Severe Weather Events Research Articles

Understanding Barriers and Facilitators to Disaster Preparedness in Federally Qualified Health Centers in the United States: A Mixed Methods Study.

Severe weather events exacerbate existing health disparities due to poorly managed non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Our objective is to understand the experiences of staff, providers, and administrators (employees) of Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs) in Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands (USVI) in providing care to patients living with NCDs in the setting of recent climate-related extreme events. We used a convergent mixed-methods study design. A quantitative survey was distributed to employees at 2 FQHCs in Puerto Rico and the USVI, assessing experience with disasters, knowledge of disaster preparedness, the relevance of NCDs, and perceived gaps. Qualitative in-depth interviews explored their experience providing care for NCDs during recent disasters. Quantitative and qualitative data were merged using a narrative approach. Through the integration of quantitative and qualitative data, we recognize: (1) significant gaps in confidence and preparedness of employees with a need for more training; (2) challenges faced by persons with multiple NCDs, especially cardiovascular and mental health disorders; and (3) most clinicians do not discuss disaster preparedness with patients but recognize their important role in community resilience. With these results, we recommend strengthening the capacity of FQHCs to address the needs of their patients with NCDs in disasters.

Climate-change literacy of first year prospective physics teacher about long dry season phenomenon in Indonesia

Indonesia has characteristics of increasing temperatures that have yet to be widely known. Sudden temperature changes have brought many losses to Indonesians. The study was intended to analyze the level of scientific literacy on the climate-change material for prospective physics teachers in Indonesia. The study employs a qualitative methodology. The study also utilized descriptive analysis techniques by administering surveys to gather participant data. This study uses descriptive analysis techniques through the administration of surveys to collect data from participants. Increased emissions of greenhouse gases are a contributing factor to changes in temperature and climate. The escalation of greenhouse gas emissions in Indonesia leads to climate change as these gases envelop the Earth and trap the sun's heat, intensifying the greenhouse effect. The outcome entails elevated mean temperatures, alterations in precipitation patterns, and occurrences of severe weather events such as floods and droughts. Evaluating climate or temperature changes necessitates education. Education imparts knowledge about the significance of safeguarding the planet to maintain its well-being. Education plays a crucial role in addressing the challenge of climate change, particularly the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Behavioral plasticity during acute heat stress: heat hardening increases the expression of boldness

Climate change is creating novel thermal environments via rising temperatures and increased frequency of severe weather events. Short-term phenotypic adjustments, i.e., phenotypic plasticity, may facilitate species persistence during adverse environmental conditions. A plastic response that increases thermal tolerance is heat hardening, which buffers organisms from extreme heat and may enhance short term survival. However, heat hardening responses may incur a cost with concomitant decreases in thermal preference and physiological performance. Thus, phenotypic shifts accompanying a hardening response may be maladaptive in warming climates. Understanding how heat hardening influences other traits associated with fitness and survival will clarify its potential as an adaptive response to altered thermal niches. Here, we studied the effects of heat hardening on boldness behavior in the color polymorphic tree lizard, Urosaurus ornatus. Boldness in lizards influences traits such as territory maintenance, mating success, and survivorship and is repeatable in U. ornatus. We found that when lizards underwent a heat hardening response, boldness expression significantly increased. This trend was driven by males. Bolder individuals also exhibited lower field active body temperatures. This behavioral response to heat hardening may increase resource holding potential and territoriality in stressful environments but may also increase predation risk. This study highlights the need to detail associated phenotypic shifts with stress responses to fully understand their adaptive potential in rapidly changing environments.

