Significant Predictive Factors For Overall Survival Research Articles

Development of a Prognostic Nomogram for Overall Survival in Gastric Cancer Patients Who Underwent Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy.

The aim of this study was to identify prognostic factors influencing overall survival (OS) in patients with gastric cancer treated with adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and to develop a predictive model. We retrospectively evaluated 245 non-metastatic gastric cancer patients who received adjuvant CRT or radiotherapy from 2010 to 2020. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A nomogram was constructed based on significant predictive factors for OS, including lymph node ratio, T classification, tumor location, and local recurrence. The median follow-up duration was 41.5months (range, 6-144.8months). The 2- and 5-year OS and progression-free survival were 77% and 53% and 64% and 49%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, tumor location (distal vs. proximal), pT classification (pT1-2 vs. pT3-4), lymph node ratio (< 0.18 vs. ≥ 0.18), and presence of local recurrence were independent prognostic factors for OS. The optimal cut-off value for the total nomogram score predicting OS was 116 points. Patients with < 116 points had 2- and 5-year OS rates of 87% and 73%, respectively, compared to 67% and 30% for those with ≥ 116 points. A nomogram was constructed incorporating lymph node ratio, T classification, tumor site, and local recurrence for gastric cancer patients receiving adjuvant CRT. Patients with a total score below 116 demonstrated higher survival rates. This nomogram may aid in defining optimal follow-up intervals.

Identifying Suitable Patients for Overcoming Androgen Deprivation Monotherapy in De Novo Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer.

Although metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) treatments have evolved, androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) remains a widely used regimen. Therefore, this study sought patients who did not progress to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) but received ADT monotherapy and factors affecting overall survival (OS) in de novo mHSPC. De novo mHSPC patients who received ADT treatment were included. ADT included luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone agonists with or without anti-androgen. The total cohort was divided into two groups relative to CRPC progression within two years. Logistic analysis was used to identify factors that did not progress CRPC within two years. Cox regression was used to assess the independent predictors for OS. The total cohort was divided into the no-CRPC within two years group (n = 135) and the CRPC within two years group (n = 126). Through multivariate logistic analysis, the life expectancy (odds ratio [OR] 0.95, 95% CI 0.91-0.99, p = 0.014) and Gleason scores (≥9 vs. ≤8; OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.24-0.75, p = 0.003) were associated with the group without castration-resistant prostate cancer progression within two years. The multivariate Cox model revealed that life expectancy (hazard ratio [HR] 0.951, 95% CI 0.904-0.999, p = 0.0491), BMI (HR 0.870, 95% CI 0.783-0.967, p = 0.0101), and CCI (≥2 vs. <2; HR 2.018, 95% CI 1.103-3.693, p = 0.0227) were significant predictive factors for OS. Patients with long life expectancy and a Gleason score of 9 or more were more likely to develop mCRPC while alive. Patients with short life expectancy, low BMI, and worsening comorbidity were more likely to die before progressing to CRPC. Although intensified treatment is essential for oncologic outcomes in mHSPC, shared decision making is integral for patients who may not benefit from this treatment.

Survival predictors in patients with pancreatic cancer on liposomal irinotecan plus fluorouracil/leucovorin: a multicenter observational study.

Approximately half of the patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) receive subsequent lines of chemotherapy. Recently, the liposomal irinotecan (nal-IRI) plus 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin (5-FU/LV) regimen is recommended as subsequent lines of chemotherapy. However, little is known about the predictive factors for the nal-IRI + 5-FU/LV regimen, especially in patients with previous irinotecan (IRI) exposure. We investigated the predictive factors associated with nal-IRI + 5-FU/LV treatment in patients with PDAC. Multicenter, retrospective cohort study. This study included patients with advanced PDAC who received the nal-IRI + 5-FU/LV regimen for palliative purposes. Overall, 268 patients were treated with nal-IRI + 5-FU/LV. The median overall survival (OS) was 7.9 months (95% confidence interval (CI): 7.0-8.8), while the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 2.6 months (95% CI: 1.9-3.2). An albumin level of<4.0 g/dL, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of ⩾3.5, liver or peritoneal metastasis, and a history of >3 lines of palliative chemotherapy were associated with worse OS. An NLR of ⩾3.5 and liver metastasis were significant predictive factors for worse PFS. Previous exposure to IRI was not a significant predictor. Patients without prior IRI (no-IRI) treatment showed relatively longer OS and PFS compared to IRI responders and nonresponders, but these differences were not significant when compared specifically to the responders (OS: 8.8 vs 8.1 months, p = 0.388; PFS: 3.6 vs 2.6 months, p = 0.126). An NLR of ⩾3.5 and liver metastasis were associated with worse PFS. Prior IRI exposure was not a significant predictive factor for OS and PFS, especially in IRI responders.

