Slip Rate Research Articles

Variability in interseismic strain accumulation rate and style along the Altyn Tagh Fault

Major strike-slip faults that develop between strong and weaker regions are thought to focus along narrow shear zones at the rheological boundary. Here we present the InSAR-derived velocity field spanning almost the entire length of one such fault, the 1600 km-long Altyn Tagh Fault (ATF), and analyse the strain distribution. We find that localisation of strain is actually variable, in contrast to other major strike-slip faults that show little variation, with strain concentrated at the fault for some sections and distributed over broad (>100 km) shear zones for others. Slip rate along the ATF is also variable, decreasing along the fault from 11.6 ± 1.6 mm/yr in the west to 7.2 ± 1.4 mm/yr in the central portion, before increasing again to 11.7 ± 0.9 mm/yr over the eastern portion. We show that the variable shear zone width may be linked to geological variability and the influence of heat flow, and the results imply that sub-parallel faults play an important role in the overall deformation field. This demonstrates the significance of accurately characterising strain rates over a broad region when assessing seismic hazard.

Improvement of the Evaluation of Seismic Risk in Fault Areas by Lidar-Derived Geophysical Data

This study aimed to improve the methods of assessing seismic risk in fault zones based on lidar data in geophysics. The research highlighted this by comparing the newly developed fault maps with the usual methods of fault mapping and how lidar technology developed high-resolution 3D mapping. We conducted mobile and terrestrial LIDAR surveys to produce DEMs and study the attributes of the fault zones. The technique involved mobile lidar systems with different specifications of emitted transmission rate: 45 000 m/s to 52, 100m/s pulse repetition: 190, 000 Hz–220, 000 Hz; and point density: 10223 points/m2 to 14567 points/m2. Terrestrial lidar surveys used scanner heights of 1. 500-1. 700m and obtained the horizontal and vertical sampling density, ranging from 240,456 to 315,678 points per square meter. We used LAStools, Arc GIS, and QISIS software to filter, classify, and visualize the data processing. e applied interpolation techniques such as IDW, Kriging, Spline, and Natural Neighbors to generate DEMs. Research outcomes identified 15 different fault segments with lengths varying from 10. 000-20. 000 km, along with maximum displacements of 0. 987-4. 567 m, and average slip rates of 3. 456-7. 890 mm/year. The most extended fault segment altogether was FS05, which was 20. 000 km with a maximum bidding distance of 4. 567 m and a 7. 890 mm/year slip rate. We discovered that the proposed method successfully filtered out noise points from lidar data, with the noise points varying between 0.111-0.266 million. We created DEMs with vertical rms errors ranging from 0.045-0.050 m. The study revealed that lidar technology offers accurate and dense geospatial data, essential for discriminating between fault zones. This approach dramatically improves seismic hazard analysis and the identification of the best ways to minimize risks. These are increasing lidar surveys in other seismically active regions, using multiple data sources for analysis, and deploying constant surveys in high-risk fault line regions to increase consistency in detecting surface changes and tectonic activity.

The 2023 Alaska National Seismic Hazard Model

US Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Models (NSHMs) are used extensively for seismic design regulations in the United States and earthquake scenario development, as well as risk assessment and mitigation for both buildings and infrastructure. This 2023 update of the long-term, time-independent Alaska NSHM includes substantial changes to both the earthquake rupture forecast (ERF) and ground motion models (GMMs). The ERF includes numerous additions to the finite-fault model, considers two deformation models, and introduces updated declustering and smoothing algorithms in the gridded background seismicity model. For the Alaska–Aleutian subduction zone, megathrust earthquakes occur on an updated structural and segmentation model, and the moment magnitude (M) 8+ rupture and rate model include a logic tree branch that considers slip rates derived from geodetic models of interface coupling. The megathrust model considers multiple models of down-dip width, and magnitudes are computed using newly developed scaling relations. For subduction intraslab events and subduction interface events with M < 7, the 2023 update uses a smoothed seismicity model with rupture depths derived from Slab2. The 2023 model updates GMMs in all tectonic settings using the recently published Next Generation Attenuation Subduction (NGA-Sub) GMMs for subduction interface and intraslab events, and the NGA-West2 GMMs for active crustal settings. Collectively, additions and updates to the Alaska NSHM result in hazard increases across most of south-central Alaska relative to the previous model, published in 2007. These changes are primarily due to the adoption of updated rate models for the large-magnitude interface events and the NGA-Sub GMMs that have much higher aleatory variability (sigma), consistent with global observations, and that include models of epistemic uncertainty.

