Significant Predictors Of Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence Research Articles

Echocardiographic assessment of left atrial morphology and function to predict maintenance of sinus rhythm after electrical cardioversion in patients with non-valvular persistent atrial fibrillation and normal function or mild dysfunction of left ventricle.

The aim of this study was to assess whether echocardiographic measurements of left atrial (LA) morphology and function could predict sinus rhythm maintenance after electrical cardioversion among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and normal function or mild dysfunction of the left ventricle (LV). One hundred seventeen patients with persistent AF who underwent successful electrical cardioversion were prospectively enrolled. Echocardiography was performed one day subsequent to successful cardioversion. Patients were followed up clinically and electrocardiographically at 1, 6, and 12 months. At 12 months, 61 (52%) patients had maintained sinus rhythm (SR). Compared to patients who maintained SR, those with AF recurrence had larger LAs, worse LA systolic function, and increased LV filling pressure. On multivariate stepwise logistic regression, E/A ratios (odds ratio [OR] 0.550, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.341-0.886; p = 0.014) and E/e' ratios (OR 0.871, 95% CI 0.771-0.985; p = 0.027) were significant predictors of AF recurrence. On receiver operator characteristic curve analysis of AF recurrence at 12 months, the area under curve for both E/A and E/e' ratios were 0.726. With an E/A cutoff of 2.2, the sensitivity for predicting AF recur-rence at 12 months was 72%, and specificity was 73%. With an E/e' cutoff of 9.17, the sensitivity for predicting AF recurrence at 12 months was 72%, and specificity was 74%. Left ventricular filling pressure assessed with E/A and E/e' ratios predict AF recurrence after electrical cardioversions among patients with AF and normal function of LV.

P435Reproducibility and predictive value of a simple novel method to measure pulmonary vein activity in persistent atrial fibrillation FARS AF CL study

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements No disclosure Introduction. Pulmonary vein (PV) firing can trigger or act as a rapid driver to maintain atrial fibrillation (AF). Automated 1-minute measurement of fragmented and non-fragmented PV activity cycle length (CL) showed contradictory results to predict ablation outcome in persistent AF. Purpose. This study investigated the reproducibility of a novel non-automated simple method to measure non-fragmented fastest discrete consecutive AF signal cycle length and the value of this measurement in the PVs to predict long-term success after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) only ablation in persistent AF. Methods. Consecutive 75 patients with persistent AF undergoing first-time PVI between 2015 and 2018 were included. The mean of 10 FAstest Repetitive Similar morphology discrete signal cycle lengths (FARS-AF CL) were measured twice with > 2 minutes between in the coronary sinus (CS), superior vena cava (SVC), left and right atrial appendage (LAA, RAA) and PVs. FARS discrete AF signals were defined as (I) signal duration ≤80 msec; (II) repetitive similar morphological characteristics; (III) fastest consecutive 10 intervals during 1-minute observation. The reproducibility of the FARS–AF CL measurement was compared to traditional 10 consecutive interval measurements of fragmented CS signals. The CL gradient between the PV and the LA was quantified by the computing the ratio of the PV and LAA or CS CL. Results. Good correlation was found between two FARS CL measurements in the CS, PVs, LAA and RAA (Correlation Kendall area: 0.882, 0.675-0.941, 0.859, 0.944, respectively). The correlation between two traditional CL measurements of fragmented CS signals was low (Correlation Kendall area:-0.006). After a mean follow-up of 20 months, freedom from atrial arrhythmias was achieved in 50 (66%) patients after the single PVI procedure with or without the use of AADs. Patient without recurrence were more likely to have FARS CL ≤140 msec (8 vs. 42%, p= 0.002), higher FARS PV CL/LAA CL and FARS PV CL/CS CL ratio (96 ± 13% vs. 86 ± 23 %, p= 0.04; 95 ± 13% vs. 82 ± 22%, p= 0.036). Patients with recurrence at follow-up had more dilated left atria (LAVI: 44 ± 12 vs. 38 ± 9 ml/m2, p= 0.02; LA diameter: 49 ± 6 vs. 45 ± 6 mm, p= 0.01), less AF termination during the procedure (16 vs. 37%, p= 0.049) and less first pass isolation (44 vs. 68%, p= 0.04). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that LAVI (p = 0.035) and FARS-PV CL (0.011) were significant predictors of arrhythmia free survival. After adjusting for LAVI, FARS-PV CL remained a significant predictor of AF recurrence (p = 0.028). Conclusions. Traditional non-automated AF CL measurement of fragmented CS signals is poorly reproducible. FARS-AF CL measurements in the PVs, RA and LA structures are highly reproducible. FARS-AF CL measurement in the PVs could predict the success of PVI-only procedure in persistent AF independent of left atrial size.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence after Ablation of Nodal and Atrioventricular Reentrant Tachycardia: A Meta-analysis.