The course and prognostic value of tumor stiffness detected by ultrasound elastography for transarterial chemoembolization of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is recommended as the first-line treatment in intermediate-stage patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or as a palliative treatment modality in advanced patients. However, tumor control usually requires multiple TACE interventions due to the presence of residual and recurrent lesions. Elastography can provide information about tumor stiffness (TS) to predict tumor residual or recurrence. In this study, we aimed to analyze the effects of TACE on HCC stiffness using ultrasound elastography (US-E). We investigated whether quantifying TS using US-E could predict the recurrence of HCC. This retrospective cohort study included 116 patients undergoing TACE to treat HCC. US-E was performed to measure the tumor's elastic modulus within 3 days before TACE, in the 2 days after the intervention, and at the 1-month follow-up. The known prognostic factors of HCC were also analyzed. The average TS before TACE was 40.1±14.36 kPa, and the average TS 1 month after TACE was 19.3±9.80 kPa. The mean progression-free survival (PFS) was 39.129 months, and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year PFS rates were 81.0%, 56.9%, and 37.9%, respectively. The mean overall survival (OS) was 48.552 months, and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of patients with malignant hepatic tumors were 95.7%, 75.0%, and 49.1%, respectively. Tumor number, tumor location, TS before TACE, and TS 1 month after TACE were significant predictive factors for OS (P=0.02, P=0.03, P<0.001, and P<0.001, respectively). Rank correlation analysis and linear regression revealed that a higher TS before or 1 month after TACE was negatively associated with PFS. The reduction ratio in TS before and 1 month after therapy was positively associated with PFS. The optimal cutoff TS value was set at 46 and 24.5 kPa before and 1 month after TACE according to the optimal Youden index. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses demonstrated that the 2 groups had significant differences in OS and PFS and that a higher TS was positively correlated with OS and PFS. Our results verify that US-E provides additional information to characterize the tumoral stiffness of HCC. These findings indicate that US-E is a valuable tool for evaluating the tumor response after TACE therapy in patients. TS can also be an independent prognostic factor. Patients with a high TS had a higher risk of recurrence and a worse survival time.

Overall survival among patients who undergo resection does not differ significantly between T1a and T1b hepatocellular carcinoma based on the 8th American Joint Commission on Cancer.

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been used since 2018. However, whether any significant difference in overall survival (OS) exists between patients with T1a and T1b HCC who undergo resection has been controversial. We aim to clarify this issue. We consecutively enrolled newly diagnosed HCC patients who underwent liver resection (LR) from 2010 to 2020 at our institution. OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using log-rank tests. Prognostic factors for OS were identified by multivariate analysis. This study enrolled 1250 newly diagnosed HCC patients who underwent LR. No significant differences in OS were identified between patients with T1a and T1b tumors among all patients (p = 0.694), cirrhotic patients (p = 0.753), non-cirrhotic patients (p = 0.146), patients with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 20ng/ml (p = 0.562), patients with AFP ≤ 20ng/ml (p = 0.967), patients with Edmondson grade 1 or 2 (p = 0.615), patients with Edmondson grade 3 or 4 (p = 0.825), patients positive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg; p = 0.308), in patients positive for anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody (p = 0.781), or patients negative for both HBsAg and anti-HCV antibody (p = 0.125). Using T1a as the reference, multivariate analysis showed that T1b is not a significant predictive factor for OS (hazard ratio (HR): 1.338; 95% confidence interval (CI):0.737-2.431; p = 0.339). No significant difference in OS was observed between patients who underwent LR to treat T1a and T1b HCC tumors.

