Sites In Greenland Research Articles

Post-depositional modification on seasonal-to-interannual timescales alters the deuterium-excess signals in summer snow layers in Greenland

Abstract. We document the isotopic evolution of near-surface snow at the East Greenland Ice Core Project (EastGRIP) ice core site in northeast Greenland using a time-resolved array of 1 m deep isotope (δ18O, δD) profiles. The snow profiles were taken from May–August during the 2017–2019 summer seasons. An age–depth model was developed and applied to each profile, mitigating the impacts of stratigraphic noise on isotope signals. Significant changes in deuterium excess (d) are observed in surface snow and near-surface snow as the snow ages. Decreases in d of up to 5 ‰ occur during summer seasons after deposition during two of the three summer seasons observed. The d always experiences a 3 ‰–5 ‰ increase after aging 1 year in the snow due to a broadening of the autumn d maximum. Models of idealized scenarios coupled with prior work indicate that the summertime post-depositional changes in d (Δd) can be explained by a combination of surface sublimation, forced ventilation of the near-surface snow down to 20–30 cm, and isotope-gradient-driven diffusion throughout the column. The interannual Δd is also partly explained with isotope-gradient-driven diffusion, but other mechanisms are at work that leave a bias in the d record. Thus, d does not just carry information about source-region conditions and transport history as is commonly assumed, but also integrates local conditions into summer snow layers as the snow ages through metamorphic processes. Finally, we observe a dramatic increase in the seasonal isotope-to-temperature sensitivity, which can be explained solely by isotope-gradient-driven diffusion. Our results are dependent on the site characteristics (e.g., wind, temperature, accumulation rate, snow properties) but indicate that more process-based research is necessary to understand water isotopes as climate proxies. Recommendations for monitoring and physical modeling are given, with special attention to the d parameter.

A Mechanism for Ice Layer Formation in Glacial Firn

AbstractThere is ample evidence for ice layers and lenses within glacial firn. The standard model for ice layer formation localizes the refreezing by perching of meltwater on pre‐existing discontinuities. Here we argue that even extreme melting events provide insufficient flux for this mechanism. Using a thermomechanical model we demonstrate a different mechanism of ice layer formation. After a melting event when the drying front catches up with the wetting front and arrests melt percolation, conductive heat loss freezes the remaining melt in place to form an ice layer. This model reproduces the depth of a new ice layer at the Dye‐2 site in Greenland. It provides a deeper insight into the interpretation of firn stratigraphy and past climate variability. It also improves the simulation of firn densification processes, a key source of uncertainty in assessing and attributing ice sheet mass balance based on satellite altimetry and gravimetry data.

Assessing the consequences of recent climate change on World Heritage sites in South Greenland

In the Arctic region, microbial degradation poses a significant threat to the preservation of archaeological deposits, actively consuming irreplaceable cultural and environmental records. In this study we assess the potential effects of the last 40 years of climate change on organic archaeological deposits within the UNESCO World Heritage area Kujataa in South Greenland. We use the dynamic process-oriented model, CoupModel to simulate soil temperatures and soil moisture contents at four archaeological sites in the area. The results show that the organic deposits have experienced a substantial warming the last 40 years, which combined with decreasing soil moisture contents creates a dangerous combination that can accelerate the degradation of organic materials. Currently, there are 583 archaeological sites registered within the area. Our findings highlight that the current climatic conditions are not conducive to organic preservation. The greatest risk of degradation lies within the relatively dry continental inland areas of the study region, where all Norse Viking Age settlements are situated. However, even at the "cold" and "wet" outer coast, the combined effects of rising summer temperatures and declining soil moisture levels may already be exerting a noticeable impact.

Increased atmospheric PM2.5 events due to open waste burning in Qaanaaq, Greenland, summer of 2022

