product development framework CCI+ employs, proposed changes between CCIv1 and CCIv2 were implemented in a series of step-wise developmental datasets. Using these developmental datasets, we analyze how changes to input PMW and SD data and the snow density parameterization affect the resulting SWE product. Using in situ snow courses as reference data, we demonstrate that the correlation and RMSE of the CCIv2 developmental product improved 18% (0.10) and 12% (5 mm), respectively, relative to CCIv1. The timing of peak snow mass is shifted two weeks later and a temporal discontinuity in the monthly northern hemisphere snow mass time series associated with the shift from the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) to the Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder (SSMIS) in 2009 is also removed.

Climatology of Lake-Effect Snow Days Along the Southern Shore of Lake Michigan: What Is the Sensitivity to Environmental Factors and Snowband Morphology?

The Laurentian Great Lakes have substantial influences on regional climatology, particularly with impactful lake-effect snow events. This study examines the snowfall, cloud-inferred snow band morphology, and environment of lake-effect snow days along the southern shore of Lake Michigan for the 1997–2017 period. Suitable days for study were identified based on the presence of lake-effect clouds assessed in a previous study and extended through 2017, combined with an independent classification of likely lake-effect snow days based on independent snowfall data and weather map assessments. The primary goals are to identify lake-effect snow days and evaluate the snowfall distribution and modes of variability, the sensitivity to thermodynamic and flow characteristics within the upstream sounding at Green Bay, WI, and the influences of snowband morphology. Over 300 lake-effect days are identified during the study period, with peak mean snowfall within the lake belt extending from southwest Michigan to northern Indiana. Although multiple lake-effect morphological types are often observed on the same day, the most common snow band morphology is wind parallel bands. Relative to days with wind parallel bands, the shoreline band morphology is more common with a reduced lower-tropospheric zonal wind component within the upstream sounding at Green Bay, WI, as well as higher sea-level pressure and 500-hPa geopotential height anomalies to the north of the Great Lakes. Snowfall is sensitive to band morphology, with higher snowfall for shoreline band structures than for wind parallel bands, especially due south of Lake Michigan. Snowfall is also sensitive to thermodynamic and flow properties, with a greater sensitivity to temperature in southwest Michigan and to flow properties in northwest Indiana.

Exploring the Potential of Long Short‐Term Memory Networks for Improving Understanding of Continental‐ and Regional‐Scale Snowpack Dynamics

AbstractAccurate estimation of the spatio‐temporal distribution of snow water equivalent is essential given its global importance for understanding climate dynamics and climate change, and as a source of fresh water. Here, we explore the potential of using the Long Short‐Term Memory (LSTM) network for continental and regional scale modeling of daily snow accumulation and melt dynamics at 4‐km pixel resolution across the conterminous US (CONUS). To reduce training costs (data are available for ∼0.31 million snowy pixels), we combine spatial sampling with stagewise model development, whereby the network is first pretrained across the entire CONUS and then subjected to regional fine‐tuning. Accordingly, model evaluation is focused on out‐of‐sample predictive performance across space (analogous to the prediction in ungauged basins problem). We find that, given identical inputs (precipitation, temperature, and elevation), a single CONUS‐wide LSTM provides significantly better spatio‐temporal generalization than a regionally calibrated version of the physical‐conceptual temperature‐index‐based SNOW17 model. Adding more meteorological information (dew point temperature, vapor pressure deficit, longwave radiation, and shortwave radiation) further improves model performance, while rendering redundant the local information provided by elevation. Overall, the LSTM exhibits better transferability than SNOW17 to locations that were not included in the training data set, reinforcing the advantages of structure learning over parameter learning. Our results suggest that an LSTM‐based approach could be used to develop continental/global‐scale systems for modeling snow dynamics.

Application of a Cloud Removal Algorithm for Snow-Covered Areas from Daily MODIS Imagery over Andes Mountains

Snow cover area is dramatically decreasing across the Los Andes Mountains and the most relevant water reservoir under drought conditions. In this sense, monitoring of snow cover is key to analyzing the hydrologic balance in snowmelt-driven basins. MODIS Snow Cover daily products (MOD10A1 and MYD10A1) allow snow cover to be monitored at regular time intervals and in large areas, although the images often are affected by cloud cover. The main objective of this technical note is to evaluate the application of an algorithm to remove cloud cover in MODIS snow cover imagery in the Chilean Andes mountains. To this end, the northern region of Chile (Pulido river basin) during the period between December 2015 and December 2016 was selected. Results were validated against meteorological data from a ground station. The cloud removal algorithm allowed the overall cloud cover to be reduced from 26.56% to 7.69% in the study area and a snow cover mapping overall accuracy of 86.66% to be obtained. Finally, this work allows new cloud-free snow cover imagery to be produced for long term analysis and hydrologic models, reducing the lack of data and improving the daily regional snow mapping.