Tectonic geomorphology and paleoseismology of the Angelochori fault segment of the Anthemountas extensional detachment fault, Central Macedonia, Greece: Paleoseismic evidence from the 1677 CE earthquake

This study presents the results of a geomorphological and paleoseismological investigation on the Angelochori normal fault. This fault controls the southern boundary of the Anthemountas basin and constitutes the western segment of the Anthemountas extensional detachment fault (AEDF), a ∼48 km-long, E-W-trending, north-dipping low-angle normal fault in Central Macedonia, Greece. To assess the relative tectonic activity of the Angelochori fault and to determine the number, timing, and displacement of surface-faulting earthquakes, we conducted detailed field mapping and paleoseismological investigations. Our approach involved utilizing geomorphic indices, analyzing stratigraphic and structural relations, considering luminescence ages, and employing OxCal modeling techniques. The acquired data reveal, for the first time, the Middle-Late Holocene activity of the Anghelochori fault, providing constraints on the age of three strong (M > 6) surface-rupturing earthquakes over the last ∼7.7 ka. The youngest of these events aligns with the historical earthquake of the Anthemountas basin in 1677 CE. The observed minimum displacement per event ranges from 0.48 m to 0.65 m, consistent with a fault length estimated at about 24–28 km, suggesting an earthquake magnitude on the order of 6.6. The cumulative slip rate over the recorded period averages 0.21 ± 0.02 mm/a, with an average open recurrence interval of 2.6 ± 0.2 ka. Nonetheless, the displacement pattern displays alternating intervals of rapid slip at 0.60 ± 0.16 mm/a and slower slip at 0.08 ± 0.01 mm/a. Classified as Class 1, the Angelochori fault signifies an active tectonic structure posing a significant seismic hazard for the Thessaloniki metropolitan area.

Acceleration Slip Regulation Control Method for Distributed Electric Drive Vehicles under Icy and Snowy Road Conditions

To achieve a rapid and stable dynamic response of the drive anti-slip system for distributed electric vehicles on low-friction surfaces, this paper proposes an adaptive acceleration slip regulation control strategy based on wheel slip rate. An attachment coefficient fusion estimation algorithm based on an improved singular value decomposition unscented Kalman filter is designed. This algorithm combines Sage–Husa with the unscented Kalman filter for adaptive improvement, allowing for the quick and accurate determination of the road friction coefficient and, subsequently, the optimal slip rate. Additionally, a slip rate control strategy based on dynamic adaptive compensation sliding mode control is designed, which introduces a dynamic weight integral function into the control rate to adaptively adjust the integral effect based on errors, with its stability proven. To verify the performance of the road estimator and slip rate controller, a model is built with vehicle simulation software, and simulations are conducted. The results show that under icy and snowy road conditions, the designed estimator can reduce estimation errors and respond rapidly to sudden changes. Compared to traditional equivalent controllers, the designed controller can effectively reduce chattering, decrease overshoot, and shorten response time. Especially during road transitions, the designed controller demonstrates better dynamic performance and stability.

The role of heterogeneous stress in earthquake cycle models of the Hikurangi-Kermadec subduction zone