Neoadjuvant Chemo-Radiation Using IGRT in Patients with Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer.

The goal of this study was to see how effective and safe neoadjuvant chemoradiation with image-guided IMRT was in patients with locally advanced resectable gastric cancer. Between January 2013 and June 2019, patients with locally advanced (cT3/cT4 or N+) gastric cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy at PUMCH (Peking Union Medical College Hospital) were retrospectively studied. Using concurrent chemotherapy (Capecitabine alone or XELOX*2 cycles), radiotherapy (IMRT (intensity-modulated radiation therapy) 45 Gy, 25#, 5 weeks) was delivered with IGRT (image-guided radiotherapy) before the start of each weeks therapy to ensure accuracy and repeatability. A total of 95 patients were enrolled in the study, 93 (97.9%) stage cT3/T4 and 85 (89.5%) stage N+. Of these, 85 patients (89.5%) had a tumor located in the upper 1/3 of the stomach, and 93/95 patients (97.9%) completed neoadjuvant chemoradiation, with 80 patients (84.2%) undergoing stomach resection (58 D2 and 22 D1 gastrostomies). Pathology downstaging was found in 68 patients (85.0%), with 66 patients (82.5%) receiving T downstaging and 56 patients (70.0%) receiving N downstaging. There were 11 individuals (13.8%) who had a pathological complete response (PCR). The average period of follow-up was 44.7 months (19–96 months). The 5-year OS (overall survival), LRFS (local recurrence-free survival), and DMFS (distant metastasis free survival) rates of patients were 47.0% (95% CI: 38.6–55.4), 86.55% (95% CI: 79.1–93.99) and 60.71% (95% CI: 51.49–69.93%), respectively. Thirteen (13.7%) patients had grade 3–4 leukopenia, anemia, and thrombocytopenia, while 9 (9.5%) patients had grade 3–4 anemia, and 5 (5.3%) patients had grade 3–4 thrombocytopenia. PCR was found to be a significant predictive factor for OS in multivariate analysis (HR = 11.211, 95% CI: 1.500–83.813, p = 0.024). The method of using IGRT image-guided IMRT (45 Gy, 25 fractions, 5 weeks) combined with concurrent chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced resectable gastric cancer was equally effective when compared to the clinical efficacy of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, with clinical outcomes achieving equal efficacy, with similar PCR rates and high rates of OS, LRFS, and DMFS, as well as good tolerances of concurrent chemoradiotherapy with acceptable side effects.

Association of immune response with overall and disease-free survival in laryngeal squamous cell carcinomas

This study aimed to examine the relationship between checkpoint receptors (PD-1, PD-L1, PD-L2, CTLA-4) and lymphoid infiltration level (TILs) with prognostic features of patients with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC). A retrospective study was designed at a tertiary referential university hospital between April 2008 and December 2020. The surgical specimen of the patients who met the eligibility criteria were re-examined histopathological, sociodemographic, clinical, pathological, and follow-up findings of patients were determined. The impact of PD-1, PD-L1, PD-L2, CTLA4, and TILs levels for the presence of cancer recurrence, disease-specific mortality, overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) was investigated. Forty-five patients with LSCC were included in the study. The mean follow-up period was 48.3±14.3months (min: 36, max 84). TILs scores were detected significantly lower in patients with distant metastasis and recurrence (p=0.046 and 0.010). Also, only TILs was a significant risk factor for recurrence and survival among the PD-1, PD-L1, PD-L2, CTLA-4, and TILs (HR=0.217 CI: 0.070-0.679, p=0.009 and HR=0.566, CI: 0,321-980, p=0.048). Similarly, for the TILs score: > 1 was significant for DFS. (Long-Rank=0.009). The examined markers and TILs scores were not a significant predictive factor for OS. An increase in TILs density in LSCCs is associated with a better prognosis. However, PD-1, PD-L1, PD-L2, CTLA-4 could not be associated with prognosis. Controlled studies combined with immunotherapy treatment results are needed to reveal their role as a marker and prognostic factor of the anti-tumor immune response.

