Settlement Land Use Research Articles

Spatial Interactions between Planned Settlements and Small Businesses: Evidence from the Jakarta Metropolitan Area, Indonesia

Rapid urban growth is reshaping cities and promoting economic development in low and middle-income countries throughout Southeast Asia, with the prevalence of Micro-, Small-, and Medium-sized Enterprises (MSME) emerging as a crucial factor. This study explores the complex relationship between MSMEs and planned settlements within the Jakarta Metropolitan Area (JMA), Indonesia. Utilizing official government data and extensive GIS sources analyzed using a Spatial Lag Model, the research assessed the spatial interactions between MSMEs and sixteen variables, revealing the statistical significance of eight of these variables. Notably, the study identified a negative correlation between the prevalence of planned settlements and the number of MSMEs, indicating that areas with a higher proportion of planned settlement land use tend to have fewer MSMEs. Emphasizing the importance of land use and built environment policies, the findings underscore MSMEs’ preference for locations with a greater share of commercial land uses. Moreover, the research highlights the localized nature of MSMEs, suggesting a tendency to cluster in specific areas. As Indonesia and other Global South countries experience rapid urbanization and potential increases in planned settlements, the study underscores the need for policymakers to develop strategies that foster a synergistic relationship between planned settlement development and MSME growth to support sustainable urban development.

Analysis of the dynamics of changes in landscape ecological structure using geographic information system (GIS) technology in Badung regency, Bali

The development of land use in Badung Regency in the period 2013-2021 has an impact on changes in the ecological structure of the landscape. Changes in the ecological structure of the landscape occur in the three parameters, namely patch, matrix and corridor, which are indicated by changes in the area and function of the three parameters. The addition of matrix area in the settlement land use class and golf course patches causes changes in the area of the matrix of mixed gardens, rice fields and mangroves as well as corridors of non-volcanic coastal sand that dominantly have ecological functions. The objectives to be achieved in this study are to analyze the dynamics of changes in the ecological structure of the landscape caused by land use development in Badung Regency. The dynamics of changes in the ecological structure of the landscape due to large-scale changes is a driving factor in the deviation of spatial utilization and a decrease in the quality of the environment in Badung Regency. The research concluded that landscape ecology analysis is an important aspect in the development of regional zones in Badung Regency that takes into account the principles of sustainable development. This research found a new formulation in the analysis of ecological zone development that integrates the landscape ecology approach with the spatial approach and regional approach. The ecological zones of Badung Regency are grouped into 4 (four), namely: very high ecological zone, high ecological zone, medium ecological zone and low ecological zone.

Mapping and Assessment of Housing Informality Using Object-Based Image Analysis: A Review

Research on the detection of informal settlements has increased in the past three decades owing to the availability of high- to very-high-spatial-resolution satellite imagery. The achievement of development goals, such as the Sustainable Development Goals, requires access to up-to-date information on informal settlements. This review provides an overview of studies that used object-based image analysis (OBIA) techniques to detect informal settlements using remotely sensed data. This paper focuses on three main aspects: image processing steps followed when detecting informal settlements using OBIA; informal settlement indicators and image-based proxies used to detect informal settlements; and a review of studies that extracted and analyzed informal settlement land use objects. The success of OBIA in detecting informal settlements depends on the understanding and selection of informal settlement indicators and image-based proxies used during image classification. To meet the local ontology of informal settlements, the transfer of OBIA mapping techniques requires the fine-tuning of the rulesets. Machine learning OBIA techniques using image proxies derived from multiple sensors increase the opportunities for detecting informal settlements on the city or national level.

Improvement in the quality of living environment with mixed land use of rural settlements: A case study of 18 villages in Hebei, China

The concept of mixed land use encompasses both land-use diversity and land-use compatibility. However, the negative effects of unreasonable land mixing on the living environment must be considered. In an empirical study of 18 villages in Hebei Province, China, an analytical framework was constructed to investigate the influence of mixed land use in rural settlements on the quality of living environment. The results are as follows: (1) The index of living environment for villages with high and low levels of mixed land use was 0.0194 and 0.0143 in 2010, and 0.0433 and 0.0337 in 2020, respectively. The growth index of living environment for villages with high and low growth rates of mixed land use was 217.16% and 112.07% from 2010 to 2020. (2) Spearman correlation analysis showed a significant positive correlation between the levels (growth rates) of mixed land use and living environment. Additionally, Mann-Whitney U analysis showed that mixed land use can improve the quality of living environment. (3) The land-use diversity had a significant influence on the economy, infrastructure, and governance indicators of living environment. Land-use compatibility had a significant influence on the service indicator. This study indicates that improving the internal structure of rural settlements to optimize its mixed land use is an effective way to promote the comprehensive improvement of living environment.