Summary Seismic and tsunami hazard modelling and preparedness are challenged by uncertainties in the earthquake source process. Important parameters such as the recurrence interval of earthquakes of a given magnitude at a particular location, the probability of multi-fault rupture, earthquake clustering, rupture directivity and slip distribution are often poorly constrained. Physics-based earthquake simulators, such as RSQSim, offer a means of probing uncertainties in these parameters by generating long-term catalogues of earthquake ruptures on a system of known faults. The fault initial stress state in these simulations is typically prescribed as a single uniform value, which can promote characteristic earthquake behaviours and reduce variability in modelled events. Here, we test the role of spatial heterogeneity in the distribution of the initial stresses and frictional properties on earthquake cycle simulations. We focus on the Hikurangi-Kermadec subduction zone, which may produce Mw > 9.0 earthquakes and likely poses a major hazard and risk to Aotearoa New Zealand. We explore RSQSim simulations of Hikurangi-Kermadec subduction earthquake cycles in which we vary the rate and state coefficients (a and b). The results are compared with the magnitude-frequency distribution (MFD) of the instrumental earthquake catalogue and with empirical slip scaling laws from global earthquakes. Our results suggest stress heterogeneity produces more realistic and less characteristic synthetic catalogues, making them particularly well suited for hazard and risk assessment. We further find that the initial stress effects are dominated by the initial effective normal stresses, since the normal stresses evolve more slowly than the shear stresses. A heterogeneous stress model with a constant pore-fluid pressure ratio and a constant state coefficient (b) of 0.003 produces the best fit to MFDs and empirical scaling laws, while the model with variable frictional properties produces the best fit to earthquake depth distribution and empirical scaling laws. This model is our preferred initial stress state and frictional property settings for earthquake modelling of the Hikurangi-Kermadec subduction interface. Introducing heterogeneity of other parameters within RSQSim (e.g. friction coefficient, reference slip rate, characteristic distance, initial state variable, etc) could further improve the applicability of the synthetic earthquake catalogues to seismic hazard problems and form the focus of future research.

A Detailed Understanding of Slow Self‐Arresting Rupture

AbstractRecent numerical simulation studies suggest the existence of a seismic type that is distinct from regular earthquakes—the slow self‐arresting rupture (SSAR). Unlike regular earthquakes that propagate dynamically following the initiation, The SSARs automatically arrest within the nucleation zone without interference. Additionally, numerical simulations indicate that SSARs exhibit a significantly lower energy release compared to regular earthquakes, while also exhibiting a relatively long source duration. Given these distinctive properties, comprehending the source processes of SSARs assumes great strategic importance. However, our current understanding of SSARs, particularly regarding their response to different frictional conditions and their correlation with natural phenomena, remains limited in scope. To further explore the intricacies of SSARs, we employ a three‐dimensional fully dynamic source model to simulate SSARs under various slip‐weakening frictional conditions. The findings indicate that SSARs occur in frictional environments characterized by large normalized critical slip distances, with the seismic source process being primarily influenced by this parameter. Apart from displaying significantly smaller average slip and stress drop, which are two to three orders of magnitude lower than those of regular earthquakes of comparable magnitude, SSARs also showcase a decrease in duration, seismic moment, slip rate, and stress drop as the normalized critical slip distance increases. The moment‐duration scaling law of SSARs exhibits a linear pattern. Moreover, the observation of slow earthquakes offers further implications for the presence of SSARs, indicating their potential association with a wider range of intricate seismic phenomena.

Kinematics Along the Qingchuan Fault and Deformation Pattern in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau

AbstractThe accommodation of the substantial eastward crustal motion of the Bayan Har block characterizes the dynamics of faults located at the eastern Tibetan Plateau. However, uncertainties persist concerning the manner and amount of deformation distributed on these faults, with slip senses and rates constituting critical factors. In the northeastern segment of the Longmenshan thrust zone, the contentious activity and the unknown geologic slip rate present challenges. This study, focusing on the Qingchuan fault, the predominant fault within the northeastern Longmenshan, employed satellite imagery interpretation, displaced fluvial terraces surveying, displacement measurements, and chronological analysis to comprehensively characterize its fault activity. Our investigation robustly demonstrates the Qingchuan fault has been active since the late Quaternary, and is primarily marked with a pronounced dextral slip at a rate of 0.6–1.0 mm/year. By quantitatively assessing the deformation rates of the faults at the eastern Tibetan Plateau, we propose that they sufficiently accommodate the entire eastward crustal movement of the Bayan Har block; thereby no additional deformation propagates beyond the Qingchuan fault. Furthermore, we introduce a subblock model to elucidate the regional crustal deformation pattern, wherein the eastward movement of the Bayan Har block transfers to the northeastward movement of the Bikou subblock. This movement results in reverse slip patterns for the Minjiang and Huya faults, while the Beichuan and Qingchuan faults predominantly experience dextral displacements. The complex strain partitioning within the northern Longmenshan range underscores the observed variations in slip patterns across different segments of the Longmenshan thrust zone, advancing our understanding of fault behavior and the orchestration of crustal deformation in this intricate tectonic framework.