Role of chemotherapy after curative esophagectomy in squamous cell carcinoma of the thoracic esophagus: A propensity score-matched analysis.

BackgroundThe efficacy of postoperative treatment of squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus has not yet been determined. In this retrospective study, we investigated whether postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (POCT) confers a survival benefit on patients who undergo curative esophagectomy.MethodsA total of 782 patients were enrolled in our study. The patients were divided into surgery alone (S) and surgery plus postoperative chemotherapy (S + POCT) groups. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to eliminate the differences in baseline characteristics. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), which was calculated by the Kaplan–Meier method and compared with the log‐rank test. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify factors influencing the prognosis.ResultsOf 782 patients, 343 (43.9%) underwent S alone, and 439 (56.1%) underwent S + POCT before PSM. The five‐year OS rates were 42.3% and 47.8% in the S and S + POCT groups (p = 0.080), respectively. After PSM (296 patients per group), the five‐year OS rates were 48.7% and 56.2% in the S and S + POCT groups (p = 0.025), respectively. For different cycles of POCT, patients with more than three cycles had a better survival than those with less than three cycles. The significant predictive factors for OS were pN stage (HR = 1.861, 95% CI: 1.310–2.645, p = 0.001), number of dissected nodes (HR = 0.621, 95% CI: 0.494–0.781, p < 0.001) and POCT received (HR = 0.699, 95% CI: 0.559–0.875, p = 0.002), which were identified by multivariate Cox regression analyses in the matched samples.ConclusionsPOCT appears to improve the OS rate of patients with ESCC after resection, and at least four chemotherapy cycles are necessary. These conclusions warrant further confirmation in large‐scale multicenter randomized controlled trials.

Long-term outcomes of induction chemotherapy followed by chemoradiotherapy using volumetric-modulated arc therapy as an organ preservation approach in patients with stage IVA-B oropharyngeal or hypopharyngeal cancers.

The present study aimed to analyze treatment outcomes after induction chemotherapy followed by chemoradiotherapy (CRT) using volumetric-modulated arc therapy (VMAT) in patients with stage IVA-B oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) or hypopharyngeal cancer (HPC), with long-term observation, including examination of larynx preservation. A total of 60 patients with stage IVA-B OPC or HPC, who underwent induction TPF chemotherapy (a combination regimen consisting of docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil) followed by CRT using VMAT were analyzed. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), laryngoesophageal dysfunction-free survival (LEDFS), and locoregional control (LRC) were calculated and compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine statistical differences in OS and LEDFS. The median follow-up period at the time of evaluation was 61 months. Twenty-six (43%) patients had OPC and 34 (57%) had HPC. The 5-year OS, PFS, LEDFS, and LRC rates were 57%, 52%, 52%, and 68%, respectively. Response to TPF therapy was the only significant predictive factor of OS and LEDFS in multivariate analyses. Regarding long-term toxicities, grade ≥ 2 late toxicities accounted for 15%. No patients experienced grade ≥ 3 xerostomia, and 5% of all patients developed grade 3 dysphagia. With long-term observation, the OS, PFS, and LEDFS rates were relatively good, and the incidence of late toxicities was low. TPF followed by CRT using VMAT was feasible and more effective in those who responded to induction chemotherapy.

Trastuzumab Specific Epitope Evaluation as a Predictive and Prognostic Biomarker in Gastric Cancer Patients

While human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) immunohistochemistry (IHC) antibodies bind to the intracellular domain, trastuzumab binds to the extracellular epitope of HER2 receptor: target of drug action. We aimed to evaluate clinical significance of the new IHC method assessing the target of trastuzumab in gastric cancer (GC) patients and compare with conventional methods. Sixty-nine trastuzumab-treated GC patients were enrolled from two different cohorts. Additionally, we enrolled 528 consecutive GC patients to evaluate prognostic implications of HER2 test methods. HER2 status was assessed by trastuzumab IHC, HER2 IHC (4B5), and HER2 silver in situ hybridization (SISH). HER2 IHC showed 3+ in 48/69 trastuzumab-treated patients (69.6%), however, trastuzumab IHC showed 3+ in 25 (36.2%). Patients with trastuzumab IHC ≥2+ had significantly better progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) than their counterpart (p = 0.014). In univariate analysis, trastuzumab IHC ≥2+ and HER2 IHC 3+ were only significant predictive factors for OS in trastuzumab-treated patients. Of the 528 consecutive GCs, patients with trastuzumab IHC ≥2+ had shorter disease-free survival (DFS) and OS (p = 0.008 and 0.031, respectively), while conventional methods failed to reveal any significant survival differences. HER2 assessment by trastuzumab IHC was different from conventional HER2 test results. Trastuzumab IHC was suggested to be a significant predictive factor for trastuzumab responsiveness and prognostic factor for consecutive GCs.