IntroductionAtrioventricular nodal reentrant tachycardia (AVNRT) and atrioventricular reentrant tachycardia (AVRT) are frequently associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). Targeting the slow or accessory pathways has been advocated as therapy for coexisting AF. But in practice, AF has frequently recurred after ablation, possibly because of various risk factors. The objective of this study is to investigate these risk factors and check for their significance in AF recurrence.Materials and methodsA systematic review of Medline, Cochrane, and ClinicalTrials.gov databases was conducted. Articles that studied AF recurrence after either AVNRT or AVRT ablation were reviewed. Publication bias was adequately assessed, and the random method was applied for all dichotomous values. Finally, the odds ratio (OR) and confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for each risk factor.ResultsFour studies were included, with a total of 1,308 participants. Only 218 participants had dual tachycardia (AF with either AVNRT or AVRT). The mean follow-up time was 29 +/- 3.3 months. The mean age was 56 +/- 15 years. Age constituted the only significant risk factor for AF recurrence (OR: 3.4, CI: 2.1-5.3, p<0.001). Atrial vulnerability did not significantly correlate with a higher risk of AF recurrence (OR: 4.8, CI: 0.7-29, p<0.008). Again, neither male gender (OR: 1.5, CI: 0.8-2.8, p<0.16) nor left atrial diameter (OR: 1.5, CI: 0.2-10, p<0.67) were significant risk factors for recurrence of AF.ConclusionOlder age was the only significant predictor of AF recurrence after ablation of AVNRT or AVRT. Further studies are needed to determine the age cut-off at which concomitant pulmonary vein isolation would be beneficial in patients undergoing ablation of AVNRT/AVRT.

Usefulness of left atrial speckle tracking echocardiography in predicting recurrence of atrial fibrillation after radiofrequency ablation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The usefulness of peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) in identifying patients at high risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) has been investigated in several small AF populations. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate whether PALS predicts recurrence of AF after RFA treatment. MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were searched. Studies investigating the value of PALS in predicting successful RFA in AF patients were selected. Patients underwent echocardiography prior to RFA. Risk of bias was evaluated using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) Tool. Twelve studies and a total of 1025 patients suffering from paroxysmal or persistent AF were included. Odds ratios (OR) were assessed in a random and fixed effects model for univariable and multivariable pooled analyses respectively. PALS was found to be a significant predictor of AF recurrence after RFA across study populations (Univariable: OR: 1.17, CI95% [1.03-1.34], p = 0.018, per 1% decrease) (Multivariable: OR: 1.16, CI95% [1.09-1.24], p < 0.001, per 1% decrease). Patients with recurrence had significantly lower PALS prior to RFA than patients who maintained sinus rhythm (15.7 ± 5.7% vs. 23.0 ± 7.0%, p = 0.016). A pooled analysis of weighted mean differences (WMD) also showed a significant difference in PALS between the two groups (WMD: -6.57, CI95% [-8.49: -4.65], p < 0.001). Lower values of PALS are associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence after RFA. PALS provides prognostic value in clinical practice.