The Bend on the Haiyuan Strike‐Slip Fault Leads to Segmented Activity of the Minle‐Damaying Thrust Fault in the Qilian Shan, the Northeastern Tibetan Plateau

AbstractThe present tectonic regime of the Qilian Shan is dominated by large northeast and northwest striking strike‐slip faults and northwest striking thrust faults. Deformation distribution between the subparallel Haiyuan Strike‐slip Fault and the Minle‐Damaying Thrust Fault (MDF) is crucial for understanding the orogenic mechanism of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. However, the uncertain kinematics of the MDF and the stress variation along the strike‐varying Haiyuan Fault inhibit further discussion of their relationship. Five key sites along the MDF were selected for analysis of terrace abandonment ages and vertical offsets to determine the slip rates. Two finite element models were constructed to calculate the stress‐strain relationship between the Haiyuan Fault and MDF. We find that the activity of the MDF can be divided into two segments by a stepover with less activity and lower terrain at the Xida River site. Shortening rates of the MDF vary between 0.2 and 2.4 mm/a since the late Pleistocene with trapezoidal trends on both fault segments. The two finite element models and GPS data reveal that the strain rates are lower at the Xida River site but higher at the Menyuan Bend on the Haiyuan Fault. We infer that long‐term strain accumulation at the Menyuan Bend may have mitigated the tectonic activity northeast to the bend under the northeastward stress field, including the activity of the MDF at the Xida River site, and resulted in the segmentation of the MDF.

How Does the Onset of Offset Influence Geologic Slip Rates?

Abstract Geologic slip rates are typically based on the displacement accrued by a geomorphic or stratigraphic feature and the age of the offset feature. Because slip rates are commonly calculated by dividing the displacement of a faulted marker by its age, they contain two open time intervals: the elapsed time between the age of an offset feature and the age of the earthquake that displaced the feature, and the time between the present-day and the most recent earthquake. Here, we explore the influence of including unconstrained open intervals in geologic slip rate calculations. We test the degree to which these open intervals affect geologic slip rates and their uncertainties, and we find that their influence depends primarily on mean earthquake recurrence intervals (RIs). Slip rates on faults with longer RIs, such as the Wasatch fault, can be greatly influenced by an increase of up to 20% when accounting for open intervals. In contrast, slip rates on faults with shorter RIs, such as the San Andreas fault, are only slightly influenced by the assumption that slip rates calculated over open intervals approximate those calculated over closed intervals. Our analyses indicate that faults with moderate slip rates (∼0.2–5 mm/yr) are sensitive to both open interval effects themselves, as well as methods to quantify and account for these effects. We re-evaluate how slip rates are calculated and defined in displacement–time space using published deformation records. We explore the utility of assigning a probability distribution to the initiation of offset of the oldest faulted feature and the timing of the most recent earthquake (MRE). We find that calculating geologic slip rates without using probability distributions that capture the timing of the MRE and the onset of offset of the oldest faulted feature, especially on slow-to-moderate slip rate faults, can lead to systematic underestimation of average geologic slip rates.

Implications of Activity Rate Characterization and Fault-Based Partitioning on Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment: A Case Study of Extensional Tectonic Regime in Western Anatolia, Türkiye

ABSTRACT Complex fault geometries with multiple sets of inclined active faults pose a challenge to the accurate representation of fault-based seismic sources in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA). In the absence of slip rates associated with fault segments and the presence of sparse seismic and geodetic data, the estimation of segment-specific activity rate includes significant uncertainty. This study proposes a comprehensive procedure for defining the segment-specific activity rates and associated uncertainties in fault-based PSHA for extensional tectonic regimes and applies the procedure in the northern margin of Western Anatolian Extensional Province. The seismic sources are modeled as rupture systems with individual fault segments using the connections between available active fault traces, first-order geological complexities, earthquake catalog, and focal mechanism solutions. Alternatives to estimate and partition segment-specific activity rates based on annual slip rate, seismicity rate, and moment rate are explored. Each alternative is implemented in PSHA, and the results are compared in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA) maps for a 475-year return period. A comparison of the 475 yr PGA maps showed that the activity rates based on annual slip rates translate into higher hazard estimates and a more uniform distribution of PGA; whereas, the activity rates based on seismicity and moment rate result in a PGA distribution that is more sensitive to the occurrence and location of previous large-magnitude events. The approach utilized to partition activity rates among parallel segments has a noticeable effect in the areas where highly asymmetric fault activity is inferred from morphology. Hence, alternative approaches for estimation and partition of activity rates are combined to model the epistemic uncertainty in segment-specific activity rates, and a repeatable procedure is developed to build fault-based seismic source models in the presence of complex fault geometries.