AbstractHigh levels of particulate matter (PM) are relevant to severe air pollution and can adversely impact human health. Maintaining healthy air quality for the residents of the Arctic region is essential to satisfy the no‐one‐left‐behind policy of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by the United Nations. In this study, we installed a PM2.5 measurement system in Qaanaaq, Greenland, and obtained the first continuous PM2.5 measurements from July 20, 2022 to August 13, 2022. We observed several increased PM2.5 events; relatively high PM2.5 levels persisted from August 8, 2022. On the same day, visible black smoke emitted from the Qaanaaq dump site originated from open waste burning. By confirming less transboundary air pollution contributions from remote aerosol source regions to Qaanaaq during the measurement period using NOAA's HYSPLIT backward trajectory analysis and NASA's MERRA‐2 aerosol re‐analysis, we confirmed that the increased PM2.5 was primarily due to local open waste burning with less contributions from transboundary air pollution. However, small contributions from biomass burning outside Greenland were plausible during the early measurement period. Additionally, NOAA's HYSPLIT dispersion calculations suggested possible aerosol depositions from local open waste burning to nearby sea areas, such as Baffin Bay. Although the hourly mean PM2.5 mass concentration was not alarmingly high during the measurement period, future studies should incorporate longer‐term continuous PM2.5 measurements along with other atmospheric chemical analyses to identify possible local air pollution sources in detail to ensure clean ambient air for the future in the Arctic. Our study provides quantitative evidence of the impact of open waste burning on air quality at a study site in Greenland, which could be crucial in developing air quality policies for this region in the Arctic.

Drivers of contemporary and future changes in Arctic seasonal transition dates for a tundra site in coastal Greenland.

Climate change has had a significant impact on the seasonal transition dates of Arctic tundra ecosystems, causing diverse variations between distinct land surface classes. However, the combined effect of multiple controls as well as their individual effects on these dates remains unclear at various scales and across diverse land surface classes. Here we quantified spatiotemporal variations of three seasonal transition dates (start of spring, maximum normalized difference vegetation index (NDVImax ) day, end of fall) for five dominating land surface classes in the ice-free Greenland. Using a distributed snow model, structural equation modeling, and a random forest model, based on ground observations and remote sensing data, we assessed the indirect and direct effects of climate, snow, and terrain on seasonal transition dates. We then presented new projections of likely changes in seasonal transition dates under six future climate scenarios. The coupled climate, snow cover, and terrain conditions explained up to 61% of seasonal transition dates across different land surface classes. Snow ending day played a crucial role in the start of spring and timing of NDVImax . A warmer June and a decline in wind could advance the NDVImax day. Increased precipitation and temperature during July-August are the most important for delaying the end of fall. We projected that a 1-4.5°C increase in temperature and a 5%-20% increase in precipitation would lengthen the spring-to-fall period for all five land surface classes by 2050, thus the current order of spring-to-fall lengths for the five land surface classes could undergo notable changes. Tall shrubs and fens would have a longer spring-to-fall period under the warmest and wettest scenario, suggesting a competitive advantage for these vegetation communities. This study's results illustrate controls on seasonal transition dates and portend potential changes in vegetation composition in the Arctic under climate change.

Reconstructing atmospheric H2 over the past century from bi-polar firn air records

Abstract. Historical atmospheric H2 levels were reconstructed using firn air measurements from two sites in Greenland (NEEM and Summit) and two sites in Antarctica (South Pole and Megadunes). A joint reconstruction based on the two Antarctic sites yields H2 levels monotonically increasing from about 330 ppb in 1900 to 550 ppb in the late 1990s, leveling off thereafter. These results are similar to individual reconstructions published previously (Patterson et al., 2020, 2021). Interpretation of the Greenland firn air measurements is complicated by challenges in modeling enrichment induced by pore close-off at these sites. We used observations of neon enrichment at NEEM and Summit to tune the parameterization of enrichment induced by pore close-off in our firn air model. The joint reconstruction from the Greenland data shows H2 levels rising 30 % between 1950 and the late 1980s, reaching a maximum of 530 ppb. After 1990, reconstructed atmospheric H2 levels over Greenland are roughly constant, with a small decline of 3 % over the next 25 years. The reconstruction shows good agreement with the available flask measurements of H2 at high northern latitudes.

Millennial and orbital-scale variability in a 54 000-year record of total air content from the South Pole ice core

Abstract. The total air content (TAC) of polar ice cores has long been considered a potential proxy for past ice sheet elevation. Recent work, however, has shown that a variety of other factors also influence this parameter. In this paper we present a high-resolution TAC record from the South Pole ice core (SPC14) covering the last 54 000 years and discuss the implications of the data for interpreting TAC from ice cores. The SPC14 TAC record shows multiple features of interest, including (1) long-term orbital-scale variability, (2) millennial-scale variability in the Holocene and last glacial period, and (3) a period of stability from 35 to 25 ka. The longer, orbital-scale variations in TAC are highly correlated with integrated summer insolation (ISI), corroborating the potential of TAC to provide an independent dating tool via orbital tuning. Large millennial-scale variability in TAC during the last glacial period is positively correlated with past accumulation rate reconstructions as well as δ15N-N2, a firn thickness proxy. These TAC variations are too large to be controlled by direct effects of temperature and too rapid to be tied to elevation changes. We propose that grain size metamorphism near the firn surface explains these changes. We note, however, that at sites with different climate histories than the South Pole, TAC variations may be dominated by other processes. Our observations of millennial-scale variations in TAC show a different relationship with accumulation rate than observed at sites in Greenland.