How to understand the mixed land use of rural settlements? Empirical evidence from the Pearl River Delta, China

Although mixed land use is an important way to improve land-use efficiency and stimulate socioeconomic vitality, there are few systematic analyses of mixed land use in rural settlements. This paper proposes the connotation and measurements of mixed land use in rural settlements, considering both land-use diversity and compatibility. Case studies of Tangwei village (a tourist village), Guxia village (a commercial village), and Fulong village (an industrial village) in Dongguan City, Pearl River Delta, China, are chosen to analyze the characteristics of mixed land use in different types of rural settlements using field research, POI data capture, GIS, and remote sensing techniques. The results indicate that: (1) In 1978, 2005, and 2020, the degree of mixed land use in the rural settlement of Tangwei village was 0.68, 0.84, and 0.96, respectively, reflecting an increase of 41.17%; in Guxia village, it was 0.69, 0.86, and 0.84, respectively, growing and then declining, yielding a total increase of 21.73%; in Fulong village, it was 0.74, 0.82, and 0.89, respectively, reflecting an increase of 20.27%. (2) In 1978, 2005, and 2020, the land-use diversity of Tangwei village was 0.44, 0.94, and 0.92, respectively, representing a 109% improvement; land-use compatibility was 0.68, 0.72, and 0.96, respectively, with an increase of 41.17%. The land-use diversity of Guxia village was 0.46, 0.76, and 0.78, respectively, with an increase of 69.57%; land-use compatibility climbed by 24.64% from 0.69 to 1 to 0.84. The land-use diversity of Fulong village was 0.53, 0.83, and 0.88, respectively, which increased by 66.03%; land-use compatibility was 0.74, 0.81, and 0.89, respectively, which increased by 20.27%. (3) The mixed land use of Tangwei village is primarily influenced by policy support, resource endowment, and industrial foundation. The primary drivers of Guxia village are policy support, geographic location, and industrial foundation. Policy support, resource endowment, and industrial foundation are the most critical factors in Fulong village. Ultimately, land-use diversity and compatibility determine the mixed land use of rural settlements. This study offers suggestions for village planning, rural industrial development, and enhancing the living environment in China.

Analysis of the Dynamics of Water Flow and Suspension Flow Discharge in Volcano Watershed with Settlement Land Use

Suspension flow into the upstream of volcano watershed is sensitive to land use. In Indonesia, a settlement is a form of land use in several volcanic landscapes. There is currently no detailed study on the suspension flow sediment from the settlement land use. The purpose of this study is to investigate the characteristics of the relationship between water and suspension flow discharge. The study was conducted through the measurements at a gully outlet that produced 747 suspension load data. For each rainfall event, suspension load measurements were made in the field, followed by laboratory analysis. Additionally, field surveys were used to determine the characteristics of settlement land use and the water flow into the gully system. According to the findings, the peak flow discharge corresponds to the peak suspension discharge, the peak flow discharge comes before the peak suspension discharge, and the peak flow discharge happens after the peak suspension discharge. The average time lag between initial rainfall events and suspension flow was 10.36 minutes, and the suspension peak content varied by an average of 2.22 gl-1. The grain size was also dominated by the clay fraction, averaging 67.86% on the ascending branch and 67.82% on the descending branch.
 Keywords: Erosion; Discharge; Settlements; Suspension; Watershed
 
 Copyright (c) 2023 Geosfera Indonesia and Department of Geography Education, University of Jember
 This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share A like 4.0 International License

Socio-Economic Policy of Russia on Black Sea Coast of Caucasus in Second Half of 19th Century