Interseismic deformation in the northwestern Sichuan-Yunnan block constrained by Sentinel-1 InSAR and GNSS

The northwestern Sichuan-Yunnan block (NW SYB), located in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, is characterized by complex fault systems. Its detailed crustal deformation is crucial to comprehending the kinematics of the Tibetan expansion. In this study, we integrate the Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data to obtain the high-resolution present-day deformation of the NW SYB, which provides insights into the strain partitioning, fault kinematics, and block motion characteristics in this region. Our results show that the elastic strain is not only built up around faults but also widely distributed in the off-fault areas. The Ganzi segment of the Ganzi-Yushu fault and the Luhuo segment of the Xianshuihe fault in the study area accommodate 5.31 mm/yr and 8.41 mm/yr left-lateral strike-slip motion, respectively. The small-scale faults show certain deformation, among which the left-lateral and right-lateral slip rates of the Litang and Zhongdian faults are 2.53 mm/yr and 1.97 mm/yr, respectively. The spatial patterns of the strain partitioning and block motion show that the active strike-slip faults accommodate displacements from Cenozoic block extrusion and rotation, which partially coordinate the kinematic discrepancy of the Tibetan expansion. Our geodetic measurements and existing structural observations indicate that the southeastward expansion of the Tibetan Plateau is absorbed mainly by E-W shortening and N-S extension in the NW SYB, may accommodated by continental strike-slip faults in the upper crust and distributed shear in the lower crust.

Differential efficacy of modified enriched environment on motor, emotion, and cognition in cortical ischemic mice.

A modified enriched environment (mEE) with 12 h per night was recently proposed and exhibited cognitive improvement. The present study aimed to evaluate the effects of different courses of mEE on different deficits in ischemic mice. Mice were subjected to photothrombotic stroke at the left sensorimotor cortex and then randomly assigned to standard environment or mEE for 7 d (St-PE) or 28d (Ct-PE) on the third day post-stroke. Neurological deficits and sensorimotor, emotional, and cognitive performances were assessed at the 10th, 17th, and 31st days post-stroke. Our results demonstrated that Ct-PE ameliorated neurological deficits, forelimb using asymmetry, and reduced slip rates of the affected limbs at all time points, while this effect of St-PE was observed only on the 10th day. Similarly, Ct-PE for 28d promoted spatial learning and working memory, but St-PE did not. Differently, ischemic mice in both St-PE and Ct-PE groups exhibited increased exploration behavior in the open field, light-dark box and elevated plus maze, and less immobile behavior during the tail suspension at all the time points. Our findings indicated that Ct-PE improved sensorimotor and cognitive dysfunctions after cortical ischemia in a time-dependent manner, but St-PE appeared to have greater therapeutic potential on anxiety and depression.

Rupture segmentation on the East Anatolian fault (Turkey) controlled by along-strike variations in long-term slip rates in a structurally complex fault system

Abstract The East Anatolian fault in Turkey exhibits along-strike rupture segmentation, typically resulting in earthquakes with moment magnitude (Mw) up to 7.5 that are confined to individual segments. However, on 6 February 2023, a catastrophic Mw 7.8 earthquake struck near Kahramanmaraş (southeastern Turkey), defying previous expectations by rupturing multiple segments spanning over 300 km and overcoming multiple geometric complexities. We explore the mechanics of successive single- and multi-segment ruptures using numerical models of the seismic cycle calibrated to historical earthquake records and geodetic observations of the 2023 doublet. Our model successfully reproduces the observed historical rupture segmentation and the rare occurrence of multi-segment earthquakes. The segmentation pattern is influenced by variations in long-term slip rate along strike across the kinematically complex fault network between the Arabian and Anatolian plates. Our physics-based seismic cycle simulations shed light on the long-term variability of earthquake size that shapes seismic hazards.