Commuter Bus Operation Rules under Two Traffic Scenarios and Two Weather Conditions: Naturalistic Driving Study on Vehicle Speed and Clearance

This study provides insights into the building of environmentally and socially sustainable and livable cities by investigating commuter buses’ vehicle speed and clearance, considering two traffic scenarios (working days and weekends) and two weather conditions on urban roads. Thirty participants drove ten different routes during natural driving. The drivers were observed under the following traffic conditions: free flow (Grade I), steady flow (Grades II and III), unsteady flow (Grade IV), working days and weekends, and sunny and heavy snow weather. A method for collecting accurate traffic flow data was developed using a radar sensor to measure the real-time distance between vehicles. The real-time vehicle spacing and speed were detected using a radar sensor and a mobile app, respectively. The results showed that speed decreased obviously from 11.2% to 16.5% on working days compared to a similar situation on weekends, especially in heavy snow weather (from 33.8% to 40.7%). The lowest average speed was obtained in the traffic environment Grade IV. Commuter buses maintained a minimum vehicle clearance during working or heavy snow days in traffic environment Grade IV. Policymakers should consider the insights of this study to develop new, dynamic commuter schedules under diverse conditions.

Reconstruction of a daily gridded snow water equivalent product for the land region above 45° N based on a ridge regression machine learning approach

Abstract. The snow water equivalent (SWE) is an important parameter of surface hydrological and climate systems, and it has a profound impact on Arctic amplification and climate change. However, there are great differences among existing SWE products. In the land region above 45∘ N, the existing SWE products are associated with a limited time span and limited spatial coverage, and the spatial resolution is coarse, which greatly limits the application of SWE data in cryosphere change and climate change studies. In this study, utilizing the ridge regression model (RRM) of a machine learning algorithm, we integrated various existing SWE products to generate a spatiotemporally seamless and high-precision RRM SWE product. The results show that it is feasible to utilize a ridge regression model based on a machine learning algorithm to prepare SWE products on a global scale. We evaluated the accuracy of the RRM SWE product using hemispheric-scale snow course (HSSC) observational data and Russian snow survey data. The mean absolute error (MAE), RMSE, R, and R2 between the RRM SWE products and observed SWEs are 0.21, 25.37 mm, 0.89, and 0.79, respectively. The accuracy of the RRM SWE dataset is improved by 28 %, 22 %, 37 %, 11 %, and 11 % compared with the original AMSR-E/AMSR2 (SWE), ERA-Interim SWE, Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) SWE, GlobSnow SWE, and ERA5-Land SWE datasets, respectively, and it has a higher spatial resolution. The RRM SWE product production method does not rely heavily on an independent SWE product; it takes full advantage of each SWE dataset, and it takes into consideration the altitude factor. The MAE ranges from 0.16 for areas within <100 m elevation to 0.29 within the 800–900 m elevation range. The MAE is best in the Russian region and worst in the Canadian region. The RMSE ranges from 4.71 mm for areas within <100 m elevation to 31.14 mm within the >1000 m elevation range. The RMSE is best in the Finland region and worst in the Canadian region. This method has good stability, is extremely suitable for the production of snow datasets with large spatial scales, and can be easily extended to the preparation of other snow datasets. The RRM SWE product is expected to provide more accurate SWE data for the hydrological model and climate model and provide data support for cryosphere change and climate change studies. The RRM SWE product is available from “A Big Earth Data Platform for Three Poles” (https://doi.org/10.11888/Snow.tpdc.271556) (Li et al., 2021).