Efficacy of transarterial chemoembolization compared with radiofrequency ablation for the treatment of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation

Purpose: To compare the efficacy and outcome of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in the treatment of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after initial RFA.Material and methods: From January 2008 to December 2014, 199 consecutive patients with primary HCC underwent percutaneous RFA as initial treatment. One hundred and fourteen patients developed intrahepatic recurrent HCC after initial RFA. The patients with recurrent tumor size ≤3 cm and tumor numbers ≤3 who underwent RFA (n = 47) or TACE (n = 31) were included in study. Progression-free survival (PFS), tumor response to treatment and overall survival (OS) were assessed. Prognostic factors for OS were analyzed using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models.Results: The baseline data of initial HCC and the first recurrence of HCC were comparable in both groups. The complete response (CR) rate in the RFA group and the TACE group was 95.7% and 50%, respectively (p < .001). The PFS time in the RFA group and the TACE group was 424 days and 275 days, respectively (p = .004). The one-year and three-year cumulative overall survival rate was 93.5% and 45% in the TACE group, 91.3% and 68.8% in the RFA group (p = .49), respectively. Significant predictive factors for OS were tumor size (HR = 1.951, 95%CI 1.061–3.687, p = .032), prothrombin time (HR = 1.59, 95%CI 1.012–2.498, p = .044) and response to treatment (HR = 0.267, 95%CI 0.092–0.78, p = .016).Conclusion: Repeated RFA is still considered to be the first treatment choice for patients with post-RFA intrahepatic recurrence. However, TACE should also be considered due to comparable overall survival benefits. The advantages of being less invasive and highly repeatable may render TACE to be a preferred treatment for some patients with recurrent HCC after RFA.

Pretreatment albumin/fibrinogen ratio as a promising predictor for the survival of advanced non small-cell lung cancer patients undergoing first-line platinum-based chemotherapy

BackgroundThis study aimed to identify potential predictive factors for the survival of advanced non small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients undergoing first-line platinum-based chemotherapy.MethodsA total of 270 advanced NSCLC patients who underwent first-line platinum-based chemotherapy from June, 2011 to June, 2015 were enrolled. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of the albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR) for overall survival (OS). The predictive factors for survival were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses via the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The OS and progression free survival (PFS) results were determined via the Kaplan–Meier method using the log-rank analysis.ResultsBased on the results of the ROC curve analysis, 8.02 was accepted as the cut-off AFR value for OS. The metastasis stage (M0 vs M1a/b, HR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.15–2.59, P = 0.020) and AFR (≤8.02 vs > 8.02, HR: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.09–2.78, P = 0.025) were two independent risk factors for PFS by multivariate Cox regression analysis. The AFR (≤8.02 vs > 8.02, HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.11–2.59, P = 0.029) was a significant predictive factor for OS in advanced NSCLC patients. The PFS (P = 0.008) and OS (P = 0.003) in the high AFR group were significantly improved compared with those in the low AFR group via the Kaplan–Meier method using the log-rank analysis.ConclusionsThe AFR could be a potential effective predictive factor for the survival in advanced NSCLC patients undergoing first-line platinum-based chemotherapy.

Varices on computed tomography are surrogate of clinically significant portal hypertension and can predict survival in compensated cirrhosis patients.