The problematic issues of the socio-economic policy of Russia in the development of the Black Sea coast of the Caucasus in the second half of the 19th century is analyzed in the article. The relevance of scientific research is explained not only by the growing public interest in the processes of regional history, but also by the need for scientific understanding and study of the development of the strategically important South Russian region. The localization of creative research was carried out, first of all, on insufficiently covered issues in the scientific literature, and often on historical subjects that were practically not considered by researchers. Particular attention in the study is paid to the description of the migration movement to the eastern Black Sea region and the formation of settlements. The projects of scientists, officials of various departments to improve economic development were considered. The features of land use and land management of coastal settlements are revealed. The role of the state in the development and expansion of the settlement network is characterized. It has been established that the construction of sustainable communications (highways, railways, sea routes) contributed to the consolidation of Russian influence on the Black Sea coast of the Caucasus. It is shown that communications, habitation of the lands of the coastal strip provided the resort development of the Eastern Black Sea region from the end of the 19th century. The author comes to the conclusion that the uncertainty of land use boundaries, as well as the attraction to the region of the population unfamiliar with local natural and climatic conditions, the lack of communications in every possible way slowed down the development of the region.

A regional model to predict the occurrence of natural events: Application to phytoplankton blooms in continental waterbodies

There are significant social, economic and environmental costs related to phytoplankton blooms, particularly when they are dominated by cyanobacteria. However, the climatic, physiographic and morphological drivers involved in bloom phenology create complex spatiotemporal patterns in biomass and taxonomic composition, making monitoring and forecasting challenging. This complexity also limits the ability of process-based algorithms to model bloom phenology. Stochastic approaches and predictive modelling are valuable risk management tools for natural events. This paper presents a novel model to estimate the conditional density of phytoplankton blooms based on environmental covariates, namely the physiography and climate descriptors of lake watersheds. The goal was to provide a tool to project future scenarios of bloom phenology in response to climate change and anthropogenic developments, and to test the efficiency of mitigating approaches. Specifically, we developed a non-stationary regional model to estimate the probability of bloom occurrence in 580 lakes in Quebec, Canada, and to study the impact of physiographic or climate changes over our reference period and future horizons. Results show that the regional model is more precise and accurate than local models, which are usually used in frequency analyses of extreme values. Simulations conducted for different climatic and physiographic scenarios on the watershed of Lake Brome indicate a 65% increase in bloom frequency on the horizon of years 2080–2100. The model also evaluates the effects of different environmental disturbances on bloom phenology, such as agriculture or settlement increase in the watershed. Disturbance case studies were carried out on lakes with different trophic levels, physiographic and climatic characteristics. Simulations indicate that bloom frequency in a highly urbanized meso-eutrophic lake (Lake Brome) and a eutrophic lake with a watershed dominated by agriculture (Missisquoi Bay) would be more responsive to changes in climate rather than land cover, although physiographic disturbances would still generate considerable effects. A meso-eutrophic lake with a watershed dominated by forest (Lake Aylmer) would neither respond to increases in agriculture nor settlement but would be most affected by increases in degree days. Another scenario focused on a highly forested oligo-mesotrophic lake (Lake St. Jean). Bloom phenology in this lake was most affected by disturbances in agriculture or settlement land use. Overall, these results suggest that lakes with a high level of eutrophication are the least responsive to the pressures resulting from land cover changes.

Determination of Flood Susceptibility Index Using Overlay-Scoring Data Method based on Geographic Information System (GIS) in Semarang City, Central Java, Indonesia

Semarang City is the capital of the Central Java Province, located in the lowlands and directly adjacent to the north side of the Java Sea. This geographical condition makes this city very vulnerable to being affected by floods. This study aims to determine the distribution of flood-prone locations and classify the level of flood susceptibility that occurs in the Semarang City. Quantitative descriptive is the type of research with an overlay method based on scoring parameters related to environmental conditions. These parameters include slope, soil type, rainfall, altitude, land use and river flow buffers. The scored parameters are then entered into the overlay stage with other parameters in the geographic information system (GIS) application to form a map of the flood susceptibility level. The data analysis technique used the descriptive method. The level of flood susceptibility map resulting from this study is in one area of the Pemali-Juana Sub-watershed. The results also show that the scattered highly vulnerable areas in the northern part of Semarang City are areas with low elevations and flat slopes, then dominated by settlement land use that lacks infiltration areas, small river buffer sizes. These are what make the area classified as an area that is very prone to flooding.

Mixed Land Use Levels in Rural Settlements and Their Influencing Factors: A Case Study of Pingba Village in Chongqing, China.