Spatial Variability in the Primary Production Rates and Biomasses (Chl a) of Sea Ice Algae in the Canadian Arctic–Greenland Region: A Review

The aims of this review are to elucidate the spatial variation in the primary production rates and biomasses (Chl a) of sea ice algae in the Canadian Arctic–Greenland region, characterized by its comparable physical settings. A database was compiled from 30 studies of the production rates and biomasses (Chl a) of sea ice algae, the snow and ice thicknesses, ice types, nutrients (Si(OH)4, PO4, (NO3 + NO2)), and NH4 concentrations in the ice and below the ice from the region. Production rates were significantly higher (463 mg C m−2 d−1) in Resolute Bay and Northern Baffin Bay (317 mg C m−2 d−1), both in the Canadian Arctic, compared to a rate of 0.2 mg C m−2 d−1 in northeast Greenland. The biomasses reached 340 mg Chl a m−2 in Resolute Bay in comparison to 0.02 mg Chl a m−2 in southwest Greenland. Primary production at other Canadian and Greenland sites was comparable, but sea ice Chl a was higher (15.0 ± 13.4 mg Chl a m−2) at Canadian sites compared to Greenland ones (0.8 ± 0.5 mg Chl a m−2). Resolute and Northern Baffin Bay production rates were significantly higher when compared to other Arctic Ocean sites outside the studied region. The review concludes that the high production rates and biomasses in Resolute and Northern Baffin Bay are related to the inflow and mixing of nutrient-rich waters of Pacific origin. A conceptual model with drivers and inhibitors of the primary production of sea ice algae is proposed, and the database is compiled into a dataset of published data for further studies.

Recent decline in atmospheric Pb deposition and isotopic constraints on changes in source contributions in snow from northwestern Greenland

We present lead (Pb) concentrations and isotope ratios in a continuous series of 38 snow samples from a 1.9-m snow pit, covering the period from winter 2012 to summer 2017, at the East Greenland Ice-core Project (EGRIP) ice core drill site in northwestern Greenland. Pb concentrations were highly variable, ranging from 1.53 to 94.9 pg g−1 (mean value of 10.6 pg g−1), with higher concentrations during winter and spring and lower concentrations during summer and fall. Our results show a substantial reduction in the Pb concentration of ∼50% between the 2000s and 2010s, reaching a level close to that observed in the mid-18th century, that is, the time of the Industrial Revolution. Remarkably low radiogenic Pb isotope compositions were observed in our samples compared to previously reported values during the 2000s. The Pb isotope mixing model results indicated a decreasing Chinese contribution from the 2000s onwards, while Europe/Russia emerged as a relatively more important contributor to the anthropogenic Pb input to central Greenland during the corresponding period. Thus, we hypothesized that the reduction in Pb pollution in central Greenland is largely due to a decreasing contribution from Chinese sources in response to the effectiveness of stringent emission control measures in China.

Isotopic diffusion in ice enhanced by vein-water flow

Abstract. Diffusive smoothing of signals on the water stable isotopes (18O and D) in ice sheets fundamentally limits the climatic information retrievable from these ice-core proxies. Past theories explained how, in polycrystalline ice below the firn, fast diffusion in the network of intergranular water veins “short-circuits” the slow diffusion within crystal grains to cause “excess diffusion”, enhancing the rate of signal smoothing above that implied by self-diffusion in ice monocrystals. But the controls of excess diffusion are far from fully understood. Here, modelling shows that water flow in the veins amplifies excess diffusion by altering the three-dimensional field of isotope concentration and isotope transfer between veins and crystals. The rate of signal smoothing depends not only on temperature, the vein and grain sizes, and signal wavelength, but also on vein-water flow velocity, which can increase the rate by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude. This modulation can significantly impact signal smoothing at ice-core sites in Greenland and Antarctica, as shown by simulations for the GRIP (Greenland Ice Core Project) and EPICA (European Project for Ice Coring in Antarctica) Dome C sites, which reveal sensitive modulation of their diffusion-length profiles when vein-flow velocities reach ∼ 101–102 m yr−1. Velocities of this magnitude also produce the levels of excess diffusion inferred by previous studies for Holocene ice at GRIP and ice of Marine Isotope Stage 19 at EPICA Dome C. Thus, vein-flow-mediated excess diffusion may help explain the mismatch between modelled and spectrally derived diffusion lengths in other ice cores. We also show that excess diffusion biases the spectral estimation of diffusion lengths from isotopic signals (by making them dependent on signal wavelength) and the reconstruction of surface temperature from diffusion-length profiles (by increasing the ice contribution to diffusion length below the firn). Our findings caution against using the monocrystal isotopic diffusivity to represent the bulk-ice diffusivity. The need to predict the pattern of excess diffusion in ice cores calls for systematic study of isotope records for its occurrence and improved understanding of vein-scale hydrology in ice sheets.