To investigate prognostic value of varices on computed tomography (CT) and redefine surrogate criteria for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). We retrospectively enrolled 241 patients with compensated cirrhosis who underwent hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement from 2008 to 2013. Using CT and upper endoscopy findings obtained within 3months from HVPG measurement, patients were classified into three groups: presence of standard surrogate for CSPH, defined as presence of varices on upper endoscopy and/or splenomegaly associated with thrombocytopenia (Group 1, n=139); varices on CT without standard surrogate for CSPH (Group 2, n=41); and free from both (Group 3, n=61). HVPG value and overall survival (OS) rates were compared among three patient groups. Revised surrogate for CSPH was defined as presence of standard surrogate and/or presence of varices on CT (i.e. both Group 1 and Group 2). Mean HVPG value in Group 2 was significantly higher than that in Group 3 (10.3mmHg vs 6.5mmHg, P<0.001), but significantly lower than that in Group 1 (10.3mmHg vs 13.1mmHg, P<0.001). Seven-year OS rates in Group 2 was similar to those in Group 1 (57.0% vs 62.7%, P=0.591), but significantly poorer than those in Group 3 (57.0% vs 84.0%, P=0.015). The presence of revised surrogate for CSPH was a significant predictive factor for OS (P=0.025, Hazard ratio=2.71 [1.14-6.45]) on multivariate analysis whereas standard surrogate for CSPH was not (P=0.849). The presence of varices on CT was a significant sign for CSPH, predicting poor OS outcome in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

Clinical outcomes in breast angiosarcoma patients: A rare tumor with unique challenges.

Breast angiosarcoma (AS) accounts for less than 1% of all breast cancers. The goal of this study was to determine patient outcomes in radiation-associated angiosarcoma of the breast (RAAS) and sporadic AS. We evaluated patterns of recurrence and predictors of breast AS survival. Patients with pathologically confirmed AS from 1994 to 2014 referred to Mount Sinai Hospital/Princess Margaret Cancer Centre were included. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Secondary outcomes were disease-free survival (DFS), clinicopathologic characteristics, patterns of recurrence and factors predictive of survival. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used for OS and DFS. Twenty-six patients were included: 6 with sporadic AS and 20 with RAAS. Median follow-up was 24 months. Five-year OS for RAAS and sporadic subgroups were 44% and 40%, respectively (P = ns). Five-year DFS for RAAS and sporadic subgroups were 23% and 20%, respectively (P = ns). Overall recurrence rate was 67% with median time to recurrence of 11 months. Age, tumor depth, margin status, and tumor size were not statistically significant predictive factors for OS and DFS. Breast AS is associated with poor survival and high recurrence rates. Prognosis may be mainly determined by its aggressive biology. Referral to tertiary care centers for multimodality treatment is recommended.

A retrospective comparative study of progression-free survival and overall survival between metachronous and synchronous metastatic renal cell carcinoma in intermediate- or poor-risk patients treated with VEGF-targeted therapy.

IntroductionThe aim of this study was to compare progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) between metachronous and synchronous metastatic renal cell carcinomas treated with VEGF-targeted therapy.MethodsBetween 2005 and 2014, 93 (78.8%) intermediate- and 25 (21.2%) poor-Heng-risk patients, including 32 (27.1%) patients with metachronous and 86 (72.9%) patients with synchronous renal cell carcinoma, were enrolled retrospectively. PFS and OS values were compared according to the number of risk factors and treatment-free interval using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. The prognostic risk factors were also evaluated using a Cox proportional hazard model, with a p-value < 0.05 indicating statistical significance.ResultsDuring a median 5.0-month treatment and 59.3-month follow-up, analysis of the PFS/OS of SM (5.2/9.6 months) and MM (9.6/20.1 months) yielded a significant difference in OS (p = 0.010). However, there was no significant difference when Heng risk groups and treatment-free interval were considered (p > 0.05). There was a significant difference in PFS (hazard ratio: 1.81) and OS (hazard ratio: 2.19) with increasing number of Heng risk factors among patients with synchronous renal cell carcinoma and a treatment-free interval <1 year. Metastatic type, anemia, and neutrophilia were significant predictive factors for OS in multivariable analysis (p < 0.05).ConclusionThe metastatic type of renal cell carcinoma (synchronous or metachronous) significantly affects survival; metachronous type is associated with more favorable outcomes than synchronous type. However, after stratification according to Heng risk factors and treatment-free interval, the differences in survival between metachronous and synchronous type were insignificant.