Mixed land use provides an important means of promoting the intensive and efficient use of land resources and stimulating endogenous development power in rural areas. This paper selected Pingba Village in Chongqing as the research area; the land use status data and the social and economic data on rural settlements in the study area for 2021 were obtained through field visits and interviews. Moreover, the land use types in the rural settlements were subdivided according to the principle of dominant function. Based on these subdivisions, a land mixed-use measurement system for rural settlements was constructed to analyze their levels of mixed land use. Furthermore, the influences of natural environmental, social, economic and other factors on mixed land use were comprehensively explored. The results showed that, (1) the mixed land use of rural settlements in the study area was at a medium level and showed significant spatial variability, and rural settlements in the high, medium and low mixed land use index zones accounted for 12.5%, 35% and 52.5% of the total, respectively. (2) The differences in the natural environment determined the level of mixed land use and the basic pattern of its spatial differentiation. Social and economic factors, such as resident population and average household income, were key impact factors. Rural tourism resources, homestead agglomeration policies and other factors had important impacts on the level of mixed land use. In conclusion, the research suggests that mixed land use is an important way to boost rural revitalization. In the future, village planning could introduce the concept of mixed land use to improve the efficiency of land use, optimize the land use structure according to local conditions and promote the integrated development of rural primary, secondary and tertiary industries. In addition, it is necessary to scientifically and rationally guide rural settlements to agglomerate appropriately to improve the utilization efficiency of land resources and public service resources.

The Spatial Distribution and Evolution of Traditional Villages Based on Remote Sensing Technology

With the rapid progress of the era and the intensification of urbanization, the traditional villages in the fringe areas have become empty villages. Based on the protection of China’s long-standing farming culture, the state preserves the traditional Chinese rural characteristics with the support of advocating the development of urbanization in villages; the proposal of the revitalization strategy with Chinese rural characteristics pays great attention to and supports the development of rural characteristics to a great extent. However, China’s vast land and resources and the lack of observation technology make most people do not know enough about traditional villages. Based on the rapid development of drones and remote sensing technology in recent years, this article observes the administrative area of A county in the province of A with the support of big data technology. The DEM data taken by drones is the basic data source; that is, within a certain degree of restriction, elevation data (DEM) can realize effective digital simulation. And the current situation of rural settlement space in County A is analyzed through comprehensive technologies such as GIS technology, parametric analysis technology, and landscape pattern index grading; GIS technology can transform data from multiple sources into geographic graphics. And from the perspective of the ecological environment, the geographical, land use, and settlement spatial pattern of the rural settlements in County A are analyzed, revealing that the spatial distribution of rural settlements in County A is affected by the ecological environment. The results of the study show that the classification statistics table of rural residential areas in County A shows that the base number of independent courtyards is particularly large, accounting for about 83% of the total residential areas. The rural residential areas in County A are dominated by single-family clusters and small clusters, which together account for more than 99.1% of the total area. Large- and medium-sized gathering points are relatively small, accounting for only about 0.87% of the number of village gatherings.

Landslide frequency and its relationship with urban development in landform above groundwater basin area of Bogor, Indonesia

The presence of groundwater in the groundwater basin increases the potential of rainwater seeping into the soil and reaching the groundwater system. As a result, the soil takes longer to get saturation and maintain its stability. The groundwater basin stability is also influenced by the layer's lithological, soil, and morphological properties above the groundwater system and human activities on the land. The purpose of this study was to characterize the groundwater basins, non-groundwater basins, and landslides that happened in those locations in the tropical region of Bogor, Indonesia. The characteristics of landslide events, including lithological, groundwater table, soil, slope, and land use in each groundwater basin zone, were evaluated using quantitative descriptive analysis. The result showed 686 landslides from 2015 to 2019 that mainly occurred in the discharge zone, characterized by slope classes of >45%, soil types of Technosol (Inceptisols), Quaternary lithology periods, and settlement land use. The landslide type in the groundwater basin is dominated by surface landslides, while the landslides in the non-groundwater basin are mostly shallow landslide types.

Pollen Evidence in Exploring Settlement Dynamics, Land Use, and Subsistence Strategies in the Åland Islands through Multiproxy Analyses from the Lake Dalkarby Träsk Sediment Record

ABSTRACT In this study, which presents pollen, charcoal, and ‘soot’-particle records from a lacustrine sediment core, the development of the cultural landscape around Lake Dalkarby träsk on the Åland Islands in Finland is scrutinised and discussed within a broad temporal setting in order to clarify the long-term interplay between the environment and human activities in this part of the archipelago. Special emphasis is given to the transition period from the Late Iron Age to medieval times due to the dominating humanistic discourse on the settlement dynamics in this region, as in the Åland archipelago in general, arguing for an approximately 150-years-long hiatus in habitation between these two periods, from AD 1050 to 1200. Our results do not support the hiatus theories but show a long and continuous history of the utilisation of land and forest resources starting from prehistoric times. The forests were first cleared with fire for slash-and-burn cultivation. Thereafter, structural diversity in the landscape started to increase. By 1240, the pollen data portrays a picture of a developed agrarian community with a subsistence economy based on arable farming and animal husbandry in which hemp seems to play a substantial part.