Quantification of freeze–thaw hysteresis of unfrozen water content and electrical resistivity from time lapse measurements in the active layer and permafrost

AbstractWe quantified seasonal, in‐situ variation in ground electrical resistivity, unfrozen water content, and ground temperature using daily and sub‐daily measurements in active layer and in permafrost on a high‐latitude monitoring site in West Greenland. The in‐situ unfrozen water content in a clayey soil undergoing phase change was 10% higher during freezing than during thawing at the same ground temperature, thus shifting the freezing curve parameterization seasonally. The freeze–thaw unfrozen water content hysteresis was a measurable part of the energy balance of the active layer and corresponds to 12.1% of the total yearly enthalpy change for our field site. We also observed and quantified hysteresis in the relationships between ground electrical resistivity and unfrozen water content, where the inverted resistivities during freezing in the temperature range from 0°C to approximately −4°C were up to one order of magnitude higher than during thawing at the same unfrozen water content. As a result, the petro‐physical models that uniquely derive soil unfrozen water content from bulk soil electrical resistivity measured from ground surface do not fully capture the complexity of the in‐situ processes. The hysteresis should therefore be considered in quantitative interpretation of ground resistivity changes in terms of ground temperature and ice content changes.

Diverging trends and drivers of Arctic flower production in Greenland over space and time

The Arctic is warming at an alarming rate. While changes in plant community composition and phenology have been extensively reported, the effects of climate change on reproduction remain poorly understood. We quantified multidecadal changes in flower density for nine tundra plant species at a low- and a high-Arctic site in Greenland. We found substantial changes in flower density over time, but the temporal trends and drivers of flower density differed both between species and sites. Total flower density increased over time at the low-Arctic site, whereas the high-Arctic site showed no directional change. Within and between sites, the direction and rate of change differed among species, with varying effects of summer temperature, the temperature of the previous autumn and the timing of snowmelt. Finally, all species showed a strong trade-off in flower densities between successive years, suggesting an effective cost of reproduction. Overall, our results reveal region- and taxon-specific variation in the sensitivity and responses of co-occurring species to shared climatic drivers, and a clear cost of reproductive investment among Arctic plants. The ultimate effects of further changes in climate may thus be decoupled between species and across space, with critical knock-on effects on plant species dynamics, food web structure and overall ecosystem functioning.

Timber imports to Norse Greenland: lifeline or luxury?

The native trees of Greenland are unsuitable for larger construction projects or shipbuilding. Instead, the Norse colonists (AD 985–1450) relied on driftwood and imported timber. The provenance and extent of these imports, however, remain understudied. Here, the author uses microscopic anatomical analyses to determine the taxa and provenance of wood from five Norse Greenlandic sites. The results show that while the needs of most households were met by local woodlands and driftwood, elite farms had access to timber imports from Northern Europe and North America. By demonstrating the range of timber sources used by the Greenland Norse, the results illustrate connectivity across the medieval North Atlantic world.

Autumn space-use patterns of humpback whales (Megaptera novaeangliae) in West Greenland

Five humpback whales were tagged with satellite transmitters on their summer feeding grounds in West Greenland in August between 2002 and 2005. Tracking durations lasted between 13 and 111 days and the locations obtained from the whales provided the first insight on the autumn distribution patterns of this species in West Greenland. Whales demonstrated a consistent pattern of rapid and long-distance movements along the West Greenland coast separated by longer-term, focal area use where feeding occurred. Humpback whales in West Greenland feed on capelin (Mallotus villosus), sand eels (Ammodytes sp.), and krill and these three prey species require different foraging strategies. Generally whales showed high affinity to the coast due to shallow aggregations of capelin. However some use of offshore regions was detected, likely due to concentrations of sand eels. One whale crossed Baffin Bay to Baffin Island, an area not known to support humpback whales. The rapid movements of humpback whales between feeding sites in Greenland and Canada may be a response to variable and dynamic prey resources throughout the summer and autumn seasons.