Risk factors for recurrence of atrial fibrillation.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a progressive disease, associated with increased risk of mortality, stroke, heart failure, and worsens quality of life. There is a high incidence of AF recurrence despite the treatment. The aim of the study was to assess the time to recurrence of AF after sinus rhythm restoration with electrical or pharmacological cardioversion and to identify the risk factors. This study included 101 patients with AF (56% females) at a mean age of 68.02±7 years, after sinus rhythm restoration in a clinical observation of 1-year placebo-controlled treatment with spironolactone (1: 1). The patients were analyzed on the basis of AF recurrence, hospitalization, demographic parameters, comorbidities, embolic risk, and value of biomarker galectin-3 (Gal-3). The average number of AF recurrences was1.62 per patient per year. The median time of occurrence of at least one new episode was 48 days, 95% confidence interval (CI) 14.24-81.76. Female patients experienced significantly more recurrences than male-53.3% vs. 28.6% hazard ration (HR) =1.76, 95% CI 1.02-3.03, p=0.036. The recurrences were more common with increased age, although not significantly. Patients with arterial hypertension had a threefold risk of recurrences than those without hypertension (p=0.025), independently of the treatment. CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly associated with AF recurrent episodes. Patients with gout had a twofold increased risk, without statistical significance (p=0.15). There was no difference in the AF episodes according to treatment with spironolactone. The levels of Gal-3 did not affect the number of AF recurrences (p=0.9). AF is associated with frequent recurrences after restoration of sinus rhythm in the majority of the patients. Most of them occurred within the first 3 months. Female sex, arterial hypertension, and CHA2DS2-VASc score were significant predictors of AF recurrence. Spironolactone did not reduce AF recurrences.

Impact of Preprocedural Serum Eicosapentaenoic Acid to Arachidonic Acid Ratio on Post-Ablation Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation.

The aim of this study was to examine the impact of the serum eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) to arachidonic acid (AA) ratio on recurrence after catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF).A total of 192 patients who underwent first-time radiofrequency CA for AF were enrolled in this study. They were divided into two groups based on the median serum EPA/AA ratio before CA: a LOW group (< 0.30; n = 96) and a HIGH group (≥ 0.30; n = 96). Patients in the LOW group were younger and had smaller left atrial diameter (LAD) than those in the HIGH group. Although pulmonary vein triggers initiating AF were more frequently observed in the LOW group than the HIGH group (63% versus 46%, respectively; P = 0.021), no significant between-group difference was observed regarding the incidence of AF recurrence since the last procedure (17% versus 17%, P = 0.78; median follow-up, 37 months). Multivariate Cox regression analysis after adjustment for age and LAD revealed that EPA/AA of < 0.30 was not a significant predictor of AF recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.12; 95% confidence interval 0.53-2.37; P = 0.76). However, in the non-paroxysmal AF subgroup (n = 65), the incidence of AF recurrence was significantly higher in the LOW group than in the HIGH group (25.7% versus 6.7%, respectively; P = 0.031).In conclusion, a lower preprocedural EPA/AA ratio, which was associated with younger age and small left atrium, was not a predictor for the risk of AF recurrence after CA for AF. The potential impact of the ratio on recurrence in non-paroxysmal AF subgroups should be examined with larger samples.

Uremic Toxins and Atrial Fibrillation: Mechanisms and Therapeutic Implications.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent arrhythmia in the general population. There is a close association between chronic kidney disease (CKD) and AF. In recent years, attention has been focused on the relationship between AF and uremic toxins, including indoxyl sulfate (IS). Several animal studies have shown that IS promotes the development and progression of AF. IS has been shown to cause fibrosis and inflammation in the myocardium and exacerbate AF by causing oxidative stress and reducing antioxidative defense. Administration of AST-120, an absorbent of uremic toxins, decreases uremic toxin-induced AF in rodents. We have recently reported that patients with a higher serum IS level exhibit a higher rate of AF recurrence after catheter ablation, with serum IS being a significant predictor of AF recurrence. In this review, we discuss the possible mechanisms behind the AF-promoting effects of uremic toxins and summarize the reported clinical studies of uremic toxin-induced AF.

A three-year longitudinal study of the relation between left atrial diameter remodeling and atrial fibrillation ablation outcome.