Daily snow water equivalent product with SMMR, SSM/I and SSMIS from 1980 to 2020 over China

ABSTRACT The reliable knowledge of seasonal snow volume and its trend is very important to understand Earth’s climate system. Thus, a long-time snow water equivalent (SWE) dataset is necessary. This work presents a daily SWE product of 1980–2020 with a linear unmixing method through passive microwave data including SMMR, SSM/I and SSMIS over China after cross-calibration and bias-correction. The unbiased root-mean-square error of snow depth is about 5–7 cm, corresponding to 10–15 mm for SWE, when compared with stations measurements and field snow course data. The spatial patterns and trends of SWE over China present significant regional differences. The overall slope trend presented an insignificant decreasing pattern during 1980–2020 over China; however, there is an obvious fluctuation, i.e. a significant decrease trend during the period 1980–1990, an upward trend from 2005 to 2009, a significant downward trend from 2009 to 2018. The increase of SWE occurred in the Northeast Plain, with an increase trend of 0.2 mm per year. Whereas in the Hengduan Mountains, it presented a downward trend of SWE, up to −0.3 mm per year. In the North Xinjiang, SWE has an increasing trend in the Junggar Basin, while it shows a decreasing trend in the Tianshan and Altai Mountains.

Responses of spring soil moisture of different land use types to snow cover in Northeast China under climate change background

To explore the impact of climate change on snow cover and spring soil moisture (SM) in areas with seasonally frozen soil, snow cover parameters and spring SM for different land use types in Northeast China are extracted based on remote sensing snow cover and SM products. Snow cover parameters include snow days (SD), first day of snow cover (FSD), last day of snow cover (LSD), maximum snow depth (MSD) and average snow depth (ASD). The spatiotemporal variations and correlations between snow cover parameters and spring SM for different land use types are analyzed. The results showed that the average spring SM for different land use types was ordered woodland > farmland > grassland, with obvious woodland and farmland increases. Woodlands had many SD and large snow depths (MSD and ASD) that eventually decreased. Farmland SM increased significantly in spring, which aided crop development. The decrease in grassland spring SM was not obvious, but the snow cover parameters of certain areas decreased notably. Snow cover significantly impacted farmland SM, and correlation coefficients were highest between all snow cover parameters and SM in spring. The correlations between grassland snow cover parameters and SM in April were higher than those in May, but woodland snow cover parameters and spring SM were not correlated. Among the five snow parameters, FSD had the lowest correlation with spring SM, and SD had the greatest impact on SM. These results show the significant relationship between snow cover and SM and reveal relevant patterns. As future climate warming may introduce drought risk to woodland and grassland areas, advance preparations should be made. Farmland areas will continue to maintain appropriate SM, which is beneficial for agricultural development.

برآورد رواناب ذوب برف با سنجش از دور و مدل SRM در حوزه آبخیز سقز

The importance of snow and its water equivalent in water resources supply has caused many studies and researches to measure snow characteristics and runoff. Conducted in the Saqqez Watershed, this research attempted to estimate snow–induced runoff in a mountainous area and the SRM Model was selected to simulate daily runoff from snow-melt. Based on the data and variables for four consecutive years of 2006 to 2009 collected and snowmelt runoff was estimated. MODIS satellite images were used to calculate the snow coverage area. After segregating the snow coverage from the images, the daily snow area was calculated using GIS, and along with the other variables, imported into the model. For better evaluation of efficiency of the model, the model was calibrated and validated. The process of calibration was led to the best estimate for each parameter. To evaluate the accuracy of model and comparing results with field data Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient and the percentage difference were used. The results of the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient were between 0.90 to 0.94 and the differences in the volume were 6.8 to 7.2 percent, which indicates the high-performance of modeling.

Impact of Solar Activity on Snow Cover Variation Over the Tibetan Plateau and Linkage to the Summer Precipitation in China

Solar activity is one of the main external forcing factors driving the Earth’s climate system to change. The snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau is an important physical factor affecting the East Asian climate. At present, insufficient research on the connection between solar activity and snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau has been carried out. Using Solar Radio Flux (SRF), Solar Sunspot Number (SSN), and Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) data, this paper calculated the correlation coefficients with snow indices over the Tibetan Plateau, such as winter and spring snow depth (WSD/SSD) and snow day number (WSDN/SSDN). These snow indices are obtained from the daily gauge snow data in the Tibetan Plateau. Through correlation analyses, it is found that there are significant synchronous or lag correlations between snow indices and solar parameters on multi-time scales. In particular, the Spring Snow Day Number (SSDN) is of significant synchronous or lag correlation with SRF, SSN, and TSI on multi-time scales. It is further found that SSDN over the Tibetan Plateau has more stable positive correlations with SRF by using the 21-year running mean and cross spectrum analyses. Therefore, SSDN can be ascertained to be the most sensitive snow index to the solar activity compared with other snow indices. Moreover, its influence on summer precipitation of China is strongly regulated by solar activity. In high solar activity years (HSAY), the significant correlated area of summer precipitation in China to SSDN is located further north than that in low solar activity years (LSAY). Such impact by solar activity is also remarkable after excluding the impact of ENSO (i.e., El Niño–Southern Oscillation) events. These results provide support for the application of snow indices in summer rainfall prediction in China.

