One of the key obstacles in forest breeding routines is the time-consuming steps of selection and recombination of superior genotypes owing to the long life cycle of trees. Considering the increase in global temperature and constant climate alterations, the quick selection of genetic materials is crucial to ensure the effectiveness of genetic improvement programs. Early selection studies on other forest species are scarce, barring eucalyptus and pine, which are well-studied crops. In this context, this study aimed to understand the efficiency of early selection in a progeny test of Cordia trichotoma (Vell.) Arráb. ex Steud to evaluate age-age trends, genetic variability, and potential gains. A progeny test was conducted and measured at three, six, and eight years of age for growth traits, diameter, and volume increment. The experiment included 21 open-pollinated families of C. trichotoma arranged in a 4 × 4 m experimental design grid with a single-tree plot distributed into 10 blocks. The genetic correlations among the three measurements for genitor selection were greater than 0.90 for all the traits. For every ten progenies selected at three years of age, approximately seven were determined to be similarly top-ranked at eight years of age, taking into account an early selection assertiveness rate of approximately 0.70 for progenies. Considering the high age-age genetic correlation found in the C. trichotoma progeny test, there is a significant possibility of improving genetic gains per unit of time through early selection. The general mean of volume increment was 18 m3 ha−1 year−1, with productive genotypes showing a volume greater than 30 m3 ha−1 year−1 and representing an estimated general gain of 66 %. Superior genotypes of C. trichotoma are highly competitive in terms of volumetric yield, can generate considerable gains, and are used in the forest industry. Early selection of C. trichotoma is efficient, with a high rate of assertiveness.
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