BackgroundThe long-term prognostic influence of left atrial diameter (LAD) remodeling on the status of post-radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. This study employed a two-stage model from 3-year echocardiographic data to ascertain whether the two-stage model predicts RFCA outcome more favorably than models using the baseline LAD.MethodsData were retrospectively collected from 263 consecutive patients with drug-refractory AF undergoing RFCA. Regular echocardiographic measurements of LAD were performed at baseline, 1, 3, 6, and 12 months and then every 6 months after RFCA. Sex, age, type of AF, number of RFCA, and AF status were recorded. We obtain the actual (predicted) 3-year LAD using a longitudinal linear mixed model (1st stage). Logistic regression models based on the baseline LAD (Model 1), actual (predicted) 3-year LAD (Model 2) (2nd stage), and observed 3-year LAD (Model 3) were constructed to predict RFCA outcome. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were used to assess the performance of models.ResultsThe lowess smoothed curve indicated that the LAD declined over the first three months and remained stable up to 36 months after RFCA. The degree of LAD reduction was significantly influenced by the baseline LAD. Non-paroxysmal AF, large LAD and female gender were significant predictors of AF recurrence. Model 2 had the largest AUC among the three models.ConclusionsThis longitudinal study-based two-stage model outperforms the original logistic model using the baseline LAD. Non-paroxysmal AF, larger LAD and female gender are significant predictors of RFCA failure.

Increased left atrial size is associated with higher atrial fibrillation recurrence in patients treated with antiarrhythmic medications.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly prevalent, and antiarrhythmic therapy is often used to help with rhythm control. Some common echocardiographic parameters may be useful in predicting AF recurrence among these patients. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between 3 common echocardiographic parameters (left atrial [LA] size, left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF], and mitral regurgitation [MR]) and AF recurrence among patients treated with antiarrhythmic medications. We hypothesized that LA size, LVEF, and severity of MR are predictors of AF recurrence in this population. A real-world cohort of AF patients who had transthoracic echocardiograms was analyzed. Data on LA size, LVEF, and MR were collected retrospectively from echocardiography reports. Patients were followed from the time of the echocardiogram until first recurrence of AF. A total of 2522 patients had echocardiography reports available for review. LA size showed the strongest prognostic relationship with AF recurrence; neither LVEF nor MR was significantly associated with AF recurrence. These results persisted after adjusting for age, sex, race, tobacco use, alcohol use, drug use, body mass index, and Charlson Comorbidity Index in a multivariable model. In a cohort of patients treated with antiarrhythmic medications that had transthoracic echocardiogram data, LA size was a significant predictor of AF recurrence. The clinical utility of this finding would be strengthened by replication in a multicenter setting.

Long-term outcomes of minimally invasive surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation: A single-center experience

Minimally invasive surgical atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation (MISAA) delivers radiofrequency energy via a thoracoscopic approach to perform pulmonary vein isolation and left atrial ganglionic plexi ablation. Data on long-term outcomes of MISAA are lacking. We report 5-year follow-up data from a prospective cohort of patients who underwent MISAA at a single center. One hundred nine consecutive patients (60 paroxysmal, 49 persistent; mean age 62.7 ± 9.3 years) underwent MISAA with left atrial appendage exclusion by a single surgeon between 2006 and 2012. Patients were followed with transtelephonic monitoring at 1, 6, and 12 months and annually thereafter for up to 5 years. Recurrence was defined as any atrial tachyarrhythmia lasting ≥30 seconds from 90 days after surgery onward. Mean follow-up duration was 1738.5 ± 661.5 days. Single-procedure success rate was 38% (37 of 98 patients). Atrial arrhythmias occurred in 22%, 42%, 55%, 59%, and 62% of patients by 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years. Seventy-eight (79.6%) patients remained AF free with or without additional interventions including catheter ablation, antiarrhythmic drugs, or cardioversion. There was no significant difference in AF-free survival between paroxysmal and persistent AF groups (P = .725). Multivariate analyses showed hypertension to be a significant predictor of AF recurrence (odds ratio 6.6, confidence interval 1.41-30.80; P= .016). Five (5.1%) patients had a stroke or transient ischemic attack during follow-up. AF-free survival was 38% at 5 years after MISAA. A total of 79.6% of patients remained AF free with or without additional intervention. Patients may have an ongoing risk of stroke even in the absence of AF recurrences.