Tropical Cyclone Modeling With the Inclusion of Wave‐Coupled Processes: Sea Spray and Wave Turbulence

AbstractWaves critically modulate the air‐sea fluxes, and upper‐ocean thermodynamics in a Tropical Cyclone (TC) system. This study improves the modeling of TC intensification by incorporating non‐breaking wave‐induced turbulence and sea spray from breaking waves into an atmosphere‐ocean‐wave coupled model. Notably, wind forecast error decreased by around 10% prior to TCs' peak intensity. The positive feedback of sea spray along with compensatory negative feedback from non‐breaking waves, overall enhanced TCs' intensity. These breaking and non‐breaking wave‐coupled processes consistently cool sea surface temperature, resulting in improvement of the modeled SST. Observed improvements in full‐year TC cases ranging from Categories I to IV in this study suggest that an accurate characterization of ocean wave‐coupled processes is crucial for improving TCs' intensity forecasts and advancing our understanding of severe weather events in both, the atmosphere and ocean.

The Benefits of Cooperative Inquiry in Health Services Research: Lessons from an Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Study.

Health services research is underpinned by partnerships between researchers and health services. Partnership-based research is increasingly needed to deal with the uncertainty of global pandemics, climate change induced severe weather events, and other disruptions. To date there is very little data on what has happened to health services research during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper describes the establishment of an Australian multistate Decolonising Practice research project and charts its adaptation in the face of disruptions. The project used cooperative inquiry method, where partner health services contribute as coresearchers. When the COVID-19 pandemic hit, data collection needed to be immediately paused, and when restrictions started to lift, all research plans had to be renegotiated with services. Adapting the research surfaced health service, university, and staffing considerations. Our experience suggests that cooperative inquiry was invaluable in successfully navigating this uncertainty and negotiating the continuance of the research. Flexible, participatory methods such as cooperative inquiry will continue to be vital for successful health services research predicated on partnerships between researchers and health services into the future. They are also crucial for understanding local context and health services priorities and ways of working, and for decolonising Indigenous health research.

Anxiety and Worry about Six Categories of Climate Change Impacts.

The occurrence of severe and extreme weather events that have been attributed to a changed climate system and the widespread dissemination of the impacts of these events in the media can lead people to experience concern, worry, and anxiety, which we examined in two studies. In Study 1, we observed that people more frequently expressed worry than anxiety about the impacts of climate change in six areas. People were more frequently worried and anxious about the effects of climate change on future generations and about societal responses (or lack of a response) to climate change. The levels of anxiety that people expressed were significantly higher than the worry people reported when anxiety was their modal response. In Study 2, we observed that both climate change worry and anxiety were negatively correlated with psychological distance from climate change. Overall, climate change worry and psychological distance significantly predicted climate-sustainable behaviors. Our study was among the first to use developed measures of climate change worry, anxiety, and psychological distance to examine peoples' responses across some of the possible impact and consequence areas of climate change.

WHEN DISASTER STRIKES: ADDRESSING THE UNIQUE NEEDS OLDER ADULTS FACE IN EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

Abstract Older adults are more at risk for harm in emergency situations (e.g., pandemics, natural disasters, extreme weather events) and often require more assistance in response and recovery efforts. The COVID-19 pandemic and the increase in climate related emergencies has emphasized the critical need to prepare and respond more effectively to the unique needs of older adults in emergency situations. There is much that community-based seniors serving (CBSS) organizations, emergency management professionals, and local governments can do to develop and implement policies, programs, and practices to effectively support the needs of older adults in emergency preparedness and response. In British Columbia, the COVID-19 pandemic and recent extreme weather events (i.e., forest fires, flooding, and heat waves) have prompted the development of an intentional network strategy for emergency preparedness and response. This innovative approach, which is coordinated by United Way British Columbia, has allowed for increased communication, coordination, collaboration, peer learning, and knowledge translation among CBSS agencies, as well as partner organizations, allied professionals, and other stakeholders. This presentation describes our comprehensive approach to supporting communities to understand and address the specific needs of older adults in emergency planning and management, including: 1) community grants and capacity building; 2) tools and resource development; 3) policies and rights-based strategies; and 4) fostering collaboration between CBSS agencies, emergency management professionals, and all levels of government. Examples are also provided illustrating how these approaches have been utilized in British Columbia to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic and severe weather events.