Enhanced terrestrial nutrient release during the Devonian emergence and expansion of forests: Evidence from lacustrine phosphorus and geochemical records

The evolution of land plant root systems occurred stepwise throughout the Devonian, with the first evidence of complex root systems appearing in the mid-Givetian. This biological innovation provided an enhanced pathway for the transfer of terrestrial phosphorus (P) to the marine system via weathering and erosion. This enhancement is consistent with paleosol records and has led to hypotheses about the causes of marine eutrophication and mass extinctions during the Devonian. To gain insight into the transport of P between terrestrial and marine domains, we report geochemical records from a survey of Middle and Late Devonian lacustrine and near-lacustrine sequences that span some of these key marine extinction intervals. Root innovation is hypothesized to have enhanced P delivery, and results from multiple Devonian sequences from Euramerica show evidence of a net loss of P from terrestrial sources coincident with the appearance of early progymnosperms. Evidence from multiple Middle to Late Devonian sites in Greenland and northern Scotland/Orkney reveal a near-identical net loss of P. Additionally, all sites are temporally proximal to one or more Devonian extinction events, including precise correlation with the Kačák extinction event and the two pulses associated with the Frasnian/Famennian mass extinction. For all sites, weathering, climate, and redox proxy data, coupled with nutrient input variability, reveal similar geochemical responses as seen in extant lacustrine systems. Orbitally forced climatic cyclicity appears to be the catalyst for all significant terrestrial nutrient pulses, which suggests that expansion of terrestrial plants may be tied to variations in regional and global climate.

Local-scale spatial variability in firn properties in Southwest Greenland

The increasing mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet is becoming growingly important to present-day global sea level rise. Meltwater export to the ocean may be amplified by near-surface ice layers in firn (i.e., snow that has survived at least one melt season) which prevent infiltration. Such ice layers have been documented at various sites in southwest Greenland, but little is known about the local-scale (less than 1 km) variability in firn and ice properties. Here we investigate the local variability in firn density and ice content (ice layer thickness fraction) by analyzing 45 shallow firn cores retrieved from 15 sites in southwest Greenland between 2012 and 2019. The core dataset contains groups of cores that were collected at the same site (1–632 m apart from each other) and in the same year (here referred to as same site/year cores). The two-sided Mann-Whitney U-tests suggest that most same site/year cores do not have statistically significant differences in median density or ice content over the upper 0–4.5, 4.5–9, and 9–13.5 m sections below the winter snow layer. That said, the same site/year cores still exhibit substantial density and ice content differences as well as variable ice layer stratigraphy (especially the distribution of centimeters-thick ice lenses) not explainable by measurement uncertainties. The local-scale variability in density and ice content (calculated from the same site/year cores) over the three 4.5-m sections is 4% and 19–29%, respectively. The variability is comparable to the regional gradient in our study area within an elevation difference of up to ∼200 m. The local variability is non-negligible particularly at mid- to high-elevation sites (>2,000 m a.s.l.), where firn structure changes such as ice layer formation are more recent phenomena compared to lower elevations. This study confirms that single cores can provide representative bulk statistics such as mean density and ice content of one site. However, these mean values mask substantial local variability which can compromise regional comparisons. Therefore, collection of same site/year cores and consideration of local variability are necessary for an in-depth analysis of regional variability.

Molecular Characterization of Bacterial Isolates from Soil Samples and Evaluation of their Antibacterial Potential against MDRS

Some soil microbes, with their diverse inhabitance, biologically active metabolites, and endospore formation, gave them characteristic predominance and recognition among other microbial communities. The present study collected ten soil samples from green land, agricultural and marshy soil sites of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. After culturing on described media, the bacterial isolates were identified through phenotypic, biochemical and phylogenetic analysis. Our phylogenetic analysis revealed three bacterial isolates, A6S7, A1S6, and A1S10, showing 99% nucleotides sequence similarity with Brevibacillus formosus, Bacillus Subtilis and Paenibacillus dendritiformis. The crude extract was prepared from bacterial isolates to assess the anti-bacterial potential against various targeted multidrug-resistant strains (MDRS), including Acinetobacter baumannii (ATCC 19606), Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) (BAA-1683), Klebsiella pneumoniae (ATCC 13883), Pseudomonas aeruginosa (BAA-2108), Staphylococcus aureus (ATCC 292013), Escherichia coli (ATCC25922) and Salmonella typhi (ATCC 14028). Our analysis revealed that all bacterial extracts possess activity against Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacteria at a concentration of 5 mg/mL, efficiently restricting the growth of E. coli compared with positive control ciprofloxacin. The study concluded that the identified species have the potential to produce antimicrobial compounds which can be used to control different microbial infections, especially MDRS. Moreover, the analysis of the bacterial extracts through GC-MS indicated the presence of different antimicrobial compounds such as propanoic acid, oxalic acid, phenol and hexadecanoic acid.