Contradictions and continuities: a historical context to Euro-American settlement era fires of the Lake States, USA

BackgroundThe Lake States experienced unprecedented land use changes during Euro-American settlement including large, destructive fires. Forest changes were radical in this region and largely attributed to anomalous settlement era fires in slash (cumulation of tops and branches) following cutover logging. In this study, I place settlement era fires in a historical context by examining fire scar data in comparison to historical accounts and investigate fire-vegetation-climate relationships within a 400-year context.ResultsSettlement era fires (1851–1947) were less frequent than pre-settlement fires (1548–1850) with little evidence that slash impacted fire frequency or occurrence at site or ecoregion scales. Only one out of 25 sites had more frequent settlement era fires, and that site was a pine forest that had never been harvested. Settlement era fires were similar across disparate ecoregions and forest types including areas with very different land use history. Settlement fires tended to burn during significantly dry periods, the same conditions driving large fires for the past 400 years. The burned area in the October 8, 1871, Peshtigo Fire was comprised of mesic forests where fuels were always abundant and high-severity fires would be expected under the drought conditions in 1871. Furthermore, slash would not have been a major contributor to fire behavior or effects in the Peshtigo Fire when logging was still limited to relatively accessible pine forests.ConclusionsHistorical written accounts of fires and settlement era survey records provide a reference point for landscape changes but lack temporal depth to understand forest dynamics. Tree-ring analyses provide a longer (ca. 400 year) context and more mechanistic understanding of landscape dynamics. While settlement land use changes of Lake States forests were pervasive, fires were not the ultimate degrading factor, but rather likely one of the few natural processes still at work.

Fractal Characteristic Evolution of Coastal Settlement Land Use: A Case of Xiamen, China

Coastal settlements in urban areas show certain degrees of spatial complexity. Understanding the evolution law of fractal settlements is practically important for marine engineering and urban planning. In this paper, we investigate the fractal evolution of coastal settlement land use based on fractal theory. The fractal dimensions of the land uses for three typically coastal settlements in Xiamen city, China, are obtained to quantify their spatial complexity. The results reveal the fractal characteristics and regional differences of the coastal settlements. Furthermore, nonlinear modeling is applied to describe the fractal dimension evolution of the coastal settlement land uses from 2000 to 2018. Three settlements in rapid urbanization show different nonlinear evolution equations of the fractal dimension due to their different land uses. This study might provide a theoretical basis for understanding the fractal characteristic evolution of coastal settlements in urban areas and show its potential application in urban geography.

Landscape Evolution and Simulation of Rural Settlements around Wetland Park Based on MCCA Model and Landscape Theory: A Case Study of Chaohu Peninsula, China.

As a transitional zone between urban and rural areas, the peri-urban areas are the areas with the most intense urban expansion and the most frequent spatial reconfiguration, and in this context, it is particularly important to reveal the evolution pattern of rural settlements in the peri-urban areas to provide reference for the rearrangement of rural settlements. The study takes five townships in the urban suburbs, and explores the scale, shape, spatial layout, and spatial characteristics of the urban suburbs of Hefei from 1980 to 2030 under the influence of urban-lake symbiosis based on spatial mathematical analysis and geographical simulation software. The study shows that: (1) the overall layout of rural settlements in the study area is randomly distributed due to the hilly terrain, but in small areas there is a high and low clustering phenomenon, and the spatial density shows the distribution characteristics of “high in the east and low in the west”; (2) since the reform and opening up, there are large spatial differences in the scale of rural settlements in the study area. (3) Different development scenarios have a strong impact on the future spatial pattern of rural settlement land use within the study area, which is a strong reflection of policy.