HURRICANE KATRINA’S LASTING IMPACT ON YOUNGER AND OLDER ADULTS: THE ROLE OF RELIGIOSITY AND POSTTRAUMATIC GROWTH

Abstract In 2005, Hurricane Katrina devastated the U.S. Gulf Coast with catastrophic damage and substantial loss of life. In this study, we examined associations among psychosocial variables and mental health indicators in younger and older adults who lived in south Louisiana in August of 2005 when Katrina made landfall (M age = 51.7 years, SD = 13.03 years, age range: 32 to 78 years). All self-identified as African American / Black women. They were recruited through social media, flyers sent to churches and schools, and word of mouth referrals. On the first day of testing, participants completed sociodemographic, religiosity, and post-traumatic growth surveys and an adapted structured storm questionnaire (Cherry et al., 2011). On the second day of testing one week later, participants responded to open-ended questions on their Katrina experience, and they completed measures of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and depression. Correlation analyses revealed that age was inversely related to PTSD symptoms, which is compatible with an inoculation perspective on post-disaster psychological reactions. In addition, post-traumatic growth was positively correlated with religious beliefs and practices and religious coping, and negatively correlated with symptoms of PTSD and depression. Religious beliefs and practices were inversely correlated with PTSD symptoms and depression. Qualitative analyses of participants’ narrative responses indicated that some reflected on scripture and utilized prayer as a way to navigate their new lives in the years after Katrina. Implications of these data for understanding individual and community-level challenges in the years after exposure to devastating severe weather events are considered.

HEALTH-RELATED QUALITY OF LIFE IN OLDER ADULTS AFTER A FLOOD

Abstract Exposure to multiple back-to-back disasters may threaten physical and mental health for people who live in geographic areas that are prone to severe weather events. In 2005, coastal residents from south Louisiana lost homes in Hurricane Katrina and many moved inland to presumably higher and safer ground. In August of 2016, historic flooding brought widespread destruction, creating a second round of catastrophic losses for those who had permanently relocated to Baton Rouge, Louisiana after Katrina. The present research is part of a larger longitudinal study on health and well-being after multiple disaster exposures. In this study, we examined associations among current and prior flood experience and health-related quality indexed by the SF-36 Health Survey (Ware & Sherbourne, 1992). Three flood exposure groups were compared across two waves of testing: non-flooded (controls), single disaster (flooded in 2016) and double disaster (flooded in 2005 and again in 2016). Results indicated that the flood exposure groups did not differ in physical health, although mental health was poorer for those whose homes flooded relative to the non-flooded controls at both waves of testing. Correlation analyses revealed that age was negatively associated with intolerance of uncertainty and physical health, but positively correlated with mental health at both waves of testing, consistent with the inoculation view of post-disaster psychological reactions. Implications of these data for understanding health-related quality of life after multiple disaster exposures are discussed.

Associations of inter-annual rainfall decreases with subsequent HIV outcomes for persons with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in Southern Africa: a collaborative analysis of cohort studies