Light absorption and albedo reduction by pigmented microalgae on snow and ice

AbstractPigmented microalgae inhabiting snow and ice environments lower the albedo of glacier and ice-sheet surfaces, significantly enhancing surface melt. Our ability to accurately predict their role in glacier and ice-sheet surface mass balance is limited by the current lack of empirical data to constrain their representation in predictive models. Here we present new empirical optical properties for snow and ice algae and incorporate them in a radiative transfer model to investigate their impact on snow and ice surface albedo. We found ice algal cells to be more efficient absorbers than snow algal cells, but their blooms had comparable impact on surface albedo due to the different photic conditions of their habitats. We then used the model to reconstruct the effect of ice algae on bare ice albedo spectra collected at our field site in southern Greenland, where blooms dropped the albedo locally by between 3 and 43%, equivalent to 1–10 L m$^{-2}$ d$^{-1}$ of melted ice. Using the newly parametrized model, future studies could investigate biological albedo reduction and algal quantification from remote hyperspectral and multispectral imagery.

The future of tundra carbon storage in Greenland – Sensitivity to climate and plant trait changes

The continuous change in observed key indicators such as increasing nitrogen deposition, temperatures and precipitation will have marked but uncertain consequences for the ecosystem carbon (C) sink-source functioning of the Arctic. Here, we use multiple in-situ data streams measured by the Greenland Ecosystem Monitoring programme in tight connection with the Soil-Plant-Atmosphere model and climate projections from the high-resolution HIRHAM5 regional model. We apply this modelling framework with focus on two climatically different tundra sites in Greenland (Zackenberg and Kobbefjord) to assess how sensitive the net C uptake will expectedly be under warmer and wetter conditions across the 21st century and pin down the relative contribution to the overall C sink strength from climate versus plant trait variability.Our results suggest that temperatures (5–7.7 °C), total precipitation (19–110 %) and vapour pressure deficit will increase (32–36 %), while shortwave radiation will decline (6–9 %) at both sites by 2100 under the RCP8.5 scenario. Such a combined effect will, on average, intensify the net C uptake by 9–10 g C m−2 year−1 at both sites towards the end of 2100, but Zackenberg is expected to have more than twice the C sink strength capacity of Kobbefjord. Our sensitivity analysis not only reveals that plant traits are the most sensitive parameters controlling the net C exchange in both sites at the beginning and end of the century, but also that the projected increase in the net C uptake will likely be similarly influenced by future changes in climate and existing local nutrient conditions. A series of experiments forcing realistic changes in plant nitrogen status at both sites corroborates this hypothesis.This work proves the unique synergy between monitoring data and numerical models to assist robust model calibration/validation and narrow uncertainty ranges and ultimately produce more reliable C cycle projections in understudied regions such as Greenland.

Simulating the extent and depth of spring snow cover for medieval settlements in Iceland and Greenland

Medieval settlements in Iceland and Greenland were vulnerable to changes in spring (April-June) snow cover duration and depth. These would have adversely affected the viability of their pastoral farming systems, but the impact would have been spatially variable. We use a physical-based model of snow distribution and melt to model spring snow cover and depth at a scale relevant to human activities across four sites: southern and northern Iceland, and inner and middle fjord sites in South Greenland, using both present day and simulated climate data from the HadCM3 GCM-model. Our climate scenarios cover the period CE 1000–1500, encompassing a climate shift to cooler conditions. We find that under average present climate conditions the inner fjord site in Greenland has similar spring snow conditions to sites in Iceland, but that the middle fjord site has notably greater snow cover, and as climate cools spring snow cover at this site becomes extensive (>60 days). The largest increase in snow cover duration between current average climate conditions and the coolest climate scenarios (47 days increase) is experienced at our Iceland sites. Inner and middle fjord sites in Greenland diverge in terms of snow cover under all scenarios, a potential driver of the growing importance of marine wild resources and the end of the Norse Greenland settlement.