6521 Background: Genomic features including lack of IgVH mutations, del(11q), del(17p), and p53 mutations have been reported to predict clinical course and overall survival in CLL patients (pts). Bcl-2 family proteins and ZAP-70 have also been explored as predictors in CLL. Methods: We prospectively evaluated the prognostic significance of clinical features and laboratory variables on response and progression-free survival (PFS) following treatment with fludarabine (F, n=132) or fludarabine plus cyclophosphamide (FC, n=137) as part of the US Intergroup Trial E2997 for previously untreated CLL. Results: FC therapy had higher complete response (CR) (23.4% versus 4.6%), overall response (OR) (74.3% versus 59%), and median PFS (31.6 mos versus 19.2 mos) compared to F. CR and OR were not significantly different based on interphase cytogenetics, IgVH status, or p53 mutation. IgVH status or levels of ZAP-70, Bcl-2, Bax, Mcl-1, XIAP, Caspase-3, and Traf-1 proteins were not associated with clinical response or PFS. IgVH status and ZAP-70 levels were associated with time from diagnosis to treatment. Using a model including treatment arm, pts with del(17p) or (11q) had significantly shorter PFS (hazard ratios 3.54 and 2.05 respectively). In pts with a p53 mutation without del(17p) there was no enhancement of the model predicting poorer outcome, nor did IgVH status enter the model for predicting PFS. Conclusions: Combination chemotherapy is associated with a higher CR, OR, and PFS. Also, initiation of therapy for pts with Rai stages 0/1 resulted in a higher response rate. Del(17p) and del(11q) are highly predictive of shortened PFS with fludarabine-based chemotherapy. IgVH and p53 mutational status, as well as expression of ZAP-70, Bcl-2 family proteins, and CD38, did not predict response or PFS. ZAP-70 expression is associated with cytogenetic subsets predicted to have a worse overall prognosis, but did not identify pts who will do poorly with therapy. A combination of clinical staging and cytogenetics provide support for future risk-stratified treatment of CLL. Pts with a projected short response duration can be identified for future investigational strategies. No significant financial relationships to disclose.
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