High-sensitive cardiac troponin T as a novel predictor for recurrence of atrial fibrillation after radiofrequency catheter ablation

We aimed to determine whether elevated serum high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-TnT) levels predict atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). We included 125 consecutive patients with AF (paroxysmal, n = 79; persistent, n = 46) who underwent first-time PVI. Serum hs-TnT, high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), atrial natriuretic peptide, and plasma B-type natriuretic peptide levels were measured in venous samples collected before PVI. Elevated hs-TnT was diagnosed in patients with levels ≥0.014 μg/L. All patients underwent multidetector computed tomographic examinations before PVI to measure left atrial volume (LAV) and left ventricular (LV) mass, which were indexed to body surface area. Arrhythmia recurrence was defined as AF/atrial tachycardia episodes lasting for ≥30 s after a 2-month blanking period from the PVI procedure. Elevated hs-TnT levels were observed in 22 (17.6%) patients. Age, diabetes mellitus, LV mass index, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and hs-CRP were independently associated with serum hs-TnT levels (all P < 0.05). During a mean follow-up of 12.9 ± 8.5 months after a single PVI procedure, the clinical recurrence rate was 33% (n = 41). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that a greater LAV index (P = 0.01) and elevated serum hs-TnT level (P = 0.01) were significant predictors of AF recurrence after PVI. This study demonstrated that elevated serum hs-TnT levels are associated with AF recurrence independent of traditional risk factors and left atrial enlargement.

Abstract 17775: Predictive Value of Endothelial Function for the Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation After Catheter Ablation

Introduction: Endothelial function has been shown to be deteriorated by the presence of atrial fibrillation (AF). Therefore, we hypothesized that serial change in the endothelial function can predict the recurrence of AF after catheter ablation (CA). Objectives: The purpose of this study was to examine the predictive value of endothelial function as a marker for recurrence of AF after CA. Methods: The consecutive 156 AF patients who underwent CA for AF were included in this study. All patients assessed their endothelial function by the reactive hyperemia-peripheral arterial tonometry (RH-PAT) and the RH-PAT index (RHI) was measured before CA, and 3 and 6 months after CA. To investigate the factors correlated with AF recurrence, clinical variables and RHI before CA, 3 and 6 months after CA were examined in patients with and without recurrence of AF. The recurrence of AF was defined as the occurrence of AF at the time of 6 months after CA. Results: AF recurrence was not observed in 125 patients (80%), but was observed in the remaining 31 patients (20%). Disease duration of AF (p=0.028), RHI before CA (p&lt;0.001), RHI 3 month after CA (p=0.037), the difference in RHI before and 3 month after CA (p&lt;0.001) were significantly correlated with AF recurrence. The multivariate Cox hazard analysis revealed that the difference in RHI before and 3 month after CA independently correlated with the recurrence of AF (p&lt;0.001, Hazard ratio: 0.168). Furthermore, the value of RHI 3 month after CA, which decreased 0.015 or more compared with that before CA, was the independent predictor of AF recurrence (sensitivity: 0.613, specificity: 0.880, area under curve 0.722). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a significantly higher probability of AF recurrence when the RHI value 3 months after CA showed a decrease over 0.015 (log-rank test: p&lt;0.001). Conclusions: The change in the endothelial function following CA sensitively reflects the recurrence of AF. The decrease in the RHI 3 months after CA compared to that before CA, with a cu-off value of 0.015, was an independent significant predictor of AF recurrence. Therefore, no recurrence of AF can be expected by the absence of decrease in RHI. We might be able to stop anti-arrhythmic drugs and anticoagulants according to the RHI improvement 3 month after CA.

Long-term clinical outcomes of focal impulse and rotor modulation for treatment of atrial fibrillation: A multicenter experience

New approaches to ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) include focal impulse and rotor modulation (FIRM). Studies of this technology with short-term follow-up have shown favorable outcomes. The purpose of this study was to characterize the long-term results of FIRM ablation in a cohort of patients treated at 2 academic medical centers. All FIRM-guided ablation procedures (n = 43) at UCLA Medical Center and Virginia Commonwealth University Medical Center performed between January 2012 and October 2013 were included for analysis. During AF, FIRM software constructed phase maps from unipolar atrial electrograms to identify putative AF sources. These sites were targeted for ablation, along with pulmonary vein isolation in 77% of patients. AF was paroxysmal in 56%, and 67% had prior AF ablation. All patients had rotors identified (mean 2.6 ± 1.2 per patient, 77% in LA). Prespecified acute procedural end-point was achieved in 47% of patients (n = 20): AF termination in 4, organization in 7, >10% slowing of AF cycle length in 9. Acute complications occurred in 4 patients (9.3%). At 18 ± 7 months of follow-up, 37% were free from documented recurrent AF after a 3-month blanking period; 21% were free from documented atrial tachyarrhythmias and off antiarrhythmic drugs. Multivariate analysis did not reveal any significant predictors of AF recurrence, including pattern of AF, acute procedural success, or prior failed ablation. Long-term clinical results after FIRM ablation in this cohort of patients showed poor efficacy, different from previously published studies. Randomized studies are needed to evaluate the efficacy and clinical utility of this ablation approach for treating AF.