An exploration of potentially reversible controls on millennial-scale variations in the slip rate of seismogenic faults: Linking structural observations with variable earthquake recurrence patterns

Paleoseismic studies show that faults within a fault system may trade off slip over time, with mechanically complementary faults displaying alternating fast- and slow periods. Each of these periods spans multiple seismic cycles, and typically involves ~20-25m of slip. This suggests that the relative strength (or tendency to slip) of individual faults varies, over time and displacement scales larger than those of individual seismic cycles. The mechanisms responsible for these strength variations must: affect rocks in the strongest portion of the fault (the brittle-ductile transition) as this likely controls the overall slip rate of the fault; be reversible (or able to be counteracted) on a cyclical basis; provide a negative feedback that operates to change the fault from its current state; and have a measurable effect on fault strength over a time or length scale that corresponds to the observed fast and slow periods of fault slip. In this paper, we systematically explore 19 potentially weakening and 11 potential strengthening mechanisms and evaluate them in light of these criteria. This analysis reveals a relatively small subset of mechanisms that could account for the observed behavior, leading us to suggest a possible model for fault strength evolution.

On the effect of background seismicity in physics-based earthquake simulations

Physics-based simulations have been extensively employed to generate synthetic earthquake catalogs over the past decade. In this kind of simulation, primary known faults are typically modeled, while smaller and intermediate faults are often neglected. As a result, the location of earthquakes in the simulation is confined to the modeled faults. Furthermore, due to the elimination of off-fault seismicity, a complete match of the frequency-magnitude distribution of the synthetic catalog with observed data is not achieved. This paper presents an approach to include off-fault seismicity (or background seismicity) within the simulation. First, background earthquakes are separated from the primary faults’ earthquakes, and a fault section is assigned to each event. By employing a scaling relationship, the dimensions of these fault sections are determined according to the magnitude of the corresponding event. The fault section’s slip rates are estimated based on the observed frequency-magnitude distribution. Combining the background fault model with the primary fault model results in a comprehensive model that accounts for all stress interactions between fault elements within the simulator in actual locations. As a result, a broader range of frequency-magnitude distribution in the synthetic catalog can be matched to the observations. A case study using one of the available simulators, Virtual Quake, on a sample area is presented. The results demonstrate that eliminating off-fault seismicity could lead to an underestimated assessment of the earthquake probabilities for the whole region and a biased estimation of earthquake rates in individual faults.

A rotary self-sensing magnetorheological damper based on triboelectric nanogenerator

A rotary self-sensing magnetorheological (MR) damper(RSMRD) based on a triboelectric nanogenerator is proposed in this study, which can provide variable torque and state self-sensing without a power supply. Compared with traditional self-sensing devices, the sensing part of RSMRD has the advantages of small size, no external power supply, and good low-frequency response. The feasibility of the angular velocity self-sensing (AVS) function is verified through theoretical derivation and experimental verification. The experimental results demonstrate a linear relationship between the output voltage generated by the AVS component and the rotational speed of the rotating shaft. Additionally, the torque characteristics of the rotary self-sensing MR damper are tested, revealing a torque generation of approximately 9.26 N ⋅ m at a current of 1.6 A. Furthermore, a fuzzy control algorithm for vehicle braking is proposed, based on the model parameters of RSMRD. The simulink software is used to establish a dynamic model of 1/4 car braking, with an initial braking speed of 15 m s−1. The results indicate that the vehicle comes to a complete stop after 1.64 s, with a braking distance of 10.93 m. Throughout the braking process, the vehicle slip rate remains close to the optimal slip rate of 0.2.

Spatial Variations of Late Quaternary Slip Rates along the Ganzi–Xianshuihe Fault Zone in the Eastern Tibet