BackgroundPeriods of droughts can lead to decreased food security, and altered behaviours, potentially affecting outcomes on antiretroviral therapy (ART) among persons with HIV (PWH). We investigated whether decreased rainfall is associated with adverse outcomes among PWH on ART in Southern Africa.MethodsData were combined from 11 clinical cohorts of PWH in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, participating in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS Southern Africa (IeDEA-SA) collaboration. Adult PWH who had started ART prior to 01/06/2016 and were in follow-up in the year prior to 01/06/2016 were included. Two-year rainfall from June 2014 to May 2016 at the location of each HIV centre was summed and ranked against historical 2-year rainfall amounts (1981–2016) to give an empirical relative percentile rainfall estimate. The IeDEA-SA and rainfall data were combined using each HIV centre’s latitude/longitude. In individual-level analyses, multivariable Cox or generalized estimating equation regression models (GEEs) assessed associations between decreased rainfall versus historical levels and four separate outcomes (mortality, CD4 counts < 200 cells/mm3, viral loads > 400 copies/mL, and > 12-month gaps in follow-up) in the two years following the rainfall period. GEEs were used to investigate the association between relative rainfall and monthly numbers of unique visitors per HIV centre.ResultsAmong 270,708 PWH across 386 HIV centres (67% female, median age 39 [IQR: 32–46]), lower rainfall than usual was associated with higher mortality (adjusted Hazard Ratio: 1.18 [95%CI: 1.07–1.32] per 10 percentile rainfall rank decrease) and unsuppressed viral loads (adjusted Odds Ratio: 1.05 [1.01–1.09]). Levels of rainfall were not strongly associated with CD4 counts < 200 cell/mm3 or > 12-month gaps in care. HIV centres in areas with less rainfall than usual had lower numbers of PWH visiting them (adjusted Rate Ratio: 0.80 [0.66–0.98] per 10 percentile rainfall rank decrease).ConclusionsDecreased rainfall could negatively impact on HIV treatment behaviours and outcomes. Further research is needed to explore the reasons for these effects. Interventions to mitigate the health impact of severe weather events are required.

Green anaesthesia: a review of sustainable perioperative practices and the potential application in Malaysia

Global warming and worsening climate change threaten environmental sustainability and exacerbate disease burdens worldwide. Alarmingly, the health care sector emerged as a substantial contributor to this crisis. The operating theatre significantly contributes to hospital waste and greenhouse gas emissions. Anaesthesiologists are morally compelled to combat this crisis, aligning with our oath as physicians of “first, do no harm,” ensuring patient safety extends beyond the operating room by advocating for sustainable practices that safeguard both health and the environment. Understanding the climate change indicators reveals the alarming impact of human actions on escalating greenhouse gas emissions and their dire repercussions, such as global temperature shifts, severe weather events, and heightened natural disasters. Greener solutions and adaptive policymaking are essential to address procurement, greenhouse gas emissions, and waste management challenges in health care settings. Anaesthesiologists should collaborate with surgeons and hospital management to navigate patient-specific issues analysing the environmental impact of hospital visits, investigations, and comorbidities. Efforts toward sustainable healthcare practices in the preoperative setting, such as telemedicine adoption, promoting eco-friendly transportation, and optimising patient health before surgery should be encouraged. Anaesthesiologists should focus on the environmental impact of anaesthesia drugs, medical equipment, and electricity usage on the environment. We should be more responsible and able to justify our practices concerning the ecological implications of inhaled anaesthetic gases, propofol disposal, plastic-based equipment, and energy demands in operating rooms. The emphasis lies on adopting the 6Rs—rethink, refuse, reduce, reuse, recycle, and research—within anaesthesia practices to minimise environmental footprints.

Projections of severe weather and the impacts on transmission line towers in Santa Catarina, Brazil, under future scenarios of global climate change

Transmission line towers are highly exposed to weather hazards. In southern Brazil, several damages to transmission lines have been reported due to severe weather events. Climate change projections indicate that the frequency and magnitude of extreme events may increase, making planning and adaptation of the transmission system exposure even more critical. In this work, we propose a severe weather index (SWI) as a proxy for detecting severe storms that can potentially result in extreme weather events. The SWI combines thresholds of instability indices based on observed severe events around the transmission tower-line systems. These indices were calculated using the downscaling by the Eta model at 20 km resolution of three global climate model projections and at 5 km of one global climate model for the historical period and the near future. The results show that the SWI captures the severe storms observed in the region. All downscaling projections agree with the increase of extreme weather events in the near future and the expansion of vulnerable areas. The constructed index can be employed to assess the risks and to plan the power transmission system better.