Limitations of dormant conduction as a predictor of atrial fibrillation recurrence and pulmonary vein reconnection after catheter ablation.

Adenosine (ADO) can uncover dormant conduction following pulmonary vein (PV) isolation. We sought to identify the value of dormant conduction for predicting atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence and chronic PV reconnection. One hundred fifty-two patients (80 male; age 60 ± 11 years) undergoing PV isolation for AF were studied. After PV isolation, sites of ADO-induced PV reconnection were recorded and targeted with additional ablation. In patients undergoing repeat ablation for recurrent AF, chronic PV reconnection was assessed. Forty-five (30%) patients had ADO-induced PV reconnection following PV isolation. Dormant conduction was successfully eliminated with additional ablation in 41 (91%) of these patients. After follow-up of 598 ± 270 days, 60 (39%) patients had recurrent AF. Dormant PV conduction was not a significant predictor of AF recurrence (hazard ratio 1.51; 95% confidence interval: 0.89-2.56; P = 0.12) although three of four (75%) patients with residual dormant conduction following initial ablation developed recurrent AF. Twenty-six patients with recurrent AF underwent repeat ablation with 52 of 99 (53%) PVs found to have chronic reconnection. Nine of 11 (82%) PVs with dormant conduction and 43 of 88 (49%) PVs without dormant conduction at initial procedure had chronic reconnection at repeat ablation. When additional ablation is performed to eliminate ADO-induced PV reconnection after PV isolation, dormant conduction is not a significant predictor of recurrent AF. Although PVs with dormant conduction at initial procedure may develop chronic reconnection, the majority of PVs that show conduction recovery at repeat ablation occur in nondormant PVs.

Long-Term Follow-Up After Catheter Ablation of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation

Background— Although catheter ablation (CA) is a standard treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF), its long-term efficacy remains unclear. This study aimed to elucidate the incidences of AF recurrence and of progression from paroxysmal to persistent AF, after CA, in patients with paroxysmal AF. Methods and Results— We examined the incidence of AF recurrence and AF progression in 1220 consecutive patients (mean age, 61 years), with symptomatic paroxysmal AF, undergoing CA, based on extensive pulmonary vein isolation and focal ablation for nonpulmonary vein foci. AF recurrence–free survival probabilities at 5 years were 59.4% after the initial CA and 81.1% after the final CA (average, 1.3 procedures). During a median follow-up period of 47.9 (range, 5.3–123.3) months after the initial CA, AF progressed from paroxysmal to persistent in 15 (1.2%) patients (0.3%/y). The duration of AF history (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03; P &lt;0.0001), number of ineffective antiarrhythmics (HR, 1.09; P =0.005), and left atrial diameter indexed by the body surface area (HR, 1.05; P =0.001) were significant predictors of AF recurrence. Patient age (HR, 1.12; P =0.0001) and left atrial diameter indexed by the body surface area (HR, 1.26; P =0.0006) were significantly associated with AF progression. Patients aged ≤65 years and with a left atrial diameter indexed by the body surface area of ≤24.0 mm/m 2 did not develop AF progression for ≤10 years after the initial CA. Conclusions— Although the long-term follow-up revealed the effect of CA on preventing AF recurrence, repeated CA sessions might be required. The rate of progression from paroxysmal to persistent AF was 0.3%/y.