The Ganzi–Xianshuihe Fault Zone is a large-scale sinistral strike-slip fault zone on the eastern Tibet. As the boundary fault zone of the Bayankala Block and the Chuandian Block, it controls the clockwise rotation of the southeastern Tibet. However, there is still controversy regarding the activity changes between fault zones. Therefore, accurately determining the slip rates of faults in the area is crucial for characterizing regional plate motions and assessing associated seismic hazards. We focused on studying four fault segments near the Ganzi–Xianshuihe Fault Zone, including the Manigango, Ganzi, Luhuo, and Daofu segments. In each segment, we selected typical sinistral piercing points and carried out Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry to obtain high-resolution terrain data. We utilized LaDiCaoz_V2.2 and GlobalMapper software (LaDiCaoz_V2.2 and Global Mapper v17.0) to measure the offsets, together with optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating, to constrain the timing of fault activity. The estimated slip rates for the Manigango, Ganzi, Luhuo, and Daofu segments are as follows: 9.2 ± 0.75 mm/yr, 9.59 ± 1.7 mm/yr, 4.23 ± 0.66 mm/yr, and 7.69 ± 0.76 mm/yr, respectively. Integrating previous results with slip rates estimated in this study, our analysis suggests the slip rate of the Ganzi–Xianshuihe Fault Zone is around 8–10 mm/year, exhibiting a consistent slip rate from northwest to southeast. This reflects the overall coordination of the movement on the eastern Tibet, with the strike-slip fault zone only controlling the direction of movement.

Slip Rate for the Rose Canyon Fault through San Diego, California, Based on Analysis of GPS Data: Evidence for a Potential Rose Canyon–San Miguel-Vallecitos Fault Connection?

ABSTRACT The Rose Canyon fault is the southern extension of the larger Newport–Inglewood–Rose Canyon fault system, which represents a major structural boundary in the Inner Continental Borderland (ICB) offshore of southern California. Ten to fifteen percent of total plate boundary motion in southern California is thought to be accommodated by the faults of the ICB, but the exact distribution of slip is uncertain. With an onshore segment, the Rose Canyon fault offers an opportunity to measure the slip rate using traditional geodetic methods. In this study, we use Global Positioning System (GPS) surface velocities from a combined campaign and continuous GPS network to constrain elastic models of the Rose Canyon fault. We then compare the observed surface velocities with proposed conceptual models of regional fault connections that facilitate the transfer of slip into the Rose Canyon fault to assess how well the observations are explained by the models. The results of elastic half-space models suggest that the Rose Canyon fault may be slipping toward the higher end of geologic estimates, with the preferred model indicating a slip rate of 2.4 ± 0.5 mm/yr. Although limited in terms of near-fault benchmarks, we find an improved model fit using an asymmetrical elastic half-space model and a higher slip rate, suggesting a potential rheological contrast across the Rose Canyon fault, similar to observations from the northern Newport–Inglewood fault segments. Observed GPS surface velocities, background seismicity, and gravity anomalies south of San Diego Bay point toward a more easterly trace for the Rose Canyon fault, suggesting a possible connection with the San Miguel–Vallecitos fault system. Such a connection could increase the potential rupture lengths of future earthquakes and have important consequences for regional seismic hazards.

Reappraising the seismogenic potential of a low-strain rate region: Active faulting in the eastern Siena Basin (southern Tuscany, Italy)

We investigated the active tectonics and earthquake potential of the eastern Siena Basin, a slowly deforming portion of southern Tuscany in the inner Northern Apennines. This region hosts several historical settlements and valuable cultural heritage, but also frequent background seismicity and rare damaging earthquakes in the Mw range 5.0–6.2. We describe in detail an active, capable, and seismogenic fault system that we identified in the eastern Siena Basin, a few kilometers south-east of the city of Siena, thanks to the presence of an active quarry (Cava Capanni) that exploits travertines of Middle Pleistocene-Holocene age. Travertines are unique rock masses that may preserve living evidence of active and seismogenic faulting, thus providing remarkable seismotectonic insight. The active fault system consists of at least two segments rupturing travertines younger than 45 ka, with a cumulative vertical displacement of 111 cm, and an estimated minimum slip rate of 0.02–0.03 mm/y. We maintain that this displacement is the result of at least three coseismic movements accompanied by clastic dykes injected within the fault damage zone due to liquefaction phenomena. The fault system is seen to extend east of the quarry, affecting Pliocene and Mesozoic deposits.The Cava Capanni fault system is evidence of a poorly understood but potentially seismogenic tectonic mechanism of regional extent. Its orientation and kinematics are compatible with the activity of faults that are oriented obliquely or orthogonally to the main chain axis, in contrast with the setting of the axial and outer zone of the Northern Apennines, where extension and compression are accommodated by Apennines-parallel faults.