Опыт тестирования экспериментальных методов Гидрометцентра России при составлении штормовых предупреждений о неблагоприятных и опасных явлениях погоды

The results of testing a method for very-short-range forecasting of precipitation intensity (for a period up to 12 hours) and wind gusts (up to 2 hours), as well as the technology for the diagnosis of severe convective events based on radar data for use in the operational practice of storm warning about adverse and severe convective weather events are analyzed. Case studies of synoptic conditions for the occurrence of such events are considered. New types of cartographic products of the Cosmo-Ru-2.2 high-resolution numerical model are presented. The benefit from using new experimental methods in operational practice is assessed. Keywords: adverse and severe weather events, nowcasting, precipitation intensity, squall, wind gusts, radar-based diagnosis, DMRL-C, COSMO-Ru2.2 high-resolution numerical model

Urgent need for planetary health education for healthcare professionals and students in India.

The current climate crisis has had a significant negative impact on human health across the globe including India. Climate change is leading to global heating, rising sea levels and more severe extreme weather events such as floods, cyclones and droughts. These events have direct and indirect detrimental impacts on human health such as increased risk of water-related illnesses, vector-borne diseases, malnutrition due to food insecurity and pollution-related poor health. These effects are disproportionately borne by vulnerable communities, primarily low socioeconomic groups, women, children, and the elderly. Health professionals need to be upskilled to anticipate, diagnose and manage climate-related health issues and respond to environmental emergencies. The emerging transdisciplinary field of planetary health is based on the principle of protecting the planet to protect the health of humans. The authors argue that it is an ethical imperative to include planetary health education in the curricula of medical and other health professions in a way that would help ensure both climate resilience and social justice.

Advancements in Encryption Techniques for Enhancing Meteorological Data Security During Catastrophic Weather Events

With the widespread utilization of meteorological data across diverse fields, the imperative for ensuring its security and safeguarding privacy has escalated. Meteorological data encompasses a wealth of sensitive information, including frequency bands and the precise locations of sensing devices. Inappropriate handling of this data may engender profound ramifications for multiple stakeholders. Particularly in the face of severe catastrophic weather conditions, the conundrum of optimizing the analysis and transmission of critical meteorological data within the confines of finite resources and time constraints looms large, demanding immediate attention from researchers. This paper centralizes its focus on the analysis and storage of information derived from common meteorological devices, proposing a priority-weighted encryption strategy. Within this strategy, meteorological data attains the utmost degree of privacy attainment while concurrently improving encryption efficiency, even when faced with the stringent limitations of limited resources and time constraints during severe catastrophic weather events.

Forward‐Looking Study of Solar Maximum Impact in 2025: Effects of Satellite Navigation Failure on Aviation Network Operation in the Greater Bay Area, China

AbstractSatellite navigation based on the Global Navigation Satellite System can provide aircraft with more precise guidance and increase flight efficiency. However, severe space weather events can cause satellite navigation failure due to the dramatic increase in total electron content and irregularities in the ionosphere. Consequently, ground navigation has to be used to replace satellite navigation, increasing aircraft separation standards and reducing airspace capacity. As a result, numerous flights may be delayed or even canceled, incurring significant financial losses. The occurrence peak of space weather events generally coincides with the 11‐year‐cycle solar maximum, and 2025 is expected to be the upcoming solar maximum. The Greater Bay Area (GBA), located in the equatorial ionization anomaly region of China, is particularly vulnerable to space weather impacts. To explore the effects of satellite navigation failure on flight operation, we conduct this looking‐forward study and propose solution methods from the standpoint of Air Traffic Management, by simulating satellite navigation failure scenarios. Based on the projected flight volume in 2025 related to the GBA airports, simulation results show that the economic costs can be tens of millions of Euros, which is dependent on the duration of satellite navigation failure and the time interval of ground navigation‐based landing. We believe that this study can be a benchmark for evaluating the potential economic effects of forthcoming space weather on flight operations.