Left Atrial Function Assessed by Doppler Echocardiography Rather Than Left Atrial Volume Predicts Recurrence in Patients With Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PaAF) may present as a single self-terminating episode of atrial fibrillation (AF) or a more persistent form after sinus conversion. We investigated predictors of recurrence in patients with PaAF. Left atrial function would be an useful parameter for predicting PaAF recurrence. The study population included 228 PaAF patients (131 males, age 64±14 years) who underwent transthoracic echocardiography immediately after spontaneous sinus conversion at initial AF diagnosis. We followed the study patients for AF recurrence. AF recurrence was demonstrated in 45 patients (20%, age 68±13 years) after spontaneous sinus conversion. Patients with recurrence had larger left atrial volume index (32±12 vs 25±10 mL/m2, P<0.001), left ventricle mass index (107±34 vs 93±25 g/m2, P=0.012), and left ventricle filling pressure (E/e'') (14±7 vs 12±5, P=0.012), whereas early diastolic mitral annular velocity (e') (5±2 vs 6±3 cm/s, P=0.021), late diastolic mitral annular velocity (A') (7±3 vs 9±2 cm/s, P<0.001), and peak systolic mitral annular velocity (7±2 vs 8±2 cm/s, P=0.045) were significantly lower. In multivariate Cox regression analysis detecting independent predictors of PaAF recurrence, lower A' (hazard ratio: 0.623, 95% confidence interval: 0.476-0.815, P=0.001) was a significant predictor of AF recurrence. A', which indicates left atrial (LA) contractile function after sinus conversion, was the independent predictor of PaAF recurrence, whereas LA volume was not. LA function may be more important than LA volume in predicting recurrence particularly in patients with PaAF.

Left atrial appendage: morphology and function in patients with paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation

The anatomical and functional characteristics of the left atrial appendage (LAA) and its relationships with anatomical remodeling and ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have not been clearly established. The purpose of this study was to determine whether functional and morphological features of the LAA independently predict clinical outcome and stroke in patients with AF who underwent catheter ablation (CA). Two hundred sixty-four patients with AF, including 176 with paroxysmal AF (PAF, 54.0 ± 11.4 years old, M:F = 138:38) and 88 with persistent AF (PeAF, 56.4 ± 9.6 years old, M:F = 74:14) were studied. Of these patients, 31 (11.7 %) had a history of stroke/TIA (transient ischemic attack). The LA and LAA volumes were 124.0 ± 42.4 and 24.9 ± 4.3 ml in PeAF, these values were greater than those in PAF (81.2 ± 24.8 ml and 21.2 ± 5.1 ml, P < 0.001). The AF type (P = 0.016) and AF duration (P = 0.005), and anti-arrhythmic drugs use (P < 0.001) were significant predictors of AF recurrence after CA in all patients. Compared with patients without history of stroke, stroke patients had larger LA volume (106.9 ± 23.0 vs. 94.0 ± 38.9 ml, P = 0.004) and had lower LAA EF (50.0 ± 11.0 vs. 65.7 ± 13.4 %, P < 0.001). The independent predictors of stroke were age (P = 0.002) and LAA EF (P < 0.001) in PAF patients and that was only age (P = 0.001) in PeAF patients. In anatomical and morphological parameters of the LA and LAA, only depressed systolic function of the LAA was significantly related to stroke/TIA and recurrence of AF after CA in paroxysmal AF patients. Further large scaled prospective study is required for validation.

Impact of coronary atherosclerosis on the efficacy of radiofrequency catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation

Coronary atherosclerosis has been associated with the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, little is known about the impact of coronary atherosclerosis on the outcome treatment of AF. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of coronary atherosclerosis on the efficacy of radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) for AF using multi-detector row computed tomography (MDCT). In 125 consecutive patients undergoing RFCA for AF, a pre-procedural MDCT examination (coronary angiography and/or coronary calcium score) was performed to evaluate the presence and severity of coronary atherosclerosis. Furthermore, all patients underwent a comprehensive echocardiographic evaluation to measure the left atrial size and to rule out structural heart disease. After RFCA all patients were regularly evaluated at the outpatient clinic. After a mean follow-up of 12 ± 3 months, 78 patients (62%) had maintained stable sinus rhythm and 47 patients (38%) had recurrence of AF. Left atrial volume index was a significant predictor of AF recurrence after RFCA. The presence of coronary atherosclerosis on MDCT did not influence the efficacy of RFCA for AF. The presence of coronary atherosclerosis on MDCT is not associated with a higher risk for AF recurrence after RFCA.