Outcome and toxicity of radical radiotherapy or concurrent Chemoradiotherapy for elderly cervical cancer women

BackgroundConcurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is the standard treatment for local advanced cervical cancer. However, for elderly patients, studies are limited and the outcomes are controversial. We retrospectively analyzed the efficacy and tolerance of radical radiotherapy (RT) or CCRT in elderly cervical cancer patients and performed comparisons between them.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the elderly cervical cancer patients (≥70 years old) treated with radical RT or CCRT between January 2006 and December 2014. For external beam radiotherapy, 50Gy in 25 fractions or 50.4Gy in 28 fractions were delivered via 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy or intensity modulated radiation therapy. High-dose-rate intracavitary brachytherapy was performed with a dose of 30-36Gy in 5–7 fractions to point A. Concurrent chemotherapy regimens included weekly cisplatin and paclitaxel.ResultsSeventy-three patients were eligible for this study. Twenty-one(28.8%) and 52(71.2%) patients suffered with FIGO stage IB-IIA and IIB-IVA disease, respectively. Twenty-four (32.9%) patients received CCRT. The median duration of follow-up was 32.4 months (4.8–118.8 months). The 3-year overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were 64.9%, 67.8% and 66.5%, respectively. By multivariate analysis, CCRT was a significant predictive factor of OS(p = 0.023, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.172–8.860), CSS(p = 0.031, 95% CI: 1.131–13.908)and DFS(p = 0.045, 95% CI: 1.023 ~ 6.430). The 3-year OS of patients received RT and CCRT were 54.3% and 83.1%, CSS were 56.8% and 87.1%, DFS were 57.6% and 83.3%. There was no treatment related death. Grade 3–4 acute hematological, gastrointestinal and urinary toxicity incidences were 31.5%, 19.1% and 12.3%, respectively. For grade 3–4 chronic gastrointestinal and genitourinary toxicities, the incidences were 4.1% and 2.7%, respectively. Compared with RT, CCRT was related with high grade 3–4 hematological toxicity (16.3% and 62.5% respectively, p < 0.001), respectively. However, acute nonhematological toxicity and chronic toxicity were not significantly different.ConclusionElderly cervical cancer patients could tolerate radical RT and CCRT very well and get a favored survival. Compared with RT, CCRT could improve the survival of elder cervical cancer patients with similar nonhematological toxicity. CCRT should be considered in elderly cervical cancer patients.

Prognostic significance of an early decline in serum alpha-fetoprotein during chemotherapy for ovarian yolk sac tumors

The ovarian yolk sac tumor (OYST) is a very rare malignancy arising in young women. Our objective was to determine whether an early decline in serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) during chemotherapy has a prognostic impact. This retrospective study is based on prospectively recorded OYST cases at Gustave Roussy (Cancer Treatment Center). Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The serum AFP decline was calculated with the formula previously developed and validated in male patients with poor prognosis non-seminomatous germ cell tumors. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the log-rank test and logistic regression, respectively. Data on AFP were available to calculate an early AFP decline in 57 patients. All patients had undergone surgery followed by chemotherapy. The 5-year overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) rates were 86% (95% CI: 74%-93%) and 84% (95% CI: 73%-91%), respectively. The disease stage, presence of ascites at presentation, use of the BEP regimen, serum AFP half-life and an early AFP decline were significantly predictive factors for OS and EFS in the univariate analysis. The OS rate was 100% and 49% (95% CI: 26%-72%) in patients with a favorable AFP decline and in those with an unfavorable decline, respectively (p<0.001). In the multivariate analysis, only the presence of ascites at diagnosis (RR=7.3, p=0.03) and an unfavorable early AFP decline (RR=16.9, p<0.01) were significant negative predictive factors for OS. An early AFP decline during chemotherapy is an independent prognostic factor in patients with OYSTs. No conflict of interest.