Urban Flood Risk Assessment and Development of Urban Flood Resilient Spatial Plan for Bhubaneswar

Urban flooding is growing as a serious development challenge for cities. Urbanization demands the conversion of pervious land to impervious land by pushing the transformation of water bodies, flood plains, wetlands and green spaces into built-up spaces. This affects the hydrological setting of the city’s geographic area. Bhubaneswar, one of the first planned cities of independent India, has expanded rapidly with an increase in the settlement land use cover from 41 km2 to 81 km2 in the last two decades. Non-consideration of disaster risk assessment in the land use plan has placed the city at high disaster risk. Hence, this article explores various avenues for making a flood resilient city through spatial planning. To understand the flood and its consequences, a flood hazard and vulnerability map was prepared by overlaying the existing social and infrastructure networks, and flood risk zones were generated through analytical spatial modelling in GIS. This accounts for the areas in which flood hazards are expected to occur, as well as the area whose socio-economic and infrastructure susceptibility to the disaster is more. The key outcome is to ensure urban development that can work concurrently with nature by integrating disaster risk reduction strategies into land use planning.

Settlement Pattern and Land Use under the Frankish Feudal System in the Northwestern Peloponnese (Thirteenth–Mid-Fifteenth Centuries)

Abstract Following the Fourth Crusade, one of the Frankish states that were established in former Byzantine territories was the Principality of Morea, in the Peloponnese. A strict hierarchy consisting of the prince, the barons, and the fief-knights quickly implemented a feudal system and imposed it on the locals; towers were erected and settlements were relocated. Fieldwork in the Patras area, in the northwestern Peloponnese, has focused on identifying the implementation of the feudal system on the level of the barony and that of the fief. Data are drawn from surface surveys and from historical records, including Ottoman tax registers. Spatial analysis in GIS is used to examine the role of the towers in the economic and social life of the subordinate settlements and how the exercise of power manifests itself in the landscape.

The history of settlement and agrarian land use in a boreal forest in V\xe4rmland, Sweden, new evidence from pollen analysis

Shielings are the historically known form of transhumance in Scandinavia, where livestock were moved from the farmstead to sites in the outlands for summer grazing. Pollen analysis has provided a valuable insight into the history of shielings. This paper presents a vegetation reconstruction and archaeological survey from the shieling Kårebolssätern in northern Värmland, western Sweden, a renovated shieling that is still operating today. The first evidence of human activities in the area near Kårebolssätern are Hordeum- and Cannabis-type pollen grains occurring from ca. 100 bc. Further signs of human impact are charcoal and sporadic occurrences of apophyte pollen from ca. ad 250 and pollen indicating opening of the canopy ca. ad 570, probably a result of modification of the forest for grazing. A decrease in land use is seen between ad 1000 and 1250, possibly in response to a shift in emphasis towards large scale commodity production in the outlands. Emphasis on bloomery iron production and pitfall hunting may have caused a shift from agrarian shieling activity. The clearest changes in the pollen assemblage indicating grazing and cultivation occur from the mid-thirteenth century, coinciding with wetter climate at the beginning of the Little Ice Age. The earliest occurrences of anthropochores in the record predate those of other shieling sites in Sweden. The pollen analysis reveals evidence of land use that predates the results of the archaeological survey. The study highlights how pollen analysis can reveal vegetation changes where early archaeological remains are obscure.

Estimation of erosion using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model in Samin Sub-watershed, Karanganyar and Sukoharjo Districts, Jawa Tengah

Over the past 10 years (2005-2015) there has been an increase in settlement land use in the Samin Sub-watershed, with an average of 26.8 ha/year [1]. Land in the study area is also widely used as plantations and agriculture without regard to soil conditions that are easily eroded and prone to landslides. Inappropriate land use has caused river siltation problems downstream and flooding. The purpose of this study is to determine the erosion rate of the Samin Sub-watershed predicted using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, test the suitability of the model in predicting erosion, and create scenarios for the application of Soil and Water Conservation in the form of terraces to reduce erosion level. The results indicated that the average erosion rate in the Samin Sub-watershed is 57.4 tons/ha/year. The highest erosion value is in dry land use. The three criteria for the Erosion Hazard Level (TBE) that predominate are the medium, light, and very light classes. Model suitability testing is carried out in 2 stages, namely calibration and validation. The calibration process obtained the value of R2 0.77 and NSE 0.23. The validation process resulted the value of R2 20.57 and NSE 0.40. The scenario of the application of Soil and Water Conservation technique in the form of a terrace will reduce erosion in the Samin Sub-watershed up to very light erosion hazard grade reaching 53%.