Characteristic changes of volume and three-dimensional structure of the left atrium in different forms of atrial fibrillation: predictive value after ablative treatment

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with electroanatomical remodelling of the left atrium (LA), especially with LA dilatation. However, little is known about the changes of the three-dimensional structure of the LA, regarding the type of atrial fibrillation and their prognostic value after an ablative treatment. One hundred fifteen patients (72 males, 59 ± 11 years) with an indication for AF ablation were prospectively included. Preoperatively, all patients underwent cardiac computed tomography (CCT). A reconstruction of the LA and the pulmonary veins (PV) was made from CCT data using specialized software (EP PreNavigator, Philips, The Netherlands). Left atrial volume (LAV) after exclusion of the atrial appendage (LAA) and the PV was determined. The LA was then arbitrarily divided by a cutting plane, between the anterior segment of the PV ostia and the atrial appendage and parallel to the posterior wall, to anterior-(LA-Ant.) and posterior-LA (LA-Post.). The ratio LA-Ant./LAV was defined as asymmetry index (ASI). The cardiac CT data, of 25 patients (11 women, 47 ± 11 years) without organic heart disease, were similarly studied for the same parameters, as a control group. Patients with paroxysmal AF (n = 63) had significantly higher LAV (131 ± 31 vs. 95 ± 18 ml, p < 0.001) and higher ASI (61 ± 6 % vs. 57 ± 4, p = 0.002) than the control group. Patients with persistent AF (n = 34) in comparison with paroxysmal AF showed significantly larger volumes (154 ± 44 vs. 131 ± 31 ml, p = 0.007) but no difference in the ASI (60 ± 8% vs. 61 ± 6%, p = 0.63). Finally, patients with long-term persistent AF (n = 18) showed a bigger asymmetry index than the patients with persistent AF (64 ± 5% vs. 60 ± 8%, p = 0.06) but no significant difference in volumes (161 ± 21 vs. 154 ± 44 ml, p = 0.49). LAA and partial LA volumes had a dilatation pattern similar to LAV. During a follow-up of over 25 ± 7 months, AF recurred in 31 (27%) patients. Multivariate analysis showed that ASI and LAV were the only two significant predictors of AF recurrence after ablative treatment. Independent of LAV, an ASI over 60% predicted AF recurrence with 74% sensitivity and 73% specificity. Characteristic differences of both left atrial volume and geometry exist between the different forms of atrial fibrillation (paroxysmal, persistent and long-term persistent). The asymmetry index is a simple parameter derived by cardiac CT data that reflects these changes of LA geometry and predicts the outcome after the pulmonary vein isolation.

Time and frequency recurrence analysis of persistent atrial fibrillation after electrical cardioversion

Electrical cardioversion (ECV) has become a mainstay of therapy for the treatment of persistent atrial fibrillation (AF), which is an arrhythmia that affects up to 1% of the general population. The procedure is initially effective, but it is also characterized by a high rate of AF recurrence. As a consequence, it would be clinically useful to predict normal sinus rhythm (NSR) maintenance after ECV before it is attempted. In this respect, several clinical, echocardiographic and demographic parameters have been analyzed by other authors. However, these indices are weak predictors of ECV outcome. In this work, surface electrocardiographic (ECG) recordings were used to extract the atrial activity (AA) signal and parametrize the fibrillatory (f) waves, both in time and frequency, to obtain AF recurrence predictors. Parameters as f waves amplitude (fWA), AA mean power, dominant atrial frequency (DAF), its first harmonic, etc were studied. Obtained results showed that fWA was the most significant predictor of AF recurrence 1 month later. Concretely, 72.73% of the patients resulting in NSR, 83.87% relapsing to AF and 80.0% with unsuccessful ECV, were correctly identified. Therefore, fWA classified satisfactorily 79.37% of the analyzed patients. In addition, a forward stepwise discriminant analysis, with a leave-one-out cross validation approach, proved that fWA and DAF combination provided an improved diagnostic ability of 85.71%. In this case 86.36%, 83.87% and 90% of the patients who resulted in NSR, relapsed to AF and with unsuccessful ECV, were correctly discerned, respectively. In conclusion, fWA could be considered as a promising predictor of ECV outcome during the first month following the procedure. Additionally, time and frequency indices could yield complementary information useful to predict the cardioversion outcome. Finally, further studies are needed to validate the robustness of these parameters and the repeatability of the obtained results on wider databases.