Survival outcomes after stereotactic body radiotherapy for 79 Japanese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) is a relatively new treatment for liver tumor. Outcomes of SBRT for liver tumors unsuitable for ablation or surgical resection were evaluated.A total of 79 patients treated with SBRT for primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) between 2004 and 2012 in six Japanese institutions were studied retrospectively. Patients treated with SBRT preceded by trans-arterial chemoembolization were eligible. Their median age was 73 years, 76% were males, and their Child–Pugh scores were Grades A (85%) and B (11%) before SBRT. The median biologically effective dose (α/β = 10 Gy) was 96.3 Gy.The median follow-up time was 21.0 months for surviving patients. The 2-year overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and distant metastasis-free survival were 53%, 40% and 76%, respectively. Sex and serum PIVKA-II values were significant predictive factors for OS. Hypovascular or hypervascular types of HCC, sex and clinical stage were significant predictive factors for PFS. The 2-year PFS was 66% in Stage I vs 18% in Stages II–III. Multivariate analysis indicated that clinical stage was the only significant predictive factor for PFS. No Grade 3 laboratory toxicities in the acute, sub-acute, and chronic phases were observed.PFS after SBRT for liver tumor was satisfactory, especially for Stage I HCC, even though these patients were unsuitable for resection and ablation. SBRT is safe and might be an alternative to resection and ablation.

Stereotactic radiosurgery for brain metastasis in non-small cell lung cancer.

PurposeStereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) has been introduced for small-sized single and oligo-metastases in the brain. The aim of this study is to assess treatment outcome, efficacy, and prognostic variables associated with survival and intracranial recurrence.Materials and MethodsThis study retrospectively reviewed 123 targets in 64 patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with SRS between January 2006 and December 2012. Treatment responses were evaluated using magnetic resonance imaging. Overall survival (OS) and intracranial progression-free survival (IPFS) were determined.ResultsThe median follow-up was 13.9 months. The median OS and IPFS were 14.1 and 8.9 months, respectively. Fifty-seven patients died during the follow-up period. The 5-year local control rate was achieved in 85% of 108 evaluated targets. The 1- and 2-year OS rates were 55% and 28%, respectively. On univariate analysis, primary disease control (p < 0.001), the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (0-1 vs. 2; p = 0.002), recursive partitioning analysis class (1 vs. 2; p = 0.001), and age (<65 vs. ≥65 years; p = 0.036) were significant predictive factors for OS. Primary disease control (p = 0.041) and ECOG status (p = 0.017) were the significant prognostic factors for IPFS. Four patients experienced radiation necrosis.ConclusionSRS is a safe and effective local treatment for brain metastases in patients with NSCLC. Uncontrolled primary lung disease and ECOG status were significant predictors of OS and intracranial failure. SRS might be a tailored treatment option along with careful follow-up of the intracranial and primary lung disease status.

Prognostic value of FDG uptake in primary inoperable non-small cell lung cancer

The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-glucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) in therapy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to further analyze the possible risk factors contributing to overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). We retrospectively analyzed fifty patients between June 2007 and June 2010 with NSCLC who underwent positron emission tomography/computed tomography. We examined the correlation of the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) in FDG-PET of the primary tumor with other possible factors. The FDG uptake in the primary tumor was also compared for the different Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) staging groups and further correlation was analyzed. We divided the patients into two groups by the receiver operating characteristic curve of SUVmax: SUVmax < 5.45 (low-SUV) and ≥ 5.45 (high-SUV). The prognostic value of each parameter for OS and PFS was determined by using univariate and multivariate analysis. There were significant correlations between SUVmax and Tumor length, N stage, UICC stage, histologic differentiation (r = 0.298, 0.855, 0.345, 0.435). The comparison between the low- and high-SUV groups was evaluated. Statistically significant differences were found in the SUVmax of the primary tumors among different UICC staging groups, and the correlation between stages I-II and stages III-IV for OS and PFS was also statistically significant. Univariate analysis showed that performance status (PS-ZPS score), histologic differentiation, UICC stages, and SUVmax of the primary tumor were significantly associated with OS and PFS. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that histologic differentiation and SUVmax of primary tumor might be considered as significant predictive factors for OS and PFS in patients with NSCLC. Our results showed that there was a significant relationship between the SUVmax of the primary tumor and OS and PFS. FDG uptake by the primary tumor may be an independent outcome predictor for patients with NSCLC.