To increase the reliability and accuracy of tolerance design, more and more research works are considering not only orientation and position deviations; they are also forming errors in tolerance modeling. As a direct cause of form errors in industrial mass production, the processing features of the machining system degrade over time. Under the Industry 4.0 paradigm, an assembly tolerance design method based on Skin Model Shape is proposed to take the effect of degrading processing features into consideration. A continuous-time multi-dimensional Markov process is trained through maximum likelihood estimation based on the nodal sampling point set on the machined surface. Degradation of the machined surface is modeled based on the joint probability distribution of nodal displacements. Assembly force constraints and assembly entity constraints are applied to spatial assembly simulations. Tolerance synthesis takes the manufacturing cost and assembling probability as design objectives. A design example of the rotary feed component in a five-axis machine tool is proposed for explanation and verification.
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