Early crop yield prediction for agricultural drought monitoring using drought indices, remote sensing, and machine learning techniques

Abstract The unpredictability of crop yield due to severe weather events such as drought and extreme heat continues to be a key worry. The present study evaluated six meteorological and three Landsat satellite-based vegetation drought indices from 1986 to 2019 in the drought-prone-semi-arid Saurashtra region of Gujarat (India). Cotton and groundnut crop yield prediction models were developed using multiple linear regression (MLR), artificial neural network with MLP, and random forest (RF). The models performed crop yield estimation at two timescales, i.e., 75 days after sowing and 105 days after sowing. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index/reconnaissance drought index among meteorological drought indices, normalized difference vegetation anomaly index/vegetation condition index, and normalized difference water index anomaly were chosen as best highest correlations with crop yields. The RF-based models were found most efficient in predicting the cotton and groundnut yield of Saurashtra with R2 ranging from 0.77 to 0.92, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency ranging from 71 to 90%, and root-mean-square error ranging from 80 to 133 kg/ha for cotton and 299 to 453 kg/ha for groundnut. This study demonstrated the method for making several decisions based on early crop yield prediction including timely drought mitigation measures.

Climate Change, Extreme Weather, and Intimate Partner Violence in East African Agrarian-Based Economies.

Severe weather events can be a catalyst for intimate partner violence, particularly in agricultural settings. This research explores the association between weather and violence in parts of East Africa that rely on subsistence farming. We used IPUMS-DHS data from Uganda in 2006, Zimbabwe in 2010, and Mozambique in 2011 for intimate partner violence frequency and EM-DAT data to identify weather events by region in the year of and year prior to IPUMS-DHS data collection. This work is grounded in a conceptual framework that illustrates the mechanisms through which violence increases. We used logistic regression to estimate the odds of reporting violence in regions with severe weather events. The odds of reporting violence were 25% greater in regions with severe weather compared to regions without in Uganda (OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.11-1.41), 38% greater in Zimbabwe (OR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.13-1.70), and 91% greater in Mozambique (OR = 1.91, 95% CI: 1.64-2.23). Our results add to the growing body of evidence showing that extreme weather can increase women's and girls' vulnerability to violence. Moreover, this analysis demonstrates that climate justice and intimate partner violence must be addressed together.

Why are severe weather and anomalous climate events often associated with the orthogonal convergence of airflows?

Severe weather often occurs in the areas where different cold-warm and dry-wet air masses converge orthogonally. The orthogonal convergence of two-adjacent air parcels can be observed from planetary-scale to synoptic-scale and meso-scale circulations. This study pointed out that an orthogonal convergence of two-adjacent horizontal air parcels can produce a significant non-zero shear stress with its modulus as anomalous energy density and form vertical motions of new airflows, while tailgating and head-on horizontal convergences cannot. Therefore, the orthogonal convergence can induce strong vertical motions and result in severe weather. Continuous convergence of airflows can lead to unusual climatic events. Storm cases of single tornado, tornado swarms, a strong tropical cyclone, and extratropical cyclones associated with heavy rainfall or heavy airborne dust show that the shear stress modulus and total kinetic energy of anomalous winds can better explain extreme weather events than other commonly used dynamical parameters such as divergence and vorticity. Therefore, the shear stress modulus can be used in the forecasting of extreme weather events in operation.

Eco-Anxiety: An Evolutionary Line from Psychology to Psychopathology.

According to the scientific literature, climate change, due to human activities, can damage the environment, with psycho-physical consequences for humans. The scientific literature has highlighted how severe weather events can cause fear, stress, concern for the future, and eco-anxiety. In light of this information, this study aims to explore the concept of eco-anxiety. However, climate change is still perceived as a secondary problem. It would also be worth investigating the real importance that people attach to environmental issues compared to other circumstances, such as wars or pandemics.