Environmental drivers of autumn migration departure decisions in midcontinental mallards

BackgroundThe timing of autumn migration in ducks is influenced by a range of environmental conditions that may elicit individual experiences and responses from individual birds, yet most studies have investigated relationships at the population level. We used data from individual satellite-tracked mallards (Anas platyrhynchos) to model the timing and environmental drivers of autumn migration movements at a continental scale.MethodsWe combined two sets of location records (2004–2007 and 2010–2011) from satellite-tracked mallards during autumn migration in the Mississippi Flyway, and identified records that indicated the start of long-range (≥ 30 km) southward movements during the migration period. We modeled selection of departure date by individual mallards using a discrete choice model accounting for heterogeneity in individual preferences. We developed candidate models to predict the departure date, conditional on daily mean environmental covariates (i.e. temperature, snow and ice cover, wind conditions, precipitation, cloud cover, and pressure) at a 32 × 32 km resolution. We ranked model performance with the Bayesian Information Criterion.ResultsDeparture was best predicted (60% accuracy) by a “winter conditions” model containing temperature, and depth and duration of snow cover. Models conditional on wind speed, precipitation, pressure variation, and cloud cover received lower support. Number of days of snow cover, recently experienced snow cover (snow days) and current snow cover had the strongest positive effect on departure likelihood, followed by number of experienced days of freezing temperature (frost days) and current low temperature. Distributions of dominant drivers and of correct vs incorrect prediction along the movement tracks indicate that these responses applied throughout the latitudinal range of migration. Among recorded departures, most were driven by snow days (65%) followed by current temperature (30%).ConclusionsOur results indicate that among the tested environmental parameters, the dominant environmental driver of departure decision in autumn-migrating mallards was the onset of snow conditions, and secondarily the onset of temperatures close to, or below, the freezing point. Mallards are likely to relocate southwards quickly when faced with snowy conditions, and could use declining temperatures as a more graduated early cue for departure. Our findings provide further insights into the functional response of mallards to weather factors during the migration period that ultimately determine seasonal distributions.

An Improved Spatiotemporal Fusion Algorithm for Monitoring Daily Snow Cover Changes With High Spatial Resolution

Considering the tradeoff between spatial resolution and temporal resolution, spatiotemporal fusion has become a promising technique to monitor snow cover dynamics with both high spatial and temporal resolutions. The representative spatiotemporal fusion methods, e.g. Spatial Temporal Data Fusion Approach (STDFA), usually exist obvious phenomenon of spectral distortion when the surface reflectance changes nonlinearly, which affects the quality of the spatiotemporal fusion image. To address this issue, an effective STDFA-Matching-Pix2pix-Generative Adversarial Network (SMPG) algorithm combining the unmixing-based method, deep learning method, pre-matching and post-matching module is proposed to reduce the spectral distortion of STDFA fusion image. The high-temporal-low-spatial (HTLS) resolution MOD09GA data and high-spatial-low-temporal resolution (HSLT) Landsat 8 data are selected in this study. SMPG algorithm is firstly employed to obtain daily high-spatial-high-temporal (HSHT) images, and then daily snow cover results with a spatial resolution of 30 m are obtained by calculating the normalized difference snow index (NDSI). SMPG algorithm is further compared with STDFA, Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflectance Fusion Model (STARFM), Flexible Spatiotemporal DAta Fusion (FSDAF), Swin SpatioTemporal Fusion Model (SwinSTFM), and Generative Adversarial Network-based SpatioTemporal Fusion Model (GAN-STFM). The experimental results indicate that the proposed algorithm yields better overall performance in daily spatiotemporal fusion image and snow cover result with a spatial resolution of 30 m. The mean correlation coefficient (CC) of SMPG can achieve 0.962, which is 0.06-0.36 higher than that of other spatiotemporal fusion methods. The error between the percentage of snow cover area obtained through SMPG and validation data is within 0.84%.